Modèle par défautMoyenne interquartile (Liste Sélectionnée)

Hibernian v Celtic

Coup d’envoi : 2026-05-03 11:00 UTC

Score final : Hibernian 1–2 Celtic

Cotes de clôture — probabilités calculées et espérance mathématique obtenues, selon le modèle sélectionné, à partir des derniers prix enregistrés avant le coup d’envoi. Le match ayant commencé, il ne s’agit pas de valeurs en direct. Évaluer la fiabilité des prévisions probabilistes de chaque modèle sur l’ensemble des matchs réglés →

Résultat du match

52 opérateurs (16 dans l’analyse )

Probabilité estimée de chaque issue selon le modèle : Moyenne interquartile (Liste Sélectionnée)

Hibernian (Local)

Prévision 17.26%5.80cote équitable
EV +12.16%
Avantage +1.87%
Kelly +2.21%
Croissance +0.269%

avec la cote maximale 6.50

Distribution des prévisions des opérateurs
14.44%17.30%17.21%19.01%MIN.MOYENNEMÉDIANEMAX.
Distribution des cotes
4.805.225.006.5020.83%19.15%20.00%15.38%MIN.MOYENNEMÉDIANEMAX.

Celtic (Visiteur)

Prévision 61.83%1.62cote équitable
EV -1.07%
Avantage -0.666%
Kelly -1.78%
Croissance +0.000%

avec la cote maximale 1.60

Distribution des prévisions des opérateurs
59.33%61.78%61.91%64.71%MIN.MOYENNEMÉDIANEMAX.
Distribution des cotes
1.401.531.531.6071.43%65.50%65.36%62.50%MIN.MOYENNEMÉDIANEMAX.

Match nul

Prévision 20.91%4.78cote équitable
EV +1.84%
Avantage +0.377%
Kelly +0.475%
Croissance +0.009%

avec la cote maximale 4.87

Distribution des prévisions des opérateurs
19.66%20.92%20.88%21.78%MIN.MOYENNEMÉDIANEMAX.
Distribution des cotes
4.204.404.404.8723.81%22.72%22.73%20.53%MIN.MOYENNEMÉDIANEMAX.

Aux dernières cotes avant le début, Moyenne interquartile (Liste Sélectionnée) estimait pour Résultat du match : Hibernian (Local) : 17.26% ; Celtic (Visiteur) : 61.83% ; Match nul : 20.91%. Pour Hibernian (Local), cette estimation équivalait à une cote décimale juste de 5.80. 2 opérateurs proposaient une cote de clôture supérieure à ce seuil ; la meilleure était 6.50, soit une espérance positive de +12.16%.

Cotes des opérateurs (52 opérateurs)

Nous ne sommes affiliés à aucun opérateur de paris et ne tirons aucun bénéfice des opérations réalisées auprès d’eux.

OpérateurLocal ▼VisiteurMatch nulMargeMise à jour
PointsBet (AU)🎯6.50I 15.38%NM 14.44%EV +12.16%E +1.87%K +2.21%G +0.269%1.45I 68.97%NM 64.71%EV -10.34%E -7.13%K -22.98%G +0.000%4.50I 22.22%NM 20.85%EV -5.90%E -1.31%K -1.69%G +0.000%6.6%2026-05-03 10:55
Pinnacle🎯5.87I 17.04%NM 16.43%EV +1.29%E +0.219%K +0.265%G +0.003%1.53I 65.36%NM 63.02%EV -5.39%E -3.53%K -10.18%G +0.000%4.69I 21.32%NM 20.56%EV -1.93%E -0.411%K -0.522%G +0.000%3.7%2026-05-03 10:55
Bet Victor🎯5.75I 17.39%NM 16.36%EV -0.782%E -0.136%K -0.165%G +0.000%1.50I 66.67%NM 62.73%EV -7.25%E -4.83%K -14.50%G +0.000%4.50I 22.22%NM 20.91%EV -5.90%E -1.31%K -1.69%G +0.000%6.3%2026-05-03 10:56
Everygame🎯5.75I 17.39%NM 16.36%EV -0.782%E -0.136%K -0.165%G +0.000%1.50I 66.67%NM 62.73%EV -7.25%E -4.83%K -14.50%G +0.000%4.50I 22.22%NM 20.91%EV -5.90%E -1.31%K -1.69%G +0.000%6.3%2026-05-03 10:55
1xBet🎯5.66I 17.67%NM 16.92%EV -2.34%E -0.413%K -0.501%G +0.000%1.51I 66.23%NM 63.42%EV -6.63%E -4.39%K -13.00%G +0.000%4.87I 20.53%NM 19.66%EV +1.84%E +0.377%K +0.475%G +0.009%4.4%2026-05-03 10:55
FanDuel🎯5.60I 17.86%NM 16.72%EV -3.37%E -0.602%K -0.733%G +0.000%1.51I 66.23%NM 62.00%EV -6.63%E -4.39%K -13.00%G +0.000%4.40I 22.73%NM 21.28%EV -7.99%E -1.82%K -2.35%G +0.000%6.8%2026-05-03 10:50
LowVig.ag🎯5.60I 17.86%NM 16.65%EV -3.37%E -0.602%K -0.733%G +0.000%1.50I 66.67%NM 62.16%EV -7.25%E -4.83%K -14.50%G +0.000%4.40I 22.73%NM 21.19%EV -7.99%E -1.82%K -2.35%G +0.000%7.3%2026-05-03 10:54
BetOnline.ag🎯5.60I 17.86%NM 16.65%EV -3.37%E -0.602%K -0.733%G +0.000%1.50I 66.67%NM 62.16%EV -7.25%E -4.83%K -14.50%G +0.000%4.40I 22.73%NM 21.19%EV -7.99%E -1.82%K -2.35%G +0.000%7.3%2026-05-03 10:55
Coolbet🎯5.50I 18.18%NM 17.38%EV -5.10%E -0.927%K -1.13%G +0.000%1.53I 65.36%NM 62.49%EV -5.39%E -3.53%K -10.18%G +0.000%4.75I 21.05%NM 20.13%EV -0.672%E -0.141%K -0.179%G +0.000%4.6%2026-05-03 10:55
betfred_uk🎯5.50I 18.18%NM 17.19%EV -5.10%E -0.927%K -1.13%G +0.000%1.53I 65.36%NM 61.80%EV -5.39%E -3.53%K -10.18%G +0.000%4.50I 22.22%NM 21.01%EV -5.90%E -1.31%K -1.69%G +0.000%5.8%2026-05-03 10:55
DraftKings🎯5.50I 18.18%NM 17.13%EV -5.10%E -0.927%K -1.13%G +0.000%1.51I 66.23%NM 62.39%EV -6.63%E -4.39%K -13.00%G +0.000%4.60I 21.74%NM 20.48%EV -3.81%E -0.828%K -1.06%G +0.000%6.1%2026-05-03 10:55
Betr (AU)🎯5.50I 18.18%NM 17.04%EV -5.10%E -0.927%K -1.13%G +0.000%1.52I 65.79%NM 61.66%EV -6.01%E -3.96%K -11.56%G +0.000%4.40I 22.73%NM 21.30%EV -7.99%E -1.82%K -2.35%G +0.000%6.7%2026-05-03 10:55
Bet Right🎯5.50I 18.18%NM 16.97%EV -5.10%E -0.927%K -1.13%G +0.000%1.51I 66.23%NM 61.82%EV -6.63%E -4.39%K -13.00%G +0.000%4.40I 22.73%NM 21.21%EV -7.99%E -1.82%K -2.35%G +0.000%7.1%2026-05-03 10:55
Unibet (UK)🎯5.50I 18.18%NM 16.90%EV -5.10%E -0.927%K -1.13%G +0.000%1.50I 66.67%NM 61.97%EV -7.25%E -4.83%K -14.50%G +0.000%4.40I 22.73%NM 21.13%EV -7.99%E -1.82%K -2.35%G +0.000%7.6%2026-05-03 10:54
SportsBet🎯5.50I 18.18%NM 16.84%EV -5.10%E -0.927%K -1.13%G +0.000%1.50I 66.67%NM 61.76%EV -7.25%E -4.83%K -14.50%G +0.000%4.33I 23.09%NM 21.40%EV -9.45%E -2.18%K -2.84%G +0.000%7.9%2026-05-03 10:45
Paddy Power🎯5.50I 18.18%NM 16.84%EV -5.10%E -0.927%K -1.13%G +0.000%1.50I 66.67%NM 61.76%EV -7.25%E -4.83%K -14.50%G +0.000%4.33I 23.09%NM 21.40%EV -9.45%E -2.18%K -2.84%G +0.000%7.9%2026-05-03 10:50
Marathon Bet🎯5.45I 18.35%NM 17.11%EV -5.96%E -1.09%K -1.34%G +0.000%1.50I 66.67%NM 62.17%EV -7.25%E -4.83%K -14.50%G +0.000%4.50I 22.22%NM 20.72%EV -5.90%E -1.31%K -1.69%G +0.000%7.2%2026-05-03 10:54
BetUS🎯5.45I 18.35%NM 16.96%EV -5.96%E -1.09%K -1.34%G +0.000%1.49I 67.11%NM 62.03%EV -7.87%E -5.28%K -16.06%G +0.000%4.40I 22.73%NM 21.01%EV -7.99%E -1.82%K -2.35%G +0.000%8.2%2026-05-03 10:55
NordicBet🎯5.40I 18.52%NM 17.34%EV -6.82%E -1.26%K -1.55%G +0.000%1.52I 65.79%NM 61.61%EV -6.01%E -3.96%K -11.56%G +0.000%4.45I 22.47%NM 21.05%EV -6.95%E -1.56%K -2.01%G +0.000%6.8%2026-05-03 10:55
Betsson🎯5.40I 18.52%NM 17.34%EV -6.82%E -1.26%K -1.55%G +0.000%1.52I 65.79%NM 61.61%EV -6.01%E -3.96%K -11.56%G +0.000%4.45I 22.47%NM 21.05%EV -6.95%E -1.56%K -2.01%G +0.000%6.8%2026-05-03 10:50
Bovada🎯5.35I 18.69%NM 17.32%EV -7.68%E -1.44%K -1.77%G +0.000%1.51I 66.23%NM 61.37%EV -6.63%E -4.39%K -13.00%G +0.000%4.35I 22.99%NM 21.30%EV -9.04%E -2.08%K -2.70%G +0.000%7.9%2026-05-03 10:49
Betway🎯5.25I 19.05%NM 17.86%EV -9.41%E -1.79%K -2.21%G +0.000%1.53I 65.36%NM 61.30%EV -5.39%E -3.53%K -10.18%G +0.000%4.50I 22.22%NM 20.84%EV -5.90%E -1.31%K -1.69%G +0.000%6.6%2026-05-03 10:55
PlayUp🎯5.25I 19.05%NM 17.56%EV -9.41%E -1.79%K -2.21%G +0.000%1.50I 66.67%NM 61.48%EV -7.25%E -4.83%K -14.50%G +0.000%4.40I 22.73%NM 20.96%EV -7.99%E -1.82%K -2.35%G +0.000%8.4%2026-05-03 10:55
ATG (SE)🎯5.00I 20.00%NM 19.01%EV -13.72%E -2.74%K -3.43%G +0.000%1.60I 62.50%NM 59.40%EV -1.07%E -0.666%K -1.78%G +0.000%4.40I 22.73%NM 21.60%EV -7.99%E -1.82%K -2.35%G +0.000%5.2%2026-05-03 10:15
Svenska Spel🎯5.00I 20.00%NM 19.01%EV -13.72%E -2.74%K -3.43%G +0.000%1.60I 62.50%NM 59.40%EV -1.07%E -0.666%K -1.78%G +0.000%4.40I 22.73%NM 21.60%EV -7.99%E -1.82%K -2.35%G +0.000%5.2%2026-05-03 10:15
Coral🎯5.00I 20.00%NM 18.88%EV -13.72%E -2.74%K -3.43%G +0.000%1.57I 63.69%NM 60.14%EV -2.92%E -1.86%K -5.13%G +0.000%4.50I 22.22%NM 20.98%EV -5.90%E -1.31%K -1.69%G +0.000%5.9%2026-05-03 10:55
Ladbrokes (UK)🎯5.00I 20.00%NM 18.88%EV -13.72%E -2.74%K -3.43%G +0.000%1.57I 63.69%NM 60.14%EV -2.92%E -1.86%K -5.13%G +0.000%4.50I 22.22%NM 20.98%EV -5.90%E -1.31%K -1.69%G +0.000%5.9%2026-05-03 10:55
Fanatics🎯5.00I 20.00%NM 18.81%EV -13.72%E -2.74%K -3.43%G +0.000%1.56I 64.10%NM 60.29%EV -3.54%E -2.27%K -6.32%G +0.000%4.50I 22.22%NM 20.90%EV -5.90%E -1.31%K -1.69%G +0.000%6.3%2026-05-03 10:55
Ladbrokes (AU)🎯5.00I 20.00%NM 18.79%EV -13.72%E -2.74%K -3.43%G +0.000%1.57I 63.69%NM 59.85%EV -2.92%E -1.86%K -5.13%G +0.000%4.40I 22.73%NM 21.36%EV -7.99%E -1.82%K -2.35%G +0.000%6.4%2026-05-03 10:45
Neds🎯5.00I 20.00%NM 18.79%EV -13.72%E -2.74%K -3.43%G +0.000%1.57I 63.69%NM 59.85%EV -2.92%E -1.86%K -5.13%G +0.000%4.40I 22.73%NM 21.36%EV -7.99%E -1.82%K -2.35%G +0.000%6.4%2026-05-03 10:45
Unibet🎯5.00I 20.00%NM 18.75%EV -13.72%E -2.74%K -3.43%G +0.000%1.57I 63.69%NM 59.70%EV -2.92%E -1.86%K -5.13%G +0.000%4.35I 22.99%NM 21.55%EV -9.04%E -2.08%K -2.70%G +0.000%6.7%2026-05-03 10:41
Unibet (SE)🎯5.00I 20.00%NM 18.75%EV -13.72%E -2.74%K -3.43%G +0.000%1.57I 63.69%NM 59.70%EV -2.92%E -1.86%K -5.13%G +0.000%4.35I 22.99%NM 21.55%EV -9.04%E -2.08%K -2.70%G +0.000%6.7%2026-05-03 10:41
LeoVegas🎯5.00I 20.00%NM 18.75%EV -13.72%E -2.74%K -3.43%G +0.000%1.57I 63.69%NM 59.70%EV -2.92%E -1.86%K -5.13%G +0.000%4.35I 22.99%NM 21.55%EV -9.04%E -2.08%K -2.70%G +0.000%6.7%2026-05-03 10:40
Unibet (NL)🎯5.00I 20.00%NM 18.75%EV -13.72%E -2.74%K -3.43%G +0.000%1.57I 63.69%NM 59.70%EV -2.92%E -1.86%K -5.13%G +0.000%4.35I 22.99%NM 21.55%EV -9.04%E -2.08%K -2.70%G +0.000%6.7%2026-05-03 10:40
BetMGM🎯5.00I 20.00%NM 18.58%EV -13.72%E -2.74%K -3.43%G +0.000%1.54I 64.94%NM 60.31%EV -4.78%E -3.10%K -8.85%G +0.000%4.40I 22.73%NM 21.11%EV -7.99%E -1.82%K -2.35%G +0.000%7.7%2026-05-03 10:55
William Hill🎯5.00I 20.00%NM 18.50%EV -13.72%E -2.74%K -3.43%G +0.000%1.53I 65.36%NM 60.47%EV -5.39%E -3.53%K -10.18%G +0.000%4.40I 22.73%NM 21.03%EV -7.99%E -1.82%K -2.35%G +0.000%8.1%2026-05-03 10:55
888sport🎯5.00I 20.00%NM 18.44%EV -13.72%E -2.74%K -3.43%G +0.000%1.53I 65.36%NM 60.26%EV -5.39%E -3.53%K -10.18%G +0.000%4.33I 23.09%NM 21.29%EV -9.45%E -2.18%K -2.84%G +0.000%8.5%2026-05-03 10:55
888sport (SE)🎯5.00I 20.00%NM 18.44%EV -13.72%E -2.74%K -3.43%G +0.000%1.53I 65.36%NM 60.26%EV -5.39%E -3.53%K -10.18%G +0.000%4.33I 23.09%NM 21.29%EV -9.45%E -2.18%K -2.84%G +0.000%8.5%2026-05-03 10:55
Mr Green (SE)🎯5.00I 20.00%NM 18.44%EV -13.72%E -2.74%K -3.43%G +0.000%1.53I 65.36%NM 60.26%EV -5.39%E -3.53%K -10.18%G +0.000%4.33I 23.09%NM 21.29%EV -9.45%E -2.18%K -2.84%G +0.000%8.5%2026-05-03 10:55
Sky Bet🎯5.00I 20.00%NM 18.37%EV -13.72%E -2.74%K -3.43%G +0.000%1.50I 66.67%NM 61.22%EV -7.25%E -4.83%K -14.50%G +0.000%4.50I 22.22%NM 20.41%EV -5.90%E -1.31%K -1.69%G +0.000%8.9%2026-05-03 10:45
Unibet (FR)🎯5.00I 20.00%NM 17.81%EV -13.72%E -2.74%K -3.43%G +0.000%1.46I 68.49%NM 60.99%EV -9.72%E -6.66%K -21.14%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 21.20%EV -12.17%E -2.90%K -3.80%G +0.000%12.3%2026-05-03 10:50
BoyleSports🎯5.00I 20.00%NM 17.77%EV -13.72%E -2.74%K -3.43%G +0.000%1.44I 69.44%NM 61.71%EV -10.96%E -7.61%K -24.91%G +0.000%4.33I 23.09%NM 20.52%EV -9.45%E -2.18%K -2.84%G +0.000%12.5%2026-05-03 10:53
TABtouch🎯4.90I 20.41%NM 18.94%EV -15.45%E -3.15%K -3.96%G +0.000%1.56I 64.10%NM 59.48%EV -3.54%E -2.27%K -6.32%G +0.000%4.30I 23.26%NM 21.58%EV -10.08%E -2.34%K -3.06%G +0.000%7.8%2026-05-03 10:15
betPARX🎯4.90I 20.41%NM 18.94%EV -15.45%E -3.15%K -3.96%G +0.000%1.56I 64.10%NM 59.48%EV -3.54%E -2.27%K -6.32%G +0.000%4.30I 23.26%NM 21.58%EV -10.08%E -2.34%K -3.06%G +0.000%7.8%2026-05-03 10:15
Casumo🎯4.90I 20.41%NM 18.94%EV -15.45%E -3.15%K -3.96%G +0.000%1.56I 64.10%NM 59.48%EV -3.54%E -2.27%K -6.32%G +0.000%4.30I 23.26%NM 21.58%EV -10.08%E -2.34%K -3.06%G +0.000%7.8%2026-05-03 10:16
Grosvenor🎯4.90I 20.41%NM 18.94%EV -15.45%E -3.15%K -3.96%G +0.000%1.56I 64.10%NM 59.48%EV -3.54%E -2.27%K -6.32%G +0.000%4.30I 23.26%NM 21.58%EV -10.08%E -2.34%K -3.06%G +0.000%7.8%2026-05-03 10:16
BetRivers🎯4.90I 20.41%NM 18.89%EV -15.45%E -3.15%K -3.96%G +0.000%1.56I 64.10%NM 59.33%EV -3.54%E -2.27%K -6.32%G +0.000%4.25I 23.53%NM 21.78%EV -11.13%E -2.62%K -3.42%G +0.000%8.0%2026-05-03 10:40
LeoVegas (SE)🎯4.90I 20.41%NM 18.82%EV -15.45%E -3.15%K -3.96%G +0.000%1.55I 64.52%NM 59.49%EV -4.16%E -2.68%K -7.56%G +0.000%4.25I 23.53%NM 21.70%EV -11.13%E -2.62%K -3.42%G +0.000%8.5%2026-05-03 10:41
NetBet (FR)🎯4.90I 20.41%NM 17.65%EV -15.45%E -3.15%K -3.96%G +0.000%1.40I 71.43%NM 61.76%EV -13.43%E -9.60%K -33.58%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 20.59%EV -12.17%E -2.90%K -3.80%G +0.000%15.6%2026-05-03 10:55
PMU (FR)🎯4.80I 20.83%NM 18.94%EV -17.17%E -3.58%K -4.52%G +0.000%1.53I 65.36%NM 59.42%EV -5.39%E -3.53%K -10.18%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 21.64%EV -12.17%E -2.90%K -3.80%G +0.000%10.0%2026-05-03 10:15
Virgin Bet🎯4.80I 20.83%NM 18.94%EV -17.17%E -3.58%K -4.52%G +0.000%1.53I 65.36%NM 59.42%EV -5.39%E -3.53%K -10.18%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 21.64%EV -12.17%E -2.90%K -3.80%G +0.000%10.0%2026-05-03 10:15
LiveScore Bet🎯4.80I 20.83%NM 18.94%EV -17.17%E -3.58%K -4.52%G +0.000%1.53I 65.36%NM 59.42%EV -5.39%E -3.53%K -10.18%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 21.64%EV -12.17%E -2.90%K -3.80%G +0.000%10.0%2026-05-03 10:15
Marge = Marge · I = Probabilité implicite · NM = Probabilité sans marge · EV = Espérance mathématique · E = Avantage · K = Critère de Kelly · G = Croissance du capital de jeu

Mise à jour indique le dernier changement de prix de chaque opérateur. Une heure ancienne signifie donc seulement que la cote n’a pas bougé, et non qu’elle est périmée. Les opérateurs absents du flux depuis environ 15 minutes sont normalement écartés ; les derniers prix enregistrés ne sont conservés que si le flux de tout le marché devient silencieux.

Plateformes d’échange (6)

OpérateurLocalVisiteurMatch nulMarge ▲Mise à jour
Betfair Exchange (UK)6.20I 16.13%NM 16.02%1.57I 63.69%NM 63.28%4.80I 20.83%NM 20.70%0.7%2026-05-03 10:55
Betfair Exchange (AU)6.20I 16.13%NM 16.02%1.57I 63.69%NM 63.28%4.80I 20.83%NM 20.70%0.7%2026-05-03 10:55
Betfair Exchange (EU)6.20I 16.13%NM 16.02%1.57I 63.69%NM 63.28%4.80I 20.83%NM 20.70%0.7%2026-05-03 10:55
Kalshi6.25I 16.00%NM 15.85%1.54I 64.94%NM 64.33%5.00I 20.00%NM 19.81%0.9%2026-05-03 10:55
Smarkets6.20I 16.13%NM 15.96%1.56I 64.10%NM 63.43%4.80I 20.83%NM 20.61%1.1%2026-05-03 10:55
Matchbook6.20I 16.13%NM 15.96%1.56I 64.10%NM 63.43%4.80I 20.83%NM 20.61%1.1%2026-05-03 10:55