مدرسة الاحتمالات

Hibernian v Celtic

البداية: 2026-05-03 11:00 UTC

النتيجة النهائية: Hibernian 1–2 Celtic

أسعار الإغلاق — الاحتمالات والقيمة المتوقعة المحسوبة من آخر الأسعار المسجلة قبل البداية وفق النموذج المحدد. بدأت المباراة، لذا فهذه ليست أرقامًا مباشرة. قيّم موثوقية التنبؤات الاحتمالية لكل نموذج بمقارنتها بنتائج جميع المباريات المحسومة →

نتيجة المباراة

52 شركة مراهنات (16 في التحليل )

الاحتمال المقدّر لكل نتيجة وفق النموذج: IQM

Hibernian (المضيف)

التنبؤ 17.26%5.80السعر العادل
EV +12.16%
الأفضلية +1.87%
Kelly +2.21%
النمو +0.269%

بافتراض سعر أقصى قدره 6.50

توزيع تنبؤات شركات المراهنات
14.44%17.30%17.21%19.01%MINالمتوسطالوسيطMAX
توزيع الأسعار
4.805.225.006.5020.83%19.15%20.00%15.38%MINالمتوسطالوسيطMAX

Celtic (الضيف)

التنبؤ 61.83%1.62السعر العادل
EV -1.07%
الأفضلية -0.666%
Kelly -1.78%
النمو +0.000%

بافتراض سعر أقصى قدره 1.60

توزيع تنبؤات شركات المراهنات
59.33%61.78%61.91%64.71%MINالمتوسطالوسيطMAX
توزيع الأسعار
1.401.531.531.6071.43%65.50%65.36%62.50%MINالمتوسطالوسيطMAX

تعادل

التنبؤ 20.91%4.78السعر العادل
EV +1.84%
الأفضلية +0.377%
Kelly +0.475%
النمو +0.009%

بافتراض سعر أقصى قدره 4.87

توزيع تنبؤات شركات المراهنات
19.66%20.92%20.88%21.78%MINالمتوسطالوسيطMAX
توزيع الأسعار
4.204.404.404.8723.81%22.72%22.73%20.53%MINالمتوسطالوسيطMAX

أسعار شركات المراهنات (52 شركة مراهنات)

لسنا تابعين لأي شركة مراهنات، ولا نحقق أي عائد من الرهانات أو المعاملات التي تُجرى لديها.

شركة المراهناتالمضيف ▼الضيفتعادلالهامشآخر تحديث
PointsBet (AU)6.50I 15.38%NM 14.44%EV +12.16%E +1.87%K +2.21%G +0.269%1.45I 68.97%NM 64.71%EV -10.34%E -7.13%K -22.98%G +0.000%4.50I 22.22%NM 20.85%EV -5.90%E -1.31%K -1.69%G +0.000%6.6%2026-05-03 10:55
Pinnacle5.87I 17.04%NM 16.43%EV +1.29%E +0.219%K +0.265%G +0.003%1.53I 65.36%NM 63.02%EV -5.39%E -3.53%K -10.18%G +0.000%4.69I 21.32%NM 20.56%EV -1.93%E -0.411%K -0.522%G +0.000%3.7%2026-05-03 10:55
Bet Victor5.75I 17.39%NM 16.36%EV -0.782%E -0.136%K -0.165%G +0.000%1.50I 66.67%NM 62.73%EV -7.25%E -4.83%K -14.50%G +0.000%4.50I 22.22%NM 20.91%EV -5.90%E -1.31%K -1.69%G +0.000%6.3%2026-05-03 10:56
Everygame5.75I 17.39%NM 16.36%EV -0.782%E -0.136%K -0.165%G +0.000%1.50I 66.67%NM 62.73%EV -7.25%E -4.83%K -14.50%G +0.000%4.50I 22.22%NM 20.91%EV -5.90%E -1.31%K -1.69%G +0.000%6.3%2026-05-03 10:55
1xBet5.66I 17.67%NM 16.92%EV -2.34%E -0.413%K -0.501%G +0.000%1.51I 66.23%NM 63.42%EV -6.63%E -4.39%K -13.00%G +0.000%4.87I 20.53%NM 19.66%EV +1.84%E +0.377%K +0.475%G +0.009%4.4%2026-05-03 10:55
FanDuel5.60I 17.86%NM 16.72%EV -3.37%E -0.602%K -0.733%G +0.000%1.51I 66.23%NM 62.00%EV -6.63%E -4.39%K -13.00%G +0.000%4.40I 22.73%NM 21.28%EV -7.99%E -1.82%K -2.35%G +0.000%6.8%2026-05-03 10:50
LowVig.ag5.60I 17.86%NM 16.65%EV -3.37%E -0.602%K -0.733%G +0.000%1.50I 66.67%NM 62.16%EV -7.25%E -4.83%K -14.50%G +0.000%4.40I 22.73%NM 21.19%EV -7.99%E -1.82%K -2.35%G +0.000%7.3%2026-05-03 10:54
BetOnline.ag5.60I 17.86%NM 16.65%EV -3.37%E -0.602%K -0.733%G +0.000%1.50I 66.67%NM 62.16%EV -7.25%E -4.83%K -14.50%G +0.000%4.40I 22.73%NM 21.19%EV -7.99%E -1.82%K -2.35%G +0.000%7.3%2026-05-03 10:55
Coolbet5.50I 18.18%NM 17.38%EV -5.10%E -0.927%K -1.13%G +0.000%1.53I 65.36%NM 62.49%EV -5.39%E -3.53%K -10.18%G +0.000%4.75I 21.05%NM 20.13%EV -0.672%E -0.141%K -0.179%G +0.000%4.6%2026-05-03 10:55
betfred_uk5.50I 18.18%NM 17.19%EV -5.10%E -0.927%K -1.13%G +0.000%1.53I 65.36%NM 61.80%EV -5.39%E -3.53%K -10.18%G +0.000%4.50I 22.22%NM 21.01%EV -5.90%E -1.31%K -1.69%G +0.000%5.8%2026-05-03 10:55
DraftKings5.50I 18.18%NM 17.13%EV -5.10%E -0.927%K -1.13%G +0.000%1.51I 66.23%NM 62.39%EV -6.63%E -4.39%K -13.00%G +0.000%4.60I 21.74%NM 20.48%EV -3.81%E -0.828%K -1.06%G +0.000%6.1%2026-05-03 10:55
Betr (AU)5.50I 18.18%NM 17.04%EV -5.10%E -0.927%K -1.13%G +0.000%1.52I 65.79%NM 61.66%EV -6.01%E -3.96%K -11.56%G +0.000%4.40I 22.73%NM 21.30%EV -7.99%E -1.82%K -2.35%G +0.000%6.7%2026-05-03 10:55
Bet Right5.50I 18.18%NM 16.97%EV -5.10%E -0.927%K -1.13%G +0.000%1.51I 66.23%NM 61.82%EV -6.63%E -4.39%K -13.00%G +0.000%4.40I 22.73%NM 21.21%EV -7.99%E -1.82%K -2.35%G +0.000%7.1%2026-05-03 10:55
Unibet (UK)5.50I 18.18%NM 16.90%EV -5.10%E -0.927%K -1.13%G +0.000%1.50I 66.67%NM 61.97%EV -7.25%E -4.83%K -14.50%G +0.000%4.40I 22.73%NM 21.13%EV -7.99%E -1.82%K -2.35%G +0.000%7.6%2026-05-03 10:54
SportsBet5.50I 18.18%NM 16.84%EV -5.10%E -0.927%K -1.13%G +0.000%1.50I 66.67%NM 61.76%EV -7.25%E -4.83%K -14.50%G +0.000%4.33I 23.09%NM 21.40%EV -9.45%E -2.18%K -2.84%G +0.000%7.9%2026-05-03 10:45
Paddy Power5.50I 18.18%NM 16.84%EV -5.10%E -0.927%K -1.13%G +0.000%1.50I 66.67%NM 61.76%EV -7.25%E -4.83%K -14.50%G +0.000%4.33I 23.09%NM 21.40%EV -9.45%E -2.18%K -2.84%G +0.000%7.9%2026-05-03 10:50
Marathon Bet5.45I 18.35%NM 17.11%EV -5.96%E -1.09%K -1.34%G +0.000%1.50I 66.67%NM 62.17%EV -7.25%E -4.83%K -14.50%G +0.000%4.50I 22.22%NM 20.72%EV -5.90%E -1.31%K -1.69%G +0.000%7.2%2026-05-03 10:54
BetUS5.45I 18.35%NM 16.96%EV -5.96%E -1.09%K -1.34%G +0.000%1.49I 67.11%NM 62.03%EV -7.87%E -5.28%K -16.06%G +0.000%4.40I 22.73%NM 21.01%EV -7.99%E -1.82%K -2.35%G +0.000%8.2%2026-05-03 10:55
NordicBet5.40I 18.52%NM 17.34%EV -6.82%E -1.26%K -1.55%G +0.000%1.52I 65.79%NM 61.61%EV -6.01%E -3.96%K -11.56%G +0.000%4.45I 22.47%NM 21.05%EV -6.95%E -1.56%K -2.01%G +0.000%6.8%2026-05-03 10:55
Betsson5.40I 18.52%NM 17.34%EV -6.82%E -1.26%K -1.55%G +0.000%1.52I 65.79%NM 61.61%EV -6.01%E -3.96%K -11.56%G +0.000%4.45I 22.47%NM 21.05%EV -6.95%E -1.56%K -2.01%G +0.000%6.8%2026-05-03 10:50
Bovada5.35I 18.69%NM 17.32%EV -7.68%E -1.44%K -1.77%G +0.000%1.51I 66.23%NM 61.37%EV -6.63%E -4.39%K -13.00%G +0.000%4.35I 22.99%NM 21.30%EV -9.04%E -2.08%K -2.70%G +0.000%7.9%2026-05-03 10:49
Betway5.25I 19.05%NM 17.86%EV -9.41%E -1.79%K -2.21%G +0.000%1.53I 65.36%NM 61.30%EV -5.39%E -3.53%K -10.18%G +0.000%4.50I 22.22%NM 20.84%EV -5.90%E -1.31%K -1.69%G +0.000%6.6%2026-05-03 10:55
PlayUp5.25I 19.05%NM 17.56%EV -9.41%E -1.79%K -2.21%G +0.000%1.50I 66.67%NM 61.48%EV -7.25%E -4.83%K -14.50%G +0.000%4.40I 22.73%NM 20.96%EV -7.99%E -1.82%K -2.35%G +0.000%8.4%2026-05-03 10:55
ATG (SE)5.00I 20.00%NM 19.01%EV -13.72%E -2.74%K -3.43%G +0.000%1.60I 62.50%NM 59.40%EV -1.07%E -0.666%K -1.78%G +0.000%4.40I 22.73%NM 21.60%EV -7.99%E -1.82%K -2.35%G +0.000%5.2%2026-05-03 10:15
Svenska Spel5.00I 20.00%NM 19.01%EV -13.72%E -2.74%K -3.43%G +0.000%1.60I 62.50%NM 59.40%EV -1.07%E -0.666%K -1.78%G +0.000%4.40I 22.73%NM 21.60%EV -7.99%E -1.82%K -2.35%G +0.000%5.2%2026-05-03 10:15
Coral5.00I 20.00%NM 18.88%EV -13.72%E -2.74%K -3.43%G +0.000%1.57I 63.69%NM 60.14%EV -2.92%E -1.86%K -5.13%G +0.000%4.50I 22.22%NM 20.98%EV -5.90%E -1.31%K -1.69%G +0.000%5.9%2026-05-03 10:55
Ladbrokes (UK)5.00I 20.00%NM 18.88%EV -13.72%E -2.74%K -3.43%G +0.000%1.57I 63.69%NM 60.14%EV -2.92%E -1.86%K -5.13%G +0.000%4.50I 22.22%NM 20.98%EV -5.90%E -1.31%K -1.69%G +0.000%5.9%2026-05-03 10:55
Fanatics5.00I 20.00%NM 18.81%EV -13.72%E -2.74%K -3.43%G +0.000%1.56I 64.10%NM 60.29%EV -3.54%E -2.27%K -6.32%G +0.000%4.50I 22.22%NM 20.90%EV -5.90%E -1.31%K -1.69%G +0.000%6.3%2026-05-03 10:55
Ladbrokes (AU)5.00I 20.00%NM 18.79%EV -13.72%E -2.74%K -3.43%G +0.000%1.57I 63.69%NM 59.85%EV -2.92%E -1.86%K -5.13%G +0.000%4.40I 22.73%NM 21.36%EV -7.99%E -1.82%K -2.35%G +0.000%6.4%2026-05-03 10:45
Neds5.00I 20.00%NM 18.79%EV -13.72%E -2.74%K -3.43%G +0.000%1.57I 63.69%NM 59.85%EV -2.92%E -1.86%K -5.13%G +0.000%4.40I 22.73%NM 21.36%EV -7.99%E -1.82%K -2.35%G +0.000%6.4%2026-05-03 10:45
Unibet5.00I 20.00%NM 18.75%EV -13.72%E -2.74%K -3.43%G +0.000%1.57I 63.69%NM 59.70%EV -2.92%E -1.86%K -5.13%G +0.000%4.35I 22.99%NM 21.55%EV -9.04%E -2.08%K -2.70%G +0.000%6.7%2026-05-03 10:41
Unibet (SE)5.00I 20.00%NM 18.75%EV -13.72%E -2.74%K -3.43%G +0.000%1.57I 63.69%NM 59.70%EV -2.92%E -1.86%K -5.13%G +0.000%4.35I 22.99%NM 21.55%EV -9.04%E -2.08%K -2.70%G +0.000%6.7%2026-05-03 10:41
LeoVegas5.00I 20.00%NM 18.75%EV -13.72%E -2.74%K -3.43%G +0.000%1.57I 63.69%NM 59.70%EV -2.92%E -1.86%K -5.13%G +0.000%4.35I 22.99%NM 21.55%EV -9.04%E -2.08%K -2.70%G +0.000%6.7%2026-05-03 10:40
Unibet (NL)5.00I 20.00%NM 18.75%EV -13.72%E -2.74%K -3.43%G +0.000%1.57I 63.69%NM 59.70%EV -2.92%E -1.86%K -5.13%G +0.000%4.35I 22.99%NM 21.55%EV -9.04%E -2.08%K -2.70%G +0.000%6.7%2026-05-03 10:40
BetMGM5.00I 20.00%NM 18.58%EV -13.72%E -2.74%K -3.43%G +0.000%1.54I 64.94%NM 60.31%EV -4.78%E -3.10%K -8.85%G +0.000%4.40I 22.73%NM 21.11%EV -7.99%E -1.82%K -2.35%G +0.000%7.7%2026-05-03 10:55
William Hill5.00I 20.00%NM 18.50%EV -13.72%E -2.74%K -3.43%G +0.000%1.53I 65.36%NM 60.47%EV -5.39%E -3.53%K -10.18%G +0.000%4.40I 22.73%NM 21.03%EV -7.99%E -1.82%K -2.35%G +0.000%8.1%2026-05-03 10:55
888sport5.00I 20.00%NM 18.44%EV -13.72%E -2.74%K -3.43%G +0.000%1.53I 65.36%NM 60.26%EV -5.39%E -3.53%K -10.18%G +0.000%4.33I 23.09%NM 21.29%EV -9.45%E -2.18%K -2.84%G +0.000%8.5%2026-05-03 10:55
888sport (SE)5.00I 20.00%NM 18.44%EV -13.72%E -2.74%K -3.43%G +0.000%1.53I 65.36%NM 60.26%EV -5.39%E -3.53%K -10.18%G +0.000%4.33I 23.09%NM 21.29%EV -9.45%E -2.18%K -2.84%G +0.000%8.5%2026-05-03 10:55
Mr Green (SE)5.00I 20.00%NM 18.44%EV -13.72%E -2.74%K -3.43%G +0.000%1.53I 65.36%NM 60.26%EV -5.39%E -3.53%K -10.18%G +0.000%4.33I 23.09%NM 21.29%EV -9.45%E -2.18%K -2.84%G +0.000%8.5%2026-05-03 10:55
Sky Bet5.00I 20.00%NM 18.37%EV -13.72%E -2.74%K -3.43%G +0.000%1.50I 66.67%NM 61.22%EV -7.25%E -4.83%K -14.50%G +0.000%4.50I 22.22%NM 20.41%EV -5.90%E -1.31%K -1.69%G +0.000%8.9%2026-05-03 10:45
Unibet (FR)5.00I 20.00%NM 17.81%EV -13.72%E -2.74%K -3.43%G +0.000%1.46I 68.49%NM 60.99%EV -9.72%E -6.66%K -21.14%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 21.20%EV -12.17%E -2.90%K -3.80%G +0.000%12.3%2026-05-03 10:50
BoyleSports5.00I 20.00%NM 17.77%EV -13.72%E -2.74%K -3.43%G +0.000%1.44I 69.44%NM 61.71%EV -10.96%E -7.61%K -24.91%G +0.000%4.33I 23.09%NM 20.52%EV -9.45%E -2.18%K -2.84%G +0.000%12.5%2026-05-03 10:53
TABtouch4.90I 20.41%NM 18.94%EV -15.45%E -3.15%K -3.96%G +0.000%1.56I 64.10%NM 59.48%EV -3.54%E -2.27%K -6.32%G +0.000%4.30I 23.26%NM 21.58%EV -10.08%E -2.34%K -3.06%G +0.000%7.8%2026-05-03 10:15
betPARX4.90I 20.41%NM 18.94%EV -15.45%E -3.15%K -3.96%G +0.000%1.56I 64.10%NM 59.48%EV -3.54%E -2.27%K -6.32%G +0.000%4.30I 23.26%NM 21.58%EV -10.08%E -2.34%K -3.06%G +0.000%7.8%2026-05-03 10:15
Casumo4.90I 20.41%NM 18.94%EV -15.45%E -3.15%K -3.96%G +0.000%1.56I 64.10%NM 59.48%EV -3.54%E -2.27%K -6.32%G +0.000%4.30I 23.26%NM 21.58%EV -10.08%E -2.34%K -3.06%G +0.000%7.8%2026-05-03 10:16
Grosvenor4.90I 20.41%NM 18.94%EV -15.45%E -3.15%K -3.96%G +0.000%1.56I 64.10%NM 59.48%EV -3.54%E -2.27%K -6.32%G +0.000%4.30I 23.26%NM 21.58%EV -10.08%E -2.34%K -3.06%G +0.000%7.8%2026-05-03 10:16
BetRivers4.90I 20.41%NM 18.89%EV -15.45%E -3.15%K -3.96%G +0.000%1.56I 64.10%NM 59.33%EV -3.54%E -2.27%K -6.32%G +0.000%4.25I 23.53%NM 21.78%EV -11.13%E -2.62%K -3.42%G +0.000%8.0%2026-05-03 10:40
LeoVegas (SE)4.90I 20.41%NM 18.82%EV -15.45%E -3.15%K -3.96%G +0.000%1.55I 64.52%NM 59.49%EV -4.16%E -2.68%K -7.56%G +0.000%4.25I 23.53%NM 21.70%EV -11.13%E -2.62%K -3.42%G +0.000%8.5%2026-05-03 10:41
NetBet (FR)4.90I 20.41%NM 17.65%EV -15.45%E -3.15%K -3.96%G +0.000%1.40I 71.43%NM 61.76%EV -13.43%E -9.60%K -33.58%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 20.59%EV -12.17%E -2.90%K -3.80%G +0.000%15.6%2026-05-03 10:55
PMU (FR)4.80I 20.83%NM 18.94%EV -17.17%E -3.58%K -4.52%G +0.000%1.53I 65.36%NM 59.42%EV -5.39%E -3.53%K -10.18%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 21.64%EV -12.17%E -2.90%K -3.80%G +0.000%10.0%2026-05-03 10:15
Virgin Bet4.80I 20.83%NM 18.94%EV -17.17%E -3.58%K -4.52%G +0.000%1.53I 65.36%NM 59.42%EV -5.39%E -3.53%K -10.18%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 21.64%EV -12.17%E -2.90%K -3.80%G +0.000%10.0%2026-05-03 10:15
LiveScore Bet4.80I 20.83%NM 18.94%EV -17.17%E -3.58%K -4.52%G +0.000%1.53I 65.36%NM 59.42%EV -5.39%E -3.53%K -10.18%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 21.64%EV -12.17%E -2.90%K -3.80%G +0.000%10.0%2026-05-03 10:15
الهامش = الهامش · I = الاحتمال الضمني · NM = الاحتمال بلا هامش · EV = القيمة المتوقعة · E = الأفضلية · K = معيار Kelly · G = نمو رأس مال المراهنات

آخر تحديث هو وقت آخر تغيير أجرته كل شركة على سعرها؛ فالوقت الأقدم يعني أن السعر لم يتحرك فحسب، لا أنه متقادم. تُستبعد عادة الشركات التي لم تصل عنها بيانات خلال نحو 15 دقيقة؛ ولا تُعرض آخر الأسعار المسجلة بدلًا من ذلك إلا إذا انقطع تدفق بيانات السوق كله.

بورصات المراهنات (6)

شركة المراهناتالمضيفالضيفتعادلالهامش ▲آخر تحديث
Betfair Exchange (UK)6.20I 16.13%NM 16.02%1.57I 63.69%NM 63.28%4.80I 20.83%NM 20.70%0.7%2026-05-03 10:55
Betfair Exchange (AU)6.20I 16.13%NM 16.02%1.57I 63.69%NM 63.28%4.80I 20.83%NM 20.70%0.7%2026-05-03 10:55
Betfair Exchange (EU)6.20I 16.13%NM 16.02%1.57I 63.69%NM 63.28%4.80I 20.83%NM 20.70%0.7%2026-05-03 10:55
Kalshi6.25I 16.00%NM 15.85%1.54I 64.94%NM 64.33%5.00I 20.00%NM 19.81%0.9%2026-05-03 10:55
Smarkets6.20I 16.13%NM 15.96%1.56I 64.10%NM 63.43%4.80I 20.83%NM 20.61%1.1%2026-05-03 10:55
Matchbook6.20I 16.13%NM 15.96%1.56I 64.10%NM 63.43%4.80I 20.83%NM 20.61%1.1%2026-05-03 10:55