Language:English
Falkirk F.C. v Motherwell
Closing line — the calculated probabilities and expected value from the last prices recorded before kickoff, under your selected model. The game has started, so these are not live figures. Assess the reliability of each model's probability predictions against all settled-game outcomes →
Head to Head
Falkirk F.C. (Local)
Prediction 32.73%3.06fair odd
EV -0.831%
Edge -0.274%
Kelly -0.409%
Growth +0.000%
assuming max odds 3.03
Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
31.74%32.85%32.57%34.26%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
2.652.812.803.0337.74%35.55%35.71%33.00%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Motherwell (Visit)
Prediction 40.06%2.50fair odd
EV -0.661%
Edge -0.266%
Kelly -0.447%
Growth +0.000%
assuming max odds 2.48
Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
37.93%39.97%40.10%40.87%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
2.172.362.382.4846.08%42.41%42.02%40.32%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Draw
Prediction 27.21%3.67fair odd
EV -2.03%
Edge -0.563%
Kelly -0.780%
Growth +0.000%
assuming max odds 3.60
Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
25.97%27.18%27.33%28.10%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
3.153.423.403.6031.75%29.25%29.41%27.78%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
At the last prices before kickoff, Interquartile mean (Vetted List) estimated these probabilities for Head to Head: Falkirk F.C. (Local): 32.73%; Motherwell (Visit): 40.06%; Draw: 27.21%. For Motherwell (Visit), that estimate was equivalent to fair decimal odds of 2.50. No eligible bookmaker offered closing odds above that level: the best were 2.48, with an expected value of -0.661%; they did not produce positive expected value.
Sportsbook Odds (52 sportsbooks)
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| Bookmaker | Local ▼ | Visit | Draw | Margin | Updated |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Pinnacle🎯 | 3.03I 33.00%NM 31.94%EV -0.831%E -0.274%K -0.409%G +0.000% | 2.39I 41.84%NM 40.49%EV -4.27%E -1.78%K -3.07%G +0.000% | 3.51I 28.49%NM 27.57%EV -4.48%E -1.28%K -1.78%G +0.000% | 3.3% | 2026-05-02 13:50 |
| 1xBet🎯 | 2.92I 34.25%NM 32.87%EV -4.43%E -1.52%K -2.31%G +0.000% | 2.39I 41.84%NM 40.16%EV -4.27%E -1.78%K -3.07%G +0.000% | 3.56I 28.09%NM 26.96%EV -3.12%E -0.875%K -1.22%G +0.000% | 4.2% | 2026-05-02 13:50 |
| Marathon Bet🎯 | 2.91I 34.36%NM 32.04%EV -4.76%E -1.64%K -2.49%G +0.000% | 2.31I 43.29%NM 40.37%EV -7.47%E -3.23%K -5.70%G +0.000% | 3.38I 29.59%NM 27.59%EV -8.01%E -2.37%K -3.37%G +0.000% | 7.2% | 2026-05-02 13:55 |
| DraftKings🎯 | 2.90I 34.48%NM 32.65%EV -5.09%E -1.75%K -2.68%G +0.000% | 2.35I 42.55%NM 40.29%EV -5.87%E -2.50%K -4.35%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 27.05%EV -4.75%E -1.36%K -1.90%G +0.000% | 5.6% | 2026-05-02 13:55 |
| FanDuel🎯 | 2.90I 34.48%NM 32.11%EV -5.09%E -1.75%K -2.68%G +0.000% | 2.30I 43.48%NM 40.49%EV -7.87%E -3.42%K -6.05%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 27.39%EV -7.47%E -2.20%K -3.11%G +0.000% | 7.4% | 2026-05-02 13:50 |
| Everygame🎯 | 2.90I 34.48%NM 32.11%EV -5.09%E -1.75%K -2.68%G +0.000% | 2.30I 43.48%NM 40.49%EV -7.87%E -3.42%K -6.05%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 27.39%EV -7.47%E -2.20%K -3.11%G +0.000% | 7.4% | 2026-05-02 13:45 |
| 888sport🎯 | 2.90I 34.48%NM 31.85%EV -5.09%E -1.75%K -2.68%G +0.000% | 2.30I 43.48%NM 40.16%EV -7.87%E -3.42%K -6.05%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 27.99%EV -10.19%E -3.09%K -4.43%G +0.000% | 8.3% | 2026-05-02 13:50 |
| William Hill🎯 | 2.90I 34.48%NM 31.85%EV -5.09%E -1.75%K -2.68%G +0.000% | 2.30I 43.48%NM 40.16%EV -7.87%E -3.42%K -6.05%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 27.99%EV -10.19%E -3.09%K -4.43%G +0.000% | 8.3% | 2026-05-02 13:50 |
| 888sport (SE)🎯 | 2.90I 34.48%NM 31.85%EV -5.09%E -1.75%K -2.68%G +0.000% | 2.30I 43.48%NM 40.16%EV -7.87%E -3.42%K -6.05%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 27.99%EV -10.19%E -3.09%K -4.43%G +0.000% | 8.3% | 2026-05-02 13:50 |
| Mr Green (SE)🎯 | 2.90I 34.48%NM 31.85%EV -5.09%E -1.75%K -2.68%G +0.000% | 2.30I 43.48%NM 40.16%EV -7.87%E -3.42%K -6.05%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 27.99%EV -10.19%E -3.09%K -4.43%G +0.000% | 8.3% | 2026-05-02 13:51 |
| BetUS🎯 | 2.90I 34.48%NM 31.74%EV -5.09%E -1.75%K -2.68%G +0.000% | 2.28I 43.86%NM 40.37%EV -8.67%E -3.80%K -6.78%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 27.89%EV -10.19%E -3.09%K -4.43%G +0.000% | 8.6% | 2026-05-02 13:55 |
| Bovada🎯 | 2.90I 34.48%NM 31.74%EV -5.09%E -1.75%K -2.68%G +0.000% | 2.28I 43.86%NM 40.37%EV -8.67%E -3.80%K -6.78%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 27.89%EV -10.19%E -3.09%K -4.43%G +0.000% | 8.6% | 2026-05-02 13:53 |
| LowVig.ag🎯 | 2.88I 34.72%NM 32.68%EV -5.74%E -1.99%K -3.05%G +0.000% | 2.40I 41.67%NM 39.22%EV -3.87%E -1.61%K -2.76%G +0.000% | 3.35I 29.85%NM 28.10%EV -8.83%E -2.64%K -3.76%G +0.000% | 6.2% | 2026-05-02 13:55 |
| NordicBet🎯 | 2.88I 34.72%NM 32.58%EV -5.74%E -1.99%K -3.05%G +0.000% | 2.38I 42.02%NM 39.42%EV -4.67%E -1.96%K -3.38%G +0.000% | 3.35I 29.85%NM 28.01%EV -8.83%E -2.64%K -3.76%G +0.000% | 6.6% | 2026-05-02 13:55 |
| Betsson🎯 | 2.88I 34.72%NM 32.58%EV -5.74%E -1.99%K -3.05%G +0.000% | 2.38I 42.02%NM 39.42%EV -4.67%E -1.96%K -3.38%G +0.000% | 3.35I 29.85%NM 28.01%EV -8.83%E -2.64%K -3.76%G +0.000% | 6.6% | 2026-05-02 13:55 |
| Bet Victor🎯 | 2.88I 34.72%NM 32.52%EV -5.74%E -1.99%K -3.05%G +0.000% | 2.30I 43.48%NM 40.72%EV -7.87%E -3.42%K -6.05%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 26.76%EV -4.75%E -1.36%K -1.90%G +0.000% | 6.8% | 2026-05-02 13:50 |
| Paddy Power🎯 | 2.88I 34.72%NM 32.27%EV -5.74%E -1.99%K -3.05%G +0.000% | 2.30I 43.48%NM 40.40%EV -7.87%E -3.42%K -6.05%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 27.33%EV -7.47%E -2.20%K -3.11%G +0.000% | 7.6% | 2026-05-02 13:50 |
| SportsBet🎯 | 2.87I 34.84%NM 32.34%EV -6.07%E -2.11%K -3.24%G +0.000% | 2.30I 43.48%NM 40.36%EV -7.87%E -3.42%K -6.05%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 27.30%EV -7.47%E -2.20%K -3.11%G +0.000% | 7.7% | 2026-05-02 13:51 |
| Coolbet🎯 | 2.85I 35.09%NM 33.28%EV -6.72%E -2.36%K -3.63%G +0.000% | 2.35I 42.55%NM 40.37%EV -5.87%E -2.50%K -4.35%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 26.35%EV -2.03%E -0.563%K -0.780%G +0.000% | 5.4% | 2026-05-02 13:51 |
| PlayUp🎯 | 2.85I 35.09%NM 32.51%EV -6.72%E -2.36%K -3.63%G +0.000% | 2.35I 42.55%NM 39.42%EV -5.87%E -2.50%K -4.35%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 28.07%EV -10.19%E -3.09%K -4.43%G +0.000% | 7.9% | 2026-05-02 13:55 |
| Fanatics🎯 | 2.85I 35.09%NM 32.23%EV -6.72%E -2.36%K -3.63%G +0.000% | 2.30I 43.48%NM 39.94%EV -7.87%E -3.42%K -6.05%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 27.83%EV -10.19%E -3.09%K -4.43%G +0.000% | 8.9% | 2026-05-02 13:45 |
| BetOnline.ag🎯 | 2.84I 35.21%NM 33.13%EV -7.05%E -2.48%K -3.83%G +0.000% | 2.40I 41.67%NM 39.20%EV -3.87%E -1.61%K -2.76%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 27.67%EV -7.47%E -2.20%K -3.11%G +0.000% | 6.3% | 2026-05-02 13:55 |
| Svenska Spel🎯 | 2.80I 35.71%NM 34.14%EV -8.36%E -2.99%K -4.64%G +0.000% | 2.48I 40.32%NM 38.55%EV -0.661%E -0.266%K -0.447%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 27.31%EV -4.75%E -1.36%K -1.90%G +0.000% | 4.6% | 2026-05-02 13:51 |
| ATG (SE)🎯 | 2.80I 35.71%NM 34.14%EV -8.36%E -2.99%K -4.64%G +0.000% | 2.48I 40.32%NM 38.55%EV -0.661%E -0.266%K -0.447%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 27.31%EV -4.75%E -1.36%K -1.90%G +0.000% | 4.6% | 2026-05-02 13:51 |
| betfred_uk🎯 | 2.80I 35.71%NM 33.85%EV -8.36%E -2.99%K -4.64%G +0.000% | 2.38I 42.02%NM 39.82%EV -4.67%E -1.96%K -3.38%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 26.33%EV -2.03%E -0.563%K -0.780%G +0.000% | 5.5% | 2026-05-02 13:55 |
| Coral🎯 | 2.80I 35.71%NM 33.71%EV -8.36%E -2.99%K -4.64%G +0.000% | 2.40I 41.67%NM 39.33%EV -3.87%E -1.61%K -2.76%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 26.97%EV -4.75%E -1.36%K -1.90%G +0.000% | 6.0% | 2026-05-02 13:50 |
| PointsBet (AU)🎯 | 2.80I 35.71%NM 33.68%EV -8.36%E -2.99%K -4.64%G +0.000% | 2.35I 42.55%NM 40.13%EV -5.87%E -2.50%K -4.35%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 26.19%EV -2.03%E -0.563%K -0.780%G +0.000% | 6.0% | 2026-05-02 13:51 |
| Betr (AU)🎯 | 2.80I 35.71%NM 33.43%EV -8.36%E -2.99%K -4.64%G +0.000% | 2.35I 42.55%NM 39.83%EV -5.87%E -2.50%K -4.35%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 26.74%EV -4.75%E -1.36%K -1.90%G +0.000% | 6.8% | 2026-05-02 13:51 |
| Unibet (UK)🎯 | 2.80I 35.71%NM 33.39%EV -8.36%E -2.99%K -4.64%G +0.000% | 2.30I 43.48%NM 40.65%EV -7.87%E -3.42%K -6.05%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 25.97%EV -2.03%E -0.563%K -0.780%G +0.000% | 7.0% | 2026-05-02 13:55 |
| Betway🎯 | 2.80I 35.71%NM 33.33%EV -8.36%E -2.99%K -4.64%G +0.000% | 2.38I 42.02%NM 39.22%EV -4.67%E -1.96%K -3.38%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 27.45%EV -7.47%E -2.20%K -3.11%G +0.000% | 7.1% | 2026-05-02 13:41 |
| Bet Right🎯 | 2.80I 35.71%NM 33.14%EV -8.36%E -2.99%K -4.64%G +0.000% | 2.30I 43.48%NM 40.35%EV -7.87%E -3.42%K -6.05%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 26.51%EV -4.75%E -1.36%K -1.90%G +0.000% | 7.8% | 2026-05-02 13:51 |
| Sky Bet🎯 | 2.80I 35.71%NM 33.14%EV -8.36%E -2.99%K -4.64%G +0.000% | 2.30I 43.48%NM 40.35%EV -7.87%E -3.42%K -6.05%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 26.51%EV -4.75%E -1.36%K -1.90%G +0.000% | 7.8% | 2026-05-02 13:35 |
| Unibet🎯 | 2.75I 36.36%NM 34.25%EV -9.99%E -3.63%K -5.71%G +0.000% | 2.45I 40.82%NM 38.45%EV -1.86%E -0.760%K -1.28%G +0.000% | 3.45I 28.99%NM 27.30%EV -6.11%E -1.77%K -2.49%G +0.000% | 6.2% | 2026-05-02 13:50 |
| Unibet (NL)🎯 | 2.75I 36.36%NM 34.25%EV -9.99%E -3.63%K -5.71%G +0.000% | 2.45I 40.82%NM 38.45%EV -1.86%E -0.760%K -1.28%G +0.000% | 3.45I 28.99%NM 27.30%EV -6.11%E -1.77%K -2.49%G +0.000% | 6.2% | 2026-05-02 13:50 |
| Unibet (SE)🎯 | 2.75I 36.36%NM 34.25%EV -9.99%E -3.63%K -5.71%G +0.000% | 2.45I 40.82%NM 38.45%EV -1.86%E -0.760%K -1.28%G +0.000% | 3.45I 28.99%NM 27.30%EV -6.11%E -1.77%K -2.49%G +0.000% | 6.2% | 2026-05-02 13:51 |
| LeoVegas🎯 | 2.75I 36.36%NM 34.25%EV -9.99%E -3.63%K -5.71%G +0.000% | 2.45I 40.82%NM 38.45%EV -1.86%E -0.760%K -1.28%G +0.000% | 3.45I 28.99%NM 27.30%EV -6.11%E -1.77%K -2.49%G +0.000% | 6.2% | 2026-05-02 13:51 |
| Ladbrokes (UK)🎯 | 2.75I 36.36%NM 34.11%EV -9.99%E -3.63%K -5.71%G +0.000% | 2.40I 41.67%NM 39.09%EV -3.87%E -1.61%K -2.76%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 26.80%EV -4.75%E -1.36%K -1.90%G +0.000% | 6.6% | 2026-05-02 13:50 |
| Neds🎯 | 2.75I 36.36%NM 34.11%EV -9.99%E -3.63%K -5.71%G +0.000% | 2.40I 41.67%NM 39.09%EV -3.87%E -1.61%K -2.76%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 26.80%EV -4.75%E -1.36%K -1.90%G +0.000% | 6.6% | 2026-05-02 13:51 |
| Ladbrokes (AU)🎯 | 2.75I 36.36%NM 34.11%EV -9.99%E -3.63%K -5.71%G +0.000% | 2.40I 41.67%NM 39.09%EV -3.87%E -1.61%K -2.76%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 26.80%EV -4.75%E -1.36%K -1.90%G +0.000% | 6.6% | 2026-05-02 13:50 |
| Casumo🎯 | 2.75I 36.36%NM 34.01%EV -9.99%E -3.63%K -5.71%G +0.000% | 2.43I 41.15%NM 38.49%EV -2.66%E -1.10%K -1.86%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 27.51%EV -7.47%E -2.20%K -3.11%G +0.000% | 6.9% | 2026-05-02 13:50 |
| Grosvenor🎯 | 2.75I 36.36%NM 34.01%EV -9.99%E -3.63%K -5.71%G +0.000% | 2.43I 41.15%NM 38.49%EV -2.66%E -1.10%K -1.86%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 27.51%EV -7.47%E -2.20%K -3.11%G +0.000% | 6.9% | 2026-05-02 13:50 |
| TABtouch🎯 | 2.75I 36.36%NM 34.01%EV -9.99%E -3.63%K -5.71%G +0.000% | 2.43I 41.15%NM 38.49%EV -2.66%E -1.10%K -1.86%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 27.51%EV -7.47%E -2.20%K -3.11%G +0.000% | 6.9% | 2026-05-02 13:51 |
| betPARX🎯 | 2.75I 36.36%NM 34.01%EV -9.99%E -3.63%K -5.71%G +0.000% | 2.43I 41.15%NM 38.49%EV -2.66%E -1.10%K -1.86%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 27.51%EV -7.47%E -2.20%K -3.11%G +0.000% | 6.9% | 2026-05-02 13:50 |
| BetMGM🎯 | 2.75I 36.36%NM 34.00%EV -9.99%E -3.63%K -5.71%G +0.000% | 2.38I 42.02%NM 39.29%EV -4.67%E -1.96%K -3.38%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 26.71%EV -4.75%E -1.36%K -1.90%G +0.000% | 7.0% | 2026-05-02 13:50 |
| BoyleSports🎯 | 2.75I 36.36%NM 32.69%EV -9.99%E -3.63%K -5.71%G +0.000% | 2.20I 45.45%NM 40.87%EV -11.88%E -5.40%K -9.90%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 26.44%EV -7.47%E -2.20%K -3.11%G +0.000% | 11.2% | 2026-05-02 13:45 |
| Unibet (FR)🎯 | 2.75I 36.36%NM 32.56%EV -9.99%E -3.63%K -5.71%G +0.000% | 2.20I 45.45%NM 40.70%EV -11.88%E -5.40%K -9.90%G +0.000% | 3.35I 29.85%NM 26.73%EV -8.83%E -2.64%K -3.76%G +0.000% | 11.7% | 2026-05-02 13:50 |
| LeoVegas (SE)🎯 | 2.70I 37.04%NM 34.26%EV -11.63%E -4.31%K -6.84%G +0.000% | 2.40I 41.67%NM 38.54%EV -3.87%E -1.61%K -2.76%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 27.20%EV -7.47%E -2.20%K -3.11%G +0.000% | 8.1% | 2026-05-02 13:51 |
| BetRivers🎯 | 2.70I 37.04%NM 34.14%EV -11.63%E -4.31%K -6.84%G +0.000% | 2.43I 41.15%NM 37.93%EV -2.66%E -1.10%K -1.86%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 27.93%EV -10.19%E -3.09%K -4.43%G +0.000% | 8.5% | 2026-05-02 13:30 |
| Virgin Bet🎯 | 2.70I 37.04%NM 34.01%EV -11.63%E -4.31%K -6.84%G +0.000% | 2.38I 42.02%NM 38.58%EV -4.67%E -1.96%K -3.38%G +0.000% | 3.35I 29.85%NM 27.41%EV -8.83%E -2.64%K -3.76%G +0.000% | 8.9% | 2026-05-02 13:51 |
| PMU (FR)🎯 | 2.70I 37.04%NM 34.01%EV -11.63%E -4.31%K -6.84%G +0.000% | 2.38I 42.02%NM 38.58%EV -4.67%E -1.96%K -3.38%G +0.000% | 3.35I 29.85%NM 27.41%EV -8.83%E -2.64%K -3.76%G +0.000% | 8.9% | 2026-05-02 13:50 |
| LiveScore Bet🎯 | 2.70I 37.04%NM 34.01%EV -11.63%E -4.31%K -6.84%G +0.000% | 2.38I 42.02%NM 38.58%EV -4.67%E -1.96%K -3.38%G +0.000% | 3.35I 29.85%NM 27.41%EV -8.83%E -2.64%K -3.76%G +0.000% | 8.9% | 2026-05-02 13:51 |
| NetBet (FR)🎯 | 2.65I 37.74%NM 32.65%EV -13.27%E -5.01%K -8.04%G +0.000% | 2.17I 46.08%NM 39.88%EV -13.08%E -6.03%K -11.18%G +0.000% | 3.15I 31.75%NM 27.47%EV -14.27%E -4.53%K -6.64%G +0.000% | 15.6% | 2026-05-02 13:50 |
Margin = Margin (Overround) · I = Implied Probability · NM = No-Margin Probability · EV = Expected Value · E = Edge · K = Kelly Criterion · G = Bankroll Growth
Updated is when each book last changed its price, so an older time means the odds simply haven't moved, not that the price is stale. Books not seen in the last ~15 minutes are normally dropped; only if a whole market's feed goes quiet are the latest recorded prices shown instead.
Exchanges (6)
| Bookmaker | Local | Visit | Draw | Margin ▲ | Updated |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Matchbook◎ | 3.10I 32.26%NM 32.06% | 2.42I 41.32%NM 41.07% | 3.70I 27.03%NM 26.86% | 0.6% | 2026-05-02 13:55 |
| Betfair Exchange (AU)◎ | 3.10I 32.26%NM 31.95% | 2.40I 41.67%NM 41.27% | 3.70I 27.03%NM 26.77% | 1.0% | 2026-05-02 13:55 |
| Smarkets◎ | 3.10I 32.26%NM 31.95% | 2.42I 41.32%NM 40.92% | 3.65I 27.40%NM 27.13% | 1.0% | 2026-05-02 13:55 |
| Betfair Exchange (EU)◎ | 3.05I 32.79%NM 32.41% | 2.44I 40.98%NM 40.51% | 3.65I 27.40%NM 27.08% | 1.2% | 2026-05-02 13:51 |
| Betfair Exchange (UK)◎ | 3.05I 32.79%NM 32.30% | 2.42I 41.32%NM 40.71% | 3.65I 27.40%NM 26.99% | 1.5% | 2026-05-02 13:55 |
| Kalshi◎ | 3.03I 33.00%NM 32.03% | 2.38I 42.02%NM 40.78% | 3.57I 28.01%NM 27.19% | 3.0% | 2026-05-02 13:56 |