La scuola delle quote

Falkirk F.C. v Motherwell

Inizio: 2026-05-02 14:00 UTC

Finale: Falkirk F.C. 1–0 Motherwell

Quote di chiusura — probabilità e valore atteso calcolati dalle ultime quote registrate prima dell’inizio secondo il modello selezionato. L’incontro è iniziato, quindi non sono dati in tempo reale. Valuti l’affidabilità delle previsioni probabilistiche di ciascun modello rispetto a tutti i risultati definitivi →

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52 bookmaker (16 nell’analisi )

Probabilità stimata di ciascun risultato secondo il modello: IQM

Falkirk F.C. (Casa)

Previsione 32.73%3.06quota equa
EV -0.831%
Vantaggio -0.274%
Kelly -0.409%
Crescita +0.000%

ipotizzando la quota massima 3.03

Distribuzione delle stime di probabilità dei bookmaker
31.74%32.85%32.57%34.26%MINMEDIAMEDIANAMAX
Distribuzione delle quote
2.652.812.803.0337.74%35.55%35.71%33.00%MINMEDIAMEDIANAMAX

Motherwell (Trasferta)

Previsione 40.06%2.50quota equa
EV -0.661%
Vantaggio -0.266%
Kelly -0.447%
Crescita +0.000%

ipotizzando la quota massima 2.48

Distribuzione delle stime di probabilità dei bookmaker
37.93%39.97%40.10%40.87%MINMEDIAMEDIANAMAX
Distribuzione delle quote
2.172.362.382.4846.08%42.41%42.02%40.32%MINMEDIAMEDIANAMAX

Pareggio

Previsione 27.21%3.67quota equa
EV -2.03%
Vantaggio -0.563%
Kelly -0.780%
Crescita +0.000%

ipotizzando la quota massima 3.60

Distribuzione delle stime di probabilità dei bookmaker
25.97%27.18%27.33%28.10%MINMEDIAMEDIANAMAX
Distribuzione delle quote
3.153.423.403.6031.75%29.25%29.41%27.78%MINMEDIAMEDIANAMAX

Quote dei bookmaker (52 bookmaker)

Non siamo affiliati ad alcun bookmaker e non ricaviamo nulla dalle operazioni svolte presso di essi.

BookmakerCasa ▼TrasfertaPareggioMargineAggiornamento
Pinnacle3.03I 33.00%NM 31.94%EV -0.831%E -0.274%K -0.409%G +0.000%2.39I 41.84%NM 40.49%EV -4.27%E -1.78%K -3.07%G +0.000%3.51I 28.49%NM 27.57%EV -4.48%E -1.28%K -1.78%G +0.000%3.3%2026-05-02 13:50
1xBet2.92I 34.25%NM 32.87%EV -4.43%E -1.52%K -2.31%G +0.000%2.39I 41.84%NM 40.16%EV -4.27%E -1.78%K -3.07%G +0.000%3.56I 28.09%NM 26.96%EV -3.12%E -0.875%K -1.22%G +0.000%4.2%2026-05-02 13:50
Marathon Bet2.91I 34.36%NM 32.04%EV -4.76%E -1.64%K -2.49%G +0.000%2.31I 43.29%NM 40.37%EV -7.47%E -3.23%K -5.70%G +0.000%3.38I 29.59%NM 27.59%EV -8.01%E -2.37%K -3.37%G +0.000%7.2%2026-05-02 13:55
DraftKings2.90I 34.48%NM 32.65%EV -5.09%E -1.75%K -2.68%G +0.000%2.35I 42.55%NM 40.29%EV -5.87%E -2.50%K -4.35%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 27.05%EV -4.75%E -1.36%K -1.90%G +0.000%5.6%2026-05-02 13:55
FanDuel2.90I 34.48%NM 32.11%EV -5.09%E -1.75%K -2.68%G +0.000%2.30I 43.48%NM 40.49%EV -7.87%E -3.42%K -6.05%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.39%EV -7.47%E -2.20%K -3.11%G +0.000%7.4%2026-05-02 13:50
Everygame2.90I 34.48%NM 32.11%EV -5.09%E -1.75%K -2.68%G +0.000%2.30I 43.48%NM 40.49%EV -7.87%E -3.42%K -6.05%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.39%EV -7.47%E -2.20%K -3.11%G +0.000%7.4%2026-05-02 13:45
888sport2.90I 34.48%NM 31.85%EV -5.09%E -1.75%K -2.68%G +0.000%2.30I 43.48%NM 40.16%EV -7.87%E -3.42%K -6.05%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.99%EV -10.19%E -3.09%K -4.43%G +0.000%8.3%2026-05-02 13:50
William Hill2.90I 34.48%NM 31.85%EV -5.09%E -1.75%K -2.68%G +0.000%2.30I 43.48%NM 40.16%EV -7.87%E -3.42%K -6.05%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.99%EV -10.19%E -3.09%K -4.43%G +0.000%8.3%2026-05-02 13:50
888sport (SE)2.90I 34.48%NM 31.85%EV -5.09%E -1.75%K -2.68%G +0.000%2.30I 43.48%NM 40.16%EV -7.87%E -3.42%K -6.05%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.99%EV -10.19%E -3.09%K -4.43%G +0.000%8.3%2026-05-02 13:50
Mr Green (SE)2.90I 34.48%NM 31.85%EV -5.09%E -1.75%K -2.68%G +0.000%2.30I 43.48%NM 40.16%EV -7.87%E -3.42%K -6.05%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.99%EV -10.19%E -3.09%K -4.43%G +0.000%8.3%2026-05-02 13:51
BetUS2.90I 34.48%NM 31.74%EV -5.09%E -1.75%K -2.68%G +0.000%2.28I 43.86%NM 40.37%EV -8.67%E -3.80%K -6.78%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.89%EV -10.19%E -3.09%K -4.43%G +0.000%8.6%2026-05-02 13:55
Bovada2.90I 34.48%NM 31.74%EV -5.09%E -1.75%K -2.68%G +0.000%2.28I 43.86%NM 40.37%EV -8.67%E -3.80%K -6.78%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.89%EV -10.19%E -3.09%K -4.43%G +0.000%8.6%2026-05-02 13:53
LowVig.ag2.88I 34.72%NM 32.68%EV -5.74%E -1.99%K -3.05%G +0.000%2.40I 41.67%NM 39.22%EV -3.87%E -1.61%K -2.76%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 28.10%EV -8.83%E -2.64%K -3.76%G +0.000%6.2%2026-05-02 13:55
NordicBet2.88I 34.72%NM 32.58%EV -5.74%E -1.99%K -3.05%G +0.000%2.38I 42.02%NM 39.42%EV -4.67%E -1.96%K -3.38%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 28.01%EV -8.83%E -2.64%K -3.76%G +0.000%6.6%2026-05-02 13:55
Betsson2.88I 34.72%NM 32.58%EV -5.74%E -1.99%K -3.05%G +0.000%2.38I 42.02%NM 39.42%EV -4.67%E -1.96%K -3.38%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 28.01%EV -8.83%E -2.64%K -3.76%G +0.000%6.6%2026-05-02 13:55
Bet Victor2.88I 34.72%NM 32.52%EV -5.74%E -1.99%K -3.05%G +0.000%2.30I 43.48%NM 40.72%EV -7.87%E -3.42%K -6.05%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.76%EV -4.75%E -1.36%K -1.90%G +0.000%6.8%2026-05-02 13:50
Paddy Power2.88I 34.72%NM 32.27%EV -5.74%E -1.99%K -3.05%G +0.000%2.30I 43.48%NM 40.40%EV -7.87%E -3.42%K -6.05%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.33%EV -7.47%E -2.20%K -3.11%G +0.000%7.6%2026-05-02 13:50
SportsBet2.87I 34.84%NM 32.34%EV -6.07%E -2.11%K -3.24%G +0.000%2.30I 43.48%NM 40.36%EV -7.87%E -3.42%K -6.05%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.30%EV -7.47%E -2.20%K -3.11%G +0.000%7.7%2026-05-02 13:51
Coolbet2.85I 35.09%NM 33.28%EV -6.72%E -2.36%K -3.63%G +0.000%2.35I 42.55%NM 40.37%EV -5.87%E -2.50%K -4.35%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 26.35%EV -2.03%E -0.563%K -0.780%G +0.000%5.4%2026-05-02 13:51
PlayUp2.85I 35.09%NM 32.51%EV -6.72%E -2.36%K -3.63%G +0.000%2.35I 42.55%NM 39.42%EV -5.87%E -2.50%K -4.35%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 28.07%EV -10.19%E -3.09%K -4.43%G +0.000%7.9%2026-05-02 13:55
Fanatics2.85I 35.09%NM 32.23%EV -6.72%E -2.36%K -3.63%G +0.000%2.30I 43.48%NM 39.94%EV -7.87%E -3.42%K -6.05%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.83%EV -10.19%E -3.09%K -4.43%G +0.000%8.9%2026-05-02 13:45
BetOnline.ag2.84I 35.21%NM 33.13%EV -7.05%E -2.48%K -3.83%G +0.000%2.40I 41.67%NM 39.20%EV -3.87%E -1.61%K -2.76%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.67%EV -7.47%E -2.20%K -3.11%G +0.000%6.3%2026-05-02 13:55
Svenska Spel2.80I 35.71%NM 34.14%EV -8.36%E -2.99%K -4.64%G +0.000%2.48I 40.32%NM 38.55%EV -0.661%E -0.266%K -0.447%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 27.31%EV -4.75%E -1.36%K -1.90%G +0.000%4.6%2026-05-02 13:51
ATG (SE)2.80I 35.71%NM 34.14%EV -8.36%E -2.99%K -4.64%G +0.000%2.48I 40.32%NM 38.55%EV -0.661%E -0.266%K -0.447%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 27.31%EV -4.75%E -1.36%K -1.90%G +0.000%4.6%2026-05-02 13:51
betfred_uk2.80I 35.71%NM 33.85%EV -8.36%E -2.99%K -4.64%G +0.000%2.38I 42.02%NM 39.82%EV -4.67%E -1.96%K -3.38%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 26.33%EV -2.03%E -0.563%K -0.780%G +0.000%5.5%2026-05-02 13:55
Coral2.80I 35.71%NM 33.71%EV -8.36%E -2.99%K -4.64%G +0.000%2.40I 41.67%NM 39.33%EV -3.87%E -1.61%K -2.76%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.97%EV -4.75%E -1.36%K -1.90%G +0.000%6.0%2026-05-02 13:50
PointsBet (AU)2.80I 35.71%NM 33.68%EV -8.36%E -2.99%K -4.64%G +0.000%2.35I 42.55%NM 40.13%EV -5.87%E -2.50%K -4.35%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 26.19%EV -2.03%E -0.563%K -0.780%G +0.000%6.0%2026-05-02 13:51
Betr (AU)2.80I 35.71%NM 33.43%EV -8.36%E -2.99%K -4.64%G +0.000%2.35I 42.55%NM 39.83%EV -5.87%E -2.50%K -4.35%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.74%EV -4.75%E -1.36%K -1.90%G +0.000%6.8%2026-05-02 13:51
Unibet (UK)2.80I 35.71%NM 33.39%EV -8.36%E -2.99%K -4.64%G +0.000%2.30I 43.48%NM 40.65%EV -7.87%E -3.42%K -6.05%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.97%EV -2.03%E -0.563%K -0.780%G +0.000%7.0%2026-05-02 13:55
Betway2.80I 35.71%NM 33.33%EV -8.36%E -2.99%K -4.64%G +0.000%2.38I 42.02%NM 39.22%EV -4.67%E -1.96%K -3.38%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.45%EV -7.47%E -2.20%K -3.11%G +0.000%7.1%2026-05-02 13:41
Bet Right2.80I 35.71%NM 33.14%EV -8.36%E -2.99%K -4.64%G +0.000%2.30I 43.48%NM 40.35%EV -7.87%E -3.42%K -6.05%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.51%EV -4.75%E -1.36%K -1.90%G +0.000%7.8%2026-05-02 13:51
Sky Bet2.80I 35.71%NM 33.14%EV -8.36%E -2.99%K -4.64%G +0.000%2.30I 43.48%NM 40.35%EV -7.87%E -3.42%K -6.05%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.51%EV -4.75%E -1.36%K -1.90%G +0.000%7.8%2026-05-02 13:35
Unibet2.75I 36.36%NM 34.25%EV -9.99%E -3.63%K -5.71%G +0.000%2.45I 40.82%NM 38.45%EV -1.86%E -0.760%K -1.28%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 27.30%EV -6.11%E -1.77%K -2.49%G +0.000%6.2%2026-05-02 13:50
Unibet (NL)2.75I 36.36%NM 34.25%EV -9.99%E -3.63%K -5.71%G +0.000%2.45I 40.82%NM 38.45%EV -1.86%E -0.760%K -1.28%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 27.30%EV -6.11%E -1.77%K -2.49%G +0.000%6.2%2026-05-02 13:50
Unibet (SE)2.75I 36.36%NM 34.25%EV -9.99%E -3.63%K -5.71%G +0.000%2.45I 40.82%NM 38.45%EV -1.86%E -0.760%K -1.28%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 27.30%EV -6.11%E -1.77%K -2.49%G +0.000%6.2%2026-05-02 13:51
LeoVegas2.75I 36.36%NM 34.25%EV -9.99%E -3.63%K -5.71%G +0.000%2.45I 40.82%NM 38.45%EV -1.86%E -0.760%K -1.28%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 27.30%EV -6.11%E -1.77%K -2.49%G +0.000%6.2%2026-05-02 13:51
Ladbrokes (UK)2.75I 36.36%NM 34.11%EV -9.99%E -3.63%K -5.71%G +0.000%2.40I 41.67%NM 39.09%EV -3.87%E -1.61%K -2.76%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.80%EV -4.75%E -1.36%K -1.90%G +0.000%6.6%2026-05-02 13:50
Neds2.75I 36.36%NM 34.11%EV -9.99%E -3.63%K -5.71%G +0.000%2.40I 41.67%NM 39.09%EV -3.87%E -1.61%K -2.76%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.80%EV -4.75%E -1.36%K -1.90%G +0.000%6.6%2026-05-02 13:51
Ladbrokes (AU)2.75I 36.36%NM 34.11%EV -9.99%E -3.63%K -5.71%G +0.000%2.40I 41.67%NM 39.09%EV -3.87%E -1.61%K -2.76%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.80%EV -4.75%E -1.36%K -1.90%G +0.000%6.6%2026-05-02 13:50
Casumo2.75I 36.36%NM 34.01%EV -9.99%E -3.63%K -5.71%G +0.000%2.43I 41.15%NM 38.49%EV -2.66%E -1.10%K -1.86%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.51%EV -7.47%E -2.20%K -3.11%G +0.000%6.9%2026-05-02 13:50
Grosvenor2.75I 36.36%NM 34.01%EV -9.99%E -3.63%K -5.71%G +0.000%2.43I 41.15%NM 38.49%EV -2.66%E -1.10%K -1.86%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.51%EV -7.47%E -2.20%K -3.11%G +0.000%6.9%2026-05-02 13:50
TABtouch2.75I 36.36%NM 34.01%EV -9.99%E -3.63%K -5.71%G +0.000%2.43I 41.15%NM 38.49%EV -2.66%E -1.10%K -1.86%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.51%EV -7.47%E -2.20%K -3.11%G +0.000%6.9%2026-05-02 13:51
betPARX2.75I 36.36%NM 34.01%EV -9.99%E -3.63%K -5.71%G +0.000%2.43I 41.15%NM 38.49%EV -2.66%E -1.10%K -1.86%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.51%EV -7.47%E -2.20%K -3.11%G +0.000%6.9%2026-05-02 13:50
BetMGM2.75I 36.36%NM 34.00%EV -9.99%E -3.63%K -5.71%G +0.000%2.38I 42.02%NM 39.29%EV -4.67%E -1.96%K -3.38%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.71%EV -4.75%E -1.36%K -1.90%G +0.000%7.0%2026-05-02 13:50
BoyleSports2.75I 36.36%NM 32.69%EV -9.99%E -3.63%K -5.71%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 40.87%EV -11.88%E -5.40%K -9.90%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.44%EV -7.47%E -2.20%K -3.11%G +0.000%11.2%2026-05-02 13:45
Unibet (FR)2.75I 36.36%NM 32.56%EV -9.99%E -3.63%K -5.71%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 40.70%EV -11.88%E -5.40%K -9.90%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 26.73%EV -8.83%E -2.64%K -3.76%G +0.000%11.7%2026-05-02 13:50
LeoVegas (SE)2.70I 37.04%NM 34.26%EV -11.63%E -4.31%K -6.84%G +0.000%2.40I 41.67%NM 38.54%EV -3.87%E -1.61%K -2.76%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.20%EV -7.47%E -2.20%K -3.11%G +0.000%8.1%2026-05-02 13:51
BetRivers2.70I 37.04%NM 34.14%EV -11.63%E -4.31%K -6.84%G +0.000%2.43I 41.15%NM 37.93%EV -2.66%E -1.10%K -1.86%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.93%EV -10.19%E -3.09%K -4.43%G +0.000%8.5%2026-05-02 13:30
Virgin Bet2.70I 37.04%NM 34.01%EV -11.63%E -4.31%K -6.84%G +0.000%2.38I 42.02%NM 38.58%EV -4.67%E -1.96%K -3.38%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 27.41%EV -8.83%E -2.64%K -3.76%G +0.000%8.9%2026-05-02 13:51
PMU (FR)2.70I 37.04%NM 34.01%EV -11.63%E -4.31%K -6.84%G +0.000%2.38I 42.02%NM 38.58%EV -4.67%E -1.96%K -3.38%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 27.41%EV -8.83%E -2.64%K -3.76%G +0.000%8.9%2026-05-02 13:50
LiveScore Bet2.70I 37.04%NM 34.01%EV -11.63%E -4.31%K -6.84%G +0.000%2.38I 42.02%NM 38.58%EV -4.67%E -1.96%K -3.38%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 27.41%EV -8.83%E -2.64%K -3.76%G +0.000%8.9%2026-05-02 13:51
NetBet (FR)2.65I 37.74%NM 32.65%EV -13.27%E -5.01%K -8.04%G +0.000%2.17I 46.08%NM 39.88%EV -13.08%E -6.03%K -11.18%G +0.000%3.15I 31.75%NM 27.47%EV -14.27%E -4.53%K -6.64%G +0.000%15.6%2026-05-02 13:50
Margine = Margine (overround) · I = Probabilità implicita · NM = Probabilità senza margine · EV = Valore atteso · E = Vantaggio · K = Criterio di Kelly · G = Crescita del capitale

Aggiornamento indica quando ciascun bookmaker ha modificato la quota per l’ultima volta: un orario meno recente significa che la quota non si è mossa, non che sia obsoleta. I bookmaker assenti da circa 15 minuti vengono normalmente esclusi; solo se tace il flusso dell’intero mercato si mostrano le ultime quote registrate.

Borse di scommesse (6)

BookmakerCasaTrasfertaPareggioMargine ▲Aggiornamento
Matchbook3.10I 32.26%NM 32.06%2.42I 41.32%NM 41.07%3.70I 27.03%NM 26.86%0.6%2026-05-02 13:55
Betfair Exchange (AU)3.10I 32.26%NM 31.95%2.40I 41.67%NM 41.27%3.70I 27.03%NM 26.77%1.0%2026-05-02 13:55
Smarkets3.10I 32.26%NM 31.95%2.42I 41.32%NM 40.92%3.65I 27.40%NM 27.13%1.0%2026-05-02 13:55
Betfair Exchange (EU)3.05I 32.79%NM 32.41%2.44I 40.98%NM 40.51%3.65I 27.40%NM 27.08%1.2%2026-05-02 13:51
Betfair Exchange (UK)3.05I 32.79%NM 32.30%2.42I 41.32%NM 40.71%3.65I 27.40%NM 26.99%1.5%2026-05-02 13:55
Kalshi3.03I 33.00%NM 32.03%2.38I 42.02%NM 40.78%3.57I 28.01%NM 27.19%3.0%2026-05-02 13:56