مدرسة الاحتمالات

Falkirk F.C. v Motherwell

البداية: 2026-05-02 14:00 UTC

النتيجة النهائية: Falkirk F.C. 1–0 Motherwell

أسعار الإغلاق — الاحتمالات والقيمة المتوقعة المحسوبة من آخر الأسعار المسجلة قبل البداية وفق النموذج المحدد. بدأت المباراة، لذا فهذه ليست أرقامًا مباشرة. قيّم موثوقية التنبؤات الاحتمالية لكل نموذج بمقارنتها بنتائج جميع المباريات المحسومة →

نتيجة المباراة

52 شركة مراهنات (16 في التحليل )

الاحتمال المقدّر لكل نتيجة وفق النموذج: IQM

Falkirk F.C. (المضيف)

التنبؤ 32.73%3.06السعر العادل
EV -0.831%
الأفضلية -0.274%
Kelly -0.409%
النمو +0.000%

بافتراض سعر أقصى قدره 3.03

توزيع تنبؤات شركات المراهنات
31.74%32.85%32.57%34.26%MINالمتوسطالوسيطMAX
توزيع الأسعار
2.652.812.803.0337.74%35.55%35.71%33.00%MINالمتوسطالوسيطMAX

Motherwell (الضيف)

التنبؤ 40.06%2.50السعر العادل
EV -0.661%
الأفضلية -0.266%
Kelly -0.447%
النمو +0.000%

بافتراض سعر أقصى قدره 2.48

توزيع تنبؤات شركات المراهنات
37.93%39.97%40.10%40.87%MINالمتوسطالوسيطMAX
توزيع الأسعار
2.172.362.382.4846.08%42.41%42.02%40.32%MINالمتوسطالوسيطMAX

تعادل

التنبؤ 27.21%3.67السعر العادل
EV -2.03%
الأفضلية -0.563%
Kelly -0.780%
النمو +0.000%

بافتراض سعر أقصى قدره 3.60

توزيع تنبؤات شركات المراهنات
25.97%27.18%27.33%28.10%MINالمتوسطالوسيطMAX
توزيع الأسعار
3.153.423.403.6031.75%29.25%29.41%27.78%MINالمتوسطالوسيطMAX

أسعار شركات المراهنات (52 شركة مراهنات)

لسنا تابعين لأي شركة مراهنات، ولا نحقق أي عائد من الرهانات أو المعاملات التي تُجرى لديها.

شركة المراهناتالمضيف ▼الضيفتعادلالهامشآخر تحديث
Pinnacle3.03I 33.00%NM 31.94%EV -0.831%E -0.274%K -0.409%G +0.000%2.39I 41.84%NM 40.49%EV -4.27%E -1.78%K -3.07%G +0.000%3.51I 28.49%NM 27.57%EV -4.48%E -1.28%K -1.78%G +0.000%3.3%2026-05-02 13:50
1xBet2.92I 34.25%NM 32.87%EV -4.43%E -1.52%K -2.31%G +0.000%2.39I 41.84%NM 40.16%EV -4.27%E -1.78%K -3.07%G +0.000%3.56I 28.09%NM 26.96%EV -3.12%E -0.875%K -1.22%G +0.000%4.2%2026-05-02 13:50
Marathon Bet2.91I 34.36%NM 32.04%EV -4.76%E -1.64%K -2.49%G +0.000%2.31I 43.29%NM 40.37%EV -7.47%E -3.23%K -5.70%G +0.000%3.38I 29.59%NM 27.59%EV -8.01%E -2.37%K -3.37%G +0.000%7.2%2026-05-02 13:55
DraftKings2.90I 34.48%NM 32.65%EV -5.09%E -1.75%K -2.68%G +0.000%2.35I 42.55%NM 40.29%EV -5.87%E -2.50%K -4.35%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 27.05%EV -4.75%E -1.36%K -1.90%G +0.000%5.6%2026-05-02 13:55
FanDuel2.90I 34.48%NM 32.11%EV -5.09%E -1.75%K -2.68%G +0.000%2.30I 43.48%NM 40.49%EV -7.87%E -3.42%K -6.05%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.39%EV -7.47%E -2.20%K -3.11%G +0.000%7.4%2026-05-02 13:50
Everygame2.90I 34.48%NM 32.11%EV -5.09%E -1.75%K -2.68%G +0.000%2.30I 43.48%NM 40.49%EV -7.87%E -3.42%K -6.05%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.39%EV -7.47%E -2.20%K -3.11%G +0.000%7.4%2026-05-02 13:45
888sport2.90I 34.48%NM 31.85%EV -5.09%E -1.75%K -2.68%G +0.000%2.30I 43.48%NM 40.16%EV -7.87%E -3.42%K -6.05%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.99%EV -10.19%E -3.09%K -4.43%G +0.000%8.3%2026-05-02 13:50
William Hill2.90I 34.48%NM 31.85%EV -5.09%E -1.75%K -2.68%G +0.000%2.30I 43.48%NM 40.16%EV -7.87%E -3.42%K -6.05%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.99%EV -10.19%E -3.09%K -4.43%G +0.000%8.3%2026-05-02 13:50
888sport (SE)2.90I 34.48%NM 31.85%EV -5.09%E -1.75%K -2.68%G +0.000%2.30I 43.48%NM 40.16%EV -7.87%E -3.42%K -6.05%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.99%EV -10.19%E -3.09%K -4.43%G +0.000%8.3%2026-05-02 13:50
Mr Green (SE)2.90I 34.48%NM 31.85%EV -5.09%E -1.75%K -2.68%G +0.000%2.30I 43.48%NM 40.16%EV -7.87%E -3.42%K -6.05%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.99%EV -10.19%E -3.09%K -4.43%G +0.000%8.3%2026-05-02 13:51
BetUS2.90I 34.48%NM 31.74%EV -5.09%E -1.75%K -2.68%G +0.000%2.28I 43.86%NM 40.37%EV -8.67%E -3.80%K -6.78%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.89%EV -10.19%E -3.09%K -4.43%G +0.000%8.6%2026-05-02 13:55
Bovada2.90I 34.48%NM 31.74%EV -5.09%E -1.75%K -2.68%G +0.000%2.28I 43.86%NM 40.37%EV -8.67%E -3.80%K -6.78%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.89%EV -10.19%E -3.09%K -4.43%G +0.000%8.6%2026-05-02 13:53
LowVig.ag2.88I 34.72%NM 32.68%EV -5.74%E -1.99%K -3.05%G +0.000%2.40I 41.67%NM 39.22%EV -3.87%E -1.61%K -2.76%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 28.10%EV -8.83%E -2.64%K -3.76%G +0.000%6.2%2026-05-02 13:55
NordicBet2.88I 34.72%NM 32.58%EV -5.74%E -1.99%K -3.05%G +0.000%2.38I 42.02%NM 39.42%EV -4.67%E -1.96%K -3.38%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 28.01%EV -8.83%E -2.64%K -3.76%G +0.000%6.6%2026-05-02 13:55
Betsson2.88I 34.72%NM 32.58%EV -5.74%E -1.99%K -3.05%G +0.000%2.38I 42.02%NM 39.42%EV -4.67%E -1.96%K -3.38%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 28.01%EV -8.83%E -2.64%K -3.76%G +0.000%6.6%2026-05-02 13:55
Bet Victor2.88I 34.72%NM 32.52%EV -5.74%E -1.99%K -3.05%G +0.000%2.30I 43.48%NM 40.72%EV -7.87%E -3.42%K -6.05%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.76%EV -4.75%E -1.36%K -1.90%G +0.000%6.8%2026-05-02 13:50
Paddy Power2.88I 34.72%NM 32.27%EV -5.74%E -1.99%K -3.05%G +0.000%2.30I 43.48%NM 40.40%EV -7.87%E -3.42%K -6.05%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.33%EV -7.47%E -2.20%K -3.11%G +0.000%7.6%2026-05-02 13:50
SportsBet2.87I 34.84%NM 32.34%EV -6.07%E -2.11%K -3.24%G +0.000%2.30I 43.48%NM 40.36%EV -7.87%E -3.42%K -6.05%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.30%EV -7.47%E -2.20%K -3.11%G +0.000%7.7%2026-05-02 13:51
Coolbet2.85I 35.09%NM 33.28%EV -6.72%E -2.36%K -3.63%G +0.000%2.35I 42.55%NM 40.37%EV -5.87%E -2.50%K -4.35%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 26.35%EV -2.03%E -0.563%K -0.780%G +0.000%5.4%2026-05-02 13:51
PlayUp2.85I 35.09%NM 32.51%EV -6.72%E -2.36%K -3.63%G +0.000%2.35I 42.55%NM 39.42%EV -5.87%E -2.50%K -4.35%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 28.07%EV -10.19%E -3.09%K -4.43%G +0.000%7.9%2026-05-02 13:55
Fanatics2.85I 35.09%NM 32.23%EV -6.72%E -2.36%K -3.63%G +0.000%2.30I 43.48%NM 39.94%EV -7.87%E -3.42%K -6.05%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.83%EV -10.19%E -3.09%K -4.43%G +0.000%8.9%2026-05-02 13:45
BetOnline.ag2.84I 35.21%NM 33.13%EV -7.05%E -2.48%K -3.83%G +0.000%2.40I 41.67%NM 39.20%EV -3.87%E -1.61%K -2.76%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.67%EV -7.47%E -2.20%K -3.11%G +0.000%6.3%2026-05-02 13:55
Svenska Spel2.80I 35.71%NM 34.14%EV -8.36%E -2.99%K -4.64%G +0.000%2.48I 40.32%NM 38.55%EV -0.661%E -0.266%K -0.447%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 27.31%EV -4.75%E -1.36%K -1.90%G +0.000%4.6%2026-05-02 13:51
ATG (SE)2.80I 35.71%NM 34.14%EV -8.36%E -2.99%K -4.64%G +0.000%2.48I 40.32%NM 38.55%EV -0.661%E -0.266%K -0.447%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 27.31%EV -4.75%E -1.36%K -1.90%G +0.000%4.6%2026-05-02 13:51
betfred_uk2.80I 35.71%NM 33.85%EV -8.36%E -2.99%K -4.64%G +0.000%2.38I 42.02%NM 39.82%EV -4.67%E -1.96%K -3.38%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 26.33%EV -2.03%E -0.563%K -0.780%G +0.000%5.5%2026-05-02 13:55
Coral2.80I 35.71%NM 33.71%EV -8.36%E -2.99%K -4.64%G +0.000%2.40I 41.67%NM 39.33%EV -3.87%E -1.61%K -2.76%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.97%EV -4.75%E -1.36%K -1.90%G +0.000%6.0%2026-05-02 13:50
PointsBet (AU)2.80I 35.71%NM 33.68%EV -8.36%E -2.99%K -4.64%G +0.000%2.35I 42.55%NM 40.13%EV -5.87%E -2.50%K -4.35%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 26.19%EV -2.03%E -0.563%K -0.780%G +0.000%6.0%2026-05-02 13:51
Betr (AU)2.80I 35.71%NM 33.43%EV -8.36%E -2.99%K -4.64%G +0.000%2.35I 42.55%NM 39.83%EV -5.87%E -2.50%K -4.35%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.74%EV -4.75%E -1.36%K -1.90%G +0.000%6.8%2026-05-02 13:51
Unibet (UK)2.80I 35.71%NM 33.39%EV -8.36%E -2.99%K -4.64%G +0.000%2.30I 43.48%NM 40.65%EV -7.87%E -3.42%K -6.05%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.97%EV -2.03%E -0.563%K -0.780%G +0.000%7.0%2026-05-02 13:55
Betway2.80I 35.71%NM 33.33%EV -8.36%E -2.99%K -4.64%G +0.000%2.38I 42.02%NM 39.22%EV -4.67%E -1.96%K -3.38%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.45%EV -7.47%E -2.20%K -3.11%G +0.000%7.1%2026-05-02 13:41
Bet Right2.80I 35.71%NM 33.14%EV -8.36%E -2.99%K -4.64%G +0.000%2.30I 43.48%NM 40.35%EV -7.87%E -3.42%K -6.05%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.51%EV -4.75%E -1.36%K -1.90%G +0.000%7.8%2026-05-02 13:51
Sky Bet2.80I 35.71%NM 33.14%EV -8.36%E -2.99%K -4.64%G +0.000%2.30I 43.48%NM 40.35%EV -7.87%E -3.42%K -6.05%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.51%EV -4.75%E -1.36%K -1.90%G +0.000%7.8%2026-05-02 13:35
Unibet2.75I 36.36%NM 34.25%EV -9.99%E -3.63%K -5.71%G +0.000%2.45I 40.82%NM 38.45%EV -1.86%E -0.760%K -1.28%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 27.30%EV -6.11%E -1.77%K -2.49%G +0.000%6.2%2026-05-02 13:50
Unibet (NL)2.75I 36.36%NM 34.25%EV -9.99%E -3.63%K -5.71%G +0.000%2.45I 40.82%NM 38.45%EV -1.86%E -0.760%K -1.28%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 27.30%EV -6.11%E -1.77%K -2.49%G +0.000%6.2%2026-05-02 13:50
Unibet (SE)2.75I 36.36%NM 34.25%EV -9.99%E -3.63%K -5.71%G +0.000%2.45I 40.82%NM 38.45%EV -1.86%E -0.760%K -1.28%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 27.30%EV -6.11%E -1.77%K -2.49%G +0.000%6.2%2026-05-02 13:51
LeoVegas2.75I 36.36%NM 34.25%EV -9.99%E -3.63%K -5.71%G +0.000%2.45I 40.82%NM 38.45%EV -1.86%E -0.760%K -1.28%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 27.30%EV -6.11%E -1.77%K -2.49%G +0.000%6.2%2026-05-02 13:51
Ladbrokes (UK)2.75I 36.36%NM 34.11%EV -9.99%E -3.63%K -5.71%G +0.000%2.40I 41.67%NM 39.09%EV -3.87%E -1.61%K -2.76%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.80%EV -4.75%E -1.36%K -1.90%G +0.000%6.6%2026-05-02 13:50
Neds2.75I 36.36%NM 34.11%EV -9.99%E -3.63%K -5.71%G +0.000%2.40I 41.67%NM 39.09%EV -3.87%E -1.61%K -2.76%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.80%EV -4.75%E -1.36%K -1.90%G +0.000%6.6%2026-05-02 13:51
Ladbrokes (AU)2.75I 36.36%NM 34.11%EV -9.99%E -3.63%K -5.71%G +0.000%2.40I 41.67%NM 39.09%EV -3.87%E -1.61%K -2.76%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.80%EV -4.75%E -1.36%K -1.90%G +0.000%6.6%2026-05-02 13:50
Casumo2.75I 36.36%NM 34.01%EV -9.99%E -3.63%K -5.71%G +0.000%2.43I 41.15%NM 38.49%EV -2.66%E -1.10%K -1.86%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.51%EV -7.47%E -2.20%K -3.11%G +0.000%6.9%2026-05-02 13:50
Grosvenor2.75I 36.36%NM 34.01%EV -9.99%E -3.63%K -5.71%G +0.000%2.43I 41.15%NM 38.49%EV -2.66%E -1.10%K -1.86%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.51%EV -7.47%E -2.20%K -3.11%G +0.000%6.9%2026-05-02 13:50
TABtouch2.75I 36.36%NM 34.01%EV -9.99%E -3.63%K -5.71%G +0.000%2.43I 41.15%NM 38.49%EV -2.66%E -1.10%K -1.86%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.51%EV -7.47%E -2.20%K -3.11%G +0.000%6.9%2026-05-02 13:51
betPARX2.75I 36.36%NM 34.01%EV -9.99%E -3.63%K -5.71%G +0.000%2.43I 41.15%NM 38.49%EV -2.66%E -1.10%K -1.86%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.51%EV -7.47%E -2.20%K -3.11%G +0.000%6.9%2026-05-02 13:50
BetMGM2.75I 36.36%NM 34.00%EV -9.99%E -3.63%K -5.71%G +0.000%2.38I 42.02%NM 39.29%EV -4.67%E -1.96%K -3.38%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.71%EV -4.75%E -1.36%K -1.90%G +0.000%7.0%2026-05-02 13:50
BoyleSports2.75I 36.36%NM 32.69%EV -9.99%E -3.63%K -5.71%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 40.87%EV -11.88%E -5.40%K -9.90%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.44%EV -7.47%E -2.20%K -3.11%G +0.000%11.2%2026-05-02 13:45
Unibet (FR)2.75I 36.36%NM 32.56%EV -9.99%E -3.63%K -5.71%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 40.70%EV -11.88%E -5.40%K -9.90%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 26.73%EV -8.83%E -2.64%K -3.76%G +0.000%11.7%2026-05-02 13:50
LeoVegas (SE)2.70I 37.04%NM 34.26%EV -11.63%E -4.31%K -6.84%G +0.000%2.40I 41.67%NM 38.54%EV -3.87%E -1.61%K -2.76%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.20%EV -7.47%E -2.20%K -3.11%G +0.000%8.1%2026-05-02 13:51
BetRivers2.70I 37.04%NM 34.14%EV -11.63%E -4.31%K -6.84%G +0.000%2.43I 41.15%NM 37.93%EV -2.66%E -1.10%K -1.86%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.93%EV -10.19%E -3.09%K -4.43%G +0.000%8.5%2026-05-02 13:30
Virgin Bet2.70I 37.04%NM 34.01%EV -11.63%E -4.31%K -6.84%G +0.000%2.38I 42.02%NM 38.58%EV -4.67%E -1.96%K -3.38%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 27.41%EV -8.83%E -2.64%K -3.76%G +0.000%8.9%2026-05-02 13:51
PMU (FR)2.70I 37.04%NM 34.01%EV -11.63%E -4.31%K -6.84%G +0.000%2.38I 42.02%NM 38.58%EV -4.67%E -1.96%K -3.38%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 27.41%EV -8.83%E -2.64%K -3.76%G +0.000%8.9%2026-05-02 13:50
LiveScore Bet2.70I 37.04%NM 34.01%EV -11.63%E -4.31%K -6.84%G +0.000%2.38I 42.02%NM 38.58%EV -4.67%E -1.96%K -3.38%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 27.41%EV -8.83%E -2.64%K -3.76%G +0.000%8.9%2026-05-02 13:51
NetBet (FR)2.65I 37.74%NM 32.65%EV -13.27%E -5.01%K -8.04%G +0.000%2.17I 46.08%NM 39.88%EV -13.08%E -6.03%K -11.18%G +0.000%3.15I 31.75%NM 27.47%EV -14.27%E -4.53%K -6.64%G +0.000%15.6%2026-05-02 13:50
الهامش = الهامش · I = الاحتمال الضمني · NM = الاحتمال بلا هامش · EV = القيمة المتوقعة · E = الأفضلية · K = معيار Kelly · G = نمو رأس مال المراهنات

آخر تحديث هو وقت آخر تغيير أجرته كل شركة على سعرها؛ فالوقت الأقدم يعني أن السعر لم يتحرك فحسب، لا أنه متقادم. تُستبعد عادة الشركات التي لم تصل عنها بيانات خلال نحو 15 دقيقة؛ ولا تُعرض آخر الأسعار المسجلة بدلًا من ذلك إلا إذا انقطع تدفق بيانات السوق كله.

بورصات المراهنات (6)

شركة المراهناتالمضيفالضيفتعادلالهامش ▲آخر تحديث
Matchbook3.10I 32.26%NM 32.06%2.42I 41.32%NM 41.07%3.70I 27.03%NM 26.86%0.6%2026-05-02 13:55
Betfair Exchange (AU)3.10I 32.26%NM 31.95%2.40I 41.67%NM 41.27%3.70I 27.03%NM 26.77%1.0%2026-05-02 13:55
Smarkets3.10I 32.26%NM 31.95%2.42I 41.32%NM 40.92%3.65I 27.40%NM 27.13%1.0%2026-05-02 13:55
Betfair Exchange (EU)3.05I 32.79%NM 32.41%2.44I 40.98%NM 40.51%3.65I 27.40%NM 27.08%1.2%2026-05-02 13:51
Betfair Exchange (UK)3.05I 32.79%NM 32.30%2.42I 41.32%NM 40.71%3.65I 27.40%NM 26.99%1.5%2026-05-02 13:55
Kalshi3.03I 33.00%NM 32.03%2.38I 42.02%NM 40.78%3.57I 28.01%NM 27.19%3.0%2026-05-02 13:56