L’École des cotesFrançais
Falkirk F.C. v Motherwell
Cotes de clôture — probabilités calculées et espérance mathématique obtenues, selon le modèle sélectionné, à partir des derniers prix enregistrés avant le coup d’envoi. Le match ayant commencé, il ne s’agit pas de valeurs en direct. Évaluer la fiabilité des prévisions probabilistes de chaque modèle sur l’ensemble des matchs réglés →
Résultat du match
Falkirk F.C. (Local)
Prévision 32.73%3.06cote équitable
EV -0.831%
Avantage -0.274%
Kelly -0.409%
Croissance +0.000%
avec la cote maximale 3.03
Distribution des prévisions des opérateurs
31.74%32.85%32.57%34.26%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM
Distribution des cotes
2.652.812.803.0337.74%35.55%35.71%33.00%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM
Motherwell (Visiteur)
Prévision 40.06%2.50cote équitable
EV -0.661%
Avantage -0.266%
Kelly -0.447%
Croissance +0.000%
avec la cote maximale 2.48
Distribution des prévisions des opérateurs
37.93%39.97%40.10%40.87%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM
Distribution des cotes
2.172.362.382.4846.08%42.41%42.02%40.32%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM
Match nul
Prévision 27.21%3.67cote équitable
EV -2.03%
Avantage -0.563%
Kelly -0.780%
Croissance +0.000%
avec la cote maximale 3.60
Distribution des prévisions des opérateurs
25.97%27.18%27.33%28.10%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM
Distribution des cotes
3.153.423.403.6031.75%29.25%29.41%27.78%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM
Cotes des opérateurs (52 opérateurs)
Nous ne sommes affiliés à aucun opérateur de paris et ne tirons aucun bénéfice des opérations réalisées auprès d’eux.
| Opérateur | Local ▼ | Visiteur | Match nul | Marge | Mise à jour |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Pinnacle | 3.03I 33.00%NM 31.94%EV -0.831%E -0.274%K -0.409%G +0.000% | 2.39I 41.84%NM 40.49%EV -4.27%E -1.78%K -3.07%G +0.000% | 3.51I 28.49%NM 27.57%EV -4.48%E -1.28%K -1.78%G +0.000% | 3.3% | 2026-05-02 13:50 |
| 1xBet | 2.92I 34.25%NM 32.87%EV -4.43%E -1.52%K -2.31%G +0.000% | 2.39I 41.84%NM 40.16%EV -4.27%E -1.78%K -3.07%G +0.000% | 3.56I 28.09%NM 26.96%EV -3.12%E -0.875%K -1.22%G +0.000% | 4.2% | 2026-05-02 13:50 |
| Marathon Bet | 2.91I 34.36%NM 32.04%EV -4.76%E -1.64%K -2.49%G +0.000% | 2.31I 43.29%NM 40.37%EV -7.47%E -3.23%K -5.70%G +0.000% | 3.38I 29.59%NM 27.59%EV -8.01%E -2.37%K -3.37%G +0.000% | 7.2% | 2026-05-02 13:55 |
| DraftKings | 2.90I 34.48%NM 32.65%EV -5.09%E -1.75%K -2.68%G +0.000% | 2.35I 42.55%NM 40.29%EV -5.87%E -2.50%K -4.35%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 27.05%EV -4.75%E -1.36%K -1.90%G +0.000% | 5.6% | 2026-05-02 13:55 |
| FanDuel | 2.90I 34.48%NM 32.11%EV -5.09%E -1.75%K -2.68%G +0.000% | 2.30I 43.48%NM 40.49%EV -7.87%E -3.42%K -6.05%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 27.39%EV -7.47%E -2.20%K -3.11%G +0.000% | 7.4% | 2026-05-02 13:50 |
| Everygame | 2.90I 34.48%NM 32.11%EV -5.09%E -1.75%K -2.68%G +0.000% | 2.30I 43.48%NM 40.49%EV -7.87%E -3.42%K -6.05%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 27.39%EV -7.47%E -2.20%K -3.11%G +0.000% | 7.4% | 2026-05-02 13:45 |
| 888sport | 2.90I 34.48%NM 31.85%EV -5.09%E -1.75%K -2.68%G +0.000% | 2.30I 43.48%NM 40.16%EV -7.87%E -3.42%K -6.05%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 27.99%EV -10.19%E -3.09%K -4.43%G +0.000% | 8.3% | 2026-05-02 13:50 |
| William Hill | 2.90I 34.48%NM 31.85%EV -5.09%E -1.75%K -2.68%G +0.000% | 2.30I 43.48%NM 40.16%EV -7.87%E -3.42%K -6.05%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 27.99%EV -10.19%E -3.09%K -4.43%G +0.000% | 8.3% | 2026-05-02 13:50 |
| 888sport (SE) | 2.90I 34.48%NM 31.85%EV -5.09%E -1.75%K -2.68%G +0.000% | 2.30I 43.48%NM 40.16%EV -7.87%E -3.42%K -6.05%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 27.99%EV -10.19%E -3.09%K -4.43%G +0.000% | 8.3% | 2026-05-02 13:50 |
| Mr Green (SE) | 2.90I 34.48%NM 31.85%EV -5.09%E -1.75%K -2.68%G +0.000% | 2.30I 43.48%NM 40.16%EV -7.87%E -3.42%K -6.05%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 27.99%EV -10.19%E -3.09%K -4.43%G +0.000% | 8.3% | 2026-05-02 13:51 |
| BetUS | 2.90I 34.48%NM 31.74%EV -5.09%E -1.75%K -2.68%G +0.000% | 2.28I 43.86%NM 40.37%EV -8.67%E -3.80%K -6.78%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 27.89%EV -10.19%E -3.09%K -4.43%G +0.000% | 8.6% | 2026-05-02 13:55 |
| Bovada | 2.90I 34.48%NM 31.74%EV -5.09%E -1.75%K -2.68%G +0.000% | 2.28I 43.86%NM 40.37%EV -8.67%E -3.80%K -6.78%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 27.89%EV -10.19%E -3.09%K -4.43%G +0.000% | 8.6% | 2026-05-02 13:53 |
| LowVig.ag | 2.88I 34.72%NM 32.68%EV -5.74%E -1.99%K -3.05%G +0.000% | 2.40I 41.67%NM 39.22%EV -3.87%E -1.61%K -2.76%G +0.000% | 3.35I 29.85%NM 28.10%EV -8.83%E -2.64%K -3.76%G +0.000% | 6.2% | 2026-05-02 13:55 |
| NordicBet | 2.88I 34.72%NM 32.58%EV -5.74%E -1.99%K -3.05%G +0.000% | 2.38I 42.02%NM 39.42%EV -4.67%E -1.96%K -3.38%G +0.000% | 3.35I 29.85%NM 28.01%EV -8.83%E -2.64%K -3.76%G +0.000% | 6.6% | 2026-05-02 13:55 |
| Betsson | 2.88I 34.72%NM 32.58%EV -5.74%E -1.99%K -3.05%G +0.000% | 2.38I 42.02%NM 39.42%EV -4.67%E -1.96%K -3.38%G +0.000% | 3.35I 29.85%NM 28.01%EV -8.83%E -2.64%K -3.76%G +0.000% | 6.6% | 2026-05-02 13:55 |
| Bet Victor | 2.88I 34.72%NM 32.52%EV -5.74%E -1.99%K -3.05%G +0.000% | 2.30I 43.48%NM 40.72%EV -7.87%E -3.42%K -6.05%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 26.76%EV -4.75%E -1.36%K -1.90%G +0.000% | 6.8% | 2026-05-02 13:50 |
| Paddy Power | 2.88I 34.72%NM 32.27%EV -5.74%E -1.99%K -3.05%G +0.000% | 2.30I 43.48%NM 40.40%EV -7.87%E -3.42%K -6.05%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 27.33%EV -7.47%E -2.20%K -3.11%G +0.000% | 7.6% | 2026-05-02 13:50 |
| SportsBet | 2.87I 34.84%NM 32.34%EV -6.07%E -2.11%K -3.24%G +0.000% | 2.30I 43.48%NM 40.36%EV -7.87%E -3.42%K -6.05%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 27.30%EV -7.47%E -2.20%K -3.11%G +0.000% | 7.7% | 2026-05-02 13:51 |
| Coolbet | 2.85I 35.09%NM 33.28%EV -6.72%E -2.36%K -3.63%G +0.000% | 2.35I 42.55%NM 40.37%EV -5.87%E -2.50%K -4.35%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 26.35%EV -2.03%E -0.563%K -0.780%G +0.000% | 5.4% | 2026-05-02 13:51 |
| PlayUp | 2.85I 35.09%NM 32.51%EV -6.72%E -2.36%K -3.63%G +0.000% | 2.35I 42.55%NM 39.42%EV -5.87%E -2.50%K -4.35%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 28.07%EV -10.19%E -3.09%K -4.43%G +0.000% | 7.9% | 2026-05-02 13:55 |
| Fanatics | 2.85I 35.09%NM 32.23%EV -6.72%E -2.36%K -3.63%G +0.000% | 2.30I 43.48%NM 39.94%EV -7.87%E -3.42%K -6.05%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 27.83%EV -10.19%E -3.09%K -4.43%G +0.000% | 8.9% | 2026-05-02 13:45 |
| BetOnline.ag | 2.84I 35.21%NM 33.13%EV -7.05%E -2.48%K -3.83%G +0.000% | 2.40I 41.67%NM 39.20%EV -3.87%E -1.61%K -2.76%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 27.67%EV -7.47%E -2.20%K -3.11%G +0.000% | 6.3% | 2026-05-02 13:55 |
| Svenska Spel | 2.80I 35.71%NM 34.14%EV -8.36%E -2.99%K -4.64%G +0.000% | 2.48I 40.32%NM 38.55%EV -0.661%E -0.266%K -0.447%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 27.31%EV -4.75%E -1.36%K -1.90%G +0.000% | 4.6% | 2026-05-02 13:51 |
| ATG (SE) | 2.80I 35.71%NM 34.14%EV -8.36%E -2.99%K -4.64%G +0.000% | 2.48I 40.32%NM 38.55%EV -0.661%E -0.266%K -0.447%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 27.31%EV -4.75%E -1.36%K -1.90%G +0.000% | 4.6% | 2026-05-02 13:51 |
| betfred_uk | 2.80I 35.71%NM 33.85%EV -8.36%E -2.99%K -4.64%G +0.000% | 2.38I 42.02%NM 39.82%EV -4.67%E -1.96%K -3.38%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 26.33%EV -2.03%E -0.563%K -0.780%G +0.000% | 5.5% | 2026-05-02 13:55 |
| Coral | 2.80I 35.71%NM 33.71%EV -8.36%E -2.99%K -4.64%G +0.000% | 2.40I 41.67%NM 39.33%EV -3.87%E -1.61%K -2.76%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 26.97%EV -4.75%E -1.36%K -1.90%G +0.000% | 6.0% | 2026-05-02 13:50 |
| PointsBet (AU) | 2.80I 35.71%NM 33.68%EV -8.36%E -2.99%K -4.64%G +0.000% | 2.35I 42.55%NM 40.13%EV -5.87%E -2.50%K -4.35%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 26.19%EV -2.03%E -0.563%K -0.780%G +0.000% | 6.0% | 2026-05-02 13:51 |
| Betr (AU) | 2.80I 35.71%NM 33.43%EV -8.36%E -2.99%K -4.64%G +0.000% | 2.35I 42.55%NM 39.83%EV -5.87%E -2.50%K -4.35%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 26.74%EV -4.75%E -1.36%K -1.90%G +0.000% | 6.8% | 2026-05-02 13:51 |
| Unibet (UK) | 2.80I 35.71%NM 33.39%EV -8.36%E -2.99%K -4.64%G +0.000% | 2.30I 43.48%NM 40.65%EV -7.87%E -3.42%K -6.05%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 25.97%EV -2.03%E -0.563%K -0.780%G +0.000% | 7.0% | 2026-05-02 13:55 |
| Betway | 2.80I 35.71%NM 33.33%EV -8.36%E -2.99%K -4.64%G +0.000% | 2.38I 42.02%NM 39.22%EV -4.67%E -1.96%K -3.38%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 27.45%EV -7.47%E -2.20%K -3.11%G +0.000% | 7.1% | 2026-05-02 13:41 |
| Bet Right | 2.80I 35.71%NM 33.14%EV -8.36%E -2.99%K -4.64%G +0.000% | 2.30I 43.48%NM 40.35%EV -7.87%E -3.42%K -6.05%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 26.51%EV -4.75%E -1.36%K -1.90%G +0.000% | 7.8% | 2026-05-02 13:51 |
| Sky Bet | 2.80I 35.71%NM 33.14%EV -8.36%E -2.99%K -4.64%G +0.000% | 2.30I 43.48%NM 40.35%EV -7.87%E -3.42%K -6.05%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 26.51%EV -4.75%E -1.36%K -1.90%G +0.000% | 7.8% | 2026-05-02 13:35 |
| Unibet | 2.75I 36.36%NM 34.25%EV -9.99%E -3.63%K -5.71%G +0.000% | 2.45I 40.82%NM 38.45%EV -1.86%E -0.760%K -1.28%G +0.000% | 3.45I 28.99%NM 27.30%EV -6.11%E -1.77%K -2.49%G +0.000% | 6.2% | 2026-05-02 13:50 |
| Unibet (NL) | 2.75I 36.36%NM 34.25%EV -9.99%E -3.63%K -5.71%G +0.000% | 2.45I 40.82%NM 38.45%EV -1.86%E -0.760%K -1.28%G +0.000% | 3.45I 28.99%NM 27.30%EV -6.11%E -1.77%K -2.49%G +0.000% | 6.2% | 2026-05-02 13:50 |
| Unibet (SE) | 2.75I 36.36%NM 34.25%EV -9.99%E -3.63%K -5.71%G +0.000% | 2.45I 40.82%NM 38.45%EV -1.86%E -0.760%K -1.28%G +0.000% | 3.45I 28.99%NM 27.30%EV -6.11%E -1.77%K -2.49%G +0.000% | 6.2% | 2026-05-02 13:51 |
| LeoVegas | 2.75I 36.36%NM 34.25%EV -9.99%E -3.63%K -5.71%G +0.000% | 2.45I 40.82%NM 38.45%EV -1.86%E -0.760%K -1.28%G +0.000% | 3.45I 28.99%NM 27.30%EV -6.11%E -1.77%K -2.49%G +0.000% | 6.2% | 2026-05-02 13:51 |
| Ladbrokes (UK) | 2.75I 36.36%NM 34.11%EV -9.99%E -3.63%K -5.71%G +0.000% | 2.40I 41.67%NM 39.09%EV -3.87%E -1.61%K -2.76%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 26.80%EV -4.75%E -1.36%K -1.90%G +0.000% | 6.6% | 2026-05-02 13:50 |
| Neds | 2.75I 36.36%NM 34.11%EV -9.99%E -3.63%K -5.71%G +0.000% | 2.40I 41.67%NM 39.09%EV -3.87%E -1.61%K -2.76%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 26.80%EV -4.75%E -1.36%K -1.90%G +0.000% | 6.6% | 2026-05-02 13:51 |
| Ladbrokes (AU) | 2.75I 36.36%NM 34.11%EV -9.99%E -3.63%K -5.71%G +0.000% | 2.40I 41.67%NM 39.09%EV -3.87%E -1.61%K -2.76%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 26.80%EV -4.75%E -1.36%K -1.90%G +0.000% | 6.6% | 2026-05-02 13:50 |
| Casumo | 2.75I 36.36%NM 34.01%EV -9.99%E -3.63%K -5.71%G +0.000% | 2.43I 41.15%NM 38.49%EV -2.66%E -1.10%K -1.86%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 27.51%EV -7.47%E -2.20%K -3.11%G +0.000% | 6.9% | 2026-05-02 13:50 |
| Grosvenor | 2.75I 36.36%NM 34.01%EV -9.99%E -3.63%K -5.71%G +0.000% | 2.43I 41.15%NM 38.49%EV -2.66%E -1.10%K -1.86%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 27.51%EV -7.47%E -2.20%K -3.11%G +0.000% | 6.9% | 2026-05-02 13:50 |
| TABtouch | 2.75I 36.36%NM 34.01%EV -9.99%E -3.63%K -5.71%G +0.000% | 2.43I 41.15%NM 38.49%EV -2.66%E -1.10%K -1.86%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 27.51%EV -7.47%E -2.20%K -3.11%G +0.000% | 6.9% | 2026-05-02 13:51 |
| betPARX | 2.75I 36.36%NM 34.01%EV -9.99%E -3.63%K -5.71%G +0.000% | 2.43I 41.15%NM 38.49%EV -2.66%E -1.10%K -1.86%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 27.51%EV -7.47%E -2.20%K -3.11%G +0.000% | 6.9% | 2026-05-02 13:50 |
| BetMGM | 2.75I 36.36%NM 34.00%EV -9.99%E -3.63%K -5.71%G +0.000% | 2.38I 42.02%NM 39.29%EV -4.67%E -1.96%K -3.38%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 26.71%EV -4.75%E -1.36%K -1.90%G +0.000% | 7.0% | 2026-05-02 13:50 |
| BoyleSports | 2.75I 36.36%NM 32.69%EV -9.99%E -3.63%K -5.71%G +0.000% | 2.20I 45.45%NM 40.87%EV -11.88%E -5.40%K -9.90%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 26.44%EV -7.47%E -2.20%K -3.11%G +0.000% | 11.2% | 2026-05-02 13:45 |
| Unibet (FR) | 2.75I 36.36%NM 32.56%EV -9.99%E -3.63%K -5.71%G +0.000% | 2.20I 45.45%NM 40.70%EV -11.88%E -5.40%K -9.90%G +0.000% | 3.35I 29.85%NM 26.73%EV -8.83%E -2.64%K -3.76%G +0.000% | 11.7% | 2026-05-02 13:50 |
| LeoVegas (SE) | 2.70I 37.04%NM 34.26%EV -11.63%E -4.31%K -6.84%G +0.000% | 2.40I 41.67%NM 38.54%EV -3.87%E -1.61%K -2.76%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 27.20%EV -7.47%E -2.20%K -3.11%G +0.000% | 8.1% | 2026-05-02 13:51 |
| BetRivers | 2.70I 37.04%NM 34.14%EV -11.63%E -4.31%K -6.84%G +0.000% | 2.43I 41.15%NM 37.93%EV -2.66%E -1.10%K -1.86%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 27.93%EV -10.19%E -3.09%K -4.43%G +0.000% | 8.5% | 2026-05-02 13:30 |
| Virgin Bet | 2.70I 37.04%NM 34.01%EV -11.63%E -4.31%K -6.84%G +0.000% | 2.38I 42.02%NM 38.58%EV -4.67%E -1.96%K -3.38%G +0.000% | 3.35I 29.85%NM 27.41%EV -8.83%E -2.64%K -3.76%G +0.000% | 8.9% | 2026-05-02 13:51 |
| PMU (FR) | 2.70I 37.04%NM 34.01%EV -11.63%E -4.31%K -6.84%G +0.000% | 2.38I 42.02%NM 38.58%EV -4.67%E -1.96%K -3.38%G +0.000% | 3.35I 29.85%NM 27.41%EV -8.83%E -2.64%K -3.76%G +0.000% | 8.9% | 2026-05-02 13:50 |
| LiveScore Bet | 2.70I 37.04%NM 34.01%EV -11.63%E -4.31%K -6.84%G +0.000% | 2.38I 42.02%NM 38.58%EV -4.67%E -1.96%K -3.38%G +0.000% | 3.35I 29.85%NM 27.41%EV -8.83%E -2.64%K -3.76%G +0.000% | 8.9% | 2026-05-02 13:51 |
| NetBet (FR) | 2.65I 37.74%NM 32.65%EV -13.27%E -5.01%K -8.04%G +0.000% | 2.17I 46.08%NM 39.88%EV -13.08%E -6.03%K -11.18%G +0.000% | 3.15I 31.75%NM 27.47%EV -14.27%E -4.53%K -6.64%G +0.000% | 15.6% | 2026-05-02 13:50 |
Marge = Marge · I = Probabilité implicite · NM = Probabilité sans marge · EV = Espérance mathématique · E = Avantage · K = Critère de Kelly · G = Croissance du capital de jeu
Mise à jour indique le dernier changement de prix de chaque opérateur. Une heure ancienne signifie donc seulement que la cote n’a pas bougé, et non qu’elle est périmée. Les opérateurs absents du flux depuis environ 15 minutes sont normalement écartés ; les derniers prix enregistrés ne sont conservés que si le flux de tout le marché devient silencieux.
Plateformes d’échange (6)
| Opérateur | Local | Visiteur | Match nul | Marge ▲ | Mise à jour |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Matchbook | 3.10I 32.26%NM 32.06% | 2.42I 41.32%NM 41.07% | 3.70I 27.03%NM 26.86% | 0.6% | 2026-05-02 13:55 |
| Betfair Exchange (AU) | 3.10I 32.26%NM 31.95% | 2.40I 41.67%NM 41.27% | 3.70I 27.03%NM 26.77% | 1.0% | 2026-05-02 13:55 |
| Smarkets | 3.10I 32.26%NM 31.95% | 2.42I 41.32%NM 40.92% | 3.65I 27.40%NM 27.13% | 1.0% | 2026-05-02 13:55 |
| Betfair Exchange (EU) | 3.05I 32.79%NM 32.41% | 2.44I 40.98%NM 40.51% | 3.65I 27.40%NM 27.08% | 1.2% | 2026-05-02 13:51 |
| Betfair Exchange (UK) | 3.05I 32.79%NM 32.30% | 2.42I 41.32%NM 40.71% | 3.65I 27.40%NM 26.99% | 1.5% | 2026-05-02 13:55 |
| Kalshi | 3.03I 33.00%NM 32.03% | 2.38I 42.02%NM 40.78% | 3.57I 28.01%NM 27.19% | 3.0% | 2026-05-02 13:56 |