La escuela de los momiosEspañol
Falkirk F.C. v Motherwell
Momios de cierre — las predicciones y el valor esperado calculados con los últimos momios registrados antes del inicio, según el modelo seleccionado. El partido ya comenzó; estas cifras no son datos en vivo. Evalúe la fiabilidad de las predicciones probabilísticas de cada modelo frente a los resultados de todos los partidos resueltos →
Resultado del partido
Falkirk F.C. (Local)
Predicción 32.73%3.06momio equitativo
EV -0.831%
Ventaja -0.274%
Kelly -0.409%
Crecimiento +0.000%
suponiendo unos momios máximos de 3.03
Distribución de las predicciones de los corredores
31.74%32.85%32.57%34.26%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX
Distribución de los momios
2.652.812.803.0337.74%35.55%35.71%33.00%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX
Motherwell (Visitante)
Predicción 40.06%2.50momio equitativo
EV -0.661%
Ventaja -0.266%
Kelly -0.447%
Crecimiento +0.000%
suponiendo unos momios máximos de 2.48
Distribución de las predicciones de los corredores
37.93%39.97%40.10%40.87%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX
Distribución de los momios
2.172.362.382.4846.08%42.41%42.02%40.32%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX
Empate
Predicción 27.21%3.67momio equitativo
EV -2.03%
Ventaja -0.563%
Kelly -0.780%
Crecimiento +0.000%
suponiendo unos momios máximos de 3.60
Distribución de las predicciones de los corredores
25.97%27.18%27.33%28.10%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX
Distribución de los momios
3.153.423.403.6031.75%29.25%29.41%27.78%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX
Momios de las casas de apuestas (52 corredores)
No estamos afiliados a ninguna casa de apuestas ni obtenemos beneficio alguno de las operaciones realizadas con ellas.
| Corredor | Local ▼ | Visitante | Empate | Margen | Actualizado |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Pinnacle | 3.03I 33.00%NM 31.94%EV -0.831%E -0.274%K -0.409%G +0.000% | 2.39I 41.84%NM 40.49%EV -4.27%E -1.78%K -3.07%G +0.000% | 3.51I 28.49%NM 27.57%EV -4.48%E -1.28%K -1.78%G +0.000% | 3.3% | 2026-05-02 13:50 |
| 1xBet | 2.92I 34.25%NM 32.87%EV -4.43%E -1.52%K -2.31%G +0.000% | 2.39I 41.84%NM 40.16%EV -4.27%E -1.78%K -3.07%G +0.000% | 3.56I 28.09%NM 26.96%EV -3.12%E -0.875%K -1.22%G +0.000% | 4.2% | 2026-05-02 13:50 |
| Marathon Bet | 2.91I 34.36%NM 32.04%EV -4.76%E -1.64%K -2.49%G +0.000% | 2.31I 43.29%NM 40.37%EV -7.47%E -3.23%K -5.70%G +0.000% | 3.38I 29.59%NM 27.59%EV -8.01%E -2.37%K -3.37%G +0.000% | 7.2% | 2026-05-02 13:55 |
| DraftKings | 2.90I 34.48%NM 32.65%EV -5.09%E -1.75%K -2.68%G +0.000% | 2.35I 42.55%NM 40.29%EV -5.87%E -2.50%K -4.35%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 27.05%EV -4.75%E -1.36%K -1.90%G +0.000% | 5.6% | 2026-05-02 13:55 |
| FanDuel | 2.90I 34.48%NM 32.11%EV -5.09%E -1.75%K -2.68%G +0.000% | 2.30I 43.48%NM 40.49%EV -7.87%E -3.42%K -6.05%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 27.39%EV -7.47%E -2.20%K -3.11%G +0.000% | 7.4% | 2026-05-02 13:50 |
| Everygame | 2.90I 34.48%NM 32.11%EV -5.09%E -1.75%K -2.68%G +0.000% | 2.30I 43.48%NM 40.49%EV -7.87%E -3.42%K -6.05%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 27.39%EV -7.47%E -2.20%K -3.11%G +0.000% | 7.4% | 2026-05-02 13:45 |
| 888sport | 2.90I 34.48%NM 31.85%EV -5.09%E -1.75%K -2.68%G +0.000% | 2.30I 43.48%NM 40.16%EV -7.87%E -3.42%K -6.05%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 27.99%EV -10.19%E -3.09%K -4.43%G +0.000% | 8.3% | 2026-05-02 13:50 |
| William Hill | 2.90I 34.48%NM 31.85%EV -5.09%E -1.75%K -2.68%G +0.000% | 2.30I 43.48%NM 40.16%EV -7.87%E -3.42%K -6.05%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 27.99%EV -10.19%E -3.09%K -4.43%G +0.000% | 8.3% | 2026-05-02 13:50 |
| 888sport (SE) | 2.90I 34.48%NM 31.85%EV -5.09%E -1.75%K -2.68%G +0.000% | 2.30I 43.48%NM 40.16%EV -7.87%E -3.42%K -6.05%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 27.99%EV -10.19%E -3.09%K -4.43%G +0.000% | 8.3% | 2026-05-02 13:50 |
| Mr Green (SE) | 2.90I 34.48%NM 31.85%EV -5.09%E -1.75%K -2.68%G +0.000% | 2.30I 43.48%NM 40.16%EV -7.87%E -3.42%K -6.05%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 27.99%EV -10.19%E -3.09%K -4.43%G +0.000% | 8.3% | 2026-05-02 13:51 |
| BetUS | 2.90I 34.48%NM 31.74%EV -5.09%E -1.75%K -2.68%G +0.000% | 2.28I 43.86%NM 40.37%EV -8.67%E -3.80%K -6.78%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 27.89%EV -10.19%E -3.09%K -4.43%G +0.000% | 8.6% | 2026-05-02 13:55 |
| Bovada | 2.90I 34.48%NM 31.74%EV -5.09%E -1.75%K -2.68%G +0.000% | 2.28I 43.86%NM 40.37%EV -8.67%E -3.80%K -6.78%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 27.89%EV -10.19%E -3.09%K -4.43%G +0.000% | 8.6% | 2026-05-02 13:53 |
| LowVig.ag | 2.88I 34.72%NM 32.68%EV -5.74%E -1.99%K -3.05%G +0.000% | 2.40I 41.67%NM 39.22%EV -3.87%E -1.61%K -2.76%G +0.000% | 3.35I 29.85%NM 28.10%EV -8.83%E -2.64%K -3.76%G +0.000% | 6.2% | 2026-05-02 13:55 |
| NordicBet | 2.88I 34.72%NM 32.58%EV -5.74%E -1.99%K -3.05%G +0.000% | 2.38I 42.02%NM 39.42%EV -4.67%E -1.96%K -3.38%G +0.000% | 3.35I 29.85%NM 28.01%EV -8.83%E -2.64%K -3.76%G +0.000% | 6.6% | 2026-05-02 13:55 |
| Betsson | 2.88I 34.72%NM 32.58%EV -5.74%E -1.99%K -3.05%G +0.000% | 2.38I 42.02%NM 39.42%EV -4.67%E -1.96%K -3.38%G +0.000% | 3.35I 29.85%NM 28.01%EV -8.83%E -2.64%K -3.76%G +0.000% | 6.6% | 2026-05-02 13:55 |
| Bet Victor | 2.88I 34.72%NM 32.52%EV -5.74%E -1.99%K -3.05%G +0.000% | 2.30I 43.48%NM 40.72%EV -7.87%E -3.42%K -6.05%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 26.76%EV -4.75%E -1.36%K -1.90%G +0.000% | 6.8% | 2026-05-02 13:50 |
| Paddy Power | 2.88I 34.72%NM 32.27%EV -5.74%E -1.99%K -3.05%G +0.000% | 2.30I 43.48%NM 40.40%EV -7.87%E -3.42%K -6.05%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 27.33%EV -7.47%E -2.20%K -3.11%G +0.000% | 7.6% | 2026-05-02 13:50 |
| SportsBet | 2.87I 34.84%NM 32.34%EV -6.07%E -2.11%K -3.24%G +0.000% | 2.30I 43.48%NM 40.36%EV -7.87%E -3.42%K -6.05%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 27.30%EV -7.47%E -2.20%K -3.11%G +0.000% | 7.7% | 2026-05-02 13:51 |
| Coolbet | 2.85I 35.09%NM 33.28%EV -6.72%E -2.36%K -3.63%G +0.000% | 2.35I 42.55%NM 40.37%EV -5.87%E -2.50%K -4.35%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 26.35%EV -2.03%E -0.563%K -0.780%G +0.000% | 5.4% | 2026-05-02 13:51 |
| PlayUp | 2.85I 35.09%NM 32.51%EV -6.72%E -2.36%K -3.63%G +0.000% | 2.35I 42.55%NM 39.42%EV -5.87%E -2.50%K -4.35%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 28.07%EV -10.19%E -3.09%K -4.43%G +0.000% | 7.9% | 2026-05-02 13:55 |
| Fanatics | 2.85I 35.09%NM 32.23%EV -6.72%E -2.36%K -3.63%G +0.000% | 2.30I 43.48%NM 39.94%EV -7.87%E -3.42%K -6.05%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 27.83%EV -10.19%E -3.09%K -4.43%G +0.000% | 8.9% | 2026-05-02 13:45 |
| BetOnline.ag | 2.84I 35.21%NM 33.13%EV -7.05%E -2.48%K -3.83%G +0.000% | 2.40I 41.67%NM 39.20%EV -3.87%E -1.61%K -2.76%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 27.67%EV -7.47%E -2.20%K -3.11%G +0.000% | 6.3% | 2026-05-02 13:55 |
| Svenska Spel | 2.80I 35.71%NM 34.14%EV -8.36%E -2.99%K -4.64%G +0.000% | 2.48I 40.32%NM 38.55%EV -0.661%E -0.266%K -0.447%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 27.31%EV -4.75%E -1.36%K -1.90%G +0.000% | 4.6% | 2026-05-02 13:51 |
| ATG (SE) | 2.80I 35.71%NM 34.14%EV -8.36%E -2.99%K -4.64%G +0.000% | 2.48I 40.32%NM 38.55%EV -0.661%E -0.266%K -0.447%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 27.31%EV -4.75%E -1.36%K -1.90%G +0.000% | 4.6% | 2026-05-02 13:51 |
| betfred_uk | 2.80I 35.71%NM 33.85%EV -8.36%E -2.99%K -4.64%G +0.000% | 2.38I 42.02%NM 39.82%EV -4.67%E -1.96%K -3.38%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 26.33%EV -2.03%E -0.563%K -0.780%G +0.000% | 5.5% | 2026-05-02 13:55 |
| Coral | 2.80I 35.71%NM 33.71%EV -8.36%E -2.99%K -4.64%G +0.000% | 2.40I 41.67%NM 39.33%EV -3.87%E -1.61%K -2.76%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 26.97%EV -4.75%E -1.36%K -1.90%G +0.000% | 6.0% | 2026-05-02 13:50 |
| PointsBet (AU) | 2.80I 35.71%NM 33.68%EV -8.36%E -2.99%K -4.64%G +0.000% | 2.35I 42.55%NM 40.13%EV -5.87%E -2.50%K -4.35%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 26.19%EV -2.03%E -0.563%K -0.780%G +0.000% | 6.0% | 2026-05-02 13:51 |
| Betr (AU) | 2.80I 35.71%NM 33.43%EV -8.36%E -2.99%K -4.64%G +0.000% | 2.35I 42.55%NM 39.83%EV -5.87%E -2.50%K -4.35%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 26.74%EV -4.75%E -1.36%K -1.90%G +0.000% | 6.8% | 2026-05-02 13:51 |
| Unibet (UK) | 2.80I 35.71%NM 33.39%EV -8.36%E -2.99%K -4.64%G +0.000% | 2.30I 43.48%NM 40.65%EV -7.87%E -3.42%K -6.05%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 25.97%EV -2.03%E -0.563%K -0.780%G +0.000% | 7.0% | 2026-05-02 13:55 |
| Betway | 2.80I 35.71%NM 33.33%EV -8.36%E -2.99%K -4.64%G +0.000% | 2.38I 42.02%NM 39.22%EV -4.67%E -1.96%K -3.38%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 27.45%EV -7.47%E -2.20%K -3.11%G +0.000% | 7.1% | 2026-05-02 13:41 |
| Bet Right | 2.80I 35.71%NM 33.14%EV -8.36%E -2.99%K -4.64%G +0.000% | 2.30I 43.48%NM 40.35%EV -7.87%E -3.42%K -6.05%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 26.51%EV -4.75%E -1.36%K -1.90%G +0.000% | 7.8% | 2026-05-02 13:51 |
| Sky Bet | 2.80I 35.71%NM 33.14%EV -8.36%E -2.99%K -4.64%G +0.000% | 2.30I 43.48%NM 40.35%EV -7.87%E -3.42%K -6.05%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 26.51%EV -4.75%E -1.36%K -1.90%G +0.000% | 7.8% | 2026-05-02 13:35 |
| Unibet | 2.75I 36.36%NM 34.25%EV -9.99%E -3.63%K -5.71%G +0.000% | 2.45I 40.82%NM 38.45%EV -1.86%E -0.760%K -1.28%G +0.000% | 3.45I 28.99%NM 27.30%EV -6.11%E -1.77%K -2.49%G +0.000% | 6.2% | 2026-05-02 13:50 |
| Unibet (NL) | 2.75I 36.36%NM 34.25%EV -9.99%E -3.63%K -5.71%G +0.000% | 2.45I 40.82%NM 38.45%EV -1.86%E -0.760%K -1.28%G +0.000% | 3.45I 28.99%NM 27.30%EV -6.11%E -1.77%K -2.49%G +0.000% | 6.2% | 2026-05-02 13:50 |
| Unibet (SE) | 2.75I 36.36%NM 34.25%EV -9.99%E -3.63%K -5.71%G +0.000% | 2.45I 40.82%NM 38.45%EV -1.86%E -0.760%K -1.28%G +0.000% | 3.45I 28.99%NM 27.30%EV -6.11%E -1.77%K -2.49%G +0.000% | 6.2% | 2026-05-02 13:51 |
| LeoVegas | 2.75I 36.36%NM 34.25%EV -9.99%E -3.63%K -5.71%G +0.000% | 2.45I 40.82%NM 38.45%EV -1.86%E -0.760%K -1.28%G +0.000% | 3.45I 28.99%NM 27.30%EV -6.11%E -1.77%K -2.49%G +0.000% | 6.2% | 2026-05-02 13:51 |
| Ladbrokes (UK) | 2.75I 36.36%NM 34.11%EV -9.99%E -3.63%K -5.71%G +0.000% | 2.40I 41.67%NM 39.09%EV -3.87%E -1.61%K -2.76%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 26.80%EV -4.75%E -1.36%K -1.90%G +0.000% | 6.6% | 2026-05-02 13:50 |
| Neds | 2.75I 36.36%NM 34.11%EV -9.99%E -3.63%K -5.71%G +0.000% | 2.40I 41.67%NM 39.09%EV -3.87%E -1.61%K -2.76%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 26.80%EV -4.75%E -1.36%K -1.90%G +0.000% | 6.6% | 2026-05-02 13:51 |
| Ladbrokes (AU) | 2.75I 36.36%NM 34.11%EV -9.99%E -3.63%K -5.71%G +0.000% | 2.40I 41.67%NM 39.09%EV -3.87%E -1.61%K -2.76%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 26.80%EV -4.75%E -1.36%K -1.90%G +0.000% | 6.6% | 2026-05-02 13:50 |
| Casumo | 2.75I 36.36%NM 34.01%EV -9.99%E -3.63%K -5.71%G +0.000% | 2.43I 41.15%NM 38.49%EV -2.66%E -1.10%K -1.86%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 27.51%EV -7.47%E -2.20%K -3.11%G +0.000% | 6.9% | 2026-05-02 13:50 |
| Grosvenor | 2.75I 36.36%NM 34.01%EV -9.99%E -3.63%K -5.71%G +0.000% | 2.43I 41.15%NM 38.49%EV -2.66%E -1.10%K -1.86%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 27.51%EV -7.47%E -2.20%K -3.11%G +0.000% | 6.9% | 2026-05-02 13:50 |
| TABtouch | 2.75I 36.36%NM 34.01%EV -9.99%E -3.63%K -5.71%G +0.000% | 2.43I 41.15%NM 38.49%EV -2.66%E -1.10%K -1.86%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 27.51%EV -7.47%E -2.20%K -3.11%G +0.000% | 6.9% | 2026-05-02 13:51 |
| betPARX | 2.75I 36.36%NM 34.01%EV -9.99%E -3.63%K -5.71%G +0.000% | 2.43I 41.15%NM 38.49%EV -2.66%E -1.10%K -1.86%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 27.51%EV -7.47%E -2.20%K -3.11%G +0.000% | 6.9% | 2026-05-02 13:50 |
| BetMGM | 2.75I 36.36%NM 34.00%EV -9.99%E -3.63%K -5.71%G +0.000% | 2.38I 42.02%NM 39.29%EV -4.67%E -1.96%K -3.38%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 26.71%EV -4.75%E -1.36%K -1.90%G +0.000% | 7.0% | 2026-05-02 13:50 |
| BoyleSports | 2.75I 36.36%NM 32.69%EV -9.99%E -3.63%K -5.71%G +0.000% | 2.20I 45.45%NM 40.87%EV -11.88%E -5.40%K -9.90%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 26.44%EV -7.47%E -2.20%K -3.11%G +0.000% | 11.2% | 2026-05-02 13:45 |
| Unibet (FR) | 2.75I 36.36%NM 32.56%EV -9.99%E -3.63%K -5.71%G +0.000% | 2.20I 45.45%NM 40.70%EV -11.88%E -5.40%K -9.90%G +0.000% | 3.35I 29.85%NM 26.73%EV -8.83%E -2.64%K -3.76%G +0.000% | 11.7% | 2026-05-02 13:50 |
| LeoVegas (SE) | 2.70I 37.04%NM 34.26%EV -11.63%E -4.31%K -6.84%G +0.000% | 2.40I 41.67%NM 38.54%EV -3.87%E -1.61%K -2.76%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 27.20%EV -7.47%E -2.20%K -3.11%G +0.000% | 8.1% | 2026-05-02 13:51 |
| BetRivers | 2.70I 37.04%NM 34.14%EV -11.63%E -4.31%K -6.84%G +0.000% | 2.43I 41.15%NM 37.93%EV -2.66%E -1.10%K -1.86%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 27.93%EV -10.19%E -3.09%K -4.43%G +0.000% | 8.5% | 2026-05-02 13:30 |
| Virgin Bet | 2.70I 37.04%NM 34.01%EV -11.63%E -4.31%K -6.84%G +0.000% | 2.38I 42.02%NM 38.58%EV -4.67%E -1.96%K -3.38%G +0.000% | 3.35I 29.85%NM 27.41%EV -8.83%E -2.64%K -3.76%G +0.000% | 8.9% | 2026-05-02 13:51 |
| PMU (FR) | 2.70I 37.04%NM 34.01%EV -11.63%E -4.31%K -6.84%G +0.000% | 2.38I 42.02%NM 38.58%EV -4.67%E -1.96%K -3.38%G +0.000% | 3.35I 29.85%NM 27.41%EV -8.83%E -2.64%K -3.76%G +0.000% | 8.9% | 2026-05-02 13:50 |
| LiveScore Bet | 2.70I 37.04%NM 34.01%EV -11.63%E -4.31%K -6.84%G +0.000% | 2.38I 42.02%NM 38.58%EV -4.67%E -1.96%K -3.38%G +0.000% | 3.35I 29.85%NM 27.41%EV -8.83%E -2.64%K -3.76%G +0.000% | 8.9% | 2026-05-02 13:51 |
| NetBet (FR) | 2.65I 37.74%NM 32.65%EV -13.27%E -5.01%K -8.04%G +0.000% | 2.17I 46.08%NM 39.88%EV -13.08%E -6.03%K -11.18%G +0.000% | 3.15I 31.75%NM 27.47%EV -14.27%E -4.53%K -6.64%G +0.000% | 15.6% | 2026-05-02 13:50 |
Margen = Margen del corredor · I = Probabilidad implícita · NM = Probabilidad sin margen · EV = Valor esperado · E = Ventaja · K = Criterio de Kelly · G = Crecimiento del capital de apuestas
Actualizado indica cuándo actualizó cada corredor sus momios por última vez. Una hora anterior significa que los momios no han cambiado, no necesariamente que estén desactualizados. Por lo general se descartan los corredores de los que no se han recibido datos durante unos 15 minutos; solo cuando toda la fuente de un mercado deja de informar se conservan los últimos momios registrados.
Bolsas de apuestas (6)
| Corredor | Local | Visitante | Empate | Margen ▲ | Actualizado |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Matchbook | 3.10I 32.26%NM 32.06% | 2.42I 41.32%NM 41.07% | 3.70I 27.03%NM 26.86% | 0.6% | 2026-05-02 13:55 |
| Betfair Exchange (AU) | 3.10I 32.26%NM 31.95% | 2.40I 41.67%NM 41.27% | 3.70I 27.03%NM 26.77% | 1.0% | 2026-05-02 13:55 |
| Smarkets | 3.10I 32.26%NM 31.95% | 2.42I 41.32%NM 40.92% | 3.65I 27.40%NM 27.13% | 1.0% | 2026-05-02 13:55 |
| Betfair Exchange (EU) | 3.05I 32.79%NM 32.41% | 2.44I 40.98%NM 40.51% | 3.65I 27.40%NM 27.08% | 1.2% | 2026-05-02 13:51 |
| Betfair Exchange (UK) | 3.05I 32.79%NM 32.30% | 2.42I 41.32%NM 40.71% | 3.65I 27.40%NM 26.99% | 1.5% | 2026-05-02 13:55 |
| Kalshi | 3.03I 33.00%NM 32.03% | 2.38I 42.02%NM 40.78% | 3.57I 28.01%NM 27.19% | 3.0% | 2026-05-02 13:56 |