Language:English
Celtic v St Mirren
Closing line — the calculated probabilities and expected value from the last prices recorded before kickoff, under your selected model. The game has started, so these are not live figures. Assess the reliability of each model's probability predictions against all settled-game outcomes →
Head to Head
Celtic (Local)
Prediction 73.81%1.35fair odd
EV -2.58%
Edge -1.95%
Kelly -8.05%
Growth +0.000%
assuming max odds 1.32
Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
71.46%73.73%73.78%75.88%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
1.191.251.251.3284.03%79.76%80.00%75.76%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
St Mirren (Visit)
Prediction 9.91%10.09fair odd
EV +4.06%
Edge +0.387%
Kelly +0.428%
Growth +0.017%
assuming max odds 10.50
Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
8.68%10.03%9.84%11.53%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
7.759.259.2010.5012.90%10.81%10.87%9.52%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Draw
Prediction 16.28%6.14fair odd
EV +5.84%
Edge +0.899%
Kelly +1.06%
Growth +0.062%
assuming max odds 6.50
Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
14.01%16.24%16.38%17.69%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
5.105.705.756.5019.61%17.54%17.39%15.38%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
At the last prices before kickoff, Interquartile mean (Vetted List) estimated these probabilities for Head to Head: Celtic (Local): 73.81%; St Mirren (Visit): 9.91%; Draw: 16.28%. For Draw, that estimate was equivalent to fair decimal odds of 6.14. 4 bookmakers offered closing odds above that level; the best were 6.50, corresponding to a positive expected value of +5.84%.
Sportsbook Odds (51 sportsbooks)
We're not affiliated with any bookmaker, we earn nothing from any action done with them.
| Bookmaker | Local | Visit | Draw ▼ | Margin | Updated |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Tipico (DE)🎯 | 1.20I 83.33%NM 75.88%EV -11.43%E -9.53%K -57.16%G +0.000% | 9.00I 11.11%NM 10.12%EV -10.80%E -1.20%K -1.35%G +0.000% | 6.50I 15.38%NM 14.01%EV +5.84%E +0.899%K +1.06%G +0.062% | 9.8% | 2026-04-11 14:00 |
| Pinnacle🎯 | 1.27I 78.74%NM 75.58%EV -6.27%E -4.93%K -23.21%G +0.000% | 10.45I 9.57%NM 9.19%EV +3.57%E +0.341%K +0.378%G +0.013% | 6.30I 15.87%NM 15.24%EV +2.59%E +0.410%K +0.488%G +0.013% | 4.2% | 2026-04-11 13:59 |
| Svenska Spel🎯 | 1.30I 76.92%NM 75.09%EV -4.05%E -3.12%K -13.51%G +0.000% | 10.50I 9.52%NM 9.30%EV +4.06%E +0.387%K +0.428%G +0.017% | 6.25I 16.00%NM 15.62%EV +1.77%E +0.283%K +0.337%G +0.006% | 2.4% | 2026-04-11 14:00 |
| betPARX🎯 | 1.30I 76.92%NM 75.09%EV -4.05%E -3.12%K -13.51%G +0.000% | 10.50I 9.52%NM 9.30%EV +4.06%E +0.387%K +0.428%G +0.017% | 6.25I 16.00%NM 15.62%EV +1.77%E +0.283%K +0.337%G +0.006% | 2.4% | 2026-04-11 14:00 |
| Ladbrokes (UK)🎯 | 1.28I 78.13%NM 73.77%EV -5.53%E -4.32%K -19.74%G +0.000% | 9.00I 11.11%NM 10.49%EV -10.80%E -1.20%K -1.35%G +0.000% | 6.00I 16.67%NM 15.74%EV -2.30%E -0.383%K -0.460%G +0.000% | 5.9% | 2026-04-11 14:00 |
| Coral🎯 | 1.28I 78.13%NM 73.77%EV -5.53%E -4.32%K -19.74%G +0.000% | 9.00I 11.11%NM 10.49%EV -10.80%E -1.20%K -1.35%G +0.000% | 6.00I 16.67%NM 15.74%EV -2.30%E -0.383%K -0.460%G +0.000% | 5.9% | 2026-04-11 14:01 |
| Unibet🎯 | 1.26I 79.37%NM 74.85%EV -7.00%E -5.56%K -26.94%G +0.000% | 10.00I 10.00%NM 9.43%EV -0.892%E -0.089%K -0.099%G +0.000% | 6.00I 16.67%NM 15.72%EV -2.30%E -0.383%K -0.460%G +0.000% | 6.0% | 2026-04-11 14:00 |
| Bet Victor🎯 | 1.25I 80.00%NM 75.00%EV -7.74%E -6.19%K -30.97%G +0.000% | 10.00I 10.00%NM 9.38%EV -0.892%E -0.089%K -0.099%G +0.000% | 6.00I 16.67%NM 15.63%EV -2.30%E -0.383%K -0.460%G +0.000% | 6.7% | 2026-04-11 13:59 |
| Everygame🎯 | 1.25I 80.00%NM 74.63%EV -7.74%E -6.19%K -30.97%G +0.000% | 9.50I 10.53%NM 9.82%EV -5.85%E -0.615%K -0.688%G +0.000% | 6.00I 16.67%NM 15.55%EV -2.30%E -0.383%K -0.460%G +0.000% | 7.2% | 2026-04-11 13:59 |
| Fanatics🎯 | 1.22I 81.97%NM 75.45%EV -9.96%E -8.16%K -45.26%G +0.000% | 10.00I 10.00%NM 9.21%EV -0.892%E -0.089%K -0.099%G +0.000% | 6.00I 16.67%NM 15.34%EV -2.30%E -0.383%K -0.460%G +0.000% | 8.6% | 2026-04-11 14:00 |
| Sky Bet🎯 | 1.22I 81.97%NM 74.69%EV -9.96%E -8.16%K -45.26%G +0.000% | 9.00I 11.11%NM 10.12%EV -10.80%E -1.20%K -1.35%G +0.000% | 6.00I 16.67%NM 15.19%EV -2.30%E -0.383%K -0.460%G +0.000% | 9.7% | 2026-04-11 14:00 |
| Marathon Bet🎯 | 1.26I 79.37%NM 74.05%EV -7.00%E -5.56%K -26.94%G +0.000% | 9.20I 10.87%NM 10.14%EV -8.82%E -0.959%K -1.08%G +0.000% | 5.90I 16.95%NM 15.81%EV -3.93%E -0.666%K -0.802%G +0.000% | 7.2% | 2026-04-11 14:00 |
| FanDuel🎯 | 1.24I 80.65%NM 74.59%EV -8.48%E -6.84%K -35.34%G +0.000% | 9.50I 10.53%NM 9.74%EV -5.85%E -0.615%K -0.688%G +0.000% | 5.90I 16.95%NM 15.68%EV -3.93%E -0.666%K -0.802%G +0.000% | 8.1% | 2026-04-11 13:58 |
| Ladbrokes (AU)🎯 | 1.28I 78.13%NM 72.92%EV -5.53%E -4.32%K -19.74%G +0.000% | 8.50I 11.76%NM 10.98%EV -15.76%E -1.85%K -2.10%G +0.000% | 5.80I 17.24%NM 16.09%EV -5.56%E -0.958%K -1.16%G +0.000% | 7.1% | 2026-04-11 13:59 |
| Neds🎯 | 1.28I 78.13%NM 72.92%EV -5.53%E -4.32%K -19.74%G +0.000% | 8.50I 11.76%NM 10.98%EV -15.76%E -1.85%K -2.10%G +0.000% | 5.80I 17.24%NM 16.09%EV -5.56%E -0.958%K -1.16%G +0.000% | 7.1% | 2026-04-11 13:59 |
| Unibet (SE)🎯 | 1.26I 79.37%NM 74.08%EV -7.00%E -5.56%K -26.94%G +0.000% | 9.50I 10.53%NM 9.83%EV -5.85%E -0.615%K -0.688%G +0.000% | 5.80I 17.24%NM 16.09%EV -5.56%E -0.958%K -1.16%G +0.000% | 7.1% | 2026-04-11 14:01 |
| ATG (SE)🎯 | 1.26I 79.37%NM 74.08%EV -7.00%E -5.56%K -26.94%G +0.000% | 9.50I 10.53%NM 9.83%EV -5.85%E -0.615%K -0.688%G +0.000% | 5.80I 17.24%NM 16.09%EV -5.56%E -0.958%K -1.16%G +0.000% | 7.1% | 2026-04-11 14:01 |
| BetRivers🎯 | 1.24I 80.65%NM 74.75%EV -8.48%E -6.84%K -35.34%G +0.000% | 10.00I 10.00%NM 9.27%EV -0.892%E -0.089%K -0.099%G +0.000% | 5.80I 17.24%NM 15.98%EV -5.56%E -0.958%K -1.16%G +0.000% | 7.9% | 2026-04-11 13:54 |
| TABtouch🎯 | 1.24I 80.65%NM 74.75%EV -8.48%E -6.84%K -35.34%G +0.000% | 10.00I 10.00%NM 9.27%EV -0.892%E -0.089%K -0.099%G +0.000% | 5.80I 17.24%NM 15.98%EV -5.56%E -0.958%K -1.16%G +0.000% | 7.9% | 2026-04-11 14:01 |
| Coolbet🎯 | 1.29I 77.52%NM 73.89%EV -4.79%E -3.71%K -16.52%G +0.000% | 10.00I 10.00%NM 9.53%EV -0.892%E -0.089%K -0.099%G +0.000% | 5.75I 17.39%NM 16.58%EV -6.37%E -1.11%K -1.34%G +0.000% | 4.9% | 2026-04-11 13:59 |
| Unibet (UK)🎯 | 1.29I 77.52%NM 73.12%EV -4.79%E -3.71%K -16.52%G +0.000% | 9.00I 11.11%NM 10.48%EV -10.80%E -1.20%K -1.35%G +0.000% | 5.75I 17.39%NM 16.40%EV -6.37%E -1.11%K -1.34%G +0.000% | 6.0% | 2026-04-11 13:59 |
| Casumo🎯 | 1.27I 78.74%NM 73.83%EV -6.27%E -4.93%K -23.21%G +0.000% | 9.50I 10.53%NM 9.87%EV -5.85%E -0.615%K -0.688%G +0.000% | 5.75I 17.39%NM 16.31%EV -6.37%E -1.11%K -1.34%G +0.000% | 6.7% | 2026-04-11 14:00 |
| Betr (AU)🎯 | 1.27I 78.74%NM 73.83%EV -6.27%E -4.93%K -23.21%G +0.000% | 9.50I 10.53%NM 9.87%EV -5.85%E -0.615%K -0.688%G +0.000% | 5.75I 17.39%NM 16.31%EV -6.37%E -1.11%K -1.34%G +0.000% | 6.7% | 2026-04-11 13:59 |
| PlayUp🎯 | 1.25I 80.00%NM 74.13%EV -7.74%E -6.19%K -30.97%G +0.000% | 9.50I 10.53%NM 9.75%EV -5.85%E -0.615%K -0.688%G +0.000% | 5.75I 17.39%NM 16.12%EV -6.37%E -1.11%K -1.34%G +0.000% | 7.9% | 2026-04-11 14:00 |
| BetUS🎯 | 1.24I 80.65%NM 74.09%EV -8.48%E -6.84%K -35.34%G +0.000% | 9.25I 10.81%NM 9.93%EV -8.32%E -0.900%K -1.01%G +0.000% | 5.75I 17.39%NM 15.98%EV -6.37%E -1.11%K -1.34%G +0.000% | 8.8% | 2026-04-11 13:59 |
| Virgin Bet🎯 | 1.22I 81.97%NM 74.59%EV -9.96%E -8.16%K -45.26%G +0.000% | 9.50I 10.53%NM 9.58%EV -5.85%E -0.615%K -0.688%G +0.000% | 5.75I 17.39%NM 15.83%EV -6.37%E -1.11%K -1.34%G +0.000% | 9.9% | 2026-04-11 14:00 |
| LiveScore Bet🎯 | 1.22I 81.97%NM 74.59%EV -9.96%E -8.16%K -45.26%G +0.000% | 9.50I 10.53%NM 9.58%EV -5.85%E -0.615%K -0.688%G +0.000% | 5.75I 17.39%NM 15.83%EV -6.37%E -1.11%K -1.34%G +0.000% | 9.9% | 2026-04-11 14:00 |
| 1xBet🎯 | 1.32I 75.76%NM 72.57%EV -2.58%E -1.95%K -8.05%G +0.000% | 8.94I 11.19%NM 10.71%EV -11.40%E -1.27%K -1.44%G +0.000% | 5.73I 17.45%NM 16.72%EV -6.70%E -1.17%K -1.42%G +0.000% | 4.4% | 2026-04-11 13:59 |
| LowVig.ag🎯 | 1.23I 81.30%NM 73.41%EV -9.22%E -7.49%K -40.08%G +0.000% | 8.40I 11.90%NM 10.75%EV -16.75%E -1.99%K -2.26%G +0.000% | 5.70I 17.54%NM 15.84%EV -7.18%E -1.26%K -1.53%G +0.000% | 10.7% | 2026-04-11 14:00 |
| BetOnline.ag🎯 | 1.23I 81.30%NM 73.41%EV -9.22%E -7.49%K -40.08%G +0.000% | 8.40I 11.90%NM 10.75%EV -16.75%E -1.99%K -2.26%G +0.000% | 5.70I 17.54%NM 15.84%EV -7.18%E -1.26%K -1.53%G +0.000% | 10.7% | 2026-04-11 14:00 |
| Unibet (NL)🎯 | 1.25I 80.00%NM 73.42%EV -7.74%E -6.19%K -30.97%G +0.000% | 9.00I 11.11%NM 10.20%EV -10.80%E -1.20%K -1.35%G +0.000% | 5.60I 17.86%NM 16.39%EV -8.81%E -1.57%K -1.92%G +0.000% | 9.0% | 2026-04-11 14:01 |
| Grosvenor🎯 | 1.25I 80.00%NM 73.42%EV -7.74%E -6.19%K -30.97%G +0.000% | 9.00I 11.11%NM 10.20%EV -10.80%E -1.20%K -1.35%G +0.000% | 5.60I 17.86%NM 16.39%EV -8.81%E -1.57%K -1.92%G +0.000% | 9.0% | 2026-04-11 14:01 |
| DraftKings🎯 | 1.28I 78.13%NM 73.13%EV -5.53%E -4.32%K -19.74%G +0.000% | 9.50I 10.53%NM 9.85%EV -5.85%E -0.615%K -0.688%G +0.000% | 5.50I 18.18%NM 17.02%EV -10.44%E -1.90%K -2.32%G +0.000% | 6.8% | 2026-04-11 14:01 |
| Bet Right🎯 | 1.27I 78.74%NM 73.28%EV -6.27%E -4.93%K -23.21%G +0.000% | 9.50I 10.53%NM 9.80%EV -5.85%E -0.615%K -0.688%G +0.000% | 5.50I 18.18%NM 16.92%EV -10.44%E -1.90%K -2.32%G +0.000% | 7.4% | 2026-04-11 13:59 |
| BoyleSports🎯 | 1.25I 80.00%NM 73.95%EV -7.74%E -6.19%K -30.97%G +0.000% | 10.00I 10.00%NM 9.24%EV -0.892%E -0.089%K -0.099%G +0.000% | 5.50I 18.18%NM 16.81%EV -10.44%E -1.90%K -2.32%G +0.000% | 8.2% | 2026-04-11 14:00 |
| Paddy Power🎯 | 1.25I 80.00%NM 73.95%EV -7.74%E -6.19%K -30.97%G +0.000% | 10.00I 10.00%NM 9.24%EV -0.892%E -0.089%K -0.099%G +0.000% | 5.50I 18.18%NM 16.81%EV -10.44%E -1.90%K -2.32%G +0.000% | 8.2% | 2026-04-11 14:01 |
| William Hill🎯 | 1.25I 80.00%NM 73.20%EV -7.74%E -6.19%K -30.97%G +0.000% | 9.00I 11.11%NM 10.17%EV -10.80%E -1.20%K -1.35%G +0.000% | 5.50I 18.18%NM 16.64%EV -10.44%E -1.90%K -2.32%G +0.000% | 9.3% | 2026-04-11 14:00 |
| 888sport🎯 | 1.25I 80.00%NM 73.20%EV -7.74%E -6.19%K -30.97%G +0.000% | 9.00I 11.11%NM 10.17%EV -10.80%E -1.20%K -1.35%G +0.000% | 5.50I 18.18%NM 16.64%EV -10.44%E -1.90%K -2.32%G +0.000% | 9.3% | 2026-04-11 14:00 |
| 888sport (SE)🎯 | 1.25I 80.00%NM 73.20%EV -7.74%E -6.19%K -30.97%G +0.000% | 9.00I 11.11%NM 10.17%EV -10.80%E -1.20%K -1.35%G +0.000% | 5.50I 18.18%NM 16.64%EV -10.44%E -1.90%K -2.32%G +0.000% | 9.3% | 2026-04-11 14:00 |
| Mr Green (SE)🎯 | 1.25I 80.00%NM 73.20%EV -7.74%E -6.19%K -30.97%G +0.000% | 9.00I 11.11%NM 10.17%EV -10.80%E -1.20%K -1.35%G +0.000% | 5.50I 18.18%NM 16.64%EV -10.44%E -1.90%K -2.32%G +0.000% | 9.3% | 2026-04-11 14:01 |
| SportsBet🎯 | 1.22I 81.97%NM 74.74%EV -9.96%E -8.16%K -45.26%G +0.000% | 10.50I 9.52%NM 8.68%EV +4.06%E +0.387%K +0.428%G +0.017% | 5.50I 18.18%NM 16.58%EV -10.44%E -1.90%K -2.32%G +0.000% | 9.7% | 2026-04-11 13:59 |
| LeoVegas🎯 | 1.24I 80.65%NM 73.13%EV -8.48%E -6.84%K -35.34%G +0.000% | 9.00I 11.11%NM 10.08%EV -10.80%E -1.20%K -1.35%G +0.000% | 5.40I 18.52%NM 16.79%EV -12.07%E -2.24%K -2.74%G +0.000% | 10.3% | 2026-04-11 14:00 |
| Codere (IT)🎯 | 1.26I 79.37%NM 71.90%EV -7.00%E -5.56%K -26.94%G +0.000% | 8.00I 12.50%NM 11.32%EV -20.71%E -2.59%K -2.96%G +0.000% | 5.40I 18.52%NM 16.78%EV -12.07%E -2.24%K -2.74%G +0.000% | 10.4% | 2026-04-11 14:00 |
| LeoVegas (SE)🎯 | 1.23I 81.30%NM 73.29%EV -9.22%E -7.49%K -40.08%G +0.000% | 9.00I 11.11%NM 10.02%EV -10.80%E -1.20%K -1.35%G +0.000% | 5.40I 18.52%NM 16.69%EV -12.07%E -2.24%K -2.74%G +0.000% | 10.9% | 2026-04-11 14:00 |
| Unibet (FR)🎯 | 1.24I 80.65%NM 72.22%EV -8.48%E -6.84%K -35.34%G +0.000% | 8.00I 12.50%NM 11.19%EV -20.71%E -2.59%K -2.96%G +0.000% | 5.40I 18.52%NM 16.58%EV -12.07%E -2.24%K -2.74%G +0.000% | 11.7% | 2026-04-11 13:59 |
| NordicBet🎯 | 1.26I 79.37%NM 72.78%EV -7.00%E -5.56%K -26.94%G +0.000% | 9.10I 10.99%NM 10.08%EV -9.81%E -1.08%K -1.21%G +0.000% | 5.35I 18.69%NM 17.14%EV -12.88%E -2.41%K -2.96%G +0.000% | 9.0% | 2026-04-11 14:00 |
| PointsBet (AU)🎯 | 1.28I 78.13%NM 72.54%EV -5.53%E -4.32%K -19.74%G +0.000% | 9.50I 10.53%NM 9.77%EV -5.85%E -0.615%K -0.688%G +0.000% | 5.25I 19.05%NM 17.69%EV -14.51%E -2.76%K -3.41%G +0.000% | 7.7% | 2026-04-11 14:00 |
| Betway🎯 | 1.29I 77.52%NM 71.56%EV -4.79%E -3.71%K -16.52%G +0.000% | 8.50I 11.76%NM 10.86%EV -15.76%E -1.85%K -2.10%G +0.000% | 5.25I 19.05%NM 17.58%EV -14.51%E -2.76%K -3.41%G +0.000% | 8.3% | 2026-04-11 14:00 |
| BetMGM🎯 | 1.25I 80.00%NM 71.46%EV -7.74%E -6.19%K -30.97%G +0.000% | 7.75I 12.90%NM 11.53%EV -23.19%E -2.99%K -3.44%G +0.000% | 5.25I 19.05%NM 17.01%EV -14.51%E -2.76%K -3.41%G +0.000% | 12.0% | 2026-04-11 14:01 |
| PMU (FR)🎯 | 1.21I 82.64%NM 72.72%EV -10.69%E -8.84%K -50.93%G +0.000% | 8.50I 11.76%NM 10.35%EV -15.76%E -1.85%K -2.10%G +0.000% | 5.20I 19.23%NM 16.92%EV -15.33%E -2.95%K -3.65%G +0.000% | 13.6% | 2026-04-11 14:00 |
| NetBet (FR)🎯 | 1.19I 84.03%NM 72.35%EV -12.17%E -10.23%K -64.06%G +0.000% | 8.00I 12.50%NM 10.76%EV -20.71%E -2.59%K -2.96%G +0.000% | 5.10I 19.61%NM 16.88%EV -16.95%E -3.32%K -4.14%G +0.000% | 16.1% | 2026-04-11 13:58 |
Margin = Margin (Overround) · I = Implied Probability · NM = No-Margin Probability · EV = Expected Value · E = Edge · K = Kelly Criterion · G = Bankroll Growth
Updated is when each book last changed its price, so an older time means the odds simply haven't moved, not that the price is stale. Books not seen in the last ~15 minutes are normally dropped; only if a whole market's feed goes quiet are the latest recorded prices shown instead.
Exchanges (6)
| Bookmaker | Local | Visit | Draw | Margin ▲ | Updated |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Smarkets◎ | 1.29I 77.52%NM 77.24% | 13.00I 7.69%NM 7.66% | 6.60I 15.15%NM 15.10% | 0.4% | 2026-04-11 14:00 |
| Betfair Exchange (EU)◎ | 1.30I 76.92%NM 76.50% | 12.50I 8.00%NM 7.96% | 6.40I 15.63%NM 15.54% | 0.5% | 2026-04-11 14:00 |
| Betfair Exchange (UK)◎ | 1.29I 77.52%NM 76.64% | 12.50I 8.00%NM 7.91% | 6.40I 15.63%NM 15.45% | 1.1% | 2026-04-11 14:01 |
| Matchbook◎ | 1.27I 78.74%NM 77.73% | 13.50I 7.41%NM 7.31% | 6.60I 15.15%NM 14.96% | 1.3% | 2026-04-11 14:01 |
| Betfair Exchange (AU)◎ | 1.28I 78.13%NM 76.78% | 12.50I 8.00%NM 7.86% | 6.40I 15.63%NM 15.36% | 1.8% | 2026-04-11 14:00 |
| Kalshi◎ | 1.27I 78.74%NM 76.64% | 12.50I 8.00%NM 7.79% | 6.25I 16.00%NM 15.57% | 2.7% | 2026-04-11 14:01 |