A Escola das Odds

Celtic v St Mirren

Início: 2026-04-11 14:02 UTC

Odds de fecho — as probabilidades calculadas e o valor esperado com base nas últimas cotações registadas antes do início, segundo o modelo selecionado. O jogo já começou, pelo que estes valores não são atuais. Avaliar a fiabilidade das previsões probabilísticas de cada modelo face aos resultados de todos os jogos concluídos →

Frente a frente

51 casas de apostas (17 na análise )

Probabilidade estimada de cada resultado, segundo o modelo: IQM

Celtic (Local)

Previsão 73.81%1.35odd justa
EV -2.58%
Vantagem -1.95%
Kelly -8.05%
Crescimento +0.000%

pressupondo odds máximas de 1.32

Distribuição das previsões das casas de apostas
71.46%73.73%73.78%75.88%MINMÉDIAMEDIANAMAX
Distribuição das odds
1.191.251.251.3284.03%79.76%80.00%75.76%MINMÉDIAMEDIANAMAX

St Mirren (Visitante)

Previsão 9.91%10.09odd justa
EV +4.06%
Vantagem +0.387%
Kelly +0.428%
Crescimento +0.017%

pressupondo odds máximas de 10.50

Distribuição das previsões das casas de apostas
8.68%10.03%9.84%11.53%MINMÉDIAMEDIANAMAX
Distribuição das odds
7.759.259.2010.5012.90%10.81%10.87%9.52%MINMÉDIAMEDIANAMAX

Empate

Previsão 16.28%6.14odd justa
EV +5.84%
Vantagem +0.899%
Kelly +1.06%
Crescimento +0.062%

pressupondo odds máximas de 6.50

Distribuição das previsões das casas de apostas
14.01%16.24%16.38%17.69%MINMÉDIAMEDIANAMAX
Distribuição das odds
5.105.705.756.5019.61%17.54%17.39%15.38%MINMÉDIAMEDIANAMAX

Odds das casas de apostas (51 casas de apostas)

Não temos qualquer vínculo com casas de apostas e não recebemos nada pelas ações realizadas junto delas.

Casa de apostasLocalVisitanteEmpate ▼MargemAtualização
Tipico (DE)1.20I 83.33%NM 75.88%EV -11.43%E -9.53%K -57.16%G +0.000%9.00I 11.11%NM 10.12%EV -10.80%E -1.20%K -1.35%G +0.000%6.50I 15.38%NM 14.01%EV +5.84%E +0.899%K +1.06%G +0.062%9.8%2026-04-11 14:00
Pinnacle1.27I 78.74%NM 75.58%EV -6.27%E -4.93%K -23.21%G +0.000%10.45I 9.57%NM 9.19%EV +3.57%E +0.341%K +0.378%G +0.013%6.30I 15.87%NM 15.24%EV +2.59%E +0.410%K +0.488%G +0.013%4.2%2026-04-11 13:59
Svenska Spel1.30I 76.92%NM 75.09%EV -4.05%E -3.12%K -13.51%G +0.000%10.50I 9.52%NM 9.30%EV +4.06%E +0.387%K +0.428%G +0.017%6.25I 16.00%NM 15.62%EV +1.77%E +0.283%K +0.337%G +0.006%2.4%2026-04-11 14:00
betPARX1.30I 76.92%NM 75.09%EV -4.05%E -3.12%K -13.51%G +0.000%10.50I 9.52%NM 9.30%EV +4.06%E +0.387%K +0.428%G +0.017%6.25I 16.00%NM 15.62%EV +1.77%E +0.283%K +0.337%G +0.006%2.4%2026-04-11 14:00
Ladbrokes (UK)1.28I 78.13%NM 73.77%EV -5.53%E -4.32%K -19.74%G +0.000%9.00I 11.11%NM 10.49%EV -10.80%E -1.20%K -1.35%G +0.000%6.00I 16.67%NM 15.74%EV -2.30%E -0.383%K -0.460%G +0.000%5.9%2026-04-11 14:00
Coral1.28I 78.13%NM 73.77%EV -5.53%E -4.32%K -19.74%G +0.000%9.00I 11.11%NM 10.49%EV -10.80%E -1.20%K -1.35%G +0.000%6.00I 16.67%NM 15.74%EV -2.30%E -0.383%K -0.460%G +0.000%5.9%2026-04-11 14:01
Unibet1.26I 79.37%NM 74.85%EV -7.00%E -5.56%K -26.94%G +0.000%10.00I 10.00%NM 9.43%EV -0.892%E -0.089%K -0.099%G +0.000%6.00I 16.67%NM 15.72%EV -2.30%E -0.383%K -0.460%G +0.000%6.0%2026-04-11 14:00
Bet Victor1.25I 80.00%NM 75.00%EV -7.74%E -6.19%K -30.97%G +0.000%10.00I 10.00%NM 9.38%EV -0.892%E -0.089%K -0.099%G +0.000%6.00I 16.67%NM 15.63%EV -2.30%E -0.383%K -0.460%G +0.000%6.7%2026-04-11 13:59
Everygame1.25I 80.00%NM 74.63%EV -7.74%E -6.19%K -30.97%G +0.000%9.50I 10.53%NM 9.82%EV -5.85%E -0.615%K -0.688%G +0.000%6.00I 16.67%NM 15.55%EV -2.30%E -0.383%K -0.460%G +0.000%7.2%2026-04-11 13:59
Fanatics1.22I 81.97%NM 75.45%EV -9.96%E -8.16%K -45.26%G +0.000%10.00I 10.00%NM 9.21%EV -0.892%E -0.089%K -0.099%G +0.000%6.00I 16.67%NM 15.34%EV -2.30%E -0.383%K -0.460%G +0.000%8.6%2026-04-11 14:00
Sky Bet1.22I 81.97%NM 74.69%EV -9.96%E -8.16%K -45.26%G +0.000%9.00I 11.11%NM 10.12%EV -10.80%E -1.20%K -1.35%G +0.000%6.00I 16.67%NM 15.19%EV -2.30%E -0.383%K -0.460%G +0.000%9.7%2026-04-11 14:00
Marathon Bet1.26I 79.37%NM 74.05%EV -7.00%E -5.56%K -26.94%G +0.000%9.20I 10.87%NM 10.14%EV -8.82%E -0.959%K -1.08%G +0.000%5.90I 16.95%NM 15.81%EV -3.93%E -0.666%K -0.802%G +0.000%7.2%2026-04-11 14:00
FanDuel1.24I 80.65%NM 74.59%EV -8.48%E -6.84%K -35.34%G +0.000%9.50I 10.53%NM 9.74%EV -5.85%E -0.615%K -0.688%G +0.000%5.90I 16.95%NM 15.68%EV -3.93%E -0.666%K -0.802%G +0.000%8.1%2026-04-11 13:58
Ladbrokes (AU)1.28I 78.13%NM 72.92%EV -5.53%E -4.32%K -19.74%G +0.000%8.50I 11.76%NM 10.98%EV -15.76%E -1.85%K -2.10%G +0.000%5.80I 17.24%NM 16.09%EV -5.56%E -0.958%K -1.16%G +0.000%7.1%2026-04-11 13:59
Neds1.28I 78.13%NM 72.92%EV -5.53%E -4.32%K -19.74%G +0.000%8.50I 11.76%NM 10.98%EV -15.76%E -1.85%K -2.10%G +0.000%5.80I 17.24%NM 16.09%EV -5.56%E -0.958%K -1.16%G +0.000%7.1%2026-04-11 13:59
Unibet (SE)1.26I 79.37%NM 74.08%EV -7.00%E -5.56%K -26.94%G +0.000%9.50I 10.53%NM 9.83%EV -5.85%E -0.615%K -0.688%G +0.000%5.80I 17.24%NM 16.09%EV -5.56%E -0.958%K -1.16%G +0.000%7.1%2026-04-11 14:01
ATG (SE)1.26I 79.37%NM 74.08%EV -7.00%E -5.56%K -26.94%G +0.000%9.50I 10.53%NM 9.83%EV -5.85%E -0.615%K -0.688%G +0.000%5.80I 17.24%NM 16.09%EV -5.56%E -0.958%K -1.16%G +0.000%7.1%2026-04-11 14:01
BetRivers1.24I 80.65%NM 74.75%EV -8.48%E -6.84%K -35.34%G +0.000%10.00I 10.00%NM 9.27%EV -0.892%E -0.089%K -0.099%G +0.000%5.80I 17.24%NM 15.98%EV -5.56%E -0.958%K -1.16%G +0.000%7.9%2026-04-11 13:54
TABtouch1.24I 80.65%NM 74.75%EV -8.48%E -6.84%K -35.34%G +0.000%10.00I 10.00%NM 9.27%EV -0.892%E -0.089%K -0.099%G +0.000%5.80I 17.24%NM 15.98%EV -5.56%E -0.958%K -1.16%G +0.000%7.9%2026-04-11 14:01
Coolbet1.29I 77.52%NM 73.89%EV -4.79%E -3.71%K -16.52%G +0.000%10.00I 10.00%NM 9.53%EV -0.892%E -0.089%K -0.099%G +0.000%5.75I 17.39%NM 16.58%EV -6.37%E -1.11%K -1.34%G +0.000%4.9%2026-04-11 13:59
Unibet (UK)1.29I 77.52%NM 73.12%EV -4.79%E -3.71%K -16.52%G +0.000%9.00I 11.11%NM 10.48%EV -10.80%E -1.20%K -1.35%G +0.000%5.75I 17.39%NM 16.40%EV -6.37%E -1.11%K -1.34%G +0.000%6.0%2026-04-11 13:59
Casumo1.27I 78.74%NM 73.83%EV -6.27%E -4.93%K -23.21%G +0.000%9.50I 10.53%NM 9.87%EV -5.85%E -0.615%K -0.688%G +0.000%5.75I 17.39%NM 16.31%EV -6.37%E -1.11%K -1.34%G +0.000%6.7%2026-04-11 14:00
Betr (AU)1.27I 78.74%NM 73.83%EV -6.27%E -4.93%K -23.21%G +0.000%9.50I 10.53%NM 9.87%EV -5.85%E -0.615%K -0.688%G +0.000%5.75I 17.39%NM 16.31%EV -6.37%E -1.11%K -1.34%G +0.000%6.7%2026-04-11 13:59
PlayUp1.25I 80.00%NM 74.13%EV -7.74%E -6.19%K -30.97%G +0.000%9.50I 10.53%NM 9.75%EV -5.85%E -0.615%K -0.688%G +0.000%5.75I 17.39%NM 16.12%EV -6.37%E -1.11%K -1.34%G +0.000%7.9%2026-04-11 14:00
BetUS1.24I 80.65%NM 74.09%EV -8.48%E -6.84%K -35.34%G +0.000%9.25I 10.81%NM 9.93%EV -8.32%E -0.900%K -1.01%G +0.000%5.75I 17.39%NM 15.98%EV -6.37%E -1.11%K -1.34%G +0.000%8.8%2026-04-11 13:59
Virgin Bet1.22I 81.97%NM 74.59%EV -9.96%E -8.16%K -45.26%G +0.000%9.50I 10.53%NM 9.58%EV -5.85%E -0.615%K -0.688%G +0.000%5.75I 17.39%NM 15.83%EV -6.37%E -1.11%K -1.34%G +0.000%9.9%2026-04-11 14:00
LiveScore Bet1.22I 81.97%NM 74.59%EV -9.96%E -8.16%K -45.26%G +0.000%9.50I 10.53%NM 9.58%EV -5.85%E -0.615%K -0.688%G +0.000%5.75I 17.39%NM 15.83%EV -6.37%E -1.11%K -1.34%G +0.000%9.9%2026-04-11 14:00
1xBet1.32I 75.76%NM 72.57%EV -2.58%E -1.95%K -8.05%G +0.000%8.94I 11.19%NM 10.71%EV -11.40%E -1.27%K -1.44%G +0.000%5.73I 17.45%NM 16.72%EV -6.70%E -1.17%K -1.42%G +0.000%4.4%2026-04-11 13:59
LowVig.ag1.23I 81.30%NM 73.41%EV -9.22%E -7.49%K -40.08%G +0.000%8.40I 11.90%NM 10.75%EV -16.75%E -1.99%K -2.26%G +0.000%5.70I 17.54%NM 15.84%EV -7.18%E -1.26%K -1.53%G +0.000%10.7%2026-04-11 14:00
BetOnline.ag1.23I 81.30%NM 73.41%EV -9.22%E -7.49%K -40.08%G +0.000%8.40I 11.90%NM 10.75%EV -16.75%E -1.99%K -2.26%G +0.000%5.70I 17.54%NM 15.84%EV -7.18%E -1.26%K -1.53%G +0.000%10.7%2026-04-11 14:00
Unibet (NL)1.25I 80.00%NM 73.42%EV -7.74%E -6.19%K -30.97%G +0.000%9.00I 11.11%NM 10.20%EV -10.80%E -1.20%K -1.35%G +0.000%5.60I 17.86%NM 16.39%EV -8.81%E -1.57%K -1.92%G +0.000%9.0%2026-04-11 14:01
Grosvenor1.25I 80.00%NM 73.42%EV -7.74%E -6.19%K -30.97%G +0.000%9.00I 11.11%NM 10.20%EV -10.80%E -1.20%K -1.35%G +0.000%5.60I 17.86%NM 16.39%EV -8.81%E -1.57%K -1.92%G +0.000%9.0%2026-04-11 14:01
DraftKings1.28I 78.13%NM 73.13%EV -5.53%E -4.32%K -19.74%G +0.000%9.50I 10.53%NM 9.85%EV -5.85%E -0.615%K -0.688%G +0.000%5.50I 18.18%NM 17.02%EV -10.44%E -1.90%K -2.32%G +0.000%6.8%2026-04-11 14:01
Bet Right1.27I 78.74%NM 73.28%EV -6.27%E -4.93%K -23.21%G +0.000%9.50I 10.53%NM 9.80%EV -5.85%E -0.615%K -0.688%G +0.000%5.50I 18.18%NM 16.92%EV -10.44%E -1.90%K -2.32%G +0.000%7.4%2026-04-11 13:59
BoyleSports1.25I 80.00%NM 73.95%EV -7.74%E -6.19%K -30.97%G +0.000%10.00I 10.00%NM 9.24%EV -0.892%E -0.089%K -0.099%G +0.000%5.50I 18.18%NM 16.81%EV -10.44%E -1.90%K -2.32%G +0.000%8.2%2026-04-11 14:00
Paddy Power1.25I 80.00%NM 73.95%EV -7.74%E -6.19%K -30.97%G +0.000%10.00I 10.00%NM 9.24%EV -0.892%E -0.089%K -0.099%G +0.000%5.50I 18.18%NM 16.81%EV -10.44%E -1.90%K -2.32%G +0.000%8.2%2026-04-11 14:01
William Hill1.25I 80.00%NM 73.20%EV -7.74%E -6.19%K -30.97%G +0.000%9.00I 11.11%NM 10.17%EV -10.80%E -1.20%K -1.35%G +0.000%5.50I 18.18%NM 16.64%EV -10.44%E -1.90%K -2.32%G +0.000%9.3%2026-04-11 14:00
888sport1.25I 80.00%NM 73.20%EV -7.74%E -6.19%K -30.97%G +0.000%9.00I 11.11%NM 10.17%EV -10.80%E -1.20%K -1.35%G +0.000%5.50I 18.18%NM 16.64%EV -10.44%E -1.90%K -2.32%G +0.000%9.3%2026-04-11 14:00
888sport (SE)1.25I 80.00%NM 73.20%EV -7.74%E -6.19%K -30.97%G +0.000%9.00I 11.11%NM 10.17%EV -10.80%E -1.20%K -1.35%G +0.000%5.50I 18.18%NM 16.64%EV -10.44%E -1.90%K -2.32%G +0.000%9.3%2026-04-11 14:00
Mr Green (SE)1.25I 80.00%NM 73.20%EV -7.74%E -6.19%K -30.97%G +0.000%9.00I 11.11%NM 10.17%EV -10.80%E -1.20%K -1.35%G +0.000%5.50I 18.18%NM 16.64%EV -10.44%E -1.90%K -2.32%G +0.000%9.3%2026-04-11 14:01
SportsBet1.22I 81.97%NM 74.74%EV -9.96%E -8.16%K -45.26%G +0.000%10.50I 9.52%NM 8.68%EV +4.06%E +0.387%K +0.428%G +0.017%5.50I 18.18%NM 16.58%EV -10.44%E -1.90%K -2.32%G +0.000%9.7%2026-04-11 13:59
LeoVegas1.24I 80.65%NM 73.13%EV -8.48%E -6.84%K -35.34%G +0.000%9.00I 11.11%NM 10.08%EV -10.80%E -1.20%K -1.35%G +0.000%5.40I 18.52%NM 16.79%EV -12.07%E -2.24%K -2.74%G +0.000%10.3%2026-04-11 14:00
Codere (IT)1.26I 79.37%NM 71.90%EV -7.00%E -5.56%K -26.94%G +0.000%8.00I 12.50%NM 11.32%EV -20.71%E -2.59%K -2.96%G +0.000%5.40I 18.52%NM 16.78%EV -12.07%E -2.24%K -2.74%G +0.000%10.4%2026-04-11 14:00
LeoVegas (SE)1.23I 81.30%NM 73.29%EV -9.22%E -7.49%K -40.08%G +0.000%9.00I 11.11%NM 10.02%EV -10.80%E -1.20%K -1.35%G +0.000%5.40I 18.52%NM 16.69%EV -12.07%E -2.24%K -2.74%G +0.000%10.9%2026-04-11 14:00
Unibet (FR)1.24I 80.65%NM 72.22%EV -8.48%E -6.84%K -35.34%G +0.000%8.00I 12.50%NM 11.19%EV -20.71%E -2.59%K -2.96%G +0.000%5.40I 18.52%NM 16.58%EV -12.07%E -2.24%K -2.74%G +0.000%11.7%2026-04-11 13:59
NordicBet1.26I 79.37%NM 72.78%EV -7.00%E -5.56%K -26.94%G +0.000%9.10I 10.99%NM 10.08%EV -9.81%E -1.08%K -1.21%G +0.000%5.35I 18.69%NM 17.14%EV -12.88%E -2.41%K -2.96%G +0.000%9.0%2026-04-11 14:00
PointsBet (AU)1.28I 78.13%NM 72.54%EV -5.53%E -4.32%K -19.74%G +0.000%9.50I 10.53%NM 9.77%EV -5.85%E -0.615%K -0.688%G +0.000%5.25I 19.05%NM 17.69%EV -14.51%E -2.76%K -3.41%G +0.000%7.7%2026-04-11 14:00
Betway1.29I 77.52%NM 71.56%EV -4.79%E -3.71%K -16.52%G +0.000%8.50I 11.76%NM 10.86%EV -15.76%E -1.85%K -2.10%G +0.000%5.25I 19.05%NM 17.58%EV -14.51%E -2.76%K -3.41%G +0.000%8.3%2026-04-11 14:00
BetMGM1.25I 80.00%NM 71.46%EV -7.74%E -6.19%K -30.97%G +0.000%7.75I 12.90%NM 11.53%EV -23.19%E -2.99%K -3.44%G +0.000%5.25I 19.05%NM 17.01%EV -14.51%E -2.76%K -3.41%G +0.000%12.0%2026-04-11 14:01
PMU (FR)1.21I 82.64%NM 72.72%EV -10.69%E -8.84%K -50.93%G +0.000%8.50I 11.76%NM 10.35%EV -15.76%E -1.85%K -2.10%G +0.000%5.20I 19.23%NM 16.92%EV -15.33%E -2.95%K -3.65%G +0.000%13.6%2026-04-11 14:00
NetBet (FR)1.19I 84.03%NM 72.35%EV -12.17%E -10.23%K -64.06%G +0.000%8.00I 12.50%NM 10.76%EV -20.71%E -2.59%K -2.96%G +0.000%5.10I 19.61%NM 16.88%EV -16.95%E -3.32%K -4.14%G +0.000%16.1%2026-04-11 13:58
Margem = Margem · I = Probabilidade implícita · NM = Probabilidade sem margem · EV = Valor esperado · E = Vantagem · K = Critério de Kelly · G = Crescimento do capital de apostas

Atualização indica quando cada casa alterou a cotação pela última vez; uma hora mais antiga significa apenas que as odds não mudaram, não que estejam desatualizadas. As casas sem dados nos últimos ~15 minutos são normalmente excluídas; apenas quando a fonte de todo um mercado fica sem atualizações se mostram as últimas cotações registadas.

Bolsas de apostas (6)

Casa de apostasLocalVisitanteEmpateMargem ▲Atualização
Smarkets1.29I 77.52%NM 77.24%13.00I 7.69%NM 7.66%6.60I 15.15%NM 15.10%0.4%2026-04-11 14:00
Betfair Exchange (EU)1.30I 76.92%NM 76.50%12.50I 8.00%NM 7.96%6.40I 15.63%NM 15.54%0.5%2026-04-11 14:00
Betfair Exchange (UK)1.29I 77.52%NM 76.64%12.50I 8.00%NM 7.91%6.40I 15.63%NM 15.45%1.1%2026-04-11 14:01
Matchbook1.27I 78.74%NM 77.73%13.50I 7.41%NM 7.31%6.60I 15.15%NM 14.96%1.3%2026-04-11 14:01
Betfair Exchange (AU)1.28I 78.13%NM 76.78%12.50I 8.00%NM 7.86%6.40I 15.63%NM 15.36%1.8%2026-04-11 14:00
Kalshi1.27I 78.74%NM 76.64%12.50I 8.00%NM 7.79%6.25I 16.00%NM 15.57%2.7%2026-04-11 14:01