مدرسة الاحتمالات

Celtic v St Mirren

البداية: 2026-04-11 14:02 UTC

أسعار الإغلاق — الاحتمالات والقيمة المتوقعة المحسوبة من آخر الأسعار المسجلة قبل البداية وفق النموذج المحدد. بدأت المباراة، لذا فهذه ليست أرقامًا مباشرة. قيّم موثوقية التنبؤات الاحتمالية لكل نموذج بمقارنتها بنتائج جميع المباريات المحسومة →

نتيجة المباراة

51 شركة مراهنات (17 في التحليل )

الاحتمال المقدّر لكل نتيجة وفق النموذج: IQM

Celtic (المضيف)

التنبؤ 73.81%1.35السعر العادل
EV -2.58%
الأفضلية -1.95%
Kelly -8.05%
النمو +0.000%

بافتراض سعر أقصى قدره 1.32

توزيع تنبؤات شركات المراهنات
71.46%73.73%73.78%75.88%MINالمتوسطالوسيطMAX
توزيع الأسعار
1.191.251.251.3284.03%79.76%80.00%75.76%MINالمتوسطالوسيطMAX

St Mirren (الضيف)

التنبؤ 9.91%10.09السعر العادل
EV +4.06%
الأفضلية +0.387%
Kelly +0.428%
النمو +0.017%

بافتراض سعر أقصى قدره 10.50

توزيع تنبؤات شركات المراهنات
8.68%10.03%9.84%11.53%MINالمتوسطالوسيطMAX
توزيع الأسعار
7.759.259.2010.5012.90%10.81%10.87%9.52%MINالمتوسطالوسيطMAX

تعادل

التنبؤ 16.28%6.14السعر العادل
EV +5.84%
الأفضلية +0.899%
Kelly +1.06%
النمو +0.062%

بافتراض سعر أقصى قدره 6.50

توزيع تنبؤات شركات المراهنات
14.01%16.24%16.38%17.69%MINالمتوسطالوسيطMAX
توزيع الأسعار
5.105.705.756.5019.61%17.54%17.39%15.38%MINالمتوسطالوسيطMAX

أسعار شركات المراهنات (51 شركة مراهنات)

لسنا تابعين لأي شركة مراهنات، ولا نحقق أي عائد من الرهانات أو المعاملات التي تُجرى لديها.

شركة المراهناتالمضيفالضيفتعادل ▼الهامشآخر تحديث
Tipico (DE)1.20I 83.33%NM 75.88%EV -11.43%E -9.53%K -57.16%G +0.000%9.00I 11.11%NM 10.12%EV -10.80%E -1.20%K -1.35%G +0.000%6.50I 15.38%NM 14.01%EV +5.84%E +0.899%K +1.06%G +0.062%9.8%2026-04-11 14:00
Pinnacle1.27I 78.74%NM 75.58%EV -6.27%E -4.93%K -23.21%G +0.000%10.45I 9.57%NM 9.19%EV +3.57%E +0.341%K +0.378%G +0.013%6.30I 15.87%NM 15.24%EV +2.59%E +0.410%K +0.488%G +0.013%4.2%2026-04-11 13:59
Svenska Spel1.30I 76.92%NM 75.09%EV -4.05%E -3.12%K -13.51%G +0.000%10.50I 9.52%NM 9.30%EV +4.06%E +0.387%K +0.428%G +0.017%6.25I 16.00%NM 15.62%EV +1.77%E +0.283%K +0.337%G +0.006%2.4%2026-04-11 14:00
betPARX1.30I 76.92%NM 75.09%EV -4.05%E -3.12%K -13.51%G +0.000%10.50I 9.52%NM 9.30%EV +4.06%E +0.387%K +0.428%G +0.017%6.25I 16.00%NM 15.62%EV +1.77%E +0.283%K +0.337%G +0.006%2.4%2026-04-11 14:00
Ladbrokes (UK)1.28I 78.13%NM 73.77%EV -5.53%E -4.32%K -19.74%G +0.000%9.00I 11.11%NM 10.49%EV -10.80%E -1.20%K -1.35%G +0.000%6.00I 16.67%NM 15.74%EV -2.30%E -0.383%K -0.460%G +0.000%5.9%2026-04-11 14:00
Coral1.28I 78.13%NM 73.77%EV -5.53%E -4.32%K -19.74%G +0.000%9.00I 11.11%NM 10.49%EV -10.80%E -1.20%K -1.35%G +0.000%6.00I 16.67%NM 15.74%EV -2.30%E -0.383%K -0.460%G +0.000%5.9%2026-04-11 14:01
Unibet1.26I 79.37%NM 74.85%EV -7.00%E -5.56%K -26.94%G +0.000%10.00I 10.00%NM 9.43%EV -0.892%E -0.089%K -0.099%G +0.000%6.00I 16.67%NM 15.72%EV -2.30%E -0.383%K -0.460%G +0.000%6.0%2026-04-11 14:00
Bet Victor1.25I 80.00%NM 75.00%EV -7.74%E -6.19%K -30.97%G +0.000%10.00I 10.00%NM 9.38%EV -0.892%E -0.089%K -0.099%G +0.000%6.00I 16.67%NM 15.63%EV -2.30%E -0.383%K -0.460%G +0.000%6.7%2026-04-11 13:59
Everygame1.25I 80.00%NM 74.63%EV -7.74%E -6.19%K -30.97%G +0.000%9.50I 10.53%NM 9.82%EV -5.85%E -0.615%K -0.688%G +0.000%6.00I 16.67%NM 15.55%EV -2.30%E -0.383%K -0.460%G +0.000%7.2%2026-04-11 13:59
Fanatics1.22I 81.97%NM 75.45%EV -9.96%E -8.16%K -45.26%G +0.000%10.00I 10.00%NM 9.21%EV -0.892%E -0.089%K -0.099%G +0.000%6.00I 16.67%NM 15.34%EV -2.30%E -0.383%K -0.460%G +0.000%8.6%2026-04-11 14:00
Sky Bet1.22I 81.97%NM 74.69%EV -9.96%E -8.16%K -45.26%G +0.000%9.00I 11.11%NM 10.12%EV -10.80%E -1.20%K -1.35%G +0.000%6.00I 16.67%NM 15.19%EV -2.30%E -0.383%K -0.460%G +0.000%9.7%2026-04-11 14:00
Marathon Bet1.26I 79.37%NM 74.05%EV -7.00%E -5.56%K -26.94%G +0.000%9.20I 10.87%NM 10.14%EV -8.82%E -0.959%K -1.08%G +0.000%5.90I 16.95%NM 15.81%EV -3.93%E -0.666%K -0.802%G +0.000%7.2%2026-04-11 14:00
FanDuel1.24I 80.65%NM 74.59%EV -8.48%E -6.84%K -35.34%G +0.000%9.50I 10.53%NM 9.74%EV -5.85%E -0.615%K -0.688%G +0.000%5.90I 16.95%NM 15.68%EV -3.93%E -0.666%K -0.802%G +0.000%8.1%2026-04-11 13:58
Ladbrokes (AU)1.28I 78.13%NM 72.92%EV -5.53%E -4.32%K -19.74%G +0.000%8.50I 11.76%NM 10.98%EV -15.76%E -1.85%K -2.10%G +0.000%5.80I 17.24%NM 16.09%EV -5.56%E -0.958%K -1.16%G +0.000%7.1%2026-04-11 13:59
Neds1.28I 78.13%NM 72.92%EV -5.53%E -4.32%K -19.74%G +0.000%8.50I 11.76%NM 10.98%EV -15.76%E -1.85%K -2.10%G +0.000%5.80I 17.24%NM 16.09%EV -5.56%E -0.958%K -1.16%G +0.000%7.1%2026-04-11 13:59
Unibet (SE)1.26I 79.37%NM 74.08%EV -7.00%E -5.56%K -26.94%G +0.000%9.50I 10.53%NM 9.83%EV -5.85%E -0.615%K -0.688%G +0.000%5.80I 17.24%NM 16.09%EV -5.56%E -0.958%K -1.16%G +0.000%7.1%2026-04-11 14:01
ATG (SE)1.26I 79.37%NM 74.08%EV -7.00%E -5.56%K -26.94%G +0.000%9.50I 10.53%NM 9.83%EV -5.85%E -0.615%K -0.688%G +0.000%5.80I 17.24%NM 16.09%EV -5.56%E -0.958%K -1.16%G +0.000%7.1%2026-04-11 14:01
BetRivers1.24I 80.65%NM 74.75%EV -8.48%E -6.84%K -35.34%G +0.000%10.00I 10.00%NM 9.27%EV -0.892%E -0.089%K -0.099%G +0.000%5.80I 17.24%NM 15.98%EV -5.56%E -0.958%K -1.16%G +0.000%7.9%2026-04-11 13:54
TABtouch1.24I 80.65%NM 74.75%EV -8.48%E -6.84%K -35.34%G +0.000%10.00I 10.00%NM 9.27%EV -0.892%E -0.089%K -0.099%G +0.000%5.80I 17.24%NM 15.98%EV -5.56%E -0.958%K -1.16%G +0.000%7.9%2026-04-11 14:01
Coolbet1.29I 77.52%NM 73.89%EV -4.79%E -3.71%K -16.52%G +0.000%10.00I 10.00%NM 9.53%EV -0.892%E -0.089%K -0.099%G +0.000%5.75I 17.39%NM 16.58%EV -6.37%E -1.11%K -1.34%G +0.000%4.9%2026-04-11 13:59
Unibet (UK)1.29I 77.52%NM 73.12%EV -4.79%E -3.71%K -16.52%G +0.000%9.00I 11.11%NM 10.48%EV -10.80%E -1.20%K -1.35%G +0.000%5.75I 17.39%NM 16.40%EV -6.37%E -1.11%K -1.34%G +0.000%6.0%2026-04-11 13:59
Casumo1.27I 78.74%NM 73.83%EV -6.27%E -4.93%K -23.21%G +0.000%9.50I 10.53%NM 9.87%EV -5.85%E -0.615%K -0.688%G +0.000%5.75I 17.39%NM 16.31%EV -6.37%E -1.11%K -1.34%G +0.000%6.7%2026-04-11 14:00
Betr (AU)1.27I 78.74%NM 73.83%EV -6.27%E -4.93%K -23.21%G +0.000%9.50I 10.53%NM 9.87%EV -5.85%E -0.615%K -0.688%G +0.000%5.75I 17.39%NM 16.31%EV -6.37%E -1.11%K -1.34%G +0.000%6.7%2026-04-11 13:59
PlayUp1.25I 80.00%NM 74.13%EV -7.74%E -6.19%K -30.97%G +0.000%9.50I 10.53%NM 9.75%EV -5.85%E -0.615%K -0.688%G +0.000%5.75I 17.39%NM 16.12%EV -6.37%E -1.11%K -1.34%G +0.000%7.9%2026-04-11 14:00
BetUS1.24I 80.65%NM 74.09%EV -8.48%E -6.84%K -35.34%G +0.000%9.25I 10.81%NM 9.93%EV -8.32%E -0.900%K -1.01%G +0.000%5.75I 17.39%NM 15.98%EV -6.37%E -1.11%K -1.34%G +0.000%8.8%2026-04-11 13:59
Virgin Bet1.22I 81.97%NM 74.59%EV -9.96%E -8.16%K -45.26%G +0.000%9.50I 10.53%NM 9.58%EV -5.85%E -0.615%K -0.688%G +0.000%5.75I 17.39%NM 15.83%EV -6.37%E -1.11%K -1.34%G +0.000%9.9%2026-04-11 14:00
LiveScore Bet1.22I 81.97%NM 74.59%EV -9.96%E -8.16%K -45.26%G +0.000%9.50I 10.53%NM 9.58%EV -5.85%E -0.615%K -0.688%G +0.000%5.75I 17.39%NM 15.83%EV -6.37%E -1.11%K -1.34%G +0.000%9.9%2026-04-11 14:00
1xBet1.32I 75.76%NM 72.57%EV -2.58%E -1.95%K -8.05%G +0.000%8.94I 11.19%NM 10.71%EV -11.40%E -1.27%K -1.44%G +0.000%5.73I 17.45%NM 16.72%EV -6.70%E -1.17%K -1.42%G +0.000%4.4%2026-04-11 13:59
LowVig.ag1.23I 81.30%NM 73.41%EV -9.22%E -7.49%K -40.08%G +0.000%8.40I 11.90%NM 10.75%EV -16.75%E -1.99%K -2.26%G +0.000%5.70I 17.54%NM 15.84%EV -7.18%E -1.26%K -1.53%G +0.000%10.7%2026-04-11 14:00
BetOnline.ag1.23I 81.30%NM 73.41%EV -9.22%E -7.49%K -40.08%G +0.000%8.40I 11.90%NM 10.75%EV -16.75%E -1.99%K -2.26%G +0.000%5.70I 17.54%NM 15.84%EV -7.18%E -1.26%K -1.53%G +0.000%10.7%2026-04-11 14:00
Unibet (NL)1.25I 80.00%NM 73.42%EV -7.74%E -6.19%K -30.97%G +0.000%9.00I 11.11%NM 10.20%EV -10.80%E -1.20%K -1.35%G +0.000%5.60I 17.86%NM 16.39%EV -8.81%E -1.57%K -1.92%G +0.000%9.0%2026-04-11 14:01
Grosvenor1.25I 80.00%NM 73.42%EV -7.74%E -6.19%K -30.97%G +0.000%9.00I 11.11%NM 10.20%EV -10.80%E -1.20%K -1.35%G +0.000%5.60I 17.86%NM 16.39%EV -8.81%E -1.57%K -1.92%G +0.000%9.0%2026-04-11 14:01
DraftKings1.28I 78.13%NM 73.13%EV -5.53%E -4.32%K -19.74%G +0.000%9.50I 10.53%NM 9.85%EV -5.85%E -0.615%K -0.688%G +0.000%5.50I 18.18%NM 17.02%EV -10.44%E -1.90%K -2.32%G +0.000%6.8%2026-04-11 14:01
Bet Right1.27I 78.74%NM 73.28%EV -6.27%E -4.93%K -23.21%G +0.000%9.50I 10.53%NM 9.80%EV -5.85%E -0.615%K -0.688%G +0.000%5.50I 18.18%NM 16.92%EV -10.44%E -1.90%K -2.32%G +0.000%7.4%2026-04-11 13:59
BoyleSports1.25I 80.00%NM 73.95%EV -7.74%E -6.19%K -30.97%G +0.000%10.00I 10.00%NM 9.24%EV -0.892%E -0.089%K -0.099%G +0.000%5.50I 18.18%NM 16.81%EV -10.44%E -1.90%K -2.32%G +0.000%8.2%2026-04-11 14:00
Paddy Power1.25I 80.00%NM 73.95%EV -7.74%E -6.19%K -30.97%G +0.000%10.00I 10.00%NM 9.24%EV -0.892%E -0.089%K -0.099%G +0.000%5.50I 18.18%NM 16.81%EV -10.44%E -1.90%K -2.32%G +0.000%8.2%2026-04-11 14:01
William Hill1.25I 80.00%NM 73.20%EV -7.74%E -6.19%K -30.97%G +0.000%9.00I 11.11%NM 10.17%EV -10.80%E -1.20%K -1.35%G +0.000%5.50I 18.18%NM 16.64%EV -10.44%E -1.90%K -2.32%G +0.000%9.3%2026-04-11 14:00
888sport1.25I 80.00%NM 73.20%EV -7.74%E -6.19%K -30.97%G +0.000%9.00I 11.11%NM 10.17%EV -10.80%E -1.20%K -1.35%G +0.000%5.50I 18.18%NM 16.64%EV -10.44%E -1.90%K -2.32%G +0.000%9.3%2026-04-11 14:00
888sport (SE)1.25I 80.00%NM 73.20%EV -7.74%E -6.19%K -30.97%G +0.000%9.00I 11.11%NM 10.17%EV -10.80%E -1.20%K -1.35%G +0.000%5.50I 18.18%NM 16.64%EV -10.44%E -1.90%K -2.32%G +0.000%9.3%2026-04-11 14:00
Mr Green (SE)1.25I 80.00%NM 73.20%EV -7.74%E -6.19%K -30.97%G +0.000%9.00I 11.11%NM 10.17%EV -10.80%E -1.20%K -1.35%G +0.000%5.50I 18.18%NM 16.64%EV -10.44%E -1.90%K -2.32%G +0.000%9.3%2026-04-11 14:01
SportsBet1.22I 81.97%NM 74.74%EV -9.96%E -8.16%K -45.26%G +0.000%10.50I 9.52%NM 8.68%EV +4.06%E +0.387%K +0.428%G +0.017%5.50I 18.18%NM 16.58%EV -10.44%E -1.90%K -2.32%G +0.000%9.7%2026-04-11 13:59
LeoVegas1.24I 80.65%NM 73.13%EV -8.48%E -6.84%K -35.34%G +0.000%9.00I 11.11%NM 10.08%EV -10.80%E -1.20%K -1.35%G +0.000%5.40I 18.52%NM 16.79%EV -12.07%E -2.24%K -2.74%G +0.000%10.3%2026-04-11 14:00
Codere (IT)1.26I 79.37%NM 71.90%EV -7.00%E -5.56%K -26.94%G +0.000%8.00I 12.50%NM 11.32%EV -20.71%E -2.59%K -2.96%G +0.000%5.40I 18.52%NM 16.78%EV -12.07%E -2.24%K -2.74%G +0.000%10.4%2026-04-11 14:00
LeoVegas (SE)1.23I 81.30%NM 73.29%EV -9.22%E -7.49%K -40.08%G +0.000%9.00I 11.11%NM 10.02%EV -10.80%E -1.20%K -1.35%G +0.000%5.40I 18.52%NM 16.69%EV -12.07%E -2.24%K -2.74%G +0.000%10.9%2026-04-11 14:00
Unibet (FR)1.24I 80.65%NM 72.22%EV -8.48%E -6.84%K -35.34%G +0.000%8.00I 12.50%NM 11.19%EV -20.71%E -2.59%K -2.96%G +0.000%5.40I 18.52%NM 16.58%EV -12.07%E -2.24%K -2.74%G +0.000%11.7%2026-04-11 13:59
NordicBet1.26I 79.37%NM 72.78%EV -7.00%E -5.56%K -26.94%G +0.000%9.10I 10.99%NM 10.08%EV -9.81%E -1.08%K -1.21%G +0.000%5.35I 18.69%NM 17.14%EV -12.88%E -2.41%K -2.96%G +0.000%9.0%2026-04-11 14:00
PointsBet (AU)1.28I 78.13%NM 72.54%EV -5.53%E -4.32%K -19.74%G +0.000%9.50I 10.53%NM 9.77%EV -5.85%E -0.615%K -0.688%G +0.000%5.25I 19.05%NM 17.69%EV -14.51%E -2.76%K -3.41%G +0.000%7.7%2026-04-11 14:00
Betway1.29I 77.52%NM 71.56%EV -4.79%E -3.71%K -16.52%G +0.000%8.50I 11.76%NM 10.86%EV -15.76%E -1.85%K -2.10%G +0.000%5.25I 19.05%NM 17.58%EV -14.51%E -2.76%K -3.41%G +0.000%8.3%2026-04-11 14:00
BetMGM1.25I 80.00%NM 71.46%EV -7.74%E -6.19%K -30.97%G +0.000%7.75I 12.90%NM 11.53%EV -23.19%E -2.99%K -3.44%G +0.000%5.25I 19.05%NM 17.01%EV -14.51%E -2.76%K -3.41%G +0.000%12.0%2026-04-11 14:01
PMU (FR)1.21I 82.64%NM 72.72%EV -10.69%E -8.84%K -50.93%G +0.000%8.50I 11.76%NM 10.35%EV -15.76%E -1.85%K -2.10%G +0.000%5.20I 19.23%NM 16.92%EV -15.33%E -2.95%K -3.65%G +0.000%13.6%2026-04-11 14:00
NetBet (FR)1.19I 84.03%NM 72.35%EV -12.17%E -10.23%K -64.06%G +0.000%8.00I 12.50%NM 10.76%EV -20.71%E -2.59%K -2.96%G +0.000%5.10I 19.61%NM 16.88%EV -16.95%E -3.32%K -4.14%G +0.000%16.1%2026-04-11 13:58
الهامش = الهامش · I = الاحتمال الضمني · NM = الاحتمال بلا هامش · EV = القيمة المتوقعة · E = الأفضلية · K = معيار Kelly · G = نمو رأس مال المراهنات

آخر تحديث هو وقت آخر تغيير أجرته كل شركة على سعرها؛ فالوقت الأقدم يعني أن السعر لم يتحرك فحسب، لا أنه متقادم. تُستبعد عادة الشركات التي لم تصل عنها بيانات خلال نحو 15 دقيقة؛ ولا تُعرض آخر الأسعار المسجلة بدلًا من ذلك إلا إذا انقطع تدفق بيانات السوق كله.

بورصات المراهنات (6)

شركة المراهناتالمضيفالضيفتعادلالهامش ▲آخر تحديث
Smarkets1.29I 77.52%NM 77.24%13.00I 7.69%NM 7.66%6.60I 15.15%NM 15.10%0.4%2026-04-11 14:00
Betfair Exchange (EU)1.30I 76.92%NM 76.50%12.50I 8.00%NM 7.96%6.40I 15.63%NM 15.54%0.5%2026-04-11 14:00
Betfair Exchange (UK)1.29I 77.52%NM 76.64%12.50I 8.00%NM 7.91%6.40I 15.63%NM 15.45%1.1%2026-04-11 14:01
Matchbook1.27I 78.74%NM 77.73%13.50I 7.41%NM 7.31%6.60I 15.15%NM 14.96%1.3%2026-04-11 14:01
Betfair Exchange (AU)1.28I 78.13%NM 76.78%12.50I 8.00%NM 7.86%6.40I 15.63%NM 15.36%1.8%2026-04-11 14:00
Kalshi1.27I 78.74%NM 76.64%12.50I 8.00%NM 7.79%6.25I 16.00%NM 15.57%2.7%2026-04-11 14:01