L’École des cotes

Celtic v St Mirren

Coup d’envoi : 2026-04-11 14:02 UTC

Cotes de clôture — probabilités calculées et espérance mathématique obtenues, selon le modèle sélectionné, à partir des derniers prix enregistrés avant le coup d’envoi. Le match ayant commencé, il ne s’agit pas de valeurs en direct. Évaluer la fiabilité des prévisions probabilistes de chaque modèle sur l’ensemble des matchs réglés →

Résultat du match

51 opérateurs (17 dans l’analyse )

Probabilité estimée de chaque issue selon le modèle : IQM

Celtic (Local)

Prévision 73.81%1.35cote équitable
EV -2.58%
Avantage -1.95%
Kelly -8.05%
Croissance +0.000%

avec la cote maximale 1.32

Distribution des prévisions des opérateurs
71.46%73.73%73.78%75.88%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM
Distribution des cotes
1.191.251.251.3284.03%79.76%80.00%75.76%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM

St Mirren (Visiteur)

Prévision 9.91%10.09cote équitable
EV +4.06%
Avantage +0.387%
Kelly +0.428%
Croissance +0.017%

avec la cote maximale 10.50

Distribution des prévisions des opérateurs
8.68%10.03%9.84%11.53%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM
Distribution des cotes
7.759.259.2010.5012.90%10.81%10.87%9.52%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM

Match nul

Prévision 16.28%6.14cote équitable
EV +5.84%
Avantage +0.899%
Kelly +1.06%
Croissance +0.062%

avec la cote maximale 6.50

Distribution des prévisions des opérateurs
14.01%16.24%16.38%17.69%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM
Distribution des cotes
5.105.705.756.5019.61%17.54%17.39%15.38%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM

Cotes des opérateurs (51 opérateurs)

Nous ne sommes affiliés à aucun opérateur de paris et ne tirons aucun bénéfice des opérations réalisées auprès d’eux.

OpérateurLocalVisiteurMatch nul ▼MargeMise à jour
Tipico (DE)1.20I 83.33%NM 75.88%EV -11.43%E -9.53%K -57.16%G +0.000%9.00I 11.11%NM 10.12%EV -10.80%E -1.20%K -1.35%G +0.000%6.50I 15.38%NM 14.01%EV +5.84%E +0.899%K +1.06%G +0.062%9.8%2026-04-11 14:00
Pinnacle1.27I 78.74%NM 75.58%EV -6.27%E -4.93%K -23.21%G +0.000%10.45I 9.57%NM 9.19%EV +3.57%E +0.341%K +0.378%G +0.013%6.30I 15.87%NM 15.24%EV +2.59%E +0.410%K +0.488%G +0.013%4.2%2026-04-11 13:59
Svenska Spel1.30I 76.92%NM 75.09%EV -4.05%E -3.12%K -13.51%G +0.000%10.50I 9.52%NM 9.30%EV +4.06%E +0.387%K +0.428%G +0.017%6.25I 16.00%NM 15.62%EV +1.77%E +0.283%K +0.337%G +0.006%2.4%2026-04-11 14:00
betPARX1.30I 76.92%NM 75.09%EV -4.05%E -3.12%K -13.51%G +0.000%10.50I 9.52%NM 9.30%EV +4.06%E +0.387%K +0.428%G +0.017%6.25I 16.00%NM 15.62%EV +1.77%E +0.283%K +0.337%G +0.006%2.4%2026-04-11 14:00
Ladbrokes (UK)1.28I 78.13%NM 73.77%EV -5.53%E -4.32%K -19.74%G +0.000%9.00I 11.11%NM 10.49%EV -10.80%E -1.20%K -1.35%G +0.000%6.00I 16.67%NM 15.74%EV -2.30%E -0.383%K -0.460%G +0.000%5.9%2026-04-11 14:00
Coral1.28I 78.13%NM 73.77%EV -5.53%E -4.32%K -19.74%G +0.000%9.00I 11.11%NM 10.49%EV -10.80%E -1.20%K -1.35%G +0.000%6.00I 16.67%NM 15.74%EV -2.30%E -0.383%K -0.460%G +0.000%5.9%2026-04-11 14:01
Unibet1.26I 79.37%NM 74.85%EV -7.00%E -5.56%K -26.94%G +0.000%10.00I 10.00%NM 9.43%EV -0.892%E -0.089%K -0.099%G +0.000%6.00I 16.67%NM 15.72%EV -2.30%E -0.383%K -0.460%G +0.000%6.0%2026-04-11 14:00
Bet Victor1.25I 80.00%NM 75.00%EV -7.74%E -6.19%K -30.97%G +0.000%10.00I 10.00%NM 9.38%EV -0.892%E -0.089%K -0.099%G +0.000%6.00I 16.67%NM 15.63%EV -2.30%E -0.383%K -0.460%G +0.000%6.7%2026-04-11 13:59
Everygame1.25I 80.00%NM 74.63%EV -7.74%E -6.19%K -30.97%G +0.000%9.50I 10.53%NM 9.82%EV -5.85%E -0.615%K -0.688%G +0.000%6.00I 16.67%NM 15.55%EV -2.30%E -0.383%K -0.460%G +0.000%7.2%2026-04-11 13:59
Fanatics1.22I 81.97%NM 75.45%EV -9.96%E -8.16%K -45.26%G +0.000%10.00I 10.00%NM 9.21%EV -0.892%E -0.089%K -0.099%G +0.000%6.00I 16.67%NM 15.34%EV -2.30%E -0.383%K -0.460%G +0.000%8.6%2026-04-11 14:00
Sky Bet1.22I 81.97%NM 74.69%EV -9.96%E -8.16%K -45.26%G +0.000%9.00I 11.11%NM 10.12%EV -10.80%E -1.20%K -1.35%G +0.000%6.00I 16.67%NM 15.19%EV -2.30%E -0.383%K -0.460%G +0.000%9.7%2026-04-11 14:00
Marathon Bet1.26I 79.37%NM 74.05%EV -7.00%E -5.56%K -26.94%G +0.000%9.20I 10.87%NM 10.14%EV -8.82%E -0.959%K -1.08%G +0.000%5.90I 16.95%NM 15.81%EV -3.93%E -0.666%K -0.802%G +0.000%7.2%2026-04-11 14:00
FanDuel1.24I 80.65%NM 74.59%EV -8.48%E -6.84%K -35.34%G +0.000%9.50I 10.53%NM 9.74%EV -5.85%E -0.615%K -0.688%G +0.000%5.90I 16.95%NM 15.68%EV -3.93%E -0.666%K -0.802%G +0.000%8.1%2026-04-11 13:58
Ladbrokes (AU)1.28I 78.13%NM 72.92%EV -5.53%E -4.32%K -19.74%G +0.000%8.50I 11.76%NM 10.98%EV -15.76%E -1.85%K -2.10%G +0.000%5.80I 17.24%NM 16.09%EV -5.56%E -0.958%K -1.16%G +0.000%7.1%2026-04-11 13:59
Neds1.28I 78.13%NM 72.92%EV -5.53%E -4.32%K -19.74%G +0.000%8.50I 11.76%NM 10.98%EV -15.76%E -1.85%K -2.10%G +0.000%5.80I 17.24%NM 16.09%EV -5.56%E -0.958%K -1.16%G +0.000%7.1%2026-04-11 13:59
Unibet (SE)1.26I 79.37%NM 74.08%EV -7.00%E -5.56%K -26.94%G +0.000%9.50I 10.53%NM 9.83%EV -5.85%E -0.615%K -0.688%G +0.000%5.80I 17.24%NM 16.09%EV -5.56%E -0.958%K -1.16%G +0.000%7.1%2026-04-11 14:01
ATG (SE)1.26I 79.37%NM 74.08%EV -7.00%E -5.56%K -26.94%G +0.000%9.50I 10.53%NM 9.83%EV -5.85%E -0.615%K -0.688%G +0.000%5.80I 17.24%NM 16.09%EV -5.56%E -0.958%K -1.16%G +0.000%7.1%2026-04-11 14:01
BetRivers1.24I 80.65%NM 74.75%EV -8.48%E -6.84%K -35.34%G +0.000%10.00I 10.00%NM 9.27%EV -0.892%E -0.089%K -0.099%G +0.000%5.80I 17.24%NM 15.98%EV -5.56%E -0.958%K -1.16%G +0.000%7.9%2026-04-11 13:54
TABtouch1.24I 80.65%NM 74.75%EV -8.48%E -6.84%K -35.34%G +0.000%10.00I 10.00%NM 9.27%EV -0.892%E -0.089%K -0.099%G +0.000%5.80I 17.24%NM 15.98%EV -5.56%E -0.958%K -1.16%G +0.000%7.9%2026-04-11 14:01
Coolbet1.29I 77.52%NM 73.89%EV -4.79%E -3.71%K -16.52%G +0.000%10.00I 10.00%NM 9.53%EV -0.892%E -0.089%K -0.099%G +0.000%5.75I 17.39%NM 16.58%EV -6.37%E -1.11%K -1.34%G +0.000%4.9%2026-04-11 13:59
Unibet (UK)1.29I 77.52%NM 73.12%EV -4.79%E -3.71%K -16.52%G +0.000%9.00I 11.11%NM 10.48%EV -10.80%E -1.20%K -1.35%G +0.000%5.75I 17.39%NM 16.40%EV -6.37%E -1.11%K -1.34%G +0.000%6.0%2026-04-11 13:59
Casumo1.27I 78.74%NM 73.83%EV -6.27%E -4.93%K -23.21%G +0.000%9.50I 10.53%NM 9.87%EV -5.85%E -0.615%K -0.688%G +0.000%5.75I 17.39%NM 16.31%EV -6.37%E -1.11%K -1.34%G +0.000%6.7%2026-04-11 14:00
Betr (AU)1.27I 78.74%NM 73.83%EV -6.27%E -4.93%K -23.21%G +0.000%9.50I 10.53%NM 9.87%EV -5.85%E -0.615%K -0.688%G +0.000%5.75I 17.39%NM 16.31%EV -6.37%E -1.11%K -1.34%G +0.000%6.7%2026-04-11 13:59
PlayUp1.25I 80.00%NM 74.13%EV -7.74%E -6.19%K -30.97%G +0.000%9.50I 10.53%NM 9.75%EV -5.85%E -0.615%K -0.688%G +0.000%5.75I 17.39%NM 16.12%EV -6.37%E -1.11%K -1.34%G +0.000%7.9%2026-04-11 14:00
BetUS1.24I 80.65%NM 74.09%EV -8.48%E -6.84%K -35.34%G +0.000%9.25I 10.81%NM 9.93%EV -8.32%E -0.900%K -1.01%G +0.000%5.75I 17.39%NM 15.98%EV -6.37%E -1.11%K -1.34%G +0.000%8.8%2026-04-11 13:59
Virgin Bet1.22I 81.97%NM 74.59%EV -9.96%E -8.16%K -45.26%G +0.000%9.50I 10.53%NM 9.58%EV -5.85%E -0.615%K -0.688%G +0.000%5.75I 17.39%NM 15.83%EV -6.37%E -1.11%K -1.34%G +0.000%9.9%2026-04-11 14:00
LiveScore Bet1.22I 81.97%NM 74.59%EV -9.96%E -8.16%K -45.26%G +0.000%9.50I 10.53%NM 9.58%EV -5.85%E -0.615%K -0.688%G +0.000%5.75I 17.39%NM 15.83%EV -6.37%E -1.11%K -1.34%G +0.000%9.9%2026-04-11 14:00
1xBet1.32I 75.76%NM 72.57%EV -2.58%E -1.95%K -8.05%G +0.000%8.94I 11.19%NM 10.71%EV -11.40%E -1.27%K -1.44%G +0.000%5.73I 17.45%NM 16.72%EV -6.70%E -1.17%K -1.42%G +0.000%4.4%2026-04-11 13:59
LowVig.ag1.23I 81.30%NM 73.41%EV -9.22%E -7.49%K -40.08%G +0.000%8.40I 11.90%NM 10.75%EV -16.75%E -1.99%K -2.26%G +0.000%5.70I 17.54%NM 15.84%EV -7.18%E -1.26%K -1.53%G +0.000%10.7%2026-04-11 14:00
BetOnline.ag1.23I 81.30%NM 73.41%EV -9.22%E -7.49%K -40.08%G +0.000%8.40I 11.90%NM 10.75%EV -16.75%E -1.99%K -2.26%G +0.000%5.70I 17.54%NM 15.84%EV -7.18%E -1.26%K -1.53%G +0.000%10.7%2026-04-11 14:00
Unibet (NL)1.25I 80.00%NM 73.42%EV -7.74%E -6.19%K -30.97%G +0.000%9.00I 11.11%NM 10.20%EV -10.80%E -1.20%K -1.35%G +0.000%5.60I 17.86%NM 16.39%EV -8.81%E -1.57%K -1.92%G +0.000%9.0%2026-04-11 14:01
Grosvenor1.25I 80.00%NM 73.42%EV -7.74%E -6.19%K -30.97%G +0.000%9.00I 11.11%NM 10.20%EV -10.80%E -1.20%K -1.35%G +0.000%5.60I 17.86%NM 16.39%EV -8.81%E -1.57%K -1.92%G +0.000%9.0%2026-04-11 14:01
DraftKings1.28I 78.13%NM 73.13%EV -5.53%E -4.32%K -19.74%G +0.000%9.50I 10.53%NM 9.85%EV -5.85%E -0.615%K -0.688%G +0.000%5.50I 18.18%NM 17.02%EV -10.44%E -1.90%K -2.32%G +0.000%6.8%2026-04-11 14:01
Bet Right1.27I 78.74%NM 73.28%EV -6.27%E -4.93%K -23.21%G +0.000%9.50I 10.53%NM 9.80%EV -5.85%E -0.615%K -0.688%G +0.000%5.50I 18.18%NM 16.92%EV -10.44%E -1.90%K -2.32%G +0.000%7.4%2026-04-11 13:59
BoyleSports1.25I 80.00%NM 73.95%EV -7.74%E -6.19%K -30.97%G +0.000%10.00I 10.00%NM 9.24%EV -0.892%E -0.089%K -0.099%G +0.000%5.50I 18.18%NM 16.81%EV -10.44%E -1.90%K -2.32%G +0.000%8.2%2026-04-11 14:00
Paddy Power1.25I 80.00%NM 73.95%EV -7.74%E -6.19%K -30.97%G +0.000%10.00I 10.00%NM 9.24%EV -0.892%E -0.089%K -0.099%G +0.000%5.50I 18.18%NM 16.81%EV -10.44%E -1.90%K -2.32%G +0.000%8.2%2026-04-11 14:01
William Hill1.25I 80.00%NM 73.20%EV -7.74%E -6.19%K -30.97%G +0.000%9.00I 11.11%NM 10.17%EV -10.80%E -1.20%K -1.35%G +0.000%5.50I 18.18%NM 16.64%EV -10.44%E -1.90%K -2.32%G +0.000%9.3%2026-04-11 14:00
888sport1.25I 80.00%NM 73.20%EV -7.74%E -6.19%K -30.97%G +0.000%9.00I 11.11%NM 10.17%EV -10.80%E -1.20%K -1.35%G +0.000%5.50I 18.18%NM 16.64%EV -10.44%E -1.90%K -2.32%G +0.000%9.3%2026-04-11 14:00
888sport (SE)1.25I 80.00%NM 73.20%EV -7.74%E -6.19%K -30.97%G +0.000%9.00I 11.11%NM 10.17%EV -10.80%E -1.20%K -1.35%G +0.000%5.50I 18.18%NM 16.64%EV -10.44%E -1.90%K -2.32%G +0.000%9.3%2026-04-11 14:00
Mr Green (SE)1.25I 80.00%NM 73.20%EV -7.74%E -6.19%K -30.97%G +0.000%9.00I 11.11%NM 10.17%EV -10.80%E -1.20%K -1.35%G +0.000%5.50I 18.18%NM 16.64%EV -10.44%E -1.90%K -2.32%G +0.000%9.3%2026-04-11 14:01
SportsBet1.22I 81.97%NM 74.74%EV -9.96%E -8.16%K -45.26%G +0.000%10.50I 9.52%NM 8.68%EV +4.06%E +0.387%K +0.428%G +0.017%5.50I 18.18%NM 16.58%EV -10.44%E -1.90%K -2.32%G +0.000%9.7%2026-04-11 13:59
LeoVegas1.24I 80.65%NM 73.13%EV -8.48%E -6.84%K -35.34%G +0.000%9.00I 11.11%NM 10.08%EV -10.80%E -1.20%K -1.35%G +0.000%5.40I 18.52%NM 16.79%EV -12.07%E -2.24%K -2.74%G +0.000%10.3%2026-04-11 14:00
Codere (IT)1.26I 79.37%NM 71.90%EV -7.00%E -5.56%K -26.94%G +0.000%8.00I 12.50%NM 11.32%EV -20.71%E -2.59%K -2.96%G +0.000%5.40I 18.52%NM 16.78%EV -12.07%E -2.24%K -2.74%G +0.000%10.4%2026-04-11 14:00
LeoVegas (SE)1.23I 81.30%NM 73.29%EV -9.22%E -7.49%K -40.08%G +0.000%9.00I 11.11%NM 10.02%EV -10.80%E -1.20%K -1.35%G +0.000%5.40I 18.52%NM 16.69%EV -12.07%E -2.24%K -2.74%G +0.000%10.9%2026-04-11 14:00
Unibet (FR)1.24I 80.65%NM 72.22%EV -8.48%E -6.84%K -35.34%G +0.000%8.00I 12.50%NM 11.19%EV -20.71%E -2.59%K -2.96%G +0.000%5.40I 18.52%NM 16.58%EV -12.07%E -2.24%K -2.74%G +0.000%11.7%2026-04-11 13:59
NordicBet1.26I 79.37%NM 72.78%EV -7.00%E -5.56%K -26.94%G +0.000%9.10I 10.99%NM 10.08%EV -9.81%E -1.08%K -1.21%G +0.000%5.35I 18.69%NM 17.14%EV -12.88%E -2.41%K -2.96%G +0.000%9.0%2026-04-11 14:00
PointsBet (AU)1.28I 78.13%NM 72.54%EV -5.53%E -4.32%K -19.74%G +0.000%9.50I 10.53%NM 9.77%EV -5.85%E -0.615%K -0.688%G +0.000%5.25I 19.05%NM 17.69%EV -14.51%E -2.76%K -3.41%G +0.000%7.7%2026-04-11 14:00
Betway1.29I 77.52%NM 71.56%EV -4.79%E -3.71%K -16.52%G +0.000%8.50I 11.76%NM 10.86%EV -15.76%E -1.85%K -2.10%G +0.000%5.25I 19.05%NM 17.58%EV -14.51%E -2.76%K -3.41%G +0.000%8.3%2026-04-11 14:00
BetMGM1.25I 80.00%NM 71.46%EV -7.74%E -6.19%K -30.97%G +0.000%7.75I 12.90%NM 11.53%EV -23.19%E -2.99%K -3.44%G +0.000%5.25I 19.05%NM 17.01%EV -14.51%E -2.76%K -3.41%G +0.000%12.0%2026-04-11 14:01
PMU (FR)1.21I 82.64%NM 72.72%EV -10.69%E -8.84%K -50.93%G +0.000%8.50I 11.76%NM 10.35%EV -15.76%E -1.85%K -2.10%G +0.000%5.20I 19.23%NM 16.92%EV -15.33%E -2.95%K -3.65%G +0.000%13.6%2026-04-11 14:00
NetBet (FR)1.19I 84.03%NM 72.35%EV -12.17%E -10.23%K -64.06%G +0.000%8.00I 12.50%NM 10.76%EV -20.71%E -2.59%K -2.96%G +0.000%5.10I 19.61%NM 16.88%EV -16.95%E -3.32%K -4.14%G +0.000%16.1%2026-04-11 13:58
Marge = Marge · I = Probabilité implicite · NM = Probabilité sans marge · EV = Espérance mathématique · E = Avantage · K = Critère de Kelly · G = Croissance du capital de jeu

Mise à jour indique le dernier changement de prix de chaque opérateur. Une heure ancienne signifie donc seulement que la cote n’a pas bougé, et non qu’elle est périmée. Les opérateurs absents du flux depuis environ 15 minutes sont normalement écartés ; les derniers prix enregistrés ne sont conservés que si le flux de tout le marché devient silencieux.

Plateformes d’échange (6)

OpérateurLocalVisiteurMatch nulMarge ▲Mise à jour
Smarkets1.29I 77.52%NM 77.24%13.00I 7.69%NM 7.66%6.60I 15.15%NM 15.10%0.4%2026-04-11 14:00
Betfair Exchange (EU)1.30I 76.92%NM 76.50%12.50I 8.00%NM 7.96%6.40I 15.63%NM 15.54%0.5%2026-04-11 14:00
Betfair Exchange (UK)1.29I 77.52%NM 76.64%12.50I 8.00%NM 7.91%6.40I 15.63%NM 15.45%1.1%2026-04-11 14:01
Matchbook1.27I 78.74%NM 77.73%13.50I 7.41%NM 7.31%6.60I 15.15%NM 14.96%1.3%2026-04-11 14:01
Betfair Exchange (AU)1.28I 78.13%NM 76.78%12.50I 8.00%NM 7.86%6.40I 15.63%NM 15.36%1.8%2026-04-11 14:00
Kalshi1.27I 78.74%NM 76.64%12.50I 8.00%NM 7.79%6.25I 16.00%NM 15.57%2.7%2026-04-11 14:01