La escuela de los momiosEspañol
Celtic v St Mirren
Momios de cierre — las predicciones y el valor esperado calculados con los últimos momios registrados antes del inicio, según el modelo seleccionado. El partido ya comenzó; estas cifras no son datos en vivo. Evalúe la fiabilidad de las predicciones probabilísticas de cada modelo frente a los resultados de todos los partidos resueltos →
Resultado del partido
Celtic (Local)
Predicción 73.81%1.35momio equitativo
EV -2.58%
Ventaja -1.95%
Kelly -8.05%
Crecimiento +0.000%
suponiendo unos momios máximos de 1.32
Distribución de las predicciones de los corredores
71.46%73.73%73.78%75.88%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX
Distribución de los momios
1.191.251.251.3284.03%79.76%80.00%75.76%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX
St Mirren (Visitante)
Predicción 9.91%10.09momio equitativo
EV +4.06%
Ventaja +0.387%
Kelly +0.428%
Crecimiento +0.017%
suponiendo unos momios máximos de 10.50
Distribución de las predicciones de los corredores
8.68%10.03%9.84%11.53%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX
Distribución de los momios
7.759.259.2010.5012.90%10.81%10.87%9.52%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX
Empate
Predicción 16.28%6.14momio equitativo
EV +5.84%
Ventaja +0.899%
Kelly +1.06%
Crecimiento +0.062%
suponiendo unos momios máximos de 6.50
Distribución de las predicciones de los corredores
14.01%16.24%16.38%17.69%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX
Distribución de los momios
5.105.705.756.5019.61%17.54%17.39%15.38%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX
Momios de las casas de apuestas (51 corredores)
No estamos afiliados a ninguna casa de apuestas ni obtenemos beneficio alguno de las operaciones realizadas con ellas.
| Corredor | Local | Visitante | Empate ▼ | Margen | Actualizado |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Tipico (DE) | 1.20I 83.33%NM 75.88%EV -11.43%E -9.53%K -57.16%G +0.000% | 9.00I 11.11%NM 10.12%EV -10.80%E -1.20%K -1.35%G +0.000% | 6.50I 15.38%NM 14.01%EV +5.84%E +0.899%K +1.06%G +0.062% | 9.8% | 2026-04-11 14:00 |
| Pinnacle | 1.27I 78.74%NM 75.58%EV -6.27%E -4.93%K -23.21%G +0.000% | 10.45I 9.57%NM 9.19%EV +3.57%E +0.341%K +0.378%G +0.013% | 6.30I 15.87%NM 15.24%EV +2.59%E +0.410%K +0.488%G +0.013% | 4.2% | 2026-04-11 13:59 |
| Svenska Spel | 1.30I 76.92%NM 75.09%EV -4.05%E -3.12%K -13.51%G +0.000% | 10.50I 9.52%NM 9.30%EV +4.06%E +0.387%K +0.428%G +0.017% | 6.25I 16.00%NM 15.62%EV +1.77%E +0.283%K +0.337%G +0.006% | 2.4% | 2026-04-11 14:00 |
| betPARX | 1.30I 76.92%NM 75.09%EV -4.05%E -3.12%K -13.51%G +0.000% | 10.50I 9.52%NM 9.30%EV +4.06%E +0.387%K +0.428%G +0.017% | 6.25I 16.00%NM 15.62%EV +1.77%E +0.283%K +0.337%G +0.006% | 2.4% | 2026-04-11 14:00 |
| Ladbrokes (UK) | 1.28I 78.13%NM 73.77%EV -5.53%E -4.32%K -19.74%G +0.000% | 9.00I 11.11%NM 10.49%EV -10.80%E -1.20%K -1.35%G +0.000% | 6.00I 16.67%NM 15.74%EV -2.30%E -0.383%K -0.460%G +0.000% | 5.9% | 2026-04-11 14:00 |
| Coral | 1.28I 78.13%NM 73.77%EV -5.53%E -4.32%K -19.74%G +0.000% | 9.00I 11.11%NM 10.49%EV -10.80%E -1.20%K -1.35%G +0.000% | 6.00I 16.67%NM 15.74%EV -2.30%E -0.383%K -0.460%G +0.000% | 5.9% | 2026-04-11 14:01 |
| Unibet | 1.26I 79.37%NM 74.85%EV -7.00%E -5.56%K -26.94%G +0.000% | 10.00I 10.00%NM 9.43%EV -0.892%E -0.089%K -0.099%G +0.000% | 6.00I 16.67%NM 15.72%EV -2.30%E -0.383%K -0.460%G +0.000% | 6.0% | 2026-04-11 14:00 |
| Bet Victor | 1.25I 80.00%NM 75.00%EV -7.74%E -6.19%K -30.97%G +0.000% | 10.00I 10.00%NM 9.38%EV -0.892%E -0.089%K -0.099%G +0.000% | 6.00I 16.67%NM 15.63%EV -2.30%E -0.383%K -0.460%G +0.000% | 6.7% | 2026-04-11 13:59 |
| Everygame | 1.25I 80.00%NM 74.63%EV -7.74%E -6.19%K -30.97%G +0.000% | 9.50I 10.53%NM 9.82%EV -5.85%E -0.615%K -0.688%G +0.000% | 6.00I 16.67%NM 15.55%EV -2.30%E -0.383%K -0.460%G +0.000% | 7.2% | 2026-04-11 13:59 |
| Fanatics | 1.22I 81.97%NM 75.45%EV -9.96%E -8.16%K -45.26%G +0.000% | 10.00I 10.00%NM 9.21%EV -0.892%E -0.089%K -0.099%G +0.000% | 6.00I 16.67%NM 15.34%EV -2.30%E -0.383%K -0.460%G +0.000% | 8.6% | 2026-04-11 14:00 |
| Sky Bet | 1.22I 81.97%NM 74.69%EV -9.96%E -8.16%K -45.26%G +0.000% | 9.00I 11.11%NM 10.12%EV -10.80%E -1.20%K -1.35%G +0.000% | 6.00I 16.67%NM 15.19%EV -2.30%E -0.383%K -0.460%G +0.000% | 9.7% | 2026-04-11 14:00 |
| Marathon Bet | 1.26I 79.37%NM 74.05%EV -7.00%E -5.56%K -26.94%G +0.000% | 9.20I 10.87%NM 10.14%EV -8.82%E -0.959%K -1.08%G +0.000% | 5.90I 16.95%NM 15.81%EV -3.93%E -0.666%K -0.802%G +0.000% | 7.2% | 2026-04-11 14:00 |
| FanDuel | 1.24I 80.65%NM 74.59%EV -8.48%E -6.84%K -35.34%G +0.000% | 9.50I 10.53%NM 9.74%EV -5.85%E -0.615%K -0.688%G +0.000% | 5.90I 16.95%NM 15.68%EV -3.93%E -0.666%K -0.802%G +0.000% | 8.1% | 2026-04-11 13:58 |
| Ladbrokes (AU) | 1.28I 78.13%NM 72.92%EV -5.53%E -4.32%K -19.74%G +0.000% | 8.50I 11.76%NM 10.98%EV -15.76%E -1.85%K -2.10%G +0.000% | 5.80I 17.24%NM 16.09%EV -5.56%E -0.958%K -1.16%G +0.000% | 7.1% | 2026-04-11 13:59 |
| Neds | 1.28I 78.13%NM 72.92%EV -5.53%E -4.32%K -19.74%G +0.000% | 8.50I 11.76%NM 10.98%EV -15.76%E -1.85%K -2.10%G +0.000% | 5.80I 17.24%NM 16.09%EV -5.56%E -0.958%K -1.16%G +0.000% | 7.1% | 2026-04-11 13:59 |
| Unibet (SE) | 1.26I 79.37%NM 74.08%EV -7.00%E -5.56%K -26.94%G +0.000% | 9.50I 10.53%NM 9.83%EV -5.85%E -0.615%K -0.688%G +0.000% | 5.80I 17.24%NM 16.09%EV -5.56%E -0.958%K -1.16%G +0.000% | 7.1% | 2026-04-11 14:01 |
| ATG (SE) | 1.26I 79.37%NM 74.08%EV -7.00%E -5.56%K -26.94%G +0.000% | 9.50I 10.53%NM 9.83%EV -5.85%E -0.615%K -0.688%G +0.000% | 5.80I 17.24%NM 16.09%EV -5.56%E -0.958%K -1.16%G +0.000% | 7.1% | 2026-04-11 14:01 |
| BetRivers | 1.24I 80.65%NM 74.75%EV -8.48%E -6.84%K -35.34%G +0.000% | 10.00I 10.00%NM 9.27%EV -0.892%E -0.089%K -0.099%G +0.000% | 5.80I 17.24%NM 15.98%EV -5.56%E -0.958%K -1.16%G +0.000% | 7.9% | 2026-04-11 13:54 |
| TABtouch | 1.24I 80.65%NM 74.75%EV -8.48%E -6.84%K -35.34%G +0.000% | 10.00I 10.00%NM 9.27%EV -0.892%E -0.089%K -0.099%G +0.000% | 5.80I 17.24%NM 15.98%EV -5.56%E -0.958%K -1.16%G +0.000% | 7.9% | 2026-04-11 14:01 |
| Coolbet | 1.29I 77.52%NM 73.89%EV -4.79%E -3.71%K -16.52%G +0.000% | 10.00I 10.00%NM 9.53%EV -0.892%E -0.089%K -0.099%G +0.000% | 5.75I 17.39%NM 16.58%EV -6.37%E -1.11%K -1.34%G +0.000% | 4.9% | 2026-04-11 13:59 |
| Unibet (UK) | 1.29I 77.52%NM 73.12%EV -4.79%E -3.71%K -16.52%G +0.000% | 9.00I 11.11%NM 10.48%EV -10.80%E -1.20%K -1.35%G +0.000% | 5.75I 17.39%NM 16.40%EV -6.37%E -1.11%K -1.34%G +0.000% | 6.0% | 2026-04-11 13:59 |
| Casumo | 1.27I 78.74%NM 73.83%EV -6.27%E -4.93%K -23.21%G +0.000% | 9.50I 10.53%NM 9.87%EV -5.85%E -0.615%K -0.688%G +0.000% | 5.75I 17.39%NM 16.31%EV -6.37%E -1.11%K -1.34%G +0.000% | 6.7% | 2026-04-11 14:00 |
| Betr (AU) | 1.27I 78.74%NM 73.83%EV -6.27%E -4.93%K -23.21%G +0.000% | 9.50I 10.53%NM 9.87%EV -5.85%E -0.615%K -0.688%G +0.000% | 5.75I 17.39%NM 16.31%EV -6.37%E -1.11%K -1.34%G +0.000% | 6.7% | 2026-04-11 13:59 |
| PlayUp | 1.25I 80.00%NM 74.13%EV -7.74%E -6.19%K -30.97%G +0.000% | 9.50I 10.53%NM 9.75%EV -5.85%E -0.615%K -0.688%G +0.000% | 5.75I 17.39%NM 16.12%EV -6.37%E -1.11%K -1.34%G +0.000% | 7.9% | 2026-04-11 14:00 |
| BetUS | 1.24I 80.65%NM 74.09%EV -8.48%E -6.84%K -35.34%G +0.000% | 9.25I 10.81%NM 9.93%EV -8.32%E -0.900%K -1.01%G +0.000% | 5.75I 17.39%NM 15.98%EV -6.37%E -1.11%K -1.34%G +0.000% | 8.8% | 2026-04-11 13:59 |
| Virgin Bet | 1.22I 81.97%NM 74.59%EV -9.96%E -8.16%K -45.26%G +0.000% | 9.50I 10.53%NM 9.58%EV -5.85%E -0.615%K -0.688%G +0.000% | 5.75I 17.39%NM 15.83%EV -6.37%E -1.11%K -1.34%G +0.000% | 9.9% | 2026-04-11 14:00 |
| LiveScore Bet | 1.22I 81.97%NM 74.59%EV -9.96%E -8.16%K -45.26%G +0.000% | 9.50I 10.53%NM 9.58%EV -5.85%E -0.615%K -0.688%G +0.000% | 5.75I 17.39%NM 15.83%EV -6.37%E -1.11%K -1.34%G +0.000% | 9.9% | 2026-04-11 14:00 |
| 1xBet | 1.32I 75.76%NM 72.57%EV -2.58%E -1.95%K -8.05%G +0.000% | 8.94I 11.19%NM 10.71%EV -11.40%E -1.27%K -1.44%G +0.000% | 5.73I 17.45%NM 16.72%EV -6.70%E -1.17%K -1.42%G +0.000% | 4.4% | 2026-04-11 13:59 |
| LowVig.ag | 1.23I 81.30%NM 73.41%EV -9.22%E -7.49%K -40.08%G +0.000% | 8.40I 11.90%NM 10.75%EV -16.75%E -1.99%K -2.26%G +0.000% | 5.70I 17.54%NM 15.84%EV -7.18%E -1.26%K -1.53%G +0.000% | 10.7% | 2026-04-11 14:00 |
| BetOnline.ag | 1.23I 81.30%NM 73.41%EV -9.22%E -7.49%K -40.08%G +0.000% | 8.40I 11.90%NM 10.75%EV -16.75%E -1.99%K -2.26%G +0.000% | 5.70I 17.54%NM 15.84%EV -7.18%E -1.26%K -1.53%G +0.000% | 10.7% | 2026-04-11 14:00 |
| Unibet (NL) | 1.25I 80.00%NM 73.42%EV -7.74%E -6.19%K -30.97%G +0.000% | 9.00I 11.11%NM 10.20%EV -10.80%E -1.20%K -1.35%G +0.000% | 5.60I 17.86%NM 16.39%EV -8.81%E -1.57%K -1.92%G +0.000% | 9.0% | 2026-04-11 14:01 |
| Grosvenor | 1.25I 80.00%NM 73.42%EV -7.74%E -6.19%K -30.97%G +0.000% | 9.00I 11.11%NM 10.20%EV -10.80%E -1.20%K -1.35%G +0.000% | 5.60I 17.86%NM 16.39%EV -8.81%E -1.57%K -1.92%G +0.000% | 9.0% | 2026-04-11 14:01 |
| DraftKings | 1.28I 78.13%NM 73.13%EV -5.53%E -4.32%K -19.74%G +0.000% | 9.50I 10.53%NM 9.85%EV -5.85%E -0.615%K -0.688%G +0.000% | 5.50I 18.18%NM 17.02%EV -10.44%E -1.90%K -2.32%G +0.000% | 6.8% | 2026-04-11 14:01 |
| Bet Right | 1.27I 78.74%NM 73.28%EV -6.27%E -4.93%K -23.21%G +0.000% | 9.50I 10.53%NM 9.80%EV -5.85%E -0.615%K -0.688%G +0.000% | 5.50I 18.18%NM 16.92%EV -10.44%E -1.90%K -2.32%G +0.000% | 7.4% | 2026-04-11 13:59 |
| BoyleSports | 1.25I 80.00%NM 73.95%EV -7.74%E -6.19%K -30.97%G +0.000% | 10.00I 10.00%NM 9.24%EV -0.892%E -0.089%K -0.099%G +0.000% | 5.50I 18.18%NM 16.81%EV -10.44%E -1.90%K -2.32%G +0.000% | 8.2% | 2026-04-11 14:00 |
| Paddy Power | 1.25I 80.00%NM 73.95%EV -7.74%E -6.19%K -30.97%G +0.000% | 10.00I 10.00%NM 9.24%EV -0.892%E -0.089%K -0.099%G +0.000% | 5.50I 18.18%NM 16.81%EV -10.44%E -1.90%K -2.32%G +0.000% | 8.2% | 2026-04-11 14:01 |
| William Hill | 1.25I 80.00%NM 73.20%EV -7.74%E -6.19%K -30.97%G +0.000% | 9.00I 11.11%NM 10.17%EV -10.80%E -1.20%K -1.35%G +0.000% | 5.50I 18.18%NM 16.64%EV -10.44%E -1.90%K -2.32%G +0.000% | 9.3% | 2026-04-11 14:00 |
| 888sport | 1.25I 80.00%NM 73.20%EV -7.74%E -6.19%K -30.97%G +0.000% | 9.00I 11.11%NM 10.17%EV -10.80%E -1.20%K -1.35%G +0.000% | 5.50I 18.18%NM 16.64%EV -10.44%E -1.90%K -2.32%G +0.000% | 9.3% | 2026-04-11 14:00 |
| 888sport (SE) | 1.25I 80.00%NM 73.20%EV -7.74%E -6.19%K -30.97%G +0.000% | 9.00I 11.11%NM 10.17%EV -10.80%E -1.20%K -1.35%G +0.000% | 5.50I 18.18%NM 16.64%EV -10.44%E -1.90%K -2.32%G +0.000% | 9.3% | 2026-04-11 14:00 |
| Mr Green (SE) | 1.25I 80.00%NM 73.20%EV -7.74%E -6.19%K -30.97%G +0.000% | 9.00I 11.11%NM 10.17%EV -10.80%E -1.20%K -1.35%G +0.000% | 5.50I 18.18%NM 16.64%EV -10.44%E -1.90%K -2.32%G +0.000% | 9.3% | 2026-04-11 14:01 |
| SportsBet | 1.22I 81.97%NM 74.74%EV -9.96%E -8.16%K -45.26%G +0.000% | 10.50I 9.52%NM 8.68%EV +4.06%E +0.387%K +0.428%G +0.017% | 5.50I 18.18%NM 16.58%EV -10.44%E -1.90%K -2.32%G +0.000% | 9.7% | 2026-04-11 13:59 |
| LeoVegas | 1.24I 80.65%NM 73.13%EV -8.48%E -6.84%K -35.34%G +0.000% | 9.00I 11.11%NM 10.08%EV -10.80%E -1.20%K -1.35%G +0.000% | 5.40I 18.52%NM 16.79%EV -12.07%E -2.24%K -2.74%G +0.000% | 10.3% | 2026-04-11 14:00 |
| Codere (IT) | 1.26I 79.37%NM 71.90%EV -7.00%E -5.56%K -26.94%G +0.000% | 8.00I 12.50%NM 11.32%EV -20.71%E -2.59%K -2.96%G +0.000% | 5.40I 18.52%NM 16.78%EV -12.07%E -2.24%K -2.74%G +0.000% | 10.4% | 2026-04-11 14:00 |
| LeoVegas (SE) | 1.23I 81.30%NM 73.29%EV -9.22%E -7.49%K -40.08%G +0.000% | 9.00I 11.11%NM 10.02%EV -10.80%E -1.20%K -1.35%G +0.000% | 5.40I 18.52%NM 16.69%EV -12.07%E -2.24%K -2.74%G +0.000% | 10.9% | 2026-04-11 14:00 |
| Unibet (FR) | 1.24I 80.65%NM 72.22%EV -8.48%E -6.84%K -35.34%G +0.000% | 8.00I 12.50%NM 11.19%EV -20.71%E -2.59%K -2.96%G +0.000% | 5.40I 18.52%NM 16.58%EV -12.07%E -2.24%K -2.74%G +0.000% | 11.7% | 2026-04-11 13:59 |
| NordicBet | 1.26I 79.37%NM 72.78%EV -7.00%E -5.56%K -26.94%G +0.000% | 9.10I 10.99%NM 10.08%EV -9.81%E -1.08%K -1.21%G +0.000% | 5.35I 18.69%NM 17.14%EV -12.88%E -2.41%K -2.96%G +0.000% | 9.0% | 2026-04-11 14:00 |
| PointsBet (AU) | 1.28I 78.13%NM 72.54%EV -5.53%E -4.32%K -19.74%G +0.000% | 9.50I 10.53%NM 9.77%EV -5.85%E -0.615%K -0.688%G +0.000% | 5.25I 19.05%NM 17.69%EV -14.51%E -2.76%K -3.41%G +0.000% | 7.7% | 2026-04-11 14:00 |
| Betway | 1.29I 77.52%NM 71.56%EV -4.79%E -3.71%K -16.52%G +0.000% | 8.50I 11.76%NM 10.86%EV -15.76%E -1.85%K -2.10%G +0.000% | 5.25I 19.05%NM 17.58%EV -14.51%E -2.76%K -3.41%G +0.000% | 8.3% | 2026-04-11 14:00 |
| BetMGM | 1.25I 80.00%NM 71.46%EV -7.74%E -6.19%K -30.97%G +0.000% | 7.75I 12.90%NM 11.53%EV -23.19%E -2.99%K -3.44%G +0.000% | 5.25I 19.05%NM 17.01%EV -14.51%E -2.76%K -3.41%G +0.000% | 12.0% | 2026-04-11 14:01 |
| PMU (FR) | 1.21I 82.64%NM 72.72%EV -10.69%E -8.84%K -50.93%G +0.000% | 8.50I 11.76%NM 10.35%EV -15.76%E -1.85%K -2.10%G +0.000% | 5.20I 19.23%NM 16.92%EV -15.33%E -2.95%K -3.65%G +0.000% | 13.6% | 2026-04-11 14:00 |
| NetBet (FR) | 1.19I 84.03%NM 72.35%EV -12.17%E -10.23%K -64.06%G +0.000% | 8.00I 12.50%NM 10.76%EV -20.71%E -2.59%K -2.96%G +0.000% | 5.10I 19.61%NM 16.88%EV -16.95%E -3.32%K -4.14%G +0.000% | 16.1% | 2026-04-11 13:58 |
Margen = Margen del corredor · I = Probabilidad implícita · NM = Probabilidad sin margen · EV = Valor esperado · E = Ventaja · K = Criterio de Kelly · G = Crecimiento del capital de apuestas
Actualizado indica cuándo actualizó cada corredor sus momios por última vez. Una hora anterior significa que los momios no han cambiado, no necesariamente que estén desactualizados. Por lo general se descartan los corredores de los que no se han recibido datos durante unos 15 minutos; solo cuando toda la fuente de un mercado deja de informar se conservan los últimos momios registrados.
Bolsas de apuestas (6)
| Corredor | Local | Visitante | Empate | Margen ▲ | Actualizado |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Smarkets | 1.29I 77.52%NM 77.24% | 13.00I 7.69%NM 7.66% | 6.60I 15.15%NM 15.10% | 0.4% | 2026-04-11 14:00 |
| Betfair Exchange (EU) | 1.30I 76.92%NM 76.50% | 12.50I 8.00%NM 7.96% | 6.40I 15.63%NM 15.54% | 0.5% | 2026-04-11 14:00 |
| Betfair Exchange (UK) | 1.29I 77.52%NM 76.64% | 12.50I 8.00%NM 7.91% | 6.40I 15.63%NM 15.45% | 1.1% | 2026-04-11 14:01 |
| Matchbook | 1.27I 78.74%NM 77.73% | 13.50I 7.41%NM 7.31% | 6.60I 15.15%NM 14.96% | 1.3% | 2026-04-11 14:01 |
| Betfair Exchange (AU) | 1.28I 78.13%NM 76.78% | 12.50I 8.00%NM 7.86% | 6.40I 15.63%NM 15.36% | 1.8% | 2026-04-11 14:00 |
| Kalshi | 1.27I 78.74%NM 76.64% | 12.50I 8.00%NM 7.79% | 6.25I 16.00%NM 15.57% | 2.7% | 2026-04-11 14:01 |