Language:English
Celtic v Hearts
Closing line — the calculated probabilities and expected value from the last prices recorded before kickoff, under your selected model. The game has started, so these are not live figures. Assess the reliability of each model's probability predictions against all settled-game outcomes →
Head to Head
Celtic (Local)
Prediction 58.09%1.72fair odd
EV -2.40%
Edge -1.43%
Kelly -3.53%
Growth +0.000%
assuming max odds 1.68
Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
56.61%58.09%58.08%59.56%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
1.481.591.601.6867.57%62.70%62.50%59.52%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Hearts (Visit)
Prediction 18.89%5.29fair odd
EV +2.74%
Edge +0.504%
Kelly +0.618%
Growth +0.017%
assuming max odds 5.44
Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
17.70%18.96%18.85%20.40%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
4.604.894.905.4421.74%20.43%20.41%18.38%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Draw
Prediction 23.02%4.34fair odd
EV +1.28%
Edge +0.292%
Kelly +0.377%
Growth +0.005%
assuming max odds 4.40
Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
21.42%22.94%23.07%23.97%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
3.754.134.204.4026.67%24.24%23.81%22.73%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
At the last prices before kickoff, Interquartile mean (Vetted List) estimated these probabilities for Head to Head: Celtic (Local): 58.09%; Hearts (Visit): 18.89%; Draw: 23.02%. For Hearts (Visit), that estimate was equivalent to fair decimal odds of 5.29. 1 bookmaker offered closing odds above that level; the best were 5.44, corresponding to a positive expected value of +2.74%.
Sportsbook Odds (51 sportsbooks)
We're not affiliated with any bookmaker, we earn nothing from any action done with them.
| Bookmaker | Local | Visit ▼ | Draw | Margin | Updated |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Pinnacle🎯 | 1.63I 61.35%NM 59.09%EV -5.31%E -3.25%K -8.42%G +0.000% | 5.44I 18.38%NM 17.70%EV +2.74%E +0.504%K +0.618%G +0.017% | 4.15I 24.10%NM 23.21%EV -4.47%E -1.08%K -1.42%G +0.000% | 3.8% | 2026-05-16 11:29 |
| Everygame🎯 | 1.60I 62.50%NM 58.66%EV -7.05%E -4.41%K -11.75%G +0.000% | 5.25I 19.05%NM 17.88%EV -0.846%E -0.161%K -0.199%G +0.000% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 23.46%EV -7.92%E -1.98%K -2.64%G +0.000% | 6.5% | 2026-05-16 11:29 |
| FanDuel🎯 | 1.59I 62.89%NM 59.05%EV -7.63%E -4.80%K -12.93%G +0.000% | 5.20I 19.23%NM 18.05%EV -1.79%E -0.344%K -0.426%G +0.000% | 4.10I 24.39%NM 22.90%EV -5.62%E -1.37%K -1.81%G +0.000% | 6.5% | 2026-05-16 11:29 |
| Bovada🎯 | 1.59I 62.89%NM 58.05%EV -7.63%E -4.80%K -12.93%G +0.000% | 5.05I 19.80%NM 18.28%EV -4.62%E -0.915%K -1.14%G +0.000% | 3.90I 25.64%NM 23.67%EV -10.23%E -2.62%K -3.53%G +0.000% | 8.3% | 2026-05-16 11:29 |
| Grosvenor🎯 | 1.60I 62.50%NM 59.25%EV -7.05%E -4.41%K -11.75%G +0.000% | 5.00I 20.00%NM 18.96%EV -5.57%E -1.11%K -1.39%G +0.000% | 4.35I 22.99%NM 21.79%EV +0.132%E +0.030%K +0.039%G +0.000% | 5.5% | 2026-05-16 11:30 |
| ATG (SE)🎯 | 1.60I 62.50%NM 59.25%EV -7.05%E -4.41%K -11.75%G +0.000% | 5.00I 20.00%NM 18.96%EV -5.57%E -1.11%K -1.39%G +0.000% | 4.35I 22.99%NM 21.79%EV +0.132%E +0.030%K +0.039%G +0.000% | 5.5% | 2026-05-16 11:30 |
| Svenska Spel🎯 | 1.60I 62.50%NM 59.25%EV -7.05%E -4.41%K -11.75%G +0.000% | 5.00I 20.00%NM 18.96%EV -5.57%E -1.11%K -1.39%G +0.000% | 4.35I 22.99%NM 21.79%EV +0.132%E +0.030%K +0.039%G +0.000% | 5.5% | 2026-05-16 11:30 |
| Unibet (UK)🎯 | 1.62I 61.73%NM 58.49%EV -5.89%E -3.63%K -9.49%G +0.000% | 5.00I 20.00%NM 18.95%EV -5.57%E -1.11%K -1.39%G +0.000% | 4.20I 23.81%NM 22.56%EV -3.32%E -0.791%K -1.04%G +0.000% | 5.5% | 2026-05-16 11:30 |
| Bet Victor🎯 | 1.60I 62.50%NM 58.79%EV -7.05%E -4.41%K -11.75%G +0.000% | 5.00I 20.00%NM 18.81%EV -5.57%E -1.11%K -1.39%G +0.000% | 4.20I 23.81%NM 22.40%EV -3.32%E -0.791%K -1.04%G +0.000% | 6.3% | 2026-05-16 11:29 |
| BetOnline.ag🎯 | 1.63I 61.35%NM 57.52%EV -5.31%E -3.25%K -8.42%G +0.000% | 5.00I 20.00%NM 18.75%EV -5.57%E -1.11%K -1.39%G +0.000% | 3.95I 25.32%NM 23.73%EV -9.08%E -2.30%K -3.08%G +0.000% | 6.7% | 2026-05-16 11:30 |
| LowVig.ag🎯 | 1.63I 61.35%NM 57.52%EV -5.31%E -3.25%K -8.42%G +0.000% | 5.00I 20.00%NM 18.75%EV -5.57%E -1.11%K -1.39%G +0.000% | 3.95I 25.32%NM 23.73%EV -9.08%E -2.30%K -3.08%G +0.000% | 6.7% | 2026-05-16 11:30 |
| BetUS🎯 | 1.63I 61.35%NM 57.52%EV -5.31%E -3.25%K -8.42%G +0.000% | 5.00I 20.00%NM 18.75%EV -5.57%E -1.11%K -1.39%G +0.000% | 3.95I 25.32%NM 23.73%EV -9.08%E -2.30%K -3.08%G +0.000% | 6.7% | 2026-05-16 11:29 |
| William Hill🎯 | 1.62I 61.73%NM 57.84%EV -5.89%E -3.63%K -9.49%G +0.000% | 5.00I 20.00%NM 18.74%EV -5.57%E -1.11%K -1.39%G +0.000% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 23.42%EV -7.92%E -1.98%K -2.64%G +0.000% | 6.7% | 2026-05-16 11:30 |
| Unibet🎯 | 1.57I 63.69%NM 59.56%EV -8.79%E -5.60%K -15.42%G +0.000% | 5.00I 20.00%NM 18.70%EV -5.57%E -1.11%K -1.39%G +0.000% | 4.30I 23.26%NM 21.74%EV -1.02%E -0.237%K -0.309%G +0.000% | 7.0% | 2026-05-16 11:30 |
| LeoVegas🎯 | 1.57I 63.69%NM 59.56%EV -8.79%E -5.60%K -15.42%G +0.000% | 5.00I 20.00%NM 18.70%EV -5.57%E -1.11%K -1.39%G +0.000% | 4.30I 23.26%NM 21.74%EV -1.02%E -0.237%K -0.309%G +0.000% | 7.0% | 2026-05-16 11:30 |
| Unibet (NL)🎯 | 1.57I 63.69%NM 59.56%EV -8.79%E -5.60%K -15.42%G +0.000% | 5.00I 20.00%NM 18.70%EV -5.57%E -1.11%K -1.39%G +0.000% | 4.30I 23.26%NM 21.74%EV -1.02%E -0.237%K -0.309%G +0.000% | 7.0% | 2026-05-16 11:30 |
| Unibet (SE)🎯 | 1.57I 63.69%NM 59.56%EV -8.79%E -5.60%K -15.42%G +0.000% | 5.00I 20.00%NM 18.70%EV -5.57%E -1.11%K -1.39%G +0.000% | 4.30I 23.26%NM 21.74%EV -1.02%E -0.237%K -0.309%G +0.000% | 7.0% | 2026-05-16 11:30 |
| Betway🎯 | 1.61I 62.11%NM 57.99%EV -6.47%E -4.02%K -10.60%G +0.000% | 5.00I 20.00%NM 18.67%EV -5.57%E -1.11%K -1.39%G +0.000% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 23.34%EV -7.92%E -1.98%K -2.64%G +0.000% | 7.1% | 2026-05-16 11:30 |
| DraftKings🎯 | 1.61I 62.11%NM 57.99%EV -6.47%E -4.02%K -10.60%G +0.000% | 5.00I 20.00%NM 18.67%EV -5.57%E -1.11%K -1.39%G +0.000% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 23.34%EV -7.92%E -1.98%K -2.64%G +0.000% | 7.1% | 2026-05-16 11:30 |
| Fanatics🎯 | 1.59I 62.89%NM 58.62%EV -7.63%E -4.80%K -12.93%G +0.000% | 5.00I 20.00%NM 18.64%EV -5.57%E -1.11%K -1.39%G +0.000% | 4.10I 24.39%NM 22.73%EV -5.62%E -1.37%K -1.81%G +0.000% | 7.3% | 2026-05-16 11:30 |
| SportsBet🎯 | 1.57I 63.69%NM 58.60%EV -8.79%E -5.60%K -15.42%G +0.000% | 5.00I 20.00%NM 18.40%EV -5.57%E -1.11%K -1.39%G +0.000% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 23.00%EV -7.92%E -1.98%K -2.64%G +0.000% | 8.7% | 2026-05-16 11:30 |
| Paddy Power🎯 | 1.57I 63.69%NM 58.60%EV -8.79%E -5.60%K -15.42%G +0.000% | 5.00I 20.00%NM 18.40%EV -5.57%E -1.11%K -1.39%G +0.000% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 23.00%EV -7.92%E -1.98%K -2.64%G +0.000% | 8.7% | 2026-05-16 11:30 |
| Betsson🎯 | 1.65I 60.61%NM 57.11%EV -4.14%E -2.51%K -6.37%G +0.000% | 4.95I 20.20%NM 19.04%EV -6.51%E -1.32%K -1.65%G +0.000% | 3.95I 25.32%NM 23.86%EV -9.08%E -2.30%K -3.08%G +0.000% | 6.1% | 2026-05-16 11:30 |
| NordicBet🎯 | 1.65I 60.61%NM 57.11%EV -4.14%E -2.51%K -6.37%G +0.000% | 4.95I 20.20%NM 19.04%EV -6.51%E -1.32%K -1.65%G +0.000% | 3.95I 25.32%NM 23.86%EV -9.08%E -2.30%K -3.08%G +0.000% | 6.1% | 2026-05-16 11:30 |
| Marathon Bet🎯 | 1.61I 62.11%NM 57.93%EV -6.47%E -4.02%K -10.60%G +0.000% | 4.90I 20.41%NM 19.04%EV -7.46%E -1.52%K -1.91%G +0.000% | 4.05I 24.69%NM 23.03%EV -6.77%E -1.67%K -2.22%G +0.000% | 7.2% | 2026-05-16 11:29 |
| TABtouch🎯 | 1.56I 64.10%NM 59.33%EV -9.37%E -6.01%K -16.74%G +0.000% | 4.90I 20.41%NM 18.89%EV -7.46%E -1.52%K -1.91%G +0.000% | 4.25I 23.53%NM 21.78%EV -2.17%E -0.511%K -0.668%G +0.000% | 8.0% | 2026-05-16 11:30 |
| Casumo🎯 | 1.56I 64.10%NM 59.33%EV -9.37%E -6.01%K -16.74%G +0.000% | 4.90I 20.41%NM 18.89%EV -7.46%E -1.52%K -1.91%G +0.000% | 4.25I 23.53%NM 21.78%EV -2.17%E -0.511%K -0.668%G +0.000% | 8.0% | 2026-05-16 11:30 |
| betPARX🎯 | 1.56I 64.10%NM 59.33%EV -9.37%E -6.01%K -16.74%G +0.000% | 4.90I 20.41%NM 18.89%EV -7.46%E -1.52%K -1.91%G +0.000% | 4.25I 23.53%NM 21.78%EV -2.17%E -0.511%K -0.668%G +0.000% | 8.0% | 2026-05-16 11:30 |
| LeoVegas (SE)🎯 | 1.55I 64.52%NM 59.33%EV -9.95%E -6.42%K -18.10%G +0.000% | 4.90I 20.41%NM 18.77%EV -7.46%E -1.52%K -1.91%G +0.000% | 4.20I 23.81%NM 21.90%EV -3.32%E -0.791%K -1.04%G +0.000% | 8.7% | 2026-05-16 11:30 |
| 1xBet🎯 | 1.68I 59.52%NM 57.22%EV -2.40%E -1.43%K -3.53%G +0.000% | 4.86I 20.58%NM 19.78%EV -8.21%E -1.69%K -2.13%G +0.000% | 4.18I 23.92%NM 23.00%EV -3.78%E -0.905%K -1.19%G +0.000% | 4.0% | 2026-05-16 11:29 |
| Coral🎯 | 1.61I 62.11%NM 58.57%EV -6.47%E -4.02%K -10.60%G +0.000% | 4.80I 20.83%NM 19.65%EV -9.34%E -1.95%K -2.46%G +0.000% | 4.33I 23.09%NM 21.78%EV -0.329%E -0.076%K -0.099%G +0.000% | 6.0% | 2026-05-16 11:30 |
| Ladbrokes (UK)🎯 | 1.61I 62.11%NM 58.18%EV -6.47%E -4.02%K -10.60%G +0.000% | 4.80I 20.83%NM 19.52%EV -9.34%E -1.95%K -2.46%G +0.000% | 4.20I 23.81%NM 22.30%EV -3.32%E -0.791%K -1.04%G +0.000% | 6.8% | 2026-05-16 11:30 |
| 888sport🎯 | 1.60I 62.50%NM 57.35%EV -7.05%E -4.41%K -11.75%G +0.000% | 4.80I 20.83%NM 19.12%EV -9.34%E -1.95%K -2.46%G +0.000% | 3.90I 25.64%NM 23.53%EV -10.23%E -2.62%K -3.53%G +0.000% | 9.0% | 2026-05-16 11:29 |
| 888sport (SE)🎯 | 1.60I 62.50%NM 57.35%EV -7.05%E -4.41%K -11.75%G +0.000% | 4.80I 20.83%NM 19.12%EV -9.34%E -1.95%K -2.46%G +0.000% | 3.90I 25.64%NM 23.53%EV -10.23%E -2.62%K -3.53%G +0.000% | 9.0% | 2026-05-16 11:29 |
| Mr Green (SE)🎯 | 1.60I 62.50%NM 57.35%EV -7.05%E -4.41%K -11.75%G +0.000% | 4.80I 20.83%NM 19.12%EV -9.34%E -1.95%K -2.46%G +0.000% | 3.90I 25.64%NM 23.53%EV -10.23%E -2.62%K -3.53%G +0.000% | 9.0% | 2026-05-16 11:29 |
| PMU (FR)🎯 | 1.53I 65.36%NM 59.42%EV -11.12%E -7.26%K -20.97%G +0.000% | 4.80I 20.83%NM 18.94%EV -9.34%E -1.95%K -2.46%G +0.000% | 4.20I 23.81%NM 21.64%EV -3.32%E -0.791%K -1.04%G +0.000% | 10.0% | 2026-05-16 11:30 |
| Virgin Bet🎯 | 1.53I 65.36%NM 59.42%EV -11.12%E -7.26%K -20.97%G +0.000% | 4.80I 20.83%NM 18.94%EV -9.34%E -1.95%K -2.46%G +0.000% | 4.20I 23.81%NM 21.64%EV -3.32%E -0.791%K -1.04%G +0.000% | 10.0% | 2026-05-16 11:30 |
| LiveScore Bet🎯 | 1.53I 65.36%NM 59.42%EV -11.12%E -7.26%K -20.97%G +0.000% | 4.80I 20.83%NM 18.94%EV -9.34%E -1.95%K -2.46%G +0.000% | 4.20I 23.81%NM 21.64%EV -3.32%E -0.791%K -1.04%G +0.000% | 10.0% | 2026-05-16 11:30 |
| Coolbet🎯 | 1.64I 60.98%NM 58.21%EV -4.72%E -2.88%K -7.38%G +0.000% | 4.75I 21.05%NM 20.10%EV -10.29%E -2.17%K -2.74%G +0.000% | 4.40I 22.73%NM 21.70%EV +1.28%E +0.292%K +0.377%G +0.005% | 4.8% | 2026-05-16 11:29 |
| PointsBet (AU)🎯 | 1.62I 61.73%NM 58.06%EV -5.89%E -3.63%K -9.49%G +0.000% | 4.75I 21.05%NM 19.80%EV -10.29%E -2.17%K -2.74%G +0.000% | 4.25I 23.53%NM 22.13%EV -2.17%E -0.511%K -0.668%G +0.000% | 6.3% | 2026-05-16 11:29 |
| Neds🎯 | 1.62I 61.73%NM 57.91%EV -5.89%E -3.63%K -9.49%G +0.000% | 4.75I 21.05%NM 19.75%EV -10.29%E -2.17%K -2.74%G +0.000% | 4.20I 23.81%NM 22.34%EV -3.32%E -0.791%K -1.04%G +0.000% | 6.6% | 2026-05-16 11:29 |
| Ladbrokes (AU)🎯 | 1.62I 61.73%NM 57.91%EV -5.89%E -3.63%K -9.49%G +0.000% | 4.75I 21.05%NM 19.75%EV -10.29%E -2.17%K -2.74%G +0.000% | 4.20I 23.81%NM 22.34%EV -3.32%E -0.791%K -1.04%G +0.000% | 6.6% | 2026-05-16 11:29 |
| Sky Bet🎯 | 1.57I 63.69%NM 59.06%EV -8.79%E -5.60%K -15.42%G +0.000% | 4.75I 21.05%NM 19.52%EV -10.29%E -2.17%K -2.74%G +0.000% | 4.33I 23.09%NM 21.42%EV -0.329%E -0.076%K -0.099%G +0.000% | 7.8% | 2026-05-16 11:30 |
| PlayUp🎯 | 1.63I 61.35%NM 56.61%EV -5.31%E -3.25%K -8.42%G +0.000% | 4.75I 21.05%NM 19.43%EV -10.29%E -2.17%K -2.74%G +0.000% | 3.85I 25.97%NM 23.97%EV -11.38%E -2.96%K -3.99%G +0.000% | 8.4% | 2026-05-16 11:30 |
| BoyleSports🎯 | 1.55I 64.52%NM 57.66%EV -9.95%E -6.42%K -18.10%G +0.000% | 4.75I 21.05%NM 18.82%EV -10.29%E -2.17%K -2.74%G +0.000% | 3.80I 26.32%NM 23.52%EV -12.53%E -3.30%K -4.47%G +0.000% | 11.9% | 2026-05-16 11:29 |
| Betr (AU)🎯 | 1.62I 61.73%NM 57.79%EV -5.89%E -3.63%K -9.49%G +0.000% | 4.70I 21.28%NM 19.92%EV -11.23%E -2.39%K -3.04%G +0.000% | 4.20I 23.81%NM 22.29%EV -3.32%E -0.791%K -1.04%G +0.000% | 6.8% | 2026-05-16 11:29 |
| Unibet (FR)🎯 | 1.54I 64.94%NM 58.43%EV -10.53%E -6.84%K -19.51%G +0.000% | 4.65I 21.51%NM 19.35%EV -12.18%E -2.62%K -3.34%G +0.000% | 4.05I 24.69%NM 22.22%EV -6.77%E -1.67%K -2.22%G +0.000% | 11.1% | 2026-05-16 11:28 |
| betfred_uk🎯 | 1.62I 61.73%NM 57.93%EV -5.89%E -3.63%K -9.49%G +0.000% | 4.60I 21.74%NM 20.40%EV -13.12%E -2.85%K -3.65%G +0.000% | 4.33I 23.09%NM 21.67%EV -0.329%E -0.076%K -0.099%G +0.000% | 6.6% | 2026-05-16 11:29 |
| BetMGM🎯 | 1.62I 61.73%NM 57.54%EV -5.89%E -3.63%K -9.49%G +0.000% | 4.60I 21.74%NM 20.26%EV -13.12%E -2.85%K -3.65%G +0.000% | 4.20I 23.81%NM 22.19%EV -3.32%E -0.791%K -1.04%G +0.000% | 7.3% | 2026-05-16 11:30 |
| Bet Right🎯 | 1.61I 62.11%NM 57.69%EV -6.47%E -4.02%K -10.60%G +0.000% | 4.60I 21.74%NM 20.19%EV -13.12%E -2.85%K -3.65%G +0.000% | 4.20I 23.81%NM 22.12%EV -3.32%E -0.791%K -1.04%G +0.000% | 7.7% | 2026-05-16 11:29 |
| NetBet (FR)🎯 | 1.48I 67.57%NM 58.26%EV -14.02%E -9.47%K -29.21%G +0.000% | 4.60I 21.74%NM 18.74%EV -13.12%E -2.85%K -3.65%G +0.000% | 3.75I 26.67%NM 22.99%EV -13.68%E -3.65%K -4.97%G +0.000% | 16.0% | 2026-05-16 11:29 |
Margin = Margin (Overround) · I = Implied Probability · NM = No-Margin Probability · EV = Expected Value · E = Edge · K = Kelly Criterion · G = Bankroll Growth
Updated is when each book last changed its price, so an older time means the odds simply haven't moved, not that the price is stale. Books not seen in the last ~15 minutes are normally dropped; only if a whole market's feed goes quiet are the latest recorded prices shown instead.
Exchanges (6)
| Bookmaker | Local | Visit | Draw | Margin ▲ | Updated |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Betfair Exchange (EU)◎ | 1.67I 59.88%NM 59.66% | 5.80I 17.24%NM 17.18% | 4.30I 23.26%NM 23.17% | 0.4% | 2026-05-16 11:30 |
| Matchbook◎ | 1.67I 59.88%NM 59.48% | 5.70I 17.54%NM 17.43% | 4.30I 23.26%NM 23.10% | 0.7% | 2026-05-16 11:30 |
| Betfair Exchange (AU)◎ | 1.67I 59.88%NM 59.33% | 5.80I 17.24%NM 17.08% | 4.20I 23.81%NM 23.59% | 0.9% | 2026-05-16 11:30 |
| Smarkets◎ | 1.66I 60.24%NM 59.62% | 5.70I 17.54%NM 17.36% | 4.30I 23.26%NM 23.02% | 1.0% | 2026-05-16 11:30 |
| Betfair Exchange (UK)◎ | 1.66I 60.24%NM 59.62% | 5.70I 17.54%NM 17.36% | 4.30I 23.26%NM 23.02% | 1.0% | 2026-05-16 11:30 |
| Kalshi◎ | 1.67I 59.88%NM 58.79% | 5.56I 17.99%NM 17.66% | 4.17I 23.98%NM 23.55% | 1.8% | 2026-05-16 11:30 |