L’École des cotesFrançais
Celtic v Hearts
Cotes de clôture — probabilités calculées et espérance mathématique obtenues, selon le modèle sélectionné, à partir des derniers prix enregistrés avant le coup d’envoi. Le match ayant commencé, il ne s’agit pas de valeurs en direct. Évaluer la fiabilité des prévisions probabilistes de chaque modèle sur l’ensemble des matchs réglés →
Résultat du match
Celtic (Local)
Prévision 58.09%1.72cote équitable
EV -2.40%
Avantage -1.43%
Kelly -3.53%
Croissance +0.000%
avec la cote maximale 1.68
Distribution des prévisions des opérateurs
56.61%58.09%58.08%59.56%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM
Distribution des cotes
1.481.591.601.6867.57%62.70%62.50%59.52%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM
Hearts (Visiteur)
Prévision 18.89%5.29cote équitable
EV +2.74%
Avantage +0.504%
Kelly +0.618%
Croissance +0.017%
avec la cote maximale 5.44
Distribution des prévisions des opérateurs
17.70%18.96%18.85%20.40%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM
Distribution des cotes
4.604.894.905.4421.74%20.43%20.41%18.38%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM
Match nul
Prévision 23.02%4.34cote équitable
EV +1.28%
Avantage +0.292%
Kelly +0.377%
Croissance +0.005%
avec la cote maximale 4.40
Distribution des prévisions des opérateurs
21.42%22.94%23.07%23.97%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM
Distribution des cotes
3.754.134.204.4026.67%24.24%23.81%22.73%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM
Cotes des opérateurs (51 opérateurs)
Nous ne sommes affiliés à aucun opérateur de paris et ne tirons aucun bénéfice des opérations réalisées auprès d’eux.
| Opérateur | Local | Visiteur ▼ | Match nul | Marge | Mise à jour |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Pinnacle | 1.63I 61.35%NM 59.09%EV -5.31%E -3.25%K -8.42%G +0.000% | 5.44I 18.38%NM 17.70%EV +2.74%E +0.504%K +0.618%G +0.017% | 4.15I 24.10%NM 23.21%EV -4.47%E -1.08%K -1.42%G +0.000% | 3.8% | 2026-05-16 11:29 |
| Everygame | 1.60I 62.50%NM 58.66%EV -7.05%E -4.41%K -11.75%G +0.000% | 5.25I 19.05%NM 17.88%EV -0.846%E -0.161%K -0.199%G +0.000% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 23.46%EV -7.92%E -1.98%K -2.64%G +0.000% | 6.5% | 2026-05-16 11:29 |
| FanDuel | 1.59I 62.89%NM 59.05%EV -7.63%E -4.80%K -12.93%G +0.000% | 5.20I 19.23%NM 18.05%EV -1.79%E -0.344%K -0.426%G +0.000% | 4.10I 24.39%NM 22.90%EV -5.62%E -1.37%K -1.81%G +0.000% | 6.5% | 2026-05-16 11:29 |
| Bovada | 1.59I 62.89%NM 58.05%EV -7.63%E -4.80%K -12.93%G +0.000% | 5.05I 19.80%NM 18.28%EV -4.62%E -0.915%K -1.14%G +0.000% | 3.90I 25.64%NM 23.67%EV -10.23%E -2.62%K -3.53%G +0.000% | 8.3% | 2026-05-16 11:29 |
| Grosvenor | 1.60I 62.50%NM 59.25%EV -7.05%E -4.41%K -11.75%G +0.000% | 5.00I 20.00%NM 18.96%EV -5.57%E -1.11%K -1.39%G +0.000% | 4.35I 22.99%NM 21.79%EV +0.132%E +0.030%K +0.039%G +0.000% | 5.5% | 2026-05-16 11:30 |
| ATG (SE) | 1.60I 62.50%NM 59.25%EV -7.05%E -4.41%K -11.75%G +0.000% | 5.00I 20.00%NM 18.96%EV -5.57%E -1.11%K -1.39%G +0.000% | 4.35I 22.99%NM 21.79%EV +0.132%E +0.030%K +0.039%G +0.000% | 5.5% | 2026-05-16 11:30 |
| Svenska Spel | 1.60I 62.50%NM 59.25%EV -7.05%E -4.41%K -11.75%G +0.000% | 5.00I 20.00%NM 18.96%EV -5.57%E -1.11%K -1.39%G +0.000% | 4.35I 22.99%NM 21.79%EV +0.132%E +0.030%K +0.039%G +0.000% | 5.5% | 2026-05-16 11:30 |
| Unibet (UK) | 1.62I 61.73%NM 58.49%EV -5.89%E -3.63%K -9.49%G +0.000% | 5.00I 20.00%NM 18.95%EV -5.57%E -1.11%K -1.39%G +0.000% | 4.20I 23.81%NM 22.56%EV -3.32%E -0.791%K -1.04%G +0.000% | 5.5% | 2026-05-16 11:30 |
| Bet Victor | 1.60I 62.50%NM 58.79%EV -7.05%E -4.41%K -11.75%G +0.000% | 5.00I 20.00%NM 18.81%EV -5.57%E -1.11%K -1.39%G +0.000% | 4.20I 23.81%NM 22.40%EV -3.32%E -0.791%K -1.04%G +0.000% | 6.3% | 2026-05-16 11:29 |
| BetOnline.ag | 1.63I 61.35%NM 57.52%EV -5.31%E -3.25%K -8.42%G +0.000% | 5.00I 20.00%NM 18.75%EV -5.57%E -1.11%K -1.39%G +0.000% | 3.95I 25.32%NM 23.73%EV -9.08%E -2.30%K -3.08%G +0.000% | 6.7% | 2026-05-16 11:30 |
| LowVig.ag | 1.63I 61.35%NM 57.52%EV -5.31%E -3.25%K -8.42%G +0.000% | 5.00I 20.00%NM 18.75%EV -5.57%E -1.11%K -1.39%G +0.000% | 3.95I 25.32%NM 23.73%EV -9.08%E -2.30%K -3.08%G +0.000% | 6.7% | 2026-05-16 11:30 |
| BetUS | 1.63I 61.35%NM 57.52%EV -5.31%E -3.25%K -8.42%G +0.000% | 5.00I 20.00%NM 18.75%EV -5.57%E -1.11%K -1.39%G +0.000% | 3.95I 25.32%NM 23.73%EV -9.08%E -2.30%K -3.08%G +0.000% | 6.7% | 2026-05-16 11:29 |
| William Hill | 1.62I 61.73%NM 57.84%EV -5.89%E -3.63%K -9.49%G +0.000% | 5.00I 20.00%NM 18.74%EV -5.57%E -1.11%K -1.39%G +0.000% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 23.42%EV -7.92%E -1.98%K -2.64%G +0.000% | 6.7% | 2026-05-16 11:30 |
| Unibet | 1.57I 63.69%NM 59.56%EV -8.79%E -5.60%K -15.42%G +0.000% | 5.00I 20.00%NM 18.70%EV -5.57%E -1.11%K -1.39%G +0.000% | 4.30I 23.26%NM 21.74%EV -1.02%E -0.237%K -0.309%G +0.000% | 7.0% | 2026-05-16 11:30 |
| LeoVegas | 1.57I 63.69%NM 59.56%EV -8.79%E -5.60%K -15.42%G +0.000% | 5.00I 20.00%NM 18.70%EV -5.57%E -1.11%K -1.39%G +0.000% | 4.30I 23.26%NM 21.74%EV -1.02%E -0.237%K -0.309%G +0.000% | 7.0% | 2026-05-16 11:30 |
| Unibet (NL) | 1.57I 63.69%NM 59.56%EV -8.79%E -5.60%K -15.42%G +0.000% | 5.00I 20.00%NM 18.70%EV -5.57%E -1.11%K -1.39%G +0.000% | 4.30I 23.26%NM 21.74%EV -1.02%E -0.237%K -0.309%G +0.000% | 7.0% | 2026-05-16 11:30 |
| Unibet (SE) | 1.57I 63.69%NM 59.56%EV -8.79%E -5.60%K -15.42%G +0.000% | 5.00I 20.00%NM 18.70%EV -5.57%E -1.11%K -1.39%G +0.000% | 4.30I 23.26%NM 21.74%EV -1.02%E -0.237%K -0.309%G +0.000% | 7.0% | 2026-05-16 11:30 |
| Betway | 1.61I 62.11%NM 57.99%EV -6.47%E -4.02%K -10.60%G +0.000% | 5.00I 20.00%NM 18.67%EV -5.57%E -1.11%K -1.39%G +0.000% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 23.34%EV -7.92%E -1.98%K -2.64%G +0.000% | 7.1% | 2026-05-16 11:30 |
| DraftKings | 1.61I 62.11%NM 57.99%EV -6.47%E -4.02%K -10.60%G +0.000% | 5.00I 20.00%NM 18.67%EV -5.57%E -1.11%K -1.39%G +0.000% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 23.34%EV -7.92%E -1.98%K -2.64%G +0.000% | 7.1% | 2026-05-16 11:30 |
| Fanatics | 1.59I 62.89%NM 58.62%EV -7.63%E -4.80%K -12.93%G +0.000% | 5.00I 20.00%NM 18.64%EV -5.57%E -1.11%K -1.39%G +0.000% | 4.10I 24.39%NM 22.73%EV -5.62%E -1.37%K -1.81%G +0.000% | 7.3% | 2026-05-16 11:30 |
| SportsBet | 1.57I 63.69%NM 58.60%EV -8.79%E -5.60%K -15.42%G +0.000% | 5.00I 20.00%NM 18.40%EV -5.57%E -1.11%K -1.39%G +0.000% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 23.00%EV -7.92%E -1.98%K -2.64%G +0.000% | 8.7% | 2026-05-16 11:30 |
| Paddy Power | 1.57I 63.69%NM 58.60%EV -8.79%E -5.60%K -15.42%G +0.000% | 5.00I 20.00%NM 18.40%EV -5.57%E -1.11%K -1.39%G +0.000% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 23.00%EV -7.92%E -1.98%K -2.64%G +0.000% | 8.7% | 2026-05-16 11:30 |
| Betsson | 1.65I 60.61%NM 57.11%EV -4.14%E -2.51%K -6.37%G +0.000% | 4.95I 20.20%NM 19.04%EV -6.51%E -1.32%K -1.65%G +0.000% | 3.95I 25.32%NM 23.86%EV -9.08%E -2.30%K -3.08%G +0.000% | 6.1% | 2026-05-16 11:30 |
| NordicBet | 1.65I 60.61%NM 57.11%EV -4.14%E -2.51%K -6.37%G +0.000% | 4.95I 20.20%NM 19.04%EV -6.51%E -1.32%K -1.65%G +0.000% | 3.95I 25.32%NM 23.86%EV -9.08%E -2.30%K -3.08%G +0.000% | 6.1% | 2026-05-16 11:30 |
| Marathon Bet | 1.61I 62.11%NM 57.93%EV -6.47%E -4.02%K -10.60%G +0.000% | 4.90I 20.41%NM 19.04%EV -7.46%E -1.52%K -1.91%G +0.000% | 4.05I 24.69%NM 23.03%EV -6.77%E -1.67%K -2.22%G +0.000% | 7.2% | 2026-05-16 11:29 |
| TABtouch | 1.56I 64.10%NM 59.33%EV -9.37%E -6.01%K -16.74%G +0.000% | 4.90I 20.41%NM 18.89%EV -7.46%E -1.52%K -1.91%G +0.000% | 4.25I 23.53%NM 21.78%EV -2.17%E -0.511%K -0.668%G +0.000% | 8.0% | 2026-05-16 11:30 |
| Casumo | 1.56I 64.10%NM 59.33%EV -9.37%E -6.01%K -16.74%G +0.000% | 4.90I 20.41%NM 18.89%EV -7.46%E -1.52%K -1.91%G +0.000% | 4.25I 23.53%NM 21.78%EV -2.17%E -0.511%K -0.668%G +0.000% | 8.0% | 2026-05-16 11:30 |
| betPARX | 1.56I 64.10%NM 59.33%EV -9.37%E -6.01%K -16.74%G +0.000% | 4.90I 20.41%NM 18.89%EV -7.46%E -1.52%K -1.91%G +0.000% | 4.25I 23.53%NM 21.78%EV -2.17%E -0.511%K -0.668%G +0.000% | 8.0% | 2026-05-16 11:30 |
| LeoVegas (SE) | 1.55I 64.52%NM 59.33%EV -9.95%E -6.42%K -18.10%G +0.000% | 4.90I 20.41%NM 18.77%EV -7.46%E -1.52%K -1.91%G +0.000% | 4.20I 23.81%NM 21.90%EV -3.32%E -0.791%K -1.04%G +0.000% | 8.7% | 2026-05-16 11:30 |
| 1xBet | 1.68I 59.52%NM 57.22%EV -2.40%E -1.43%K -3.53%G +0.000% | 4.86I 20.58%NM 19.78%EV -8.21%E -1.69%K -2.13%G +0.000% | 4.18I 23.92%NM 23.00%EV -3.78%E -0.905%K -1.19%G +0.000% | 4.0% | 2026-05-16 11:29 |
| Coral | 1.61I 62.11%NM 58.57%EV -6.47%E -4.02%K -10.60%G +0.000% | 4.80I 20.83%NM 19.65%EV -9.34%E -1.95%K -2.46%G +0.000% | 4.33I 23.09%NM 21.78%EV -0.329%E -0.076%K -0.099%G +0.000% | 6.0% | 2026-05-16 11:30 |
| Ladbrokes (UK) | 1.61I 62.11%NM 58.18%EV -6.47%E -4.02%K -10.60%G +0.000% | 4.80I 20.83%NM 19.52%EV -9.34%E -1.95%K -2.46%G +0.000% | 4.20I 23.81%NM 22.30%EV -3.32%E -0.791%K -1.04%G +0.000% | 6.8% | 2026-05-16 11:30 |
| 888sport | 1.60I 62.50%NM 57.35%EV -7.05%E -4.41%K -11.75%G +0.000% | 4.80I 20.83%NM 19.12%EV -9.34%E -1.95%K -2.46%G +0.000% | 3.90I 25.64%NM 23.53%EV -10.23%E -2.62%K -3.53%G +0.000% | 9.0% | 2026-05-16 11:29 |
| 888sport (SE) | 1.60I 62.50%NM 57.35%EV -7.05%E -4.41%K -11.75%G +0.000% | 4.80I 20.83%NM 19.12%EV -9.34%E -1.95%K -2.46%G +0.000% | 3.90I 25.64%NM 23.53%EV -10.23%E -2.62%K -3.53%G +0.000% | 9.0% | 2026-05-16 11:29 |
| Mr Green (SE) | 1.60I 62.50%NM 57.35%EV -7.05%E -4.41%K -11.75%G +0.000% | 4.80I 20.83%NM 19.12%EV -9.34%E -1.95%K -2.46%G +0.000% | 3.90I 25.64%NM 23.53%EV -10.23%E -2.62%K -3.53%G +0.000% | 9.0% | 2026-05-16 11:29 |
| PMU (FR) | 1.53I 65.36%NM 59.42%EV -11.12%E -7.26%K -20.97%G +0.000% | 4.80I 20.83%NM 18.94%EV -9.34%E -1.95%K -2.46%G +0.000% | 4.20I 23.81%NM 21.64%EV -3.32%E -0.791%K -1.04%G +0.000% | 10.0% | 2026-05-16 11:30 |
| Virgin Bet | 1.53I 65.36%NM 59.42%EV -11.12%E -7.26%K -20.97%G +0.000% | 4.80I 20.83%NM 18.94%EV -9.34%E -1.95%K -2.46%G +0.000% | 4.20I 23.81%NM 21.64%EV -3.32%E -0.791%K -1.04%G +0.000% | 10.0% | 2026-05-16 11:30 |
| LiveScore Bet | 1.53I 65.36%NM 59.42%EV -11.12%E -7.26%K -20.97%G +0.000% | 4.80I 20.83%NM 18.94%EV -9.34%E -1.95%K -2.46%G +0.000% | 4.20I 23.81%NM 21.64%EV -3.32%E -0.791%K -1.04%G +0.000% | 10.0% | 2026-05-16 11:30 |
| Coolbet | 1.64I 60.98%NM 58.21%EV -4.72%E -2.88%K -7.38%G +0.000% | 4.75I 21.05%NM 20.10%EV -10.29%E -2.17%K -2.74%G +0.000% | 4.40I 22.73%NM 21.70%EV +1.28%E +0.292%K +0.377%G +0.005% | 4.8% | 2026-05-16 11:29 |
| PointsBet (AU) | 1.62I 61.73%NM 58.06%EV -5.89%E -3.63%K -9.49%G +0.000% | 4.75I 21.05%NM 19.80%EV -10.29%E -2.17%K -2.74%G +0.000% | 4.25I 23.53%NM 22.13%EV -2.17%E -0.511%K -0.668%G +0.000% | 6.3% | 2026-05-16 11:29 |
| Neds | 1.62I 61.73%NM 57.91%EV -5.89%E -3.63%K -9.49%G +0.000% | 4.75I 21.05%NM 19.75%EV -10.29%E -2.17%K -2.74%G +0.000% | 4.20I 23.81%NM 22.34%EV -3.32%E -0.791%K -1.04%G +0.000% | 6.6% | 2026-05-16 11:29 |
| Ladbrokes (AU) | 1.62I 61.73%NM 57.91%EV -5.89%E -3.63%K -9.49%G +0.000% | 4.75I 21.05%NM 19.75%EV -10.29%E -2.17%K -2.74%G +0.000% | 4.20I 23.81%NM 22.34%EV -3.32%E -0.791%K -1.04%G +0.000% | 6.6% | 2026-05-16 11:29 |
| Sky Bet | 1.57I 63.69%NM 59.06%EV -8.79%E -5.60%K -15.42%G +0.000% | 4.75I 21.05%NM 19.52%EV -10.29%E -2.17%K -2.74%G +0.000% | 4.33I 23.09%NM 21.42%EV -0.329%E -0.076%K -0.099%G +0.000% | 7.8% | 2026-05-16 11:30 |
| PlayUp | 1.63I 61.35%NM 56.61%EV -5.31%E -3.25%K -8.42%G +0.000% | 4.75I 21.05%NM 19.43%EV -10.29%E -2.17%K -2.74%G +0.000% | 3.85I 25.97%NM 23.97%EV -11.38%E -2.96%K -3.99%G +0.000% | 8.4% | 2026-05-16 11:30 |
| BoyleSports | 1.55I 64.52%NM 57.66%EV -9.95%E -6.42%K -18.10%G +0.000% | 4.75I 21.05%NM 18.82%EV -10.29%E -2.17%K -2.74%G +0.000% | 3.80I 26.32%NM 23.52%EV -12.53%E -3.30%K -4.47%G +0.000% | 11.9% | 2026-05-16 11:29 |
| Betr (AU) | 1.62I 61.73%NM 57.79%EV -5.89%E -3.63%K -9.49%G +0.000% | 4.70I 21.28%NM 19.92%EV -11.23%E -2.39%K -3.04%G +0.000% | 4.20I 23.81%NM 22.29%EV -3.32%E -0.791%K -1.04%G +0.000% | 6.8% | 2026-05-16 11:29 |
| Unibet (FR) | 1.54I 64.94%NM 58.43%EV -10.53%E -6.84%K -19.51%G +0.000% | 4.65I 21.51%NM 19.35%EV -12.18%E -2.62%K -3.34%G +0.000% | 4.05I 24.69%NM 22.22%EV -6.77%E -1.67%K -2.22%G +0.000% | 11.1% | 2026-05-16 11:28 |
| betfred_uk | 1.62I 61.73%NM 57.93%EV -5.89%E -3.63%K -9.49%G +0.000% | 4.60I 21.74%NM 20.40%EV -13.12%E -2.85%K -3.65%G +0.000% | 4.33I 23.09%NM 21.67%EV -0.329%E -0.076%K -0.099%G +0.000% | 6.6% | 2026-05-16 11:29 |
| BetMGM | 1.62I 61.73%NM 57.54%EV -5.89%E -3.63%K -9.49%G +0.000% | 4.60I 21.74%NM 20.26%EV -13.12%E -2.85%K -3.65%G +0.000% | 4.20I 23.81%NM 22.19%EV -3.32%E -0.791%K -1.04%G +0.000% | 7.3% | 2026-05-16 11:30 |
| Bet Right | 1.61I 62.11%NM 57.69%EV -6.47%E -4.02%K -10.60%G +0.000% | 4.60I 21.74%NM 20.19%EV -13.12%E -2.85%K -3.65%G +0.000% | 4.20I 23.81%NM 22.12%EV -3.32%E -0.791%K -1.04%G +0.000% | 7.7% | 2026-05-16 11:29 |
| NetBet (FR) | 1.48I 67.57%NM 58.26%EV -14.02%E -9.47%K -29.21%G +0.000% | 4.60I 21.74%NM 18.74%EV -13.12%E -2.85%K -3.65%G +0.000% | 3.75I 26.67%NM 22.99%EV -13.68%E -3.65%K -4.97%G +0.000% | 16.0% | 2026-05-16 11:29 |
Marge = Marge · I = Probabilité implicite · NM = Probabilité sans marge · EV = Espérance mathématique · E = Avantage · K = Critère de Kelly · G = Croissance du capital de jeu
Mise à jour indique le dernier changement de prix de chaque opérateur. Une heure ancienne signifie donc seulement que la cote n’a pas bougé, et non qu’elle est périmée. Les opérateurs absents du flux depuis environ 15 minutes sont normalement écartés ; les derniers prix enregistrés ne sont conservés que si le flux de tout le marché devient silencieux.
Plateformes d’échange (6)
| Opérateur | Local | Visiteur | Match nul | Marge ▲ | Mise à jour |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Betfair Exchange (EU) | 1.67I 59.88%NM 59.66% | 5.80I 17.24%NM 17.18% | 4.30I 23.26%NM 23.17% | 0.4% | 2026-05-16 11:30 |
| Matchbook | 1.67I 59.88%NM 59.48% | 5.70I 17.54%NM 17.43% | 4.30I 23.26%NM 23.10% | 0.7% | 2026-05-16 11:30 |
| Betfair Exchange (AU) | 1.67I 59.88%NM 59.33% | 5.80I 17.24%NM 17.08% | 4.20I 23.81%NM 23.59% | 0.9% | 2026-05-16 11:30 |
| Smarkets | 1.66I 60.24%NM 59.62% | 5.70I 17.54%NM 17.36% | 4.30I 23.26%NM 23.02% | 1.0% | 2026-05-16 11:30 |
| Betfair Exchange (UK) | 1.66I 60.24%NM 59.62% | 5.70I 17.54%NM 17.36% | 4.30I 23.26%NM 23.02% | 1.0% | 2026-05-16 11:30 |
| Kalshi | 1.67I 59.88%NM 58.79% | 5.56I 17.99%NM 17.66% | 4.17I 23.98%NM 23.55% | 1.8% | 2026-05-16 11:30 |