A Escola das Odds

Celtic v Hearts

Início: 2026-05-16 11:32 UTC

Final: Celtic 3–1 Hearts

Odds de fecho — as probabilidades calculadas e o valor esperado com base nas últimas cotações registadas antes do início, segundo o modelo selecionado. O jogo já começou, pelo que estes valores não são atuais. Avaliar a fiabilidade das previsões probabilísticas de cada modelo face aos resultados de todos os jogos concluídos →

Frente a frente

51 casas de apostas (15 na análise )

Probabilidade estimada de cada resultado, segundo o modelo: IQM

Celtic (Local)

Previsão 58.09%1.72odd justa
EV -2.40%
Vantagem -1.43%
Kelly -3.53%
Crescimento +0.000%

pressupondo odds máximas de 1.68

Distribuição das previsões das casas de apostas
56.61%58.09%58.08%59.56%MINMÉDIAMEDIANAMAX
Distribuição das odds
1.481.591.601.6867.57%62.70%62.50%59.52%MINMÉDIAMEDIANAMAX

Hearts (Visitante)

Previsão 18.89%5.29odd justa
EV +2.74%
Vantagem +0.504%
Kelly +0.618%
Crescimento +0.017%

pressupondo odds máximas de 5.44

Distribuição das previsões das casas de apostas
17.70%18.96%18.85%20.40%MINMÉDIAMEDIANAMAX
Distribuição das odds
4.604.894.905.4421.74%20.43%20.41%18.38%MINMÉDIAMEDIANAMAX

Empate

Previsão 23.02%4.34odd justa
EV +1.28%
Vantagem +0.292%
Kelly +0.377%
Crescimento +0.005%

pressupondo odds máximas de 4.40

Distribuição das previsões das casas de apostas
21.42%22.94%23.07%23.97%MINMÉDIAMEDIANAMAX
Distribuição das odds
3.754.134.204.4026.67%24.24%23.81%22.73%MINMÉDIAMEDIANAMAX

Odds das casas de apostas (51 casas de apostas)

Não temos qualquer vínculo com casas de apostas e não recebemos nada pelas ações realizadas junto delas.

Casa de apostasLocalVisitante ▼EmpateMargemAtualização
Pinnacle1.63I 61.35%NM 59.09%EV -5.31%E -3.25%K -8.42%G +0.000%5.44I 18.38%NM 17.70%EV +2.74%E +0.504%K +0.618%G +0.017%4.15I 24.10%NM 23.21%EV -4.47%E -1.08%K -1.42%G +0.000%3.8%2026-05-16 11:29
Everygame1.60I 62.50%NM 58.66%EV -7.05%E -4.41%K -11.75%G +0.000%5.25I 19.05%NM 17.88%EV -0.846%E -0.161%K -0.199%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.46%EV -7.92%E -1.98%K -2.64%G +0.000%6.5%2026-05-16 11:29
FanDuel1.59I 62.89%NM 59.05%EV -7.63%E -4.80%K -12.93%G +0.000%5.20I 19.23%NM 18.05%EV -1.79%E -0.344%K -0.426%G +0.000%4.10I 24.39%NM 22.90%EV -5.62%E -1.37%K -1.81%G +0.000%6.5%2026-05-16 11:29
Bovada1.59I 62.89%NM 58.05%EV -7.63%E -4.80%K -12.93%G +0.000%5.05I 19.80%NM 18.28%EV -4.62%E -0.915%K -1.14%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 23.67%EV -10.23%E -2.62%K -3.53%G +0.000%8.3%2026-05-16 11:29
Grosvenor1.60I 62.50%NM 59.25%EV -7.05%E -4.41%K -11.75%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 18.96%EV -5.57%E -1.11%K -1.39%G +0.000%4.35I 22.99%NM 21.79%EV +0.132%E +0.030%K +0.039%G +0.000%5.5%2026-05-16 11:30
ATG (SE)1.60I 62.50%NM 59.25%EV -7.05%E -4.41%K -11.75%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 18.96%EV -5.57%E -1.11%K -1.39%G +0.000%4.35I 22.99%NM 21.79%EV +0.132%E +0.030%K +0.039%G +0.000%5.5%2026-05-16 11:30
Svenska Spel1.60I 62.50%NM 59.25%EV -7.05%E -4.41%K -11.75%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 18.96%EV -5.57%E -1.11%K -1.39%G +0.000%4.35I 22.99%NM 21.79%EV +0.132%E +0.030%K +0.039%G +0.000%5.5%2026-05-16 11:30
Unibet (UK)1.62I 61.73%NM 58.49%EV -5.89%E -3.63%K -9.49%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 18.95%EV -5.57%E -1.11%K -1.39%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 22.56%EV -3.32%E -0.791%K -1.04%G +0.000%5.5%2026-05-16 11:30
Bet Victor1.60I 62.50%NM 58.79%EV -7.05%E -4.41%K -11.75%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 18.81%EV -5.57%E -1.11%K -1.39%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 22.40%EV -3.32%E -0.791%K -1.04%G +0.000%6.3%2026-05-16 11:29
BetOnline.ag1.63I 61.35%NM 57.52%EV -5.31%E -3.25%K -8.42%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 18.75%EV -5.57%E -1.11%K -1.39%G +0.000%3.95I 25.32%NM 23.73%EV -9.08%E -2.30%K -3.08%G +0.000%6.7%2026-05-16 11:30
LowVig.ag1.63I 61.35%NM 57.52%EV -5.31%E -3.25%K -8.42%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 18.75%EV -5.57%E -1.11%K -1.39%G +0.000%3.95I 25.32%NM 23.73%EV -9.08%E -2.30%K -3.08%G +0.000%6.7%2026-05-16 11:30
BetUS1.63I 61.35%NM 57.52%EV -5.31%E -3.25%K -8.42%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 18.75%EV -5.57%E -1.11%K -1.39%G +0.000%3.95I 25.32%NM 23.73%EV -9.08%E -2.30%K -3.08%G +0.000%6.7%2026-05-16 11:29
William Hill1.62I 61.73%NM 57.84%EV -5.89%E -3.63%K -9.49%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 18.74%EV -5.57%E -1.11%K -1.39%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.42%EV -7.92%E -1.98%K -2.64%G +0.000%6.7%2026-05-16 11:30
Unibet1.57I 63.69%NM 59.56%EV -8.79%E -5.60%K -15.42%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 18.70%EV -5.57%E -1.11%K -1.39%G +0.000%4.30I 23.26%NM 21.74%EV -1.02%E -0.237%K -0.309%G +0.000%7.0%2026-05-16 11:30
LeoVegas1.57I 63.69%NM 59.56%EV -8.79%E -5.60%K -15.42%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 18.70%EV -5.57%E -1.11%K -1.39%G +0.000%4.30I 23.26%NM 21.74%EV -1.02%E -0.237%K -0.309%G +0.000%7.0%2026-05-16 11:30
Unibet (NL)1.57I 63.69%NM 59.56%EV -8.79%E -5.60%K -15.42%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 18.70%EV -5.57%E -1.11%K -1.39%G +0.000%4.30I 23.26%NM 21.74%EV -1.02%E -0.237%K -0.309%G +0.000%7.0%2026-05-16 11:30
Unibet (SE)1.57I 63.69%NM 59.56%EV -8.79%E -5.60%K -15.42%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 18.70%EV -5.57%E -1.11%K -1.39%G +0.000%4.30I 23.26%NM 21.74%EV -1.02%E -0.237%K -0.309%G +0.000%7.0%2026-05-16 11:30
Betway1.61I 62.11%NM 57.99%EV -6.47%E -4.02%K -10.60%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 18.67%EV -5.57%E -1.11%K -1.39%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.34%EV -7.92%E -1.98%K -2.64%G +0.000%7.1%2026-05-16 11:30
DraftKings1.61I 62.11%NM 57.99%EV -6.47%E -4.02%K -10.60%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 18.67%EV -5.57%E -1.11%K -1.39%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.34%EV -7.92%E -1.98%K -2.64%G +0.000%7.1%2026-05-16 11:30
Fanatics1.59I 62.89%NM 58.62%EV -7.63%E -4.80%K -12.93%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 18.64%EV -5.57%E -1.11%K -1.39%G +0.000%4.10I 24.39%NM 22.73%EV -5.62%E -1.37%K -1.81%G +0.000%7.3%2026-05-16 11:30
SportsBet1.57I 63.69%NM 58.60%EV -8.79%E -5.60%K -15.42%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 18.40%EV -5.57%E -1.11%K -1.39%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.00%EV -7.92%E -1.98%K -2.64%G +0.000%8.7%2026-05-16 11:30
Paddy Power1.57I 63.69%NM 58.60%EV -8.79%E -5.60%K -15.42%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 18.40%EV -5.57%E -1.11%K -1.39%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.00%EV -7.92%E -1.98%K -2.64%G +0.000%8.7%2026-05-16 11:30
Betsson1.65I 60.61%NM 57.11%EV -4.14%E -2.51%K -6.37%G +0.000%4.95I 20.20%NM 19.04%EV -6.51%E -1.32%K -1.65%G +0.000%3.95I 25.32%NM 23.86%EV -9.08%E -2.30%K -3.08%G +0.000%6.1%2026-05-16 11:30
NordicBet1.65I 60.61%NM 57.11%EV -4.14%E -2.51%K -6.37%G +0.000%4.95I 20.20%NM 19.04%EV -6.51%E -1.32%K -1.65%G +0.000%3.95I 25.32%NM 23.86%EV -9.08%E -2.30%K -3.08%G +0.000%6.1%2026-05-16 11:30
Marathon Bet1.61I 62.11%NM 57.93%EV -6.47%E -4.02%K -10.60%G +0.000%4.90I 20.41%NM 19.04%EV -7.46%E -1.52%K -1.91%G +0.000%4.05I 24.69%NM 23.03%EV -6.77%E -1.67%K -2.22%G +0.000%7.2%2026-05-16 11:29
TABtouch1.56I 64.10%NM 59.33%EV -9.37%E -6.01%K -16.74%G +0.000%4.90I 20.41%NM 18.89%EV -7.46%E -1.52%K -1.91%G +0.000%4.25I 23.53%NM 21.78%EV -2.17%E -0.511%K -0.668%G +0.000%8.0%2026-05-16 11:30
Casumo1.56I 64.10%NM 59.33%EV -9.37%E -6.01%K -16.74%G +0.000%4.90I 20.41%NM 18.89%EV -7.46%E -1.52%K -1.91%G +0.000%4.25I 23.53%NM 21.78%EV -2.17%E -0.511%K -0.668%G +0.000%8.0%2026-05-16 11:30
betPARX1.56I 64.10%NM 59.33%EV -9.37%E -6.01%K -16.74%G +0.000%4.90I 20.41%NM 18.89%EV -7.46%E -1.52%K -1.91%G +0.000%4.25I 23.53%NM 21.78%EV -2.17%E -0.511%K -0.668%G +0.000%8.0%2026-05-16 11:30
LeoVegas (SE)1.55I 64.52%NM 59.33%EV -9.95%E -6.42%K -18.10%G +0.000%4.90I 20.41%NM 18.77%EV -7.46%E -1.52%K -1.91%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 21.90%EV -3.32%E -0.791%K -1.04%G +0.000%8.7%2026-05-16 11:30
1xBet1.68I 59.52%NM 57.22%EV -2.40%E -1.43%K -3.53%G +0.000%4.86I 20.58%NM 19.78%EV -8.21%E -1.69%K -2.13%G +0.000%4.18I 23.92%NM 23.00%EV -3.78%E -0.905%K -1.19%G +0.000%4.0%2026-05-16 11:29
Coral1.61I 62.11%NM 58.57%EV -6.47%E -4.02%K -10.60%G +0.000%4.80I 20.83%NM 19.65%EV -9.34%E -1.95%K -2.46%G +0.000%4.33I 23.09%NM 21.78%EV -0.329%E -0.076%K -0.099%G +0.000%6.0%2026-05-16 11:30
Ladbrokes (UK)1.61I 62.11%NM 58.18%EV -6.47%E -4.02%K -10.60%G +0.000%4.80I 20.83%NM 19.52%EV -9.34%E -1.95%K -2.46%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 22.30%EV -3.32%E -0.791%K -1.04%G +0.000%6.8%2026-05-16 11:30
888sport1.60I 62.50%NM 57.35%EV -7.05%E -4.41%K -11.75%G +0.000%4.80I 20.83%NM 19.12%EV -9.34%E -1.95%K -2.46%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 23.53%EV -10.23%E -2.62%K -3.53%G +0.000%9.0%2026-05-16 11:29
888sport (SE)1.60I 62.50%NM 57.35%EV -7.05%E -4.41%K -11.75%G +0.000%4.80I 20.83%NM 19.12%EV -9.34%E -1.95%K -2.46%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 23.53%EV -10.23%E -2.62%K -3.53%G +0.000%9.0%2026-05-16 11:29
Mr Green (SE)1.60I 62.50%NM 57.35%EV -7.05%E -4.41%K -11.75%G +0.000%4.80I 20.83%NM 19.12%EV -9.34%E -1.95%K -2.46%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 23.53%EV -10.23%E -2.62%K -3.53%G +0.000%9.0%2026-05-16 11:29
PMU (FR)1.53I 65.36%NM 59.42%EV -11.12%E -7.26%K -20.97%G +0.000%4.80I 20.83%NM 18.94%EV -9.34%E -1.95%K -2.46%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 21.64%EV -3.32%E -0.791%K -1.04%G +0.000%10.0%2026-05-16 11:30
Virgin Bet1.53I 65.36%NM 59.42%EV -11.12%E -7.26%K -20.97%G +0.000%4.80I 20.83%NM 18.94%EV -9.34%E -1.95%K -2.46%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 21.64%EV -3.32%E -0.791%K -1.04%G +0.000%10.0%2026-05-16 11:30
LiveScore Bet1.53I 65.36%NM 59.42%EV -11.12%E -7.26%K -20.97%G +0.000%4.80I 20.83%NM 18.94%EV -9.34%E -1.95%K -2.46%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 21.64%EV -3.32%E -0.791%K -1.04%G +0.000%10.0%2026-05-16 11:30
Coolbet1.64I 60.98%NM 58.21%EV -4.72%E -2.88%K -7.38%G +0.000%4.75I 21.05%NM 20.10%EV -10.29%E -2.17%K -2.74%G +0.000%4.40I 22.73%NM 21.70%EV +1.28%E +0.292%K +0.377%G +0.005%4.8%2026-05-16 11:29
PointsBet (AU)1.62I 61.73%NM 58.06%EV -5.89%E -3.63%K -9.49%G +0.000%4.75I 21.05%NM 19.80%EV -10.29%E -2.17%K -2.74%G +0.000%4.25I 23.53%NM 22.13%EV -2.17%E -0.511%K -0.668%G +0.000%6.3%2026-05-16 11:29
Neds1.62I 61.73%NM 57.91%EV -5.89%E -3.63%K -9.49%G +0.000%4.75I 21.05%NM 19.75%EV -10.29%E -2.17%K -2.74%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 22.34%EV -3.32%E -0.791%K -1.04%G +0.000%6.6%2026-05-16 11:29
Ladbrokes (AU)1.62I 61.73%NM 57.91%EV -5.89%E -3.63%K -9.49%G +0.000%4.75I 21.05%NM 19.75%EV -10.29%E -2.17%K -2.74%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 22.34%EV -3.32%E -0.791%K -1.04%G +0.000%6.6%2026-05-16 11:29
Sky Bet1.57I 63.69%NM 59.06%EV -8.79%E -5.60%K -15.42%G +0.000%4.75I 21.05%NM 19.52%EV -10.29%E -2.17%K -2.74%G +0.000%4.33I 23.09%NM 21.42%EV -0.329%E -0.076%K -0.099%G +0.000%7.8%2026-05-16 11:30
PlayUp1.63I 61.35%NM 56.61%EV -5.31%E -3.25%K -8.42%G +0.000%4.75I 21.05%NM 19.43%EV -10.29%E -2.17%K -2.74%G +0.000%3.85I 25.97%NM 23.97%EV -11.38%E -2.96%K -3.99%G +0.000%8.4%2026-05-16 11:30
BoyleSports1.55I 64.52%NM 57.66%EV -9.95%E -6.42%K -18.10%G +0.000%4.75I 21.05%NM 18.82%EV -10.29%E -2.17%K -2.74%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 23.52%EV -12.53%E -3.30%K -4.47%G +0.000%11.9%2026-05-16 11:29
Betr (AU)1.62I 61.73%NM 57.79%EV -5.89%E -3.63%K -9.49%G +0.000%4.70I 21.28%NM 19.92%EV -11.23%E -2.39%K -3.04%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 22.29%EV -3.32%E -0.791%K -1.04%G +0.000%6.8%2026-05-16 11:29
Unibet (FR)1.54I 64.94%NM 58.43%EV -10.53%E -6.84%K -19.51%G +0.000%4.65I 21.51%NM 19.35%EV -12.18%E -2.62%K -3.34%G +0.000%4.05I 24.69%NM 22.22%EV -6.77%E -1.67%K -2.22%G +0.000%11.1%2026-05-16 11:28
betfred_uk1.62I 61.73%NM 57.93%EV -5.89%E -3.63%K -9.49%G +0.000%4.60I 21.74%NM 20.40%EV -13.12%E -2.85%K -3.65%G +0.000%4.33I 23.09%NM 21.67%EV -0.329%E -0.076%K -0.099%G +0.000%6.6%2026-05-16 11:29
BetMGM1.62I 61.73%NM 57.54%EV -5.89%E -3.63%K -9.49%G +0.000%4.60I 21.74%NM 20.26%EV -13.12%E -2.85%K -3.65%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 22.19%EV -3.32%E -0.791%K -1.04%G +0.000%7.3%2026-05-16 11:30
Bet Right1.61I 62.11%NM 57.69%EV -6.47%E -4.02%K -10.60%G +0.000%4.60I 21.74%NM 20.19%EV -13.12%E -2.85%K -3.65%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 22.12%EV -3.32%E -0.791%K -1.04%G +0.000%7.7%2026-05-16 11:29
NetBet (FR)1.48I 67.57%NM 58.26%EV -14.02%E -9.47%K -29.21%G +0.000%4.60I 21.74%NM 18.74%EV -13.12%E -2.85%K -3.65%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 22.99%EV -13.68%E -3.65%K -4.97%G +0.000%16.0%2026-05-16 11:29
Margem = Margem · I = Probabilidade implícita · NM = Probabilidade sem margem · EV = Valor esperado · E = Vantagem · K = Critério de Kelly · G = Crescimento do capital de apostas

Atualização indica quando cada casa alterou a cotação pela última vez; uma hora mais antiga significa apenas que as odds não mudaram, não que estejam desatualizadas. As casas sem dados nos últimos ~15 minutos são normalmente excluídas; apenas quando a fonte de todo um mercado fica sem atualizações se mostram as últimas cotações registadas.

Bolsas de apostas (6)

Casa de apostasLocalVisitanteEmpateMargem ▲Atualização
Betfair Exchange (EU)1.67I 59.88%NM 59.66%5.80I 17.24%NM 17.18%4.30I 23.26%NM 23.17%0.4%2026-05-16 11:30
Matchbook1.67I 59.88%NM 59.48%5.70I 17.54%NM 17.43%4.30I 23.26%NM 23.10%0.7%2026-05-16 11:30
Betfair Exchange (AU)1.67I 59.88%NM 59.33%5.80I 17.24%NM 17.08%4.20I 23.81%NM 23.59%0.9%2026-05-16 11:30
Smarkets1.66I 60.24%NM 59.62%5.70I 17.54%NM 17.36%4.30I 23.26%NM 23.02%1.0%2026-05-16 11:30
Betfair Exchange (UK)1.66I 60.24%NM 59.62%5.70I 17.54%NM 17.36%4.30I 23.26%NM 23.02%1.0%2026-05-16 11:30
Kalshi1.67I 59.88%NM 58.79%5.56I 17.99%NM 17.66%4.17I 23.98%NM 23.55%1.8%2026-05-16 11:30