La escuela de los momiosIdioma:Español
Celtic v Hearts
Momios de cierre — las predicciones y el valor esperado calculados con los últimos momios registrados antes del inicio, según el modelo seleccionado. El partido ya comenzó; estas cifras no son datos en vivo. Evalúe la fiabilidad de las predicciones probabilísticas de cada modelo frente a los resultados de todos los partidos resueltos →
Resultado del partido
Celtic (Local)
Predicción 58.09%1.72momio equitativo
EV -2.40%
Ventaja -1.43%
Kelly -3.53%
Crecimiento +0.000%
suponiendo unos momios máximos de 1.68
Distribución de las predicciones de los corredores
56.61%58.09%58.08%59.56%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX
Distribución de los momios
1.481.591.601.6867.57%62.70%62.50%59.52%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX
Hearts (Visitante)
Predicción 18.89%5.29momio equitativo
EV +2.74%
Ventaja +0.504%
Kelly +0.618%
Crecimiento +0.017%
suponiendo unos momios máximos de 5.44
Distribución de las predicciones de los corredores
17.70%18.96%18.85%20.40%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX
Distribución de los momios
4.604.894.905.4421.74%20.43%20.41%18.38%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX
Empate
Predicción 23.02%4.34momio equitativo
EV +1.28%
Ventaja +0.292%
Kelly +0.377%
Crecimiento +0.005%
suponiendo unos momios máximos de 4.40
Distribución de las predicciones de los corredores
21.42%22.94%23.07%23.97%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX
Distribución de los momios
3.754.134.204.4026.67%24.24%23.81%22.73%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX
Momios de las casas de apuestas (51 corredores)
No estamos afiliados a ninguna casa de apuestas ni obtenemos beneficio alguno de las operaciones realizadas con ellas.
| Corredor | Local | Visitante ▼ | Empate | Margen | Actualizado |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Pinnacle | 1.63I 61.35%NM 59.09%EV -5.31%E -3.25%K -8.42%G +0.000% | 5.44I 18.38%NM 17.70%EV +2.74%E +0.504%K +0.618%G +0.017% | 4.15I 24.10%NM 23.21%EV -4.47%E -1.08%K -1.42%G +0.000% | 3.8% | 2026-05-16 11:29 |
| Everygame | 1.60I 62.50%NM 58.66%EV -7.05%E -4.41%K -11.75%G +0.000% | 5.25I 19.05%NM 17.88%EV -0.846%E -0.161%K -0.199%G +0.000% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 23.46%EV -7.92%E -1.98%K -2.64%G +0.000% | 6.5% | 2026-05-16 11:29 |
| FanDuel | 1.59I 62.89%NM 59.05%EV -7.63%E -4.80%K -12.93%G +0.000% | 5.20I 19.23%NM 18.05%EV -1.79%E -0.344%K -0.426%G +0.000% | 4.10I 24.39%NM 22.90%EV -5.62%E -1.37%K -1.81%G +0.000% | 6.5% | 2026-05-16 11:29 |
| Bovada | 1.59I 62.89%NM 58.05%EV -7.63%E -4.80%K -12.93%G +0.000% | 5.05I 19.80%NM 18.28%EV -4.62%E -0.915%K -1.14%G +0.000% | 3.90I 25.64%NM 23.67%EV -10.23%E -2.62%K -3.53%G +0.000% | 8.3% | 2026-05-16 11:29 |
| Grosvenor | 1.60I 62.50%NM 59.25%EV -7.05%E -4.41%K -11.75%G +0.000% | 5.00I 20.00%NM 18.96%EV -5.57%E -1.11%K -1.39%G +0.000% | 4.35I 22.99%NM 21.79%EV +0.132%E +0.030%K +0.039%G +0.000% | 5.5% | 2026-05-16 11:30 |
| ATG (SE) | 1.60I 62.50%NM 59.25%EV -7.05%E -4.41%K -11.75%G +0.000% | 5.00I 20.00%NM 18.96%EV -5.57%E -1.11%K -1.39%G +0.000% | 4.35I 22.99%NM 21.79%EV +0.132%E +0.030%K +0.039%G +0.000% | 5.5% | 2026-05-16 11:30 |
| Svenska Spel | 1.60I 62.50%NM 59.25%EV -7.05%E -4.41%K -11.75%G +0.000% | 5.00I 20.00%NM 18.96%EV -5.57%E -1.11%K -1.39%G +0.000% | 4.35I 22.99%NM 21.79%EV +0.132%E +0.030%K +0.039%G +0.000% | 5.5% | 2026-05-16 11:30 |
| Unibet (UK) | 1.62I 61.73%NM 58.49%EV -5.89%E -3.63%K -9.49%G +0.000% | 5.00I 20.00%NM 18.95%EV -5.57%E -1.11%K -1.39%G +0.000% | 4.20I 23.81%NM 22.56%EV -3.32%E -0.791%K -1.04%G +0.000% | 5.5% | 2026-05-16 11:30 |
| Bet Victor | 1.60I 62.50%NM 58.79%EV -7.05%E -4.41%K -11.75%G +0.000% | 5.00I 20.00%NM 18.81%EV -5.57%E -1.11%K -1.39%G +0.000% | 4.20I 23.81%NM 22.40%EV -3.32%E -0.791%K -1.04%G +0.000% | 6.3% | 2026-05-16 11:29 |
| BetOnline.ag | 1.63I 61.35%NM 57.52%EV -5.31%E -3.25%K -8.42%G +0.000% | 5.00I 20.00%NM 18.75%EV -5.57%E -1.11%K -1.39%G +0.000% | 3.95I 25.32%NM 23.73%EV -9.08%E -2.30%K -3.08%G +0.000% | 6.7% | 2026-05-16 11:30 |
| LowVig.ag | 1.63I 61.35%NM 57.52%EV -5.31%E -3.25%K -8.42%G +0.000% | 5.00I 20.00%NM 18.75%EV -5.57%E -1.11%K -1.39%G +0.000% | 3.95I 25.32%NM 23.73%EV -9.08%E -2.30%K -3.08%G +0.000% | 6.7% | 2026-05-16 11:30 |
| BetUS | 1.63I 61.35%NM 57.52%EV -5.31%E -3.25%K -8.42%G +0.000% | 5.00I 20.00%NM 18.75%EV -5.57%E -1.11%K -1.39%G +0.000% | 3.95I 25.32%NM 23.73%EV -9.08%E -2.30%K -3.08%G +0.000% | 6.7% | 2026-05-16 11:29 |
| William Hill | 1.62I 61.73%NM 57.84%EV -5.89%E -3.63%K -9.49%G +0.000% | 5.00I 20.00%NM 18.74%EV -5.57%E -1.11%K -1.39%G +0.000% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 23.42%EV -7.92%E -1.98%K -2.64%G +0.000% | 6.7% | 2026-05-16 11:30 |
| Unibet | 1.57I 63.69%NM 59.56%EV -8.79%E -5.60%K -15.42%G +0.000% | 5.00I 20.00%NM 18.70%EV -5.57%E -1.11%K -1.39%G +0.000% | 4.30I 23.26%NM 21.74%EV -1.02%E -0.237%K -0.309%G +0.000% | 7.0% | 2026-05-16 11:30 |
| LeoVegas | 1.57I 63.69%NM 59.56%EV -8.79%E -5.60%K -15.42%G +0.000% | 5.00I 20.00%NM 18.70%EV -5.57%E -1.11%K -1.39%G +0.000% | 4.30I 23.26%NM 21.74%EV -1.02%E -0.237%K -0.309%G +0.000% | 7.0% | 2026-05-16 11:30 |
| Unibet (NL) | 1.57I 63.69%NM 59.56%EV -8.79%E -5.60%K -15.42%G +0.000% | 5.00I 20.00%NM 18.70%EV -5.57%E -1.11%K -1.39%G +0.000% | 4.30I 23.26%NM 21.74%EV -1.02%E -0.237%K -0.309%G +0.000% | 7.0% | 2026-05-16 11:30 |
| Unibet (SE) | 1.57I 63.69%NM 59.56%EV -8.79%E -5.60%K -15.42%G +0.000% | 5.00I 20.00%NM 18.70%EV -5.57%E -1.11%K -1.39%G +0.000% | 4.30I 23.26%NM 21.74%EV -1.02%E -0.237%K -0.309%G +0.000% | 7.0% | 2026-05-16 11:30 |
| Betway | 1.61I 62.11%NM 57.99%EV -6.47%E -4.02%K -10.60%G +0.000% | 5.00I 20.00%NM 18.67%EV -5.57%E -1.11%K -1.39%G +0.000% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 23.34%EV -7.92%E -1.98%K -2.64%G +0.000% | 7.1% | 2026-05-16 11:30 |
| DraftKings | 1.61I 62.11%NM 57.99%EV -6.47%E -4.02%K -10.60%G +0.000% | 5.00I 20.00%NM 18.67%EV -5.57%E -1.11%K -1.39%G +0.000% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 23.34%EV -7.92%E -1.98%K -2.64%G +0.000% | 7.1% | 2026-05-16 11:30 |
| Fanatics | 1.59I 62.89%NM 58.62%EV -7.63%E -4.80%K -12.93%G +0.000% | 5.00I 20.00%NM 18.64%EV -5.57%E -1.11%K -1.39%G +0.000% | 4.10I 24.39%NM 22.73%EV -5.62%E -1.37%K -1.81%G +0.000% | 7.3% | 2026-05-16 11:30 |
| SportsBet | 1.57I 63.69%NM 58.60%EV -8.79%E -5.60%K -15.42%G +0.000% | 5.00I 20.00%NM 18.40%EV -5.57%E -1.11%K -1.39%G +0.000% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 23.00%EV -7.92%E -1.98%K -2.64%G +0.000% | 8.7% | 2026-05-16 11:30 |
| Paddy Power | 1.57I 63.69%NM 58.60%EV -8.79%E -5.60%K -15.42%G +0.000% | 5.00I 20.00%NM 18.40%EV -5.57%E -1.11%K -1.39%G +0.000% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 23.00%EV -7.92%E -1.98%K -2.64%G +0.000% | 8.7% | 2026-05-16 11:30 |
| Betsson | 1.65I 60.61%NM 57.11%EV -4.14%E -2.51%K -6.37%G +0.000% | 4.95I 20.20%NM 19.04%EV -6.51%E -1.32%K -1.65%G +0.000% | 3.95I 25.32%NM 23.86%EV -9.08%E -2.30%K -3.08%G +0.000% | 6.1% | 2026-05-16 11:30 |
| NordicBet | 1.65I 60.61%NM 57.11%EV -4.14%E -2.51%K -6.37%G +0.000% | 4.95I 20.20%NM 19.04%EV -6.51%E -1.32%K -1.65%G +0.000% | 3.95I 25.32%NM 23.86%EV -9.08%E -2.30%K -3.08%G +0.000% | 6.1% | 2026-05-16 11:30 |
| Marathon Bet | 1.61I 62.11%NM 57.93%EV -6.47%E -4.02%K -10.60%G +0.000% | 4.90I 20.41%NM 19.04%EV -7.46%E -1.52%K -1.91%G +0.000% | 4.05I 24.69%NM 23.03%EV -6.77%E -1.67%K -2.22%G +0.000% | 7.2% | 2026-05-16 11:29 |
| TABtouch | 1.56I 64.10%NM 59.33%EV -9.37%E -6.01%K -16.74%G +0.000% | 4.90I 20.41%NM 18.89%EV -7.46%E -1.52%K -1.91%G +0.000% | 4.25I 23.53%NM 21.78%EV -2.17%E -0.511%K -0.668%G +0.000% | 8.0% | 2026-05-16 11:30 |
| Casumo | 1.56I 64.10%NM 59.33%EV -9.37%E -6.01%K -16.74%G +0.000% | 4.90I 20.41%NM 18.89%EV -7.46%E -1.52%K -1.91%G +0.000% | 4.25I 23.53%NM 21.78%EV -2.17%E -0.511%K -0.668%G +0.000% | 8.0% | 2026-05-16 11:30 |
| betPARX | 1.56I 64.10%NM 59.33%EV -9.37%E -6.01%K -16.74%G +0.000% | 4.90I 20.41%NM 18.89%EV -7.46%E -1.52%K -1.91%G +0.000% | 4.25I 23.53%NM 21.78%EV -2.17%E -0.511%K -0.668%G +0.000% | 8.0% | 2026-05-16 11:30 |
| LeoVegas (SE) | 1.55I 64.52%NM 59.33%EV -9.95%E -6.42%K -18.10%G +0.000% | 4.90I 20.41%NM 18.77%EV -7.46%E -1.52%K -1.91%G +0.000% | 4.20I 23.81%NM 21.90%EV -3.32%E -0.791%K -1.04%G +0.000% | 8.7% | 2026-05-16 11:30 |
| 1xBet | 1.68I 59.52%NM 57.22%EV -2.40%E -1.43%K -3.53%G +0.000% | 4.86I 20.58%NM 19.78%EV -8.21%E -1.69%K -2.13%G +0.000% | 4.18I 23.92%NM 23.00%EV -3.78%E -0.905%K -1.19%G +0.000% | 4.0% | 2026-05-16 11:29 |
| Coral | 1.61I 62.11%NM 58.57%EV -6.47%E -4.02%K -10.60%G +0.000% | 4.80I 20.83%NM 19.65%EV -9.34%E -1.95%K -2.46%G +0.000% | 4.33I 23.09%NM 21.78%EV -0.329%E -0.076%K -0.099%G +0.000% | 6.0% | 2026-05-16 11:30 |
| Ladbrokes (UK) | 1.61I 62.11%NM 58.18%EV -6.47%E -4.02%K -10.60%G +0.000% | 4.80I 20.83%NM 19.52%EV -9.34%E -1.95%K -2.46%G +0.000% | 4.20I 23.81%NM 22.30%EV -3.32%E -0.791%K -1.04%G +0.000% | 6.8% | 2026-05-16 11:30 |
| 888sport | 1.60I 62.50%NM 57.35%EV -7.05%E -4.41%K -11.75%G +0.000% | 4.80I 20.83%NM 19.12%EV -9.34%E -1.95%K -2.46%G +0.000% | 3.90I 25.64%NM 23.53%EV -10.23%E -2.62%K -3.53%G +0.000% | 9.0% | 2026-05-16 11:29 |
| 888sport (SE) | 1.60I 62.50%NM 57.35%EV -7.05%E -4.41%K -11.75%G +0.000% | 4.80I 20.83%NM 19.12%EV -9.34%E -1.95%K -2.46%G +0.000% | 3.90I 25.64%NM 23.53%EV -10.23%E -2.62%K -3.53%G +0.000% | 9.0% | 2026-05-16 11:29 |
| Mr Green (SE) | 1.60I 62.50%NM 57.35%EV -7.05%E -4.41%K -11.75%G +0.000% | 4.80I 20.83%NM 19.12%EV -9.34%E -1.95%K -2.46%G +0.000% | 3.90I 25.64%NM 23.53%EV -10.23%E -2.62%K -3.53%G +0.000% | 9.0% | 2026-05-16 11:29 |
| PMU (FR) | 1.53I 65.36%NM 59.42%EV -11.12%E -7.26%K -20.97%G +0.000% | 4.80I 20.83%NM 18.94%EV -9.34%E -1.95%K -2.46%G +0.000% | 4.20I 23.81%NM 21.64%EV -3.32%E -0.791%K -1.04%G +0.000% | 10.0% | 2026-05-16 11:30 |
| Virgin Bet | 1.53I 65.36%NM 59.42%EV -11.12%E -7.26%K -20.97%G +0.000% | 4.80I 20.83%NM 18.94%EV -9.34%E -1.95%K -2.46%G +0.000% | 4.20I 23.81%NM 21.64%EV -3.32%E -0.791%K -1.04%G +0.000% | 10.0% | 2026-05-16 11:30 |
| LiveScore Bet | 1.53I 65.36%NM 59.42%EV -11.12%E -7.26%K -20.97%G +0.000% | 4.80I 20.83%NM 18.94%EV -9.34%E -1.95%K -2.46%G +0.000% | 4.20I 23.81%NM 21.64%EV -3.32%E -0.791%K -1.04%G +0.000% | 10.0% | 2026-05-16 11:30 |
| Coolbet | 1.64I 60.98%NM 58.21%EV -4.72%E -2.88%K -7.38%G +0.000% | 4.75I 21.05%NM 20.10%EV -10.29%E -2.17%K -2.74%G +0.000% | 4.40I 22.73%NM 21.70%EV +1.28%E +0.292%K +0.377%G +0.005% | 4.8% | 2026-05-16 11:29 |
| PointsBet (AU) | 1.62I 61.73%NM 58.06%EV -5.89%E -3.63%K -9.49%G +0.000% | 4.75I 21.05%NM 19.80%EV -10.29%E -2.17%K -2.74%G +0.000% | 4.25I 23.53%NM 22.13%EV -2.17%E -0.511%K -0.668%G +0.000% | 6.3% | 2026-05-16 11:29 |
| Neds | 1.62I 61.73%NM 57.91%EV -5.89%E -3.63%K -9.49%G +0.000% | 4.75I 21.05%NM 19.75%EV -10.29%E -2.17%K -2.74%G +0.000% | 4.20I 23.81%NM 22.34%EV -3.32%E -0.791%K -1.04%G +0.000% | 6.6% | 2026-05-16 11:29 |
| Ladbrokes (AU) | 1.62I 61.73%NM 57.91%EV -5.89%E -3.63%K -9.49%G +0.000% | 4.75I 21.05%NM 19.75%EV -10.29%E -2.17%K -2.74%G +0.000% | 4.20I 23.81%NM 22.34%EV -3.32%E -0.791%K -1.04%G +0.000% | 6.6% | 2026-05-16 11:29 |
| Sky Bet | 1.57I 63.69%NM 59.06%EV -8.79%E -5.60%K -15.42%G +0.000% | 4.75I 21.05%NM 19.52%EV -10.29%E -2.17%K -2.74%G +0.000% | 4.33I 23.09%NM 21.42%EV -0.329%E -0.076%K -0.099%G +0.000% | 7.8% | 2026-05-16 11:30 |
| PlayUp | 1.63I 61.35%NM 56.61%EV -5.31%E -3.25%K -8.42%G +0.000% | 4.75I 21.05%NM 19.43%EV -10.29%E -2.17%K -2.74%G +0.000% | 3.85I 25.97%NM 23.97%EV -11.38%E -2.96%K -3.99%G +0.000% | 8.4% | 2026-05-16 11:30 |
| BoyleSports | 1.55I 64.52%NM 57.66%EV -9.95%E -6.42%K -18.10%G +0.000% | 4.75I 21.05%NM 18.82%EV -10.29%E -2.17%K -2.74%G +0.000% | 3.80I 26.32%NM 23.52%EV -12.53%E -3.30%K -4.47%G +0.000% | 11.9% | 2026-05-16 11:29 |
| Betr (AU) | 1.62I 61.73%NM 57.79%EV -5.89%E -3.63%K -9.49%G +0.000% | 4.70I 21.28%NM 19.92%EV -11.23%E -2.39%K -3.04%G +0.000% | 4.20I 23.81%NM 22.29%EV -3.32%E -0.791%K -1.04%G +0.000% | 6.8% | 2026-05-16 11:29 |
| Unibet (FR) | 1.54I 64.94%NM 58.43%EV -10.53%E -6.84%K -19.51%G +0.000% | 4.65I 21.51%NM 19.35%EV -12.18%E -2.62%K -3.34%G +0.000% | 4.05I 24.69%NM 22.22%EV -6.77%E -1.67%K -2.22%G +0.000% | 11.1% | 2026-05-16 11:28 |
| betfred_uk | 1.62I 61.73%NM 57.93%EV -5.89%E -3.63%K -9.49%G +0.000% | 4.60I 21.74%NM 20.40%EV -13.12%E -2.85%K -3.65%G +0.000% | 4.33I 23.09%NM 21.67%EV -0.329%E -0.076%K -0.099%G +0.000% | 6.6% | 2026-05-16 11:29 |
| BetMGM | 1.62I 61.73%NM 57.54%EV -5.89%E -3.63%K -9.49%G +0.000% | 4.60I 21.74%NM 20.26%EV -13.12%E -2.85%K -3.65%G +0.000% | 4.20I 23.81%NM 22.19%EV -3.32%E -0.791%K -1.04%G +0.000% | 7.3% | 2026-05-16 11:30 |
| Bet Right | 1.61I 62.11%NM 57.69%EV -6.47%E -4.02%K -10.60%G +0.000% | 4.60I 21.74%NM 20.19%EV -13.12%E -2.85%K -3.65%G +0.000% | 4.20I 23.81%NM 22.12%EV -3.32%E -0.791%K -1.04%G +0.000% | 7.7% | 2026-05-16 11:29 |
| NetBet (FR) | 1.48I 67.57%NM 58.26%EV -14.02%E -9.47%K -29.21%G +0.000% | 4.60I 21.74%NM 18.74%EV -13.12%E -2.85%K -3.65%G +0.000% | 3.75I 26.67%NM 22.99%EV -13.68%E -3.65%K -4.97%G +0.000% | 16.0% | 2026-05-16 11:29 |
Margen = Margen del corredor · I = Probabilidad implícita · NM = Probabilidad sin margen · EV = Valor esperado · E = Ventaja · K = Criterio de Kelly · G = Crecimiento del capital de apuestas
Actualizado indica cuándo actualizó cada corredor sus momios por última vez. Una hora anterior significa que los momios no han cambiado, no necesariamente que estén desactualizados. Por lo general se descartan los corredores de los que no se han recibido datos durante unos 15 minutos; solo cuando toda la fuente de un mercado deja de informar se conservan los últimos momios registrados.
Bolsas de apuestas (6)
| Corredor | Local | Visitante | Empate | Margen ▲ | Actualizado |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Betfair Exchange (EU) | 1.67I 59.88%NM 59.66% | 5.80I 17.24%NM 17.18% | 4.30I 23.26%NM 23.17% | 0.4% | 2026-05-16 11:30 |
| Matchbook | 1.67I 59.88%NM 59.48% | 5.70I 17.54%NM 17.43% | 4.30I 23.26%NM 23.10% | 0.7% | 2026-05-16 11:30 |
| Betfair Exchange (AU) | 1.67I 59.88%NM 59.33% | 5.80I 17.24%NM 17.08% | 4.20I 23.81%NM 23.59% | 0.9% | 2026-05-16 11:30 |
| Smarkets | 1.66I 60.24%NM 59.62% | 5.70I 17.54%NM 17.36% | 4.30I 23.26%NM 23.02% | 1.0% | 2026-05-16 11:30 |
| Betfair Exchange (UK) | 1.66I 60.24%NM 59.62% | 5.70I 17.54%NM 17.36% | 4.30I 23.26%NM 23.02% | 1.0% | 2026-05-16 11:30 |
| Kalshi | 1.67I 59.88%NM 58.79% | 5.56I 17.99%NM 17.66% | 4.17I 23.98%NM 23.55% | 1.8% | 2026-05-16 11:30 |