مدرسة الاحتمالات

Celtic v Hearts

البداية: 2026-05-16 11:32 UTC

النتيجة النهائية: Celtic 3–1 Hearts

أسعار الإغلاق — الاحتمالات والقيمة المتوقعة المحسوبة من آخر الأسعار المسجلة قبل البداية وفق النموذج المحدد. بدأت المباراة، لذا فهذه ليست أرقامًا مباشرة. قيّم موثوقية التنبؤات الاحتمالية لكل نموذج بمقارنتها بنتائج جميع المباريات المحسومة →

نتيجة المباراة

51 شركة مراهنات (15 في التحليل )

الاحتمال المقدّر لكل نتيجة وفق النموذج: IQM

Celtic (المضيف)

التنبؤ 58.09%1.72السعر العادل
EV -2.40%
الأفضلية -1.43%
Kelly -3.53%
النمو +0.000%

بافتراض سعر أقصى قدره 1.68

توزيع تنبؤات شركات المراهنات
56.61%58.09%58.08%59.56%MINالمتوسطالوسيطMAX
توزيع الأسعار
1.481.591.601.6867.57%62.70%62.50%59.52%MINالمتوسطالوسيطMAX

Hearts (الضيف)

التنبؤ 18.89%5.29السعر العادل
EV +2.74%
الأفضلية +0.504%
Kelly +0.618%
النمو +0.017%

بافتراض سعر أقصى قدره 5.44

توزيع تنبؤات شركات المراهنات
17.70%18.96%18.85%20.40%MINالمتوسطالوسيطMAX
توزيع الأسعار
4.604.894.905.4421.74%20.43%20.41%18.38%MINالمتوسطالوسيطMAX

تعادل

التنبؤ 23.02%4.34السعر العادل
EV +1.28%
الأفضلية +0.292%
Kelly +0.377%
النمو +0.005%

بافتراض سعر أقصى قدره 4.40

توزيع تنبؤات شركات المراهنات
21.42%22.94%23.07%23.97%MINالمتوسطالوسيطMAX
توزيع الأسعار
3.754.134.204.4026.67%24.24%23.81%22.73%MINالمتوسطالوسيطMAX

أسعار شركات المراهنات (51 شركة مراهنات)

لسنا تابعين لأي شركة مراهنات، ولا نحقق أي عائد من الرهانات أو المعاملات التي تُجرى لديها.

شركة المراهناتالمضيفالضيف ▼تعادلالهامشآخر تحديث
Pinnacle1.63I 61.35%NM 59.09%EV -5.31%E -3.25%K -8.42%G +0.000%5.44I 18.38%NM 17.70%EV +2.74%E +0.504%K +0.618%G +0.017%4.15I 24.10%NM 23.21%EV -4.47%E -1.08%K -1.42%G +0.000%3.8%2026-05-16 11:29
Everygame1.60I 62.50%NM 58.66%EV -7.05%E -4.41%K -11.75%G +0.000%5.25I 19.05%NM 17.88%EV -0.846%E -0.161%K -0.199%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.46%EV -7.92%E -1.98%K -2.64%G +0.000%6.5%2026-05-16 11:29
FanDuel1.59I 62.89%NM 59.05%EV -7.63%E -4.80%K -12.93%G +0.000%5.20I 19.23%NM 18.05%EV -1.79%E -0.344%K -0.426%G +0.000%4.10I 24.39%NM 22.90%EV -5.62%E -1.37%K -1.81%G +0.000%6.5%2026-05-16 11:29
Bovada1.59I 62.89%NM 58.05%EV -7.63%E -4.80%K -12.93%G +0.000%5.05I 19.80%NM 18.28%EV -4.62%E -0.915%K -1.14%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 23.67%EV -10.23%E -2.62%K -3.53%G +0.000%8.3%2026-05-16 11:29
Grosvenor1.60I 62.50%NM 59.25%EV -7.05%E -4.41%K -11.75%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 18.96%EV -5.57%E -1.11%K -1.39%G +0.000%4.35I 22.99%NM 21.79%EV +0.132%E +0.030%K +0.039%G +0.000%5.5%2026-05-16 11:30
ATG (SE)1.60I 62.50%NM 59.25%EV -7.05%E -4.41%K -11.75%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 18.96%EV -5.57%E -1.11%K -1.39%G +0.000%4.35I 22.99%NM 21.79%EV +0.132%E +0.030%K +0.039%G +0.000%5.5%2026-05-16 11:30
Svenska Spel1.60I 62.50%NM 59.25%EV -7.05%E -4.41%K -11.75%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 18.96%EV -5.57%E -1.11%K -1.39%G +0.000%4.35I 22.99%NM 21.79%EV +0.132%E +0.030%K +0.039%G +0.000%5.5%2026-05-16 11:30
Unibet (UK)1.62I 61.73%NM 58.49%EV -5.89%E -3.63%K -9.49%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 18.95%EV -5.57%E -1.11%K -1.39%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 22.56%EV -3.32%E -0.791%K -1.04%G +0.000%5.5%2026-05-16 11:30
Bet Victor1.60I 62.50%NM 58.79%EV -7.05%E -4.41%K -11.75%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 18.81%EV -5.57%E -1.11%K -1.39%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 22.40%EV -3.32%E -0.791%K -1.04%G +0.000%6.3%2026-05-16 11:29
BetOnline.ag1.63I 61.35%NM 57.52%EV -5.31%E -3.25%K -8.42%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 18.75%EV -5.57%E -1.11%K -1.39%G +0.000%3.95I 25.32%NM 23.73%EV -9.08%E -2.30%K -3.08%G +0.000%6.7%2026-05-16 11:30
LowVig.ag1.63I 61.35%NM 57.52%EV -5.31%E -3.25%K -8.42%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 18.75%EV -5.57%E -1.11%K -1.39%G +0.000%3.95I 25.32%NM 23.73%EV -9.08%E -2.30%K -3.08%G +0.000%6.7%2026-05-16 11:30
BetUS1.63I 61.35%NM 57.52%EV -5.31%E -3.25%K -8.42%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 18.75%EV -5.57%E -1.11%K -1.39%G +0.000%3.95I 25.32%NM 23.73%EV -9.08%E -2.30%K -3.08%G +0.000%6.7%2026-05-16 11:29
William Hill1.62I 61.73%NM 57.84%EV -5.89%E -3.63%K -9.49%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 18.74%EV -5.57%E -1.11%K -1.39%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.42%EV -7.92%E -1.98%K -2.64%G +0.000%6.7%2026-05-16 11:30
Unibet1.57I 63.69%NM 59.56%EV -8.79%E -5.60%K -15.42%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 18.70%EV -5.57%E -1.11%K -1.39%G +0.000%4.30I 23.26%NM 21.74%EV -1.02%E -0.237%K -0.309%G +0.000%7.0%2026-05-16 11:30
LeoVegas1.57I 63.69%NM 59.56%EV -8.79%E -5.60%K -15.42%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 18.70%EV -5.57%E -1.11%K -1.39%G +0.000%4.30I 23.26%NM 21.74%EV -1.02%E -0.237%K -0.309%G +0.000%7.0%2026-05-16 11:30
Unibet (NL)1.57I 63.69%NM 59.56%EV -8.79%E -5.60%K -15.42%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 18.70%EV -5.57%E -1.11%K -1.39%G +0.000%4.30I 23.26%NM 21.74%EV -1.02%E -0.237%K -0.309%G +0.000%7.0%2026-05-16 11:30
Unibet (SE)1.57I 63.69%NM 59.56%EV -8.79%E -5.60%K -15.42%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 18.70%EV -5.57%E -1.11%K -1.39%G +0.000%4.30I 23.26%NM 21.74%EV -1.02%E -0.237%K -0.309%G +0.000%7.0%2026-05-16 11:30
Betway1.61I 62.11%NM 57.99%EV -6.47%E -4.02%K -10.60%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 18.67%EV -5.57%E -1.11%K -1.39%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.34%EV -7.92%E -1.98%K -2.64%G +0.000%7.1%2026-05-16 11:30
DraftKings1.61I 62.11%NM 57.99%EV -6.47%E -4.02%K -10.60%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 18.67%EV -5.57%E -1.11%K -1.39%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.34%EV -7.92%E -1.98%K -2.64%G +0.000%7.1%2026-05-16 11:30
Fanatics1.59I 62.89%NM 58.62%EV -7.63%E -4.80%K -12.93%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 18.64%EV -5.57%E -1.11%K -1.39%G +0.000%4.10I 24.39%NM 22.73%EV -5.62%E -1.37%K -1.81%G +0.000%7.3%2026-05-16 11:30
SportsBet1.57I 63.69%NM 58.60%EV -8.79%E -5.60%K -15.42%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 18.40%EV -5.57%E -1.11%K -1.39%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.00%EV -7.92%E -1.98%K -2.64%G +0.000%8.7%2026-05-16 11:30
Paddy Power1.57I 63.69%NM 58.60%EV -8.79%E -5.60%K -15.42%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 18.40%EV -5.57%E -1.11%K -1.39%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.00%EV -7.92%E -1.98%K -2.64%G +0.000%8.7%2026-05-16 11:30
Betsson1.65I 60.61%NM 57.11%EV -4.14%E -2.51%K -6.37%G +0.000%4.95I 20.20%NM 19.04%EV -6.51%E -1.32%K -1.65%G +0.000%3.95I 25.32%NM 23.86%EV -9.08%E -2.30%K -3.08%G +0.000%6.1%2026-05-16 11:30
NordicBet1.65I 60.61%NM 57.11%EV -4.14%E -2.51%K -6.37%G +0.000%4.95I 20.20%NM 19.04%EV -6.51%E -1.32%K -1.65%G +0.000%3.95I 25.32%NM 23.86%EV -9.08%E -2.30%K -3.08%G +0.000%6.1%2026-05-16 11:30
Marathon Bet1.61I 62.11%NM 57.93%EV -6.47%E -4.02%K -10.60%G +0.000%4.90I 20.41%NM 19.04%EV -7.46%E -1.52%K -1.91%G +0.000%4.05I 24.69%NM 23.03%EV -6.77%E -1.67%K -2.22%G +0.000%7.2%2026-05-16 11:29
TABtouch1.56I 64.10%NM 59.33%EV -9.37%E -6.01%K -16.74%G +0.000%4.90I 20.41%NM 18.89%EV -7.46%E -1.52%K -1.91%G +0.000%4.25I 23.53%NM 21.78%EV -2.17%E -0.511%K -0.668%G +0.000%8.0%2026-05-16 11:30
Casumo1.56I 64.10%NM 59.33%EV -9.37%E -6.01%K -16.74%G +0.000%4.90I 20.41%NM 18.89%EV -7.46%E -1.52%K -1.91%G +0.000%4.25I 23.53%NM 21.78%EV -2.17%E -0.511%K -0.668%G +0.000%8.0%2026-05-16 11:30
betPARX1.56I 64.10%NM 59.33%EV -9.37%E -6.01%K -16.74%G +0.000%4.90I 20.41%NM 18.89%EV -7.46%E -1.52%K -1.91%G +0.000%4.25I 23.53%NM 21.78%EV -2.17%E -0.511%K -0.668%G +0.000%8.0%2026-05-16 11:30
LeoVegas (SE)1.55I 64.52%NM 59.33%EV -9.95%E -6.42%K -18.10%G +0.000%4.90I 20.41%NM 18.77%EV -7.46%E -1.52%K -1.91%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 21.90%EV -3.32%E -0.791%K -1.04%G +0.000%8.7%2026-05-16 11:30
1xBet1.68I 59.52%NM 57.22%EV -2.40%E -1.43%K -3.53%G +0.000%4.86I 20.58%NM 19.78%EV -8.21%E -1.69%K -2.13%G +0.000%4.18I 23.92%NM 23.00%EV -3.78%E -0.905%K -1.19%G +0.000%4.0%2026-05-16 11:29
Coral1.61I 62.11%NM 58.57%EV -6.47%E -4.02%K -10.60%G +0.000%4.80I 20.83%NM 19.65%EV -9.34%E -1.95%K -2.46%G +0.000%4.33I 23.09%NM 21.78%EV -0.329%E -0.076%K -0.099%G +0.000%6.0%2026-05-16 11:30
Ladbrokes (UK)1.61I 62.11%NM 58.18%EV -6.47%E -4.02%K -10.60%G +0.000%4.80I 20.83%NM 19.52%EV -9.34%E -1.95%K -2.46%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 22.30%EV -3.32%E -0.791%K -1.04%G +0.000%6.8%2026-05-16 11:30
888sport1.60I 62.50%NM 57.35%EV -7.05%E -4.41%K -11.75%G +0.000%4.80I 20.83%NM 19.12%EV -9.34%E -1.95%K -2.46%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 23.53%EV -10.23%E -2.62%K -3.53%G +0.000%9.0%2026-05-16 11:29
888sport (SE)1.60I 62.50%NM 57.35%EV -7.05%E -4.41%K -11.75%G +0.000%4.80I 20.83%NM 19.12%EV -9.34%E -1.95%K -2.46%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 23.53%EV -10.23%E -2.62%K -3.53%G +0.000%9.0%2026-05-16 11:29
Mr Green (SE)1.60I 62.50%NM 57.35%EV -7.05%E -4.41%K -11.75%G +0.000%4.80I 20.83%NM 19.12%EV -9.34%E -1.95%K -2.46%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 23.53%EV -10.23%E -2.62%K -3.53%G +0.000%9.0%2026-05-16 11:29
PMU (FR)1.53I 65.36%NM 59.42%EV -11.12%E -7.26%K -20.97%G +0.000%4.80I 20.83%NM 18.94%EV -9.34%E -1.95%K -2.46%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 21.64%EV -3.32%E -0.791%K -1.04%G +0.000%10.0%2026-05-16 11:30
Virgin Bet1.53I 65.36%NM 59.42%EV -11.12%E -7.26%K -20.97%G +0.000%4.80I 20.83%NM 18.94%EV -9.34%E -1.95%K -2.46%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 21.64%EV -3.32%E -0.791%K -1.04%G +0.000%10.0%2026-05-16 11:30
LiveScore Bet1.53I 65.36%NM 59.42%EV -11.12%E -7.26%K -20.97%G +0.000%4.80I 20.83%NM 18.94%EV -9.34%E -1.95%K -2.46%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 21.64%EV -3.32%E -0.791%K -1.04%G +0.000%10.0%2026-05-16 11:30
Coolbet1.64I 60.98%NM 58.21%EV -4.72%E -2.88%K -7.38%G +0.000%4.75I 21.05%NM 20.10%EV -10.29%E -2.17%K -2.74%G +0.000%4.40I 22.73%NM 21.70%EV +1.28%E +0.292%K +0.377%G +0.005%4.8%2026-05-16 11:29
PointsBet (AU)1.62I 61.73%NM 58.06%EV -5.89%E -3.63%K -9.49%G +0.000%4.75I 21.05%NM 19.80%EV -10.29%E -2.17%K -2.74%G +0.000%4.25I 23.53%NM 22.13%EV -2.17%E -0.511%K -0.668%G +0.000%6.3%2026-05-16 11:29
Neds1.62I 61.73%NM 57.91%EV -5.89%E -3.63%K -9.49%G +0.000%4.75I 21.05%NM 19.75%EV -10.29%E -2.17%K -2.74%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 22.34%EV -3.32%E -0.791%K -1.04%G +0.000%6.6%2026-05-16 11:29
Ladbrokes (AU)1.62I 61.73%NM 57.91%EV -5.89%E -3.63%K -9.49%G +0.000%4.75I 21.05%NM 19.75%EV -10.29%E -2.17%K -2.74%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 22.34%EV -3.32%E -0.791%K -1.04%G +0.000%6.6%2026-05-16 11:29
Sky Bet1.57I 63.69%NM 59.06%EV -8.79%E -5.60%K -15.42%G +0.000%4.75I 21.05%NM 19.52%EV -10.29%E -2.17%K -2.74%G +0.000%4.33I 23.09%NM 21.42%EV -0.329%E -0.076%K -0.099%G +0.000%7.8%2026-05-16 11:30
PlayUp1.63I 61.35%NM 56.61%EV -5.31%E -3.25%K -8.42%G +0.000%4.75I 21.05%NM 19.43%EV -10.29%E -2.17%K -2.74%G +0.000%3.85I 25.97%NM 23.97%EV -11.38%E -2.96%K -3.99%G +0.000%8.4%2026-05-16 11:30
BoyleSports1.55I 64.52%NM 57.66%EV -9.95%E -6.42%K -18.10%G +0.000%4.75I 21.05%NM 18.82%EV -10.29%E -2.17%K -2.74%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 23.52%EV -12.53%E -3.30%K -4.47%G +0.000%11.9%2026-05-16 11:29
Betr (AU)1.62I 61.73%NM 57.79%EV -5.89%E -3.63%K -9.49%G +0.000%4.70I 21.28%NM 19.92%EV -11.23%E -2.39%K -3.04%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 22.29%EV -3.32%E -0.791%K -1.04%G +0.000%6.8%2026-05-16 11:29
Unibet (FR)1.54I 64.94%NM 58.43%EV -10.53%E -6.84%K -19.51%G +0.000%4.65I 21.51%NM 19.35%EV -12.18%E -2.62%K -3.34%G +0.000%4.05I 24.69%NM 22.22%EV -6.77%E -1.67%K -2.22%G +0.000%11.1%2026-05-16 11:28
betfred_uk1.62I 61.73%NM 57.93%EV -5.89%E -3.63%K -9.49%G +0.000%4.60I 21.74%NM 20.40%EV -13.12%E -2.85%K -3.65%G +0.000%4.33I 23.09%NM 21.67%EV -0.329%E -0.076%K -0.099%G +0.000%6.6%2026-05-16 11:29
BetMGM1.62I 61.73%NM 57.54%EV -5.89%E -3.63%K -9.49%G +0.000%4.60I 21.74%NM 20.26%EV -13.12%E -2.85%K -3.65%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 22.19%EV -3.32%E -0.791%K -1.04%G +0.000%7.3%2026-05-16 11:30
Bet Right1.61I 62.11%NM 57.69%EV -6.47%E -4.02%K -10.60%G +0.000%4.60I 21.74%NM 20.19%EV -13.12%E -2.85%K -3.65%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 22.12%EV -3.32%E -0.791%K -1.04%G +0.000%7.7%2026-05-16 11:29
NetBet (FR)1.48I 67.57%NM 58.26%EV -14.02%E -9.47%K -29.21%G +0.000%4.60I 21.74%NM 18.74%EV -13.12%E -2.85%K -3.65%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 22.99%EV -13.68%E -3.65%K -4.97%G +0.000%16.0%2026-05-16 11:29
الهامش = الهامش · I = الاحتمال الضمني · NM = الاحتمال بلا هامش · EV = القيمة المتوقعة · E = الأفضلية · K = معيار Kelly · G = نمو رأس مال المراهنات

آخر تحديث هو وقت آخر تغيير أجرته كل شركة على سعرها؛ فالوقت الأقدم يعني أن السعر لم يتحرك فحسب، لا أنه متقادم. تُستبعد عادة الشركات التي لم تصل عنها بيانات خلال نحو 15 دقيقة؛ ولا تُعرض آخر الأسعار المسجلة بدلًا من ذلك إلا إذا انقطع تدفق بيانات السوق كله.

بورصات المراهنات (6)

شركة المراهناتالمضيفالضيفتعادلالهامش ▲آخر تحديث
Betfair Exchange (EU)1.67I 59.88%NM 59.66%5.80I 17.24%NM 17.18%4.30I 23.26%NM 23.17%0.4%2026-05-16 11:30
Matchbook1.67I 59.88%NM 59.48%5.70I 17.54%NM 17.43%4.30I 23.26%NM 23.10%0.7%2026-05-16 11:30
Betfair Exchange (AU)1.67I 59.88%NM 59.33%5.80I 17.24%NM 17.08%4.20I 23.81%NM 23.59%0.9%2026-05-16 11:30
Smarkets1.66I 60.24%NM 59.62%5.70I 17.54%NM 17.36%4.30I 23.26%NM 23.02%1.0%2026-05-16 11:30
Betfair Exchange (UK)1.66I 60.24%NM 59.62%5.70I 17.54%NM 17.36%4.30I 23.26%NM 23.02%1.0%2026-05-16 11:30
Kalshi1.67I 59.88%NM 58.79%5.56I 17.99%NM 17.66%4.17I 23.98%NM 23.55%1.8%2026-05-16 11:30