Language:English
Aberdeen v Celtic
Closing line — the calculated probabilities and expected value from the last prices recorded before kickoff, under your selected model. The game has started, so these are not live figures. Assess the reliability of each model's probability predictions against all settled-game outcomes →
Head to Head
Aberdeen (Local)
Prediction 19.12%5.23fair odd
EV +3.25%
Edge +0.602%
Kelly +0.739%
Growth +0.024%
assuming max odds 5.40
Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
17.37%19.07%19.11%20.33%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
4.404.965.005.4022.73%20.18%20.00%18.52%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Celtic (Visit)
Prediction 58.61%1.71fair odd
EV -2.71%
Edge -1.63%
Kelly -4.11%
Growth +0.000%
assuming max odds 1.66
Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
57.12%58.63%58.66%60.97%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
1.421.581.591.6670.42%63.44%62.89%60.24%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Draw
Prediction 22.27%4.49fair odd
EV -2.00%
Edge -0.456%
Kelly -0.590%
Growth +0.000%
assuming max odds 4.40
Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
21.57%22.30%22.23%23.38%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
3.604.194.204.4027.78%23.88%23.81%22.73%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
At the last prices before kickoff, Interquartile mean (Vetted List) estimated these probabilities for Head to Head: Aberdeen (Local): 19.12%; Celtic (Visit): 58.61%; Draw: 22.27%. For Aberdeen (Local), that estimate was equivalent to fair decimal odds of 5.23. 13 bookmakers offered closing odds above that level; the best were 5.40, corresponding to a positive expected value of +3.25%.
Sportsbook Odds (53 sportsbooks)
We're not affiliated with any bookmaker, we earn nothing from any action done with them.
| Bookmaker | Local ▼ | Visit | Draw | Margin | Updated |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| ATG (SE)🎯 | 5.40I 18.52%NM 17.58%EV +3.25%E +0.602%K +0.739%G +0.024% | 1.56I 64.10%NM 60.85%EV -8.57%E -5.49%K -15.31%G +0.000% | 4.40I 22.73%NM 21.57%EV -2.00%E -0.456%K -0.590%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-03-04 19:35 |
| Svenska Spel🎯 | 5.40I 18.52%NM 17.58%EV +3.25%E +0.602%K +0.739%G +0.024% | 1.56I 64.10%NM 60.85%EV -8.57%E -5.49%K -15.31%G +0.000% | 4.40I 22.73%NM 21.57%EV -2.00%E -0.456%K -0.590%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-03-04 19:35 |
| Unibet🎯 | 5.40I 18.52%NM 17.47%EV +3.25%E +0.602%K +0.739%G +0.024% | 1.55I 64.52%NM 60.85%EV -9.16%E -5.91%K -16.65%G +0.000% | 4.35I 22.99%NM 21.68%EV -3.12%E -0.717%K -0.931%G +0.000% | 6.0% | 2026-03-04 19:35 |
| Unibet (SE)🎯 | 5.40I 18.52%NM 17.47%EV +3.25%E +0.602%K +0.739%G +0.024% | 1.55I 64.52%NM 60.85%EV -9.16%E -5.91%K -16.65%G +0.000% | 4.35I 22.99%NM 21.68%EV -3.12%E -0.717%K -0.931%G +0.000% | 6.0% | 2026-03-04 19:35 |
| LeoVegas🎯 | 5.40I 18.52%NM 17.47%EV +3.25%E +0.602%K +0.739%G +0.024% | 1.55I 64.52%NM 60.85%EV -9.16%E -5.91%K -16.65%G +0.000% | 4.35I 22.99%NM 21.68%EV -3.12%E -0.717%K -0.931%G +0.000% | 6.0% | 2026-03-04 19:35 |
| Unibet (NL)🎯 | 5.40I 18.52%NM 17.47%EV +3.25%E +0.602%K +0.739%G +0.024% | 1.55I 64.52%NM 60.85%EV -9.16%E -5.91%K -16.65%G +0.000% | 4.35I 22.99%NM 21.68%EV -3.12%E -0.717%K -0.931%G +0.000% | 6.0% | 2026-03-04 19:35 |
| FanDuel🎯 | 5.30I 18.87%NM 17.64%EV +1.34%E +0.253%K +0.311%G +0.004% | 1.57I 63.69%NM 59.55%EV -7.99%E -5.09%K -14.01%G +0.000% | 4.10I 24.39%NM 22.80%EV -8.69%E -2.12%K -2.80%G +0.000% | 7.0% | 2026-03-04 19:50 |
| TABtouch🎯 | 5.30I 18.87%NM 17.55%EV +1.34%E +0.253%K +0.311%G +0.004% | 1.53I 65.36%NM 60.81%EV -10.33%E -6.75%K -19.49%G +0.000% | 4.30I 23.26%NM 21.64%EV -4.23%E -0.984%K -1.28%G +0.000% | 7.5% | 2026-03-04 19:35 |
| Grosvenor🎯 | 5.30I 18.87%NM 17.55%EV +1.34%E +0.253%K +0.311%G +0.004% | 1.53I 65.36%NM 60.81%EV -10.33%E -6.75%K -19.49%G +0.000% | 4.30I 23.26%NM 21.64%EV -4.23%E -0.984%K -1.28%G +0.000% | 7.5% | 2026-03-04 19:35 |
| Casumo🎯 | 5.30I 18.87%NM 17.55%EV +1.34%E +0.253%K +0.311%G +0.004% | 1.53I 65.36%NM 60.81%EV -10.33%E -6.75%K -19.49%G +0.000% | 4.30I 23.26%NM 21.64%EV -4.23%E -0.984%K -1.28%G +0.000% | 7.5% | 2026-03-04 19:35 |
| betPARX🎯 | 5.30I 18.87%NM 17.55%EV +1.34%E +0.253%K +0.311%G +0.004% | 1.53I 65.36%NM 60.81%EV -10.33%E -6.75%K -19.49%G +0.000% | 4.30I 23.26%NM 21.64%EV -4.23%E -0.984%K -1.28%G +0.000% | 7.5% | 2026-03-04 19:35 |
| BetRivers🎯 | 5.30I 18.87%NM 17.37%EV +1.34%E +0.253%K +0.311%G +0.004% | 1.51I 66.23%NM 60.97%EV -11.50%E -7.62%K -22.55%G +0.000% | 4.25I 23.53%NM 21.66%EV -5.35%E -1.26%K -1.64%G +0.000% | 8.6% | 2026-03-04 19:35 |
| LeoVegas (SE)🎯 | 5.25I 19.05%NM 17.51%EV +0.383%E +0.073%K +0.090%G +0.000% | 1.51I 66.23%NM 60.87%EV -11.50%E -7.62%K -22.55%G +0.000% | 4.25I 23.53%NM 21.63%EV -5.35%E -1.26%K -1.64%G +0.000% | 8.8% | 2026-03-04 19:35 |
| LiveScore Bet🎯 | 5.20I 19.23%NM 17.46%EV -0.573%E -0.110%K -0.136%G +0.000% | 1.49I 67.11%NM 60.93%EV -12.67%E -8.51%K -25.87%G +0.000% | 4.20I 23.81%NM 21.61%EV -6.46%E -1.54%K -2.02%G +0.000% | 10.2% | 2026-03-04 19:35 |
| Virgin Bet🎯 | 5.20I 19.23%NM 17.46%EV -0.573%E -0.110%K -0.136%G +0.000% | 1.49I 67.11%NM 60.93%EV -12.67%E -8.51%K -25.87%G +0.000% | 4.20I 23.81%NM 21.61%EV -6.46%E -1.54%K -2.02%G +0.000% | 10.2% | 2026-03-04 19:35 |
| Pinnacle🎯 | 5.17I 19.34%NM 18.67%EV -1.15%E -0.222%K -0.275%G +0.000% | 1.63I 61.35%NM 59.20%EV -4.47%E -2.74%K -7.09%G +0.000% | 4.36I 22.94%NM 22.13%EV -2.90%E -0.664%K -0.862%G +0.000% | 3.6% | 2026-03-04 19:50 |
| 1xBet🎯 | 5.13I 19.49%NM 18.73%EV -1.91%E -0.373%K -0.463%G +0.000% | 1.66I 60.24%NM 57.89%EV -2.71%E -1.63%K -4.11%G +0.000% | 4.11I 24.33%NM 23.38%EV -8.46%E -2.06%K -2.72%G +0.000% | 4.1% | 2026-03-04 19:50 |
| Marathon Bet🎯 | 5.05I 19.80%NM 18.45%EV -3.44%E -0.681%K -0.850%G +0.000% | 1.57I 63.69%NM 59.36%EV -7.99%E -5.09%K -14.01%G +0.000% | 4.20I 23.81%NM 22.19%EV -6.46%E -1.54%K -2.02%G +0.000% | 7.3% | 2026-03-04 19:30 |
| LowVig.ag🎯 | 5.00I 20.00%NM 19.15%EV -4.40%E -0.879%K -1.10%G +0.000% | 1.62I 61.73%NM 59.10%EV -5.06%E -3.12%K -8.15%G +0.000% | 4.40I 22.73%NM 21.76%EV -2.00%E -0.456%K -0.590%G +0.000% | 4.5% | 2026-03-04 19:35 |
| BetOnline.ag🎯 | 5.00I 20.00%NM 19.15%EV -4.40%E -0.879%K -1.10%G +0.000% | 1.62I 61.73%NM 59.10%EV -5.06%E -3.12%K -8.15%G +0.000% | 4.40I 22.73%NM 21.76%EV -2.00%E -0.456%K -0.590%G +0.000% | 4.5% | 2026-03-04 19:35 |
| Coolbet🎯 | 5.00I 20.00%NM 19.05%EV -4.40%E -0.879%K -1.10%G +0.000% | 1.62I 61.73%NM 58.80%EV -5.06%E -3.12%K -8.15%G +0.000% | 4.30I 23.26%NM 22.15%EV -4.23%E -0.984%K -1.28%G +0.000% | 5.0% | 2026-03-04 19:50 |
| Fanatics🎯 | 5.00I 20.00%NM 18.84%EV -4.40%E -0.879%K -1.10%G +0.000% | 1.59I 62.89%NM 59.25%EV -6.81%E -4.29%K -11.55%G +0.000% | 4.30I 23.26%NM 21.91%EV -4.23%E -0.984%K -1.28%G +0.000% | 6.1% | 2026-03-04 19:35 |
| Bet Victor🎯 | 5.00I 20.00%NM 18.81%EV -4.40%E -0.879%K -1.10%G +0.000% | 1.60I 62.50%NM 58.79%EV -6.23%E -3.89%K -10.38%G +0.000% | 4.20I 23.81%NM 22.40%EV -6.46%E -1.54%K -2.02%G +0.000% | 6.3% | 2026-03-04 19:26 |
| Everygame🎯 | 5.00I 20.00%NM 18.81%EV -4.40%E -0.879%K -1.10%G +0.000% | 1.60I 62.50%NM 58.79%EV -6.23%E -3.89%K -10.38%G +0.000% | 4.20I 23.81%NM 22.40%EV -6.46%E -1.54%K -2.02%G +0.000% | 6.3% | 2026-03-04 19:50 |
| Sky Bet🎯 | 5.00I 20.00%NM 18.73%EV -4.40%E -0.879%K -1.10%G +0.000% | 1.57I 63.69%NM 59.64%EV -7.99%E -5.09%K -14.01%G +0.000% | 4.33I 23.09%NM 21.63%EV -3.56%E -0.823%K -1.07%G +0.000% | 6.8% | 2026-03-04 19:50 |
| Paddy Power🎯 | 5.00I 20.00%NM 18.40%EV -4.40%E -0.879%K -1.10%G +0.000% | 1.57I 63.69%NM 58.60%EV -7.99%E -5.09%K -14.01%G +0.000% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 23.00%EV -10.91%E -2.73%K -3.64%G +0.000% | 8.7% | 2026-03-04 19:49 |
| SportsBet🎯 | 5.00I 20.00%NM 18.40%EV -4.40%E -0.879%K -1.10%G +0.000% | 1.57I 63.69%NM 58.60%EV -7.99%E -5.09%K -14.01%G +0.000% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 23.00%EV -10.91%E -2.73%K -3.64%G +0.000% | 8.7% | 2026-03-04 19:50 |
| Tipico (DE)🎯 | 5.00I 20.00%NM 18.36%EV -4.40%E -0.879%K -1.10%G +0.000% | 1.55I 64.52%NM 59.24%EV -9.16%E -5.91%K -16.65%G +0.000% | 4.10I 24.39%NM 22.40%EV -8.69%E -2.12%K -2.80%G +0.000% | 8.9% | 2026-03-04 19:35 |
| DraftKings🎯 | 4.90I 20.41%NM 19.26%EV -6.31%E -1.29%K -1.62%G +0.000% | 1.62I 61.73%NM 58.26%EV -5.06%E -3.12%K -8.15%G +0.000% | 4.20I 23.81%NM 22.47%EV -6.46%E -1.54%K -2.02%G +0.000% | 5.9% | 2026-03-04 19:30 |
| Unibet (UK)🎯 | 4.80I 20.83%NM 19.50%EV -8.22%E -1.71%K -2.16%G +0.000% | 1.60I 62.50%NM 58.49%EV -6.23%E -3.89%K -10.38%G +0.000% | 4.25I 23.53%NM 22.02%EV -5.35%E -1.26%K -1.64%G +0.000% | 6.9% | 2026-03-04 19:30 |
| Betr (AU)🎯 | 4.80I 20.83%NM 19.50%EV -8.22%E -1.71%K -2.16%G +0.000% | 1.60I 62.50%NM 58.49%EV -6.23%E -3.89%K -10.38%G +0.000% | 4.25I 23.53%NM 22.02%EV -5.35%E -1.26%K -1.64%G +0.000% | 6.9% | 2026-03-04 19:30 |
| William Hill🎯 | 4.80I 20.83%NM 19.37%EV -8.22%E -1.71%K -2.16%G +0.000% | 1.62I 61.73%NM 57.39%EV -5.06%E -3.12%K -8.15%G +0.000% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 23.24%EV -10.91%E -2.73%K -3.64%G +0.000% | 7.6% | 2026-03-04 19:35 |
| 888sport🎯 | 4.80I 20.83%NM 19.30%EV -8.22%E -1.71%K -2.16%G +0.000% | 1.61I 62.11%NM 57.54%EV -5.64%E -3.50%K -9.25%G +0.000% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 23.16%EV -10.91%E -2.73%K -3.64%G +0.000% | 7.9% | 2026-03-04 19:30 |
| Mr Green (SE)🎯 | 4.80I 20.83%NM 19.30%EV -8.22%E -1.71%K -2.16%G +0.000% | 1.61I 62.11%NM 57.54%EV -5.64%E -3.50%K -9.25%G +0.000% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 23.16%EV -10.91%E -2.73%K -3.64%G +0.000% | 7.9% | 2026-03-04 19:35 |
| 888sport (SE)🎯 | 4.80I 20.83%NM 19.30%EV -8.22%E -1.71%K -2.16%G +0.000% | 1.61I 62.11%NM 57.54%EV -5.64%E -3.50%K -9.25%G +0.000% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 23.16%EV -10.91%E -2.73%K -3.64%G +0.000% | 7.9% | 2026-03-04 19:35 |
| Bovada🎯 | 4.80I 20.83%NM 19.20%EV -8.22%E -1.71%K -2.16%G +0.000% | 1.58I 63.29%NM 58.32%EV -7.40%E -4.68%K -12.76%G +0.000% | 4.10I 24.39%NM 22.48%EV -8.69%E -2.12%K -2.80%G +0.000% | 8.5% | 2026-03-04 19:50 |
| BetUS🎯 | 4.80I 20.83%NM 19.20%EV -8.22%E -1.71%K -2.16%G +0.000% | 1.58I 63.29%NM 58.32%EV -7.40%E -4.68%K -12.76%G +0.000% | 4.10I 24.39%NM 22.48%EV -8.69%E -2.12%K -2.80%G +0.000% | 8.5% | 2026-03-04 19:50 |
| PointsBet (AU)🎯 | 4.75I 21.05%NM 19.80%EV -9.18%E -1.93%K -2.45%G +0.000% | 1.62I 61.73%NM 58.06%EV -5.06%E -3.12%K -8.15%G +0.000% | 4.25I 23.53%NM 22.13%EV -5.35%E -1.26%K -1.64%G +0.000% | 6.3% | 2026-03-04 19:30 |
| Betway🎯 | 4.75I 21.05%NM 19.68%EV -9.18%E -1.93%K -2.45%G +0.000% | 1.61I 62.11%NM 58.06%EV -5.64%E -3.50%K -9.25%G +0.000% | 4.20I 23.81%NM 22.26%EV -6.46%E -1.54%K -2.02%G +0.000% | 7.0% | 2026-03-04 19:30 |
| Bet Right🎯 | 4.75I 21.05%NM 19.61%EV -9.18%E -1.93%K -2.45%G +0.000% | 1.60I 62.50%NM 58.21%EV -6.23%E -3.89%K -10.38%G +0.000% | 4.20I 23.81%NM 22.18%EV -6.46%E -1.54%K -2.02%G +0.000% | 7.4% | 2026-03-04 19:30 |
| PlayUp🎯 | 4.75I 21.05%NM 19.50%EV -9.18%E -1.93%K -2.45%G +0.000% | 1.60I 62.50%NM 57.90%EV -6.23%E -3.89%K -10.38%G +0.000% | 4.10I 24.39%NM 22.60%EV -8.69%E -2.12%K -2.80%G +0.000% | 7.9% | 2026-03-04 19:45 |
| BoyleSports🎯 | 4.75I 21.05%NM 19.04%EV -9.18%E -1.93%K -2.45%G +0.000% | 1.55I 64.52%NM 58.35%EV -9.16%E -5.91%K -16.65%G +0.000% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 22.61%EV -10.91%E -2.73%K -3.64%G +0.000% | 10.6% | 2026-03-04 19:29 |
| Betsson🎯 | 4.70I 21.28%NM 19.87%EV -10.13%E -2.16%K -2.74%G +0.000% | 1.62I 61.73%NM 57.64%EV -5.06%E -3.12%K -8.15%G +0.000% | 4.15I 24.10%NM 22.50%EV -7.57%E -1.82%K -2.40%G +0.000% | 7.1% | 2026-03-04 19:45 |
| NordicBet🎯 | 4.70I 21.28%NM 19.87%EV -10.13%E -2.16%K -2.74%G +0.000% | 1.62I 61.73%NM 57.64%EV -5.06%E -3.12%K -8.15%G +0.000% | 4.15I 24.10%NM 22.50%EV -7.57%E -1.82%K -2.40%G +0.000% | 7.1% | 2026-03-04 19:45 |
| Ladbrokes (UK)🎯 | 4.60I 21.74%NM 20.33%EV -12.05%E -2.62%K -3.35%G +0.000% | 1.61I 62.11%NM 58.08%EV -5.64%E -3.50%K -9.25%G +0.000% | 4.33I 23.09%NM 21.59%EV -3.56%E -0.823%K -1.07%G +0.000% | 6.9% | 2026-03-04 19:30 |
| Coral🎯 | 4.60I 21.74%NM 20.33%EV -12.05%E -2.62%K -3.35%G +0.000% | 1.61I 62.11%NM 58.08%EV -5.64%E -3.50%K -9.25%G +0.000% | 4.33I 23.09%NM 21.59%EV -3.56%E -0.823%K -1.07%G +0.000% | 6.9% | 2026-03-04 19:30 |
| Ladbrokes (AU)🎯 | 4.60I 21.74%NM 20.32%EV -12.05%E -2.62%K -3.35%G +0.000% | 1.62I 61.73%NM 57.69%EV -5.06%E -3.12%K -8.15%G +0.000% | 4.25I 23.53%NM 21.99%EV -5.35%E -1.26%K -1.64%G +0.000% | 7.0% | 2026-03-04 19:30 |
| Neds🎯 | 4.60I 21.74%NM 20.32%EV -12.05%E -2.62%K -3.35%G +0.000% | 1.62I 61.73%NM 57.69%EV -5.06%E -3.12%K -8.15%G +0.000% | 4.25I 23.53%NM 21.99%EV -5.35%E -1.26%K -1.64%G +0.000% | 7.0% | 2026-03-04 19:30 |
| BetMGM🎯 | 4.60I 21.74%NM 20.26%EV -12.05%E -2.62%K -3.35%G +0.000% | 1.62I 61.73%NM 57.54%EV -5.06%E -3.12%K -8.15%G +0.000% | 4.20I 23.81%NM 22.19%EV -6.46%E -1.54%K -2.02%G +0.000% | 7.3% | 2026-03-04 19:30 |
| PMU (FR)🎯 | 4.60I 21.74%NM 18.13%EV -12.05%E -2.62%K -3.35%G +0.000% | 1.42I 70.42%NM 58.72%EV -16.78%E -11.81%K -39.95%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 23.16%EV -19.82%E -5.51%K -7.62%G +0.000% | 19.9% | 2026-03-04 19:55 |
| Codere (IT)🎯 | 4.50I 22.22%NM 20.18%EV -13.96%E -3.10%K -3.99%G +0.000% | 1.59I 62.89%NM 57.12%EV -6.81%E -4.29%K -11.55%G +0.000% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 22.70%EV -10.91%E -2.73%K -3.64%G +0.000% | 10.1% | 2026-03-04 19:55 |
| NetBet (FR)🎯 | 4.50I 22.22%NM 19.20%EV -13.96%E -3.10%K -3.99%G +0.000% | 1.48I 67.57%NM 58.37%EV -13.26%E -8.96%K -27.63%G +0.000% | 3.85I 25.97%NM 22.44%EV -14.25%E -3.70%K -5.00%G +0.000% | 15.8% | 2026-03-04 19:49 |
| Parions Sport (FR)🎯 | 4.40I 22.73%NM 20.06%EV -15.87%E -3.61%K -4.67%G +0.000% | 1.54I 64.94%NM 57.31%EV -9.74%E -6.33%K -18.04%G +0.000% | 3.90I 25.64%NM 22.63%EV -13.14%E -3.37%K -4.53%G +0.000% | 13.3% | 2026-03-04 19:55 |
Margin = Margin (Overround) · I = Implied Probability · NM = No-Margin Probability · EV = Expected Value · E = Edge · K = Kelly Criterion · G = Bankroll Growth
Updated is when each book last changed its price, so an older time means the odds simply haven't moved, not that the price is stale. Books not seen in the last ~15 minutes are normally dropped; only if a whole market's feed goes quiet are the latest recorded prices shown instead.
Exchanges (5)
| Bookmaker | Local | Visit | Draw | Margin ▲ | Updated |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Betfair Exchange (AU)◎ | 5.60I 17.86%NM 17.80% | 1.66I 60.24%NM 60.05% | 4.50I 22.22%NM 22.15% | 0.3% | 2026-03-04 19:55 |
| Betfair Exchange (EU)◎ | 5.40I 18.52%NM 18.40% | 1.67I 59.88%NM 59.51% | 4.50I 22.22%NM 22.09% | 0.6% | 2026-03-04 19:55 |
| Betfair Exchange (UK)◎ | 5.40I 18.52%NM 18.40% | 1.67I 59.88%NM 59.51% | 4.50I 22.22%NM 22.09% | 0.6% | 2026-03-04 19:55 |
| Smarkets◎ | 5.50I 18.18%NM 18.07% | 1.66I 60.24%NM 59.85% | 4.50I 22.22%NM 22.08% | 0.6% | 2026-03-04 19:55 |
| Matchbook◎ | 5.50I 18.18%NM 18.07% | 1.66I 60.24%NM 59.85% | 4.50I 22.22%NM 22.08% | 0.6% | 2026-03-04 19:55 |