StandardmodellInterkvartilmedelvärde (Kurerad lista)

Aberdeen v Celtic

Matchstart: 2026-03-04 20:00 UTC

Slutodds — de beräknade sannolikheterna och väntevärdet från de sista odds som registrerades före matchstart, enligt den valda modellen. Matchen har börjat, så siffrorna är inte aktuella realtidsvärden. Bedöm tillförlitligheten hos varje modells sannolikhetsprognoser mot utfallen i samtliga avgjorda matcher →

Matchresultat

53 spelbolag (18 i analysen )

Beräknad sannolikhet för varje utfall enligt modellen: Interkvartilmedelvärde (Kurerad lista)

Aberdeen (Hemma)

Prognos 19.12%5.23rättvist odds
EV +3.25%
Fördel +0.602%
Kelly +0.739%
Tillväxt +0.024%

med antagandet om högsta odds 5.40

Fördelning av spelbolagens sannolikhetsprognoser
17.37%19.07%19.11%20.33%MIN.MEDELVÄRDEMEDIANMAX.
Oddsfördelning
4.404.965.005.4022.73%20.18%20.00%18.52%MIN.MEDELVÄRDEMEDIANMAX.

Celtic (Borta)

Prognos 58.61%1.71rättvist odds
EV -2.71%
Fördel -1.63%
Kelly -4.11%
Tillväxt +0.000%

med antagandet om högsta odds 1.66

Fördelning av spelbolagens sannolikhetsprognoser
57.12%58.63%58.66%60.97%MIN.MEDELVÄRDEMEDIANMAX.
Oddsfördelning
1.421.581.591.6670.42%63.44%62.89%60.24%MIN.MEDELVÄRDEMEDIANMAX.

Oavgjort

Prognos 22.27%4.49rättvist odds
EV -2.00%
Fördel -0.456%
Kelly -0.590%
Tillväxt +0.000%

med antagandet om högsta odds 4.40

Fördelning av spelbolagens sannolikhetsprognoser
21.57%22.30%22.23%23.38%MIN.MEDELVÄRDEMEDIANMAX.
Oddsfördelning
3.604.194.204.4027.78%23.88%23.81%22.73%MIN.MEDELVÄRDEMEDIANMAX.

Vid de sista oddsen före start uppskattade Interkvartilmedelvärde (Kurerad lista) för Matchresultat: Aberdeen (Hemma): 19.12%; Celtic (Borta): 58.61%; Oavgjort: 22.27%. För Aberdeen (Hemma) motsvarade uppskattningen ett rättvist decimalodds på 5.23. 13 spelbolag erbjöd slutodds över den nivån; bästa odds var 5.40, motsvarande ett positivt väntevärde på +3.25%.

Spelbolagsodds (53 spelbolag)

Vi är inte knutna till något spelbolag och får ingen ersättning för transaktioner som genomförs hos dem.

SpelbolagHemma ▼BortaOavgjortMarginalUppdaterat
ATG (SE)🎯5.40I 18.52%NM 17.58%EV +3.25%E +0.602%K +0.739%G +0.024%1.56I 64.10%NM 60.85%EV -8.57%E -5.49%K -15.31%G +0.000%4.40I 22.73%NM 21.57%EV -2.00%E -0.456%K -0.590%G +0.000%5.3%2026-03-04 19:35
Svenska Spel🎯5.40I 18.52%NM 17.58%EV +3.25%E +0.602%K +0.739%G +0.024%1.56I 64.10%NM 60.85%EV -8.57%E -5.49%K -15.31%G +0.000%4.40I 22.73%NM 21.57%EV -2.00%E -0.456%K -0.590%G +0.000%5.3%2026-03-04 19:35
Unibet🎯5.40I 18.52%NM 17.47%EV +3.25%E +0.602%K +0.739%G +0.024%1.55I 64.52%NM 60.85%EV -9.16%E -5.91%K -16.65%G +0.000%4.35I 22.99%NM 21.68%EV -3.12%E -0.717%K -0.931%G +0.000%6.0%2026-03-04 19:35
Unibet (SE)🎯5.40I 18.52%NM 17.47%EV +3.25%E +0.602%K +0.739%G +0.024%1.55I 64.52%NM 60.85%EV -9.16%E -5.91%K -16.65%G +0.000%4.35I 22.99%NM 21.68%EV -3.12%E -0.717%K -0.931%G +0.000%6.0%2026-03-04 19:35
LeoVegas🎯5.40I 18.52%NM 17.47%EV +3.25%E +0.602%K +0.739%G +0.024%1.55I 64.52%NM 60.85%EV -9.16%E -5.91%K -16.65%G +0.000%4.35I 22.99%NM 21.68%EV -3.12%E -0.717%K -0.931%G +0.000%6.0%2026-03-04 19:35
Unibet (NL)🎯5.40I 18.52%NM 17.47%EV +3.25%E +0.602%K +0.739%G +0.024%1.55I 64.52%NM 60.85%EV -9.16%E -5.91%K -16.65%G +0.000%4.35I 22.99%NM 21.68%EV -3.12%E -0.717%K -0.931%G +0.000%6.0%2026-03-04 19:35
FanDuel🎯5.30I 18.87%NM 17.64%EV +1.34%E +0.253%K +0.311%G +0.004%1.57I 63.69%NM 59.55%EV -7.99%E -5.09%K -14.01%G +0.000%4.10I 24.39%NM 22.80%EV -8.69%E -2.12%K -2.80%G +0.000%7.0%2026-03-04 19:50
TABtouch🎯5.30I 18.87%NM 17.55%EV +1.34%E +0.253%K +0.311%G +0.004%1.53I 65.36%NM 60.81%EV -10.33%E -6.75%K -19.49%G +0.000%4.30I 23.26%NM 21.64%EV -4.23%E -0.984%K -1.28%G +0.000%7.5%2026-03-04 19:35
Grosvenor🎯5.30I 18.87%NM 17.55%EV +1.34%E +0.253%K +0.311%G +0.004%1.53I 65.36%NM 60.81%EV -10.33%E -6.75%K -19.49%G +0.000%4.30I 23.26%NM 21.64%EV -4.23%E -0.984%K -1.28%G +0.000%7.5%2026-03-04 19:35
Casumo🎯5.30I 18.87%NM 17.55%EV +1.34%E +0.253%K +0.311%G +0.004%1.53I 65.36%NM 60.81%EV -10.33%E -6.75%K -19.49%G +0.000%4.30I 23.26%NM 21.64%EV -4.23%E -0.984%K -1.28%G +0.000%7.5%2026-03-04 19:35
betPARX🎯5.30I 18.87%NM 17.55%EV +1.34%E +0.253%K +0.311%G +0.004%1.53I 65.36%NM 60.81%EV -10.33%E -6.75%K -19.49%G +0.000%4.30I 23.26%NM 21.64%EV -4.23%E -0.984%K -1.28%G +0.000%7.5%2026-03-04 19:35
BetRivers🎯5.30I 18.87%NM 17.37%EV +1.34%E +0.253%K +0.311%G +0.004%1.51I 66.23%NM 60.97%EV -11.50%E -7.62%K -22.55%G +0.000%4.25I 23.53%NM 21.66%EV -5.35%E -1.26%K -1.64%G +0.000%8.6%2026-03-04 19:35
LeoVegas (SE)🎯5.25I 19.05%NM 17.51%EV +0.383%E +0.073%K +0.090%G +0.000%1.51I 66.23%NM 60.87%EV -11.50%E -7.62%K -22.55%G +0.000%4.25I 23.53%NM 21.63%EV -5.35%E -1.26%K -1.64%G +0.000%8.8%2026-03-04 19:35
LiveScore Bet🎯5.20I 19.23%NM 17.46%EV -0.573%E -0.110%K -0.136%G +0.000%1.49I 67.11%NM 60.93%EV -12.67%E -8.51%K -25.87%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 21.61%EV -6.46%E -1.54%K -2.02%G +0.000%10.2%2026-03-04 19:35
Virgin Bet🎯5.20I 19.23%NM 17.46%EV -0.573%E -0.110%K -0.136%G +0.000%1.49I 67.11%NM 60.93%EV -12.67%E -8.51%K -25.87%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 21.61%EV -6.46%E -1.54%K -2.02%G +0.000%10.2%2026-03-04 19:35
Pinnacle🎯5.17I 19.34%NM 18.67%EV -1.15%E -0.222%K -0.275%G +0.000%1.63I 61.35%NM 59.20%EV -4.47%E -2.74%K -7.09%G +0.000%4.36I 22.94%NM 22.13%EV -2.90%E -0.664%K -0.862%G +0.000%3.6%2026-03-04 19:50
1xBet🎯5.13I 19.49%NM 18.73%EV -1.91%E -0.373%K -0.463%G +0.000%1.66I 60.24%NM 57.89%EV -2.71%E -1.63%K -4.11%G +0.000%4.11I 24.33%NM 23.38%EV -8.46%E -2.06%K -2.72%G +0.000%4.1%2026-03-04 19:50
Marathon Bet🎯5.05I 19.80%NM 18.45%EV -3.44%E -0.681%K -0.850%G +0.000%1.57I 63.69%NM 59.36%EV -7.99%E -5.09%K -14.01%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 22.19%EV -6.46%E -1.54%K -2.02%G +0.000%7.3%2026-03-04 19:30
LowVig.ag🎯5.00I 20.00%NM 19.15%EV -4.40%E -0.879%K -1.10%G +0.000%1.62I 61.73%NM 59.10%EV -5.06%E -3.12%K -8.15%G +0.000%4.40I 22.73%NM 21.76%EV -2.00%E -0.456%K -0.590%G +0.000%4.5%2026-03-04 19:35
BetOnline.ag🎯5.00I 20.00%NM 19.15%EV -4.40%E -0.879%K -1.10%G +0.000%1.62I 61.73%NM 59.10%EV -5.06%E -3.12%K -8.15%G +0.000%4.40I 22.73%NM 21.76%EV -2.00%E -0.456%K -0.590%G +0.000%4.5%2026-03-04 19:35
Coolbet🎯5.00I 20.00%NM 19.05%EV -4.40%E -0.879%K -1.10%G +0.000%1.62I 61.73%NM 58.80%EV -5.06%E -3.12%K -8.15%G +0.000%4.30I 23.26%NM 22.15%EV -4.23%E -0.984%K -1.28%G +0.000%5.0%2026-03-04 19:50
Fanatics🎯5.00I 20.00%NM 18.84%EV -4.40%E -0.879%K -1.10%G +0.000%1.59I 62.89%NM 59.25%EV -6.81%E -4.29%K -11.55%G +0.000%4.30I 23.26%NM 21.91%EV -4.23%E -0.984%K -1.28%G +0.000%6.1%2026-03-04 19:35
Bet Victor🎯5.00I 20.00%NM 18.81%EV -4.40%E -0.879%K -1.10%G +0.000%1.60I 62.50%NM 58.79%EV -6.23%E -3.89%K -10.38%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 22.40%EV -6.46%E -1.54%K -2.02%G +0.000%6.3%2026-03-04 19:26
Everygame🎯5.00I 20.00%NM 18.81%EV -4.40%E -0.879%K -1.10%G +0.000%1.60I 62.50%NM 58.79%EV -6.23%E -3.89%K -10.38%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 22.40%EV -6.46%E -1.54%K -2.02%G +0.000%6.3%2026-03-04 19:50
Sky Bet🎯5.00I 20.00%NM 18.73%EV -4.40%E -0.879%K -1.10%G +0.000%1.57I 63.69%NM 59.64%EV -7.99%E -5.09%K -14.01%G +0.000%4.33I 23.09%NM 21.63%EV -3.56%E -0.823%K -1.07%G +0.000%6.8%2026-03-04 19:50
Paddy Power🎯5.00I 20.00%NM 18.40%EV -4.40%E -0.879%K -1.10%G +0.000%1.57I 63.69%NM 58.60%EV -7.99%E -5.09%K -14.01%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.00%EV -10.91%E -2.73%K -3.64%G +0.000%8.7%2026-03-04 19:49
SportsBet🎯5.00I 20.00%NM 18.40%EV -4.40%E -0.879%K -1.10%G +0.000%1.57I 63.69%NM 58.60%EV -7.99%E -5.09%K -14.01%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.00%EV -10.91%E -2.73%K -3.64%G +0.000%8.7%2026-03-04 19:50
Tipico (DE)🎯5.00I 20.00%NM 18.36%EV -4.40%E -0.879%K -1.10%G +0.000%1.55I 64.52%NM 59.24%EV -9.16%E -5.91%K -16.65%G +0.000%4.10I 24.39%NM 22.40%EV -8.69%E -2.12%K -2.80%G +0.000%8.9%2026-03-04 19:35
DraftKings🎯4.90I 20.41%NM 19.26%EV -6.31%E -1.29%K -1.62%G +0.000%1.62I 61.73%NM 58.26%EV -5.06%E -3.12%K -8.15%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 22.47%EV -6.46%E -1.54%K -2.02%G +0.000%5.9%2026-03-04 19:30
Unibet (UK)🎯4.80I 20.83%NM 19.50%EV -8.22%E -1.71%K -2.16%G +0.000%1.60I 62.50%NM 58.49%EV -6.23%E -3.89%K -10.38%G +0.000%4.25I 23.53%NM 22.02%EV -5.35%E -1.26%K -1.64%G +0.000%6.9%2026-03-04 19:30
Betr (AU)🎯4.80I 20.83%NM 19.50%EV -8.22%E -1.71%K -2.16%G +0.000%1.60I 62.50%NM 58.49%EV -6.23%E -3.89%K -10.38%G +0.000%4.25I 23.53%NM 22.02%EV -5.35%E -1.26%K -1.64%G +0.000%6.9%2026-03-04 19:30
William Hill🎯4.80I 20.83%NM 19.37%EV -8.22%E -1.71%K -2.16%G +0.000%1.62I 61.73%NM 57.39%EV -5.06%E -3.12%K -8.15%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.24%EV -10.91%E -2.73%K -3.64%G +0.000%7.6%2026-03-04 19:35
888sport🎯4.80I 20.83%NM 19.30%EV -8.22%E -1.71%K -2.16%G +0.000%1.61I 62.11%NM 57.54%EV -5.64%E -3.50%K -9.25%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.16%EV -10.91%E -2.73%K -3.64%G +0.000%7.9%2026-03-04 19:30
Mr Green (SE)🎯4.80I 20.83%NM 19.30%EV -8.22%E -1.71%K -2.16%G +0.000%1.61I 62.11%NM 57.54%EV -5.64%E -3.50%K -9.25%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.16%EV -10.91%E -2.73%K -3.64%G +0.000%7.9%2026-03-04 19:35
888sport (SE)🎯4.80I 20.83%NM 19.30%EV -8.22%E -1.71%K -2.16%G +0.000%1.61I 62.11%NM 57.54%EV -5.64%E -3.50%K -9.25%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.16%EV -10.91%E -2.73%K -3.64%G +0.000%7.9%2026-03-04 19:35
Bovada🎯4.80I 20.83%NM 19.20%EV -8.22%E -1.71%K -2.16%G +0.000%1.58I 63.29%NM 58.32%EV -7.40%E -4.68%K -12.76%G +0.000%4.10I 24.39%NM 22.48%EV -8.69%E -2.12%K -2.80%G +0.000%8.5%2026-03-04 19:50
BetUS🎯4.80I 20.83%NM 19.20%EV -8.22%E -1.71%K -2.16%G +0.000%1.58I 63.29%NM 58.32%EV -7.40%E -4.68%K -12.76%G +0.000%4.10I 24.39%NM 22.48%EV -8.69%E -2.12%K -2.80%G +0.000%8.5%2026-03-04 19:50
PointsBet (AU)🎯4.75I 21.05%NM 19.80%EV -9.18%E -1.93%K -2.45%G +0.000%1.62I 61.73%NM 58.06%EV -5.06%E -3.12%K -8.15%G +0.000%4.25I 23.53%NM 22.13%EV -5.35%E -1.26%K -1.64%G +0.000%6.3%2026-03-04 19:30
Betway🎯4.75I 21.05%NM 19.68%EV -9.18%E -1.93%K -2.45%G +0.000%1.61I 62.11%NM 58.06%EV -5.64%E -3.50%K -9.25%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 22.26%EV -6.46%E -1.54%K -2.02%G +0.000%7.0%2026-03-04 19:30
Bet Right🎯4.75I 21.05%NM 19.61%EV -9.18%E -1.93%K -2.45%G +0.000%1.60I 62.50%NM 58.21%EV -6.23%E -3.89%K -10.38%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 22.18%EV -6.46%E -1.54%K -2.02%G +0.000%7.4%2026-03-04 19:30
PlayUp🎯4.75I 21.05%NM 19.50%EV -9.18%E -1.93%K -2.45%G +0.000%1.60I 62.50%NM 57.90%EV -6.23%E -3.89%K -10.38%G +0.000%4.10I 24.39%NM 22.60%EV -8.69%E -2.12%K -2.80%G +0.000%7.9%2026-03-04 19:45
BoyleSports🎯4.75I 21.05%NM 19.04%EV -9.18%E -1.93%K -2.45%G +0.000%1.55I 64.52%NM 58.35%EV -9.16%E -5.91%K -16.65%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 22.61%EV -10.91%E -2.73%K -3.64%G +0.000%10.6%2026-03-04 19:29
Betsson🎯4.70I 21.28%NM 19.87%EV -10.13%E -2.16%K -2.74%G +0.000%1.62I 61.73%NM 57.64%EV -5.06%E -3.12%K -8.15%G +0.000%4.15I 24.10%NM 22.50%EV -7.57%E -1.82%K -2.40%G +0.000%7.1%2026-03-04 19:45
NordicBet🎯4.70I 21.28%NM 19.87%EV -10.13%E -2.16%K -2.74%G +0.000%1.62I 61.73%NM 57.64%EV -5.06%E -3.12%K -8.15%G +0.000%4.15I 24.10%NM 22.50%EV -7.57%E -1.82%K -2.40%G +0.000%7.1%2026-03-04 19:45
Ladbrokes (UK)🎯4.60I 21.74%NM 20.33%EV -12.05%E -2.62%K -3.35%G +0.000%1.61I 62.11%NM 58.08%EV -5.64%E -3.50%K -9.25%G +0.000%4.33I 23.09%NM 21.59%EV -3.56%E -0.823%K -1.07%G +0.000%6.9%2026-03-04 19:30
Coral🎯4.60I 21.74%NM 20.33%EV -12.05%E -2.62%K -3.35%G +0.000%1.61I 62.11%NM 58.08%EV -5.64%E -3.50%K -9.25%G +0.000%4.33I 23.09%NM 21.59%EV -3.56%E -0.823%K -1.07%G +0.000%6.9%2026-03-04 19:30
Ladbrokes (AU)🎯4.60I 21.74%NM 20.32%EV -12.05%E -2.62%K -3.35%G +0.000%1.62I 61.73%NM 57.69%EV -5.06%E -3.12%K -8.15%G +0.000%4.25I 23.53%NM 21.99%EV -5.35%E -1.26%K -1.64%G +0.000%7.0%2026-03-04 19:30
Neds🎯4.60I 21.74%NM 20.32%EV -12.05%E -2.62%K -3.35%G +0.000%1.62I 61.73%NM 57.69%EV -5.06%E -3.12%K -8.15%G +0.000%4.25I 23.53%NM 21.99%EV -5.35%E -1.26%K -1.64%G +0.000%7.0%2026-03-04 19:30
BetMGM🎯4.60I 21.74%NM 20.26%EV -12.05%E -2.62%K -3.35%G +0.000%1.62I 61.73%NM 57.54%EV -5.06%E -3.12%K -8.15%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 22.19%EV -6.46%E -1.54%K -2.02%G +0.000%7.3%2026-03-04 19:30
PMU (FR)🎯4.60I 21.74%NM 18.13%EV -12.05%E -2.62%K -3.35%G +0.000%1.42I 70.42%NM 58.72%EV -16.78%E -11.81%K -39.95%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 23.16%EV -19.82%E -5.51%K -7.62%G +0.000%19.9%2026-03-04 19:55
Codere (IT)🎯4.50I 22.22%NM 20.18%EV -13.96%E -3.10%K -3.99%G +0.000%1.59I 62.89%NM 57.12%EV -6.81%E -4.29%K -11.55%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 22.70%EV -10.91%E -2.73%K -3.64%G +0.000%10.1%2026-03-04 19:55
NetBet (FR)🎯4.50I 22.22%NM 19.20%EV -13.96%E -3.10%K -3.99%G +0.000%1.48I 67.57%NM 58.37%EV -13.26%E -8.96%K -27.63%G +0.000%3.85I 25.97%NM 22.44%EV -14.25%E -3.70%K -5.00%G +0.000%15.8%2026-03-04 19:49
Parions Sport (FR)🎯4.40I 22.73%NM 20.06%EV -15.87%E -3.61%K -4.67%G +0.000%1.54I 64.94%NM 57.31%EV -9.74%E -6.33%K -18.04%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 22.63%EV -13.14%E -3.37%K -4.53%G +0.000%13.3%2026-03-04 19:55
Marginal = Marginal · I = Implicit sannolikhet · NM = Marginalrensad sannolikhet · EV = Väntevärde · E = Fördel · K = Kelly-kriteriet · G = Spelkapitalets tillväxt

Uppdaterat anger när respektive spelbolag senast ändrade sitt odds. En äldre tidpunkt betyder därför att oddset inte har rört sig, inte att det är inaktuellt. Spelbolag som inte har observerats under de senaste cirka 15 minuterna utesluts normalt; endast om dataflödet för en hel marknad tystnar visas i stället de senast registrerade oddsen.

Spelbörser (5)

SpelbolagHemmaBortaOavgjortMarginal ▲Uppdaterat
Betfair Exchange (AU)5.60I 17.86%NM 17.80%1.66I 60.24%NM 60.05%4.50I 22.22%NM 22.15%0.3%2026-03-04 19:55
Betfair Exchange (EU)5.40I 18.52%NM 18.40%1.67I 59.88%NM 59.51%4.50I 22.22%NM 22.09%0.6%2026-03-04 19:55
Betfair Exchange (UK)5.40I 18.52%NM 18.40%1.67I 59.88%NM 59.51%4.50I 22.22%NM 22.09%0.6%2026-03-04 19:55
Smarkets5.50I 18.18%NM 18.07%1.66I 60.24%NM 59.85%4.50I 22.22%NM 22.08%0.6%2026-03-04 19:55
Matchbook5.50I 18.18%NM 18.07%1.66I 60.24%NM 59.85%4.50I 22.22%NM 22.08%0.6%2026-03-04 19:55