La escuela de los momiosEspañol
Aberdeen v Celtic
Momios de cierre — las predicciones y el valor esperado calculados con los últimos momios registrados antes del inicio, según el modelo seleccionado. El partido ya comenzó; estas cifras no son datos en vivo. Evalúe la fiabilidad de las predicciones probabilísticas de cada modelo frente a los resultados de todos los partidos resueltos →
Resultado del partido
Aberdeen (Local)
Predicción 19.12%5.23momio equitativo
EV +3.25%
Ventaja +0.602%
Kelly +0.739%
Crecimiento +0.024%
suponiendo unos momios máximos de 5.40
Distribución de las predicciones de los corredores
17.37%19.07%19.11%20.33%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX
Distribución de los momios
4.404.965.005.4022.73%20.18%20.00%18.52%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX
Celtic (Visitante)
Predicción 58.61%1.71momio equitativo
EV -2.71%
Ventaja -1.63%
Kelly -4.11%
Crecimiento +0.000%
suponiendo unos momios máximos de 1.66
Distribución de las predicciones de los corredores
57.12%58.63%58.66%60.97%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX
Distribución de los momios
1.421.581.591.6670.42%63.44%62.89%60.24%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX
Empate
Predicción 22.27%4.49momio equitativo
EV -2.00%
Ventaja -0.456%
Kelly -0.590%
Crecimiento +0.000%
suponiendo unos momios máximos de 4.40
Distribución de las predicciones de los corredores
21.57%22.30%22.23%23.38%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX
Distribución de los momios
3.604.194.204.4027.78%23.88%23.81%22.73%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX
Momios de las casas de apuestas (53 corredores)
No estamos afiliados a ninguna casa de apuestas ni obtenemos beneficio alguno de las operaciones realizadas con ellas.
| Corredor | Local ▼ | Visitante | Empate | Margen | Actualizado |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| ATG (SE) | 5.40I 18.52%NM 17.58%EV +3.25%E +0.602%K +0.739%G +0.024% | 1.56I 64.10%NM 60.85%EV -8.57%E -5.49%K -15.31%G +0.000% | 4.40I 22.73%NM 21.57%EV -2.00%E -0.456%K -0.590%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-03-04 19:35 |
| Svenska Spel | 5.40I 18.52%NM 17.58%EV +3.25%E +0.602%K +0.739%G +0.024% | 1.56I 64.10%NM 60.85%EV -8.57%E -5.49%K -15.31%G +0.000% | 4.40I 22.73%NM 21.57%EV -2.00%E -0.456%K -0.590%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-03-04 19:35 |
| Unibet | 5.40I 18.52%NM 17.47%EV +3.25%E +0.602%K +0.739%G +0.024% | 1.55I 64.52%NM 60.85%EV -9.16%E -5.91%K -16.65%G +0.000% | 4.35I 22.99%NM 21.68%EV -3.12%E -0.717%K -0.931%G +0.000% | 6.0% | 2026-03-04 19:35 |
| Unibet (SE) | 5.40I 18.52%NM 17.47%EV +3.25%E +0.602%K +0.739%G +0.024% | 1.55I 64.52%NM 60.85%EV -9.16%E -5.91%K -16.65%G +0.000% | 4.35I 22.99%NM 21.68%EV -3.12%E -0.717%K -0.931%G +0.000% | 6.0% | 2026-03-04 19:35 |
| LeoVegas | 5.40I 18.52%NM 17.47%EV +3.25%E +0.602%K +0.739%G +0.024% | 1.55I 64.52%NM 60.85%EV -9.16%E -5.91%K -16.65%G +0.000% | 4.35I 22.99%NM 21.68%EV -3.12%E -0.717%K -0.931%G +0.000% | 6.0% | 2026-03-04 19:35 |
| Unibet (NL) | 5.40I 18.52%NM 17.47%EV +3.25%E +0.602%K +0.739%G +0.024% | 1.55I 64.52%NM 60.85%EV -9.16%E -5.91%K -16.65%G +0.000% | 4.35I 22.99%NM 21.68%EV -3.12%E -0.717%K -0.931%G +0.000% | 6.0% | 2026-03-04 19:35 |
| FanDuel | 5.30I 18.87%NM 17.64%EV +1.34%E +0.253%K +0.311%G +0.004% | 1.57I 63.69%NM 59.55%EV -7.99%E -5.09%K -14.01%G +0.000% | 4.10I 24.39%NM 22.80%EV -8.69%E -2.12%K -2.80%G +0.000% | 7.0% | 2026-03-04 19:50 |
| TABtouch | 5.30I 18.87%NM 17.55%EV +1.34%E +0.253%K +0.311%G +0.004% | 1.53I 65.36%NM 60.81%EV -10.33%E -6.75%K -19.49%G +0.000% | 4.30I 23.26%NM 21.64%EV -4.23%E -0.984%K -1.28%G +0.000% | 7.5% | 2026-03-04 19:35 |
| Grosvenor | 5.30I 18.87%NM 17.55%EV +1.34%E +0.253%K +0.311%G +0.004% | 1.53I 65.36%NM 60.81%EV -10.33%E -6.75%K -19.49%G +0.000% | 4.30I 23.26%NM 21.64%EV -4.23%E -0.984%K -1.28%G +0.000% | 7.5% | 2026-03-04 19:35 |
| Casumo | 5.30I 18.87%NM 17.55%EV +1.34%E +0.253%K +0.311%G +0.004% | 1.53I 65.36%NM 60.81%EV -10.33%E -6.75%K -19.49%G +0.000% | 4.30I 23.26%NM 21.64%EV -4.23%E -0.984%K -1.28%G +0.000% | 7.5% | 2026-03-04 19:35 |
| betPARX | 5.30I 18.87%NM 17.55%EV +1.34%E +0.253%K +0.311%G +0.004% | 1.53I 65.36%NM 60.81%EV -10.33%E -6.75%K -19.49%G +0.000% | 4.30I 23.26%NM 21.64%EV -4.23%E -0.984%K -1.28%G +0.000% | 7.5% | 2026-03-04 19:35 |
| BetRivers | 5.30I 18.87%NM 17.37%EV +1.34%E +0.253%K +0.311%G +0.004% | 1.51I 66.23%NM 60.97%EV -11.50%E -7.62%K -22.55%G +0.000% | 4.25I 23.53%NM 21.66%EV -5.35%E -1.26%K -1.64%G +0.000% | 8.6% | 2026-03-04 19:35 |
| LeoVegas (SE) | 5.25I 19.05%NM 17.51%EV +0.383%E +0.073%K +0.090%G +0.000% | 1.51I 66.23%NM 60.87%EV -11.50%E -7.62%K -22.55%G +0.000% | 4.25I 23.53%NM 21.63%EV -5.35%E -1.26%K -1.64%G +0.000% | 8.8% | 2026-03-04 19:35 |
| LiveScore Bet | 5.20I 19.23%NM 17.46%EV -0.573%E -0.110%K -0.136%G +0.000% | 1.49I 67.11%NM 60.93%EV -12.67%E -8.51%K -25.87%G +0.000% | 4.20I 23.81%NM 21.61%EV -6.46%E -1.54%K -2.02%G +0.000% | 10.2% | 2026-03-04 19:35 |
| Virgin Bet | 5.20I 19.23%NM 17.46%EV -0.573%E -0.110%K -0.136%G +0.000% | 1.49I 67.11%NM 60.93%EV -12.67%E -8.51%K -25.87%G +0.000% | 4.20I 23.81%NM 21.61%EV -6.46%E -1.54%K -2.02%G +0.000% | 10.2% | 2026-03-04 19:35 |
| Pinnacle | 5.17I 19.34%NM 18.67%EV -1.15%E -0.222%K -0.275%G +0.000% | 1.63I 61.35%NM 59.20%EV -4.47%E -2.74%K -7.09%G +0.000% | 4.36I 22.94%NM 22.13%EV -2.90%E -0.664%K -0.862%G +0.000% | 3.6% | 2026-03-04 19:50 |
| 1xBet | 5.13I 19.49%NM 18.73%EV -1.91%E -0.373%K -0.463%G +0.000% | 1.66I 60.24%NM 57.89%EV -2.71%E -1.63%K -4.11%G +0.000% | 4.11I 24.33%NM 23.38%EV -8.46%E -2.06%K -2.72%G +0.000% | 4.1% | 2026-03-04 19:50 |
| Marathon Bet | 5.05I 19.80%NM 18.45%EV -3.44%E -0.681%K -0.850%G +0.000% | 1.57I 63.69%NM 59.36%EV -7.99%E -5.09%K -14.01%G +0.000% | 4.20I 23.81%NM 22.19%EV -6.46%E -1.54%K -2.02%G +0.000% | 7.3% | 2026-03-04 19:30 |
| LowVig.ag | 5.00I 20.00%NM 19.15%EV -4.40%E -0.879%K -1.10%G +0.000% | 1.62I 61.73%NM 59.10%EV -5.06%E -3.12%K -8.15%G +0.000% | 4.40I 22.73%NM 21.76%EV -2.00%E -0.456%K -0.590%G +0.000% | 4.5% | 2026-03-04 19:35 |
| BetOnline.ag | 5.00I 20.00%NM 19.15%EV -4.40%E -0.879%K -1.10%G +0.000% | 1.62I 61.73%NM 59.10%EV -5.06%E -3.12%K -8.15%G +0.000% | 4.40I 22.73%NM 21.76%EV -2.00%E -0.456%K -0.590%G +0.000% | 4.5% | 2026-03-04 19:35 |
| Coolbet | 5.00I 20.00%NM 19.05%EV -4.40%E -0.879%K -1.10%G +0.000% | 1.62I 61.73%NM 58.80%EV -5.06%E -3.12%K -8.15%G +0.000% | 4.30I 23.26%NM 22.15%EV -4.23%E -0.984%K -1.28%G +0.000% | 5.0% | 2026-03-04 19:50 |
| Fanatics | 5.00I 20.00%NM 18.84%EV -4.40%E -0.879%K -1.10%G +0.000% | 1.59I 62.89%NM 59.25%EV -6.81%E -4.29%K -11.55%G +0.000% | 4.30I 23.26%NM 21.91%EV -4.23%E -0.984%K -1.28%G +0.000% | 6.1% | 2026-03-04 19:35 |
| Bet Victor | 5.00I 20.00%NM 18.81%EV -4.40%E -0.879%K -1.10%G +0.000% | 1.60I 62.50%NM 58.79%EV -6.23%E -3.89%K -10.38%G +0.000% | 4.20I 23.81%NM 22.40%EV -6.46%E -1.54%K -2.02%G +0.000% | 6.3% | 2026-03-04 19:26 |
| Everygame | 5.00I 20.00%NM 18.81%EV -4.40%E -0.879%K -1.10%G +0.000% | 1.60I 62.50%NM 58.79%EV -6.23%E -3.89%K -10.38%G +0.000% | 4.20I 23.81%NM 22.40%EV -6.46%E -1.54%K -2.02%G +0.000% | 6.3% | 2026-03-04 19:50 |
| Sky Bet | 5.00I 20.00%NM 18.73%EV -4.40%E -0.879%K -1.10%G +0.000% | 1.57I 63.69%NM 59.64%EV -7.99%E -5.09%K -14.01%G +0.000% | 4.33I 23.09%NM 21.63%EV -3.56%E -0.823%K -1.07%G +0.000% | 6.8% | 2026-03-04 19:50 |
| Paddy Power | 5.00I 20.00%NM 18.40%EV -4.40%E -0.879%K -1.10%G +0.000% | 1.57I 63.69%NM 58.60%EV -7.99%E -5.09%K -14.01%G +0.000% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 23.00%EV -10.91%E -2.73%K -3.64%G +0.000% | 8.7% | 2026-03-04 19:49 |
| SportsBet | 5.00I 20.00%NM 18.40%EV -4.40%E -0.879%K -1.10%G +0.000% | 1.57I 63.69%NM 58.60%EV -7.99%E -5.09%K -14.01%G +0.000% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 23.00%EV -10.91%E -2.73%K -3.64%G +0.000% | 8.7% | 2026-03-04 19:50 |
| Tipico (DE) | 5.00I 20.00%NM 18.36%EV -4.40%E -0.879%K -1.10%G +0.000% | 1.55I 64.52%NM 59.24%EV -9.16%E -5.91%K -16.65%G +0.000% | 4.10I 24.39%NM 22.40%EV -8.69%E -2.12%K -2.80%G +0.000% | 8.9% | 2026-03-04 19:35 |
| DraftKings | 4.90I 20.41%NM 19.26%EV -6.31%E -1.29%K -1.62%G +0.000% | 1.62I 61.73%NM 58.26%EV -5.06%E -3.12%K -8.15%G +0.000% | 4.20I 23.81%NM 22.47%EV -6.46%E -1.54%K -2.02%G +0.000% | 5.9% | 2026-03-04 19:30 |
| Unibet (UK) | 4.80I 20.83%NM 19.50%EV -8.22%E -1.71%K -2.16%G +0.000% | 1.60I 62.50%NM 58.49%EV -6.23%E -3.89%K -10.38%G +0.000% | 4.25I 23.53%NM 22.02%EV -5.35%E -1.26%K -1.64%G +0.000% | 6.9% | 2026-03-04 19:30 |
| Betr (AU) | 4.80I 20.83%NM 19.50%EV -8.22%E -1.71%K -2.16%G +0.000% | 1.60I 62.50%NM 58.49%EV -6.23%E -3.89%K -10.38%G +0.000% | 4.25I 23.53%NM 22.02%EV -5.35%E -1.26%K -1.64%G +0.000% | 6.9% | 2026-03-04 19:30 |
| William Hill | 4.80I 20.83%NM 19.37%EV -8.22%E -1.71%K -2.16%G +0.000% | 1.62I 61.73%NM 57.39%EV -5.06%E -3.12%K -8.15%G +0.000% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 23.24%EV -10.91%E -2.73%K -3.64%G +0.000% | 7.6% | 2026-03-04 19:35 |
| 888sport | 4.80I 20.83%NM 19.30%EV -8.22%E -1.71%K -2.16%G +0.000% | 1.61I 62.11%NM 57.54%EV -5.64%E -3.50%K -9.25%G +0.000% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 23.16%EV -10.91%E -2.73%K -3.64%G +0.000% | 7.9% | 2026-03-04 19:30 |
| Mr Green (SE) | 4.80I 20.83%NM 19.30%EV -8.22%E -1.71%K -2.16%G +0.000% | 1.61I 62.11%NM 57.54%EV -5.64%E -3.50%K -9.25%G +0.000% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 23.16%EV -10.91%E -2.73%K -3.64%G +0.000% | 7.9% | 2026-03-04 19:35 |
| 888sport (SE) | 4.80I 20.83%NM 19.30%EV -8.22%E -1.71%K -2.16%G +0.000% | 1.61I 62.11%NM 57.54%EV -5.64%E -3.50%K -9.25%G +0.000% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 23.16%EV -10.91%E -2.73%K -3.64%G +0.000% | 7.9% | 2026-03-04 19:35 |
| Bovada | 4.80I 20.83%NM 19.20%EV -8.22%E -1.71%K -2.16%G +0.000% | 1.58I 63.29%NM 58.32%EV -7.40%E -4.68%K -12.76%G +0.000% | 4.10I 24.39%NM 22.48%EV -8.69%E -2.12%K -2.80%G +0.000% | 8.5% | 2026-03-04 19:50 |
| BetUS | 4.80I 20.83%NM 19.20%EV -8.22%E -1.71%K -2.16%G +0.000% | 1.58I 63.29%NM 58.32%EV -7.40%E -4.68%K -12.76%G +0.000% | 4.10I 24.39%NM 22.48%EV -8.69%E -2.12%K -2.80%G +0.000% | 8.5% | 2026-03-04 19:50 |
| PointsBet (AU) | 4.75I 21.05%NM 19.80%EV -9.18%E -1.93%K -2.45%G +0.000% | 1.62I 61.73%NM 58.06%EV -5.06%E -3.12%K -8.15%G +0.000% | 4.25I 23.53%NM 22.13%EV -5.35%E -1.26%K -1.64%G +0.000% | 6.3% | 2026-03-04 19:30 |
| Betway | 4.75I 21.05%NM 19.68%EV -9.18%E -1.93%K -2.45%G +0.000% | 1.61I 62.11%NM 58.06%EV -5.64%E -3.50%K -9.25%G +0.000% | 4.20I 23.81%NM 22.26%EV -6.46%E -1.54%K -2.02%G +0.000% | 7.0% | 2026-03-04 19:30 |
| Bet Right | 4.75I 21.05%NM 19.61%EV -9.18%E -1.93%K -2.45%G +0.000% | 1.60I 62.50%NM 58.21%EV -6.23%E -3.89%K -10.38%G +0.000% | 4.20I 23.81%NM 22.18%EV -6.46%E -1.54%K -2.02%G +0.000% | 7.4% | 2026-03-04 19:30 |
| PlayUp | 4.75I 21.05%NM 19.50%EV -9.18%E -1.93%K -2.45%G +0.000% | 1.60I 62.50%NM 57.90%EV -6.23%E -3.89%K -10.38%G +0.000% | 4.10I 24.39%NM 22.60%EV -8.69%E -2.12%K -2.80%G +0.000% | 7.9% | 2026-03-04 19:45 |
| BoyleSports | 4.75I 21.05%NM 19.04%EV -9.18%E -1.93%K -2.45%G +0.000% | 1.55I 64.52%NM 58.35%EV -9.16%E -5.91%K -16.65%G +0.000% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 22.61%EV -10.91%E -2.73%K -3.64%G +0.000% | 10.6% | 2026-03-04 19:29 |
| Betsson | 4.70I 21.28%NM 19.87%EV -10.13%E -2.16%K -2.74%G +0.000% | 1.62I 61.73%NM 57.64%EV -5.06%E -3.12%K -8.15%G +0.000% | 4.15I 24.10%NM 22.50%EV -7.57%E -1.82%K -2.40%G +0.000% | 7.1% | 2026-03-04 19:45 |
| NordicBet | 4.70I 21.28%NM 19.87%EV -10.13%E -2.16%K -2.74%G +0.000% | 1.62I 61.73%NM 57.64%EV -5.06%E -3.12%K -8.15%G +0.000% | 4.15I 24.10%NM 22.50%EV -7.57%E -1.82%K -2.40%G +0.000% | 7.1% | 2026-03-04 19:45 |
| Ladbrokes (UK) | 4.60I 21.74%NM 20.33%EV -12.05%E -2.62%K -3.35%G +0.000% | 1.61I 62.11%NM 58.08%EV -5.64%E -3.50%K -9.25%G +0.000% | 4.33I 23.09%NM 21.59%EV -3.56%E -0.823%K -1.07%G +0.000% | 6.9% | 2026-03-04 19:30 |
| Coral | 4.60I 21.74%NM 20.33%EV -12.05%E -2.62%K -3.35%G +0.000% | 1.61I 62.11%NM 58.08%EV -5.64%E -3.50%K -9.25%G +0.000% | 4.33I 23.09%NM 21.59%EV -3.56%E -0.823%K -1.07%G +0.000% | 6.9% | 2026-03-04 19:30 |
| Ladbrokes (AU) | 4.60I 21.74%NM 20.32%EV -12.05%E -2.62%K -3.35%G +0.000% | 1.62I 61.73%NM 57.69%EV -5.06%E -3.12%K -8.15%G +0.000% | 4.25I 23.53%NM 21.99%EV -5.35%E -1.26%K -1.64%G +0.000% | 7.0% | 2026-03-04 19:30 |
| Neds | 4.60I 21.74%NM 20.32%EV -12.05%E -2.62%K -3.35%G +0.000% | 1.62I 61.73%NM 57.69%EV -5.06%E -3.12%K -8.15%G +0.000% | 4.25I 23.53%NM 21.99%EV -5.35%E -1.26%K -1.64%G +0.000% | 7.0% | 2026-03-04 19:30 |
| BetMGM | 4.60I 21.74%NM 20.26%EV -12.05%E -2.62%K -3.35%G +0.000% | 1.62I 61.73%NM 57.54%EV -5.06%E -3.12%K -8.15%G +0.000% | 4.20I 23.81%NM 22.19%EV -6.46%E -1.54%K -2.02%G +0.000% | 7.3% | 2026-03-04 19:30 |
| PMU (FR) | 4.60I 21.74%NM 18.13%EV -12.05%E -2.62%K -3.35%G +0.000% | 1.42I 70.42%NM 58.72%EV -16.78%E -11.81%K -39.95%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 23.16%EV -19.82%E -5.51%K -7.62%G +0.000% | 19.9% | 2026-03-04 19:55 |
| Codere (IT) | 4.50I 22.22%NM 20.18%EV -13.96%E -3.10%K -3.99%G +0.000% | 1.59I 62.89%NM 57.12%EV -6.81%E -4.29%K -11.55%G +0.000% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 22.70%EV -10.91%E -2.73%K -3.64%G +0.000% | 10.1% | 2026-03-04 19:55 |
| NetBet (FR) | 4.50I 22.22%NM 19.20%EV -13.96%E -3.10%K -3.99%G +0.000% | 1.48I 67.57%NM 58.37%EV -13.26%E -8.96%K -27.63%G +0.000% | 3.85I 25.97%NM 22.44%EV -14.25%E -3.70%K -5.00%G +0.000% | 15.8% | 2026-03-04 19:49 |
| Parions Sport (FR) | 4.40I 22.73%NM 20.06%EV -15.87%E -3.61%K -4.67%G +0.000% | 1.54I 64.94%NM 57.31%EV -9.74%E -6.33%K -18.04%G +0.000% | 3.90I 25.64%NM 22.63%EV -13.14%E -3.37%K -4.53%G +0.000% | 13.3% | 2026-03-04 19:55 |
Margen = Margen del corredor · I = Probabilidad implícita · NM = Probabilidad sin margen · EV = Valor esperado · E = Ventaja · K = Criterio de Kelly · G = Crecimiento del capital de apuestas
Actualizado indica cuándo actualizó cada corredor sus momios por última vez. Una hora anterior significa que los momios no han cambiado, no necesariamente que estén desactualizados. Por lo general se descartan los corredores de los que no se han recibido datos durante unos 15 minutos; solo cuando toda la fuente de un mercado deja de informar se conservan los últimos momios registrados.
Bolsas de apuestas (5)
| Corredor | Local | Visitante | Empate | Margen ▲ | Actualizado |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Betfair Exchange (AU) | 5.60I 17.86%NM 17.80% | 1.66I 60.24%NM 60.05% | 4.50I 22.22%NM 22.15% | 0.3% | 2026-03-04 19:55 |
| Betfair Exchange (EU) | 5.40I 18.52%NM 18.40% | 1.67I 59.88%NM 59.51% | 4.50I 22.22%NM 22.09% | 0.6% | 2026-03-04 19:55 |
| Betfair Exchange (UK) | 5.40I 18.52%NM 18.40% | 1.67I 59.88%NM 59.51% | 4.50I 22.22%NM 22.09% | 0.6% | 2026-03-04 19:55 |
| Smarkets | 5.50I 18.18%NM 18.07% | 1.66I 60.24%NM 59.85% | 4.50I 22.22%NM 22.08% | 0.6% | 2026-03-04 19:55 |
| Matchbook | 5.50I 18.18%NM 18.07% | 1.66I 60.24%NM 59.85% | 4.50I 22.22%NM 22.08% | 0.6% | 2026-03-04 19:55 |