L’École des cotesAberdeen v Celtic
Cotes de clôture — probabilités calculées et espérance mathématique obtenues, selon le modèle sélectionné, à partir des derniers prix enregistrés avant le coup d’envoi. Le match ayant commencé, il ne s’agit pas de valeurs en direct. Évaluer la fiabilité des prévisions probabilistes de chaque modèle sur l’ensemble des matchs réglés →
Résultat du match
Aberdeen (Local)
Prévision 19.12%5.23cote équitable
EV +3.25%
Avantage +0.602%
Kelly +0.739%
Croissance +0.024%
avec la cote maximale 5.40
Distribution des prévisions des opérateurs
17.37%19.07%19.11%20.33%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM
Distribution des cotes
4.404.965.005.4022.73%20.18%20.00%18.52%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM
Celtic (Visiteur)
Prévision 58.61%1.71cote équitable
EV -2.71%
Avantage -1.63%
Kelly -4.11%
Croissance +0.000%
avec la cote maximale 1.66
Distribution des prévisions des opérateurs
57.12%58.63%58.66%60.97%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM
Distribution des cotes
1.421.581.591.6670.42%63.44%62.89%60.24%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM
Match nul
Prévision 22.27%4.49cote équitable
EV -2.00%
Avantage -0.456%
Kelly -0.590%
Croissance +0.000%
avec la cote maximale 4.40
Distribution des prévisions des opérateurs
21.57%22.30%22.23%23.38%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM
Distribution des cotes
3.604.194.204.4027.78%23.88%23.81%22.73%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM
Cotes des opérateurs (53 opérateurs)
Nous ne sommes affiliés à aucun opérateur de paris et ne tirons aucun bénéfice des opérations réalisées auprès d’eux.
| Opérateur | Local ▼ | Visiteur | Match nul | Marge | Mise à jour |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| ATG (SE) | 5.40I 18.52%NM 17.58%EV +3.25%E +0.602%K +0.739%G +0.024% | 1.56I 64.10%NM 60.85%EV -8.57%E -5.49%K -15.31%G +0.000% | 4.40I 22.73%NM 21.57%EV -2.00%E -0.456%K -0.590%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-03-04 19:35 |
| Svenska Spel | 5.40I 18.52%NM 17.58%EV +3.25%E +0.602%K +0.739%G +0.024% | 1.56I 64.10%NM 60.85%EV -8.57%E -5.49%K -15.31%G +0.000% | 4.40I 22.73%NM 21.57%EV -2.00%E -0.456%K -0.590%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-03-04 19:35 |
| Unibet | 5.40I 18.52%NM 17.47%EV +3.25%E +0.602%K +0.739%G +0.024% | 1.55I 64.52%NM 60.85%EV -9.16%E -5.91%K -16.65%G +0.000% | 4.35I 22.99%NM 21.68%EV -3.12%E -0.717%K -0.931%G +0.000% | 6.0% | 2026-03-04 19:35 |
| Unibet (SE) | 5.40I 18.52%NM 17.47%EV +3.25%E +0.602%K +0.739%G +0.024% | 1.55I 64.52%NM 60.85%EV -9.16%E -5.91%K -16.65%G +0.000% | 4.35I 22.99%NM 21.68%EV -3.12%E -0.717%K -0.931%G +0.000% | 6.0% | 2026-03-04 19:35 |
| LeoVegas | 5.40I 18.52%NM 17.47%EV +3.25%E +0.602%K +0.739%G +0.024% | 1.55I 64.52%NM 60.85%EV -9.16%E -5.91%K -16.65%G +0.000% | 4.35I 22.99%NM 21.68%EV -3.12%E -0.717%K -0.931%G +0.000% | 6.0% | 2026-03-04 19:35 |
| Unibet (NL) | 5.40I 18.52%NM 17.47%EV +3.25%E +0.602%K +0.739%G +0.024% | 1.55I 64.52%NM 60.85%EV -9.16%E -5.91%K -16.65%G +0.000% | 4.35I 22.99%NM 21.68%EV -3.12%E -0.717%K -0.931%G +0.000% | 6.0% | 2026-03-04 19:35 |
| FanDuel | 5.30I 18.87%NM 17.64%EV +1.34%E +0.253%K +0.311%G +0.004% | 1.57I 63.69%NM 59.55%EV -7.99%E -5.09%K -14.01%G +0.000% | 4.10I 24.39%NM 22.80%EV -8.69%E -2.12%K -2.80%G +0.000% | 7.0% | 2026-03-04 19:50 |
| TABtouch | 5.30I 18.87%NM 17.55%EV +1.34%E +0.253%K +0.311%G +0.004% | 1.53I 65.36%NM 60.81%EV -10.33%E -6.75%K -19.49%G +0.000% | 4.30I 23.26%NM 21.64%EV -4.23%E -0.984%K -1.28%G +0.000% | 7.5% | 2026-03-04 19:35 |
| Grosvenor | 5.30I 18.87%NM 17.55%EV +1.34%E +0.253%K +0.311%G +0.004% | 1.53I 65.36%NM 60.81%EV -10.33%E -6.75%K -19.49%G +0.000% | 4.30I 23.26%NM 21.64%EV -4.23%E -0.984%K -1.28%G +0.000% | 7.5% | 2026-03-04 19:35 |
| Casumo | 5.30I 18.87%NM 17.55%EV +1.34%E +0.253%K +0.311%G +0.004% | 1.53I 65.36%NM 60.81%EV -10.33%E -6.75%K -19.49%G +0.000% | 4.30I 23.26%NM 21.64%EV -4.23%E -0.984%K -1.28%G +0.000% | 7.5% | 2026-03-04 19:35 |
| betPARX | 5.30I 18.87%NM 17.55%EV +1.34%E +0.253%K +0.311%G +0.004% | 1.53I 65.36%NM 60.81%EV -10.33%E -6.75%K -19.49%G +0.000% | 4.30I 23.26%NM 21.64%EV -4.23%E -0.984%K -1.28%G +0.000% | 7.5% | 2026-03-04 19:35 |
| BetRivers | 5.30I 18.87%NM 17.37%EV +1.34%E +0.253%K +0.311%G +0.004% | 1.51I 66.23%NM 60.97%EV -11.50%E -7.62%K -22.55%G +0.000% | 4.25I 23.53%NM 21.66%EV -5.35%E -1.26%K -1.64%G +0.000% | 8.6% | 2026-03-04 19:35 |
| LeoVegas (SE) | 5.25I 19.05%NM 17.51%EV +0.383%E +0.073%K +0.090%G +0.000% | 1.51I 66.23%NM 60.87%EV -11.50%E -7.62%K -22.55%G +0.000% | 4.25I 23.53%NM 21.63%EV -5.35%E -1.26%K -1.64%G +0.000% | 8.8% | 2026-03-04 19:35 |
| LiveScore Bet | 5.20I 19.23%NM 17.46%EV -0.573%E -0.110%K -0.136%G +0.000% | 1.49I 67.11%NM 60.93%EV -12.67%E -8.51%K -25.87%G +0.000% | 4.20I 23.81%NM 21.61%EV -6.46%E -1.54%K -2.02%G +0.000% | 10.2% | 2026-03-04 19:35 |
| Virgin Bet | 5.20I 19.23%NM 17.46%EV -0.573%E -0.110%K -0.136%G +0.000% | 1.49I 67.11%NM 60.93%EV -12.67%E -8.51%K -25.87%G +0.000% | 4.20I 23.81%NM 21.61%EV -6.46%E -1.54%K -2.02%G +0.000% | 10.2% | 2026-03-04 19:35 |
| Pinnacle | 5.17I 19.34%NM 18.67%EV -1.15%E -0.222%K -0.275%G +0.000% | 1.63I 61.35%NM 59.20%EV -4.47%E -2.74%K -7.09%G +0.000% | 4.36I 22.94%NM 22.13%EV -2.90%E -0.664%K -0.862%G +0.000% | 3.6% | 2026-03-04 19:50 |
| 1xBet | 5.13I 19.49%NM 18.73%EV -1.91%E -0.373%K -0.463%G +0.000% | 1.66I 60.24%NM 57.89%EV -2.71%E -1.63%K -4.11%G +0.000% | 4.11I 24.33%NM 23.38%EV -8.46%E -2.06%K -2.72%G +0.000% | 4.1% | 2026-03-04 19:50 |
| Marathon Bet | 5.05I 19.80%NM 18.45%EV -3.44%E -0.681%K -0.850%G +0.000% | 1.57I 63.69%NM 59.36%EV -7.99%E -5.09%K -14.01%G +0.000% | 4.20I 23.81%NM 22.19%EV -6.46%E -1.54%K -2.02%G +0.000% | 7.3% | 2026-03-04 19:30 |
| LowVig.ag | 5.00I 20.00%NM 19.15%EV -4.40%E -0.879%K -1.10%G +0.000% | 1.62I 61.73%NM 59.10%EV -5.06%E -3.12%K -8.15%G +0.000% | 4.40I 22.73%NM 21.76%EV -2.00%E -0.456%K -0.590%G +0.000% | 4.5% | 2026-03-04 19:35 |
| BetOnline.ag | 5.00I 20.00%NM 19.15%EV -4.40%E -0.879%K -1.10%G +0.000% | 1.62I 61.73%NM 59.10%EV -5.06%E -3.12%K -8.15%G +0.000% | 4.40I 22.73%NM 21.76%EV -2.00%E -0.456%K -0.590%G +0.000% | 4.5% | 2026-03-04 19:35 |
| Coolbet | 5.00I 20.00%NM 19.05%EV -4.40%E -0.879%K -1.10%G +0.000% | 1.62I 61.73%NM 58.80%EV -5.06%E -3.12%K -8.15%G +0.000% | 4.30I 23.26%NM 22.15%EV -4.23%E -0.984%K -1.28%G +0.000% | 5.0% | 2026-03-04 19:50 |
| Fanatics | 5.00I 20.00%NM 18.84%EV -4.40%E -0.879%K -1.10%G +0.000% | 1.59I 62.89%NM 59.25%EV -6.81%E -4.29%K -11.55%G +0.000% | 4.30I 23.26%NM 21.91%EV -4.23%E -0.984%K -1.28%G +0.000% | 6.1% | 2026-03-04 19:35 |
| Bet Victor | 5.00I 20.00%NM 18.81%EV -4.40%E -0.879%K -1.10%G +0.000% | 1.60I 62.50%NM 58.79%EV -6.23%E -3.89%K -10.38%G +0.000% | 4.20I 23.81%NM 22.40%EV -6.46%E -1.54%K -2.02%G +0.000% | 6.3% | 2026-03-04 19:26 |
| Everygame | 5.00I 20.00%NM 18.81%EV -4.40%E -0.879%K -1.10%G +0.000% | 1.60I 62.50%NM 58.79%EV -6.23%E -3.89%K -10.38%G +0.000% | 4.20I 23.81%NM 22.40%EV -6.46%E -1.54%K -2.02%G +0.000% | 6.3% | 2026-03-04 19:50 |
| Sky Bet | 5.00I 20.00%NM 18.73%EV -4.40%E -0.879%K -1.10%G +0.000% | 1.57I 63.69%NM 59.64%EV -7.99%E -5.09%K -14.01%G +0.000% | 4.33I 23.09%NM 21.63%EV -3.56%E -0.823%K -1.07%G +0.000% | 6.8% | 2026-03-04 19:50 |
| Paddy Power | 5.00I 20.00%NM 18.40%EV -4.40%E -0.879%K -1.10%G +0.000% | 1.57I 63.69%NM 58.60%EV -7.99%E -5.09%K -14.01%G +0.000% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 23.00%EV -10.91%E -2.73%K -3.64%G +0.000% | 8.7% | 2026-03-04 19:49 |
| SportsBet | 5.00I 20.00%NM 18.40%EV -4.40%E -0.879%K -1.10%G +0.000% | 1.57I 63.69%NM 58.60%EV -7.99%E -5.09%K -14.01%G +0.000% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 23.00%EV -10.91%E -2.73%K -3.64%G +0.000% | 8.7% | 2026-03-04 19:50 |
| Tipico (DE) | 5.00I 20.00%NM 18.36%EV -4.40%E -0.879%K -1.10%G +0.000% | 1.55I 64.52%NM 59.24%EV -9.16%E -5.91%K -16.65%G +0.000% | 4.10I 24.39%NM 22.40%EV -8.69%E -2.12%K -2.80%G +0.000% | 8.9% | 2026-03-04 19:35 |
| DraftKings | 4.90I 20.41%NM 19.26%EV -6.31%E -1.29%K -1.62%G +0.000% | 1.62I 61.73%NM 58.26%EV -5.06%E -3.12%K -8.15%G +0.000% | 4.20I 23.81%NM 22.47%EV -6.46%E -1.54%K -2.02%G +0.000% | 5.9% | 2026-03-04 19:30 |
| Unibet (UK) | 4.80I 20.83%NM 19.50%EV -8.22%E -1.71%K -2.16%G +0.000% | 1.60I 62.50%NM 58.49%EV -6.23%E -3.89%K -10.38%G +0.000% | 4.25I 23.53%NM 22.02%EV -5.35%E -1.26%K -1.64%G +0.000% | 6.9% | 2026-03-04 19:30 |
| Betr (AU) | 4.80I 20.83%NM 19.50%EV -8.22%E -1.71%K -2.16%G +0.000% | 1.60I 62.50%NM 58.49%EV -6.23%E -3.89%K -10.38%G +0.000% | 4.25I 23.53%NM 22.02%EV -5.35%E -1.26%K -1.64%G +0.000% | 6.9% | 2026-03-04 19:30 |
| William Hill | 4.80I 20.83%NM 19.37%EV -8.22%E -1.71%K -2.16%G +0.000% | 1.62I 61.73%NM 57.39%EV -5.06%E -3.12%K -8.15%G +0.000% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 23.24%EV -10.91%E -2.73%K -3.64%G +0.000% | 7.6% | 2026-03-04 19:35 |
| 888sport | 4.80I 20.83%NM 19.30%EV -8.22%E -1.71%K -2.16%G +0.000% | 1.61I 62.11%NM 57.54%EV -5.64%E -3.50%K -9.25%G +0.000% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 23.16%EV -10.91%E -2.73%K -3.64%G +0.000% | 7.9% | 2026-03-04 19:30 |
| Mr Green (SE) | 4.80I 20.83%NM 19.30%EV -8.22%E -1.71%K -2.16%G +0.000% | 1.61I 62.11%NM 57.54%EV -5.64%E -3.50%K -9.25%G +0.000% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 23.16%EV -10.91%E -2.73%K -3.64%G +0.000% | 7.9% | 2026-03-04 19:35 |
| 888sport (SE) | 4.80I 20.83%NM 19.30%EV -8.22%E -1.71%K -2.16%G +0.000% | 1.61I 62.11%NM 57.54%EV -5.64%E -3.50%K -9.25%G +0.000% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 23.16%EV -10.91%E -2.73%K -3.64%G +0.000% | 7.9% | 2026-03-04 19:35 |
| Bovada | 4.80I 20.83%NM 19.20%EV -8.22%E -1.71%K -2.16%G +0.000% | 1.58I 63.29%NM 58.32%EV -7.40%E -4.68%K -12.76%G +0.000% | 4.10I 24.39%NM 22.48%EV -8.69%E -2.12%K -2.80%G +0.000% | 8.5% | 2026-03-04 19:50 |
| BetUS | 4.80I 20.83%NM 19.20%EV -8.22%E -1.71%K -2.16%G +0.000% | 1.58I 63.29%NM 58.32%EV -7.40%E -4.68%K -12.76%G +0.000% | 4.10I 24.39%NM 22.48%EV -8.69%E -2.12%K -2.80%G +0.000% | 8.5% | 2026-03-04 19:50 |
| PointsBet (AU) | 4.75I 21.05%NM 19.80%EV -9.18%E -1.93%K -2.45%G +0.000% | 1.62I 61.73%NM 58.06%EV -5.06%E -3.12%K -8.15%G +0.000% | 4.25I 23.53%NM 22.13%EV -5.35%E -1.26%K -1.64%G +0.000% | 6.3% | 2026-03-04 19:30 |
| Betway | 4.75I 21.05%NM 19.68%EV -9.18%E -1.93%K -2.45%G +0.000% | 1.61I 62.11%NM 58.06%EV -5.64%E -3.50%K -9.25%G +0.000% | 4.20I 23.81%NM 22.26%EV -6.46%E -1.54%K -2.02%G +0.000% | 7.0% | 2026-03-04 19:30 |
| Bet Right | 4.75I 21.05%NM 19.61%EV -9.18%E -1.93%K -2.45%G +0.000% | 1.60I 62.50%NM 58.21%EV -6.23%E -3.89%K -10.38%G +0.000% | 4.20I 23.81%NM 22.18%EV -6.46%E -1.54%K -2.02%G +0.000% | 7.4% | 2026-03-04 19:30 |
| PlayUp | 4.75I 21.05%NM 19.50%EV -9.18%E -1.93%K -2.45%G +0.000% | 1.60I 62.50%NM 57.90%EV -6.23%E -3.89%K -10.38%G +0.000% | 4.10I 24.39%NM 22.60%EV -8.69%E -2.12%K -2.80%G +0.000% | 7.9% | 2026-03-04 19:45 |
| BoyleSports | 4.75I 21.05%NM 19.04%EV -9.18%E -1.93%K -2.45%G +0.000% | 1.55I 64.52%NM 58.35%EV -9.16%E -5.91%K -16.65%G +0.000% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 22.61%EV -10.91%E -2.73%K -3.64%G +0.000% | 10.6% | 2026-03-04 19:29 |
| Betsson | 4.70I 21.28%NM 19.87%EV -10.13%E -2.16%K -2.74%G +0.000% | 1.62I 61.73%NM 57.64%EV -5.06%E -3.12%K -8.15%G +0.000% | 4.15I 24.10%NM 22.50%EV -7.57%E -1.82%K -2.40%G +0.000% | 7.1% | 2026-03-04 19:45 |
| NordicBet | 4.70I 21.28%NM 19.87%EV -10.13%E -2.16%K -2.74%G +0.000% | 1.62I 61.73%NM 57.64%EV -5.06%E -3.12%K -8.15%G +0.000% | 4.15I 24.10%NM 22.50%EV -7.57%E -1.82%K -2.40%G +0.000% | 7.1% | 2026-03-04 19:45 |
| Ladbrokes (UK) | 4.60I 21.74%NM 20.33%EV -12.05%E -2.62%K -3.35%G +0.000% | 1.61I 62.11%NM 58.08%EV -5.64%E -3.50%K -9.25%G +0.000% | 4.33I 23.09%NM 21.59%EV -3.56%E -0.823%K -1.07%G +0.000% | 6.9% | 2026-03-04 19:30 |
| Coral | 4.60I 21.74%NM 20.33%EV -12.05%E -2.62%K -3.35%G +0.000% | 1.61I 62.11%NM 58.08%EV -5.64%E -3.50%K -9.25%G +0.000% | 4.33I 23.09%NM 21.59%EV -3.56%E -0.823%K -1.07%G +0.000% | 6.9% | 2026-03-04 19:30 |
| Ladbrokes (AU) | 4.60I 21.74%NM 20.32%EV -12.05%E -2.62%K -3.35%G +0.000% | 1.62I 61.73%NM 57.69%EV -5.06%E -3.12%K -8.15%G +0.000% | 4.25I 23.53%NM 21.99%EV -5.35%E -1.26%K -1.64%G +0.000% | 7.0% | 2026-03-04 19:30 |
| Neds | 4.60I 21.74%NM 20.32%EV -12.05%E -2.62%K -3.35%G +0.000% | 1.62I 61.73%NM 57.69%EV -5.06%E -3.12%K -8.15%G +0.000% | 4.25I 23.53%NM 21.99%EV -5.35%E -1.26%K -1.64%G +0.000% | 7.0% | 2026-03-04 19:30 |
| BetMGM | 4.60I 21.74%NM 20.26%EV -12.05%E -2.62%K -3.35%G +0.000% | 1.62I 61.73%NM 57.54%EV -5.06%E -3.12%K -8.15%G +0.000% | 4.20I 23.81%NM 22.19%EV -6.46%E -1.54%K -2.02%G +0.000% | 7.3% | 2026-03-04 19:30 |
| PMU (FR) | 4.60I 21.74%NM 18.13%EV -12.05%E -2.62%K -3.35%G +0.000% | 1.42I 70.42%NM 58.72%EV -16.78%E -11.81%K -39.95%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 23.16%EV -19.82%E -5.51%K -7.62%G +0.000% | 19.9% | 2026-03-04 19:55 |
| Codere (IT) | 4.50I 22.22%NM 20.18%EV -13.96%E -3.10%K -3.99%G +0.000% | 1.59I 62.89%NM 57.12%EV -6.81%E -4.29%K -11.55%G +0.000% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 22.70%EV -10.91%E -2.73%K -3.64%G +0.000% | 10.1% | 2026-03-04 19:55 |
| NetBet (FR) | 4.50I 22.22%NM 19.20%EV -13.96%E -3.10%K -3.99%G +0.000% | 1.48I 67.57%NM 58.37%EV -13.26%E -8.96%K -27.63%G +0.000% | 3.85I 25.97%NM 22.44%EV -14.25%E -3.70%K -5.00%G +0.000% | 15.8% | 2026-03-04 19:49 |
| Parions Sport (FR) | 4.40I 22.73%NM 20.06%EV -15.87%E -3.61%K -4.67%G +0.000% | 1.54I 64.94%NM 57.31%EV -9.74%E -6.33%K -18.04%G +0.000% | 3.90I 25.64%NM 22.63%EV -13.14%E -3.37%K -4.53%G +0.000% | 13.3% | 2026-03-04 19:55 |
Marge = Marge · I = Probabilité implicite · NM = Probabilité sans marge · EV = Espérance mathématique · E = Avantage · K = Critère de Kelly · G = Croissance du capital de jeu
Mise à jour indique le dernier changement de prix de chaque opérateur. Une heure ancienne signifie donc seulement que la cote n’a pas bougé, et non qu’elle est périmée. Les opérateurs absents du flux depuis environ 15 minutes sont normalement écartés ; les derniers prix enregistrés ne sont conservés que si le flux de tout le marché devient silencieux.
Plateformes d’échange (5)
| Opérateur | Local | Visiteur | Match nul | Marge ▲ | Mise à jour |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Betfair Exchange (AU) | 5.60I 17.86%NM 17.80% | 1.66I 60.24%NM 60.05% | 4.50I 22.22%NM 22.15% | 0.3% | 2026-03-04 19:55 |
| Betfair Exchange (EU) | 5.40I 18.52%NM 18.40% | 1.67I 59.88%NM 59.51% | 4.50I 22.22%NM 22.09% | 0.6% | 2026-03-04 19:55 |
| Betfair Exchange (UK) | 5.40I 18.52%NM 18.40% | 1.67I 59.88%NM 59.51% | 4.50I 22.22%NM 22.09% | 0.6% | 2026-03-04 19:55 |
| Smarkets | 5.50I 18.18%NM 18.07% | 1.66I 60.24%NM 59.85% | 4.50I 22.22%NM 22.08% | 0.6% | 2026-03-04 19:55 |
| Matchbook | 5.50I 18.18%NM 18.07% | 1.66I 60.24%NM 59.85% | 4.50I 22.22%NM 22.08% | 0.6% | 2026-03-04 19:55 |