مدرسة الاحتمالات

Aberdeen v Celtic

البداية: 2026-03-04 20:00 UTC

أسعار الإغلاق — الاحتمالات والقيمة المتوقعة المحسوبة من آخر الأسعار المسجلة قبل البداية وفق النموذج المحدد. بدأت المباراة، لذا فهذه ليست أرقامًا مباشرة. قيّم موثوقية التنبؤات الاحتمالية لكل نموذج بمقارنتها بنتائج جميع المباريات المحسومة →

نتيجة المباراة

53 شركة مراهنات (18 في التحليل )

الاحتمال المقدّر لكل نتيجة وفق النموذج: IQM

Aberdeen (المضيف)

التنبؤ 19.12%5.23السعر العادل
EV +3.25%
الأفضلية +0.602%
Kelly +0.739%
النمو +0.024%

بافتراض سعر أقصى قدره 5.40

توزيع تنبؤات شركات المراهنات
17.37%19.07%19.11%20.33%MINالمتوسطالوسيطMAX
توزيع الأسعار
4.404.965.005.4022.73%20.18%20.00%18.52%MINالمتوسطالوسيطMAX

Celtic (الضيف)

التنبؤ 58.61%1.71السعر العادل
EV -2.71%
الأفضلية -1.63%
Kelly -4.11%
النمو +0.000%

بافتراض سعر أقصى قدره 1.66

توزيع تنبؤات شركات المراهنات
57.12%58.63%58.66%60.97%MINالمتوسطالوسيطMAX
توزيع الأسعار
1.421.581.591.6670.42%63.44%62.89%60.24%MINالمتوسطالوسيطMAX

تعادل

التنبؤ 22.27%4.49السعر العادل
EV -2.00%
الأفضلية -0.456%
Kelly -0.590%
النمو +0.000%

بافتراض سعر أقصى قدره 4.40

توزيع تنبؤات شركات المراهنات
21.57%22.30%22.23%23.38%MINالمتوسطالوسيطMAX
توزيع الأسعار
3.604.194.204.4027.78%23.88%23.81%22.73%MINالمتوسطالوسيطMAX

أسعار شركات المراهنات (53 شركة مراهنات)

لسنا تابعين لأي شركة مراهنات، ولا نحقق أي عائد من الرهانات أو المعاملات التي تُجرى لديها.

شركة المراهناتالمضيف ▼الضيفتعادلالهامشآخر تحديث
ATG (SE)5.40I 18.52%NM 17.58%EV +3.25%E +0.602%K +0.739%G +0.024%1.56I 64.10%NM 60.85%EV -8.57%E -5.49%K -15.31%G +0.000%4.40I 22.73%NM 21.57%EV -2.00%E -0.456%K -0.590%G +0.000%5.3%2026-03-04 19:35
Svenska Spel5.40I 18.52%NM 17.58%EV +3.25%E +0.602%K +0.739%G +0.024%1.56I 64.10%NM 60.85%EV -8.57%E -5.49%K -15.31%G +0.000%4.40I 22.73%NM 21.57%EV -2.00%E -0.456%K -0.590%G +0.000%5.3%2026-03-04 19:35
Unibet5.40I 18.52%NM 17.47%EV +3.25%E +0.602%K +0.739%G +0.024%1.55I 64.52%NM 60.85%EV -9.16%E -5.91%K -16.65%G +0.000%4.35I 22.99%NM 21.68%EV -3.12%E -0.717%K -0.931%G +0.000%6.0%2026-03-04 19:35
Unibet (SE)5.40I 18.52%NM 17.47%EV +3.25%E +0.602%K +0.739%G +0.024%1.55I 64.52%NM 60.85%EV -9.16%E -5.91%K -16.65%G +0.000%4.35I 22.99%NM 21.68%EV -3.12%E -0.717%K -0.931%G +0.000%6.0%2026-03-04 19:35
LeoVegas5.40I 18.52%NM 17.47%EV +3.25%E +0.602%K +0.739%G +0.024%1.55I 64.52%NM 60.85%EV -9.16%E -5.91%K -16.65%G +0.000%4.35I 22.99%NM 21.68%EV -3.12%E -0.717%K -0.931%G +0.000%6.0%2026-03-04 19:35
Unibet (NL)5.40I 18.52%NM 17.47%EV +3.25%E +0.602%K +0.739%G +0.024%1.55I 64.52%NM 60.85%EV -9.16%E -5.91%K -16.65%G +0.000%4.35I 22.99%NM 21.68%EV -3.12%E -0.717%K -0.931%G +0.000%6.0%2026-03-04 19:35
FanDuel5.30I 18.87%NM 17.64%EV +1.34%E +0.253%K +0.311%G +0.004%1.57I 63.69%NM 59.55%EV -7.99%E -5.09%K -14.01%G +0.000%4.10I 24.39%NM 22.80%EV -8.69%E -2.12%K -2.80%G +0.000%7.0%2026-03-04 19:50
TABtouch5.30I 18.87%NM 17.55%EV +1.34%E +0.253%K +0.311%G +0.004%1.53I 65.36%NM 60.81%EV -10.33%E -6.75%K -19.49%G +0.000%4.30I 23.26%NM 21.64%EV -4.23%E -0.984%K -1.28%G +0.000%7.5%2026-03-04 19:35
Grosvenor5.30I 18.87%NM 17.55%EV +1.34%E +0.253%K +0.311%G +0.004%1.53I 65.36%NM 60.81%EV -10.33%E -6.75%K -19.49%G +0.000%4.30I 23.26%NM 21.64%EV -4.23%E -0.984%K -1.28%G +0.000%7.5%2026-03-04 19:35
Casumo5.30I 18.87%NM 17.55%EV +1.34%E +0.253%K +0.311%G +0.004%1.53I 65.36%NM 60.81%EV -10.33%E -6.75%K -19.49%G +0.000%4.30I 23.26%NM 21.64%EV -4.23%E -0.984%K -1.28%G +0.000%7.5%2026-03-04 19:35
betPARX5.30I 18.87%NM 17.55%EV +1.34%E +0.253%K +0.311%G +0.004%1.53I 65.36%NM 60.81%EV -10.33%E -6.75%K -19.49%G +0.000%4.30I 23.26%NM 21.64%EV -4.23%E -0.984%K -1.28%G +0.000%7.5%2026-03-04 19:35
BetRivers5.30I 18.87%NM 17.37%EV +1.34%E +0.253%K +0.311%G +0.004%1.51I 66.23%NM 60.97%EV -11.50%E -7.62%K -22.55%G +0.000%4.25I 23.53%NM 21.66%EV -5.35%E -1.26%K -1.64%G +0.000%8.6%2026-03-04 19:35
LeoVegas (SE)5.25I 19.05%NM 17.51%EV +0.383%E +0.073%K +0.090%G +0.000%1.51I 66.23%NM 60.87%EV -11.50%E -7.62%K -22.55%G +0.000%4.25I 23.53%NM 21.63%EV -5.35%E -1.26%K -1.64%G +0.000%8.8%2026-03-04 19:35
LiveScore Bet5.20I 19.23%NM 17.46%EV -0.573%E -0.110%K -0.136%G +0.000%1.49I 67.11%NM 60.93%EV -12.67%E -8.51%K -25.87%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 21.61%EV -6.46%E -1.54%K -2.02%G +0.000%10.2%2026-03-04 19:35
Virgin Bet5.20I 19.23%NM 17.46%EV -0.573%E -0.110%K -0.136%G +0.000%1.49I 67.11%NM 60.93%EV -12.67%E -8.51%K -25.87%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 21.61%EV -6.46%E -1.54%K -2.02%G +0.000%10.2%2026-03-04 19:35
Pinnacle5.17I 19.34%NM 18.67%EV -1.15%E -0.222%K -0.275%G +0.000%1.63I 61.35%NM 59.20%EV -4.47%E -2.74%K -7.09%G +0.000%4.36I 22.94%NM 22.13%EV -2.90%E -0.664%K -0.862%G +0.000%3.6%2026-03-04 19:50
1xBet5.13I 19.49%NM 18.73%EV -1.91%E -0.373%K -0.463%G +0.000%1.66I 60.24%NM 57.89%EV -2.71%E -1.63%K -4.11%G +0.000%4.11I 24.33%NM 23.38%EV -8.46%E -2.06%K -2.72%G +0.000%4.1%2026-03-04 19:50
Marathon Bet5.05I 19.80%NM 18.45%EV -3.44%E -0.681%K -0.850%G +0.000%1.57I 63.69%NM 59.36%EV -7.99%E -5.09%K -14.01%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 22.19%EV -6.46%E -1.54%K -2.02%G +0.000%7.3%2026-03-04 19:30
LowVig.ag5.00I 20.00%NM 19.15%EV -4.40%E -0.879%K -1.10%G +0.000%1.62I 61.73%NM 59.10%EV -5.06%E -3.12%K -8.15%G +0.000%4.40I 22.73%NM 21.76%EV -2.00%E -0.456%K -0.590%G +0.000%4.5%2026-03-04 19:35
BetOnline.ag5.00I 20.00%NM 19.15%EV -4.40%E -0.879%K -1.10%G +0.000%1.62I 61.73%NM 59.10%EV -5.06%E -3.12%K -8.15%G +0.000%4.40I 22.73%NM 21.76%EV -2.00%E -0.456%K -0.590%G +0.000%4.5%2026-03-04 19:35
Coolbet5.00I 20.00%NM 19.05%EV -4.40%E -0.879%K -1.10%G +0.000%1.62I 61.73%NM 58.80%EV -5.06%E -3.12%K -8.15%G +0.000%4.30I 23.26%NM 22.15%EV -4.23%E -0.984%K -1.28%G +0.000%5.0%2026-03-04 19:50
Fanatics5.00I 20.00%NM 18.84%EV -4.40%E -0.879%K -1.10%G +0.000%1.59I 62.89%NM 59.25%EV -6.81%E -4.29%K -11.55%G +0.000%4.30I 23.26%NM 21.91%EV -4.23%E -0.984%K -1.28%G +0.000%6.1%2026-03-04 19:35
Bet Victor5.00I 20.00%NM 18.81%EV -4.40%E -0.879%K -1.10%G +0.000%1.60I 62.50%NM 58.79%EV -6.23%E -3.89%K -10.38%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 22.40%EV -6.46%E -1.54%K -2.02%G +0.000%6.3%2026-03-04 19:26
Everygame5.00I 20.00%NM 18.81%EV -4.40%E -0.879%K -1.10%G +0.000%1.60I 62.50%NM 58.79%EV -6.23%E -3.89%K -10.38%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 22.40%EV -6.46%E -1.54%K -2.02%G +0.000%6.3%2026-03-04 19:50
Sky Bet5.00I 20.00%NM 18.73%EV -4.40%E -0.879%K -1.10%G +0.000%1.57I 63.69%NM 59.64%EV -7.99%E -5.09%K -14.01%G +0.000%4.33I 23.09%NM 21.63%EV -3.56%E -0.823%K -1.07%G +0.000%6.8%2026-03-04 19:50
Paddy Power5.00I 20.00%NM 18.40%EV -4.40%E -0.879%K -1.10%G +0.000%1.57I 63.69%NM 58.60%EV -7.99%E -5.09%K -14.01%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.00%EV -10.91%E -2.73%K -3.64%G +0.000%8.7%2026-03-04 19:49
SportsBet5.00I 20.00%NM 18.40%EV -4.40%E -0.879%K -1.10%G +0.000%1.57I 63.69%NM 58.60%EV -7.99%E -5.09%K -14.01%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.00%EV -10.91%E -2.73%K -3.64%G +0.000%8.7%2026-03-04 19:50
Tipico (DE)5.00I 20.00%NM 18.36%EV -4.40%E -0.879%K -1.10%G +0.000%1.55I 64.52%NM 59.24%EV -9.16%E -5.91%K -16.65%G +0.000%4.10I 24.39%NM 22.40%EV -8.69%E -2.12%K -2.80%G +0.000%8.9%2026-03-04 19:35
DraftKings4.90I 20.41%NM 19.26%EV -6.31%E -1.29%K -1.62%G +0.000%1.62I 61.73%NM 58.26%EV -5.06%E -3.12%K -8.15%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 22.47%EV -6.46%E -1.54%K -2.02%G +0.000%5.9%2026-03-04 19:30
Unibet (UK)4.80I 20.83%NM 19.50%EV -8.22%E -1.71%K -2.16%G +0.000%1.60I 62.50%NM 58.49%EV -6.23%E -3.89%K -10.38%G +0.000%4.25I 23.53%NM 22.02%EV -5.35%E -1.26%K -1.64%G +0.000%6.9%2026-03-04 19:30
Betr (AU)4.80I 20.83%NM 19.50%EV -8.22%E -1.71%K -2.16%G +0.000%1.60I 62.50%NM 58.49%EV -6.23%E -3.89%K -10.38%G +0.000%4.25I 23.53%NM 22.02%EV -5.35%E -1.26%K -1.64%G +0.000%6.9%2026-03-04 19:30
William Hill4.80I 20.83%NM 19.37%EV -8.22%E -1.71%K -2.16%G +0.000%1.62I 61.73%NM 57.39%EV -5.06%E -3.12%K -8.15%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.24%EV -10.91%E -2.73%K -3.64%G +0.000%7.6%2026-03-04 19:35
888sport4.80I 20.83%NM 19.30%EV -8.22%E -1.71%K -2.16%G +0.000%1.61I 62.11%NM 57.54%EV -5.64%E -3.50%K -9.25%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.16%EV -10.91%E -2.73%K -3.64%G +0.000%7.9%2026-03-04 19:30
Mr Green (SE)4.80I 20.83%NM 19.30%EV -8.22%E -1.71%K -2.16%G +0.000%1.61I 62.11%NM 57.54%EV -5.64%E -3.50%K -9.25%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.16%EV -10.91%E -2.73%K -3.64%G +0.000%7.9%2026-03-04 19:35
888sport (SE)4.80I 20.83%NM 19.30%EV -8.22%E -1.71%K -2.16%G +0.000%1.61I 62.11%NM 57.54%EV -5.64%E -3.50%K -9.25%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.16%EV -10.91%E -2.73%K -3.64%G +0.000%7.9%2026-03-04 19:35
Bovada4.80I 20.83%NM 19.20%EV -8.22%E -1.71%K -2.16%G +0.000%1.58I 63.29%NM 58.32%EV -7.40%E -4.68%K -12.76%G +0.000%4.10I 24.39%NM 22.48%EV -8.69%E -2.12%K -2.80%G +0.000%8.5%2026-03-04 19:50
BetUS4.80I 20.83%NM 19.20%EV -8.22%E -1.71%K -2.16%G +0.000%1.58I 63.29%NM 58.32%EV -7.40%E -4.68%K -12.76%G +0.000%4.10I 24.39%NM 22.48%EV -8.69%E -2.12%K -2.80%G +0.000%8.5%2026-03-04 19:50
PointsBet (AU)4.75I 21.05%NM 19.80%EV -9.18%E -1.93%K -2.45%G +0.000%1.62I 61.73%NM 58.06%EV -5.06%E -3.12%K -8.15%G +0.000%4.25I 23.53%NM 22.13%EV -5.35%E -1.26%K -1.64%G +0.000%6.3%2026-03-04 19:30
Betway4.75I 21.05%NM 19.68%EV -9.18%E -1.93%K -2.45%G +0.000%1.61I 62.11%NM 58.06%EV -5.64%E -3.50%K -9.25%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 22.26%EV -6.46%E -1.54%K -2.02%G +0.000%7.0%2026-03-04 19:30
Bet Right4.75I 21.05%NM 19.61%EV -9.18%E -1.93%K -2.45%G +0.000%1.60I 62.50%NM 58.21%EV -6.23%E -3.89%K -10.38%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 22.18%EV -6.46%E -1.54%K -2.02%G +0.000%7.4%2026-03-04 19:30
PlayUp4.75I 21.05%NM 19.50%EV -9.18%E -1.93%K -2.45%G +0.000%1.60I 62.50%NM 57.90%EV -6.23%E -3.89%K -10.38%G +0.000%4.10I 24.39%NM 22.60%EV -8.69%E -2.12%K -2.80%G +0.000%7.9%2026-03-04 19:45
BoyleSports4.75I 21.05%NM 19.04%EV -9.18%E -1.93%K -2.45%G +0.000%1.55I 64.52%NM 58.35%EV -9.16%E -5.91%K -16.65%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 22.61%EV -10.91%E -2.73%K -3.64%G +0.000%10.6%2026-03-04 19:29
Betsson4.70I 21.28%NM 19.87%EV -10.13%E -2.16%K -2.74%G +0.000%1.62I 61.73%NM 57.64%EV -5.06%E -3.12%K -8.15%G +0.000%4.15I 24.10%NM 22.50%EV -7.57%E -1.82%K -2.40%G +0.000%7.1%2026-03-04 19:45
NordicBet4.70I 21.28%NM 19.87%EV -10.13%E -2.16%K -2.74%G +0.000%1.62I 61.73%NM 57.64%EV -5.06%E -3.12%K -8.15%G +0.000%4.15I 24.10%NM 22.50%EV -7.57%E -1.82%K -2.40%G +0.000%7.1%2026-03-04 19:45
Ladbrokes (UK)4.60I 21.74%NM 20.33%EV -12.05%E -2.62%K -3.35%G +0.000%1.61I 62.11%NM 58.08%EV -5.64%E -3.50%K -9.25%G +0.000%4.33I 23.09%NM 21.59%EV -3.56%E -0.823%K -1.07%G +0.000%6.9%2026-03-04 19:30
Coral4.60I 21.74%NM 20.33%EV -12.05%E -2.62%K -3.35%G +0.000%1.61I 62.11%NM 58.08%EV -5.64%E -3.50%K -9.25%G +0.000%4.33I 23.09%NM 21.59%EV -3.56%E -0.823%K -1.07%G +0.000%6.9%2026-03-04 19:30
Ladbrokes (AU)4.60I 21.74%NM 20.32%EV -12.05%E -2.62%K -3.35%G +0.000%1.62I 61.73%NM 57.69%EV -5.06%E -3.12%K -8.15%G +0.000%4.25I 23.53%NM 21.99%EV -5.35%E -1.26%K -1.64%G +0.000%7.0%2026-03-04 19:30
Neds4.60I 21.74%NM 20.32%EV -12.05%E -2.62%K -3.35%G +0.000%1.62I 61.73%NM 57.69%EV -5.06%E -3.12%K -8.15%G +0.000%4.25I 23.53%NM 21.99%EV -5.35%E -1.26%K -1.64%G +0.000%7.0%2026-03-04 19:30
BetMGM4.60I 21.74%NM 20.26%EV -12.05%E -2.62%K -3.35%G +0.000%1.62I 61.73%NM 57.54%EV -5.06%E -3.12%K -8.15%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 22.19%EV -6.46%E -1.54%K -2.02%G +0.000%7.3%2026-03-04 19:30
PMU (FR)4.60I 21.74%NM 18.13%EV -12.05%E -2.62%K -3.35%G +0.000%1.42I 70.42%NM 58.72%EV -16.78%E -11.81%K -39.95%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 23.16%EV -19.82%E -5.51%K -7.62%G +0.000%19.9%2026-03-04 19:55
Codere (IT)4.50I 22.22%NM 20.18%EV -13.96%E -3.10%K -3.99%G +0.000%1.59I 62.89%NM 57.12%EV -6.81%E -4.29%K -11.55%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 22.70%EV -10.91%E -2.73%K -3.64%G +0.000%10.1%2026-03-04 19:55
NetBet (FR)4.50I 22.22%NM 19.20%EV -13.96%E -3.10%K -3.99%G +0.000%1.48I 67.57%NM 58.37%EV -13.26%E -8.96%K -27.63%G +0.000%3.85I 25.97%NM 22.44%EV -14.25%E -3.70%K -5.00%G +0.000%15.8%2026-03-04 19:49
Parions Sport (FR)4.40I 22.73%NM 20.06%EV -15.87%E -3.61%K -4.67%G +0.000%1.54I 64.94%NM 57.31%EV -9.74%E -6.33%K -18.04%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 22.63%EV -13.14%E -3.37%K -4.53%G +0.000%13.3%2026-03-04 19:55
الهامش = الهامش · I = الاحتمال الضمني · NM = الاحتمال بلا هامش · EV = القيمة المتوقعة · E = الأفضلية · K = معيار Kelly · G = نمو رأس مال المراهنات

آخر تحديث هو وقت آخر تغيير أجرته كل شركة على سعرها؛ فالوقت الأقدم يعني أن السعر لم يتحرك فحسب، لا أنه متقادم. تُستبعد عادة الشركات التي لم تصل عنها بيانات خلال نحو 15 دقيقة؛ ولا تُعرض آخر الأسعار المسجلة بدلًا من ذلك إلا إذا انقطع تدفق بيانات السوق كله.

بورصات المراهنات (5)

شركة المراهناتالمضيفالضيفتعادلالهامش ▲آخر تحديث
Betfair Exchange (AU)5.60I 17.86%NM 17.80%1.66I 60.24%NM 60.05%4.50I 22.22%NM 22.15%0.3%2026-03-04 19:55
Betfair Exchange (EU)5.40I 18.52%NM 18.40%1.67I 59.88%NM 59.51%4.50I 22.22%NM 22.09%0.6%2026-03-04 19:55
Betfair Exchange (UK)5.40I 18.52%NM 18.40%1.67I 59.88%NM 59.51%4.50I 22.22%NM 22.09%0.6%2026-03-04 19:55
Smarkets5.50I 18.18%NM 18.07%1.66I 60.24%NM 59.85%4.50I 22.22%NM 22.08%0.6%2026-03-04 19:55
Matchbook5.50I 18.18%NM 18.07%1.66I 60.24%NM 59.85%4.50I 22.22%NM 22.08%0.6%2026-03-04 19:55