Language:English
Zaragoza v Granada CF
Closing line — the calculated probabilities and expected value from the last prices recorded before kickoff, under your selected model. The game has started, so these are not live figures. Assess the reliability of each model's probability predictions against all settled-game outcomes →
Head to Head
Zaragoza (Local)
Prediction 47.55%2.10fair odd
EV -3.47%
Edge -1.71%
Kelly -3.37%
Growth +0.000%
assuming max odds 2.03
Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
45.29%47.59%47.43%49.22%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
1.801.921.922.0355.56%52.11%52.08%49.26%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Granada CF (Visit)
Prediction 24.29%4.12fair odd
EV +0.301%
Edge +0.073%
Kelly +0.096%
Growth +0.000%
assuming max odds 4.13
Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
22.75%24.22%24.46%25.51%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
3.303.833.854.1330.30%26.09%25.97%24.21%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Draw
Prediction 28.16%3.55fair odd
EV -4.25%
Edge -1.25%
Kelly -1.77%
Growth +0.000%
assuming max odds 3.40
Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
27.30%28.19%28.11%29.67%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
2.803.223.203.4035.71%31.02%31.25%29.41%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
At the last prices before kickoff, Interquartile mean (Vetted List) estimated these probabilities for Head to Head: Zaragoza (Local): 47.55%; Granada CF (Visit): 24.29%; Draw: 28.16%. For Granada CF (Visit), that estimate was equivalent to fair decimal odds of 4.12. 1 bookmaker offered closing odds above that level; the best were 4.13, corresponding to a positive expected value of +0.301%.
Sportsbook Odds (53 sportsbooks)
We're not affiliated with any bookmaker, we earn nothing from any action done with them.
| Bookmaker | Local | Visit ▼ | Draw | Margin | Updated |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Pinnacle🎯 | 2.01I 49.75%NM 48.09%EV -4.42%E -2.20%K -4.37%G +0.000% | 4.13I 24.21%NM 23.40%EV +0.301%E +0.073%K +0.096%G +0.000% | 3.39I 29.50%NM 28.51%EV -4.54%E -1.34%K -1.90%G +0.000% | 3.5% | 2026-05-01 18:50 |
| Unibet🎯 | 1.92I 52.08%NM 48.99%EV -8.70%E -4.53%K -9.45%G +0.000% | 4.10I 24.39%NM 22.94%EV -0.427%E -0.104%K -0.138%G +0.000% | 3.35I 29.85%NM 28.08%EV -5.66%E -1.69%K -2.41%G +0.000% | 6.3% | 2026-05-01 18:05 |
| Unibet (SE)🎯 | 1.92I 52.08%NM 48.99%EV -8.70%E -4.53%K -9.45%G +0.000% | 4.10I 24.39%NM 22.94%EV -0.427%E -0.104%K -0.138%G +0.000% | 3.35I 29.85%NM 28.08%EV -5.66%E -1.69%K -2.41%G +0.000% | 6.3% | 2026-05-01 18:04 |
| Unibet (NL)🎯 | 1.92I 52.08%NM 48.99%EV -8.70%E -4.53%K -9.45%G +0.000% | 4.10I 24.39%NM 22.94%EV -0.427%E -0.104%K -0.138%G +0.000% | 3.35I 29.85%NM 28.08%EV -5.66%E -1.69%K -2.41%G +0.000% | 6.3% | 2026-05-01 18:05 |
| Svenska Spel🎯 | 1.92I 52.08%NM 48.99%EV -8.70%E -4.53%K -9.45%G +0.000% | 4.10I 24.39%NM 22.94%EV -0.427%E -0.104%K -0.138%G +0.000% | 3.35I 29.85%NM 28.08%EV -5.66%E -1.69%K -2.41%G +0.000% | 6.3% | 2026-05-01 18:05 |
| ATG (SE)🎯 | 1.92I 52.08%NM 48.99%EV -8.70%E -4.53%K -9.45%G +0.000% | 4.10I 24.39%NM 22.94%EV -0.427%E -0.104%K -0.138%G +0.000% | 3.35I 29.85%NM 28.08%EV -5.66%E -1.69%K -2.41%G +0.000% | 6.3% | 2026-05-01 18:05 |
| Fanatics🎯 | 1.95I 51.28%NM 48.52%EV -7.27%E -3.73%K -7.65%G +0.000% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 23.65%EV -2.86%E -0.714%K -0.952%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 27.83%EV -4.25%E -1.25%K -1.77%G +0.000% | 5.7% | 2026-05-01 18:35 |
| LowVig.ag🎯 | 1.97I 50.76%NM 47.44%EV -6.32%E -3.21%K -6.51%G +0.000% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 23.36%EV -2.86%E -0.714%K -0.952%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 29.20%EV -9.89%E -3.09%K -4.49%G +0.000% | 7.0% | 2026-05-01 18:40 |
| BetOnline.ag🎯 | 1.97I 50.76%NM 47.44%EV -6.32%E -3.21%K -6.51%G +0.000% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 23.36%EV -2.86%E -0.714%K -0.952%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 29.20%EV -9.89%E -3.09%K -4.49%G +0.000% | 7.0% | 2026-05-01 18:40 |
| BetAnything🎯 | 1.97I 50.76%NM 47.44%EV -6.32%E -3.21%K -6.51%G +0.000% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 23.36%EV -2.86%E -0.714%K -0.952%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 29.20%EV -9.89%E -3.09%K -4.49%G +0.000% | 7.0% | 2026-05-01 18:39 |
| FanDuel🎯 | 1.95I 51.28%NM 47.69%EV -7.27%E -3.73%K -7.65%G +0.000% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 23.25%EV -2.86%E -0.714%K -0.952%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 29.06%EV -9.89%E -3.09%K -4.49%G +0.000% | 7.5% | 2026-05-01 18:40 |
| Tipico (DE)🎯 | 1.90I 52.63%NM 48.34%EV -9.65%E -5.08%K -10.72%G +0.000% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 22.96%EV -2.86%E -0.714%K -0.952%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 28.70%EV -9.89%E -3.09%K -4.49%G +0.000% | 8.9% | 2026-05-01 17:59 |
| Grosvenor🎯 | 1.88I 53.19%NM 48.82%EV -10.60%E -5.64%K -12.04%G +0.000% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 22.94%EV -2.86%E -0.714%K -0.952%G +0.000% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 28.24%EV -8.48%E -2.61%K -3.77%G +0.000% | 9.0% | 2026-05-01 18:04 |
| Casumo🎯 | 1.88I 53.19%NM 48.82%EV -10.60%E -5.64%K -12.04%G +0.000% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 22.94%EV -2.86%E -0.714%K -0.952%G +0.000% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 28.24%EV -8.48%E -2.61%K -3.77%G +0.000% | 9.0% | 2026-05-01 18:04 |
| TABtouch🎯 | 1.88I 53.19%NM 48.82%EV -10.60%E -5.64%K -12.04%G +0.000% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 22.94%EV -2.86%E -0.714%K -0.952%G +0.000% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 28.24%EV -8.48%E -2.61%K -3.77%G +0.000% | 9.0% | 2026-05-01 18:05 |
| betPARX🎯 | 1.88I 53.19%NM 48.82%EV -10.60%E -5.64%K -12.04%G +0.000% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 22.94%EV -2.86%E -0.714%K -0.952%G +0.000% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 28.24%EV -8.48%E -2.61%K -3.77%G +0.000% | 9.0% | 2026-05-01 18:05 |
| LeoVegas (SE)🎯 | 1.87I 53.48%NM 48.95%EV -11.07%E -5.92%K -12.73%G +0.000% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 22.88%EV -2.86%E -0.714%K -0.952%G +0.000% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 28.17%EV -8.48%E -2.61%K -3.77%G +0.000% | 9.2% | 2026-05-01 18:04 |
| LeoVegas🎯 | 1.85I 54.05%NM 49.22%EV -12.03%E -6.50%K -14.15%G +0.000% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 22.76%EV -2.86%E -0.714%K -0.952%G +0.000% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 28.02%EV -8.48%E -2.61%K -3.77%G +0.000% | 9.8% | 2026-05-01 18:50 |
| SportsBet🎯 | 1.90I 52.63%NM 47.89%EV -9.65%E -5.08%K -10.72%G +0.000% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 22.75%EV -2.86%E -0.714%K -0.952%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 29.35%EV -12.70%E -4.10%K -6.05%G +0.000% | 9.9% | 2026-05-01 17:55 |
| LiveScore Bet🎯 | 1.84I 54.35%NM 49.00%EV -12.50%E -6.79%K -14.88%G +0.000% | 3.95I 25.32%NM 22.83%EV -4.07%E -1.03%K -1.38%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 28.17%EV -9.89%E -3.09%K -4.49%G +0.000% | 10.9% | 2026-05-01 18:04 |
| Virgin Bet🎯 | 1.84I 54.35%NM 49.00%EV -12.50%E -6.79%K -14.88%G +0.000% | 3.95I 25.32%NM 22.83%EV -4.07%E -1.03%K -1.38%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 28.17%EV -9.89%E -3.09%K -4.49%G +0.000% | 10.9% | 2026-05-01 18:04 |
| Marathon Bet🎯 | 1.94I 51.55%NM 48.09%EV -7.75%E -3.99%K -8.24%G +0.000% | 3.92I 25.51%NM 23.80%EV -4.80%E -1.22%K -1.64%G +0.000% | 3.32I 30.12%NM 28.10%EV -6.51%E -1.96%K -2.80%G +0.000% | 7.2% | 2026-05-01 18:45 |
| DraftKings🎯 | 2.00I 50.00%NM 47.40%EV -4.89%E -2.45%K -4.89%G +0.000% | 3.90I 25.64%NM 24.31%EV -5.28%E -1.36%K -1.82%G +0.000% | 3.35I 29.85%NM 28.30%EV -5.66%E -1.69%K -2.41%G +0.000% | 5.5% | 2026-05-01 18:39 |
| Bovada🎯 | 1.93I 51.81%NM 47.66%EV -8.22%E -4.26%K -8.84%G +0.000% | 3.90I 25.64%NM 23.59%EV -5.28%E -1.36%K -1.82%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 28.75%EV -9.89%E -3.09%K -4.49%G +0.000% | 8.7% | 2026-05-01 18:51 |
| Mr Green (SE)🎯 | 1.95I 51.28%NM 46.97%EV -7.27%E -3.73%K -7.65%G +0.000% | 3.90I 25.64%NM 23.48%EV -5.28%E -1.36%K -1.82%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 29.55%EV -12.70%E -4.10%K -6.05%G +0.000% | 9.2% | 2026-05-01 18:50 |
| 1xBet🎯 | 2.03I 49.26%NM 46.74%EV -3.47%E -1.71%K -3.37%G +0.000% | 3.87I 25.84%NM 24.52%EV -6.01%E -1.55%K -2.10%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 28.75%EV -7.07%E -2.14%K -3.07%G +0.000% | 5.4% | 2026-05-01 18:54 |
| Coolbet🎯 | 2.00I 50.00%NM 47.44%EV -4.89%E -2.45%K -4.89%G +0.000% | 3.85I 25.97%NM 24.65%EV -6.50%E -1.69%K -2.28%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 27.91%EV -4.25%E -1.25%K -1.77%G +0.000% | 5.4% | 2026-05-01 18:39 |
| PMU (FR)🎯 | 1.80I 55.56%NM 49.04%EV -14.40%E -8.00%K -18.00%G +0.000% | 3.85I 25.97%NM 22.93%EV -6.50%E -1.69%K -2.28%G +0.000% | 3.15I 31.75%NM 28.03%EV -11.29%E -3.59%K -5.25%G +0.000% | 13.3% | 2026-05-01 18:50 |
| William Hill🎯 | 1.95I 51.28%NM 46.68%EV -7.27%E -3.73%K -7.65%G +0.000% | 3.80I 26.32%NM 23.95%EV -7.71%E -2.03%K -2.75%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 29.36%EV -12.70%E -4.10%K -6.05%G +0.000% | 9.9% | 2026-05-01 18:50 |
| BoyleSports🎯 | 1.87I 53.48%NM 48.16%EV -11.07%E -5.92%K -12.73%G +0.000% | 3.80I 26.32%NM 23.70%EV -7.71%E -2.03%K -2.75%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 28.14%EV -9.89%E -3.09%K -4.49%G +0.000% | 11.0% | 2026-05-01 18:19 |
| Paddy Power🎯 | 1.90I 52.63%NM 47.33%EV -9.65%E -5.08%K -10.72%G +0.000% | 3.80I 26.32%NM 23.66%EV -7.71%E -2.03%K -2.75%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 29.01%EV -12.70%E -4.10%K -6.05%G +0.000% | 11.2% | 2026-05-01 18:45 |
| Betr (AU)🎯 | 1.95I 51.28%NM 47.77%EV -7.27%E -3.73%K -7.65%G +0.000% | 3.75I 26.67%NM 24.84%EV -8.93%E -2.38%K -3.25%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 27.40%EV -4.25%E -1.25%K -1.77%G +0.000% | 7.4% | 2026-05-01 18:40 |
| theScore Bet🎯 | 1.95I 51.28%NM 47.77%EV -7.27%E -3.73%K -7.65%G +0.000% | 3.75I 26.67%NM 24.84%EV -8.93%E -2.38%K -3.25%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 27.40%EV -4.25%E -1.25%K -1.77%G +0.000% | 7.4% | 2026-05-01 18:40 |
| Betway🎯 | 1.95I 51.28%NM 47.37%EV -7.27%E -3.73%K -7.65%G +0.000% | 3.75I 26.67%NM 24.63%EV -8.93%E -2.38%K -3.25%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 27.99%EV -7.07%E -2.14%K -3.07%G +0.000% | 8.3% | 2026-05-01 18:35 |
| NordicBet🎯 | 1.95I 51.28%NM 47.17%EV -7.27%E -3.73%K -7.65%G +0.000% | 3.75I 26.67%NM 24.53%EV -8.93%E -2.38%K -3.25%G +0.000% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 28.30%EV -8.48%E -2.61%K -3.77%G +0.000% | 8.7% | 2026-05-01 18:45 |
| Betsson🎯 | 1.95I 51.28%NM 47.17%EV -7.27%E -3.73%K -7.65%G +0.000% | 3.75I 26.67%NM 24.53%EV -8.93%E -2.38%K -3.25%G +0.000% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 28.30%EV -8.48%E -2.61%K -3.77%G +0.000% | 8.7% | 2026-05-01 18:45 |
| Sky Bet🎯 | 1.91I 52.36%NM 46.60%EV -9.17%E -4.80%K -10.08%G +0.000% | 3.75I 26.67%NM 23.73%EV -8.93%E -2.38%K -3.25%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 29.67%EV -15.52%E -5.17%K -7.76%G +0.000% | 12.4% | 2026-05-01 18:40 |
| PointsBet (AU)🎯 | 1.95I 51.28%NM 47.61%EV -7.27%E -3.73%K -7.65%G +0.000% | 3.70I 27.03%NM 25.09%EV -10.14%E -2.74%K -3.76%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 27.30%EV -4.25%E -1.25%K -1.77%G +0.000% | 7.7% | 2026-05-01 18:40 |
| BetMGM🎯 | 1.95I 51.28%NM 46.81%EV -7.27%E -3.73%K -7.65%G +0.000% | 3.70I 27.03%NM 24.67%EV -10.14%E -2.74%K -3.76%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 28.52%EV -9.89%E -3.09%K -4.49%G +0.000% | 9.6% | 2026-05-01 18:44 |
| Bet Victor🎯 | 1.91I 52.36%NM 47.73%EV -9.17%E -4.80%K -10.08%G +0.000% | 3.70I 27.03%NM 24.64%EV -10.14%E -2.74%K -3.76%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 27.63%EV -7.07%E -2.14%K -3.07%G +0.000% | 9.7% | 2026-05-01 18:54 |
| Codere (IT)🎯 | 1.94I 51.55%NM 46.94%EV -7.75%E -3.99%K -8.24%G +0.000% | 3.70I 27.03%NM 24.61%EV -10.14%E -2.74%K -3.76%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 28.45%EV -9.89%E -3.09%K -4.49%G +0.000% | 9.8% | 2026-05-01 18:45 |
| Betclic (FR)🎯 | 1.89I 52.91%NM 47.30%EV -10.12%E -5.36%K -11.38%G +0.000% | 3.65I 27.40%NM 24.49%EV -11.36%E -3.11%K -4.29%G +0.000% | 3.17I 31.55%NM 28.20%EV -10.73%E -3.39%K -4.95%G +0.000% | 11.9% | 2026-05-01 18:45 |
| betfred_uk🎯 | 1.95I 51.28%NM 46.89%EV -7.27%E -3.73%K -7.65%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 25.40%EV -12.57%E -3.49%K -4.83%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 27.71%EV -7.07%E -2.14%K -3.07%G +0.000% | 9.4% | 2026-05-01 18:38 |
| Winamax (DE)🎯 | 1.92I 52.08%NM 47.28%EV -8.70%E -4.53%K -9.45%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 25.21%EV -12.57%E -3.49%K -4.83%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 27.51%EV -7.07%E -2.14%K -3.07%G +0.000% | 10.2% | 2026-05-01 18:45 |
| Ladbrokes (AU)🎯 | 1.91I 52.36%NM 46.58%EV -9.17%E -4.80%K -10.08%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 24.72%EV -12.57%E -3.49%K -4.83%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 28.70%EV -12.70%E -4.10%K -6.05%G +0.000% | 12.4% | 2026-05-01 18:15 |
| Neds🎯 | 1.91I 52.36%NM 46.58%EV -9.17%E -4.80%K -10.08%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 24.72%EV -12.57%E -3.49%K -4.83%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 28.70%EV -12.70%E -4.10%K -6.05%G +0.000% | 12.4% | 2026-05-01 18:14 |
| Ladbrokes (UK)🎯 | 1.91I 52.36%NM 46.58%EV -9.17%E -4.80%K -10.08%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 24.72%EV -12.57%E -3.49%K -4.83%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 28.70%EV -12.70%E -4.10%K -6.05%G +0.000% | 12.4% | 2026-05-01 18:15 |
| Coral🎯 | 1.91I 52.36%NM 46.58%EV -9.17%E -4.80%K -10.08%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 24.72%EV -12.57%E -3.49%K -4.83%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 28.70%EV -12.70%E -4.10%K -6.05%G +0.000% | 12.4% | 2026-05-01 18:14 |
| Unibet (FR)🎯 | 1.87I 53.48%NM 47.11%EV -11.07%E -5.92%K -12.73%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 24.47%EV -12.57%E -3.49%K -4.83%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 28.42%EV -12.70%E -4.10%K -6.05%G +0.000% | 13.5% | 2026-05-01 18:45 |
| NetBet (FR)🎯 | 1.83I 54.64%NM 47.43%EV -12.98%E -7.09%K -15.63%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 24.11%EV -12.57%E -3.49%K -4.83%G +0.000% | 3.05I 32.79%NM 28.46%EV -14.11%E -4.63%K -6.88%G +0.000% | 15.2% | 2026-05-01 18:50 |
| PlayUp🎯 | 1.98I 50.51%NM 45.74%EV -5.84%E -2.95%K -5.96%G +0.000% | 3.55I 28.17%NM 25.51%EV -13.78%E -3.88%K -5.41%G +0.000% | 3.15I 31.75%NM 28.75%EV -11.29%E -3.59%K -5.25%G +0.000% | 10.4% | 2026-05-01 18:54 |
| Winamax (FR)🎯 | 1.88I 53.19%NM 46.69%EV -10.60%E -5.64%K -12.04%G +0.000% | 3.45I 28.99%NM 25.44%EV -16.21%E -4.70%K -6.62%G +0.000% | 3.15I 31.75%NM 27.87%EV -11.29%E -3.59%K -5.25%G +0.000% | 13.9% | 2026-05-01 18:44 |
| Betfair Sportsbook (UK)🎯 | 1.83I 54.64%NM 45.29%EV -12.98%E -7.09%K -15.63%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 25.11%EV -19.86%E -6.02%K -8.63%G +0.000% | 2.80I 35.71%NM 29.60%EV -21.15%E -7.55%K -11.75%G +0.000% | 20.7% | 2026-05-01 18:40 |
Margin = Margin (Overround) · I = Implied Probability · NM = No-Margin Probability · EV = Expected Value · E = Edge · K = Kelly Criterion · G = Bankroll Growth
Updated is when each book last changed its price, so an older time means the odds simply haven't moved, not that the price is stale. Books not seen in the last ~15 minutes are normally dropped; only if a whole market's feed goes quiet are the latest recorded prices shown instead.
Exchanges (6)
| Bookmaker | Local | Visit | Draw | Margin ▲ | Updated |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Betfair Exchange (EU)◎ | 2.06I 48.54%NM 48.17% | 4.30I 23.26%NM 23.07% | 3.45I 28.99%NM 28.76% | 0.8% | 2026-05-01 18:55 |
| Betfair Exchange (AU)◎ | 2.06I 48.54%NM 48.17% | 4.30I 23.26%NM 23.07% | 3.45I 28.99%NM 28.76% | 0.8% | 2026-05-01 18:55 |
| Betfair Exchange (UK)◎ | 2.06I 48.54%NM 47.96% | 4.30I 23.26%NM 22.98% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 29.06% | 1.2% | 2026-05-01 18:40 |
| Matchbook◎ | 2.06I 48.54%NM 47.96% | 4.30I 23.26%NM 22.98% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 29.06% | 1.2% | 2026-05-01 18:40 |
| Smarkets◎ | 2.04I 49.02%NM 48.21% | 4.30I 23.26%NM 22.87% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 28.92% | 1.7% | 2026-05-01 18:55 |
| Kalshi◎ | 2.00I 50.00%NM 48.08% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 24.04% | 3.45I 28.99%NM 27.87% | 4.0% | 2026-05-01 18:55 |