مدرسة الاحتمالات

Zaragoza v Granada CF

البداية: 2026-05-01 19:00 UTC

النتيجة النهائية: Zaragoza 0–1 Granada CF

أسعار الإغلاق — الاحتمالات والقيمة المتوقعة المحسوبة من آخر الأسعار المسجلة قبل البداية وفق النموذج المحدد. بدأت المباراة، لذا فهذه ليست أرقامًا مباشرة. قيّم موثوقية التنبؤات الاحتمالية لكل نموذج بمقارنتها بنتائج جميع المباريات المحسومة →

نتيجة المباراة

53 شركة مراهنات (18 في التحليل )

الاحتمال المقدّر لكل نتيجة وفق النموذج: IQM

Zaragoza (المضيف)

التنبؤ 47.55%2.10السعر العادل
EV -3.47%
الأفضلية -1.71%
Kelly -3.37%
النمو +0.000%

بافتراض سعر أقصى قدره 2.03

توزيع تنبؤات شركات المراهنات
45.29%47.59%47.43%49.22%MINالمتوسطالوسيطMAX
توزيع الأسعار
1.801.921.922.0355.56%52.11%52.08%49.26%MINالمتوسطالوسيطMAX

Granada CF (الضيف)

التنبؤ 24.29%4.12السعر العادل
EV +0.301%
الأفضلية +0.073%
Kelly +0.096%
النمو +0.000%

بافتراض سعر أقصى قدره 4.13

توزيع تنبؤات شركات المراهنات
22.75%24.22%24.46%25.51%MINالمتوسطالوسيطMAX
توزيع الأسعار
3.303.833.854.1330.30%26.09%25.97%24.21%MINالمتوسطالوسيطMAX

تعادل

التنبؤ 28.16%3.55السعر العادل
EV -4.25%
الأفضلية -1.25%
Kelly -1.77%
النمو +0.000%

بافتراض سعر أقصى قدره 3.40

توزيع تنبؤات شركات المراهنات
27.30%28.19%28.11%29.67%MINالمتوسطالوسيطMAX
توزيع الأسعار
2.803.223.203.4035.71%31.02%31.25%29.41%MINالمتوسطالوسيطMAX

أسعار شركات المراهنات (53 شركة مراهنات)

لسنا تابعين لأي شركة مراهنات، ولا نحقق أي عائد من الرهانات أو المعاملات التي تُجرى لديها.

شركة المراهناتالمضيفالضيف ▼تعادلالهامشآخر تحديث
Pinnacle2.01I 49.75%NM 48.09%EV -4.42%E -2.20%K -4.37%G +0.000%4.13I 24.21%NM 23.40%EV +0.301%E +0.073%K +0.096%G +0.000%3.39I 29.50%NM 28.51%EV -4.54%E -1.34%K -1.90%G +0.000%3.5%2026-05-01 18:50
Unibet1.92I 52.08%NM 48.99%EV -8.70%E -4.53%K -9.45%G +0.000%4.10I 24.39%NM 22.94%EV -0.427%E -0.104%K -0.138%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 28.08%EV -5.66%E -1.69%K -2.41%G +0.000%6.3%2026-05-01 18:05
Unibet (SE)1.92I 52.08%NM 48.99%EV -8.70%E -4.53%K -9.45%G +0.000%4.10I 24.39%NM 22.94%EV -0.427%E -0.104%K -0.138%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 28.08%EV -5.66%E -1.69%K -2.41%G +0.000%6.3%2026-05-01 18:04
Unibet (NL)1.92I 52.08%NM 48.99%EV -8.70%E -4.53%K -9.45%G +0.000%4.10I 24.39%NM 22.94%EV -0.427%E -0.104%K -0.138%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 28.08%EV -5.66%E -1.69%K -2.41%G +0.000%6.3%2026-05-01 18:05
Svenska Spel1.92I 52.08%NM 48.99%EV -8.70%E -4.53%K -9.45%G +0.000%4.10I 24.39%NM 22.94%EV -0.427%E -0.104%K -0.138%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 28.08%EV -5.66%E -1.69%K -2.41%G +0.000%6.3%2026-05-01 18:05
ATG (SE)1.92I 52.08%NM 48.99%EV -8.70%E -4.53%K -9.45%G +0.000%4.10I 24.39%NM 22.94%EV -0.427%E -0.104%K -0.138%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 28.08%EV -5.66%E -1.69%K -2.41%G +0.000%6.3%2026-05-01 18:05
Fanatics1.95I 51.28%NM 48.52%EV -7.27%E -3.73%K -7.65%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.65%EV -2.86%E -0.714%K -0.952%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.83%EV -4.25%E -1.25%K -1.77%G +0.000%5.7%2026-05-01 18:35
LowVig.ag1.97I 50.76%NM 47.44%EV -6.32%E -3.21%K -6.51%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.36%EV -2.86%E -0.714%K -0.952%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 29.20%EV -9.89%E -3.09%K -4.49%G +0.000%7.0%2026-05-01 18:40
BetOnline.ag1.97I 50.76%NM 47.44%EV -6.32%E -3.21%K -6.51%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.36%EV -2.86%E -0.714%K -0.952%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 29.20%EV -9.89%E -3.09%K -4.49%G +0.000%7.0%2026-05-01 18:40
BetAnything1.97I 50.76%NM 47.44%EV -6.32%E -3.21%K -6.51%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.36%EV -2.86%E -0.714%K -0.952%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 29.20%EV -9.89%E -3.09%K -4.49%G +0.000%7.0%2026-05-01 18:39
FanDuel1.95I 51.28%NM 47.69%EV -7.27%E -3.73%K -7.65%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.25%EV -2.86%E -0.714%K -0.952%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 29.06%EV -9.89%E -3.09%K -4.49%G +0.000%7.5%2026-05-01 18:40
Tipico (DE)1.90I 52.63%NM 48.34%EV -9.65%E -5.08%K -10.72%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 22.96%EV -2.86%E -0.714%K -0.952%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 28.70%EV -9.89%E -3.09%K -4.49%G +0.000%8.9%2026-05-01 17:59
Grosvenor1.88I 53.19%NM 48.82%EV -10.60%E -5.64%K -12.04%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 22.94%EV -2.86%E -0.714%K -0.952%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 28.24%EV -8.48%E -2.61%K -3.77%G +0.000%9.0%2026-05-01 18:04
Casumo1.88I 53.19%NM 48.82%EV -10.60%E -5.64%K -12.04%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 22.94%EV -2.86%E -0.714%K -0.952%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 28.24%EV -8.48%E -2.61%K -3.77%G +0.000%9.0%2026-05-01 18:04
TABtouch1.88I 53.19%NM 48.82%EV -10.60%E -5.64%K -12.04%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 22.94%EV -2.86%E -0.714%K -0.952%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 28.24%EV -8.48%E -2.61%K -3.77%G +0.000%9.0%2026-05-01 18:05
betPARX1.88I 53.19%NM 48.82%EV -10.60%E -5.64%K -12.04%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 22.94%EV -2.86%E -0.714%K -0.952%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 28.24%EV -8.48%E -2.61%K -3.77%G +0.000%9.0%2026-05-01 18:05
LeoVegas (SE)1.87I 53.48%NM 48.95%EV -11.07%E -5.92%K -12.73%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 22.88%EV -2.86%E -0.714%K -0.952%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 28.17%EV -8.48%E -2.61%K -3.77%G +0.000%9.2%2026-05-01 18:04
LeoVegas1.85I 54.05%NM 49.22%EV -12.03%E -6.50%K -14.15%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 22.76%EV -2.86%E -0.714%K -0.952%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 28.02%EV -8.48%E -2.61%K -3.77%G +0.000%9.8%2026-05-01 18:50
SportsBet1.90I 52.63%NM 47.89%EV -9.65%E -5.08%K -10.72%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 22.75%EV -2.86%E -0.714%K -0.952%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 29.35%EV -12.70%E -4.10%K -6.05%G +0.000%9.9%2026-05-01 17:55
LiveScore Bet1.84I 54.35%NM 49.00%EV -12.50%E -6.79%K -14.88%G +0.000%3.95I 25.32%NM 22.83%EV -4.07%E -1.03%K -1.38%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 28.17%EV -9.89%E -3.09%K -4.49%G +0.000%10.9%2026-05-01 18:04
Virgin Bet1.84I 54.35%NM 49.00%EV -12.50%E -6.79%K -14.88%G +0.000%3.95I 25.32%NM 22.83%EV -4.07%E -1.03%K -1.38%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 28.17%EV -9.89%E -3.09%K -4.49%G +0.000%10.9%2026-05-01 18:04
Marathon Bet1.94I 51.55%NM 48.09%EV -7.75%E -3.99%K -8.24%G +0.000%3.92I 25.51%NM 23.80%EV -4.80%E -1.22%K -1.64%G +0.000%3.32I 30.12%NM 28.10%EV -6.51%E -1.96%K -2.80%G +0.000%7.2%2026-05-01 18:45
DraftKings2.00I 50.00%NM 47.40%EV -4.89%E -2.45%K -4.89%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 24.31%EV -5.28%E -1.36%K -1.82%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 28.30%EV -5.66%E -1.69%K -2.41%G +0.000%5.5%2026-05-01 18:39
Bovada1.93I 51.81%NM 47.66%EV -8.22%E -4.26%K -8.84%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 23.59%EV -5.28%E -1.36%K -1.82%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 28.75%EV -9.89%E -3.09%K -4.49%G +0.000%8.7%2026-05-01 18:51
Mr Green (SE)1.95I 51.28%NM 46.97%EV -7.27%E -3.73%K -7.65%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 23.48%EV -5.28%E -1.36%K -1.82%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 29.55%EV -12.70%E -4.10%K -6.05%G +0.000%9.2%2026-05-01 18:50
1xBet2.03I 49.26%NM 46.74%EV -3.47%E -1.71%K -3.37%G +0.000%3.87I 25.84%NM 24.52%EV -6.01%E -1.55%K -2.10%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 28.75%EV -7.07%E -2.14%K -3.07%G +0.000%5.4%2026-05-01 18:54
Coolbet2.00I 50.00%NM 47.44%EV -4.89%E -2.45%K -4.89%G +0.000%3.85I 25.97%NM 24.65%EV -6.50%E -1.69%K -2.28%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.91%EV -4.25%E -1.25%K -1.77%G +0.000%5.4%2026-05-01 18:39
PMU (FR)1.80I 55.56%NM 49.04%EV -14.40%E -8.00%K -18.00%G +0.000%3.85I 25.97%NM 22.93%EV -6.50%E -1.69%K -2.28%G +0.000%3.15I 31.75%NM 28.03%EV -11.29%E -3.59%K -5.25%G +0.000%13.3%2026-05-01 18:50
William Hill1.95I 51.28%NM 46.68%EV -7.27%E -3.73%K -7.65%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 23.95%EV -7.71%E -2.03%K -2.75%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 29.36%EV -12.70%E -4.10%K -6.05%G +0.000%9.9%2026-05-01 18:50
BoyleSports1.87I 53.48%NM 48.16%EV -11.07%E -5.92%K -12.73%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 23.70%EV -7.71%E -2.03%K -2.75%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 28.14%EV -9.89%E -3.09%K -4.49%G +0.000%11.0%2026-05-01 18:19
Paddy Power1.90I 52.63%NM 47.33%EV -9.65%E -5.08%K -10.72%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 23.66%EV -7.71%E -2.03%K -2.75%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 29.01%EV -12.70%E -4.10%K -6.05%G +0.000%11.2%2026-05-01 18:45
Betr (AU)1.95I 51.28%NM 47.77%EV -7.27%E -3.73%K -7.65%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 24.84%EV -8.93%E -2.38%K -3.25%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.40%EV -4.25%E -1.25%K -1.77%G +0.000%7.4%2026-05-01 18:40
theScore Bet1.95I 51.28%NM 47.77%EV -7.27%E -3.73%K -7.65%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 24.84%EV -8.93%E -2.38%K -3.25%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.40%EV -4.25%E -1.25%K -1.77%G +0.000%7.4%2026-05-01 18:40
Betway1.95I 51.28%NM 47.37%EV -7.27%E -3.73%K -7.65%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 24.63%EV -8.93%E -2.38%K -3.25%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.99%EV -7.07%E -2.14%K -3.07%G +0.000%8.3%2026-05-01 18:35
NordicBet1.95I 51.28%NM 47.17%EV -7.27%E -3.73%K -7.65%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 24.53%EV -8.93%E -2.38%K -3.25%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 28.30%EV -8.48%E -2.61%K -3.77%G +0.000%8.7%2026-05-01 18:45
Betsson1.95I 51.28%NM 47.17%EV -7.27%E -3.73%K -7.65%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 24.53%EV -8.93%E -2.38%K -3.25%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 28.30%EV -8.48%E -2.61%K -3.77%G +0.000%8.7%2026-05-01 18:45
Sky Bet1.91I 52.36%NM 46.60%EV -9.17%E -4.80%K -10.08%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 23.73%EV -8.93%E -2.38%K -3.25%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 29.67%EV -15.52%E -5.17%K -7.76%G +0.000%12.4%2026-05-01 18:40
PointsBet (AU)1.95I 51.28%NM 47.61%EV -7.27%E -3.73%K -7.65%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 25.09%EV -10.14%E -2.74%K -3.76%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.30%EV -4.25%E -1.25%K -1.77%G +0.000%7.7%2026-05-01 18:40
BetMGM1.95I 51.28%NM 46.81%EV -7.27%E -3.73%K -7.65%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 24.67%EV -10.14%E -2.74%K -3.76%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 28.52%EV -9.89%E -3.09%K -4.49%G +0.000%9.6%2026-05-01 18:44
Bet Victor1.91I 52.36%NM 47.73%EV -9.17%E -4.80%K -10.08%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 24.64%EV -10.14%E -2.74%K -3.76%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.63%EV -7.07%E -2.14%K -3.07%G +0.000%9.7%2026-05-01 18:54
Codere (IT)1.94I 51.55%NM 46.94%EV -7.75%E -3.99%K -8.24%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 24.61%EV -10.14%E -2.74%K -3.76%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 28.45%EV -9.89%E -3.09%K -4.49%G +0.000%9.8%2026-05-01 18:45
Betclic (FR)1.89I 52.91%NM 47.30%EV -10.12%E -5.36%K -11.38%G +0.000%3.65I 27.40%NM 24.49%EV -11.36%E -3.11%K -4.29%G +0.000%3.17I 31.55%NM 28.20%EV -10.73%E -3.39%K -4.95%G +0.000%11.9%2026-05-01 18:45
betfred_uk1.95I 51.28%NM 46.89%EV -7.27%E -3.73%K -7.65%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.40%EV -12.57%E -3.49%K -4.83%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.71%EV -7.07%E -2.14%K -3.07%G +0.000%9.4%2026-05-01 18:38
Winamax (DE)1.92I 52.08%NM 47.28%EV -8.70%E -4.53%K -9.45%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.21%EV -12.57%E -3.49%K -4.83%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.51%EV -7.07%E -2.14%K -3.07%G +0.000%10.2%2026-05-01 18:45
Ladbrokes (AU)1.91I 52.36%NM 46.58%EV -9.17%E -4.80%K -10.08%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 24.72%EV -12.57%E -3.49%K -4.83%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 28.70%EV -12.70%E -4.10%K -6.05%G +0.000%12.4%2026-05-01 18:15
Neds1.91I 52.36%NM 46.58%EV -9.17%E -4.80%K -10.08%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 24.72%EV -12.57%E -3.49%K -4.83%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 28.70%EV -12.70%E -4.10%K -6.05%G +0.000%12.4%2026-05-01 18:14
Ladbrokes (UK)1.91I 52.36%NM 46.58%EV -9.17%E -4.80%K -10.08%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 24.72%EV -12.57%E -3.49%K -4.83%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 28.70%EV -12.70%E -4.10%K -6.05%G +0.000%12.4%2026-05-01 18:15
Coral1.91I 52.36%NM 46.58%EV -9.17%E -4.80%K -10.08%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 24.72%EV -12.57%E -3.49%K -4.83%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 28.70%EV -12.70%E -4.10%K -6.05%G +0.000%12.4%2026-05-01 18:14
Unibet (FR)1.87I 53.48%NM 47.11%EV -11.07%E -5.92%K -12.73%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 24.47%EV -12.57%E -3.49%K -4.83%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 28.42%EV -12.70%E -4.10%K -6.05%G +0.000%13.5%2026-05-01 18:45
NetBet (FR)1.83I 54.64%NM 47.43%EV -12.98%E -7.09%K -15.63%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 24.11%EV -12.57%E -3.49%K -4.83%G +0.000%3.05I 32.79%NM 28.46%EV -14.11%E -4.63%K -6.88%G +0.000%15.2%2026-05-01 18:50
PlayUp1.98I 50.51%NM 45.74%EV -5.84%E -2.95%K -5.96%G +0.000%3.55I 28.17%NM 25.51%EV -13.78%E -3.88%K -5.41%G +0.000%3.15I 31.75%NM 28.75%EV -11.29%E -3.59%K -5.25%G +0.000%10.4%2026-05-01 18:54
Winamax (FR)1.88I 53.19%NM 46.69%EV -10.60%E -5.64%K -12.04%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 25.44%EV -16.21%E -4.70%K -6.62%G +0.000%3.15I 31.75%NM 27.87%EV -11.29%E -3.59%K -5.25%G +0.000%13.9%2026-05-01 18:44
Betfair Sportsbook (UK)1.83I 54.64%NM 45.29%EV -12.98%E -7.09%K -15.63%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 25.11%EV -19.86%E -6.02%K -8.63%G +0.000%2.80I 35.71%NM 29.60%EV -21.15%E -7.55%K -11.75%G +0.000%20.7%2026-05-01 18:40
الهامش = الهامش · I = الاحتمال الضمني · NM = الاحتمال بلا هامش · EV = القيمة المتوقعة · E = الأفضلية · K = معيار Kelly · G = نمو رأس مال المراهنات

آخر تحديث هو وقت آخر تغيير أجرته كل شركة على سعرها؛ فالوقت الأقدم يعني أن السعر لم يتحرك فحسب، لا أنه متقادم. تُستبعد عادة الشركات التي لم تصل عنها بيانات خلال نحو 15 دقيقة؛ ولا تُعرض آخر الأسعار المسجلة بدلًا من ذلك إلا إذا انقطع تدفق بيانات السوق كله.

بورصات المراهنات (6)

شركة المراهناتالمضيفالضيفتعادلالهامش ▲آخر تحديث
Betfair Exchange (EU)2.06I 48.54%NM 48.17%4.30I 23.26%NM 23.07%3.45I 28.99%NM 28.76%0.8%2026-05-01 18:55
Betfair Exchange (AU)2.06I 48.54%NM 48.17%4.30I 23.26%NM 23.07%3.45I 28.99%NM 28.76%0.8%2026-05-01 18:55
Betfair Exchange (UK)2.06I 48.54%NM 47.96%4.30I 23.26%NM 22.98%3.40I 29.41%NM 29.06%1.2%2026-05-01 18:40
Matchbook2.06I 48.54%NM 47.96%4.30I 23.26%NM 22.98%3.40I 29.41%NM 29.06%1.2%2026-05-01 18:40
Smarkets2.04I 49.02%NM 48.21%4.30I 23.26%NM 22.87%3.40I 29.41%NM 28.92%1.7%2026-05-01 18:55
Kalshi2.00I 50.00%NM 48.08%4.00I 25.00%NM 24.04%3.45I 28.99%NM 27.87%4.0%2026-05-01 18:55