L’École des cotes

Zaragoza v Granada CF

Coup d’envoi : 2026-05-01 19:00 UTC

Score final : Zaragoza 0–1 Granada CF

Cotes de clôture — probabilités calculées et espérance mathématique obtenues, selon le modèle sélectionné, à partir des derniers prix enregistrés avant le coup d’envoi. Le match ayant commencé, il ne s’agit pas de valeurs en direct. Évaluer la fiabilité des prévisions probabilistes de chaque modèle sur l’ensemble des matchs réglés →

Résultat du match

53 opérateurs (18 dans l’analyse )

Probabilité estimée de chaque issue selon le modèle : IQM

Zaragoza (Local)

Prévision 47.55%2.10cote équitable
EV -3.47%
Avantage -1.71%
Kelly -3.37%
Croissance +0.000%

avec la cote maximale 2.03

Distribution des prévisions des opérateurs
45.29%47.59%47.43%49.22%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM
Distribution des cotes
1.801.921.922.0355.56%52.11%52.08%49.26%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM

Granada CF (Visiteur)

Prévision 24.29%4.12cote équitable
EV +0.301%
Avantage +0.073%
Kelly +0.096%
Croissance +0.000%

avec la cote maximale 4.13

Distribution des prévisions des opérateurs
22.75%24.22%24.46%25.51%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM
Distribution des cotes
3.303.833.854.1330.30%26.09%25.97%24.21%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM

Match nul

Prévision 28.16%3.55cote équitable
EV -4.25%
Avantage -1.25%
Kelly -1.77%
Croissance +0.000%

avec la cote maximale 3.40

Distribution des prévisions des opérateurs
27.30%28.19%28.11%29.67%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM
Distribution des cotes
2.803.223.203.4035.71%31.02%31.25%29.41%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM

Cotes des opérateurs (53 opérateurs)

Nous ne sommes affiliés à aucun opérateur de paris et ne tirons aucun bénéfice des opérations réalisées auprès d’eux.

OpérateurLocalVisiteur ▼Match nulMargeMise à jour
Pinnacle2.01I 49.75%NM 48.09%EV -4.42%E -2.20%K -4.37%G +0.000%4.13I 24.21%NM 23.40%EV +0.301%E +0.073%K +0.096%G +0.000%3.39I 29.50%NM 28.51%EV -4.54%E -1.34%K -1.90%G +0.000%3.5%2026-05-01 18:50
Unibet1.92I 52.08%NM 48.99%EV -8.70%E -4.53%K -9.45%G +0.000%4.10I 24.39%NM 22.94%EV -0.427%E -0.104%K -0.138%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 28.08%EV -5.66%E -1.69%K -2.41%G +0.000%6.3%2026-05-01 18:05
Unibet (SE)1.92I 52.08%NM 48.99%EV -8.70%E -4.53%K -9.45%G +0.000%4.10I 24.39%NM 22.94%EV -0.427%E -0.104%K -0.138%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 28.08%EV -5.66%E -1.69%K -2.41%G +0.000%6.3%2026-05-01 18:04
Unibet (NL)1.92I 52.08%NM 48.99%EV -8.70%E -4.53%K -9.45%G +0.000%4.10I 24.39%NM 22.94%EV -0.427%E -0.104%K -0.138%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 28.08%EV -5.66%E -1.69%K -2.41%G +0.000%6.3%2026-05-01 18:05
Svenska Spel1.92I 52.08%NM 48.99%EV -8.70%E -4.53%K -9.45%G +0.000%4.10I 24.39%NM 22.94%EV -0.427%E -0.104%K -0.138%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 28.08%EV -5.66%E -1.69%K -2.41%G +0.000%6.3%2026-05-01 18:05
ATG (SE)1.92I 52.08%NM 48.99%EV -8.70%E -4.53%K -9.45%G +0.000%4.10I 24.39%NM 22.94%EV -0.427%E -0.104%K -0.138%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 28.08%EV -5.66%E -1.69%K -2.41%G +0.000%6.3%2026-05-01 18:05
Fanatics1.95I 51.28%NM 48.52%EV -7.27%E -3.73%K -7.65%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.65%EV -2.86%E -0.714%K -0.952%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.83%EV -4.25%E -1.25%K -1.77%G +0.000%5.7%2026-05-01 18:35
LowVig.ag1.97I 50.76%NM 47.44%EV -6.32%E -3.21%K -6.51%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.36%EV -2.86%E -0.714%K -0.952%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 29.20%EV -9.89%E -3.09%K -4.49%G +0.000%7.0%2026-05-01 18:40
BetOnline.ag1.97I 50.76%NM 47.44%EV -6.32%E -3.21%K -6.51%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.36%EV -2.86%E -0.714%K -0.952%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 29.20%EV -9.89%E -3.09%K -4.49%G +0.000%7.0%2026-05-01 18:40
BetAnything1.97I 50.76%NM 47.44%EV -6.32%E -3.21%K -6.51%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.36%EV -2.86%E -0.714%K -0.952%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 29.20%EV -9.89%E -3.09%K -4.49%G +0.000%7.0%2026-05-01 18:39
FanDuel1.95I 51.28%NM 47.69%EV -7.27%E -3.73%K -7.65%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.25%EV -2.86%E -0.714%K -0.952%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 29.06%EV -9.89%E -3.09%K -4.49%G +0.000%7.5%2026-05-01 18:40
Tipico (DE)1.90I 52.63%NM 48.34%EV -9.65%E -5.08%K -10.72%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 22.96%EV -2.86%E -0.714%K -0.952%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 28.70%EV -9.89%E -3.09%K -4.49%G +0.000%8.9%2026-05-01 17:59
Grosvenor1.88I 53.19%NM 48.82%EV -10.60%E -5.64%K -12.04%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 22.94%EV -2.86%E -0.714%K -0.952%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 28.24%EV -8.48%E -2.61%K -3.77%G +0.000%9.0%2026-05-01 18:04
Casumo1.88I 53.19%NM 48.82%EV -10.60%E -5.64%K -12.04%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 22.94%EV -2.86%E -0.714%K -0.952%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 28.24%EV -8.48%E -2.61%K -3.77%G +0.000%9.0%2026-05-01 18:04
TABtouch1.88I 53.19%NM 48.82%EV -10.60%E -5.64%K -12.04%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 22.94%EV -2.86%E -0.714%K -0.952%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 28.24%EV -8.48%E -2.61%K -3.77%G +0.000%9.0%2026-05-01 18:05
betPARX1.88I 53.19%NM 48.82%EV -10.60%E -5.64%K -12.04%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 22.94%EV -2.86%E -0.714%K -0.952%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 28.24%EV -8.48%E -2.61%K -3.77%G +0.000%9.0%2026-05-01 18:05
LeoVegas (SE)1.87I 53.48%NM 48.95%EV -11.07%E -5.92%K -12.73%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 22.88%EV -2.86%E -0.714%K -0.952%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 28.17%EV -8.48%E -2.61%K -3.77%G +0.000%9.2%2026-05-01 18:04
LeoVegas1.85I 54.05%NM 49.22%EV -12.03%E -6.50%K -14.15%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 22.76%EV -2.86%E -0.714%K -0.952%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 28.02%EV -8.48%E -2.61%K -3.77%G +0.000%9.8%2026-05-01 18:50
SportsBet1.90I 52.63%NM 47.89%EV -9.65%E -5.08%K -10.72%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 22.75%EV -2.86%E -0.714%K -0.952%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 29.35%EV -12.70%E -4.10%K -6.05%G +0.000%9.9%2026-05-01 17:55
LiveScore Bet1.84I 54.35%NM 49.00%EV -12.50%E -6.79%K -14.88%G +0.000%3.95I 25.32%NM 22.83%EV -4.07%E -1.03%K -1.38%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 28.17%EV -9.89%E -3.09%K -4.49%G +0.000%10.9%2026-05-01 18:04
Virgin Bet1.84I 54.35%NM 49.00%EV -12.50%E -6.79%K -14.88%G +0.000%3.95I 25.32%NM 22.83%EV -4.07%E -1.03%K -1.38%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 28.17%EV -9.89%E -3.09%K -4.49%G +0.000%10.9%2026-05-01 18:04
Marathon Bet1.94I 51.55%NM 48.09%EV -7.75%E -3.99%K -8.24%G +0.000%3.92I 25.51%NM 23.80%EV -4.80%E -1.22%K -1.64%G +0.000%3.32I 30.12%NM 28.10%EV -6.51%E -1.96%K -2.80%G +0.000%7.2%2026-05-01 18:45
DraftKings2.00I 50.00%NM 47.40%EV -4.89%E -2.45%K -4.89%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 24.31%EV -5.28%E -1.36%K -1.82%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 28.30%EV -5.66%E -1.69%K -2.41%G +0.000%5.5%2026-05-01 18:39
Bovada1.93I 51.81%NM 47.66%EV -8.22%E -4.26%K -8.84%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 23.59%EV -5.28%E -1.36%K -1.82%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 28.75%EV -9.89%E -3.09%K -4.49%G +0.000%8.7%2026-05-01 18:51
Mr Green (SE)1.95I 51.28%NM 46.97%EV -7.27%E -3.73%K -7.65%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 23.48%EV -5.28%E -1.36%K -1.82%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 29.55%EV -12.70%E -4.10%K -6.05%G +0.000%9.2%2026-05-01 18:50
1xBet2.03I 49.26%NM 46.74%EV -3.47%E -1.71%K -3.37%G +0.000%3.87I 25.84%NM 24.52%EV -6.01%E -1.55%K -2.10%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 28.75%EV -7.07%E -2.14%K -3.07%G +0.000%5.4%2026-05-01 18:54
Coolbet2.00I 50.00%NM 47.44%EV -4.89%E -2.45%K -4.89%G +0.000%3.85I 25.97%NM 24.65%EV -6.50%E -1.69%K -2.28%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.91%EV -4.25%E -1.25%K -1.77%G +0.000%5.4%2026-05-01 18:39
PMU (FR)1.80I 55.56%NM 49.04%EV -14.40%E -8.00%K -18.00%G +0.000%3.85I 25.97%NM 22.93%EV -6.50%E -1.69%K -2.28%G +0.000%3.15I 31.75%NM 28.03%EV -11.29%E -3.59%K -5.25%G +0.000%13.3%2026-05-01 18:50
William Hill1.95I 51.28%NM 46.68%EV -7.27%E -3.73%K -7.65%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 23.95%EV -7.71%E -2.03%K -2.75%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 29.36%EV -12.70%E -4.10%K -6.05%G +0.000%9.9%2026-05-01 18:50
BoyleSports1.87I 53.48%NM 48.16%EV -11.07%E -5.92%K -12.73%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 23.70%EV -7.71%E -2.03%K -2.75%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 28.14%EV -9.89%E -3.09%K -4.49%G +0.000%11.0%2026-05-01 18:19
Paddy Power1.90I 52.63%NM 47.33%EV -9.65%E -5.08%K -10.72%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 23.66%EV -7.71%E -2.03%K -2.75%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 29.01%EV -12.70%E -4.10%K -6.05%G +0.000%11.2%2026-05-01 18:45
Betr (AU)1.95I 51.28%NM 47.77%EV -7.27%E -3.73%K -7.65%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 24.84%EV -8.93%E -2.38%K -3.25%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.40%EV -4.25%E -1.25%K -1.77%G +0.000%7.4%2026-05-01 18:40
theScore Bet1.95I 51.28%NM 47.77%EV -7.27%E -3.73%K -7.65%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 24.84%EV -8.93%E -2.38%K -3.25%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.40%EV -4.25%E -1.25%K -1.77%G +0.000%7.4%2026-05-01 18:40
Betway1.95I 51.28%NM 47.37%EV -7.27%E -3.73%K -7.65%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 24.63%EV -8.93%E -2.38%K -3.25%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.99%EV -7.07%E -2.14%K -3.07%G +0.000%8.3%2026-05-01 18:35
NordicBet1.95I 51.28%NM 47.17%EV -7.27%E -3.73%K -7.65%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 24.53%EV -8.93%E -2.38%K -3.25%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 28.30%EV -8.48%E -2.61%K -3.77%G +0.000%8.7%2026-05-01 18:45
Betsson1.95I 51.28%NM 47.17%EV -7.27%E -3.73%K -7.65%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 24.53%EV -8.93%E -2.38%K -3.25%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 28.30%EV -8.48%E -2.61%K -3.77%G +0.000%8.7%2026-05-01 18:45
Sky Bet1.91I 52.36%NM 46.60%EV -9.17%E -4.80%K -10.08%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 23.73%EV -8.93%E -2.38%K -3.25%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 29.67%EV -15.52%E -5.17%K -7.76%G +0.000%12.4%2026-05-01 18:40
PointsBet (AU)1.95I 51.28%NM 47.61%EV -7.27%E -3.73%K -7.65%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 25.09%EV -10.14%E -2.74%K -3.76%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.30%EV -4.25%E -1.25%K -1.77%G +0.000%7.7%2026-05-01 18:40
BetMGM1.95I 51.28%NM 46.81%EV -7.27%E -3.73%K -7.65%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 24.67%EV -10.14%E -2.74%K -3.76%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 28.52%EV -9.89%E -3.09%K -4.49%G +0.000%9.6%2026-05-01 18:44
Bet Victor1.91I 52.36%NM 47.73%EV -9.17%E -4.80%K -10.08%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 24.64%EV -10.14%E -2.74%K -3.76%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.63%EV -7.07%E -2.14%K -3.07%G +0.000%9.7%2026-05-01 18:54
Codere (IT)1.94I 51.55%NM 46.94%EV -7.75%E -3.99%K -8.24%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 24.61%EV -10.14%E -2.74%K -3.76%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 28.45%EV -9.89%E -3.09%K -4.49%G +0.000%9.8%2026-05-01 18:45
Betclic (FR)1.89I 52.91%NM 47.30%EV -10.12%E -5.36%K -11.38%G +0.000%3.65I 27.40%NM 24.49%EV -11.36%E -3.11%K -4.29%G +0.000%3.17I 31.55%NM 28.20%EV -10.73%E -3.39%K -4.95%G +0.000%11.9%2026-05-01 18:45
betfred_uk1.95I 51.28%NM 46.89%EV -7.27%E -3.73%K -7.65%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.40%EV -12.57%E -3.49%K -4.83%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.71%EV -7.07%E -2.14%K -3.07%G +0.000%9.4%2026-05-01 18:38
Winamax (DE)1.92I 52.08%NM 47.28%EV -8.70%E -4.53%K -9.45%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.21%EV -12.57%E -3.49%K -4.83%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.51%EV -7.07%E -2.14%K -3.07%G +0.000%10.2%2026-05-01 18:45
Ladbrokes (AU)1.91I 52.36%NM 46.58%EV -9.17%E -4.80%K -10.08%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 24.72%EV -12.57%E -3.49%K -4.83%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 28.70%EV -12.70%E -4.10%K -6.05%G +0.000%12.4%2026-05-01 18:15
Neds1.91I 52.36%NM 46.58%EV -9.17%E -4.80%K -10.08%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 24.72%EV -12.57%E -3.49%K -4.83%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 28.70%EV -12.70%E -4.10%K -6.05%G +0.000%12.4%2026-05-01 18:14
Ladbrokes (UK)1.91I 52.36%NM 46.58%EV -9.17%E -4.80%K -10.08%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 24.72%EV -12.57%E -3.49%K -4.83%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 28.70%EV -12.70%E -4.10%K -6.05%G +0.000%12.4%2026-05-01 18:15
Coral1.91I 52.36%NM 46.58%EV -9.17%E -4.80%K -10.08%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 24.72%EV -12.57%E -3.49%K -4.83%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 28.70%EV -12.70%E -4.10%K -6.05%G +0.000%12.4%2026-05-01 18:14
Unibet (FR)1.87I 53.48%NM 47.11%EV -11.07%E -5.92%K -12.73%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 24.47%EV -12.57%E -3.49%K -4.83%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 28.42%EV -12.70%E -4.10%K -6.05%G +0.000%13.5%2026-05-01 18:45
NetBet (FR)1.83I 54.64%NM 47.43%EV -12.98%E -7.09%K -15.63%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 24.11%EV -12.57%E -3.49%K -4.83%G +0.000%3.05I 32.79%NM 28.46%EV -14.11%E -4.63%K -6.88%G +0.000%15.2%2026-05-01 18:50
PlayUp1.98I 50.51%NM 45.74%EV -5.84%E -2.95%K -5.96%G +0.000%3.55I 28.17%NM 25.51%EV -13.78%E -3.88%K -5.41%G +0.000%3.15I 31.75%NM 28.75%EV -11.29%E -3.59%K -5.25%G +0.000%10.4%2026-05-01 18:54
Winamax (FR)1.88I 53.19%NM 46.69%EV -10.60%E -5.64%K -12.04%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 25.44%EV -16.21%E -4.70%K -6.62%G +0.000%3.15I 31.75%NM 27.87%EV -11.29%E -3.59%K -5.25%G +0.000%13.9%2026-05-01 18:44
Betfair Sportsbook (UK)1.83I 54.64%NM 45.29%EV -12.98%E -7.09%K -15.63%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 25.11%EV -19.86%E -6.02%K -8.63%G +0.000%2.80I 35.71%NM 29.60%EV -21.15%E -7.55%K -11.75%G +0.000%20.7%2026-05-01 18:40
Marge = Marge · I = Probabilité implicite · NM = Probabilité sans marge · EV = Espérance mathématique · E = Avantage · K = Critère de Kelly · G = Croissance du capital de jeu

Mise à jour indique le dernier changement de prix de chaque opérateur. Une heure ancienne signifie donc seulement que la cote n’a pas bougé, et non qu’elle est périmée. Les opérateurs absents du flux depuis environ 15 minutes sont normalement écartés ; les derniers prix enregistrés ne sont conservés que si le flux de tout le marché devient silencieux.

Plateformes d’échange (6)

OpérateurLocalVisiteurMatch nulMarge ▲Mise à jour
Betfair Exchange (EU)2.06I 48.54%NM 48.17%4.30I 23.26%NM 23.07%3.45I 28.99%NM 28.76%0.8%2026-05-01 18:55
Betfair Exchange (AU)2.06I 48.54%NM 48.17%4.30I 23.26%NM 23.07%3.45I 28.99%NM 28.76%0.8%2026-05-01 18:55
Betfair Exchange (UK)2.06I 48.54%NM 47.96%4.30I 23.26%NM 22.98%3.40I 29.41%NM 29.06%1.2%2026-05-01 18:40
Matchbook2.06I 48.54%NM 47.96%4.30I 23.26%NM 22.98%3.40I 29.41%NM 29.06%1.2%2026-05-01 18:40
Smarkets2.04I 49.02%NM 48.21%4.30I 23.26%NM 22.87%3.40I 29.41%NM 28.92%1.7%2026-05-01 18:55
Kalshi2.00I 50.00%NM 48.08%4.00I 25.00%NM 24.04%3.45I 28.99%NM 27.87%4.0%2026-05-01 18:55