A Escola das Odds

Zaragoza v Granada CF

Início: 2026-05-01 19:00 UTC

Final: Zaragoza 0–1 Granada CF

Odds de fecho — as probabilidades calculadas e o valor esperado com base nas últimas cotações registadas antes do início, segundo o modelo selecionado. O jogo já começou, pelo que estes valores não são atuais. Avaliar a fiabilidade das previsões probabilísticas de cada modelo face aos resultados de todos os jogos concluídos →

Frente a frente

53 casas de apostas (18 na análise )

Probabilidade estimada de cada resultado, segundo o modelo: IQM

Zaragoza (Local)

Previsão 47.55%2.10odd justa
EV -3.47%
Vantagem -1.71%
Kelly -3.37%
Crescimento +0.000%

pressupondo odds máximas de 2.03

Distribuição das previsões das casas de apostas
45.29%47.59%47.43%49.22%MINMÉDIAMEDIANAMAX
Distribuição das odds
1.801.921.922.0355.56%52.11%52.08%49.26%MINMÉDIAMEDIANAMAX

Granada CF (Visitante)

Previsão 24.29%4.12odd justa
EV +0.301%
Vantagem +0.073%
Kelly +0.096%
Crescimento +0.000%

pressupondo odds máximas de 4.13

Distribuição das previsões das casas de apostas
22.75%24.22%24.46%25.51%MINMÉDIAMEDIANAMAX
Distribuição das odds
3.303.833.854.1330.30%26.09%25.97%24.21%MINMÉDIAMEDIANAMAX

Empate

Previsão 28.16%3.55odd justa
EV -4.25%
Vantagem -1.25%
Kelly -1.77%
Crescimento +0.000%

pressupondo odds máximas de 3.40

Distribuição das previsões das casas de apostas
27.30%28.19%28.11%29.67%MINMÉDIAMEDIANAMAX
Distribuição das odds
2.803.223.203.4035.71%31.02%31.25%29.41%MINMÉDIAMEDIANAMAX

Odds das casas de apostas (53 casas de apostas)

Não temos qualquer vínculo com casas de apostas e não recebemos nada pelas ações realizadas junto delas.

Casa de apostasLocalVisitante ▼EmpateMargemAtualização
Pinnacle2.01I 49.75%NM 48.09%EV -4.42%E -2.20%K -4.37%G +0.000%4.13I 24.21%NM 23.40%EV +0.301%E +0.073%K +0.096%G +0.000%3.39I 29.50%NM 28.51%EV -4.54%E -1.34%K -1.90%G +0.000%3.5%2026-05-01 18:50
Unibet1.92I 52.08%NM 48.99%EV -8.70%E -4.53%K -9.45%G +0.000%4.10I 24.39%NM 22.94%EV -0.427%E -0.104%K -0.138%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 28.08%EV -5.66%E -1.69%K -2.41%G +0.000%6.3%2026-05-01 18:05
Unibet (SE)1.92I 52.08%NM 48.99%EV -8.70%E -4.53%K -9.45%G +0.000%4.10I 24.39%NM 22.94%EV -0.427%E -0.104%K -0.138%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 28.08%EV -5.66%E -1.69%K -2.41%G +0.000%6.3%2026-05-01 18:04
Unibet (NL)1.92I 52.08%NM 48.99%EV -8.70%E -4.53%K -9.45%G +0.000%4.10I 24.39%NM 22.94%EV -0.427%E -0.104%K -0.138%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 28.08%EV -5.66%E -1.69%K -2.41%G +0.000%6.3%2026-05-01 18:05
Svenska Spel1.92I 52.08%NM 48.99%EV -8.70%E -4.53%K -9.45%G +0.000%4.10I 24.39%NM 22.94%EV -0.427%E -0.104%K -0.138%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 28.08%EV -5.66%E -1.69%K -2.41%G +0.000%6.3%2026-05-01 18:05
ATG (SE)1.92I 52.08%NM 48.99%EV -8.70%E -4.53%K -9.45%G +0.000%4.10I 24.39%NM 22.94%EV -0.427%E -0.104%K -0.138%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 28.08%EV -5.66%E -1.69%K -2.41%G +0.000%6.3%2026-05-01 18:05
Fanatics1.95I 51.28%NM 48.52%EV -7.27%E -3.73%K -7.65%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.65%EV -2.86%E -0.714%K -0.952%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.83%EV -4.25%E -1.25%K -1.77%G +0.000%5.7%2026-05-01 18:35
LowVig.ag1.97I 50.76%NM 47.44%EV -6.32%E -3.21%K -6.51%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.36%EV -2.86%E -0.714%K -0.952%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 29.20%EV -9.89%E -3.09%K -4.49%G +0.000%7.0%2026-05-01 18:40
BetOnline.ag1.97I 50.76%NM 47.44%EV -6.32%E -3.21%K -6.51%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.36%EV -2.86%E -0.714%K -0.952%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 29.20%EV -9.89%E -3.09%K -4.49%G +0.000%7.0%2026-05-01 18:40
BetAnything1.97I 50.76%NM 47.44%EV -6.32%E -3.21%K -6.51%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.36%EV -2.86%E -0.714%K -0.952%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 29.20%EV -9.89%E -3.09%K -4.49%G +0.000%7.0%2026-05-01 18:39
FanDuel1.95I 51.28%NM 47.69%EV -7.27%E -3.73%K -7.65%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.25%EV -2.86%E -0.714%K -0.952%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 29.06%EV -9.89%E -3.09%K -4.49%G +0.000%7.5%2026-05-01 18:40
Tipico (DE)1.90I 52.63%NM 48.34%EV -9.65%E -5.08%K -10.72%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 22.96%EV -2.86%E -0.714%K -0.952%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 28.70%EV -9.89%E -3.09%K -4.49%G +0.000%8.9%2026-05-01 17:59
Grosvenor1.88I 53.19%NM 48.82%EV -10.60%E -5.64%K -12.04%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 22.94%EV -2.86%E -0.714%K -0.952%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 28.24%EV -8.48%E -2.61%K -3.77%G +0.000%9.0%2026-05-01 18:04
Casumo1.88I 53.19%NM 48.82%EV -10.60%E -5.64%K -12.04%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 22.94%EV -2.86%E -0.714%K -0.952%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 28.24%EV -8.48%E -2.61%K -3.77%G +0.000%9.0%2026-05-01 18:04
TABtouch1.88I 53.19%NM 48.82%EV -10.60%E -5.64%K -12.04%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 22.94%EV -2.86%E -0.714%K -0.952%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 28.24%EV -8.48%E -2.61%K -3.77%G +0.000%9.0%2026-05-01 18:05
betPARX1.88I 53.19%NM 48.82%EV -10.60%E -5.64%K -12.04%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 22.94%EV -2.86%E -0.714%K -0.952%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 28.24%EV -8.48%E -2.61%K -3.77%G +0.000%9.0%2026-05-01 18:05
LeoVegas (SE)1.87I 53.48%NM 48.95%EV -11.07%E -5.92%K -12.73%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 22.88%EV -2.86%E -0.714%K -0.952%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 28.17%EV -8.48%E -2.61%K -3.77%G +0.000%9.2%2026-05-01 18:04
LeoVegas1.85I 54.05%NM 49.22%EV -12.03%E -6.50%K -14.15%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 22.76%EV -2.86%E -0.714%K -0.952%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 28.02%EV -8.48%E -2.61%K -3.77%G +0.000%9.8%2026-05-01 18:50
SportsBet1.90I 52.63%NM 47.89%EV -9.65%E -5.08%K -10.72%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 22.75%EV -2.86%E -0.714%K -0.952%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 29.35%EV -12.70%E -4.10%K -6.05%G +0.000%9.9%2026-05-01 17:55
LiveScore Bet1.84I 54.35%NM 49.00%EV -12.50%E -6.79%K -14.88%G +0.000%3.95I 25.32%NM 22.83%EV -4.07%E -1.03%K -1.38%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 28.17%EV -9.89%E -3.09%K -4.49%G +0.000%10.9%2026-05-01 18:04
Virgin Bet1.84I 54.35%NM 49.00%EV -12.50%E -6.79%K -14.88%G +0.000%3.95I 25.32%NM 22.83%EV -4.07%E -1.03%K -1.38%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 28.17%EV -9.89%E -3.09%K -4.49%G +0.000%10.9%2026-05-01 18:04
Marathon Bet1.94I 51.55%NM 48.09%EV -7.75%E -3.99%K -8.24%G +0.000%3.92I 25.51%NM 23.80%EV -4.80%E -1.22%K -1.64%G +0.000%3.32I 30.12%NM 28.10%EV -6.51%E -1.96%K -2.80%G +0.000%7.2%2026-05-01 18:45
DraftKings2.00I 50.00%NM 47.40%EV -4.89%E -2.45%K -4.89%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 24.31%EV -5.28%E -1.36%K -1.82%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 28.30%EV -5.66%E -1.69%K -2.41%G +0.000%5.5%2026-05-01 18:39
Bovada1.93I 51.81%NM 47.66%EV -8.22%E -4.26%K -8.84%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 23.59%EV -5.28%E -1.36%K -1.82%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 28.75%EV -9.89%E -3.09%K -4.49%G +0.000%8.7%2026-05-01 18:51
Mr Green (SE)1.95I 51.28%NM 46.97%EV -7.27%E -3.73%K -7.65%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 23.48%EV -5.28%E -1.36%K -1.82%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 29.55%EV -12.70%E -4.10%K -6.05%G +0.000%9.2%2026-05-01 18:50
1xBet2.03I 49.26%NM 46.74%EV -3.47%E -1.71%K -3.37%G +0.000%3.87I 25.84%NM 24.52%EV -6.01%E -1.55%K -2.10%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 28.75%EV -7.07%E -2.14%K -3.07%G +0.000%5.4%2026-05-01 18:54
Coolbet2.00I 50.00%NM 47.44%EV -4.89%E -2.45%K -4.89%G +0.000%3.85I 25.97%NM 24.65%EV -6.50%E -1.69%K -2.28%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.91%EV -4.25%E -1.25%K -1.77%G +0.000%5.4%2026-05-01 18:39
PMU (FR)1.80I 55.56%NM 49.04%EV -14.40%E -8.00%K -18.00%G +0.000%3.85I 25.97%NM 22.93%EV -6.50%E -1.69%K -2.28%G +0.000%3.15I 31.75%NM 28.03%EV -11.29%E -3.59%K -5.25%G +0.000%13.3%2026-05-01 18:50
William Hill1.95I 51.28%NM 46.68%EV -7.27%E -3.73%K -7.65%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 23.95%EV -7.71%E -2.03%K -2.75%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 29.36%EV -12.70%E -4.10%K -6.05%G +0.000%9.9%2026-05-01 18:50
BoyleSports1.87I 53.48%NM 48.16%EV -11.07%E -5.92%K -12.73%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 23.70%EV -7.71%E -2.03%K -2.75%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 28.14%EV -9.89%E -3.09%K -4.49%G +0.000%11.0%2026-05-01 18:19
Paddy Power1.90I 52.63%NM 47.33%EV -9.65%E -5.08%K -10.72%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 23.66%EV -7.71%E -2.03%K -2.75%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 29.01%EV -12.70%E -4.10%K -6.05%G +0.000%11.2%2026-05-01 18:45
Betr (AU)1.95I 51.28%NM 47.77%EV -7.27%E -3.73%K -7.65%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 24.84%EV -8.93%E -2.38%K -3.25%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.40%EV -4.25%E -1.25%K -1.77%G +0.000%7.4%2026-05-01 18:40
theScore Bet1.95I 51.28%NM 47.77%EV -7.27%E -3.73%K -7.65%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 24.84%EV -8.93%E -2.38%K -3.25%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.40%EV -4.25%E -1.25%K -1.77%G +0.000%7.4%2026-05-01 18:40
Betway1.95I 51.28%NM 47.37%EV -7.27%E -3.73%K -7.65%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 24.63%EV -8.93%E -2.38%K -3.25%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.99%EV -7.07%E -2.14%K -3.07%G +0.000%8.3%2026-05-01 18:35
NordicBet1.95I 51.28%NM 47.17%EV -7.27%E -3.73%K -7.65%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 24.53%EV -8.93%E -2.38%K -3.25%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 28.30%EV -8.48%E -2.61%K -3.77%G +0.000%8.7%2026-05-01 18:45
Betsson1.95I 51.28%NM 47.17%EV -7.27%E -3.73%K -7.65%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 24.53%EV -8.93%E -2.38%K -3.25%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 28.30%EV -8.48%E -2.61%K -3.77%G +0.000%8.7%2026-05-01 18:45
Sky Bet1.91I 52.36%NM 46.60%EV -9.17%E -4.80%K -10.08%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 23.73%EV -8.93%E -2.38%K -3.25%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 29.67%EV -15.52%E -5.17%K -7.76%G +0.000%12.4%2026-05-01 18:40
PointsBet (AU)1.95I 51.28%NM 47.61%EV -7.27%E -3.73%K -7.65%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 25.09%EV -10.14%E -2.74%K -3.76%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.30%EV -4.25%E -1.25%K -1.77%G +0.000%7.7%2026-05-01 18:40
BetMGM1.95I 51.28%NM 46.81%EV -7.27%E -3.73%K -7.65%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 24.67%EV -10.14%E -2.74%K -3.76%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 28.52%EV -9.89%E -3.09%K -4.49%G +0.000%9.6%2026-05-01 18:44
Bet Victor1.91I 52.36%NM 47.73%EV -9.17%E -4.80%K -10.08%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 24.64%EV -10.14%E -2.74%K -3.76%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.63%EV -7.07%E -2.14%K -3.07%G +0.000%9.7%2026-05-01 18:54
Codere (IT)1.94I 51.55%NM 46.94%EV -7.75%E -3.99%K -8.24%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 24.61%EV -10.14%E -2.74%K -3.76%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 28.45%EV -9.89%E -3.09%K -4.49%G +0.000%9.8%2026-05-01 18:45
Betclic (FR)1.89I 52.91%NM 47.30%EV -10.12%E -5.36%K -11.38%G +0.000%3.65I 27.40%NM 24.49%EV -11.36%E -3.11%K -4.29%G +0.000%3.17I 31.55%NM 28.20%EV -10.73%E -3.39%K -4.95%G +0.000%11.9%2026-05-01 18:45
betfred_uk1.95I 51.28%NM 46.89%EV -7.27%E -3.73%K -7.65%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.40%EV -12.57%E -3.49%K -4.83%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.71%EV -7.07%E -2.14%K -3.07%G +0.000%9.4%2026-05-01 18:38
Winamax (DE)1.92I 52.08%NM 47.28%EV -8.70%E -4.53%K -9.45%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.21%EV -12.57%E -3.49%K -4.83%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.51%EV -7.07%E -2.14%K -3.07%G +0.000%10.2%2026-05-01 18:45
Ladbrokes (AU)1.91I 52.36%NM 46.58%EV -9.17%E -4.80%K -10.08%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 24.72%EV -12.57%E -3.49%K -4.83%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 28.70%EV -12.70%E -4.10%K -6.05%G +0.000%12.4%2026-05-01 18:15
Neds1.91I 52.36%NM 46.58%EV -9.17%E -4.80%K -10.08%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 24.72%EV -12.57%E -3.49%K -4.83%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 28.70%EV -12.70%E -4.10%K -6.05%G +0.000%12.4%2026-05-01 18:14
Ladbrokes (UK)1.91I 52.36%NM 46.58%EV -9.17%E -4.80%K -10.08%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 24.72%EV -12.57%E -3.49%K -4.83%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 28.70%EV -12.70%E -4.10%K -6.05%G +0.000%12.4%2026-05-01 18:15
Coral1.91I 52.36%NM 46.58%EV -9.17%E -4.80%K -10.08%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 24.72%EV -12.57%E -3.49%K -4.83%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 28.70%EV -12.70%E -4.10%K -6.05%G +0.000%12.4%2026-05-01 18:14
Unibet (FR)1.87I 53.48%NM 47.11%EV -11.07%E -5.92%K -12.73%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 24.47%EV -12.57%E -3.49%K -4.83%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 28.42%EV -12.70%E -4.10%K -6.05%G +0.000%13.5%2026-05-01 18:45
NetBet (FR)1.83I 54.64%NM 47.43%EV -12.98%E -7.09%K -15.63%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 24.11%EV -12.57%E -3.49%K -4.83%G +0.000%3.05I 32.79%NM 28.46%EV -14.11%E -4.63%K -6.88%G +0.000%15.2%2026-05-01 18:50
PlayUp1.98I 50.51%NM 45.74%EV -5.84%E -2.95%K -5.96%G +0.000%3.55I 28.17%NM 25.51%EV -13.78%E -3.88%K -5.41%G +0.000%3.15I 31.75%NM 28.75%EV -11.29%E -3.59%K -5.25%G +0.000%10.4%2026-05-01 18:54
Winamax (FR)1.88I 53.19%NM 46.69%EV -10.60%E -5.64%K -12.04%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 25.44%EV -16.21%E -4.70%K -6.62%G +0.000%3.15I 31.75%NM 27.87%EV -11.29%E -3.59%K -5.25%G +0.000%13.9%2026-05-01 18:44
Betfair Sportsbook (UK)1.83I 54.64%NM 45.29%EV -12.98%E -7.09%K -15.63%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 25.11%EV -19.86%E -6.02%K -8.63%G +0.000%2.80I 35.71%NM 29.60%EV -21.15%E -7.55%K -11.75%G +0.000%20.7%2026-05-01 18:40
Margem = Margem · I = Probabilidade implícita · NM = Probabilidade sem margem · EV = Valor esperado · E = Vantagem · K = Critério de Kelly · G = Crescimento do capital de apostas

Atualização indica quando cada casa alterou a cotação pela última vez; uma hora mais antiga significa apenas que as odds não mudaram, não que estejam desatualizadas. As casas sem dados nos últimos ~15 minutos são normalmente excluídas; apenas quando a fonte de todo um mercado fica sem atualizações se mostram as últimas cotações registadas.

Bolsas de apostas (6)

Casa de apostasLocalVisitanteEmpateMargem ▲Atualização
Betfair Exchange (EU)2.06I 48.54%NM 48.17%4.30I 23.26%NM 23.07%3.45I 28.99%NM 28.76%0.8%2026-05-01 18:55
Betfair Exchange (AU)2.06I 48.54%NM 48.17%4.30I 23.26%NM 23.07%3.45I 28.99%NM 28.76%0.8%2026-05-01 18:55
Betfair Exchange (UK)2.06I 48.54%NM 47.96%4.30I 23.26%NM 22.98%3.40I 29.41%NM 29.06%1.2%2026-05-01 18:40
Matchbook2.06I 48.54%NM 47.96%4.30I 23.26%NM 22.98%3.40I 29.41%NM 29.06%1.2%2026-05-01 18:40
Smarkets2.04I 49.02%NM 48.21%4.30I 23.26%NM 22.87%3.40I 29.41%NM 28.92%1.7%2026-05-01 18:55
Kalshi2.00I 50.00%NM 48.08%4.00I 25.00%NM 24.04%3.45I 28.99%NM 27.87%4.0%2026-05-01 18:55