La escuela de los momiosIdioma:Español
Zaragoza v Granada CF
Momios de cierre — las predicciones y el valor esperado calculados con los últimos momios registrados antes del inicio, según el modelo seleccionado. El partido ya comenzó; estas cifras no son datos en vivo. Evalúe la fiabilidad de las predicciones probabilísticas de cada modelo frente a los resultados de todos los partidos resueltos →
Resultado del partido
Zaragoza (Local)
Predicción 47.55%2.10momio equitativo
EV -3.47%
Ventaja -1.71%
Kelly -3.37%
Crecimiento +0.000%
suponiendo unos momios máximos de 2.03
Distribución de las predicciones de los corredores
45.29%47.59%47.43%49.22%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX
Distribución de los momios
1.801.921.922.0355.56%52.11%52.08%49.26%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX
Granada CF (Visitante)
Predicción 24.29%4.12momio equitativo
EV +0.301%
Ventaja +0.073%
Kelly +0.096%
Crecimiento +0.000%
suponiendo unos momios máximos de 4.13
Distribución de las predicciones de los corredores
22.75%24.22%24.46%25.51%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX
Distribución de los momios
3.303.833.854.1330.30%26.09%25.97%24.21%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX
Empate
Predicción 28.16%3.55momio equitativo
EV -4.25%
Ventaja -1.25%
Kelly -1.77%
Crecimiento +0.000%
suponiendo unos momios máximos de 3.40
Distribución de las predicciones de los corredores
27.30%28.19%28.11%29.67%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX
Distribución de los momios
2.803.223.203.4035.71%31.02%31.25%29.41%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX
Momios de las casas de apuestas (53 corredores)
No estamos afiliados a ninguna casa de apuestas ni obtenemos beneficio alguno de las operaciones realizadas con ellas.
| Corredor | Local | Visitante ▼ | Empate | Margen | Actualizado |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Pinnacle | 2.01I 49.75%NM 48.09%EV -4.42%E -2.20%K -4.37%G +0.000% | 4.13I 24.21%NM 23.40%EV +0.301%E +0.073%K +0.096%G +0.000% | 3.39I 29.50%NM 28.51%EV -4.54%E -1.34%K -1.90%G +0.000% | 3.5% | 2026-05-01 18:50 |
| Unibet | 1.92I 52.08%NM 48.99%EV -8.70%E -4.53%K -9.45%G +0.000% | 4.10I 24.39%NM 22.94%EV -0.427%E -0.104%K -0.138%G +0.000% | 3.35I 29.85%NM 28.08%EV -5.66%E -1.69%K -2.41%G +0.000% | 6.3% | 2026-05-01 18:05 |
| Unibet (SE) | 1.92I 52.08%NM 48.99%EV -8.70%E -4.53%K -9.45%G +0.000% | 4.10I 24.39%NM 22.94%EV -0.427%E -0.104%K -0.138%G +0.000% | 3.35I 29.85%NM 28.08%EV -5.66%E -1.69%K -2.41%G +0.000% | 6.3% | 2026-05-01 18:04 |
| Unibet (NL) | 1.92I 52.08%NM 48.99%EV -8.70%E -4.53%K -9.45%G +0.000% | 4.10I 24.39%NM 22.94%EV -0.427%E -0.104%K -0.138%G +0.000% | 3.35I 29.85%NM 28.08%EV -5.66%E -1.69%K -2.41%G +0.000% | 6.3% | 2026-05-01 18:05 |
| Svenska Spel | 1.92I 52.08%NM 48.99%EV -8.70%E -4.53%K -9.45%G +0.000% | 4.10I 24.39%NM 22.94%EV -0.427%E -0.104%K -0.138%G +0.000% | 3.35I 29.85%NM 28.08%EV -5.66%E -1.69%K -2.41%G +0.000% | 6.3% | 2026-05-01 18:05 |
| ATG (SE) | 1.92I 52.08%NM 48.99%EV -8.70%E -4.53%K -9.45%G +0.000% | 4.10I 24.39%NM 22.94%EV -0.427%E -0.104%K -0.138%G +0.000% | 3.35I 29.85%NM 28.08%EV -5.66%E -1.69%K -2.41%G +0.000% | 6.3% | 2026-05-01 18:05 |
| Fanatics | 1.95I 51.28%NM 48.52%EV -7.27%E -3.73%K -7.65%G +0.000% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 23.65%EV -2.86%E -0.714%K -0.952%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 27.83%EV -4.25%E -1.25%K -1.77%G +0.000% | 5.7% | 2026-05-01 18:35 |
| LowVig.ag | 1.97I 50.76%NM 47.44%EV -6.32%E -3.21%K -6.51%G +0.000% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 23.36%EV -2.86%E -0.714%K -0.952%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 29.20%EV -9.89%E -3.09%K -4.49%G +0.000% | 7.0% | 2026-05-01 18:40 |
| BetOnline.ag | 1.97I 50.76%NM 47.44%EV -6.32%E -3.21%K -6.51%G +0.000% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 23.36%EV -2.86%E -0.714%K -0.952%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 29.20%EV -9.89%E -3.09%K -4.49%G +0.000% | 7.0% | 2026-05-01 18:40 |
| BetAnything | 1.97I 50.76%NM 47.44%EV -6.32%E -3.21%K -6.51%G +0.000% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 23.36%EV -2.86%E -0.714%K -0.952%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 29.20%EV -9.89%E -3.09%K -4.49%G +0.000% | 7.0% | 2026-05-01 18:39 |
| FanDuel | 1.95I 51.28%NM 47.69%EV -7.27%E -3.73%K -7.65%G +0.000% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 23.25%EV -2.86%E -0.714%K -0.952%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 29.06%EV -9.89%E -3.09%K -4.49%G +0.000% | 7.5% | 2026-05-01 18:40 |
| Tipico (DE) | 1.90I 52.63%NM 48.34%EV -9.65%E -5.08%K -10.72%G +0.000% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 22.96%EV -2.86%E -0.714%K -0.952%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 28.70%EV -9.89%E -3.09%K -4.49%G +0.000% | 8.9% | 2026-05-01 17:59 |
| Grosvenor | 1.88I 53.19%NM 48.82%EV -10.60%E -5.64%K -12.04%G +0.000% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 22.94%EV -2.86%E -0.714%K -0.952%G +0.000% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 28.24%EV -8.48%E -2.61%K -3.77%G +0.000% | 9.0% | 2026-05-01 18:04 |
| Casumo | 1.88I 53.19%NM 48.82%EV -10.60%E -5.64%K -12.04%G +0.000% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 22.94%EV -2.86%E -0.714%K -0.952%G +0.000% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 28.24%EV -8.48%E -2.61%K -3.77%G +0.000% | 9.0% | 2026-05-01 18:04 |
| TABtouch | 1.88I 53.19%NM 48.82%EV -10.60%E -5.64%K -12.04%G +0.000% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 22.94%EV -2.86%E -0.714%K -0.952%G +0.000% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 28.24%EV -8.48%E -2.61%K -3.77%G +0.000% | 9.0% | 2026-05-01 18:05 |
| betPARX | 1.88I 53.19%NM 48.82%EV -10.60%E -5.64%K -12.04%G +0.000% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 22.94%EV -2.86%E -0.714%K -0.952%G +0.000% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 28.24%EV -8.48%E -2.61%K -3.77%G +0.000% | 9.0% | 2026-05-01 18:05 |
| LeoVegas (SE) | 1.87I 53.48%NM 48.95%EV -11.07%E -5.92%K -12.73%G +0.000% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 22.88%EV -2.86%E -0.714%K -0.952%G +0.000% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 28.17%EV -8.48%E -2.61%K -3.77%G +0.000% | 9.2% | 2026-05-01 18:04 |
| LeoVegas | 1.85I 54.05%NM 49.22%EV -12.03%E -6.50%K -14.15%G +0.000% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 22.76%EV -2.86%E -0.714%K -0.952%G +0.000% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 28.02%EV -8.48%E -2.61%K -3.77%G +0.000% | 9.8% | 2026-05-01 18:50 |
| SportsBet | 1.90I 52.63%NM 47.89%EV -9.65%E -5.08%K -10.72%G +0.000% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 22.75%EV -2.86%E -0.714%K -0.952%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 29.35%EV -12.70%E -4.10%K -6.05%G +0.000% | 9.9% | 2026-05-01 17:55 |
| LiveScore Bet | 1.84I 54.35%NM 49.00%EV -12.50%E -6.79%K -14.88%G +0.000% | 3.95I 25.32%NM 22.83%EV -4.07%E -1.03%K -1.38%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 28.17%EV -9.89%E -3.09%K -4.49%G +0.000% | 10.9% | 2026-05-01 18:04 |
| Virgin Bet | 1.84I 54.35%NM 49.00%EV -12.50%E -6.79%K -14.88%G +0.000% | 3.95I 25.32%NM 22.83%EV -4.07%E -1.03%K -1.38%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 28.17%EV -9.89%E -3.09%K -4.49%G +0.000% | 10.9% | 2026-05-01 18:04 |
| Marathon Bet | 1.94I 51.55%NM 48.09%EV -7.75%E -3.99%K -8.24%G +0.000% | 3.92I 25.51%NM 23.80%EV -4.80%E -1.22%K -1.64%G +0.000% | 3.32I 30.12%NM 28.10%EV -6.51%E -1.96%K -2.80%G +0.000% | 7.2% | 2026-05-01 18:45 |
| DraftKings | 2.00I 50.00%NM 47.40%EV -4.89%E -2.45%K -4.89%G +0.000% | 3.90I 25.64%NM 24.31%EV -5.28%E -1.36%K -1.82%G +0.000% | 3.35I 29.85%NM 28.30%EV -5.66%E -1.69%K -2.41%G +0.000% | 5.5% | 2026-05-01 18:39 |
| Bovada | 1.93I 51.81%NM 47.66%EV -8.22%E -4.26%K -8.84%G +0.000% | 3.90I 25.64%NM 23.59%EV -5.28%E -1.36%K -1.82%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 28.75%EV -9.89%E -3.09%K -4.49%G +0.000% | 8.7% | 2026-05-01 18:51 |
| Mr Green (SE) | 1.95I 51.28%NM 46.97%EV -7.27%E -3.73%K -7.65%G +0.000% | 3.90I 25.64%NM 23.48%EV -5.28%E -1.36%K -1.82%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 29.55%EV -12.70%E -4.10%K -6.05%G +0.000% | 9.2% | 2026-05-01 18:50 |
| 1xBet | 2.03I 49.26%NM 46.74%EV -3.47%E -1.71%K -3.37%G +0.000% | 3.87I 25.84%NM 24.52%EV -6.01%E -1.55%K -2.10%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 28.75%EV -7.07%E -2.14%K -3.07%G +0.000% | 5.4% | 2026-05-01 18:54 |
| Coolbet | 2.00I 50.00%NM 47.44%EV -4.89%E -2.45%K -4.89%G +0.000% | 3.85I 25.97%NM 24.65%EV -6.50%E -1.69%K -2.28%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 27.91%EV -4.25%E -1.25%K -1.77%G +0.000% | 5.4% | 2026-05-01 18:39 |
| PMU (FR) | 1.80I 55.56%NM 49.04%EV -14.40%E -8.00%K -18.00%G +0.000% | 3.85I 25.97%NM 22.93%EV -6.50%E -1.69%K -2.28%G +0.000% | 3.15I 31.75%NM 28.03%EV -11.29%E -3.59%K -5.25%G +0.000% | 13.3% | 2026-05-01 18:50 |
| William Hill | 1.95I 51.28%NM 46.68%EV -7.27%E -3.73%K -7.65%G +0.000% | 3.80I 26.32%NM 23.95%EV -7.71%E -2.03%K -2.75%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 29.36%EV -12.70%E -4.10%K -6.05%G +0.000% | 9.9% | 2026-05-01 18:50 |
| BoyleSports | 1.87I 53.48%NM 48.16%EV -11.07%E -5.92%K -12.73%G +0.000% | 3.80I 26.32%NM 23.70%EV -7.71%E -2.03%K -2.75%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 28.14%EV -9.89%E -3.09%K -4.49%G +0.000% | 11.0% | 2026-05-01 18:19 |
| Paddy Power | 1.90I 52.63%NM 47.33%EV -9.65%E -5.08%K -10.72%G +0.000% | 3.80I 26.32%NM 23.66%EV -7.71%E -2.03%K -2.75%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 29.01%EV -12.70%E -4.10%K -6.05%G +0.000% | 11.2% | 2026-05-01 18:45 |
| Betr (AU) | 1.95I 51.28%NM 47.77%EV -7.27%E -3.73%K -7.65%G +0.000% | 3.75I 26.67%NM 24.84%EV -8.93%E -2.38%K -3.25%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 27.40%EV -4.25%E -1.25%K -1.77%G +0.000% | 7.4% | 2026-05-01 18:40 |
| theScore Bet | 1.95I 51.28%NM 47.77%EV -7.27%E -3.73%K -7.65%G +0.000% | 3.75I 26.67%NM 24.84%EV -8.93%E -2.38%K -3.25%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 27.40%EV -4.25%E -1.25%K -1.77%G +0.000% | 7.4% | 2026-05-01 18:40 |
| Betway | 1.95I 51.28%NM 47.37%EV -7.27%E -3.73%K -7.65%G +0.000% | 3.75I 26.67%NM 24.63%EV -8.93%E -2.38%K -3.25%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 27.99%EV -7.07%E -2.14%K -3.07%G +0.000% | 8.3% | 2026-05-01 18:35 |
| NordicBet | 1.95I 51.28%NM 47.17%EV -7.27%E -3.73%K -7.65%G +0.000% | 3.75I 26.67%NM 24.53%EV -8.93%E -2.38%K -3.25%G +0.000% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 28.30%EV -8.48%E -2.61%K -3.77%G +0.000% | 8.7% | 2026-05-01 18:45 |
| Betsson | 1.95I 51.28%NM 47.17%EV -7.27%E -3.73%K -7.65%G +0.000% | 3.75I 26.67%NM 24.53%EV -8.93%E -2.38%K -3.25%G +0.000% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 28.30%EV -8.48%E -2.61%K -3.77%G +0.000% | 8.7% | 2026-05-01 18:45 |
| Sky Bet | 1.91I 52.36%NM 46.60%EV -9.17%E -4.80%K -10.08%G +0.000% | 3.75I 26.67%NM 23.73%EV -8.93%E -2.38%K -3.25%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 29.67%EV -15.52%E -5.17%K -7.76%G +0.000% | 12.4% | 2026-05-01 18:40 |
| PointsBet (AU) | 1.95I 51.28%NM 47.61%EV -7.27%E -3.73%K -7.65%G +0.000% | 3.70I 27.03%NM 25.09%EV -10.14%E -2.74%K -3.76%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 27.30%EV -4.25%E -1.25%K -1.77%G +0.000% | 7.7% | 2026-05-01 18:40 |
| BetMGM | 1.95I 51.28%NM 46.81%EV -7.27%E -3.73%K -7.65%G +0.000% | 3.70I 27.03%NM 24.67%EV -10.14%E -2.74%K -3.76%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 28.52%EV -9.89%E -3.09%K -4.49%G +0.000% | 9.6% | 2026-05-01 18:44 |
| Bet Victor | 1.91I 52.36%NM 47.73%EV -9.17%E -4.80%K -10.08%G +0.000% | 3.70I 27.03%NM 24.64%EV -10.14%E -2.74%K -3.76%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 27.63%EV -7.07%E -2.14%K -3.07%G +0.000% | 9.7% | 2026-05-01 18:54 |
| Codere (IT) | 1.94I 51.55%NM 46.94%EV -7.75%E -3.99%K -8.24%G +0.000% | 3.70I 27.03%NM 24.61%EV -10.14%E -2.74%K -3.76%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 28.45%EV -9.89%E -3.09%K -4.49%G +0.000% | 9.8% | 2026-05-01 18:45 |
| Betclic (FR) | 1.89I 52.91%NM 47.30%EV -10.12%E -5.36%K -11.38%G +0.000% | 3.65I 27.40%NM 24.49%EV -11.36%E -3.11%K -4.29%G +0.000% | 3.17I 31.55%NM 28.20%EV -10.73%E -3.39%K -4.95%G +0.000% | 11.9% | 2026-05-01 18:45 |
| betfred_uk | 1.95I 51.28%NM 46.89%EV -7.27%E -3.73%K -7.65%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 25.40%EV -12.57%E -3.49%K -4.83%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 27.71%EV -7.07%E -2.14%K -3.07%G +0.000% | 9.4% | 2026-05-01 18:38 |
| Winamax (DE) | 1.92I 52.08%NM 47.28%EV -8.70%E -4.53%K -9.45%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 25.21%EV -12.57%E -3.49%K -4.83%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 27.51%EV -7.07%E -2.14%K -3.07%G +0.000% | 10.2% | 2026-05-01 18:45 |
| Ladbrokes (AU) | 1.91I 52.36%NM 46.58%EV -9.17%E -4.80%K -10.08%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 24.72%EV -12.57%E -3.49%K -4.83%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 28.70%EV -12.70%E -4.10%K -6.05%G +0.000% | 12.4% | 2026-05-01 18:15 |
| Neds | 1.91I 52.36%NM 46.58%EV -9.17%E -4.80%K -10.08%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 24.72%EV -12.57%E -3.49%K -4.83%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 28.70%EV -12.70%E -4.10%K -6.05%G +0.000% | 12.4% | 2026-05-01 18:14 |
| Ladbrokes (UK) | 1.91I 52.36%NM 46.58%EV -9.17%E -4.80%K -10.08%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 24.72%EV -12.57%E -3.49%K -4.83%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 28.70%EV -12.70%E -4.10%K -6.05%G +0.000% | 12.4% | 2026-05-01 18:15 |
| Coral | 1.91I 52.36%NM 46.58%EV -9.17%E -4.80%K -10.08%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 24.72%EV -12.57%E -3.49%K -4.83%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 28.70%EV -12.70%E -4.10%K -6.05%G +0.000% | 12.4% | 2026-05-01 18:14 |
| Unibet (FR) | 1.87I 53.48%NM 47.11%EV -11.07%E -5.92%K -12.73%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 24.47%EV -12.57%E -3.49%K -4.83%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 28.42%EV -12.70%E -4.10%K -6.05%G +0.000% | 13.5% | 2026-05-01 18:45 |
| NetBet (FR) | 1.83I 54.64%NM 47.43%EV -12.98%E -7.09%K -15.63%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 24.11%EV -12.57%E -3.49%K -4.83%G +0.000% | 3.05I 32.79%NM 28.46%EV -14.11%E -4.63%K -6.88%G +0.000% | 15.2% | 2026-05-01 18:50 |
| PlayUp | 1.98I 50.51%NM 45.74%EV -5.84%E -2.95%K -5.96%G +0.000% | 3.55I 28.17%NM 25.51%EV -13.78%E -3.88%K -5.41%G +0.000% | 3.15I 31.75%NM 28.75%EV -11.29%E -3.59%K -5.25%G +0.000% | 10.4% | 2026-05-01 18:54 |
| Winamax (FR) | 1.88I 53.19%NM 46.69%EV -10.60%E -5.64%K -12.04%G +0.000% | 3.45I 28.99%NM 25.44%EV -16.21%E -4.70%K -6.62%G +0.000% | 3.15I 31.75%NM 27.87%EV -11.29%E -3.59%K -5.25%G +0.000% | 13.9% | 2026-05-01 18:44 |
| Betfair Sportsbook (UK) | 1.83I 54.64%NM 45.29%EV -12.98%E -7.09%K -15.63%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 25.11%EV -19.86%E -6.02%K -8.63%G +0.000% | 2.80I 35.71%NM 29.60%EV -21.15%E -7.55%K -11.75%G +0.000% | 20.7% | 2026-05-01 18:40 |
Margen = Margen del corredor · I = Probabilidad implícita · NM = Probabilidad sin margen · EV = Valor esperado · E = Ventaja · K = Criterio de Kelly · G = Crecimiento del capital de apuestas
Actualizado indica cuándo actualizó cada corredor sus momios por última vez. Una hora anterior significa que los momios no han cambiado, no necesariamente que estén desactualizados. Por lo general se descartan los corredores de los que no se han recibido datos durante unos 15 minutos; solo cuando toda la fuente de un mercado deja de informar se conservan los últimos momios registrados.
Bolsas de apuestas (6)
| Corredor | Local | Visitante | Empate | Margen ▲ | Actualizado |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Betfair Exchange (EU) | 2.06I 48.54%NM 48.17% | 4.30I 23.26%NM 23.07% | 3.45I 28.99%NM 28.76% | 0.8% | 2026-05-01 18:55 |
| Betfair Exchange (AU) | 2.06I 48.54%NM 48.17% | 4.30I 23.26%NM 23.07% | 3.45I 28.99%NM 28.76% | 0.8% | 2026-05-01 18:55 |
| Betfair Exchange (UK) | 2.06I 48.54%NM 47.96% | 4.30I 23.26%NM 22.98% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 29.06% | 1.2% | 2026-05-01 18:40 |
| Matchbook | 2.06I 48.54%NM 47.96% | 4.30I 23.26%NM 22.98% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 29.06% | 1.2% | 2026-05-01 18:40 |
| Smarkets | 2.04I 49.02%NM 48.21% | 4.30I 23.26%NM 22.87% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 28.92% | 1.7% | 2026-05-01 18:55 |
| Kalshi | 2.00I 50.00%NM 48.08% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 24.04% | 3.45I 28.99%NM 27.87% | 4.0% | 2026-05-01 18:55 |