A Escola das Odds

Sporting Gijón v AD Ceuta FC

Início: 2026-05-03 14:15 UTC

Final: Sporting Gijón 1–2 AD Ceuta FC

Odds de fecho — as probabilidades calculadas e o valor esperado com base nas últimas cotações registadas antes do início, segundo o modelo selecionado. O jogo já começou, pelo que estes valores não são atuais. Avaliar a fiabilidade das previsões probabilísticas de cada modelo face aos resultados de todos os jogos concluídos →

Frente a frente

53 casas de apostas (19 na análise )

Probabilidade estimada de cada resultado, segundo o modelo: IQM

Sporting Gijón (Local)

Previsão 62.49%1.60odd justa
EV -4.39%
Vantagem -2.87%
Kelly -8.29%
Crescimento +0.000%

pressupondo odds máximas de 1.53

Distribuição das previsões das casas de apostas
59.52%62.36%62.55%63.46%MINMÉDIAMEDIANAMAX
Distribuição das odds
1.391.481.481.5371.94%67.71%67.57%65.36%MINMÉDIAMEDIANAMAX

AD Ceuta FC (Visitante)

Previsão 15.78%6.34odd justa
EV +1.17%
Vantagem +0.182%
Kelly +0.216%
Crescimento +0.003%

pressupondo odds máximas de 6.41

Distribuição das previsões das casas de apostas
14.86%15.91%15.70%17.91%MINMÉDIAMEDIANAMAX
Distribuição das odds
5.005.725.806.4120.00%17.50%17.24%15.60%MINMÉDIAMEDIANAMAX

Empate

Previsão 21.73%4.60odd justa
EV -1.36%
Vantagem -0.299%
Kelly -0.383%
Crescimento +0.000%

pressupondo odds máximas de 4.54

Distribuição das previsões das casas de apostas
20.73%21.74%21.74%23.81%MINMÉDIAMEDIANAMAX
Distribuição das odds
3.504.174.204.5428.57%24.00%23.81%22.03%MINMÉDIAMEDIANAMAX

Odds das casas de apostas (53 casas de apostas)

Não temos qualquer vínculo com casas de apostas e não recebemos nada pelas ações realizadas junto delas.

Casa de apostasLocalVisitante ▼EmpateMargemAtualização
Pinnacle1.53I 65.36%NM 63.00%EV -4.39%E -2.87%K -8.29%G +0.000%6.41I 15.60%NM 15.04%EV +1.17%E +0.182%K +0.216%G +0.003%4.39I 22.78%NM 21.96%EV -4.61%E -1.05%K -1.36%G +0.000%3.7%2026-05-03 14:10
Coolbet1.50I 66.67%NM 63.25%EV -6.27%E -4.18%K -12.53%G +0.000%6.25I 16.00%NM 15.18%EV -1.36%E -0.217%K -0.258%G +0.000%4.40I 22.73%NM 21.56%EV -4.40%E -0.999%K -1.29%G +0.000%5.4%2026-05-03 14:01
Tipico (DE)1.47I 68.03%NM 62.67%EV -8.14%E -5.54%K -17.32%G +0.000%6.20I 16.13%NM 14.86%EV -2.15%E -0.346%K -0.413%G +0.000%4.10I 24.39%NM 22.47%EV -10.92%E -2.66%K -3.52%G +0.000%8.5%2026-05-03 14:00
1xBet1.50I 66.67%NM 63.46%EV -6.27%E -4.18%K -12.53%G +0.000%6.11I 16.37%NM 15.58%EV -3.57%E -0.584%K -0.698%G +0.000%4.54I 22.03%NM 20.97%EV -1.36%E -0.299%K -0.383%G +0.000%5.1%2026-05-03 14:10
Marathon Bet1.48I 67.57%NM 63.03%EV -7.52%E -5.08%K -15.66%G +0.000%6.05I 16.53%NM 15.42%EV -4.51%E -0.746%K -0.894%G +0.000%4.33I 23.09%NM 21.55%EV -5.92%E -1.37%K -1.78%G +0.000%7.2%2026-05-03 14:10
Fanatics1.50I 66.67%NM 63.16%EV -6.27%E -4.18%K -12.53%G +0.000%6.00I 16.67%NM 15.79%EV -5.30%E -0.884%K -1.06%G +0.000%4.50I 22.22%NM 21.05%EV -2.22%E -0.494%K -0.636%G +0.000%5.6%2026-05-03 08:59
DraftKings1.51I 66.23%NM 62.39%EV -5.64%E -3.74%K -11.06%G +0.000%6.00I 16.67%NM 15.70%EV -5.30%E -0.884%K -1.06%G +0.000%4.30I 23.26%NM 21.91%EV -6.57%E -1.53%K -1.99%G +0.000%6.1%2026-05-03 13:55
Unibet1.51I 66.23%NM 62.23%EV -5.64%E -3.74%K -11.06%G +0.000%6.00I 16.67%NM 15.66%EV -5.30%E -0.884%K -1.06%G +0.000%4.25I 23.53%NM 22.11%EV -7.66%E -1.80%K -2.36%G +0.000%6.4%2026-05-03 13:30
Unibet (NL)1.51I 66.23%NM 62.23%EV -5.64%E -3.74%K -11.06%G +0.000%6.00I 16.67%NM 15.66%EV -5.30%E -0.884%K -1.06%G +0.000%4.25I 23.53%NM 22.11%EV -7.66%E -1.80%K -2.36%G +0.000%6.4%2026-05-03 13:25
Unibet (SE)1.51I 66.23%NM 62.23%EV -5.64%E -3.74%K -11.06%G +0.000%6.00I 16.67%NM 15.66%EV -5.30%E -0.884%K -1.06%G +0.000%4.25I 23.53%NM 22.11%EV -7.66%E -1.80%K -2.36%G +0.000%6.4%2026-05-03 13:30
Svenska Spel1.51I 66.23%NM 62.23%EV -5.64%E -3.74%K -11.06%G +0.000%6.00I 16.67%NM 15.66%EV -5.30%E -0.884%K -1.06%G +0.000%4.25I 23.53%NM 22.11%EV -7.66%E -1.80%K -2.36%G +0.000%6.4%2026-05-03 13:30
ATG (SE)1.51I 66.23%NM 62.23%EV -5.64%E -3.74%K -11.06%G +0.000%6.00I 16.67%NM 15.66%EV -5.30%E -0.884%K -1.06%G +0.000%4.25I 23.53%NM 22.11%EV -7.66%E -1.80%K -2.36%G +0.000%6.4%2026-05-03 13:30
Betr (AU)1.50I 66.67%NM 62.55%EV -6.27%E -4.18%K -12.53%G +0.000%6.00I 16.67%NM 15.64%EV -5.30%E -0.884%K -1.06%G +0.000%4.30I 23.26%NM 21.82%EV -6.57%E -1.53%K -1.99%G +0.000%6.6%2026-05-03 14:00
LowVig.ag1.50I 66.67%NM 62.22%EV -6.27%E -4.18%K -12.53%G +0.000%6.00I 16.67%NM 15.56%EV -5.30%E -0.884%K -1.06%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 22.22%EV -8.74%E -2.08%K -2.73%G +0.000%7.1%2026-05-03 14:00
BetOnline.ag1.50I 66.67%NM 62.22%EV -6.27%E -4.18%K -12.53%G +0.000%6.00I 16.67%NM 15.56%EV -5.30%E -0.884%K -1.06%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 22.22%EV -8.74%E -2.08%K -2.73%G +0.000%7.1%2026-05-03 14:00
FanDuel1.48I 67.57%NM 62.86%EV -7.52%E -5.08%K -15.66%G +0.000%6.00I 16.67%NM 15.51%EV -5.30%E -0.884%K -1.06%G +0.000%4.30I 23.26%NM 21.64%EV -6.57%E -1.53%K -1.99%G +0.000%7.5%2026-05-03 14:00
PointsBet (AU)1.48I 67.57%NM 62.70%EV -7.52%E -5.08%K -15.66%G +0.000%6.00I 16.67%NM 15.47%EV -5.30%E -0.884%K -1.06%G +0.000%4.25I 23.53%NM 21.83%EV -7.66%E -1.80%K -2.36%G +0.000%7.8%2026-05-03 14:00
Betway1.48I 67.57%NM 62.54%EV -7.52%E -5.08%K -15.66%G +0.000%6.00I 16.67%NM 15.43%EV -5.30%E -0.884%K -1.06%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 22.04%EV -8.74%E -2.08%K -2.73%G +0.000%8.0%2026-05-03 13:55
Mr Green (SE)1.50I 66.67%NM 61.54%EV -6.27%E -4.18%K -12.53%G +0.000%6.00I 16.67%NM 15.38%EV -5.30%E -0.884%K -1.06%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.08%EV -13.09%E -3.27%K -4.36%G +0.000%8.3%2026-05-03 14:05
Bet Victor1.45I 68.97%NM 63.02%EV -9.39%E -6.48%K -20.87%G +0.000%6.00I 16.67%NM 15.23%EV -5.30%E -0.884%K -1.06%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 21.76%EV -8.74%E -2.08%K -2.73%G +0.000%9.4%2026-05-03 13:55
betfred_uk1.44I 69.44%NM 63.18%EV -10.02%E -6.96%K -22.76%G +0.000%6.00I 16.67%NM 15.16%EV -5.30%E -0.884%K -1.06%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 21.66%EV -8.74%E -2.08%K -2.73%G +0.000%9.9%2026-05-03 14:00
SportsBet1.44I 69.44%NM 63.18%EV -10.02%E -6.96%K -22.76%G +0.000%6.00I 16.67%NM 15.16%EV -5.30%E -0.884%K -1.06%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 21.66%EV -8.74%E -2.08%K -2.73%G +0.000%9.9%2026-05-03 13:55
Casumo1.48I 67.57%NM 62.21%EV -7.52%E -5.08%K -15.66%G +0.000%5.80I 17.24%NM 15.87%EV -8.46%E -1.46%K -1.76%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 21.92%EV -8.74%E -2.08%K -2.73%G +0.000%8.6%2026-05-03 13:31
TABtouch1.48I 67.57%NM 62.21%EV -7.52%E -5.08%K -15.66%G +0.000%5.80I 17.24%NM 15.87%EV -8.46%E -1.46%K -1.76%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 21.92%EV -8.74%E -2.08%K -2.73%G +0.000%8.6%2026-05-03 13:25
Grosvenor1.48I 67.57%NM 62.21%EV -7.52%E -5.08%K -15.66%G +0.000%5.80I 17.24%NM 15.87%EV -8.46%E -1.46%K -1.76%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 21.92%EV -8.74%E -2.08%K -2.73%G +0.000%8.6%2026-05-03 13:30
betPARX1.48I 67.57%NM 62.21%EV -7.52%E -5.08%K -15.66%G +0.000%5.80I 17.24%NM 15.87%EV -8.46%E -1.46%K -1.76%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 21.92%EV -8.74%E -2.08%K -2.73%G +0.000%8.6%2026-05-03 13:25
William Hill1.44I 69.44%NM 62.18%EV -10.02%E -6.96%K -22.76%G +0.000%5.80I 17.24%NM 15.44%EV -8.46%E -1.46%K -1.76%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 22.38%EV -13.09%E -3.27%K -4.36%G +0.000%11.7%2026-05-03 14:05
theScore Bet1.50I 66.67%NM 61.97%EV -6.27%E -4.18%K -12.53%G +0.000%5.75I 17.39%NM 16.16%EV -9.25%E -1.61%K -1.95%G +0.000%4.25I 23.53%NM 21.87%EV -7.66%E -1.80%K -2.36%G +0.000%7.6%2026-05-03 14:00
Bovada1.49I 67.11%NM 61.80%EV -6.89%E -4.62%K -14.06%G +0.000%5.75I 17.39%NM 16.01%EV -9.25%E -1.61%K -1.95%G +0.000%4.15I 24.10%NM 22.19%EV -9.83%E -2.37%K -3.12%G +0.000%8.6%2026-05-03 14:08
BetAnything1.49I 67.11%NM 61.80%EV -6.89%E -4.62%K -14.06%G +0.000%5.75I 17.39%NM 16.01%EV -9.25%E -1.61%K -1.95%G +0.000%4.15I 24.10%NM 22.19%EV -9.83%E -2.37%K -3.12%G +0.000%8.6%2026-05-03 14:10
LeoVegas (SE)1.48I 67.57%NM 61.79%EV -7.52%E -5.08%K -15.66%G +0.000%5.75I 17.39%NM 15.90%EV -9.25%E -1.61%K -1.95%G +0.000%4.10I 24.39%NM 22.30%EV -10.92%E -2.66%K -3.52%G +0.000%9.3%2026-05-03 13:25
LeoVegas1.47I 68.03%NM 61.95%EV -8.14%E -5.54%K -17.32%G +0.000%5.75I 17.39%NM 15.84%EV -9.25%E -1.61%K -1.95%G +0.000%4.10I 24.39%NM 22.21%EV -10.92%E -2.66%K -3.52%G +0.000%9.8%2026-05-03 13:25
Betsson1.49I 67.11%NM 62.35%EV -6.89%E -4.62%K -14.06%G +0.000%5.70I 17.54%NM 16.30%EV -10.04%E -1.76%K -2.14%G +0.000%4.35I 22.99%NM 21.36%EV -5.48%E -1.26%K -1.64%G +0.000%7.6%2026-05-03 13:55
NordicBet1.49I 67.11%NM 62.35%EV -6.89%E -4.62%K -14.06%G +0.000%5.70I 17.54%NM 16.30%EV -10.04%E -1.76%K -2.14%G +0.000%4.35I 22.99%NM 21.36%EV -5.48%E -1.26%K -1.64%G +0.000%7.6%2026-05-03 13:55
Virgin Bet1.45I 68.97%NM 62.01%EV -9.39%E -6.48%K -20.87%G +0.000%5.60I 17.86%NM 16.06%EV -11.62%E -2.07%K -2.53%G +0.000%4.10I 24.39%NM 21.93%EV -10.92%E -2.66%K -3.52%G +0.000%11.2%2026-05-03 13:25
LiveScore Bet1.45I 68.97%NM 62.01%EV -9.39%E -6.48%K -20.87%G +0.000%5.60I 17.86%NM 16.06%EV -11.62%E -2.07%K -2.53%G +0.000%4.10I 24.39%NM 21.93%EV -10.92%E -2.66%K -3.52%G +0.000%11.2%2026-05-03 13:25
PlayUp1.50I 66.67%NM 60.16%EV -6.27%E -4.18%K -12.53%G +0.000%5.50I 18.18%NM 16.41%EV -13.19%E -2.40%K -2.93%G +0.000%3.85I 25.97%NM 23.44%EV -16.35%E -4.25%K -5.74%G +0.000%10.8%2026-05-03 13:55
Paddy Power1.44I 69.44%NM 61.66%EV -10.02%E -6.96%K -22.76%G +0.000%5.50I 18.18%NM 16.14%EV -13.19%E -2.40%K -2.93%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 22.20%EV -13.09%E -3.27%K -4.36%G +0.000%12.6%2026-05-03 13:25
BoyleSports1.44I 69.44%NM 61.66%EV -10.02%E -6.96%K -22.76%G +0.000%5.50I 18.18%NM 16.14%EV -13.19%E -2.40%K -2.93%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 22.20%EV -13.09%E -3.27%K -4.36%G +0.000%12.6%2026-05-03 13:54
Sky Bet1.44I 69.44%NM 61.31%EV -10.02%E -6.96%K -22.76%G +0.000%5.50I 18.18%NM 16.05%EV -13.19%E -2.40%K -2.93%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 22.64%EV -15.26%E -3.91%K -5.26%G +0.000%13.3%2026-05-03 13:25
PMU (FR)1.42I 70.42%NM 61.99%EV -11.27%E -7.93%K -26.82%G +0.000%5.50I 18.18%NM 16.00%EV -13.19%E -2.40%K -2.93%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 22.01%EV -13.09%E -3.27%K -4.36%G +0.000%13.6%2026-05-03 13:30
Codere (IT)1.48I 67.57%NM 61.48%EV -7.52%E -5.08%K -15.66%G +0.000%5.40I 18.52%NM 16.85%EV -14.77%E -2.74%K -3.36%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 21.67%EV -8.74%E -2.08%K -2.73%G +0.000%9.9%2026-05-03 13:55
Betclic (FR)1.44I 69.44%NM 61.97%EV -10.02%E -6.96%K -22.76%G +0.000%5.40I 18.52%NM 16.53%EV -14.77%E -2.74%K -3.36%G +0.000%4.15I 24.10%NM 21.50%EV -9.83%E -2.37%K -3.12%G +0.000%12.1%2026-05-03 13:55
NetBet (FR)1.39I 71.94%NM 62.64%EV -13.14%E -9.45%K -33.69%G +0.000%5.40I 18.52%NM 16.12%EV -14.77%E -2.74%K -3.36%G +0.000%4.10I 24.39%NM 21.24%EV -10.92%E -2.66%K -3.52%G +0.000%14.9%2026-05-03 14:10
Winamax (DE)1.47I 68.03%NM 62.06%EV -8.14%E -5.54%K -17.32%G +0.000%5.30I 18.87%NM 17.21%EV -16.35%E -3.08%K -3.80%G +0.000%4.40I 22.73%NM 20.73%EV -4.40%E -0.999%K -1.29%G +0.000%9.6%2026-05-03 13:55
Unibet (FR)1.44I 69.44%NM 61.62%EV -10.02%E -6.96%K -22.76%G +0.000%5.30I 18.87%NM 16.74%EV -16.35%E -3.08%K -3.80%G +0.000%4.10I 24.39%NM 21.64%EV -10.92%E -2.66%K -3.52%G +0.000%12.7%2026-05-03 13:54
BetMGM1.50I 66.67%NM 60.87%EV -6.27%E -4.18%K -12.53%G +0.000%5.25I 19.05%NM 17.39%EV -17.14%E -3.26%K -4.03%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 21.74%EV -8.74%E -2.08%K -2.73%G +0.000%9.5%2026-05-03 06:25
Ladbrokes (AU)1.50I 66.67%NM 59.70%EV -6.27%E -4.18%K -12.53%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 17.91%EV -21.09%E -4.22%K -5.27%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 22.39%EV -13.09%E -3.27%K -4.36%G +0.000%11.7%2026-05-03 06:26
Neds1.50I 66.67%NM 59.70%EV -6.27%E -4.18%K -12.53%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 17.91%EV -21.09%E -4.22%K -5.27%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 22.39%EV -13.09%E -3.27%K -4.36%G +0.000%11.7%2026-05-03 06:26
Coral1.50I 66.67%NM 59.70%EV -6.27%E -4.18%K -12.53%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 17.91%EV -21.09%E -4.22%K -5.27%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 22.39%EV -13.09%E -3.27%K -4.36%G +0.000%11.7%2026-05-03 06:26
Ladbrokes (UK)1.50I 66.67%NM 59.70%EV -6.27%E -4.18%K -12.53%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 17.91%EV -21.09%E -4.22%K -5.27%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 22.39%EV -13.09%E -3.27%K -4.36%G +0.000%11.7%2026-05-03 06:25
Winamax (FR)1.44I 69.44%NM 61.00%EV -10.02%E -6.96%K -22.76%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 17.57%EV -21.09%E -4.22%K -5.27%G +0.000%4.10I 24.39%NM 21.43%EV -10.92%E -2.66%K -3.52%G +0.000%13.8%2026-05-03 13:55
Betfair Sportsbook (UK)1.40I 71.43%NM 59.52%EV -12.52%E -8.94%K -31.29%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 16.67%EV -21.09%E -4.22%K -5.27%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 23.81%EV -23.95%E -6.84%K -9.58%G +0.000%20.0%2026-05-03 11:40
Margem = Margem · I = Probabilidade implícita · NM = Probabilidade sem margem · EV = Valor esperado · E = Vantagem · K = Critério de Kelly · G = Crescimento do capital de apostas

Atualização indica quando cada casa alterou a cotação pela última vez; uma hora mais antiga significa apenas que as odds não mudaram, não que estejam desatualizadas. As casas sem dados nos últimos ~15 minutos são normalmente excluídas; apenas quando a fonte de todo um mercado fica sem atualizações se mostram as últimas cotações registadas.

Bolsas de apostas (6)

Casa de apostasLocalVisitanteEmpateMargem ▲Atualização
Matchbook1.55I 64.52%NM 63.90%6.80I 14.71%NM 14.57%4.60I 21.74%NM 21.53%1.0%2026-05-03 14:10
Betfair Exchange (UK)1.55I 64.52%NM 63.90%6.80I 14.71%NM 14.57%4.60I 21.74%NM 21.53%1.0%2026-05-03 14:10
Betfair Exchange (EU)1.55I 64.52%NM 63.90%6.80I 14.71%NM 14.57%4.60I 21.74%NM 21.53%1.0%2026-05-03 14:10
Betfair Exchange (AU)1.55I 64.52%NM 63.90%6.80I 14.71%NM 14.57%4.60I 21.74%NM 21.53%1.0%2026-05-03 14:10
Kalshi1.56I 64.10%NM 62.80%6.25I 16.00%NM 15.67%4.55I 21.98%NM 21.53%2.1%2026-05-03 14:00
Smarkets1.54I 64.94%NM 63.47%6.60I 15.15%NM 14.81%4.50I 22.22%NM 21.72%2.3%2026-05-03 14:05