مدرسة الاحتمالات

Sporting Gijón v AD Ceuta FC

البداية: 2026-05-03 14:15 UTC

النتيجة النهائية: Sporting Gijón 1–2 AD Ceuta FC

أسعار الإغلاق — الاحتمالات والقيمة المتوقعة المحسوبة من آخر الأسعار المسجلة قبل البداية وفق النموذج المحدد. بدأت المباراة، لذا فهذه ليست أرقامًا مباشرة. قيّم موثوقية التنبؤات الاحتمالية لكل نموذج بمقارنتها بنتائج جميع المباريات المحسومة →

نتيجة المباراة

53 شركة مراهنات (19 في التحليل )

الاحتمال المقدّر لكل نتيجة وفق النموذج: IQM

Sporting Gijón (المضيف)

التنبؤ 62.49%1.60السعر العادل
EV -4.39%
الأفضلية -2.87%
Kelly -8.29%
النمو +0.000%

بافتراض سعر أقصى قدره 1.53

توزيع تنبؤات شركات المراهنات
59.52%62.36%62.55%63.46%MINالمتوسطالوسيطMAX
توزيع الأسعار
1.391.481.481.5371.94%67.71%67.57%65.36%MINالمتوسطالوسيطMAX

AD Ceuta FC (الضيف)

التنبؤ 15.78%6.34السعر العادل
EV +1.17%
الأفضلية +0.182%
Kelly +0.216%
النمو +0.003%

بافتراض سعر أقصى قدره 6.41

توزيع تنبؤات شركات المراهنات
14.86%15.91%15.70%17.91%MINالمتوسطالوسيطMAX
توزيع الأسعار
5.005.725.806.4120.00%17.50%17.24%15.60%MINالمتوسطالوسيطMAX

تعادل

التنبؤ 21.73%4.60السعر العادل
EV -1.36%
الأفضلية -0.299%
Kelly -0.383%
النمو +0.000%

بافتراض سعر أقصى قدره 4.54

توزيع تنبؤات شركات المراهنات
20.73%21.74%21.74%23.81%MINالمتوسطالوسيطMAX
توزيع الأسعار
3.504.174.204.5428.57%24.00%23.81%22.03%MINالمتوسطالوسيطMAX

أسعار شركات المراهنات (53 شركة مراهنات)

لسنا تابعين لأي شركة مراهنات، ولا نحقق أي عائد من الرهانات أو المعاملات التي تُجرى لديها.

شركة المراهناتالمضيفالضيف ▼تعادلالهامشآخر تحديث
Pinnacle1.53I 65.36%NM 63.00%EV -4.39%E -2.87%K -8.29%G +0.000%6.41I 15.60%NM 15.04%EV +1.17%E +0.182%K +0.216%G +0.003%4.39I 22.78%NM 21.96%EV -4.61%E -1.05%K -1.36%G +0.000%3.7%2026-05-03 14:10
Coolbet1.50I 66.67%NM 63.25%EV -6.27%E -4.18%K -12.53%G +0.000%6.25I 16.00%NM 15.18%EV -1.36%E -0.217%K -0.258%G +0.000%4.40I 22.73%NM 21.56%EV -4.40%E -0.999%K -1.29%G +0.000%5.4%2026-05-03 14:01
Tipico (DE)1.47I 68.03%NM 62.67%EV -8.14%E -5.54%K -17.32%G +0.000%6.20I 16.13%NM 14.86%EV -2.15%E -0.346%K -0.413%G +0.000%4.10I 24.39%NM 22.47%EV -10.92%E -2.66%K -3.52%G +0.000%8.5%2026-05-03 14:00
1xBet1.50I 66.67%NM 63.46%EV -6.27%E -4.18%K -12.53%G +0.000%6.11I 16.37%NM 15.58%EV -3.57%E -0.584%K -0.698%G +0.000%4.54I 22.03%NM 20.97%EV -1.36%E -0.299%K -0.383%G +0.000%5.1%2026-05-03 14:10
Marathon Bet1.48I 67.57%NM 63.03%EV -7.52%E -5.08%K -15.66%G +0.000%6.05I 16.53%NM 15.42%EV -4.51%E -0.746%K -0.894%G +0.000%4.33I 23.09%NM 21.55%EV -5.92%E -1.37%K -1.78%G +0.000%7.2%2026-05-03 14:10
Fanatics1.50I 66.67%NM 63.16%EV -6.27%E -4.18%K -12.53%G +0.000%6.00I 16.67%NM 15.79%EV -5.30%E -0.884%K -1.06%G +0.000%4.50I 22.22%NM 21.05%EV -2.22%E -0.494%K -0.636%G +0.000%5.6%2026-05-03 08:59
DraftKings1.51I 66.23%NM 62.39%EV -5.64%E -3.74%K -11.06%G +0.000%6.00I 16.67%NM 15.70%EV -5.30%E -0.884%K -1.06%G +0.000%4.30I 23.26%NM 21.91%EV -6.57%E -1.53%K -1.99%G +0.000%6.1%2026-05-03 13:55
Unibet1.51I 66.23%NM 62.23%EV -5.64%E -3.74%K -11.06%G +0.000%6.00I 16.67%NM 15.66%EV -5.30%E -0.884%K -1.06%G +0.000%4.25I 23.53%NM 22.11%EV -7.66%E -1.80%K -2.36%G +0.000%6.4%2026-05-03 13:30
Unibet (NL)1.51I 66.23%NM 62.23%EV -5.64%E -3.74%K -11.06%G +0.000%6.00I 16.67%NM 15.66%EV -5.30%E -0.884%K -1.06%G +0.000%4.25I 23.53%NM 22.11%EV -7.66%E -1.80%K -2.36%G +0.000%6.4%2026-05-03 13:25
Unibet (SE)1.51I 66.23%NM 62.23%EV -5.64%E -3.74%K -11.06%G +0.000%6.00I 16.67%NM 15.66%EV -5.30%E -0.884%K -1.06%G +0.000%4.25I 23.53%NM 22.11%EV -7.66%E -1.80%K -2.36%G +0.000%6.4%2026-05-03 13:30
Svenska Spel1.51I 66.23%NM 62.23%EV -5.64%E -3.74%K -11.06%G +0.000%6.00I 16.67%NM 15.66%EV -5.30%E -0.884%K -1.06%G +0.000%4.25I 23.53%NM 22.11%EV -7.66%E -1.80%K -2.36%G +0.000%6.4%2026-05-03 13:30
ATG (SE)1.51I 66.23%NM 62.23%EV -5.64%E -3.74%K -11.06%G +0.000%6.00I 16.67%NM 15.66%EV -5.30%E -0.884%K -1.06%G +0.000%4.25I 23.53%NM 22.11%EV -7.66%E -1.80%K -2.36%G +0.000%6.4%2026-05-03 13:30
Betr (AU)1.50I 66.67%NM 62.55%EV -6.27%E -4.18%K -12.53%G +0.000%6.00I 16.67%NM 15.64%EV -5.30%E -0.884%K -1.06%G +0.000%4.30I 23.26%NM 21.82%EV -6.57%E -1.53%K -1.99%G +0.000%6.6%2026-05-03 14:00
LowVig.ag1.50I 66.67%NM 62.22%EV -6.27%E -4.18%K -12.53%G +0.000%6.00I 16.67%NM 15.56%EV -5.30%E -0.884%K -1.06%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 22.22%EV -8.74%E -2.08%K -2.73%G +0.000%7.1%2026-05-03 14:00
BetOnline.ag1.50I 66.67%NM 62.22%EV -6.27%E -4.18%K -12.53%G +0.000%6.00I 16.67%NM 15.56%EV -5.30%E -0.884%K -1.06%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 22.22%EV -8.74%E -2.08%K -2.73%G +0.000%7.1%2026-05-03 14:00
FanDuel1.48I 67.57%NM 62.86%EV -7.52%E -5.08%K -15.66%G +0.000%6.00I 16.67%NM 15.51%EV -5.30%E -0.884%K -1.06%G +0.000%4.30I 23.26%NM 21.64%EV -6.57%E -1.53%K -1.99%G +0.000%7.5%2026-05-03 14:00
PointsBet (AU)1.48I 67.57%NM 62.70%EV -7.52%E -5.08%K -15.66%G +0.000%6.00I 16.67%NM 15.47%EV -5.30%E -0.884%K -1.06%G +0.000%4.25I 23.53%NM 21.83%EV -7.66%E -1.80%K -2.36%G +0.000%7.8%2026-05-03 14:00
Betway1.48I 67.57%NM 62.54%EV -7.52%E -5.08%K -15.66%G +0.000%6.00I 16.67%NM 15.43%EV -5.30%E -0.884%K -1.06%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 22.04%EV -8.74%E -2.08%K -2.73%G +0.000%8.0%2026-05-03 13:55
Mr Green (SE)1.50I 66.67%NM 61.54%EV -6.27%E -4.18%K -12.53%G +0.000%6.00I 16.67%NM 15.38%EV -5.30%E -0.884%K -1.06%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.08%EV -13.09%E -3.27%K -4.36%G +0.000%8.3%2026-05-03 14:05
Bet Victor1.45I 68.97%NM 63.02%EV -9.39%E -6.48%K -20.87%G +0.000%6.00I 16.67%NM 15.23%EV -5.30%E -0.884%K -1.06%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 21.76%EV -8.74%E -2.08%K -2.73%G +0.000%9.4%2026-05-03 13:55
betfred_uk1.44I 69.44%NM 63.18%EV -10.02%E -6.96%K -22.76%G +0.000%6.00I 16.67%NM 15.16%EV -5.30%E -0.884%K -1.06%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 21.66%EV -8.74%E -2.08%K -2.73%G +0.000%9.9%2026-05-03 14:00
SportsBet1.44I 69.44%NM 63.18%EV -10.02%E -6.96%K -22.76%G +0.000%6.00I 16.67%NM 15.16%EV -5.30%E -0.884%K -1.06%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 21.66%EV -8.74%E -2.08%K -2.73%G +0.000%9.9%2026-05-03 13:55
Casumo1.48I 67.57%NM 62.21%EV -7.52%E -5.08%K -15.66%G +0.000%5.80I 17.24%NM 15.87%EV -8.46%E -1.46%K -1.76%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 21.92%EV -8.74%E -2.08%K -2.73%G +0.000%8.6%2026-05-03 13:31
TABtouch1.48I 67.57%NM 62.21%EV -7.52%E -5.08%K -15.66%G +0.000%5.80I 17.24%NM 15.87%EV -8.46%E -1.46%K -1.76%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 21.92%EV -8.74%E -2.08%K -2.73%G +0.000%8.6%2026-05-03 13:25
Grosvenor1.48I 67.57%NM 62.21%EV -7.52%E -5.08%K -15.66%G +0.000%5.80I 17.24%NM 15.87%EV -8.46%E -1.46%K -1.76%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 21.92%EV -8.74%E -2.08%K -2.73%G +0.000%8.6%2026-05-03 13:30
betPARX1.48I 67.57%NM 62.21%EV -7.52%E -5.08%K -15.66%G +0.000%5.80I 17.24%NM 15.87%EV -8.46%E -1.46%K -1.76%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 21.92%EV -8.74%E -2.08%K -2.73%G +0.000%8.6%2026-05-03 13:25
William Hill1.44I 69.44%NM 62.18%EV -10.02%E -6.96%K -22.76%G +0.000%5.80I 17.24%NM 15.44%EV -8.46%E -1.46%K -1.76%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 22.38%EV -13.09%E -3.27%K -4.36%G +0.000%11.7%2026-05-03 14:05
theScore Bet1.50I 66.67%NM 61.97%EV -6.27%E -4.18%K -12.53%G +0.000%5.75I 17.39%NM 16.16%EV -9.25%E -1.61%K -1.95%G +0.000%4.25I 23.53%NM 21.87%EV -7.66%E -1.80%K -2.36%G +0.000%7.6%2026-05-03 14:00
Bovada1.49I 67.11%NM 61.80%EV -6.89%E -4.62%K -14.06%G +0.000%5.75I 17.39%NM 16.01%EV -9.25%E -1.61%K -1.95%G +0.000%4.15I 24.10%NM 22.19%EV -9.83%E -2.37%K -3.12%G +0.000%8.6%2026-05-03 14:08
BetAnything1.49I 67.11%NM 61.80%EV -6.89%E -4.62%K -14.06%G +0.000%5.75I 17.39%NM 16.01%EV -9.25%E -1.61%K -1.95%G +0.000%4.15I 24.10%NM 22.19%EV -9.83%E -2.37%K -3.12%G +0.000%8.6%2026-05-03 14:10
LeoVegas (SE)1.48I 67.57%NM 61.79%EV -7.52%E -5.08%K -15.66%G +0.000%5.75I 17.39%NM 15.90%EV -9.25%E -1.61%K -1.95%G +0.000%4.10I 24.39%NM 22.30%EV -10.92%E -2.66%K -3.52%G +0.000%9.3%2026-05-03 13:25
LeoVegas1.47I 68.03%NM 61.95%EV -8.14%E -5.54%K -17.32%G +0.000%5.75I 17.39%NM 15.84%EV -9.25%E -1.61%K -1.95%G +0.000%4.10I 24.39%NM 22.21%EV -10.92%E -2.66%K -3.52%G +0.000%9.8%2026-05-03 13:25
Betsson1.49I 67.11%NM 62.35%EV -6.89%E -4.62%K -14.06%G +0.000%5.70I 17.54%NM 16.30%EV -10.04%E -1.76%K -2.14%G +0.000%4.35I 22.99%NM 21.36%EV -5.48%E -1.26%K -1.64%G +0.000%7.6%2026-05-03 13:55
NordicBet1.49I 67.11%NM 62.35%EV -6.89%E -4.62%K -14.06%G +0.000%5.70I 17.54%NM 16.30%EV -10.04%E -1.76%K -2.14%G +0.000%4.35I 22.99%NM 21.36%EV -5.48%E -1.26%K -1.64%G +0.000%7.6%2026-05-03 13:55
Virgin Bet1.45I 68.97%NM 62.01%EV -9.39%E -6.48%K -20.87%G +0.000%5.60I 17.86%NM 16.06%EV -11.62%E -2.07%K -2.53%G +0.000%4.10I 24.39%NM 21.93%EV -10.92%E -2.66%K -3.52%G +0.000%11.2%2026-05-03 13:25
LiveScore Bet1.45I 68.97%NM 62.01%EV -9.39%E -6.48%K -20.87%G +0.000%5.60I 17.86%NM 16.06%EV -11.62%E -2.07%K -2.53%G +0.000%4.10I 24.39%NM 21.93%EV -10.92%E -2.66%K -3.52%G +0.000%11.2%2026-05-03 13:25
PlayUp1.50I 66.67%NM 60.16%EV -6.27%E -4.18%K -12.53%G +0.000%5.50I 18.18%NM 16.41%EV -13.19%E -2.40%K -2.93%G +0.000%3.85I 25.97%NM 23.44%EV -16.35%E -4.25%K -5.74%G +0.000%10.8%2026-05-03 13:55
Paddy Power1.44I 69.44%NM 61.66%EV -10.02%E -6.96%K -22.76%G +0.000%5.50I 18.18%NM 16.14%EV -13.19%E -2.40%K -2.93%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 22.20%EV -13.09%E -3.27%K -4.36%G +0.000%12.6%2026-05-03 13:25
BoyleSports1.44I 69.44%NM 61.66%EV -10.02%E -6.96%K -22.76%G +0.000%5.50I 18.18%NM 16.14%EV -13.19%E -2.40%K -2.93%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 22.20%EV -13.09%E -3.27%K -4.36%G +0.000%12.6%2026-05-03 13:54
Sky Bet1.44I 69.44%NM 61.31%EV -10.02%E -6.96%K -22.76%G +0.000%5.50I 18.18%NM 16.05%EV -13.19%E -2.40%K -2.93%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 22.64%EV -15.26%E -3.91%K -5.26%G +0.000%13.3%2026-05-03 13:25
PMU (FR)1.42I 70.42%NM 61.99%EV -11.27%E -7.93%K -26.82%G +0.000%5.50I 18.18%NM 16.00%EV -13.19%E -2.40%K -2.93%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 22.01%EV -13.09%E -3.27%K -4.36%G +0.000%13.6%2026-05-03 13:30
Codere (IT)1.48I 67.57%NM 61.48%EV -7.52%E -5.08%K -15.66%G +0.000%5.40I 18.52%NM 16.85%EV -14.77%E -2.74%K -3.36%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 21.67%EV -8.74%E -2.08%K -2.73%G +0.000%9.9%2026-05-03 13:55
Betclic (FR)1.44I 69.44%NM 61.97%EV -10.02%E -6.96%K -22.76%G +0.000%5.40I 18.52%NM 16.53%EV -14.77%E -2.74%K -3.36%G +0.000%4.15I 24.10%NM 21.50%EV -9.83%E -2.37%K -3.12%G +0.000%12.1%2026-05-03 13:55
NetBet (FR)1.39I 71.94%NM 62.64%EV -13.14%E -9.45%K -33.69%G +0.000%5.40I 18.52%NM 16.12%EV -14.77%E -2.74%K -3.36%G +0.000%4.10I 24.39%NM 21.24%EV -10.92%E -2.66%K -3.52%G +0.000%14.9%2026-05-03 14:10
Winamax (DE)1.47I 68.03%NM 62.06%EV -8.14%E -5.54%K -17.32%G +0.000%5.30I 18.87%NM 17.21%EV -16.35%E -3.08%K -3.80%G +0.000%4.40I 22.73%NM 20.73%EV -4.40%E -0.999%K -1.29%G +0.000%9.6%2026-05-03 13:55
Unibet (FR)1.44I 69.44%NM 61.62%EV -10.02%E -6.96%K -22.76%G +0.000%5.30I 18.87%NM 16.74%EV -16.35%E -3.08%K -3.80%G +0.000%4.10I 24.39%NM 21.64%EV -10.92%E -2.66%K -3.52%G +0.000%12.7%2026-05-03 13:54
BetMGM1.50I 66.67%NM 60.87%EV -6.27%E -4.18%K -12.53%G +0.000%5.25I 19.05%NM 17.39%EV -17.14%E -3.26%K -4.03%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 21.74%EV -8.74%E -2.08%K -2.73%G +0.000%9.5%2026-05-03 06:25
Ladbrokes (AU)1.50I 66.67%NM 59.70%EV -6.27%E -4.18%K -12.53%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 17.91%EV -21.09%E -4.22%K -5.27%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 22.39%EV -13.09%E -3.27%K -4.36%G +0.000%11.7%2026-05-03 06:26
Neds1.50I 66.67%NM 59.70%EV -6.27%E -4.18%K -12.53%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 17.91%EV -21.09%E -4.22%K -5.27%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 22.39%EV -13.09%E -3.27%K -4.36%G +0.000%11.7%2026-05-03 06:26
Coral1.50I 66.67%NM 59.70%EV -6.27%E -4.18%K -12.53%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 17.91%EV -21.09%E -4.22%K -5.27%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 22.39%EV -13.09%E -3.27%K -4.36%G +0.000%11.7%2026-05-03 06:26
Ladbrokes (UK)1.50I 66.67%NM 59.70%EV -6.27%E -4.18%K -12.53%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 17.91%EV -21.09%E -4.22%K -5.27%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 22.39%EV -13.09%E -3.27%K -4.36%G +0.000%11.7%2026-05-03 06:25
Winamax (FR)1.44I 69.44%NM 61.00%EV -10.02%E -6.96%K -22.76%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 17.57%EV -21.09%E -4.22%K -5.27%G +0.000%4.10I 24.39%NM 21.43%EV -10.92%E -2.66%K -3.52%G +0.000%13.8%2026-05-03 13:55
Betfair Sportsbook (UK)1.40I 71.43%NM 59.52%EV -12.52%E -8.94%K -31.29%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 16.67%EV -21.09%E -4.22%K -5.27%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 23.81%EV -23.95%E -6.84%K -9.58%G +0.000%20.0%2026-05-03 11:40
الهامش = الهامش · I = الاحتمال الضمني · NM = الاحتمال بلا هامش · EV = القيمة المتوقعة · E = الأفضلية · K = معيار Kelly · G = نمو رأس مال المراهنات

آخر تحديث هو وقت آخر تغيير أجرته كل شركة على سعرها؛ فالوقت الأقدم يعني أن السعر لم يتحرك فحسب، لا أنه متقادم. تُستبعد عادة الشركات التي لم تصل عنها بيانات خلال نحو 15 دقيقة؛ ولا تُعرض آخر الأسعار المسجلة بدلًا من ذلك إلا إذا انقطع تدفق بيانات السوق كله.

بورصات المراهنات (6)

شركة المراهناتالمضيفالضيفتعادلالهامش ▲آخر تحديث
Matchbook1.55I 64.52%NM 63.90%6.80I 14.71%NM 14.57%4.60I 21.74%NM 21.53%1.0%2026-05-03 14:10
Betfair Exchange (UK)1.55I 64.52%NM 63.90%6.80I 14.71%NM 14.57%4.60I 21.74%NM 21.53%1.0%2026-05-03 14:10
Betfair Exchange (EU)1.55I 64.52%NM 63.90%6.80I 14.71%NM 14.57%4.60I 21.74%NM 21.53%1.0%2026-05-03 14:10
Betfair Exchange (AU)1.55I 64.52%NM 63.90%6.80I 14.71%NM 14.57%4.60I 21.74%NM 21.53%1.0%2026-05-03 14:10
Kalshi1.56I 64.10%NM 62.80%6.25I 16.00%NM 15.67%4.55I 21.98%NM 21.53%2.1%2026-05-03 14:00
Smarkets1.54I 64.94%NM 63.47%6.60I 15.15%NM 14.81%4.50I 22.22%NM 21.72%2.3%2026-05-03 14:05