La scuola delle quoteLingua:Italiano
Sporting Gijón v AD Ceuta FC
Quote di chiusura — probabilità e valore atteso calcolati dalle ultime quote registrate prima dell’inizio secondo il modello selezionato. L’incontro è iniziato, quindi non sono dati in tempo reale. Valuti l’affidabilità delle previsioni probabilistiche di ciascun modello rispetto a tutti i risultati definitivi →
Testa a testa
Sporting Gijón (Casa)
Previsione 62.49%1.60quota equa
EV -4.39%
Vantaggio -2.87%
Kelly -8.29%
Crescita +0.000%
ipotizzando la quota massima 1.53
Distribuzione delle stime di probabilità dei bookmaker
59.52%62.36%62.55%63.46%MINMEDIAMEDIANAMAX
Distribuzione delle quote
1.391.481.481.5371.94%67.71%67.57%65.36%MINMEDIAMEDIANAMAX
AD Ceuta FC (Trasferta)
Previsione 15.78%6.34quota equa
EV +1.17%
Vantaggio +0.182%
Kelly +0.216%
Crescita +0.003%
ipotizzando la quota massima 6.41
Distribuzione delle stime di probabilità dei bookmaker
14.86%15.91%15.70%17.91%MINMEDIAMEDIANAMAX
Distribuzione delle quote
5.005.725.806.4120.00%17.50%17.24%15.60%MINMEDIAMEDIANAMAX
Pareggio
Previsione 21.73%4.60quota equa
EV -1.36%
Vantaggio -0.299%
Kelly -0.383%
Crescita +0.000%
ipotizzando la quota massima 4.54
Distribuzione delle stime di probabilità dei bookmaker
20.73%21.74%21.74%23.81%MINMEDIAMEDIANAMAX
Distribuzione delle quote
3.504.174.204.5428.57%24.00%23.81%22.03%MINMEDIAMEDIANAMAX
Quote dei bookmaker (53 bookmaker)
Non siamo affiliati ad alcun bookmaker e non ricaviamo nulla dalle operazioni svolte presso di essi.
| Bookmaker | Casa | Trasferta ▼ | Pareggio | Margine | Aggiornamento |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Pinnacle | 1.53I 65.36%NM 63.00%EV -4.39%E -2.87%K -8.29%G +0.000% | 6.41I 15.60%NM 15.04%EV +1.17%E +0.182%K +0.216%G +0.003% | 4.39I 22.78%NM 21.96%EV -4.61%E -1.05%K -1.36%G +0.000% | 3.7% | 2026-05-03 14:10 |
| Coolbet | 1.50I 66.67%NM 63.25%EV -6.27%E -4.18%K -12.53%G +0.000% | 6.25I 16.00%NM 15.18%EV -1.36%E -0.217%K -0.258%G +0.000% | 4.40I 22.73%NM 21.56%EV -4.40%E -0.999%K -1.29%G +0.000% | 5.4% | 2026-05-03 14:01 |
| Tipico (DE) | 1.47I 68.03%NM 62.67%EV -8.14%E -5.54%K -17.32%G +0.000% | 6.20I 16.13%NM 14.86%EV -2.15%E -0.346%K -0.413%G +0.000% | 4.10I 24.39%NM 22.47%EV -10.92%E -2.66%K -3.52%G +0.000% | 8.5% | 2026-05-03 14:00 |
| 1xBet | 1.50I 66.67%NM 63.46%EV -6.27%E -4.18%K -12.53%G +0.000% | 6.11I 16.37%NM 15.58%EV -3.57%E -0.584%K -0.698%G +0.000% | 4.54I 22.03%NM 20.97%EV -1.36%E -0.299%K -0.383%G +0.000% | 5.1% | 2026-05-03 14:10 |
| Marathon Bet | 1.48I 67.57%NM 63.03%EV -7.52%E -5.08%K -15.66%G +0.000% | 6.05I 16.53%NM 15.42%EV -4.51%E -0.746%K -0.894%G +0.000% | 4.33I 23.09%NM 21.55%EV -5.92%E -1.37%K -1.78%G +0.000% | 7.2% | 2026-05-03 14:10 |
| Fanatics | 1.50I 66.67%NM 63.16%EV -6.27%E -4.18%K -12.53%G +0.000% | 6.00I 16.67%NM 15.79%EV -5.30%E -0.884%K -1.06%G +0.000% | 4.50I 22.22%NM 21.05%EV -2.22%E -0.494%K -0.636%G +0.000% | 5.6% | 2026-05-03 08:59 |
| DraftKings | 1.51I 66.23%NM 62.39%EV -5.64%E -3.74%K -11.06%G +0.000% | 6.00I 16.67%NM 15.70%EV -5.30%E -0.884%K -1.06%G +0.000% | 4.30I 23.26%NM 21.91%EV -6.57%E -1.53%K -1.99%G +0.000% | 6.1% | 2026-05-03 13:55 |
| Unibet | 1.51I 66.23%NM 62.23%EV -5.64%E -3.74%K -11.06%G +0.000% | 6.00I 16.67%NM 15.66%EV -5.30%E -0.884%K -1.06%G +0.000% | 4.25I 23.53%NM 22.11%EV -7.66%E -1.80%K -2.36%G +0.000% | 6.4% | 2026-05-03 13:30 |
| Unibet (NL) | 1.51I 66.23%NM 62.23%EV -5.64%E -3.74%K -11.06%G +0.000% | 6.00I 16.67%NM 15.66%EV -5.30%E -0.884%K -1.06%G +0.000% | 4.25I 23.53%NM 22.11%EV -7.66%E -1.80%K -2.36%G +0.000% | 6.4% | 2026-05-03 13:25 |
| Unibet (SE) | 1.51I 66.23%NM 62.23%EV -5.64%E -3.74%K -11.06%G +0.000% | 6.00I 16.67%NM 15.66%EV -5.30%E -0.884%K -1.06%G +0.000% | 4.25I 23.53%NM 22.11%EV -7.66%E -1.80%K -2.36%G +0.000% | 6.4% | 2026-05-03 13:30 |
| Svenska Spel | 1.51I 66.23%NM 62.23%EV -5.64%E -3.74%K -11.06%G +0.000% | 6.00I 16.67%NM 15.66%EV -5.30%E -0.884%K -1.06%G +0.000% | 4.25I 23.53%NM 22.11%EV -7.66%E -1.80%K -2.36%G +0.000% | 6.4% | 2026-05-03 13:30 |
| ATG (SE) | 1.51I 66.23%NM 62.23%EV -5.64%E -3.74%K -11.06%G +0.000% | 6.00I 16.67%NM 15.66%EV -5.30%E -0.884%K -1.06%G +0.000% | 4.25I 23.53%NM 22.11%EV -7.66%E -1.80%K -2.36%G +0.000% | 6.4% | 2026-05-03 13:30 |
| Betr (AU) | 1.50I 66.67%NM 62.55%EV -6.27%E -4.18%K -12.53%G +0.000% | 6.00I 16.67%NM 15.64%EV -5.30%E -0.884%K -1.06%G +0.000% | 4.30I 23.26%NM 21.82%EV -6.57%E -1.53%K -1.99%G +0.000% | 6.6% | 2026-05-03 14:00 |
| LowVig.ag | 1.50I 66.67%NM 62.22%EV -6.27%E -4.18%K -12.53%G +0.000% | 6.00I 16.67%NM 15.56%EV -5.30%E -0.884%K -1.06%G +0.000% | 4.20I 23.81%NM 22.22%EV -8.74%E -2.08%K -2.73%G +0.000% | 7.1% | 2026-05-03 14:00 |
| BetOnline.ag | 1.50I 66.67%NM 62.22%EV -6.27%E -4.18%K -12.53%G +0.000% | 6.00I 16.67%NM 15.56%EV -5.30%E -0.884%K -1.06%G +0.000% | 4.20I 23.81%NM 22.22%EV -8.74%E -2.08%K -2.73%G +0.000% | 7.1% | 2026-05-03 14:00 |
| FanDuel | 1.48I 67.57%NM 62.86%EV -7.52%E -5.08%K -15.66%G +0.000% | 6.00I 16.67%NM 15.51%EV -5.30%E -0.884%K -1.06%G +0.000% | 4.30I 23.26%NM 21.64%EV -6.57%E -1.53%K -1.99%G +0.000% | 7.5% | 2026-05-03 14:00 |
| PointsBet (AU) | 1.48I 67.57%NM 62.70%EV -7.52%E -5.08%K -15.66%G +0.000% | 6.00I 16.67%NM 15.47%EV -5.30%E -0.884%K -1.06%G +0.000% | 4.25I 23.53%NM 21.83%EV -7.66%E -1.80%K -2.36%G +0.000% | 7.8% | 2026-05-03 14:00 |
| Betway | 1.48I 67.57%NM 62.54%EV -7.52%E -5.08%K -15.66%G +0.000% | 6.00I 16.67%NM 15.43%EV -5.30%E -0.884%K -1.06%G +0.000% | 4.20I 23.81%NM 22.04%EV -8.74%E -2.08%K -2.73%G +0.000% | 8.0% | 2026-05-03 13:55 |
| Mr Green (SE) | 1.50I 66.67%NM 61.54%EV -6.27%E -4.18%K -12.53%G +0.000% | 6.00I 16.67%NM 15.38%EV -5.30%E -0.884%K -1.06%G +0.000% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 23.08%EV -13.09%E -3.27%K -4.36%G +0.000% | 8.3% | 2026-05-03 14:05 |
| Bet Victor | 1.45I 68.97%NM 63.02%EV -9.39%E -6.48%K -20.87%G +0.000% | 6.00I 16.67%NM 15.23%EV -5.30%E -0.884%K -1.06%G +0.000% | 4.20I 23.81%NM 21.76%EV -8.74%E -2.08%K -2.73%G +0.000% | 9.4% | 2026-05-03 13:55 |
| betfred_uk | 1.44I 69.44%NM 63.18%EV -10.02%E -6.96%K -22.76%G +0.000% | 6.00I 16.67%NM 15.16%EV -5.30%E -0.884%K -1.06%G +0.000% | 4.20I 23.81%NM 21.66%EV -8.74%E -2.08%K -2.73%G +0.000% | 9.9% | 2026-05-03 14:00 |
| SportsBet | 1.44I 69.44%NM 63.18%EV -10.02%E -6.96%K -22.76%G +0.000% | 6.00I 16.67%NM 15.16%EV -5.30%E -0.884%K -1.06%G +0.000% | 4.20I 23.81%NM 21.66%EV -8.74%E -2.08%K -2.73%G +0.000% | 9.9% | 2026-05-03 13:55 |
| Casumo | 1.48I 67.57%NM 62.21%EV -7.52%E -5.08%K -15.66%G +0.000% | 5.80I 17.24%NM 15.87%EV -8.46%E -1.46%K -1.76%G +0.000% | 4.20I 23.81%NM 21.92%EV -8.74%E -2.08%K -2.73%G +0.000% | 8.6% | 2026-05-03 13:31 |
| TABtouch | 1.48I 67.57%NM 62.21%EV -7.52%E -5.08%K -15.66%G +0.000% | 5.80I 17.24%NM 15.87%EV -8.46%E -1.46%K -1.76%G +0.000% | 4.20I 23.81%NM 21.92%EV -8.74%E -2.08%K -2.73%G +0.000% | 8.6% | 2026-05-03 13:25 |
| Grosvenor | 1.48I 67.57%NM 62.21%EV -7.52%E -5.08%K -15.66%G +0.000% | 5.80I 17.24%NM 15.87%EV -8.46%E -1.46%K -1.76%G +0.000% | 4.20I 23.81%NM 21.92%EV -8.74%E -2.08%K -2.73%G +0.000% | 8.6% | 2026-05-03 13:30 |
| betPARX | 1.48I 67.57%NM 62.21%EV -7.52%E -5.08%K -15.66%G +0.000% | 5.80I 17.24%NM 15.87%EV -8.46%E -1.46%K -1.76%G +0.000% | 4.20I 23.81%NM 21.92%EV -8.74%E -2.08%K -2.73%G +0.000% | 8.6% | 2026-05-03 13:25 |
| William Hill | 1.44I 69.44%NM 62.18%EV -10.02%E -6.96%K -22.76%G +0.000% | 5.80I 17.24%NM 15.44%EV -8.46%E -1.46%K -1.76%G +0.000% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 22.38%EV -13.09%E -3.27%K -4.36%G +0.000% | 11.7% | 2026-05-03 14:05 |
| theScore Bet | 1.50I 66.67%NM 61.97%EV -6.27%E -4.18%K -12.53%G +0.000% | 5.75I 17.39%NM 16.16%EV -9.25%E -1.61%K -1.95%G +0.000% | 4.25I 23.53%NM 21.87%EV -7.66%E -1.80%K -2.36%G +0.000% | 7.6% | 2026-05-03 14:00 |
| Bovada | 1.49I 67.11%NM 61.80%EV -6.89%E -4.62%K -14.06%G +0.000% | 5.75I 17.39%NM 16.01%EV -9.25%E -1.61%K -1.95%G +0.000% | 4.15I 24.10%NM 22.19%EV -9.83%E -2.37%K -3.12%G +0.000% | 8.6% | 2026-05-03 14:08 |
| BetAnything | 1.49I 67.11%NM 61.80%EV -6.89%E -4.62%K -14.06%G +0.000% | 5.75I 17.39%NM 16.01%EV -9.25%E -1.61%K -1.95%G +0.000% | 4.15I 24.10%NM 22.19%EV -9.83%E -2.37%K -3.12%G +0.000% | 8.6% | 2026-05-03 14:10 |
| LeoVegas (SE) | 1.48I 67.57%NM 61.79%EV -7.52%E -5.08%K -15.66%G +0.000% | 5.75I 17.39%NM 15.90%EV -9.25%E -1.61%K -1.95%G +0.000% | 4.10I 24.39%NM 22.30%EV -10.92%E -2.66%K -3.52%G +0.000% | 9.3% | 2026-05-03 13:25 |
| LeoVegas | 1.47I 68.03%NM 61.95%EV -8.14%E -5.54%K -17.32%G +0.000% | 5.75I 17.39%NM 15.84%EV -9.25%E -1.61%K -1.95%G +0.000% | 4.10I 24.39%NM 22.21%EV -10.92%E -2.66%K -3.52%G +0.000% | 9.8% | 2026-05-03 13:25 |
| Betsson | 1.49I 67.11%NM 62.35%EV -6.89%E -4.62%K -14.06%G +0.000% | 5.70I 17.54%NM 16.30%EV -10.04%E -1.76%K -2.14%G +0.000% | 4.35I 22.99%NM 21.36%EV -5.48%E -1.26%K -1.64%G +0.000% | 7.6% | 2026-05-03 13:55 |
| NordicBet | 1.49I 67.11%NM 62.35%EV -6.89%E -4.62%K -14.06%G +0.000% | 5.70I 17.54%NM 16.30%EV -10.04%E -1.76%K -2.14%G +0.000% | 4.35I 22.99%NM 21.36%EV -5.48%E -1.26%K -1.64%G +0.000% | 7.6% | 2026-05-03 13:55 |
| Virgin Bet | 1.45I 68.97%NM 62.01%EV -9.39%E -6.48%K -20.87%G +0.000% | 5.60I 17.86%NM 16.06%EV -11.62%E -2.07%K -2.53%G +0.000% | 4.10I 24.39%NM 21.93%EV -10.92%E -2.66%K -3.52%G +0.000% | 11.2% | 2026-05-03 13:25 |
| LiveScore Bet | 1.45I 68.97%NM 62.01%EV -9.39%E -6.48%K -20.87%G +0.000% | 5.60I 17.86%NM 16.06%EV -11.62%E -2.07%K -2.53%G +0.000% | 4.10I 24.39%NM 21.93%EV -10.92%E -2.66%K -3.52%G +0.000% | 11.2% | 2026-05-03 13:25 |
| PlayUp | 1.50I 66.67%NM 60.16%EV -6.27%E -4.18%K -12.53%G +0.000% | 5.50I 18.18%NM 16.41%EV -13.19%E -2.40%K -2.93%G +0.000% | 3.85I 25.97%NM 23.44%EV -16.35%E -4.25%K -5.74%G +0.000% | 10.8% | 2026-05-03 13:55 |
| Paddy Power | 1.44I 69.44%NM 61.66%EV -10.02%E -6.96%K -22.76%G +0.000% | 5.50I 18.18%NM 16.14%EV -13.19%E -2.40%K -2.93%G +0.000% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 22.20%EV -13.09%E -3.27%K -4.36%G +0.000% | 12.6% | 2026-05-03 13:25 |
| BoyleSports | 1.44I 69.44%NM 61.66%EV -10.02%E -6.96%K -22.76%G +0.000% | 5.50I 18.18%NM 16.14%EV -13.19%E -2.40%K -2.93%G +0.000% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 22.20%EV -13.09%E -3.27%K -4.36%G +0.000% | 12.6% | 2026-05-03 13:54 |
| Sky Bet | 1.44I 69.44%NM 61.31%EV -10.02%E -6.96%K -22.76%G +0.000% | 5.50I 18.18%NM 16.05%EV -13.19%E -2.40%K -2.93%G +0.000% | 3.90I 25.64%NM 22.64%EV -15.26%E -3.91%K -5.26%G +0.000% | 13.3% | 2026-05-03 13:25 |
| PMU (FR) | 1.42I 70.42%NM 61.99%EV -11.27%E -7.93%K -26.82%G +0.000% | 5.50I 18.18%NM 16.00%EV -13.19%E -2.40%K -2.93%G +0.000% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 22.01%EV -13.09%E -3.27%K -4.36%G +0.000% | 13.6% | 2026-05-03 13:30 |
| Codere (IT) | 1.48I 67.57%NM 61.48%EV -7.52%E -5.08%K -15.66%G +0.000% | 5.40I 18.52%NM 16.85%EV -14.77%E -2.74%K -3.36%G +0.000% | 4.20I 23.81%NM 21.67%EV -8.74%E -2.08%K -2.73%G +0.000% | 9.9% | 2026-05-03 13:55 |
| Betclic (FR) | 1.44I 69.44%NM 61.97%EV -10.02%E -6.96%K -22.76%G +0.000% | 5.40I 18.52%NM 16.53%EV -14.77%E -2.74%K -3.36%G +0.000% | 4.15I 24.10%NM 21.50%EV -9.83%E -2.37%K -3.12%G +0.000% | 12.1% | 2026-05-03 13:55 |
| NetBet (FR) | 1.39I 71.94%NM 62.64%EV -13.14%E -9.45%K -33.69%G +0.000% | 5.40I 18.52%NM 16.12%EV -14.77%E -2.74%K -3.36%G +0.000% | 4.10I 24.39%NM 21.24%EV -10.92%E -2.66%K -3.52%G +0.000% | 14.9% | 2026-05-03 14:10 |
| Winamax (DE) | 1.47I 68.03%NM 62.06%EV -8.14%E -5.54%K -17.32%G +0.000% | 5.30I 18.87%NM 17.21%EV -16.35%E -3.08%K -3.80%G +0.000% | 4.40I 22.73%NM 20.73%EV -4.40%E -0.999%K -1.29%G +0.000% | 9.6% | 2026-05-03 13:55 |
| Unibet (FR) | 1.44I 69.44%NM 61.62%EV -10.02%E -6.96%K -22.76%G +0.000% | 5.30I 18.87%NM 16.74%EV -16.35%E -3.08%K -3.80%G +0.000% | 4.10I 24.39%NM 21.64%EV -10.92%E -2.66%K -3.52%G +0.000% | 12.7% | 2026-05-03 13:54 |
| BetMGM | 1.50I 66.67%NM 60.87%EV -6.27%E -4.18%K -12.53%G +0.000% | 5.25I 19.05%NM 17.39%EV -17.14%E -3.26%K -4.03%G +0.000% | 4.20I 23.81%NM 21.74%EV -8.74%E -2.08%K -2.73%G +0.000% | 9.5% | 2026-05-03 06:25 |
| Ladbrokes (AU) | 1.50I 66.67%NM 59.70%EV -6.27%E -4.18%K -12.53%G +0.000% | 5.00I 20.00%NM 17.91%EV -21.09%E -4.22%K -5.27%G +0.000% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 22.39%EV -13.09%E -3.27%K -4.36%G +0.000% | 11.7% | 2026-05-03 06:26 |
| Neds | 1.50I 66.67%NM 59.70%EV -6.27%E -4.18%K -12.53%G +0.000% | 5.00I 20.00%NM 17.91%EV -21.09%E -4.22%K -5.27%G +0.000% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 22.39%EV -13.09%E -3.27%K -4.36%G +0.000% | 11.7% | 2026-05-03 06:26 |
| Coral | 1.50I 66.67%NM 59.70%EV -6.27%E -4.18%K -12.53%G +0.000% | 5.00I 20.00%NM 17.91%EV -21.09%E -4.22%K -5.27%G +0.000% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 22.39%EV -13.09%E -3.27%K -4.36%G +0.000% | 11.7% | 2026-05-03 06:26 |
| Ladbrokes (UK) | 1.50I 66.67%NM 59.70%EV -6.27%E -4.18%K -12.53%G +0.000% | 5.00I 20.00%NM 17.91%EV -21.09%E -4.22%K -5.27%G +0.000% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 22.39%EV -13.09%E -3.27%K -4.36%G +0.000% | 11.7% | 2026-05-03 06:25 |
| Winamax (FR) | 1.44I 69.44%NM 61.00%EV -10.02%E -6.96%K -22.76%G +0.000% | 5.00I 20.00%NM 17.57%EV -21.09%E -4.22%K -5.27%G +0.000% | 4.10I 24.39%NM 21.43%EV -10.92%E -2.66%K -3.52%G +0.000% | 13.8% | 2026-05-03 13:55 |
| Betfair Sportsbook (UK) | 1.40I 71.43%NM 59.52%EV -12.52%E -8.94%K -31.29%G +0.000% | 5.00I 20.00%NM 16.67%EV -21.09%E -4.22%K -5.27%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 23.81%EV -23.95%E -6.84%K -9.58%G +0.000% | 20.0% | 2026-05-03 11:40 |
Margine = Margine (overround) · I = Probabilità implicita · NM = Probabilità senza margine · EV = Valore atteso · E = Vantaggio · K = Criterio di Kelly · G = Crescita del capitale
Aggiornamento indica quando ciascun bookmaker ha modificato la quota per l’ultima volta: un orario meno recente significa che la quota non si è mossa, non che sia obsoleta. I bookmaker assenti da circa 15 minuti vengono normalmente esclusi; solo se tace il flusso dell’intero mercato si mostrano le ultime quote registrate.
Borse di scommesse (6)
| Bookmaker | Casa | Trasferta | Pareggio | Margine ▲ | Aggiornamento |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Matchbook | 1.55I 64.52%NM 63.90% | 6.80I 14.71%NM 14.57% | 4.60I 21.74%NM 21.53% | 1.0% | 2026-05-03 14:10 |
| Betfair Exchange (UK) | 1.55I 64.52%NM 63.90% | 6.80I 14.71%NM 14.57% | 4.60I 21.74%NM 21.53% | 1.0% | 2026-05-03 14:10 |
| Betfair Exchange (EU) | 1.55I 64.52%NM 63.90% | 6.80I 14.71%NM 14.57% | 4.60I 21.74%NM 21.53% | 1.0% | 2026-05-03 14:10 |
| Betfair Exchange (AU) | 1.55I 64.52%NM 63.90% | 6.80I 14.71%NM 14.57% | 4.60I 21.74%NM 21.53% | 1.0% | 2026-05-03 14:10 |
| Kalshi | 1.56I 64.10%NM 62.80% | 6.25I 16.00%NM 15.67% | 4.55I 21.98%NM 21.53% | 2.1% | 2026-05-03 14:00 |
| Smarkets | 1.54I 64.94%NM 63.47% | 6.60I 15.15%NM 14.81% | 4.50I 22.22%NM 21.72% | 2.3% | 2026-05-03 14:05 |