Die Schule der Quoten

Sporting Gijón v AD Ceuta FC

Spielbeginn: 2026-05-03 14:15 UTC

Endstand: Sporting Gijón 1–2 AD Ceuta FC

Schlussquote — die anhand der letzten vor Spielbeginn erfassten Preise berechneten Wahrscheinlichkeiten und Erwartungswerte nach Ihrem ausgewählten Modell. Das Spiel hat begonnen; dies sind daher keine aktuellen Werte. Zuverlässigkeit der Wahrscheinlichkeitsprognosen jedes Modells anhand aller abgeschlossenen Spiele beurteilen →

Direkter Vergleich

53 Wettanbieter (19 in der Analyse )

Geschätzte Wahrscheinlichkeit jedes Ergebnisses nach dem Modell: IQM

Sporting Gijón (Heim)

Prognose 62.49%1.60faire Quote
EV -4.39%
Vorteil -2.87%
Kelly -8.29%
Wachstum +0.000%

bei einer Höchstquote von 1.53

Verteilung der Wettanbieterprognosen
59.52%62.36%62.55%63.46%MINMITTELMEDIANMAX
Quotenverteilung
1.391.481.481.5371.94%67.71%67.57%65.36%MINMITTELMEDIANMAX

AD Ceuta FC (Auswärts)

Prognose 15.78%6.34faire Quote
EV +1.17%
Vorteil +0.182%
Kelly +0.216%
Wachstum +0.003%

bei einer Höchstquote von 6.41

Verteilung der Wettanbieterprognosen
14.86%15.91%15.70%17.91%MINMITTELMEDIANMAX
Quotenverteilung
5.005.725.806.4120.00%17.50%17.24%15.60%MINMITTELMEDIANMAX

Unentschieden

Prognose 21.73%4.60faire Quote
EV -1.36%
Vorteil -0.299%
Kelly -0.383%
Wachstum +0.000%

bei einer Höchstquote von 4.54

Verteilung der Wettanbieterprognosen
20.73%21.74%21.74%23.81%MINMITTELMEDIANMAX
Quotenverteilung
3.504.174.204.5428.57%24.00%23.81%22.03%MINMITTELMEDIANMAX

Wettanbieterquoten (53 Wettanbieter)

Wir sind mit keinem Wettanbieter verbunden und erhalten keinerlei Ertrag aus Handlungen, die bei diesen Anbietern vorgenommen werden.

WettanbieterHeimAuswärts ▼UnentschiedenMargeAktualisiert
Pinnacle1.53I 65.36%NM 63.00%EV -4.39%E -2.87%K -8.29%G +0.000%6.41I 15.60%NM 15.04%EV +1.17%E +0.182%K +0.216%G +0.003%4.39I 22.78%NM 21.96%EV -4.61%E -1.05%K -1.36%G +0.000%3.7%2026-05-03 14:10
Coolbet1.50I 66.67%NM 63.25%EV -6.27%E -4.18%K -12.53%G +0.000%6.25I 16.00%NM 15.18%EV -1.36%E -0.217%K -0.258%G +0.000%4.40I 22.73%NM 21.56%EV -4.40%E -0.999%K -1.29%G +0.000%5.4%2026-05-03 14:01
Tipico (DE)1.47I 68.03%NM 62.67%EV -8.14%E -5.54%K -17.32%G +0.000%6.20I 16.13%NM 14.86%EV -2.15%E -0.346%K -0.413%G +0.000%4.10I 24.39%NM 22.47%EV -10.92%E -2.66%K -3.52%G +0.000%8.5%2026-05-03 14:00
1xBet1.50I 66.67%NM 63.46%EV -6.27%E -4.18%K -12.53%G +0.000%6.11I 16.37%NM 15.58%EV -3.57%E -0.584%K -0.698%G +0.000%4.54I 22.03%NM 20.97%EV -1.36%E -0.299%K -0.383%G +0.000%5.1%2026-05-03 14:10
Marathon Bet1.48I 67.57%NM 63.03%EV -7.52%E -5.08%K -15.66%G +0.000%6.05I 16.53%NM 15.42%EV -4.51%E -0.746%K -0.894%G +0.000%4.33I 23.09%NM 21.55%EV -5.92%E -1.37%K -1.78%G +0.000%7.2%2026-05-03 14:10
Fanatics1.50I 66.67%NM 63.16%EV -6.27%E -4.18%K -12.53%G +0.000%6.00I 16.67%NM 15.79%EV -5.30%E -0.884%K -1.06%G +0.000%4.50I 22.22%NM 21.05%EV -2.22%E -0.494%K -0.636%G +0.000%5.6%2026-05-03 08:59
DraftKings1.51I 66.23%NM 62.39%EV -5.64%E -3.74%K -11.06%G +0.000%6.00I 16.67%NM 15.70%EV -5.30%E -0.884%K -1.06%G +0.000%4.30I 23.26%NM 21.91%EV -6.57%E -1.53%K -1.99%G +0.000%6.1%2026-05-03 13:55
Unibet1.51I 66.23%NM 62.23%EV -5.64%E -3.74%K -11.06%G +0.000%6.00I 16.67%NM 15.66%EV -5.30%E -0.884%K -1.06%G +0.000%4.25I 23.53%NM 22.11%EV -7.66%E -1.80%K -2.36%G +0.000%6.4%2026-05-03 13:30
Unibet (NL)1.51I 66.23%NM 62.23%EV -5.64%E -3.74%K -11.06%G +0.000%6.00I 16.67%NM 15.66%EV -5.30%E -0.884%K -1.06%G +0.000%4.25I 23.53%NM 22.11%EV -7.66%E -1.80%K -2.36%G +0.000%6.4%2026-05-03 13:25
Unibet (SE)1.51I 66.23%NM 62.23%EV -5.64%E -3.74%K -11.06%G +0.000%6.00I 16.67%NM 15.66%EV -5.30%E -0.884%K -1.06%G +0.000%4.25I 23.53%NM 22.11%EV -7.66%E -1.80%K -2.36%G +0.000%6.4%2026-05-03 13:30
Svenska Spel1.51I 66.23%NM 62.23%EV -5.64%E -3.74%K -11.06%G +0.000%6.00I 16.67%NM 15.66%EV -5.30%E -0.884%K -1.06%G +0.000%4.25I 23.53%NM 22.11%EV -7.66%E -1.80%K -2.36%G +0.000%6.4%2026-05-03 13:30
ATG (SE)1.51I 66.23%NM 62.23%EV -5.64%E -3.74%K -11.06%G +0.000%6.00I 16.67%NM 15.66%EV -5.30%E -0.884%K -1.06%G +0.000%4.25I 23.53%NM 22.11%EV -7.66%E -1.80%K -2.36%G +0.000%6.4%2026-05-03 13:30
Betr (AU)1.50I 66.67%NM 62.55%EV -6.27%E -4.18%K -12.53%G +0.000%6.00I 16.67%NM 15.64%EV -5.30%E -0.884%K -1.06%G +0.000%4.30I 23.26%NM 21.82%EV -6.57%E -1.53%K -1.99%G +0.000%6.6%2026-05-03 14:00
LowVig.ag1.50I 66.67%NM 62.22%EV -6.27%E -4.18%K -12.53%G +0.000%6.00I 16.67%NM 15.56%EV -5.30%E -0.884%K -1.06%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 22.22%EV -8.74%E -2.08%K -2.73%G +0.000%7.1%2026-05-03 14:00
BetOnline.ag1.50I 66.67%NM 62.22%EV -6.27%E -4.18%K -12.53%G +0.000%6.00I 16.67%NM 15.56%EV -5.30%E -0.884%K -1.06%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 22.22%EV -8.74%E -2.08%K -2.73%G +0.000%7.1%2026-05-03 14:00
FanDuel1.48I 67.57%NM 62.86%EV -7.52%E -5.08%K -15.66%G +0.000%6.00I 16.67%NM 15.51%EV -5.30%E -0.884%K -1.06%G +0.000%4.30I 23.26%NM 21.64%EV -6.57%E -1.53%K -1.99%G +0.000%7.5%2026-05-03 14:00
PointsBet (AU)1.48I 67.57%NM 62.70%EV -7.52%E -5.08%K -15.66%G +0.000%6.00I 16.67%NM 15.47%EV -5.30%E -0.884%K -1.06%G +0.000%4.25I 23.53%NM 21.83%EV -7.66%E -1.80%K -2.36%G +0.000%7.8%2026-05-03 14:00
Betway1.48I 67.57%NM 62.54%EV -7.52%E -5.08%K -15.66%G +0.000%6.00I 16.67%NM 15.43%EV -5.30%E -0.884%K -1.06%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 22.04%EV -8.74%E -2.08%K -2.73%G +0.000%8.0%2026-05-03 13:55
Mr Green (SE)1.50I 66.67%NM 61.54%EV -6.27%E -4.18%K -12.53%G +0.000%6.00I 16.67%NM 15.38%EV -5.30%E -0.884%K -1.06%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.08%EV -13.09%E -3.27%K -4.36%G +0.000%8.3%2026-05-03 14:05
Bet Victor1.45I 68.97%NM 63.02%EV -9.39%E -6.48%K -20.87%G +0.000%6.00I 16.67%NM 15.23%EV -5.30%E -0.884%K -1.06%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 21.76%EV -8.74%E -2.08%K -2.73%G +0.000%9.4%2026-05-03 13:55
betfred_uk1.44I 69.44%NM 63.18%EV -10.02%E -6.96%K -22.76%G +0.000%6.00I 16.67%NM 15.16%EV -5.30%E -0.884%K -1.06%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 21.66%EV -8.74%E -2.08%K -2.73%G +0.000%9.9%2026-05-03 14:00
SportsBet1.44I 69.44%NM 63.18%EV -10.02%E -6.96%K -22.76%G +0.000%6.00I 16.67%NM 15.16%EV -5.30%E -0.884%K -1.06%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 21.66%EV -8.74%E -2.08%K -2.73%G +0.000%9.9%2026-05-03 13:55
Casumo1.48I 67.57%NM 62.21%EV -7.52%E -5.08%K -15.66%G +0.000%5.80I 17.24%NM 15.87%EV -8.46%E -1.46%K -1.76%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 21.92%EV -8.74%E -2.08%K -2.73%G +0.000%8.6%2026-05-03 13:31
TABtouch1.48I 67.57%NM 62.21%EV -7.52%E -5.08%K -15.66%G +0.000%5.80I 17.24%NM 15.87%EV -8.46%E -1.46%K -1.76%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 21.92%EV -8.74%E -2.08%K -2.73%G +0.000%8.6%2026-05-03 13:25
Grosvenor1.48I 67.57%NM 62.21%EV -7.52%E -5.08%K -15.66%G +0.000%5.80I 17.24%NM 15.87%EV -8.46%E -1.46%K -1.76%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 21.92%EV -8.74%E -2.08%K -2.73%G +0.000%8.6%2026-05-03 13:30
betPARX1.48I 67.57%NM 62.21%EV -7.52%E -5.08%K -15.66%G +0.000%5.80I 17.24%NM 15.87%EV -8.46%E -1.46%K -1.76%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 21.92%EV -8.74%E -2.08%K -2.73%G +0.000%8.6%2026-05-03 13:25
William Hill1.44I 69.44%NM 62.18%EV -10.02%E -6.96%K -22.76%G +0.000%5.80I 17.24%NM 15.44%EV -8.46%E -1.46%K -1.76%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 22.38%EV -13.09%E -3.27%K -4.36%G +0.000%11.7%2026-05-03 14:05
theScore Bet1.50I 66.67%NM 61.97%EV -6.27%E -4.18%K -12.53%G +0.000%5.75I 17.39%NM 16.16%EV -9.25%E -1.61%K -1.95%G +0.000%4.25I 23.53%NM 21.87%EV -7.66%E -1.80%K -2.36%G +0.000%7.6%2026-05-03 14:00
Bovada1.49I 67.11%NM 61.80%EV -6.89%E -4.62%K -14.06%G +0.000%5.75I 17.39%NM 16.01%EV -9.25%E -1.61%K -1.95%G +0.000%4.15I 24.10%NM 22.19%EV -9.83%E -2.37%K -3.12%G +0.000%8.6%2026-05-03 14:08
BetAnything1.49I 67.11%NM 61.80%EV -6.89%E -4.62%K -14.06%G +0.000%5.75I 17.39%NM 16.01%EV -9.25%E -1.61%K -1.95%G +0.000%4.15I 24.10%NM 22.19%EV -9.83%E -2.37%K -3.12%G +0.000%8.6%2026-05-03 14:10
LeoVegas (SE)1.48I 67.57%NM 61.79%EV -7.52%E -5.08%K -15.66%G +0.000%5.75I 17.39%NM 15.90%EV -9.25%E -1.61%K -1.95%G +0.000%4.10I 24.39%NM 22.30%EV -10.92%E -2.66%K -3.52%G +0.000%9.3%2026-05-03 13:25
LeoVegas1.47I 68.03%NM 61.95%EV -8.14%E -5.54%K -17.32%G +0.000%5.75I 17.39%NM 15.84%EV -9.25%E -1.61%K -1.95%G +0.000%4.10I 24.39%NM 22.21%EV -10.92%E -2.66%K -3.52%G +0.000%9.8%2026-05-03 13:25
Betsson1.49I 67.11%NM 62.35%EV -6.89%E -4.62%K -14.06%G +0.000%5.70I 17.54%NM 16.30%EV -10.04%E -1.76%K -2.14%G +0.000%4.35I 22.99%NM 21.36%EV -5.48%E -1.26%K -1.64%G +0.000%7.6%2026-05-03 13:55
NordicBet1.49I 67.11%NM 62.35%EV -6.89%E -4.62%K -14.06%G +0.000%5.70I 17.54%NM 16.30%EV -10.04%E -1.76%K -2.14%G +0.000%4.35I 22.99%NM 21.36%EV -5.48%E -1.26%K -1.64%G +0.000%7.6%2026-05-03 13:55
Virgin Bet1.45I 68.97%NM 62.01%EV -9.39%E -6.48%K -20.87%G +0.000%5.60I 17.86%NM 16.06%EV -11.62%E -2.07%K -2.53%G +0.000%4.10I 24.39%NM 21.93%EV -10.92%E -2.66%K -3.52%G +0.000%11.2%2026-05-03 13:25
LiveScore Bet1.45I 68.97%NM 62.01%EV -9.39%E -6.48%K -20.87%G +0.000%5.60I 17.86%NM 16.06%EV -11.62%E -2.07%K -2.53%G +0.000%4.10I 24.39%NM 21.93%EV -10.92%E -2.66%K -3.52%G +0.000%11.2%2026-05-03 13:25
PlayUp1.50I 66.67%NM 60.16%EV -6.27%E -4.18%K -12.53%G +0.000%5.50I 18.18%NM 16.41%EV -13.19%E -2.40%K -2.93%G +0.000%3.85I 25.97%NM 23.44%EV -16.35%E -4.25%K -5.74%G +0.000%10.8%2026-05-03 13:55
Paddy Power1.44I 69.44%NM 61.66%EV -10.02%E -6.96%K -22.76%G +0.000%5.50I 18.18%NM 16.14%EV -13.19%E -2.40%K -2.93%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 22.20%EV -13.09%E -3.27%K -4.36%G +0.000%12.6%2026-05-03 13:25
BoyleSports1.44I 69.44%NM 61.66%EV -10.02%E -6.96%K -22.76%G +0.000%5.50I 18.18%NM 16.14%EV -13.19%E -2.40%K -2.93%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 22.20%EV -13.09%E -3.27%K -4.36%G +0.000%12.6%2026-05-03 13:54
Sky Bet1.44I 69.44%NM 61.31%EV -10.02%E -6.96%K -22.76%G +0.000%5.50I 18.18%NM 16.05%EV -13.19%E -2.40%K -2.93%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 22.64%EV -15.26%E -3.91%K -5.26%G +0.000%13.3%2026-05-03 13:25
PMU (FR)1.42I 70.42%NM 61.99%EV -11.27%E -7.93%K -26.82%G +0.000%5.50I 18.18%NM 16.00%EV -13.19%E -2.40%K -2.93%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 22.01%EV -13.09%E -3.27%K -4.36%G +0.000%13.6%2026-05-03 13:30
Codere (IT)1.48I 67.57%NM 61.48%EV -7.52%E -5.08%K -15.66%G +0.000%5.40I 18.52%NM 16.85%EV -14.77%E -2.74%K -3.36%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 21.67%EV -8.74%E -2.08%K -2.73%G +0.000%9.9%2026-05-03 13:55
Betclic (FR)1.44I 69.44%NM 61.97%EV -10.02%E -6.96%K -22.76%G +0.000%5.40I 18.52%NM 16.53%EV -14.77%E -2.74%K -3.36%G +0.000%4.15I 24.10%NM 21.50%EV -9.83%E -2.37%K -3.12%G +0.000%12.1%2026-05-03 13:55
NetBet (FR)1.39I 71.94%NM 62.64%EV -13.14%E -9.45%K -33.69%G +0.000%5.40I 18.52%NM 16.12%EV -14.77%E -2.74%K -3.36%G +0.000%4.10I 24.39%NM 21.24%EV -10.92%E -2.66%K -3.52%G +0.000%14.9%2026-05-03 14:10
Winamax (DE)1.47I 68.03%NM 62.06%EV -8.14%E -5.54%K -17.32%G +0.000%5.30I 18.87%NM 17.21%EV -16.35%E -3.08%K -3.80%G +0.000%4.40I 22.73%NM 20.73%EV -4.40%E -0.999%K -1.29%G +0.000%9.6%2026-05-03 13:55
Unibet (FR)1.44I 69.44%NM 61.62%EV -10.02%E -6.96%K -22.76%G +0.000%5.30I 18.87%NM 16.74%EV -16.35%E -3.08%K -3.80%G +0.000%4.10I 24.39%NM 21.64%EV -10.92%E -2.66%K -3.52%G +0.000%12.7%2026-05-03 13:54
BetMGM1.50I 66.67%NM 60.87%EV -6.27%E -4.18%K -12.53%G +0.000%5.25I 19.05%NM 17.39%EV -17.14%E -3.26%K -4.03%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 21.74%EV -8.74%E -2.08%K -2.73%G +0.000%9.5%2026-05-03 06:25
Ladbrokes (AU)1.50I 66.67%NM 59.70%EV -6.27%E -4.18%K -12.53%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 17.91%EV -21.09%E -4.22%K -5.27%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 22.39%EV -13.09%E -3.27%K -4.36%G +0.000%11.7%2026-05-03 06:26
Neds1.50I 66.67%NM 59.70%EV -6.27%E -4.18%K -12.53%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 17.91%EV -21.09%E -4.22%K -5.27%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 22.39%EV -13.09%E -3.27%K -4.36%G +0.000%11.7%2026-05-03 06:26
Coral1.50I 66.67%NM 59.70%EV -6.27%E -4.18%K -12.53%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 17.91%EV -21.09%E -4.22%K -5.27%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 22.39%EV -13.09%E -3.27%K -4.36%G +0.000%11.7%2026-05-03 06:26
Ladbrokes (UK)1.50I 66.67%NM 59.70%EV -6.27%E -4.18%K -12.53%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 17.91%EV -21.09%E -4.22%K -5.27%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 22.39%EV -13.09%E -3.27%K -4.36%G +0.000%11.7%2026-05-03 06:25
Winamax (FR)1.44I 69.44%NM 61.00%EV -10.02%E -6.96%K -22.76%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 17.57%EV -21.09%E -4.22%K -5.27%G +0.000%4.10I 24.39%NM 21.43%EV -10.92%E -2.66%K -3.52%G +0.000%13.8%2026-05-03 13:55
Betfair Sportsbook (UK)1.40I 71.43%NM 59.52%EV -12.52%E -8.94%K -31.29%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 16.67%EV -21.09%E -4.22%K -5.27%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 23.81%EV -23.95%E -6.84%K -9.58%G +0.000%20.0%2026-05-03 11:40
Marge = Marge (Wahrscheinlichkeitsüberschuss) · I = Implizite Wahrscheinlichkeit · NM = Margenbereinigte Wahrscheinlichkeit · EV = Erwartungswert · E = Vorteil · K = Kelly-Kriterium · G = Wachstum des Wettkapitals

Aktualisiert gibt an, wann der jeweilige Wettanbieter seinen Preis zuletzt geändert hat. Eine ältere Zeit bedeutet also, dass sich die Quote lediglich nicht bewegt hat, nicht dass sie veraltet ist. Anbieter, die seit etwa 15 Minuten nicht mehr erfasst wurden, werden normalerweise ausgeschlossen; nur wenn die Datenquelle eines ganzen Marktes verstummt, erscheinen stattdessen die zuletzt erfassten Preise.

Wettbörsen (6)

WettanbieterHeimAuswärtsUnentschiedenMarge ▲Aktualisiert
Matchbook1.55I 64.52%NM 63.90%6.80I 14.71%NM 14.57%4.60I 21.74%NM 21.53%1.0%2026-05-03 14:10
Betfair Exchange (UK)1.55I 64.52%NM 63.90%6.80I 14.71%NM 14.57%4.60I 21.74%NM 21.53%1.0%2026-05-03 14:10
Betfair Exchange (EU)1.55I 64.52%NM 63.90%6.80I 14.71%NM 14.57%4.60I 21.74%NM 21.53%1.0%2026-05-03 14:10
Betfair Exchange (AU)1.55I 64.52%NM 63.90%6.80I 14.71%NM 14.57%4.60I 21.74%NM 21.53%1.0%2026-05-03 14:10
Kalshi1.56I 64.10%NM 62.80%6.25I 16.00%NM 15.67%4.55I 21.98%NM 21.53%2.1%2026-05-03 14:00
Smarkets1.54I 64.94%NM 63.47%6.60I 15.15%NM 14.81%4.50I 22.22%NM 21.72%2.3%2026-05-03 14:05