Language:English
SD Eibar v AD Ceuta FC
Closing line — the calculated probabilities and expected value from the last prices recorded before kickoff, under your selected model. The game has started, so these are not live figures. Assess the reliability of each model's probability predictions against all settled-game outcomes →
Head to Head
SD Eibar (Local)
Prediction 60.95%1.64fair odd
EV -4.31%
Edge -2.75%
Kelly -7.57%
Growth +0.000%
assuming max odds 1.57
Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
58.89%60.98%61.00%62.22%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
1.431.521.521.5769.93%65.91%65.79%63.69%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
AD Ceuta FC (Visit)
Prediction 15.48%6.46fair odd
EV +0.755%
Edge +0.116%
Kelly +0.137%
Growth +0.001%
assuming max odds 6.51
Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
14.43%15.52%15.43%17.00%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
5.255.855.806.5119.05%17.09%17.24%15.36%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Draw
Prediction 23.58%4.24fair odd
EV -0.979%
Edge -0.233%
Kelly -0.306%
Growth +0.000%
assuming max odds 4.20
Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
22.07%23.50%23.57%25.70%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
3.303.823.804.2030.30%26.18%26.32%23.81%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
At the last prices before kickoff, Interquartile mean (Vetted List) estimated these probabilities for Head to Head: SD Eibar (Local): 60.95%; AD Ceuta FC (Visit): 15.48%; Draw: 23.58%. For AD Ceuta FC (Visit), that estimate was equivalent to fair decimal odds of 6.46. 2 bookmakers offered closing odds above that level; the best were 6.51, corresponding to a positive expected value of +0.755%.
Sportsbook Odds (52 sportsbooks)
We're not affiliated with any bookmaker, we earn nothing from any action done with them.
| Bookmaker | Local | Visit ▼ | Draw | Margin | Updated |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Pinnacle🎯 | 1.55I 64.52%NM 62.15%EV -5.53%E -3.57%K -10.06%G +0.000% | 6.51I 15.36%NM 14.80%EV +0.755%E +0.116%K +0.137%G +0.001% | 4.18I 23.92%NM 23.05%EV -1.45%E -0.347%K -0.456%G +0.000% | 3.8% | 2026-04-05 11:59 |
| FanDuel🎯 | 1.51I 66.23%NM 62.12%EV -7.97%E -5.28%K -15.63%G +0.000% | 6.50I 15.38%NM 14.43%EV +0.600%E +0.092%K +0.109%G +0.001% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 23.45%EV -5.69%E -1.42%K -1.90%G +0.000% | 6.6% | 2026-04-05 12:00 |
| LowVig.ag🎯 | 1.54I 64.94%NM 62.22%EV -6.14%E -3.99%K -11.37%G +0.000% | 6.40I 15.63%NM 14.97%EV -0.948%E -0.148%K -0.176%G +0.000% | 4.20I 23.81%NM 22.81%EV -0.979%E -0.233%K -0.306%G +0.000% | 4.4% | 2026-04-05 12:00 |
| BetOnline.ag🎯 | 1.54I 64.94%NM 62.22%EV -6.14%E -3.99%K -11.37%G +0.000% | 6.40I 15.63%NM 14.97%EV -0.948%E -0.148%K -0.176%G +0.000% | 4.20I 23.81%NM 22.81%EV -0.979%E -0.233%K -0.306%G +0.000% | 4.4% | 2026-04-05 12:00 |
| Coolbet🎯 | 1.56I 64.10%NM 60.99%EV -4.92%E -3.16%K -8.79%G +0.000% | 6.25I 16.00%NM 15.22%EV -3.27%E -0.523%K -0.623%G +0.000% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 23.79%EV -5.69%E -1.42%K -1.90%G +0.000% | 5.1% | 2026-04-05 11:58 |
| theScore Bet🎯 | 1.53I 65.36%NM 61.45%EV -6.75%E -4.41%K -12.74%G +0.000% | 6.25I 16.00%NM 15.04%EV -3.27%E -0.523%K -0.623%G +0.000% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 23.51%EV -5.69%E -1.42%K -1.90%G +0.000% | 6.4% | 2026-04-05 12:01 |
| Betr (AU)🎯 | 1.52I 65.79%NM 61.24%EV -7.36%E -4.84%K -14.16%G +0.000% | 6.25I 16.00%NM 14.89%EV -3.27%E -0.523%K -0.623%G +0.000% | 3.90I 25.64%NM 23.87%EV -8.05%E -2.06%K -2.78%G +0.000% | 7.4% | 2026-04-05 11:59 |
| Marathon Bet🎯 | 1.51I 66.23%NM 61.79%EV -7.97%E -5.28%K -15.63%G +0.000% | 6.15I 16.26%NM 15.17%EV -4.82%E -0.783%K -0.935%G +0.000% | 4.05I 24.69%NM 23.04%EV -4.52%E -1.11%K -1.48%G +0.000% | 7.2% | 2026-04-05 11:59 |
| 1xBet🎯 | 1.57I 63.69%NM 60.37%EV -4.31%E -2.75%K -7.57%G +0.000% | 6.04I 16.56%NM 15.69%EV -6.52%E -1.08%K -1.29%G +0.000% | 3.96I 25.25%NM 23.94%EV -6.64%E -1.68%K -2.24%G +0.000% | 5.5% | 2026-04-05 11:59 |
| DraftKings🎯 | 1.53I 65.36%NM 61.07%EV -6.75%E -4.41%K -12.74%G +0.000% | 6.00I 16.67%NM 15.57%EV -7.14%E -1.19%K -1.43%G +0.000% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 23.36%EV -5.69%E -1.42%K -1.90%G +0.000% | 7.0% | 2026-04-05 12:01 |
| Unibet🎯 | 1.57I 63.69%NM 59.51%EV -4.31%E -2.75%K -7.57%G +0.000% | 6.00I 16.67%NM 15.57%EV -7.14%E -1.19%K -1.43%G +0.000% | 3.75I 26.67%NM 24.92%EV -11.59%E -3.09%K -4.21%G +0.000% | 7.0% | 2026-04-05 12:00 |
| Unibet (SE)🎯 | 1.57I 63.69%NM 59.51%EV -4.31%E -2.75%K -7.57%G +0.000% | 6.00I 16.67%NM 15.57%EV -7.14%E -1.19%K -1.43%G +0.000% | 3.75I 26.67%NM 24.92%EV -11.59%E -3.09%K -4.21%G +0.000% | 7.0% | 2026-04-05 12:00 |
| Unibet (NL)🎯 | 1.57I 63.69%NM 59.51%EV -4.31%E -2.75%K -7.57%G +0.000% | 6.00I 16.67%NM 15.57%EV -7.14%E -1.19%K -1.43%G +0.000% | 3.75I 26.67%NM 24.92%EV -11.59%E -3.09%K -4.21%G +0.000% | 7.0% | 2026-04-05 12:00 |
| ATG (SE)🎯 | 1.57I 63.69%NM 59.51%EV -4.31%E -2.75%K -7.57%G +0.000% | 6.00I 16.67%NM 15.57%EV -7.14%E -1.19%K -1.43%G +0.000% | 3.75I 26.67%NM 24.92%EV -11.59%E -3.09%K -4.21%G +0.000% | 7.0% | 2026-04-05 12:00 |
| Svenska Spel🎯 | 1.57I 63.69%NM 59.51%EV -4.31%E -2.75%K -7.57%G +0.000% | 6.00I 16.67%NM 15.57%EV -7.14%E -1.19%K -1.43%G +0.000% | 3.75I 26.67%NM 24.92%EV -11.59%E -3.09%K -4.21%G +0.000% | 7.0% | 2026-04-05 12:00 |
| Fanatics🎯 | 1.56I 64.10%NM 59.86%EV -4.92%E -3.16%K -8.79%G +0.000% | 6.00I 16.67%NM 15.56%EV -7.14%E -1.19%K -1.43%G +0.000% | 3.80I 26.32%NM 24.57%EV -10.41%E -2.74%K -3.72%G +0.000% | 7.1% | 2026-04-05 12:01 |
| PointsBet (AU)🎯 | 1.53I 65.36%NM 60.71%EV -6.75%E -4.41%K -12.74%G +0.000% | 6.00I 16.67%NM 15.48%EV -7.14%E -1.19%K -1.43%G +0.000% | 3.90I 25.64%NM 23.82%EV -8.05%E -2.06%K -2.78%G +0.000% | 7.7% | 2026-04-05 11:59 |
| BetAnything🎯 | 1.51I 66.23%NM 61.20%EV -7.97%E -5.28%K -15.63%G +0.000% | 6.00I 16.67%NM 15.40%EV -7.14%E -1.19%K -1.43%G +0.000% | 3.95I 25.32%NM 23.40%EV -6.87%E -1.74%K -2.33%G +0.000% | 8.2% | 2026-04-05 11:59 |
| Bovada🎯 | 1.51I 66.23%NM 61.02%EV -7.97%E -5.28%K -15.63%G +0.000% | 6.00I 16.67%NM 15.36%EV -7.14%E -1.19%K -1.43%G +0.000% | 3.90I 25.64%NM 23.63%EV -8.05%E -2.06%K -2.78%G +0.000% | 8.5% | 2026-04-05 11:48 |
| Tipico (DE)🎯 | 1.50I 66.67%NM 61.18%EV -8.58%E -5.72%K -17.16%G +0.000% | 6.00I 16.67%NM 15.29%EV -7.14%E -1.19%K -1.43%G +0.000% | 3.90I 25.64%NM 23.53%EV -8.05%E -2.06%K -2.78%G +0.000% | 9.0% | 2026-04-05 12:01 |
| Bet Victor🎯 | 1.50I 66.67%NM 60.80%EV -8.58%E -5.72%K -17.16%G +0.000% | 6.00I 16.67%NM 15.20%EV -7.14%E -1.19%K -1.43%G +0.000% | 3.80I 26.32%NM 24.00%EV -10.41%E -2.74%K -3.72%G +0.000% | 9.6% | 2026-04-05 12:01 |
| Winamax (DE)🎯 | 1.48I 67.57%NM 61.31%EV -9.80%E -6.62%K -20.41%G +0.000% | 6.00I 16.67%NM 15.12%EV -7.14%E -1.19%K -1.43%G +0.000% | 3.85I 25.97%NM 23.57%EV -9.23%E -2.40%K -3.24%G +0.000% | 10.2% | 2026-04-05 12:00 |
| SportsBet🎯 | 1.47I 68.03%NM 61.66%EV -10.41%E -7.08%K -22.15%G +0.000% | 6.00I 16.67%NM 15.11%EV -7.14%E -1.19%K -1.43%G +0.000% | 3.90I 25.64%NM 23.24%EV -8.05%E -2.06%K -2.78%G +0.000% | 10.3% | 2026-04-05 12:01 |
| Paddy Power🎯 | 1.44I 69.44%NM 61.77%EV -12.24%E -8.50%K -27.81%G +0.000% | 6.00I 16.67%NM 14.82%EV -7.14%E -1.19%K -1.43%G +0.000% | 3.80I 26.32%NM 23.41%EV -10.41%E -2.74%K -3.72%G +0.000% | 12.4% | 2026-04-05 12:00 |
| TABtouch🎯 | 1.56I 64.10%NM 59.15%EV -4.92%E -3.16%K -8.79%G +0.000% | 5.80I 17.24%NM 15.91%EV -10.23%E -1.76%K -2.13%G +0.000% | 3.70I 27.03%NM 24.94%EV -12.77%E -3.45%K -4.73%G +0.000% | 8.4% | 2026-04-05 12:01 |
| LeoVegas (SE)🎯 | 1.55I 64.52%NM 59.11%EV -5.53%E -3.57%K -10.06%G +0.000% | 5.80I 17.24%NM 15.80%EV -10.23%E -1.76%K -2.13%G +0.000% | 3.65I 27.40%NM 25.10%EV -13.95%E -3.82%K -5.26%G +0.000% | 9.2% | 2026-04-05 12:00 |
| Casumo🎯 | 1.55I 64.52%NM 59.11%EV -5.53%E -3.57%K -10.06%G +0.000% | 5.80I 17.24%NM 15.80%EV -10.23%E -1.76%K -2.13%G +0.000% | 3.65I 27.40%NM 25.10%EV -13.95%E -3.82%K -5.26%G +0.000% | 9.2% | 2026-04-05 12:00 |
| Grosvenor🎯 | 1.55I 64.52%NM 59.11%EV -5.53%E -3.57%K -10.06%G +0.000% | 5.80I 17.24%NM 15.80%EV -10.23%E -1.76%K -2.13%G +0.000% | 3.65I 27.40%NM 25.10%EV -13.95%E -3.82%K -5.26%G +0.000% | 9.2% | 2026-04-05 12:00 |
| betPARX🎯 | 1.55I 64.52%NM 59.11%EV -5.53%E -3.57%K -10.06%G +0.000% | 5.80I 17.24%NM 15.80%EV -10.23%E -1.76%K -2.13%G +0.000% | 3.65I 27.40%NM 25.10%EV -13.95%E -3.82%K -5.26%G +0.000% | 9.2% | 2026-04-05 12:00 |
| William Hill🎯 | 1.53I 65.36%NM 59.82%EV -6.75%E -4.41%K -12.74%G +0.000% | 5.80I 17.24%NM 15.78%EV -10.23%E -1.76%K -2.13%G +0.000% | 3.75I 26.67%NM 24.40%EV -11.59%E -3.09%K -4.21%G +0.000% | 9.3% | 2026-04-05 12:01 |
| Betway🎯 | 1.50I 66.67%NM 61.80%EV -8.58%E -5.72%K -17.16%G +0.000% | 5.75I 17.39%NM 16.12%EV -11.01%E -1.91%K -2.32%G +0.000% | 4.20I 23.81%NM 22.07%EV -0.979%E -0.233%K -0.306%G +0.000% | 7.9% | 2026-04-05 12:00 |
| Mr Green (SE)🎯 | 1.53I 65.36%NM 59.73%EV -6.75%E -4.41%K -12.74%G +0.000% | 5.75I 17.39%NM 15.89%EV -11.01%E -1.91%K -2.32%G +0.000% | 3.75I 26.67%NM 24.37%EV -11.59%E -3.09%K -4.21%G +0.000% | 9.4% | 2026-04-05 12:01 |
| LeoVegas🎯 | 1.54I 64.94%NM 59.18%EV -6.14%E -3.99%K -11.37%G +0.000% | 5.75I 17.39%NM 15.85%EV -11.01%E -1.91%K -2.32%G +0.000% | 3.65I 27.40%NM 24.97%EV -13.95%E -3.82%K -5.26%G +0.000% | 9.7% | 2026-04-05 12:00 |
| Virgin Bet🎯 | 1.52I 65.79%NM 59.29%EV -7.36%E -4.84%K -14.16%G +0.000% | 5.75I 17.39%NM 15.67%EV -11.01%E -1.91%K -2.32%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 25.03%EV -15.12%E -4.20%K -5.82%G +0.000% | 11.0% | 2026-04-05 12:00 |
| LiveScore Bet🎯 | 1.52I 65.79%NM 59.29%EV -7.36%E -4.84%K -14.16%G +0.000% | 5.75I 17.39%NM 15.67%EV -11.01%E -1.91%K -2.32%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 25.03%EV -15.12%E -4.20%K -5.82%G +0.000% | 11.0% | 2026-04-05 12:00 |
| Betclic (FR)🎯 | 1.45I 68.97%NM 60.82%EV -11.63%E -8.02%K -25.84%G +0.000% | 5.75I 17.39%NM 15.34%EV -11.01%E -1.91%K -2.32%G +0.000% | 3.70I 27.03%NM 23.84%EV -12.77%E -3.45%K -4.73%G +0.000% | 13.4% | 2026-04-05 12:00 |
| Sky Bet🎯 | 1.44I 69.44%NM 61.18%EV -12.24%E -8.50%K -27.81%G +0.000% | 5.75I 17.39%NM 15.32%EV -11.01%E -1.91%K -2.32%G +0.000% | 3.75I 26.67%NM 23.49%EV -11.59%E -3.09%K -4.21%G +0.000% | 13.5% | 2026-04-05 12:01 |
| Betsson🎯 | 1.52I 65.79%NM 60.37%EV -7.36%E -4.84%K -14.16%G +0.000% | 5.70I 17.54%NM 16.10%EV -11.78%E -2.07%K -2.51%G +0.000% | 3.90I 25.64%NM 23.53%EV -8.05%E -2.06%K -2.78%G +0.000% | 9.0% | 2026-04-05 11:58 |
| NordicBet🎯 | 1.52I 65.79%NM 60.37%EV -7.36%E -4.84%K -14.16%G +0.000% | 5.70I 17.54%NM 16.10%EV -11.78%E -2.07%K -2.51%G +0.000% | 3.90I 25.64%NM 23.53%EV -8.05%E -2.06%K -2.78%G +0.000% | 9.0% | 2026-04-05 11:59 |
| Codere (IT)🎯 | 1.51I 66.23%NM 59.99%EV -7.97%E -5.28%K -15.63%G +0.000% | 5.60I 17.86%NM 16.18%EV -13.33%E -2.38%K -2.90%G +0.000% | 3.80I 26.32%NM 23.84%EV -10.41%E -2.74%K -3.72%G +0.000% | 10.4% | 2026-04-05 12:01 |
| Unibet (FR)🎯 | 1.47I 68.03%NM 60.63%EV -10.41%E -7.08%K -22.15%G +0.000% | 5.60I 17.86%NM 15.92%EV -13.33%E -2.38%K -2.90%G +0.000% | 3.80I 26.32%NM 23.45%EV -10.41%E -2.74%K -3.72%G +0.000% | 12.2% | 2026-04-05 11:59 |
| Winamax (FR)🎯 | 1.47I 68.03%NM 60.44%EV -10.41%E -7.08%K -22.15%G +0.000% | 5.60I 17.86%NM 15.87%EV -13.33%E -2.38%K -2.90%G +0.000% | 3.75I 26.67%NM 23.69%EV -11.59%E -3.09%K -4.21%G +0.000% | 12.6% | 2026-04-05 12:01 |
| PMU (FR)🎯 | 1.49I 67.11%NM 59.11%EV -9.19%E -6.17%K -18.75%G +0.000% | 5.60I 17.86%NM 15.73%EV -13.33%E -2.38%K -2.90%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 25.16%EV -17.48%E -4.99%K -6.99%G +0.000% | 13.5% | 2026-04-05 12:00 |
| NetBet (FR)🎯 | 1.43I 69.93%NM 60.71%EV -12.85%E -8.98%K -29.88%G +0.000% | 5.60I 17.86%NM 15.50%EV -13.33%E -2.38%K -2.90%G +0.000% | 3.65I 27.40%NM 23.79%EV -13.95%E -3.82%K -5.26%G +0.000% | 15.2% | 2026-04-05 12:00 |
| BetMGM🎯 | 1.53I 65.36%NM 59.86%EV -6.75%E -4.41%K -12.74%G +0.000% | 5.50I 18.18%NM 16.65%EV -14.88%E -2.70%K -3.31%G +0.000% | 3.90I 25.64%NM 23.48%EV -8.05%E -2.06%K -2.78%G +0.000% | 9.2% | 2026-04-05 12:00 |
| PlayUp🎯 | 1.52I 65.79%NM 59.46%EV -7.36%E -4.84%K -14.16%G +0.000% | 5.50I 18.18%NM 16.43%EV -14.88%E -2.70%K -3.31%G +0.000% | 3.75I 26.67%NM 24.10%EV -11.59%E -3.09%K -4.21%G +0.000% | 10.6% | 2026-04-05 12:00 |
| BoyleSports🎯 | 1.50I 66.67%NM 59.97%EV -8.58%E -5.72%K -17.16%G +0.000% | 5.50I 18.18%NM 16.36%EV -14.88%E -2.70%K -3.31%G +0.000% | 3.80I 26.32%NM 23.67%EV -10.41%E -2.74%K -3.72%G +0.000% | 11.2% | 2026-04-05 12:01 |
| Betfair Sportsbook (UK)🎯 | 1.44I 69.44%NM 58.89%EV -12.24%E -8.50%K -27.81%G +0.000% | 5.50I 18.18%NM 15.42%EV -14.88%E -2.70%K -3.31%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 25.70%EV -22.20%E -6.73%K -9.65%G +0.000% | 17.9% | 2026-04-05 12:00 |
| Ladbrokes (AU)🎯 | 1.50I 66.67%NM 59.51%EV -8.58%E -5.72%K -17.16%G +0.000% | 5.25I 19.05%NM 17.00%EV -18.75%E -3.57%K -4.41%G +0.000% | 3.80I 26.32%NM 23.49%EV -10.41%E -2.74%K -3.72%G +0.000% | 12.0% | 2026-04-05 11:59 |
| Coral🎯 | 1.50I 66.67%NM 59.51%EV -8.58%E -5.72%K -17.16%G +0.000% | 5.25I 19.05%NM 17.00%EV -18.75%E -3.57%K -4.41%G +0.000% | 3.80I 26.32%NM 23.49%EV -10.41%E -2.74%K -3.72%G +0.000% | 12.0% | 2026-04-05 12:00 |
| Neds🎯 | 1.50I 66.67%NM 59.51%EV -8.58%E -5.72%K -17.16%G +0.000% | 5.25I 19.05%NM 17.00%EV -18.75%E -3.57%K -4.41%G +0.000% | 3.80I 26.32%NM 23.49%EV -10.41%E -2.74%K -3.72%G +0.000% | 12.0% | 2026-04-05 11:59 |
| Ladbrokes (UK)🎯 | 1.50I 66.67%NM 59.51%EV -8.58%E -5.72%K -17.16%G +0.000% | 5.25I 19.05%NM 17.00%EV -18.75%E -3.57%K -4.41%G +0.000% | 3.80I 26.32%NM 23.49%EV -10.41%E -2.74%K -3.72%G +0.000% | 12.0% | 2026-04-05 12:00 |
Margin = Margin (Overround) · I = Implied Probability · NM = No-Margin Probability · EV = Expected Value · E = Edge · K = Kelly Criterion · G = Bankroll Growth
Updated is when each book last changed its price, so an older time means the odds simply haven't moved, not that the price is stale. Books not seen in the last ~15 minutes are normally dropped; only if a whole market's feed goes quiet are the latest recorded prices shown instead.
Exchanges (6)
| Bookmaker | Local | Visit | Draw | Margin ▲ | Updated |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Betfair Exchange (EU)◎ | 1.56I 64.10%NM 63.55% | 7.40I 13.51%NM 13.40% | 4.30I 23.26%NM 23.05% | 0.9% | 2026-04-05 12:00 |
| Betfair Exchange (AU)◎ | 1.56I 64.10%NM 63.55% | 7.40I 13.51%NM 13.40% | 4.30I 23.26%NM 23.05% | 0.9% | 2026-04-05 12:00 |
| Betfair Exchange (UK)◎ | 1.56I 64.10%NM 63.31% | 7.20I 13.89%NM 13.72% | 4.30I 23.26%NM 22.97% | 1.2% | 2026-04-05 12:00 |
| Matchbook◎ | 1.55I 64.52%NM 63.46% | 7.20I 13.89%NM 13.66% | 4.30I 23.26%NM 22.88% | 1.7% | 2026-04-05 12:00 |
| Kalshi◎ | 1.54I 64.94%NM 63.71% | 7.14I 14.01%NM 13.74% | 4.35I 22.99%NM 22.55% | 1.9% | 2026-04-05 12:00 |
| Smarkets◎ | 1.54I 64.94%NM 63.27% | 7.20I 13.89%NM 13.53% | 4.20I 23.81%NM 23.20% | 2.6% | 2026-04-05 12:00 |