L’École des cotesLangue:Français
SD Eibar v AD Ceuta FC
Cotes de clôture — probabilités calculées et espérance mathématique obtenues, selon le modèle sélectionné, à partir des derniers prix enregistrés avant le coup d’envoi. Le match ayant commencé, il ne s’agit pas de valeurs en direct. Évaluer la fiabilité des prévisions probabilistes de chaque modèle sur l’ensemble des matchs réglés →
Résultat du match
SD Eibar (Local)
Prévision 60.95%1.64cote équitable
EV -4.31%
Avantage -2.75%
Kelly -7.57%
Croissance +0.000%
avec la cote maximale 1.57
Distribution des prévisions des opérateurs
58.89%60.98%61.00%62.22%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM
Distribution des cotes
1.431.521.521.5769.93%65.91%65.79%63.69%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM
AD Ceuta FC (Visiteur)
Prévision 15.48%6.46cote équitable
EV +0.755%
Avantage +0.116%
Kelly +0.137%
Croissance +0.001%
avec la cote maximale 6.51
Distribution des prévisions des opérateurs
14.43%15.52%15.43%17.00%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM
Distribution des cotes
5.255.855.806.5119.05%17.09%17.24%15.36%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM
Match nul
Prévision 23.58%4.24cote équitable
EV -0.979%
Avantage -0.233%
Kelly -0.306%
Croissance +0.000%
avec la cote maximale 4.20
Distribution des prévisions des opérateurs
22.07%23.50%23.57%25.70%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM
Distribution des cotes
3.303.823.804.2030.30%26.18%26.32%23.81%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM
Cotes des opérateurs (52 opérateurs)
Nous ne sommes affiliés à aucun opérateur de paris et ne tirons aucun bénéfice des opérations réalisées auprès d’eux.
| Opérateur | Local | Visiteur ▼ | Match nul | Marge | Mise à jour |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Pinnacle | 1.55I 64.52%NM 62.15%EV -5.53%E -3.57%K -10.06%G +0.000% | 6.51I 15.36%NM 14.80%EV +0.755%E +0.116%K +0.137%G +0.001% | 4.18I 23.92%NM 23.05%EV -1.45%E -0.347%K -0.456%G +0.000% | 3.8% | 2026-04-05 11:59 |
| FanDuel | 1.51I 66.23%NM 62.12%EV -7.97%E -5.28%K -15.63%G +0.000% | 6.50I 15.38%NM 14.43%EV +0.600%E +0.092%K +0.109%G +0.001% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 23.45%EV -5.69%E -1.42%K -1.90%G +0.000% | 6.6% | 2026-04-05 12:00 |
| LowVig.ag | 1.54I 64.94%NM 62.22%EV -6.14%E -3.99%K -11.37%G +0.000% | 6.40I 15.63%NM 14.97%EV -0.948%E -0.148%K -0.176%G +0.000% | 4.20I 23.81%NM 22.81%EV -0.979%E -0.233%K -0.306%G +0.000% | 4.4% | 2026-04-05 12:00 |
| BetOnline.ag | 1.54I 64.94%NM 62.22%EV -6.14%E -3.99%K -11.37%G +0.000% | 6.40I 15.63%NM 14.97%EV -0.948%E -0.148%K -0.176%G +0.000% | 4.20I 23.81%NM 22.81%EV -0.979%E -0.233%K -0.306%G +0.000% | 4.4% | 2026-04-05 12:00 |
| Coolbet | 1.56I 64.10%NM 60.99%EV -4.92%E -3.16%K -8.79%G +0.000% | 6.25I 16.00%NM 15.22%EV -3.27%E -0.523%K -0.623%G +0.000% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 23.79%EV -5.69%E -1.42%K -1.90%G +0.000% | 5.1% | 2026-04-05 11:58 |
| theScore Bet | 1.53I 65.36%NM 61.45%EV -6.75%E -4.41%K -12.74%G +0.000% | 6.25I 16.00%NM 15.04%EV -3.27%E -0.523%K -0.623%G +0.000% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 23.51%EV -5.69%E -1.42%K -1.90%G +0.000% | 6.4% | 2026-04-05 12:01 |
| Betr (AU) | 1.52I 65.79%NM 61.24%EV -7.36%E -4.84%K -14.16%G +0.000% | 6.25I 16.00%NM 14.89%EV -3.27%E -0.523%K -0.623%G +0.000% | 3.90I 25.64%NM 23.87%EV -8.05%E -2.06%K -2.78%G +0.000% | 7.4% | 2026-04-05 11:59 |
| Marathon Bet | 1.51I 66.23%NM 61.79%EV -7.97%E -5.28%K -15.63%G +0.000% | 6.15I 16.26%NM 15.17%EV -4.82%E -0.783%K -0.935%G +0.000% | 4.05I 24.69%NM 23.04%EV -4.52%E -1.11%K -1.48%G +0.000% | 7.2% | 2026-04-05 11:59 |
| 1xBet | 1.57I 63.69%NM 60.37%EV -4.31%E -2.75%K -7.57%G +0.000% | 6.04I 16.56%NM 15.69%EV -6.52%E -1.08%K -1.29%G +0.000% | 3.96I 25.25%NM 23.94%EV -6.64%E -1.68%K -2.24%G +0.000% | 5.5% | 2026-04-05 11:59 |
| DraftKings | 1.53I 65.36%NM 61.07%EV -6.75%E -4.41%K -12.74%G +0.000% | 6.00I 16.67%NM 15.57%EV -7.14%E -1.19%K -1.43%G +0.000% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 23.36%EV -5.69%E -1.42%K -1.90%G +0.000% | 7.0% | 2026-04-05 12:01 |
| Unibet | 1.57I 63.69%NM 59.51%EV -4.31%E -2.75%K -7.57%G +0.000% | 6.00I 16.67%NM 15.57%EV -7.14%E -1.19%K -1.43%G +0.000% | 3.75I 26.67%NM 24.92%EV -11.59%E -3.09%K -4.21%G +0.000% | 7.0% | 2026-04-05 12:00 |
| Unibet (SE) | 1.57I 63.69%NM 59.51%EV -4.31%E -2.75%K -7.57%G +0.000% | 6.00I 16.67%NM 15.57%EV -7.14%E -1.19%K -1.43%G +0.000% | 3.75I 26.67%NM 24.92%EV -11.59%E -3.09%K -4.21%G +0.000% | 7.0% | 2026-04-05 12:00 |
| Unibet (NL) | 1.57I 63.69%NM 59.51%EV -4.31%E -2.75%K -7.57%G +0.000% | 6.00I 16.67%NM 15.57%EV -7.14%E -1.19%K -1.43%G +0.000% | 3.75I 26.67%NM 24.92%EV -11.59%E -3.09%K -4.21%G +0.000% | 7.0% | 2026-04-05 12:00 |
| ATG (SE) | 1.57I 63.69%NM 59.51%EV -4.31%E -2.75%K -7.57%G +0.000% | 6.00I 16.67%NM 15.57%EV -7.14%E -1.19%K -1.43%G +0.000% | 3.75I 26.67%NM 24.92%EV -11.59%E -3.09%K -4.21%G +0.000% | 7.0% | 2026-04-05 12:00 |
| Svenska Spel | 1.57I 63.69%NM 59.51%EV -4.31%E -2.75%K -7.57%G +0.000% | 6.00I 16.67%NM 15.57%EV -7.14%E -1.19%K -1.43%G +0.000% | 3.75I 26.67%NM 24.92%EV -11.59%E -3.09%K -4.21%G +0.000% | 7.0% | 2026-04-05 12:00 |
| Fanatics | 1.56I 64.10%NM 59.86%EV -4.92%E -3.16%K -8.79%G +0.000% | 6.00I 16.67%NM 15.56%EV -7.14%E -1.19%K -1.43%G +0.000% | 3.80I 26.32%NM 24.57%EV -10.41%E -2.74%K -3.72%G +0.000% | 7.1% | 2026-04-05 12:01 |
| PointsBet (AU) | 1.53I 65.36%NM 60.71%EV -6.75%E -4.41%K -12.74%G +0.000% | 6.00I 16.67%NM 15.48%EV -7.14%E -1.19%K -1.43%G +0.000% | 3.90I 25.64%NM 23.82%EV -8.05%E -2.06%K -2.78%G +0.000% | 7.7% | 2026-04-05 11:59 |
| BetAnything | 1.51I 66.23%NM 61.20%EV -7.97%E -5.28%K -15.63%G +0.000% | 6.00I 16.67%NM 15.40%EV -7.14%E -1.19%K -1.43%G +0.000% | 3.95I 25.32%NM 23.40%EV -6.87%E -1.74%K -2.33%G +0.000% | 8.2% | 2026-04-05 11:59 |
| Bovada | 1.51I 66.23%NM 61.02%EV -7.97%E -5.28%K -15.63%G +0.000% | 6.00I 16.67%NM 15.36%EV -7.14%E -1.19%K -1.43%G +0.000% | 3.90I 25.64%NM 23.63%EV -8.05%E -2.06%K -2.78%G +0.000% | 8.5% | 2026-04-05 11:48 |
| Tipico (DE) | 1.50I 66.67%NM 61.18%EV -8.58%E -5.72%K -17.16%G +0.000% | 6.00I 16.67%NM 15.29%EV -7.14%E -1.19%K -1.43%G +0.000% | 3.90I 25.64%NM 23.53%EV -8.05%E -2.06%K -2.78%G +0.000% | 9.0% | 2026-04-05 12:01 |
| Bet Victor | 1.50I 66.67%NM 60.80%EV -8.58%E -5.72%K -17.16%G +0.000% | 6.00I 16.67%NM 15.20%EV -7.14%E -1.19%K -1.43%G +0.000% | 3.80I 26.32%NM 24.00%EV -10.41%E -2.74%K -3.72%G +0.000% | 9.6% | 2026-04-05 12:01 |
| Winamax (DE) | 1.48I 67.57%NM 61.31%EV -9.80%E -6.62%K -20.41%G +0.000% | 6.00I 16.67%NM 15.12%EV -7.14%E -1.19%K -1.43%G +0.000% | 3.85I 25.97%NM 23.57%EV -9.23%E -2.40%K -3.24%G +0.000% | 10.2% | 2026-04-05 12:00 |
| SportsBet | 1.47I 68.03%NM 61.66%EV -10.41%E -7.08%K -22.15%G +0.000% | 6.00I 16.67%NM 15.11%EV -7.14%E -1.19%K -1.43%G +0.000% | 3.90I 25.64%NM 23.24%EV -8.05%E -2.06%K -2.78%G +0.000% | 10.3% | 2026-04-05 12:01 |
| Paddy Power | 1.44I 69.44%NM 61.77%EV -12.24%E -8.50%K -27.81%G +0.000% | 6.00I 16.67%NM 14.82%EV -7.14%E -1.19%K -1.43%G +0.000% | 3.80I 26.32%NM 23.41%EV -10.41%E -2.74%K -3.72%G +0.000% | 12.4% | 2026-04-05 12:00 |
| TABtouch | 1.56I 64.10%NM 59.15%EV -4.92%E -3.16%K -8.79%G +0.000% | 5.80I 17.24%NM 15.91%EV -10.23%E -1.76%K -2.13%G +0.000% | 3.70I 27.03%NM 24.94%EV -12.77%E -3.45%K -4.73%G +0.000% | 8.4% | 2026-04-05 12:01 |
| LeoVegas (SE) | 1.55I 64.52%NM 59.11%EV -5.53%E -3.57%K -10.06%G +0.000% | 5.80I 17.24%NM 15.80%EV -10.23%E -1.76%K -2.13%G +0.000% | 3.65I 27.40%NM 25.10%EV -13.95%E -3.82%K -5.26%G +0.000% | 9.2% | 2026-04-05 12:00 |
| Casumo | 1.55I 64.52%NM 59.11%EV -5.53%E -3.57%K -10.06%G +0.000% | 5.80I 17.24%NM 15.80%EV -10.23%E -1.76%K -2.13%G +0.000% | 3.65I 27.40%NM 25.10%EV -13.95%E -3.82%K -5.26%G +0.000% | 9.2% | 2026-04-05 12:00 |
| Grosvenor | 1.55I 64.52%NM 59.11%EV -5.53%E -3.57%K -10.06%G +0.000% | 5.80I 17.24%NM 15.80%EV -10.23%E -1.76%K -2.13%G +0.000% | 3.65I 27.40%NM 25.10%EV -13.95%E -3.82%K -5.26%G +0.000% | 9.2% | 2026-04-05 12:00 |
| betPARX | 1.55I 64.52%NM 59.11%EV -5.53%E -3.57%K -10.06%G +0.000% | 5.80I 17.24%NM 15.80%EV -10.23%E -1.76%K -2.13%G +0.000% | 3.65I 27.40%NM 25.10%EV -13.95%E -3.82%K -5.26%G +0.000% | 9.2% | 2026-04-05 12:00 |
| William Hill | 1.53I 65.36%NM 59.82%EV -6.75%E -4.41%K -12.74%G +0.000% | 5.80I 17.24%NM 15.78%EV -10.23%E -1.76%K -2.13%G +0.000% | 3.75I 26.67%NM 24.40%EV -11.59%E -3.09%K -4.21%G +0.000% | 9.3% | 2026-04-05 12:01 |
| Betway | 1.50I 66.67%NM 61.80%EV -8.58%E -5.72%K -17.16%G +0.000% | 5.75I 17.39%NM 16.12%EV -11.01%E -1.91%K -2.32%G +0.000% | 4.20I 23.81%NM 22.07%EV -0.979%E -0.233%K -0.306%G +0.000% | 7.9% | 2026-04-05 12:00 |
| Mr Green (SE) | 1.53I 65.36%NM 59.73%EV -6.75%E -4.41%K -12.74%G +0.000% | 5.75I 17.39%NM 15.89%EV -11.01%E -1.91%K -2.32%G +0.000% | 3.75I 26.67%NM 24.37%EV -11.59%E -3.09%K -4.21%G +0.000% | 9.4% | 2026-04-05 12:01 |
| LeoVegas | 1.54I 64.94%NM 59.18%EV -6.14%E -3.99%K -11.37%G +0.000% | 5.75I 17.39%NM 15.85%EV -11.01%E -1.91%K -2.32%G +0.000% | 3.65I 27.40%NM 24.97%EV -13.95%E -3.82%K -5.26%G +0.000% | 9.7% | 2026-04-05 12:00 |
| Virgin Bet | 1.52I 65.79%NM 59.29%EV -7.36%E -4.84%K -14.16%G +0.000% | 5.75I 17.39%NM 15.67%EV -11.01%E -1.91%K -2.32%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 25.03%EV -15.12%E -4.20%K -5.82%G +0.000% | 11.0% | 2026-04-05 12:00 |
| LiveScore Bet | 1.52I 65.79%NM 59.29%EV -7.36%E -4.84%K -14.16%G +0.000% | 5.75I 17.39%NM 15.67%EV -11.01%E -1.91%K -2.32%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 25.03%EV -15.12%E -4.20%K -5.82%G +0.000% | 11.0% | 2026-04-05 12:00 |
| Betclic (FR) | 1.45I 68.97%NM 60.82%EV -11.63%E -8.02%K -25.84%G +0.000% | 5.75I 17.39%NM 15.34%EV -11.01%E -1.91%K -2.32%G +0.000% | 3.70I 27.03%NM 23.84%EV -12.77%E -3.45%K -4.73%G +0.000% | 13.4% | 2026-04-05 12:00 |
| Sky Bet | 1.44I 69.44%NM 61.18%EV -12.24%E -8.50%K -27.81%G +0.000% | 5.75I 17.39%NM 15.32%EV -11.01%E -1.91%K -2.32%G +0.000% | 3.75I 26.67%NM 23.49%EV -11.59%E -3.09%K -4.21%G +0.000% | 13.5% | 2026-04-05 12:01 |
| Betsson | 1.52I 65.79%NM 60.37%EV -7.36%E -4.84%K -14.16%G +0.000% | 5.70I 17.54%NM 16.10%EV -11.78%E -2.07%K -2.51%G +0.000% | 3.90I 25.64%NM 23.53%EV -8.05%E -2.06%K -2.78%G +0.000% | 9.0% | 2026-04-05 11:58 |
| NordicBet | 1.52I 65.79%NM 60.37%EV -7.36%E -4.84%K -14.16%G +0.000% | 5.70I 17.54%NM 16.10%EV -11.78%E -2.07%K -2.51%G +0.000% | 3.90I 25.64%NM 23.53%EV -8.05%E -2.06%K -2.78%G +0.000% | 9.0% | 2026-04-05 11:59 |
| Codere (IT) | 1.51I 66.23%NM 59.99%EV -7.97%E -5.28%K -15.63%G +0.000% | 5.60I 17.86%NM 16.18%EV -13.33%E -2.38%K -2.90%G +0.000% | 3.80I 26.32%NM 23.84%EV -10.41%E -2.74%K -3.72%G +0.000% | 10.4% | 2026-04-05 12:01 |
| Unibet (FR) | 1.47I 68.03%NM 60.63%EV -10.41%E -7.08%K -22.15%G +0.000% | 5.60I 17.86%NM 15.92%EV -13.33%E -2.38%K -2.90%G +0.000% | 3.80I 26.32%NM 23.45%EV -10.41%E -2.74%K -3.72%G +0.000% | 12.2% | 2026-04-05 11:59 |
| Winamax (FR) | 1.47I 68.03%NM 60.44%EV -10.41%E -7.08%K -22.15%G +0.000% | 5.60I 17.86%NM 15.87%EV -13.33%E -2.38%K -2.90%G +0.000% | 3.75I 26.67%NM 23.69%EV -11.59%E -3.09%K -4.21%G +0.000% | 12.6% | 2026-04-05 12:01 |
| PMU (FR) | 1.49I 67.11%NM 59.11%EV -9.19%E -6.17%K -18.75%G +0.000% | 5.60I 17.86%NM 15.73%EV -13.33%E -2.38%K -2.90%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 25.16%EV -17.48%E -4.99%K -6.99%G +0.000% | 13.5% | 2026-04-05 12:00 |
| NetBet (FR) | 1.43I 69.93%NM 60.71%EV -12.85%E -8.98%K -29.88%G +0.000% | 5.60I 17.86%NM 15.50%EV -13.33%E -2.38%K -2.90%G +0.000% | 3.65I 27.40%NM 23.79%EV -13.95%E -3.82%K -5.26%G +0.000% | 15.2% | 2026-04-05 12:00 |
| BetMGM | 1.53I 65.36%NM 59.86%EV -6.75%E -4.41%K -12.74%G +0.000% | 5.50I 18.18%NM 16.65%EV -14.88%E -2.70%K -3.31%G +0.000% | 3.90I 25.64%NM 23.48%EV -8.05%E -2.06%K -2.78%G +0.000% | 9.2% | 2026-04-05 12:00 |
| PlayUp | 1.52I 65.79%NM 59.46%EV -7.36%E -4.84%K -14.16%G +0.000% | 5.50I 18.18%NM 16.43%EV -14.88%E -2.70%K -3.31%G +0.000% | 3.75I 26.67%NM 24.10%EV -11.59%E -3.09%K -4.21%G +0.000% | 10.6% | 2026-04-05 12:00 |
| BoyleSports | 1.50I 66.67%NM 59.97%EV -8.58%E -5.72%K -17.16%G +0.000% | 5.50I 18.18%NM 16.36%EV -14.88%E -2.70%K -3.31%G +0.000% | 3.80I 26.32%NM 23.67%EV -10.41%E -2.74%K -3.72%G +0.000% | 11.2% | 2026-04-05 12:01 |
| Betfair Sportsbook (UK) | 1.44I 69.44%NM 58.89%EV -12.24%E -8.50%K -27.81%G +0.000% | 5.50I 18.18%NM 15.42%EV -14.88%E -2.70%K -3.31%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 25.70%EV -22.20%E -6.73%K -9.65%G +0.000% | 17.9% | 2026-04-05 12:00 |
| Ladbrokes (AU) | 1.50I 66.67%NM 59.51%EV -8.58%E -5.72%K -17.16%G +0.000% | 5.25I 19.05%NM 17.00%EV -18.75%E -3.57%K -4.41%G +0.000% | 3.80I 26.32%NM 23.49%EV -10.41%E -2.74%K -3.72%G +0.000% | 12.0% | 2026-04-05 11:59 |
| Coral | 1.50I 66.67%NM 59.51%EV -8.58%E -5.72%K -17.16%G +0.000% | 5.25I 19.05%NM 17.00%EV -18.75%E -3.57%K -4.41%G +0.000% | 3.80I 26.32%NM 23.49%EV -10.41%E -2.74%K -3.72%G +0.000% | 12.0% | 2026-04-05 12:00 |
| Neds | 1.50I 66.67%NM 59.51%EV -8.58%E -5.72%K -17.16%G +0.000% | 5.25I 19.05%NM 17.00%EV -18.75%E -3.57%K -4.41%G +0.000% | 3.80I 26.32%NM 23.49%EV -10.41%E -2.74%K -3.72%G +0.000% | 12.0% | 2026-04-05 11:59 |
| Ladbrokes (UK) | 1.50I 66.67%NM 59.51%EV -8.58%E -5.72%K -17.16%G +0.000% | 5.25I 19.05%NM 17.00%EV -18.75%E -3.57%K -4.41%G +0.000% | 3.80I 26.32%NM 23.49%EV -10.41%E -2.74%K -3.72%G +0.000% | 12.0% | 2026-04-05 12:00 |
Marge = Marge · I = Probabilité implicite · NM = Probabilité sans marge · EV = Espérance mathématique · E = Avantage · K = Critère de Kelly · G = Croissance du capital de jeu
Mise à jour indique le dernier changement de prix de chaque opérateur. Une heure ancienne signifie donc seulement que la cote n’a pas bougé, et non qu’elle est périmée. Les opérateurs absents du flux depuis environ 15 minutes sont normalement écartés ; les derniers prix enregistrés ne sont conservés que si le flux de tout le marché devient silencieux.
Plateformes d’échange (6)
| Opérateur | Local | Visiteur | Match nul | Marge ▲ | Mise à jour |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Betfair Exchange (EU) | 1.56I 64.10%NM 63.55% | 7.40I 13.51%NM 13.40% | 4.30I 23.26%NM 23.05% | 0.9% | 2026-04-05 12:00 |
| Betfair Exchange (AU) | 1.56I 64.10%NM 63.55% | 7.40I 13.51%NM 13.40% | 4.30I 23.26%NM 23.05% | 0.9% | 2026-04-05 12:00 |
| Betfair Exchange (UK) | 1.56I 64.10%NM 63.31% | 7.20I 13.89%NM 13.72% | 4.30I 23.26%NM 22.97% | 1.2% | 2026-04-05 12:00 |
| Matchbook | 1.55I 64.52%NM 63.46% | 7.20I 13.89%NM 13.66% | 4.30I 23.26%NM 22.88% | 1.7% | 2026-04-05 12:00 |
| Kalshi | 1.54I 64.94%NM 63.71% | 7.14I 14.01%NM 13.74% | 4.35I 22.99%NM 22.55% | 1.9% | 2026-04-05 12:00 |
| Smarkets | 1.54I 64.94%NM 63.27% | 7.20I 13.89%NM 13.53% | 4.20I 23.81%NM 23.20% | 2.6% | 2026-04-05 12:00 |