A Escola das Odds

SD Eibar v AD Ceuta FC

Início: 2026-04-05 12:04 UTC

Odds de fecho — as probabilidades calculadas e o valor esperado com base nas últimas cotações registadas antes do início, segundo o modelo selecionado. O jogo já começou, pelo que estes valores não são atuais. Avaliar a fiabilidade das previsões probabilísticas de cada modelo face aos resultados de todos os jogos concluídos →

Frente a frente

52 casas de apostas (18 na análise )

Probabilidade estimada de cada resultado, segundo o modelo: IQM

SD Eibar (Local)

Previsão 60.95%1.64odd justa
EV -4.31%
Vantagem -2.75%
Kelly -7.57%
Crescimento +0.000%

pressupondo odds máximas de 1.57

Distribuição das previsões das casas de apostas
58.89%60.98%61.00%62.22%MINMÉDIAMEDIANAMAX
Distribuição das odds
1.431.521.521.5769.93%65.91%65.79%63.69%MINMÉDIAMEDIANAMAX

AD Ceuta FC (Visitante)

Previsão 15.48%6.46odd justa
EV +0.755%
Vantagem +0.116%
Kelly +0.137%
Crescimento +0.001%

pressupondo odds máximas de 6.51

Distribuição das previsões das casas de apostas
14.43%15.52%15.43%17.00%MINMÉDIAMEDIANAMAX
Distribuição das odds
5.255.855.806.5119.05%17.09%17.24%15.36%MINMÉDIAMEDIANAMAX

Empate

Previsão 23.58%4.24odd justa
EV -0.979%
Vantagem -0.233%
Kelly -0.306%
Crescimento +0.000%

pressupondo odds máximas de 4.20

Distribuição das previsões das casas de apostas
22.07%23.50%23.57%25.70%MINMÉDIAMEDIANAMAX
Distribuição das odds
3.303.823.804.2030.30%26.18%26.32%23.81%MINMÉDIAMEDIANAMAX

Odds das casas de apostas (52 casas de apostas)

Não temos qualquer vínculo com casas de apostas e não recebemos nada pelas ações realizadas junto delas.

Casa de apostasLocalVisitante ▼EmpateMargemAtualização
Pinnacle1.55I 64.52%NM 62.15%EV -5.53%E -3.57%K -10.06%G +0.000%6.51I 15.36%NM 14.80%EV +0.755%E +0.116%K +0.137%G +0.001%4.18I 23.92%NM 23.05%EV -1.45%E -0.347%K -0.456%G +0.000%3.8%2026-04-05 11:59
FanDuel1.51I 66.23%NM 62.12%EV -7.97%E -5.28%K -15.63%G +0.000%6.50I 15.38%NM 14.43%EV +0.600%E +0.092%K +0.109%G +0.001%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.45%EV -5.69%E -1.42%K -1.90%G +0.000%6.6%2026-04-05 12:00
LowVig.ag1.54I 64.94%NM 62.22%EV -6.14%E -3.99%K -11.37%G +0.000%6.40I 15.63%NM 14.97%EV -0.948%E -0.148%K -0.176%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 22.81%EV -0.979%E -0.233%K -0.306%G +0.000%4.4%2026-04-05 12:00
BetOnline.ag1.54I 64.94%NM 62.22%EV -6.14%E -3.99%K -11.37%G +0.000%6.40I 15.63%NM 14.97%EV -0.948%E -0.148%K -0.176%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 22.81%EV -0.979%E -0.233%K -0.306%G +0.000%4.4%2026-04-05 12:00
Coolbet1.56I 64.10%NM 60.99%EV -4.92%E -3.16%K -8.79%G +0.000%6.25I 16.00%NM 15.22%EV -3.27%E -0.523%K -0.623%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.79%EV -5.69%E -1.42%K -1.90%G +0.000%5.1%2026-04-05 11:58
theScore Bet1.53I 65.36%NM 61.45%EV -6.75%E -4.41%K -12.74%G +0.000%6.25I 16.00%NM 15.04%EV -3.27%E -0.523%K -0.623%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.51%EV -5.69%E -1.42%K -1.90%G +0.000%6.4%2026-04-05 12:01
Betr (AU)1.52I 65.79%NM 61.24%EV -7.36%E -4.84%K -14.16%G +0.000%6.25I 16.00%NM 14.89%EV -3.27%E -0.523%K -0.623%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 23.87%EV -8.05%E -2.06%K -2.78%G +0.000%7.4%2026-04-05 11:59
Marathon Bet1.51I 66.23%NM 61.79%EV -7.97%E -5.28%K -15.63%G +0.000%6.15I 16.26%NM 15.17%EV -4.82%E -0.783%K -0.935%G +0.000%4.05I 24.69%NM 23.04%EV -4.52%E -1.11%K -1.48%G +0.000%7.2%2026-04-05 11:59
1xBet1.57I 63.69%NM 60.37%EV -4.31%E -2.75%K -7.57%G +0.000%6.04I 16.56%NM 15.69%EV -6.52%E -1.08%K -1.29%G +0.000%3.96I 25.25%NM 23.94%EV -6.64%E -1.68%K -2.24%G +0.000%5.5%2026-04-05 11:59
DraftKings1.53I 65.36%NM 61.07%EV -6.75%E -4.41%K -12.74%G +0.000%6.00I 16.67%NM 15.57%EV -7.14%E -1.19%K -1.43%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.36%EV -5.69%E -1.42%K -1.90%G +0.000%7.0%2026-04-05 12:01
Unibet1.57I 63.69%NM 59.51%EV -4.31%E -2.75%K -7.57%G +0.000%6.00I 16.67%NM 15.57%EV -7.14%E -1.19%K -1.43%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 24.92%EV -11.59%E -3.09%K -4.21%G +0.000%7.0%2026-04-05 12:00
Unibet (SE)1.57I 63.69%NM 59.51%EV -4.31%E -2.75%K -7.57%G +0.000%6.00I 16.67%NM 15.57%EV -7.14%E -1.19%K -1.43%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 24.92%EV -11.59%E -3.09%K -4.21%G +0.000%7.0%2026-04-05 12:00
Unibet (NL)1.57I 63.69%NM 59.51%EV -4.31%E -2.75%K -7.57%G +0.000%6.00I 16.67%NM 15.57%EV -7.14%E -1.19%K -1.43%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 24.92%EV -11.59%E -3.09%K -4.21%G +0.000%7.0%2026-04-05 12:00
ATG (SE)1.57I 63.69%NM 59.51%EV -4.31%E -2.75%K -7.57%G +0.000%6.00I 16.67%NM 15.57%EV -7.14%E -1.19%K -1.43%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 24.92%EV -11.59%E -3.09%K -4.21%G +0.000%7.0%2026-04-05 12:00
Svenska Spel1.57I 63.69%NM 59.51%EV -4.31%E -2.75%K -7.57%G +0.000%6.00I 16.67%NM 15.57%EV -7.14%E -1.19%K -1.43%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 24.92%EV -11.59%E -3.09%K -4.21%G +0.000%7.0%2026-04-05 12:00
Fanatics1.56I 64.10%NM 59.86%EV -4.92%E -3.16%K -8.79%G +0.000%6.00I 16.67%NM 15.56%EV -7.14%E -1.19%K -1.43%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 24.57%EV -10.41%E -2.74%K -3.72%G +0.000%7.1%2026-04-05 12:01
PointsBet (AU)1.53I 65.36%NM 60.71%EV -6.75%E -4.41%K -12.74%G +0.000%6.00I 16.67%NM 15.48%EV -7.14%E -1.19%K -1.43%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 23.82%EV -8.05%E -2.06%K -2.78%G +0.000%7.7%2026-04-05 11:59
BetAnything1.51I 66.23%NM 61.20%EV -7.97%E -5.28%K -15.63%G +0.000%6.00I 16.67%NM 15.40%EV -7.14%E -1.19%K -1.43%G +0.000%3.95I 25.32%NM 23.40%EV -6.87%E -1.74%K -2.33%G +0.000%8.2%2026-04-05 11:59
Bovada1.51I 66.23%NM 61.02%EV -7.97%E -5.28%K -15.63%G +0.000%6.00I 16.67%NM 15.36%EV -7.14%E -1.19%K -1.43%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 23.63%EV -8.05%E -2.06%K -2.78%G +0.000%8.5%2026-04-05 11:48
Tipico (DE)1.50I 66.67%NM 61.18%EV -8.58%E -5.72%K -17.16%G +0.000%6.00I 16.67%NM 15.29%EV -7.14%E -1.19%K -1.43%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 23.53%EV -8.05%E -2.06%K -2.78%G +0.000%9.0%2026-04-05 12:01
Bet Victor1.50I 66.67%NM 60.80%EV -8.58%E -5.72%K -17.16%G +0.000%6.00I 16.67%NM 15.20%EV -7.14%E -1.19%K -1.43%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 24.00%EV -10.41%E -2.74%K -3.72%G +0.000%9.6%2026-04-05 12:01
Winamax (DE)1.48I 67.57%NM 61.31%EV -9.80%E -6.62%K -20.41%G +0.000%6.00I 16.67%NM 15.12%EV -7.14%E -1.19%K -1.43%G +0.000%3.85I 25.97%NM 23.57%EV -9.23%E -2.40%K -3.24%G +0.000%10.2%2026-04-05 12:00
SportsBet1.47I 68.03%NM 61.66%EV -10.41%E -7.08%K -22.15%G +0.000%6.00I 16.67%NM 15.11%EV -7.14%E -1.19%K -1.43%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 23.24%EV -8.05%E -2.06%K -2.78%G +0.000%10.3%2026-04-05 12:01
Paddy Power1.44I 69.44%NM 61.77%EV -12.24%E -8.50%K -27.81%G +0.000%6.00I 16.67%NM 14.82%EV -7.14%E -1.19%K -1.43%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 23.41%EV -10.41%E -2.74%K -3.72%G +0.000%12.4%2026-04-05 12:00
TABtouch1.56I 64.10%NM 59.15%EV -4.92%E -3.16%K -8.79%G +0.000%5.80I 17.24%NM 15.91%EV -10.23%E -1.76%K -2.13%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 24.94%EV -12.77%E -3.45%K -4.73%G +0.000%8.4%2026-04-05 12:01
LeoVegas (SE)1.55I 64.52%NM 59.11%EV -5.53%E -3.57%K -10.06%G +0.000%5.80I 17.24%NM 15.80%EV -10.23%E -1.76%K -2.13%G +0.000%3.65I 27.40%NM 25.10%EV -13.95%E -3.82%K -5.26%G +0.000%9.2%2026-04-05 12:00
Casumo1.55I 64.52%NM 59.11%EV -5.53%E -3.57%K -10.06%G +0.000%5.80I 17.24%NM 15.80%EV -10.23%E -1.76%K -2.13%G +0.000%3.65I 27.40%NM 25.10%EV -13.95%E -3.82%K -5.26%G +0.000%9.2%2026-04-05 12:00
Grosvenor1.55I 64.52%NM 59.11%EV -5.53%E -3.57%K -10.06%G +0.000%5.80I 17.24%NM 15.80%EV -10.23%E -1.76%K -2.13%G +0.000%3.65I 27.40%NM 25.10%EV -13.95%E -3.82%K -5.26%G +0.000%9.2%2026-04-05 12:00
betPARX1.55I 64.52%NM 59.11%EV -5.53%E -3.57%K -10.06%G +0.000%5.80I 17.24%NM 15.80%EV -10.23%E -1.76%K -2.13%G +0.000%3.65I 27.40%NM 25.10%EV -13.95%E -3.82%K -5.26%G +0.000%9.2%2026-04-05 12:00
William Hill1.53I 65.36%NM 59.82%EV -6.75%E -4.41%K -12.74%G +0.000%5.80I 17.24%NM 15.78%EV -10.23%E -1.76%K -2.13%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 24.40%EV -11.59%E -3.09%K -4.21%G +0.000%9.3%2026-04-05 12:01
Betway1.50I 66.67%NM 61.80%EV -8.58%E -5.72%K -17.16%G +0.000%5.75I 17.39%NM 16.12%EV -11.01%E -1.91%K -2.32%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 22.07%EV -0.979%E -0.233%K -0.306%G +0.000%7.9%2026-04-05 12:00
Mr Green (SE)1.53I 65.36%NM 59.73%EV -6.75%E -4.41%K -12.74%G +0.000%5.75I 17.39%NM 15.89%EV -11.01%E -1.91%K -2.32%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 24.37%EV -11.59%E -3.09%K -4.21%G +0.000%9.4%2026-04-05 12:01
LeoVegas1.54I 64.94%NM 59.18%EV -6.14%E -3.99%K -11.37%G +0.000%5.75I 17.39%NM 15.85%EV -11.01%E -1.91%K -2.32%G +0.000%3.65I 27.40%NM 24.97%EV -13.95%E -3.82%K -5.26%G +0.000%9.7%2026-04-05 12:00
Virgin Bet1.52I 65.79%NM 59.29%EV -7.36%E -4.84%K -14.16%G +0.000%5.75I 17.39%NM 15.67%EV -11.01%E -1.91%K -2.32%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.03%EV -15.12%E -4.20%K -5.82%G +0.000%11.0%2026-04-05 12:00
LiveScore Bet1.52I 65.79%NM 59.29%EV -7.36%E -4.84%K -14.16%G +0.000%5.75I 17.39%NM 15.67%EV -11.01%E -1.91%K -2.32%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.03%EV -15.12%E -4.20%K -5.82%G +0.000%11.0%2026-04-05 12:00
Betclic (FR)1.45I 68.97%NM 60.82%EV -11.63%E -8.02%K -25.84%G +0.000%5.75I 17.39%NM 15.34%EV -11.01%E -1.91%K -2.32%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 23.84%EV -12.77%E -3.45%K -4.73%G +0.000%13.4%2026-04-05 12:00
Sky Bet1.44I 69.44%NM 61.18%EV -12.24%E -8.50%K -27.81%G +0.000%5.75I 17.39%NM 15.32%EV -11.01%E -1.91%K -2.32%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 23.49%EV -11.59%E -3.09%K -4.21%G +0.000%13.5%2026-04-05 12:01
Betsson1.52I 65.79%NM 60.37%EV -7.36%E -4.84%K -14.16%G +0.000%5.70I 17.54%NM 16.10%EV -11.78%E -2.07%K -2.51%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 23.53%EV -8.05%E -2.06%K -2.78%G +0.000%9.0%2026-04-05 11:58
NordicBet1.52I 65.79%NM 60.37%EV -7.36%E -4.84%K -14.16%G +0.000%5.70I 17.54%NM 16.10%EV -11.78%E -2.07%K -2.51%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 23.53%EV -8.05%E -2.06%K -2.78%G +0.000%9.0%2026-04-05 11:59
Codere (IT)1.51I 66.23%NM 59.99%EV -7.97%E -5.28%K -15.63%G +0.000%5.60I 17.86%NM 16.18%EV -13.33%E -2.38%K -2.90%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 23.84%EV -10.41%E -2.74%K -3.72%G +0.000%10.4%2026-04-05 12:01
Unibet (FR)1.47I 68.03%NM 60.63%EV -10.41%E -7.08%K -22.15%G +0.000%5.60I 17.86%NM 15.92%EV -13.33%E -2.38%K -2.90%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 23.45%EV -10.41%E -2.74%K -3.72%G +0.000%12.2%2026-04-05 11:59
Winamax (FR)1.47I 68.03%NM 60.44%EV -10.41%E -7.08%K -22.15%G +0.000%5.60I 17.86%NM 15.87%EV -13.33%E -2.38%K -2.90%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 23.69%EV -11.59%E -3.09%K -4.21%G +0.000%12.6%2026-04-05 12:01
PMU (FR)1.49I 67.11%NM 59.11%EV -9.19%E -6.17%K -18.75%G +0.000%5.60I 17.86%NM 15.73%EV -13.33%E -2.38%K -2.90%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 25.16%EV -17.48%E -4.99%K -6.99%G +0.000%13.5%2026-04-05 12:00
NetBet (FR)1.43I 69.93%NM 60.71%EV -12.85%E -8.98%K -29.88%G +0.000%5.60I 17.86%NM 15.50%EV -13.33%E -2.38%K -2.90%G +0.000%3.65I 27.40%NM 23.79%EV -13.95%E -3.82%K -5.26%G +0.000%15.2%2026-04-05 12:00
BetMGM1.53I 65.36%NM 59.86%EV -6.75%E -4.41%K -12.74%G +0.000%5.50I 18.18%NM 16.65%EV -14.88%E -2.70%K -3.31%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 23.48%EV -8.05%E -2.06%K -2.78%G +0.000%9.2%2026-04-05 12:00
PlayUp1.52I 65.79%NM 59.46%EV -7.36%E -4.84%K -14.16%G +0.000%5.50I 18.18%NM 16.43%EV -14.88%E -2.70%K -3.31%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 24.10%EV -11.59%E -3.09%K -4.21%G +0.000%10.6%2026-04-05 12:00
BoyleSports1.50I 66.67%NM 59.97%EV -8.58%E -5.72%K -17.16%G +0.000%5.50I 18.18%NM 16.36%EV -14.88%E -2.70%K -3.31%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 23.67%EV -10.41%E -2.74%K -3.72%G +0.000%11.2%2026-04-05 12:01
Betfair Sportsbook (UK)1.44I 69.44%NM 58.89%EV -12.24%E -8.50%K -27.81%G +0.000%5.50I 18.18%NM 15.42%EV -14.88%E -2.70%K -3.31%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 25.70%EV -22.20%E -6.73%K -9.65%G +0.000%17.9%2026-04-05 12:00
Ladbrokes (AU)1.50I 66.67%NM 59.51%EV -8.58%E -5.72%K -17.16%G +0.000%5.25I 19.05%NM 17.00%EV -18.75%E -3.57%K -4.41%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 23.49%EV -10.41%E -2.74%K -3.72%G +0.000%12.0%2026-04-05 11:59
Coral1.50I 66.67%NM 59.51%EV -8.58%E -5.72%K -17.16%G +0.000%5.25I 19.05%NM 17.00%EV -18.75%E -3.57%K -4.41%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 23.49%EV -10.41%E -2.74%K -3.72%G +0.000%12.0%2026-04-05 12:00
Neds1.50I 66.67%NM 59.51%EV -8.58%E -5.72%K -17.16%G +0.000%5.25I 19.05%NM 17.00%EV -18.75%E -3.57%K -4.41%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 23.49%EV -10.41%E -2.74%K -3.72%G +0.000%12.0%2026-04-05 11:59
Ladbrokes (UK)1.50I 66.67%NM 59.51%EV -8.58%E -5.72%K -17.16%G +0.000%5.25I 19.05%NM 17.00%EV -18.75%E -3.57%K -4.41%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 23.49%EV -10.41%E -2.74%K -3.72%G +0.000%12.0%2026-04-05 12:00
Margem = Margem · I = Probabilidade implícita · NM = Probabilidade sem margem · EV = Valor esperado · E = Vantagem · K = Critério de Kelly · G = Crescimento do capital de apostas

Atualização indica quando cada casa alterou a cotação pela última vez; uma hora mais antiga significa apenas que as odds não mudaram, não que estejam desatualizadas. As casas sem dados nos últimos ~15 minutos são normalmente excluídas; apenas quando a fonte de todo um mercado fica sem atualizações se mostram as últimas cotações registadas.

Bolsas de apostas (6)

Casa de apostasLocalVisitanteEmpateMargem ▲Atualização
Betfair Exchange (EU)1.56I 64.10%NM 63.55%7.40I 13.51%NM 13.40%4.30I 23.26%NM 23.05%0.9%2026-04-05 12:00
Betfair Exchange (AU)1.56I 64.10%NM 63.55%7.40I 13.51%NM 13.40%4.30I 23.26%NM 23.05%0.9%2026-04-05 12:00
Betfair Exchange (UK)1.56I 64.10%NM 63.31%7.20I 13.89%NM 13.72%4.30I 23.26%NM 22.97%1.2%2026-04-05 12:00
Matchbook1.55I 64.52%NM 63.46%7.20I 13.89%NM 13.66%4.30I 23.26%NM 22.88%1.7%2026-04-05 12:00
Kalshi1.54I 64.94%NM 63.71%7.14I 14.01%NM 13.74%4.35I 22.99%NM 22.55%1.9%2026-04-05 12:00
Smarkets1.54I 64.94%NM 63.27%7.20I 13.89%NM 13.53%4.20I 23.81%NM 23.20%2.6%2026-04-05 12:00