StandardmodellInterkvartilmedelvärde (Kurerad lista)

SD Eibar v AD Ceuta FC

Matchstart: 2026-04-05 12:04 UTC

Slutodds — de beräknade sannolikheterna och väntevärdet från de sista odds som registrerades före matchstart, enligt den valda modellen. Matchen har börjat, så siffrorna är inte aktuella realtidsvärden. Bedöm tillförlitligheten hos varje modells sannolikhetsprognoser mot utfallen i samtliga avgjorda matcher →

Matchresultat

52 spelbolag (18 i analysen )

Beräknad sannolikhet för varje utfall enligt modellen: Interkvartilmedelvärde (Kurerad lista)

SD Eibar (Hemma)

Prognos 60.95%1.64rättvist odds
EV -4.31%
Fördel -2.75%
Kelly -7.57%
Tillväxt +0.000%

med antagandet om högsta odds 1.57

Fördelning av spelbolagens sannolikhetsprognoser
58.89%60.98%61.00%62.22%MIN.MEDELVÄRDEMEDIANMAX.
Oddsfördelning
1.431.521.521.5769.93%65.91%65.79%63.69%MIN.MEDELVÄRDEMEDIANMAX.

AD Ceuta FC (Borta)

Prognos 15.48%6.46rättvist odds
EV +0.755%
Fördel +0.116%
Kelly +0.137%
Tillväxt +0.001%

med antagandet om högsta odds 6.51

Fördelning av spelbolagens sannolikhetsprognoser
14.43%15.52%15.43%17.00%MIN.MEDELVÄRDEMEDIANMAX.
Oddsfördelning
5.255.855.806.5119.05%17.09%17.24%15.36%MIN.MEDELVÄRDEMEDIANMAX.

Oavgjort

Prognos 23.58%4.24rättvist odds
EV -0.979%
Fördel -0.233%
Kelly -0.306%
Tillväxt +0.000%

med antagandet om högsta odds 4.20

Fördelning av spelbolagens sannolikhetsprognoser
22.07%23.50%23.57%25.70%MIN.MEDELVÄRDEMEDIANMAX.
Oddsfördelning
3.303.823.804.2030.30%26.18%26.32%23.81%MIN.MEDELVÄRDEMEDIANMAX.

Vid de sista oddsen före start uppskattade Interkvartilmedelvärde (Kurerad lista) för Matchresultat: SD Eibar (Hemma): 60.95%; AD Ceuta FC (Borta): 15.48%; Oavgjort: 23.58%. För AD Ceuta FC (Borta) motsvarade uppskattningen ett rättvist decimalodds på 6.46. 2 spelbolag erbjöd slutodds över den nivån; bästa odds var 6.51, motsvarande ett positivt väntevärde på +0.755%.

Spelbolagsodds (52 spelbolag)

Vi är inte knutna till något spelbolag och får ingen ersättning för transaktioner som genomförs hos dem.

SpelbolagHemmaBorta ▼OavgjortMarginalUppdaterat
Pinnacle🎯1.55I 64.52%NM 62.15%EV -5.53%E -3.57%K -10.06%G +0.000%6.51I 15.36%NM 14.80%EV +0.755%E +0.116%K +0.137%G +0.001%4.18I 23.92%NM 23.05%EV -1.45%E -0.347%K -0.456%G +0.000%3.8%2026-04-05 11:59
FanDuel🎯1.51I 66.23%NM 62.12%EV -7.97%E -5.28%K -15.63%G +0.000%6.50I 15.38%NM 14.43%EV +0.600%E +0.092%K +0.109%G +0.001%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.45%EV -5.69%E -1.42%K -1.90%G +0.000%6.6%2026-04-05 12:00
LowVig.ag🎯1.54I 64.94%NM 62.22%EV -6.14%E -3.99%K -11.37%G +0.000%6.40I 15.63%NM 14.97%EV -0.948%E -0.148%K -0.176%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 22.81%EV -0.979%E -0.233%K -0.306%G +0.000%4.4%2026-04-05 12:00
BetOnline.ag🎯1.54I 64.94%NM 62.22%EV -6.14%E -3.99%K -11.37%G +0.000%6.40I 15.63%NM 14.97%EV -0.948%E -0.148%K -0.176%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 22.81%EV -0.979%E -0.233%K -0.306%G +0.000%4.4%2026-04-05 12:00
Coolbet🎯1.56I 64.10%NM 60.99%EV -4.92%E -3.16%K -8.79%G +0.000%6.25I 16.00%NM 15.22%EV -3.27%E -0.523%K -0.623%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.79%EV -5.69%E -1.42%K -1.90%G +0.000%5.1%2026-04-05 11:58
theScore Bet🎯1.53I 65.36%NM 61.45%EV -6.75%E -4.41%K -12.74%G +0.000%6.25I 16.00%NM 15.04%EV -3.27%E -0.523%K -0.623%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.51%EV -5.69%E -1.42%K -1.90%G +0.000%6.4%2026-04-05 12:01
Betr (AU)🎯1.52I 65.79%NM 61.24%EV -7.36%E -4.84%K -14.16%G +0.000%6.25I 16.00%NM 14.89%EV -3.27%E -0.523%K -0.623%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 23.87%EV -8.05%E -2.06%K -2.78%G +0.000%7.4%2026-04-05 11:59
Marathon Bet🎯1.51I 66.23%NM 61.79%EV -7.97%E -5.28%K -15.63%G +0.000%6.15I 16.26%NM 15.17%EV -4.82%E -0.783%K -0.935%G +0.000%4.05I 24.69%NM 23.04%EV -4.52%E -1.11%K -1.48%G +0.000%7.2%2026-04-05 11:59
1xBet🎯1.57I 63.69%NM 60.37%EV -4.31%E -2.75%K -7.57%G +0.000%6.04I 16.56%NM 15.69%EV -6.52%E -1.08%K -1.29%G +0.000%3.96I 25.25%NM 23.94%EV -6.64%E -1.68%K -2.24%G +0.000%5.5%2026-04-05 11:59
DraftKings🎯1.53I 65.36%NM 61.07%EV -6.75%E -4.41%K -12.74%G +0.000%6.00I 16.67%NM 15.57%EV -7.14%E -1.19%K -1.43%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.36%EV -5.69%E -1.42%K -1.90%G +0.000%7.0%2026-04-05 12:01
Unibet🎯1.57I 63.69%NM 59.51%EV -4.31%E -2.75%K -7.57%G +0.000%6.00I 16.67%NM 15.57%EV -7.14%E -1.19%K -1.43%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 24.92%EV -11.59%E -3.09%K -4.21%G +0.000%7.0%2026-04-05 12:00
Unibet (SE)🎯1.57I 63.69%NM 59.51%EV -4.31%E -2.75%K -7.57%G +0.000%6.00I 16.67%NM 15.57%EV -7.14%E -1.19%K -1.43%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 24.92%EV -11.59%E -3.09%K -4.21%G +0.000%7.0%2026-04-05 12:00
Unibet (NL)🎯1.57I 63.69%NM 59.51%EV -4.31%E -2.75%K -7.57%G +0.000%6.00I 16.67%NM 15.57%EV -7.14%E -1.19%K -1.43%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 24.92%EV -11.59%E -3.09%K -4.21%G +0.000%7.0%2026-04-05 12:00
ATG (SE)🎯1.57I 63.69%NM 59.51%EV -4.31%E -2.75%K -7.57%G +0.000%6.00I 16.67%NM 15.57%EV -7.14%E -1.19%K -1.43%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 24.92%EV -11.59%E -3.09%K -4.21%G +0.000%7.0%2026-04-05 12:00
Svenska Spel🎯1.57I 63.69%NM 59.51%EV -4.31%E -2.75%K -7.57%G +0.000%6.00I 16.67%NM 15.57%EV -7.14%E -1.19%K -1.43%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 24.92%EV -11.59%E -3.09%K -4.21%G +0.000%7.0%2026-04-05 12:00
Fanatics🎯1.56I 64.10%NM 59.86%EV -4.92%E -3.16%K -8.79%G +0.000%6.00I 16.67%NM 15.56%EV -7.14%E -1.19%K -1.43%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 24.57%EV -10.41%E -2.74%K -3.72%G +0.000%7.1%2026-04-05 12:01
PointsBet (AU)🎯1.53I 65.36%NM 60.71%EV -6.75%E -4.41%K -12.74%G +0.000%6.00I 16.67%NM 15.48%EV -7.14%E -1.19%K -1.43%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 23.82%EV -8.05%E -2.06%K -2.78%G +0.000%7.7%2026-04-05 11:59
BetAnything🎯1.51I 66.23%NM 61.20%EV -7.97%E -5.28%K -15.63%G +0.000%6.00I 16.67%NM 15.40%EV -7.14%E -1.19%K -1.43%G +0.000%3.95I 25.32%NM 23.40%EV -6.87%E -1.74%K -2.33%G +0.000%8.2%2026-04-05 11:59
Bovada🎯1.51I 66.23%NM 61.02%EV -7.97%E -5.28%K -15.63%G +0.000%6.00I 16.67%NM 15.36%EV -7.14%E -1.19%K -1.43%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 23.63%EV -8.05%E -2.06%K -2.78%G +0.000%8.5%2026-04-05 11:48
Tipico (DE)🎯1.50I 66.67%NM 61.18%EV -8.58%E -5.72%K -17.16%G +0.000%6.00I 16.67%NM 15.29%EV -7.14%E -1.19%K -1.43%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 23.53%EV -8.05%E -2.06%K -2.78%G +0.000%9.0%2026-04-05 12:01
Bet Victor🎯1.50I 66.67%NM 60.80%EV -8.58%E -5.72%K -17.16%G +0.000%6.00I 16.67%NM 15.20%EV -7.14%E -1.19%K -1.43%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 24.00%EV -10.41%E -2.74%K -3.72%G +0.000%9.6%2026-04-05 12:01
Winamax (DE)🎯1.48I 67.57%NM 61.31%EV -9.80%E -6.62%K -20.41%G +0.000%6.00I 16.67%NM 15.12%EV -7.14%E -1.19%K -1.43%G +0.000%3.85I 25.97%NM 23.57%EV -9.23%E -2.40%K -3.24%G +0.000%10.2%2026-04-05 12:00
SportsBet🎯1.47I 68.03%NM 61.66%EV -10.41%E -7.08%K -22.15%G +0.000%6.00I 16.67%NM 15.11%EV -7.14%E -1.19%K -1.43%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 23.24%EV -8.05%E -2.06%K -2.78%G +0.000%10.3%2026-04-05 12:01
Paddy Power🎯1.44I 69.44%NM 61.77%EV -12.24%E -8.50%K -27.81%G +0.000%6.00I 16.67%NM 14.82%EV -7.14%E -1.19%K -1.43%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 23.41%EV -10.41%E -2.74%K -3.72%G +0.000%12.4%2026-04-05 12:00
TABtouch🎯1.56I 64.10%NM 59.15%EV -4.92%E -3.16%K -8.79%G +0.000%5.80I 17.24%NM 15.91%EV -10.23%E -1.76%K -2.13%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 24.94%EV -12.77%E -3.45%K -4.73%G +0.000%8.4%2026-04-05 12:01
LeoVegas (SE)🎯1.55I 64.52%NM 59.11%EV -5.53%E -3.57%K -10.06%G +0.000%5.80I 17.24%NM 15.80%EV -10.23%E -1.76%K -2.13%G +0.000%3.65I 27.40%NM 25.10%EV -13.95%E -3.82%K -5.26%G +0.000%9.2%2026-04-05 12:00
Casumo🎯1.55I 64.52%NM 59.11%EV -5.53%E -3.57%K -10.06%G +0.000%5.80I 17.24%NM 15.80%EV -10.23%E -1.76%K -2.13%G +0.000%3.65I 27.40%NM 25.10%EV -13.95%E -3.82%K -5.26%G +0.000%9.2%2026-04-05 12:00
Grosvenor🎯1.55I 64.52%NM 59.11%EV -5.53%E -3.57%K -10.06%G +0.000%5.80I 17.24%NM 15.80%EV -10.23%E -1.76%K -2.13%G +0.000%3.65I 27.40%NM 25.10%EV -13.95%E -3.82%K -5.26%G +0.000%9.2%2026-04-05 12:00
betPARX🎯1.55I 64.52%NM 59.11%EV -5.53%E -3.57%K -10.06%G +0.000%5.80I 17.24%NM 15.80%EV -10.23%E -1.76%K -2.13%G +0.000%3.65I 27.40%NM 25.10%EV -13.95%E -3.82%K -5.26%G +0.000%9.2%2026-04-05 12:00
William Hill🎯1.53I 65.36%NM 59.82%EV -6.75%E -4.41%K -12.74%G +0.000%5.80I 17.24%NM 15.78%EV -10.23%E -1.76%K -2.13%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 24.40%EV -11.59%E -3.09%K -4.21%G +0.000%9.3%2026-04-05 12:01
Betway🎯1.50I 66.67%NM 61.80%EV -8.58%E -5.72%K -17.16%G +0.000%5.75I 17.39%NM 16.12%EV -11.01%E -1.91%K -2.32%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 22.07%EV -0.979%E -0.233%K -0.306%G +0.000%7.9%2026-04-05 12:00
Mr Green (SE)🎯1.53I 65.36%NM 59.73%EV -6.75%E -4.41%K -12.74%G +0.000%5.75I 17.39%NM 15.89%EV -11.01%E -1.91%K -2.32%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 24.37%EV -11.59%E -3.09%K -4.21%G +0.000%9.4%2026-04-05 12:01
LeoVegas🎯1.54I 64.94%NM 59.18%EV -6.14%E -3.99%K -11.37%G +0.000%5.75I 17.39%NM 15.85%EV -11.01%E -1.91%K -2.32%G +0.000%3.65I 27.40%NM 24.97%EV -13.95%E -3.82%K -5.26%G +0.000%9.7%2026-04-05 12:00
Virgin Bet🎯1.52I 65.79%NM 59.29%EV -7.36%E -4.84%K -14.16%G +0.000%5.75I 17.39%NM 15.67%EV -11.01%E -1.91%K -2.32%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.03%EV -15.12%E -4.20%K -5.82%G +0.000%11.0%2026-04-05 12:00
LiveScore Bet🎯1.52I 65.79%NM 59.29%EV -7.36%E -4.84%K -14.16%G +0.000%5.75I 17.39%NM 15.67%EV -11.01%E -1.91%K -2.32%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.03%EV -15.12%E -4.20%K -5.82%G +0.000%11.0%2026-04-05 12:00
Betclic (FR)🎯1.45I 68.97%NM 60.82%EV -11.63%E -8.02%K -25.84%G +0.000%5.75I 17.39%NM 15.34%EV -11.01%E -1.91%K -2.32%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 23.84%EV -12.77%E -3.45%K -4.73%G +0.000%13.4%2026-04-05 12:00
Sky Bet🎯1.44I 69.44%NM 61.18%EV -12.24%E -8.50%K -27.81%G +0.000%5.75I 17.39%NM 15.32%EV -11.01%E -1.91%K -2.32%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 23.49%EV -11.59%E -3.09%K -4.21%G +0.000%13.5%2026-04-05 12:01
Betsson🎯1.52I 65.79%NM 60.37%EV -7.36%E -4.84%K -14.16%G +0.000%5.70I 17.54%NM 16.10%EV -11.78%E -2.07%K -2.51%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 23.53%EV -8.05%E -2.06%K -2.78%G +0.000%9.0%2026-04-05 11:58
NordicBet🎯1.52I 65.79%NM 60.37%EV -7.36%E -4.84%K -14.16%G +0.000%5.70I 17.54%NM 16.10%EV -11.78%E -2.07%K -2.51%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 23.53%EV -8.05%E -2.06%K -2.78%G +0.000%9.0%2026-04-05 11:59
Codere (IT)🎯1.51I 66.23%NM 59.99%EV -7.97%E -5.28%K -15.63%G +0.000%5.60I 17.86%NM 16.18%EV -13.33%E -2.38%K -2.90%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 23.84%EV -10.41%E -2.74%K -3.72%G +0.000%10.4%2026-04-05 12:01
Unibet (FR)🎯1.47I 68.03%NM 60.63%EV -10.41%E -7.08%K -22.15%G +0.000%5.60I 17.86%NM 15.92%EV -13.33%E -2.38%K -2.90%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 23.45%EV -10.41%E -2.74%K -3.72%G +0.000%12.2%2026-04-05 11:59
Winamax (FR)🎯1.47I 68.03%NM 60.44%EV -10.41%E -7.08%K -22.15%G +0.000%5.60I 17.86%NM 15.87%EV -13.33%E -2.38%K -2.90%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 23.69%EV -11.59%E -3.09%K -4.21%G +0.000%12.6%2026-04-05 12:01
PMU (FR)🎯1.49I 67.11%NM 59.11%EV -9.19%E -6.17%K -18.75%G +0.000%5.60I 17.86%NM 15.73%EV -13.33%E -2.38%K -2.90%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 25.16%EV -17.48%E -4.99%K -6.99%G +0.000%13.5%2026-04-05 12:00
NetBet (FR)🎯1.43I 69.93%NM 60.71%EV -12.85%E -8.98%K -29.88%G +0.000%5.60I 17.86%NM 15.50%EV -13.33%E -2.38%K -2.90%G +0.000%3.65I 27.40%NM 23.79%EV -13.95%E -3.82%K -5.26%G +0.000%15.2%2026-04-05 12:00
BetMGM🎯1.53I 65.36%NM 59.86%EV -6.75%E -4.41%K -12.74%G +0.000%5.50I 18.18%NM 16.65%EV -14.88%E -2.70%K -3.31%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 23.48%EV -8.05%E -2.06%K -2.78%G +0.000%9.2%2026-04-05 12:00
PlayUp🎯1.52I 65.79%NM 59.46%EV -7.36%E -4.84%K -14.16%G +0.000%5.50I 18.18%NM 16.43%EV -14.88%E -2.70%K -3.31%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 24.10%EV -11.59%E -3.09%K -4.21%G +0.000%10.6%2026-04-05 12:00
BoyleSports🎯1.50I 66.67%NM 59.97%EV -8.58%E -5.72%K -17.16%G +0.000%5.50I 18.18%NM 16.36%EV -14.88%E -2.70%K -3.31%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 23.67%EV -10.41%E -2.74%K -3.72%G +0.000%11.2%2026-04-05 12:01
Betfair Sportsbook (UK)🎯1.44I 69.44%NM 58.89%EV -12.24%E -8.50%K -27.81%G +0.000%5.50I 18.18%NM 15.42%EV -14.88%E -2.70%K -3.31%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 25.70%EV -22.20%E -6.73%K -9.65%G +0.000%17.9%2026-04-05 12:00
Ladbrokes (AU)🎯1.50I 66.67%NM 59.51%EV -8.58%E -5.72%K -17.16%G +0.000%5.25I 19.05%NM 17.00%EV -18.75%E -3.57%K -4.41%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 23.49%EV -10.41%E -2.74%K -3.72%G +0.000%12.0%2026-04-05 11:59
Coral🎯1.50I 66.67%NM 59.51%EV -8.58%E -5.72%K -17.16%G +0.000%5.25I 19.05%NM 17.00%EV -18.75%E -3.57%K -4.41%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 23.49%EV -10.41%E -2.74%K -3.72%G +0.000%12.0%2026-04-05 12:00
Neds🎯1.50I 66.67%NM 59.51%EV -8.58%E -5.72%K -17.16%G +0.000%5.25I 19.05%NM 17.00%EV -18.75%E -3.57%K -4.41%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 23.49%EV -10.41%E -2.74%K -3.72%G +0.000%12.0%2026-04-05 11:59
Ladbrokes (UK)🎯1.50I 66.67%NM 59.51%EV -8.58%E -5.72%K -17.16%G +0.000%5.25I 19.05%NM 17.00%EV -18.75%E -3.57%K -4.41%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 23.49%EV -10.41%E -2.74%K -3.72%G +0.000%12.0%2026-04-05 12:00
Marginal = Marginal · I = Implicit sannolikhet · NM = Marginalrensad sannolikhet · EV = Väntevärde · E = Fördel · K = Kelly-kriteriet · G = Spelkapitalets tillväxt

Uppdaterat anger när respektive spelbolag senast ändrade sitt odds. En äldre tidpunkt betyder därför att oddset inte har rört sig, inte att det är inaktuellt. Spelbolag som inte har observerats under de senaste cirka 15 minuterna utesluts normalt; endast om dataflödet för en hel marknad tystnar visas i stället de senast registrerade oddsen.

Spelbörser (6)

SpelbolagHemmaBortaOavgjortMarginal ▲Uppdaterat
Betfair Exchange (EU)1.56I 64.10%NM 63.55%7.40I 13.51%NM 13.40%4.30I 23.26%NM 23.05%0.9%2026-04-05 12:00
Betfair Exchange (AU)1.56I 64.10%NM 63.55%7.40I 13.51%NM 13.40%4.30I 23.26%NM 23.05%0.9%2026-04-05 12:00
Betfair Exchange (UK)1.56I 64.10%NM 63.31%7.20I 13.89%NM 13.72%4.30I 23.26%NM 22.97%1.2%2026-04-05 12:00
Matchbook1.55I 64.52%NM 63.46%7.20I 13.89%NM 13.66%4.30I 23.26%NM 22.88%1.7%2026-04-05 12:00
Kalshi1.54I 64.94%NM 63.71%7.14I 14.01%NM 13.74%4.35I 22.99%NM 22.55%1.9%2026-04-05 12:00
Smarkets1.54I 64.94%NM 63.27%7.20I 13.89%NM 13.53%4.20I 23.81%NM 23.20%2.6%2026-04-05 12:00