La escuela de los momiosIdioma:Español
SD Eibar v AD Ceuta FC
Momios de cierre — las predicciones y el valor esperado calculados con los últimos momios registrados antes del inicio, según el modelo seleccionado. El partido ya comenzó; estas cifras no son datos en vivo. Evalúe la fiabilidad de las predicciones probabilísticas de cada modelo frente a los resultados de todos los partidos resueltos →
Resultado del partido
SD Eibar (Local)
Predicción 60.95%1.64momio equitativo
EV -4.31%
Ventaja -2.75%
Kelly -7.57%
Crecimiento +0.000%
suponiendo unos momios máximos de 1.57
Distribución de las predicciones de los corredores
58.89%60.98%61.00%62.22%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX
Distribución de los momios
1.431.521.521.5769.93%65.91%65.79%63.69%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX
AD Ceuta FC (Visitante)
Predicción 15.48%6.46momio equitativo
EV +0.755%
Ventaja +0.116%
Kelly +0.137%
Crecimiento +0.001%
suponiendo unos momios máximos de 6.51
Distribución de las predicciones de los corredores
14.43%15.52%15.43%17.00%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX
Distribución de los momios
5.255.855.806.5119.05%17.09%17.24%15.36%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX
Empate
Predicción 23.58%4.24momio equitativo
EV -0.979%
Ventaja -0.233%
Kelly -0.306%
Crecimiento +0.000%
suponiendo unos momios máximos de 4.20
Distribución de las predicciones de los corredores
22.07%23.50%23.57%25.70%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX
Distribución de los momios
3.303.823.804.2030.30%26.18%26.32%23.81%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX
Momios de las casas de apuestas (52 corredores)
No estamos afiliados a ninguna casa de apuestas ni obtenemos beneficio alguno de las operaciones realizadas con ellas.
| Corredor | Local | Visitante ▼ | Empate | Margen | Actualizado |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Pinnacle | 1.55I 64.52%NM 62.15%EV -5.53%E -3.57%K -10.06%G +0.000% | 6.51I 15.36%NM 14.80%EV +0.755%E +0.116%K +0.137%G +0.001% | 4.18I 23.92%NM 23.05%EV -1.45%E -0.347%K -0.456%G +0.000% | 3.8% | 2026-04-05 11:59 |
| FanDuel | 1.51I 66.23%NM 62.12%EV -7.97%E -5.28%K -15.63%G +0.000% | 6.50I 15.38%NM 14.43%EV +0.600%E +0.092%K +0.109%G +0.001% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 23.45%EV -5.69%E -1.42%K -1.90%G +0.000% | 6.6% | 2026-04-05 12:00 |
| LowVig.ag | 1.54I 64.94%NM 62.22%EV -6.14%E -3.99%K -11.37%G +0.000% | 6.40I 15.63%NM 14.97%EV -0.948%E -0.148%K -0.176%G +0.000% | 4.20I 23.81%NM 22.81%EV -0.979%E -0.233%K -0.306%G +0.000% | 4.4% | 2026-04-05 12:00 |
| BetOnline.ag | 1.54I 64.94%NM 62.22%EV -6.14%E -3.99%K -11.37%G +0.000% | 6.40I 15.63%NM 14.97%EV -0.948%E -0.148%K -0.176%G +0.000% | 4.20I 23.81%NM 22.81%EV -0.979%E -0.233%K -0.306%G +0.000% | 4.4% | 2026-04-05 12:00 |
| Coolbet | 1.56I 64.10%NM 60.99%EV -4.92%E -3.16%K -8.79%G +0.000% | 6.25I 16.00%NM 15.22%EV -3.27%E -0.523%K -0.623%G +0.000% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 23.79%EV -5.69%E -1.42%K -1.90%G +0.000% | 5.1% | 2026-04-05 11:58 |
| theScore Bet | 1.53I 65.36%NM 61.45%EV -6.75%E -4.41%K -12.74%G +0.000% | 6.25I 16.00%NM 15.04%EV -3.27%E -0.523%K -0.623%G +0.000% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 23.51%EV -5.69%E -1.42%K -1.90%G +0.000% | 6.4% | 2026-04-05 12:01 |
| Betr (AU) | 1.52I 65.79%NM 61.24%EV -7.36%E -4.84%K -14.16%G +0.000% | 6.25I 16.00%NM 14.89%EV -3.27%E -0.523%K -0.623%G +0.000% | 3.90I 25.64%NM 23.87%EV -8.05%E -2.06%K -2.78%G +0.000% | 7.4% | 2026-04-05 11:59 |
| Marathon Bet | 1.51I 66.23%NM 61.79%EV -7.97%E -5.28%K -15.63%G +0.000% | 6.15I 16.26%NM 15.17%EV -4.82%E -0.783%K -0.935%G +0.000% | 4.05I 24.69%NM 23.04%EV -4.52%E -1.11%K -1.48%G +0.000% | 7.2% | 2026-04-05 11:59 |
| 1xBet | 1.57I 63.69%NM 60.37%EV -4.31%E -2.75%K -7.57%G +0.000% | 6.04I 16.56%NM 15.69%EV -6.52%E -1.08%K -1.29%G +0.000% | 3.96I 25.25%NM 23.94%EV -6.64%E -1.68%K -2.24%G +0.000% | 5.5% | 2026-04-05 11:59 |
| DraftKings | 1.53I 65.36%NM 61.07%EV -6.75%E -4.41%K -12.74%G +0.000% | 6.00I 16.67%NM 15.57%EV -7.14%E -1.19%K -1.43%G +0.000% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 23.36%EV -5.69%E -1.42%K -1.90%G +0.000% | 7.0% | 2026-04-05 12:01 |
| Unibet | 1.57I 63.69%NM 59.51%EV -4.31%E -2.75%K -7.57%G +0.000% | 6.00I 16.67%NM 15.57%EV -7.14%E -1.19%K -1.43%G +0.000% | 3.75I 26.67%NM 24.92%EV -11.59%E -3.09%K -4.21%G +0.000% | 7.0% | 2026-04-05 12:00 |
| Unibet (SE) | 1.57I 63.69%NM 59.51%EV -4.31%E -2.75%K -7.57%G +0.000% | 6.00I 16.67%NM 15.57%EV -7.14%E -1.19%K -1.43%G +0.000% | 3.75I 26.67%NM 24.92%EV -11.59%E -3.09%K -4.21%G +0.000% | 7.0% | 2026-04-05 12:00 |
| Unibet (NL) | 1.57I 63.69%NM 59.51%EV -4.31%E -2.75%K -7.57%G +0.000% | 6.00I 16.67%NM 15.57%EV -7.14%E -1.19%K -1.43%G +0.000% | 3.75I 26.67%NM 24.92%EV -11.59%E -3.09%K -4.21%G +0.000% | 7.0% | 2026-04-05 12:00 |
| ATG (SE) | 1.57I 63.69%NM 59.51%EV -4.31%E -2.75%K -7.57%G +0.000% | 6.00I 16.67%NM 15.57%EV -7.14%E -1.19%K -1.43%G +0.000% | 3.75I 26.67%NM 24.92%EV -11.59%E -3.09%K -4.21%G +0.000% | 7.0% | 2026-04-05 12:00 |
| Svenska Spel | 1.57I 63.69%NM 59.51%EV -4.31%E -2.75%K -7.57%G +0.000% | 6.00I 16.67%NM 15.57%EV -7.14%E -1.19%K -1.43%G +0.000% | 3.75I 26.67%NM 24.92%EV -11.59%E -3.09%K -4.21%G +0.000% | 7.0% | 2026-04-05 12:00 |
| Fanatics | 1.56I 64.10%NM 59.86%EV -4.92%E -3.16%K -8.79%G +0.000% | 6.00I 16.67%NM 15.56%EV -7.14%E -1.19%K -1.43%G +0.000% | 3.80I 26.32%NM 24.57%EV -10.41%E -2.74%K -3.72%G +0.000% | 7.1% | 2026-04-05 12:01 |
| PointsBet (AU) | 1.53I 65.36%NM 60.71%EV -6.75%E -4.41%K -12.74%G +0.000% | 6.00I 16.67%NM 15.48%EV -7.14%E -1.19%K -1.43%G +0.000% | 3.90I 25.64%NM 23.82%EV -8.05%E -2.06%K -2.78%G +0.000% | 7.7% | 2026-04-05 11:59 |
| BetAnything | 1.51I 66.23%NM 61.20%EV -7.97%E -5.28%K -15.63%G +0.000% | 6.00I 16.67%NM 15.40%EV -7.14%E -1.19%K -1.43%G +0.000% | 3.95I 25.32%NM 23.40%EV -6.87%E -1.74%K -2.33%G +0.000% | 8.2% | 2026-04-05 11:59 |
| Bovada | 1.51I 66.23%NM 61.02%EV -7.97%E -5.28%K -15.63%G +0.000% | 6.00I 16.67%NM 15.36%EV -7.14%E -1.19%K -1.43%G +0.000% | 3.90I 25.64%NM 23.63%EV -8.05%E -2.06%K -2.78%G +0.000% | 8.5% | 2026-04-05 11:48 |
| Tipico (DE) | 1.50I 66.67%NM 61.18%EV -8.58%E -5.72%K -17.16%G +0.000% | 6.00I 16.67%NM 15.29%EV -7.14%E -1.19%K -1.43%G +0.000% | 3.90I 25.64%NM 23.53%EV -8.05%E -2.06%K -2.78%G +0.000% | 9.0% | 2026-04-05 12:01 |
| Bet Victor | 1.50I 66.67%NM 60.80%EV -8.58%E -5.72%K -17.16%G +0.000% | 6.00I 16.67%NM 15.20%EV -7.14%E -1.19%K -1.43%G +0.000% | 3.80I 26.32%NM 24.00%EV -10.41%E -2.74%K -3.72%G +0.000% | 9.6% | 2026-04-05 12:01 |
| Winamax (DE) | 1.48I 67.57%NM 61.31%EV -9.80%E -6.62%K -20.41%G +0.000% | 6.00I 16.67%NM 15.12%EV -7.14%E -1.19%K -1.43%G +0.000% | 3.85I 25.97%NM 23.57%EV -9.23%E -2.40%K -3.24%G +0.000% | 10.2% | 2026-04-05 12:00 |
| SportsBet | 1.47I 68.03%NM 61.66%EV -10.41%E -7.08%K -22.15%G +0.000% | 6.00I 16.67%NM 15.11%EV -7.14%E -1.19%K -1.43%G +0.000% | 3.90I 25.64%NM 23.24%EV -8.05%E -2.06%K -2.78%G +0.000% | 10.3% | 2026-04-05 12:01 |
| Paddy Power | 1.44I 69.44%NM 61.77%EV -12.24%E -8.50%K -27.81%G +0.000% | 6.00I 16.67%NM 14.82%EV -7.14%E -1.19%K -1.43%G +0.000% | 3.80I 26.32%NM 23.41%EV -10.41%E -2.74%K -3.72%G +0.000% | 12.4% | 2026-04-05 12:00 |
| TABtouch | 1.56I 64.10%NM 59.15%EV -4.92%E -3.16%K -8.79%G +0.000% | 5.80I 17.24%NM 15.91%EV -10.23%E -1.76%K -2.13%G +0.000% | 3.70I 27.03%NM 24.94%EV -12.77%E -3.45%K -4.73%G +0.000% | 8.4% | 2026-04-05 12:01 |
| LeoVegas (SE) | 1.55I 64.52%NM 59.11%EV -5.53%E -3.57%K -10.06%G +0.000% | 5.80I 17.24%NM 15.80%EV -10.23%E -1.76%K -2.13%G +0.000% | 3.65I 27.40%NM 25.10%EV -13.95%E -3.82%K -5.26%G +0.000% | 9.2% | 2026-04-05 12:00 |
| Casumo | 1.55I 64.52%NM 59.11%EV -5.53%E -3.57%K -10.06%G +0.000% | 5.80I 17.24%NM 15.80%EV -10.23%E -1.76%K -2.13%G +0.000% | 3.65I 27.40%NM 25.10%EV -13.95%E -3.82%K -5.26%G +0.000% | 9.2% | 2026-04-05 12:00 |
| Grosvenor | 1.55I 64.52%NM 59.11%EV -5.53%E -3.57%K -10.06%G +0.000% | 5.80I 17.24%NM 15.80%EV -10.23%E -1.76%K -2.13%G +0.000% | 3.65I 27.40%NM 25.10%EV -13.95%E -3.82%K -5.26%G +0.000% | 9.2% | 2026-04-05 12:00 |
| betPARX | 1.55I 64.52%NM 59.11%EV -5.53%E -3.57%K -10.06%G +0.000% | 5.80I 17.24%NM 15.80%EV -10.23%E -1.76%K -2.13%G +0.000% | 3.65I 27.40%NM 25.10%EV -13.95%E -3.82%K -5.26%G +0.000% | 9.2% | 2026-04-05 12:00 |
| William Hill | 1.53I 65.36%NM 59.82%EV -6.75%E -4.41%K -12.74%G +0.000% | 5.80I 17.24%NM 15.78%EV -10.23%E -1.76%K -2.13%G +0.000% | 3.75I 26.67%NM 24.40%EV -11.59%E -3.09%K -4.21%G +0.000% | 9.3% | 2026-04-05 12:01 |
| Betway | 1.50I 66.67%NM 61.80%EV -8.58%E -5.72%K -17.16%G +0.000% | 5.75I 17.39%NM 16.12%EV -11.01%E -1.91%K -2.32%G +0.000% | 4.20I 23.81%NM 22.07%EV -0.979%E -0.233%K -0.306%G +0.000% | 7.9% | 2026-04-05 12:00 |
| Mr Green (SE) | 1.53I 65.36%NM 59.73%EV -6.75%E -4.41%K -12.74%G +0.000% | 5.75I 17.39%NM 15.89%EV -11.01%E -1.91%K -2.32%G +0.000% | 3.75I 26.67%NM 24.37%EV -11.59%E -3.09%K -4.21%G +0.000% | 9.4% | 2026-04-05 12:01 |
| LeoVegas | 1.54I 64.94%NM 59.18%EV -6.14%E -3.99%K -11.37%G +0.000% | 5.75I 17.39%NM 15.85%EV -11.01%E -1.91%K -2.32%G +0.000% | 3.65I 27.40%NM 24.97%EV -13.95%E -3.82%K -5.26%G +0.000% | 9.7% | 2026-04-05 12:00 |
| Virgin Bet | 1.52I 65.79%NM 59.29%EV -7.36%E -4.84%K -14.16%G +0.000% | 5.75I 17.39%NM 15.67%EV -11.01%E -1.91%K -2.32%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 25.03%EV -15.12%E -4.20%K -5.82%G +0.000% | 11.0% | 2026-04-05 12:00 |
| LiveScore Bet | 1.52I 65.79%NM 59.29%EV -7.36%E -4.84%K -14.16%G +0.000% | 5.75I 17.39%NM 15.67%EV -11.01%E -1.91%K -2.32%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 25.03%EV -15.12%E -4.20%K -5.82%G +0.000% | 11.0% | 2026-04-05 12:00 |
| Betclic (FR) | 1.45I 68.97%NM 60.82%EV -11.63%E -8.02%K -25.84%G +0.000% | 5.75I 17.39%NM 15.34%EV -11.01%E -1.91%K -2.32%G +0.000% | 3.70I 27.03%NM 23.84%EV -12.77%E -3.45%K -4.73%G +0.000% | 13.4% | 2026-04-05 12:00 |
| Sky Bet | 1.44I 69.44%NM 61.18%EV -12.24%E -8.50%K -27.81%G +0.000% | 5.75I 17.39%NM 15.32%EV -11.01%E -1.91%K -2.32%G +0.000% | 3.75I 26.67%NM 23.49%EV -11.59%E -3.09%K -4.21%G +0.000% | 13.5% | 2026-04-05 12:01 |
| Betsson | 1.52I 65.79%NM 60.37%EV -7.36%E -4.84%K -14.16%G +0.000% | 5.70I 17.54%NM 16.10%EV -11.78%E -2.07%K -2.51%G +0.000% | 3.90I 25.64%NM 23.53%EV -8.05%E -2.06%K -2.78%G +0.000% | 9.0% | 2026-04-05 11:58 |
| NordicBet | 1.52I 65.79%NM 60.37%EV -7.36%E -4.84%K -14.16%G +0.000% | 5.70I 17.54%NM 16.10%EV -11.78%E -2.07%K -2.51%G +0.000% | 3.90I 25.64%NM 23.53%EV -8.05%E -2.06%K -2.78%G +0.000% | 9.0% | 2026-04-05 11:59 |
| Codere (IT) | 1.51I 66.23%NM 59.99%EV -7.97%E -5.28%K -15.63%G +0.000% | 5.60I 17.86%NM 16.18%EV -13.33%E -2.38%K -2.90%G +0.000% | 3.80I 26.32%NM 23.84%EV -10.41%E -2.74%K -3.72%G +0.000% | 10.4% | 2026-04-05 12:01 |
| Unibet (FR) | 1.47I 68.03%NM 60.63%EV -10.41%E -7.08%K -22.15%G +0.000% | 5.60I 17.86%NM 15.92%EV -13.33%E -2.38%K -2.90%G +0.000% | 3.80I 26.32%NM 23.45%EV -10.41%E -2.74%K -3.72%G +0.000% | 12.2% | 2026-04-05 11:59 |
| Winamax (FR) | 1.47I 68.03%NM 60.44%EV -10.41%E -7.08%K -22.15%G +0.000% | 5.60I 17.86%NM 15.87%EV -13.33%E -2.38%K -2.90%G +0.000% | 3.75I 26.67%NM 23.69%EV -11.59%E -3.09%K -4.21%G +0.000% | 12.6% | 2026-04-05 12:01 |
| PMU (FR) | 1.49I 67.11%NM 59.11%EV -9.19%E -6.17%K -18.75%G +0.000% | 5.60I 17.86%NM 15.73%EV -13.33%E -2.38%K -2.90%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 25.16%EV -17.48%E -4.99%K -6.99%G +0.000% | 13.5% | 2026-04-05 12:00 |
| NetBet (FR) | 1.43I 69.93%NM 60.71%EV -12.85%E -8.98%K -29.88%G +0.000% | 5.60I 17.86%NM 15.50%EV -13.33%E -2.38%K -2.90%G +0.000% | 3.65I 27.40%NM 23.79%EV -13.95%E -3.82%K -5.26%G +0.000% | 15.2% | 2026-04-05 12:00 |
| BetMGM | 1.53I 65.36%NM 59.86%EV -6.75%E -4.41%K -12.74%G +0.000% | 5.50I 18.18%NM 16.65%EV -14.88%E -2.70%K -3.31%G +0.000% | 3.90I 25.64%NM 23.48%EV -8.05%E -2.06%K -2.78%G +0.000% | 9.2% | 2026-04-05 12:00 |
| PlayUp | 1.52I 65.79%NM 59.46%EV -7.36%E -4.84%K -14.16%G +0.000% | 5.50I 18.18%NM 16.43%EV -14.88%E -2.70%K -3.31%G +0.000% | 3.75I 26.67%NM 24.10%EV -11.59%E -3.09%K -4.21%G +0.000% | 10.6% | 2026-04-05 12:00 |
| BoyleSports | 1.50I 66.67%NM 59.97%EV -8.58%E -5.72%K -17.16%G +0.000% | 5.50I 18.18%NM 16.36%EV -14.88%E -2.70%K -3.31%G +0.000% | 3.80I 26.32%NM 23.67%EV -10.41%E -2.74%K -3.72%G +0.000% | 11.2% | 2026-04-05 12:01 |
| Betfair Sportsbook (UK) | 1.44I 69.44%NM 58.89%EV -12.24%E -8.50%K -27.81%G +0.000% | 5.50I 18.18%NM 15.42%EV -14.88%E -2.70%K -3.31%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 25.70%EV -22.20%E -6.73%K -9.65%G +0.000% | 17.9% | 2026-04-05 12:00 |
| Ladbrokes (AU) | 1.50I 66.67%NM 59.51%EV -8.58%E -5.72%K -17.16%G +0.000% | 5.25I 19.05%NM 17.00%EV -18.75%E -3.57%K -4.41%G +0.000% | 3.80I 26.32%NM 23.49%EV -10.41%E -2.74%K -3.72%G +0.000% | 12.0% | 2026-04-05 11:59 |
| Coral | 1.50I 66.67%NM 59.51%EV -8.58%E -5.72%K -17.16%G +0.000% | 5.25I 19.05%NM 17.00%EV -18.75%E -3.57%K -4.41%G +0.000% | 3.80I 26.32%NM 23.49%EV -10.41%E -2.74%K -3.72%G +0.000% | 12.0% | 2026-04-05 12:00 |
| Neds | 1.50I 66.67%NM 59.51%EV -8.58%E -5.72%K -17.16%G +0.000% | 5.25I 19.05%NM 17.00%EV -18.75%E -3.57%K -4.41%G +0.000% | 3.80I 26.32%NM 23.49%EV -10.41%E -2.74%K -3.72%G +0.000% | 12.0% | 2026-04-05 11:59 |
| Ladbrokes (UK) | 1.50I 66.67%NM 59.51%EV -8.58%E -5.72%K -17.16%G +0.000% | 5.25I 19.05%NM 17.00%EV -18.75%E -3.57%K -4.41%G +0.000% | 3.80I 26.32%NM 23.49%EV -10.41%E -2.74%K -3.72%G +0.000% | 12.0% | 2026-04-05 12:00 |
Margen = Margen del corredor · I = Probabilidad implícita · NM = Probabilidad sin margen · EV = Valor esperado · E = Ventaja · K = Criterio de Kelly · G = Crecimiento del capital de apuestas
Actualizado indica cuándo actualizó cada corredor sus momios por última vez. Una hora anterior significa que los momios no han cambiado, no necesariamente que estén desactualizados. Por lo general se descartan los corredores de los que no se han recibido datos durante unos 15 minutos; solo cuando toda la fuente de un mercado deja de informar se conservan los últimos momios registrados.
Bolsas de apuestas (6)
| Corredor | Local | Visitante | Empate | Margen ▲ | Actualizado |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Betfair Exchange (EU) | 1.56I 64.10%NM 63.55% | 7.40I 13.51%NM 13.40% | 4.30I 23.26%NM 23.05% | 0.9% | 2026-04-05 12:00 |
| Betfair Exchange (AU) | 1.56I 64.10%NM 63.55% | 7.40I 13.51%NM 13.40% | 4.30I 23.26%NM 23.05% | 0.9% | 2026-04-05 12:00 |
| Betfair Exchange (UK) | 1.56I 64.10%NM 63.31% | 7.20I 13.89%NM 13.72% | 4.30I 23.26%NM 22.97% | 1.2% | 2026-04-05 12:00 |
| Matchbook | 1.55I 64.52%NM 63.46% | 7.20I 13.89%NM 13.66% | 4.30I 23.26%NM 22.88% | 1.7% | 2026-04-05 12:00 |
| Kalshi | 1.54I 64.94%NM 63.71% | 7.14I 14.01%NM 13.74% | 4.35I 22.99%NM 22.55% | 1.9% | 2026-04-05 12:00 |
| Smarkets | 1.54I 64.94%NM 63.27% | 7.20I 13.89%NM 13.53% | 4.20I 23.81%NM 23.20% | 2.6% | 2026-04-05 12:00 |