Language:English
Real Valladolid CF v Zaragoza
Closing line — the calculated probabilities and expected value from the last prices recorded before kickoff, under your selected model. The game has started, so these are not live figures. Assess the reliability of each model's probability predictions against all settled-game outcomes →
Head to Head
Real Valladolid CF (Local)
Prediction 50.19%1.99fair odd
EV -1.13%
Edge -0.575%
Kelly -1.17%
Growth +0.000%
assuming max odds 1.97
Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
47.11%50.17%50.18%51.26%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
1.721.861.851.9758.14%53.80%54.05%50.76%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Zaragoza (Visit)
Prediction 22.48%4.45fair odd
EV -0.209%
Edge -0.047%
Kelly -0.061%
Growth +0.000%
assuming max odds 4.44
Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
21.46%22.48%22.46%24.91%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
3.553.974.004.4428.17%25.21%25.00%22.52%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Draw
Prediction 27.34%3.66fair odd
EV -2.68%
Edge -0.752%
Kelly -1.05%
Growth +0.000%
assuming max odds 3.56
Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
26.82%27.35%27.36%28.86%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
2.883.313.303.5634.72%30.21%30.30%28.09%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
At the last prices before kickoff, Interquartile mean (Vetted List) estimated these probabilities for Head to Head: Real Valladolid CF (Local): 50.19%; Zaragoza (Visit): 22.48%; Draw: 27.34%. For Zaragoza (Visit), that estimate was equivalent to fair decimal odds of 4.45. No eligible bookmaker offered closing odds above that level: the best were 4.44, with an expected value of -0.209%; they did not produce positive expected value.
Sportsbook Odds (53 sportsbooks)
We're not affiliated with any bookmaker, we earn nothing from any action done with them.
| Bookmaker | Local ▼ | Visit | Draw | Margin | Updated |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Unibet (NL)🎯 | 1.97I 50.76%NM 47.47%EV -1.13%E -0.575%K -1.17%G +0.000% | 3.80I 26.32%NM 24.61%EV -14.59%E -3.84%K -5.21%G +0.000% | 3.35I 29.85%NM 27.92%EV -8.42%E -2.51%K -3.58%G +0.000% | 6.9% | 2026-05-09 15:39 |
| Unibet (SE)🎯 | 1.97I 50.76%NM 47.47%EV -1.13%E -0.575%K -1.17%G +0.000% | 3.80I 26.32%NM 24.61%EV -14.59%E -3.84%K -5.21%G +0.000% | 3.35I 29.85%NM 27.92%EV -8.42%E -2.51%K -3.58%G +0.000% | 6.9% | 2026-05-09 15:39 |
| Svenska Spel🎯 | 1.97I 50.76%NM 47.47%EV -1.13%E -0.575%K -1.17%G +0.000% | 3.80I 26.32%NM 24.61%EV -14.59%E -3.84%K -5.21%G +0.000% | 3.35I 29.85%NM 27.92%EV -8.42%E -2.51%K -3.58%G +0.000% | 6.9% | 2026-05-09 15:40 |
| ATG (SE)🎯 | 1.97I 50.76%NM 47.47%EV -1.13%E -0.575%K -1.17%G +0.000% | 3.80I 26.32%NM 24.61%EV -14.59%E -3.84%K -5.21%G +0.000% | 3.35I 29.85%NM 27.92%EV -8.42%E -2.51%K -3.58%G +0.000% | 6.9% | 2026-05-09 15:39 |
| Unibet🎯 | 1.97I 50.76%NM 47.47%EV -1.13%E -0.575%K -1.17%G +0.000% | 3.80I 26.32%NM 24.61%EV -14.59%E -3.84%K -5.21%G +0.000% | 3.35I 29.85%NM 27.92%EV -8.42%E -2.51%K -3.58%G +0.000% | 6.9% | 2026-05-09 15:40 |
| Grosvenor🎯 | 1.94I 51.55%NM 47.34%EV -2.64%E -1.36%K -2.81%G +0.000% | 3.70I 27.03%NM 24.82%EV -16.84%E -4.55%K -6.24%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 27.83%EV -9.79%E -2.97%K -4.25%G +0.000% | 8.9% | 2026-05-09 15:39 |
| Casumo🎯 | 1.94I 51.55%NM 47.34%EV -2.64%E -1.36%K -2.81%G +0.000% | 3.70I 27.03%NM 24.82%EV -16.84%E -4.55%K -6.24%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 27.83%EV -9.79%E -2.97%K -4.25%G +0.000% | 8.9% | 2026-05-09 15:39 |
| betPARX🎯 | 1.94I 51.55%NM 47.34%EV -2.64%E -1.36%K -2.81%G +0.000% | 3.70I 27.03%NM 24.82%EV -16.84%E -4.55%K -6.24%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 27.83%EV -9.79%E -2.97%K -4.25%G +0.000% | 8.9% | 2026-05-09 15:40 |
| TABtouch🎯 | 1.94I 51.55%NM 47.34%EV -2.64%E -1.36%K -2.81%G +0.000% | 3.70I 27.03%NM 24.82%EV -16.84%E -4.55%K -6.24%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 27.83%EV -9.79%E -2.97%K -4.25%G +0.000% | 8.9% | 2026-05-09 15:39 |
| LeoVegas (SE)🎯 | 1.93I 51.81%NM 47.27%EV -3.14%E -1.63%K -3.38%G +0.000% | 3.70I 27.03%NM 24.66%EV -16.84%E -4.55%K -6.24%G +0.000% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 28.07%EV -11.15%E -3.43%K -4.96%G +0.000% | 9.6% | 2026-05-09 15:40 |
| LeoVegas🎯 | 1.93I 51.81%NM 47.11%EV -3.14%E -1.63%K -3.38%G +0.000% | 3.65I 27.40%NM 24.91%EV -17.96%E -4.92%K -6.78%G +0.000% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 27.98%EV -11.15%E -3.43%K -4.96%G +0.000% | 10.0% | 2026-05-09 15:39 |
| Fanatics🎯 | 1.91I 52.36%NM 49.32%EV -4.14%E -2.17%K -4.55%G +0.000% | 4.10I 24.39%NM 22.98%EV -7.85%E -1.91%K -2.53%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 27.71%EV -7.05%E -2.07%K -2.94%G +0.000% | 6.2% | 2026-05-09 16:04 |
| LiveScore Bet🎯 | 1.91I 52.36%NM 47.17%EV -4.14%E -2.17%K -4.55%G +0.000% | 3.65I 27.40%NM 24.68%EV -17.96%E -4.92%K -6.78%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 28.15%EV -12.52%E -3.91%K -5.69%G +0.000% | 11.0% | 2026-05-09 15:40 |
| Virgin Bet🎯 | 1.91I 52.36%NM 47.17%EV -4.14%E -2.17%K -4.55%G +0.000% | 3.65I 27.40%NM 24.68%EV -17.96%E -4.92%K -6.78%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 28.15%EV -12.52%E -3.91%K -5.69%G +0.000% | 11.0% | 2026-05-09 15:39 |
| Coolbet🎯 | 1.90I 52.63%NM 50.12%EV -4.65%E -2.44%K -5.16%G +0.000% | 4.20I 23.81%NM 22.67%EV -5.60%E -1.33%K -1.75%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 27.21%EV -4.32%E -1.23%K -1.73%G +0.000% | 5.0% | 2026-05-09 16:14 |
| 1xBet🎯 | 1.90I 52.63%NM 50.09%EV -4.65%E -2.44%K -5.16%G +0.000% | 4.31I 23.20%NM 22.08%EV -3.13%E -0.726%K -0.946%G +0.000% | 3.42I 29.24%NM 27.83%EV -6.50%E -1.90%K -2.69%G +0.000% | 5.1% | 2026-05-09 16:24 |
| Pinnacle🎯 | 1.89I 52.91%NM 51.11%EV -5.15%E -2.72%K -5.78%G +0.000% | 4.44I 22.52%NM 21.76%EV -0.209%E -0.047%K -0.061%G +0.000% | 3.56I 28.09%NM 27.13%EV -2.68%E -0.752%K -1.05%G +0.000% | 3.5% | 2026-05-09 16:15 |
| Betr (AU)🎯 | 1.88I 53.19%NM 49.71%EV -5.65%E -3.00%K -6.42%G +0.000% | 4.10I 24.39%NM 22.80%EV -7.85%E -1.91%K -2.53%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 27.49%EV -7.05%E -2.07%K -2.94%G +0.000% | 7.0% | 2026-05-09 16:14 |
| DraftKings🎯 | 1.87I 53.48%NM 50.58%EV -6.15%E -3.29%K -7.07%G +0.000% | 4.30I 23.26%NM 22.00%EV -3.36%E -0.780%K -1.02%G +0.000% | 3.45I 28.99%NM 27.42%EV -5.68%E -1.65%K -2.32%G +0.000% | 5.7% | 2026-05-09 16:24 |
| theScore Bet🎯 | 1.87I 53.48%NM 49.76%EV -6.15%E -3.29%K -7.07%G +0.000% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 23.26%EV -10.10%E -2.52%K -3.37%G +0.000% | 3.45I 28.99%NM 26.97%EV -5.68%E -1.65%K -2.32%G +0.000% | 7.5% | 2026-05-09 16:10 |
| PointsBet (AU)🎯 | 1.87I 53.48%NM 49.57%EV -6.15%E -3.29%K -7.07%G +0.000% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 23.17%EV -10.10%E -2.52%K -3.37%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 27.26%EV -7.05%E -2.07%K -2.94%G +0.000% | 7.9% | 2026-05-09 16:14 |
| NordicBet🎯 | 1.85I 54.05%NM 50.05%EV -7.15%E -3.87%K -8.42%G +0.000% | 4.15I 24.10%NM 22.31%EV -6.73%E -1.62%K -2.14%G +0.000% | 3.35I 29.85%NM 27.64%EV -8.42%E -2.51%K -3.58%G +0.000% | 8.0% | 2026-05-09 16:24 |
| Betsson🎯 | 1.85I 54.05%NM 50.05%EV -7.15%E -3.87%K -8.42%G +0.000% | 4.15I 24.10%NM 22.31%EV -6.73%E -1.62%K -2.14%G +0.000% | 3.35I 29.85%NM 27.64%EV -8.42%E -2.51%K -3.58%G +0.000% | 8.0% | 2026-05-09 16:24 |
| Betway🎯 | 1.85I 54.05%NM 49.97%EV -7.15%E -3.87%K -8.42%G +0.000% | 4.20I 23.81%NM 22.01%EV -5.60%E -1.33%K -1.75%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 28.02%EV -9.79%E -2.97%K -4.25%G +0.000% | 8.2% | 2026-05-09 16:19 |
| BetMGM🎯 | 1.85I 54.05%NM 49.22%EV -7.15%E -3.87%K -8.42%G +0.000% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 22.76%EV -10.10%E -2.52%K -3.37%G +0.000% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 28.02%EV -11.15%E -3.43%K -4.96%G +0.000% | 9.8% | 2026-05-09 16:24 |
| Mr Green (SE)🎯 | 1.85I 54.05%NM 49.22%EV -7.15%E -3.87%K -8.42%G +0.000% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 22.76%EV -10.10%E -2.52%K -3.37%G +0.000% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 28.02%EV -11.15%E -3.43%K -4.96%G +0.000% | 9.8% | 2026-05-09 16:05 |
| Codere (IT)🎯 | 1.85I 54.05%NM 49.14%EV -7.15%E -3.87%K -8.42%G +0.000% | 3.90I 25.64%NM 23.31%EV -12.35%E -3.17%K -4.26%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 27.55%EV -9.79%E -2.97%K -4.25%G +0.000% | 10.0% | 2026-05-09 16:10 |
| William Hill🎯 | 1.85I 54.05%NM 49.00%EV -7.15%E -3.87%K -8.42%G +0.000% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 22.66%EV -10.10%E -2.52%K -3.37%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 28.33%EV -12.52%E -3.91%K -5.69%G +0.000% | 10.3% | 2026-05-09 16:04 |
| PMU (FR)🎯 | 1.85I 54.05%NM 47.43%EV -7.15%E -3.87%K -8.42%G +0.000% | 3.55I 28.17%NM 24.72%EV -20.21%E -5.69%K -7.93%G +0.000% | 3.15I 31.75%NM 27.85%EV -13.89%E -4.41%K -6.46%G +0.000% | 14.0% | 2026-05-09 15:40 |
| BetOnline.ag🎯 | 1.84I 54.35%NM 50.99%EV -7.66%E -4.16%K -9.11%G +0.000% | 4.30I 23.26%NM 21.82%EV -3.36%E -0.780%K -1.02%G +0.000% | 3.45I 28.99%NM 27.19%EV -5.68%E -1.65%K -2.32%G +0.000% | 6.6% | 2026-05-09 16:25 |
| LowVig.ag🎯 | 1.84I 54.35%NM 50.99%EV -7.66%E -4.16%K -9.11%G +0.000% | 4.30I 23.26%NM 21.82%EV -3.36%E -0.780%K -1.02%G +0.000% | 3.45I 28.99%NM 27.19%EV -5.68%E -1.65%K -2.32%G +0.000% | 6.6% | 2026-05-09 16:25 |
| FanDuel🎯 | 1.83I 54.64%NM 50.92%EV -8.16%E -4.46%K -9.83%G +0.000% | 4.30I 23.26%NM 21.67%EV -3.36%E -0.780%K -1.02%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 27.41%EV -7.05%E -2.07%K -2.94%G +0.000% | 7.3% | 2026-05-09 16:04 |
| SportsBet🎯 | 1.83I 54.64%NM 50.24%EV -8.16%E -4.46%K -9.83%G +0.000% | 4.20I 23.81%NM 21.89%EV -5.60%E -1.33%K -1.75%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 27.86%EV -9.79%E -2.97%K -4.25%G +0.000% | 8.8% | 2026-05-09 16:05 |
| betfred_uk🎯 | 1.83I 54.64%NM 50.11%EV -8.16%E -4.46%K -9.83%G +0.000% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 22.92%EV -10.10%E -2.52%K -3.37%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 26.97%EV -7.05%E -2.07%K -2.94%G +0.000% | 9.1% | 2026-05-09 16:14 |
| PlayUp🎯 | 1.83I 54.64%NM 49.49%EV -8.16%E -4.46%K -9.83%G +0.000% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 22.64%EV -10.10%E -2.52%K -3.37%G +0.000% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 27.87%EV -11.15%E -3.43%K -4.96%G +0.000% | 10.4% | 2026-05-09 16:19 |
| Neds🎯 | 1.83I 54.64%NM 48.70%EV -8.16%E -4.46%K -9.83%G +0.000% | 3.80I 26.32%NM 23.45%EV -14.59%E -3.84%K -5.21%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 27.85%EV -12.52%E -3.91%K -5.69%G +0.000% | 12.2% | 2026-05-09 16:24 |
| Ladbrokes (AU)🎯 | 1.83I 54.64%NM 48.70%EV -8.16%E -4.46%K -9.83%G +0.000% | 3.80I 26.32%NM 23.45%EV -14.59%E -3.84%K -5.21%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 27.85%EV -12.52%E -3.91%K -5.69%G +0.000% | 12.2% | 2026-05-09 16:24 |
| Coral🎯 | 1.83I 54.64%NM 48.70%EV -8.16%E -4.46%K -9.83%G +0.000% | 3.80I 26.32%NM 23.45%EV -14.59%E -3.84%K -5.21%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 27.85%EV -12.52%E -3.91%K -5.69%G +0.000% | 12.2% | 2026-05-09 16:24 |
| Ladbrokes (UK)🎯 | 1.83I 54.64%NM 48.70%EV -8.16%E -4.46%K -9.83%G +0.000% | 3.80I 26.32%NM 23.45%EV -14.59%E -3.84%K -5.21%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 27.85%EV -12.52%E -3.91%K -5.69%G +0.000% | 12.2% | 2026-05-09 16:24 |
| Marathon Bet🎯 | 1.82I 54.95%NM 51.26%EV -8.66%E -4.76%K -10.56%G +0.000% | 4.30I 23.26%NM 21.70%EV -3.36%E -0.780%K -1.02%G +0.000% | 3.45I 28.99%NM 27.04%EV -5.68%E -1.65%K -2.32%G +0.000% | 7.2% | 2026-05-09 16:24 |
| Winamax (DE)🎯 | 1.82I 54.95%NM 50.10%EV -8.66%E -4.76%K -10.56%G +0.000% | 3.95I 25.32%NM 23.08%EV -11.22%E -2.84%K -3.80%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 26.82%EV -7.05%E -2.07%K -2.94%G +0.000% | 9.7% | 2026-05-09 16:25 |
| Bovada🎯 | 1.81I 55.25%NM 50.99%EV -9.16%E -5.06%K -11.31%G +0.000% | 4.30I 23.26%NM 21.46%EV -3.36%E -0.780%K -1.02%G +0.000% | 3.35I 29.85%NM 27.55%EV -8.42%E -2.51%K -3.58%G +0.000% | 8.4% | 2026-05-09 16:24 |
| BetAnything🎯 | 1.81I 55.25%NM 50.99%EV -9.16%E -5.06%K -11.31%G +0.000% | 4.30I 23.26%NM 21.46%EV -3.36%E -0.780%K -1.02%G +0.000% | 3.35I 29.85%NM 27.55%EV -8.42%E -2.51%K -3.58%G +0.000% | 8.4% | 2026-05-09 16:25 |
| Tipico (DE)🎯 | 1.80I 55.56%NM 51.07%EV -9.66%E -5.37%K -12.08%G +0.000% | 4.20I 23.81%NM 21.89%EV -5.60%E -1.33%K -1.75%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 27.04%EV -7.05%E -2.07%K -2.94%G +0.000% | 8.8% | 2026-05-09 16:09 |
| Bet Victor🎯 | 1.80I 55.56%NM 50.80%EV -9.66%E -5.37%K -12.08%G +0.000% | 4.10I 24.39%NM 22.30%EV -7.85%E -1.91%K -2.53%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 26.90%EV -7.05%E -2.07%K -2.94%G +0.000% | 9.4% | 2026-05-09 16:24 |
| Paddy Power🎯 | 1.80I 55.56%NM 50.11%EV -9.66%E -5.37%K -12.08%G +0.000% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 22.55%EV -10.10%E -2.52%K -3.37%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 27.33%EV -9.79%E -2.97%K -4.25%G +0.000% | 10.9% | 2026-05-09 16:04 |
| BoyleSports🎯 | 1.80I 55.56%NM 49.90%EV -9.66%E -5.37%K -12.08%G +0.000% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 22.46%EV -10.10%E -2.52%K -3.37%G +0.000% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 27.64%EV -11.15%E -3.43%K -4.96%G +0.000% | 11.3% | 2026-05-09 16:25 |
| Betclic (FR)🎯 | 1.80I 55.56%NM 49.55%EV -9.66%E -5.37%K -12.08%G +0.000% | 3.85I 25.97%NM 23.17%EV -13.47%E -3.50%K -4.73%G +0.000% | 3.27I 30.58%NM 27.28%EV -10.61%E -3.24%K -4.67%G +0.000% | 12.1% | 2026-05-09 16:09 |
| Sky Bet🎯 | 1.80I 55.56%NM 49.41%EV -9.66%E -5.37%K -12.08%G +0.000% | 3.90I 25.64%NM 22.80%EV -12.35%E -3.17%K -4.26%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 27.79%EV -12.52%E -3.91%K -5.69%G +0.000% | 12.4% | 2026-05-09 16:04 |
| Winamax (FR)🎯 | 1.76I 56.82%NM 49.73%EV -11.67%E -6.63%K -15.36%G +0.000% | 3.75I 26.67%NM 23.34%EV -15.72%E -4.19%K -5.72%G +0.000% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 26.93%EV -11.15%E -3.43%K -4.96%G +0.000% | 14.3% | 2026-05-09 16:24 |
| Unibet (FR)🎯 | 1.74I 57.47%NM 49.89%EV -12.68%E -7.28%K -17.13%G +0.000% | 3.85I 25.97%NM 22.55%EV -13.47%E -3.50%K -4.73%G +0.000% | 3.15I 31.75%NM 27.56%EV -13.89%E -4.41%K -6.46%G +0.000% | 15.2% | 2026-05-09 16:24 |
| Betfair Sportsbook (UK)🎯 | 1.73I 57.80%NM 48.05%EV -13.18%E -7.62%K -18.05%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 23.09%EV -19.09%E -5.30%K -7.34%G +0.000% | 2.88I 34.72%NM 28.86%EV -21.27%E -7.38%K -11.31%G +0.000% | 20.3% | 2026-05-09 16:10 |
| NetBet (FR)🎯 | 1.72I 58.14%NM 50.47%EV -13.68%E -7.95%K -19.00%G +0.000% | 3.95I 25.32%NM 21.98%EV -11.22%E -2.84%K -3.80%G +0.000% | 3.15I 31.75%NM 27.56%EV -13.89%E -4.41%K -6.46%G +0.000% | 15.2% | 2026-05-09 16:24 |
Margin = Margin (Overround) · I = Implied Probability · NM = No-Margin Probability · EV = Expected Value · E = Edge · K = Kelly Criterion · G = Bankroll Growth
Updated is when each book last changed its price, so an older time means the odds simply haven't moved, not that the price is stale. Books not seen in the last ~15 minutes are normally dropped; only if a whole market's feed goes quiet are the latest recorded prices shown instead.
Exchanges (6)
| Bookmaker | Local | Visit | Draw | Margin ▲ | Updated |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Betfair Exchange (UK)◎ | 1.92I 52.08%NM 51.69% | 4.70I 21.28%NM 21.12% | 3.65I 27.40%NM 27.19% | 0.8% | 2026-05-09 16:25 |
| Betfair Exchange (AU)◎ | 1.92I 52.08%NM 51.69% | 4.70I 21.28%NM 21.12% | 3.65I 27.40%NM 27.19% | 0.8% | 2026-05-09 16:24 |
| Betfair Exchange (EU)◎ | 1.92I 52.08%NM 51.69% | 4.70I 21.28%NM 21.12% | 3.65I 27.40%NM 27.19% | 0.8% | 2026-05-09 16:25 |
| Matchbook◎ | 1.92I 52.08%NM 51.69% | 4.70I 21.28%NM 21.12% | 3.65I 27.40%NM 27.19% | 0.8% | 2026-05-09 16:24 |
| Smarkets◎ | 1.92I 52.08%NM 51.26% | 4.60I 21.74%NM 21.40% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 27.34% | 1.6% | 2026-05-09 16:25 |
| Kalshi◎ | 1.92I 52.08%NM 51.03% | 4.55I 21.98%NM 21.53% | 3.57I 28.01%NM 27.44% | 2.1% | 2026-05-09 16:04 |