L’École des cotesFrançais
Real Valladolid CF v Zaragoza
Cotes de clôture — probabilités calculées et espérance mathématique obtenues, selon le modèle sélectionné, à partir des derniers prix enregistrés avant le coup d’envoi. Le match ayant commencé, il ne s’agit pas de valeurs en direct. Évaluer la fiabilité des prévisions probabilistes de chaque modèle sur l’ensemble des matchs réglés →
Résultat du match
Real Valladolid CF (Local)
Prévision 50.19%1.99cote équitable
EV -1.13%
Avantage -0.575%
Kelly -1.17%
Croissance +0.000%
avec la cote maximale 1.97
Distribution des prévisions des opérateurs
47.11%50.17%50.18%51.26%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM
Distribution des cotes
1.721.861.851.9758.14%53.80%54.05%50.76%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM
Zaragoza (Visiteur)
Prévision 22.48%4.45cote équitable
EV -0.209%
Avantage -0.047%
Kelly -0.061%
Croissance +0.000%
avec la cote maximale 4.44
Distribution des prévisions des opérateurs
21.46%22.48%22.46%24.91%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM
Distribution des cotes
3.553.974.004.4428.17%25.21%25.00%22.52%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM
Match nul
Prévision 27.34%3.66cote équitable
EV -2.68%
Avantage -0.752%
Kelly -1.05%
Croissance +0.000%
avec la cote maximale 3.56
Distribution des prévisions des opérateurs
26.82%27.35%27.36%28.86%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM
Distribution des cotes
2.883.313.303.5634.72%30.21%30.30%28.09%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM
Cotes des opérateurs (53 opérateurs)
Nous ne sommes affiliés à aucun opérateur de paris et ne tirons aucun bénéfice des opérations réalisées auprès d’eux.
| Opérateur | Local ▼ | Visiteur | Match nul | Marge | Mise à jour |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Unibet (NL) | 1.97I 50.76%NM 47.47%EV -1.13%E -0.575%K -1.17%G +0.000% | 3.80I 26.32%NM 24.61%EV -14.59%E -3.84%K -5.21%G +0.000% | 3.35I 29.85%NM 27.92%EV -8.42%E -2.51%K -3.58%G +0.000% | 6.9% | 2026-05-09 15:39 |
| Unibet (SE) | 1.97I 50.76%NM 47.47%EV -1.13%E -0.575%K -1.17%G +0.000% | 3.80I 26.32%NM 24.61%EV -14.59%E -3.84%K -5.21%G +0.000% | 3.35I 29.85%NM 27.92%EV -8.42%E -2.51%K -3.58%G +0.000% | 6.9% | 2026-05-09 15:39 |
| Svenska Spel | 1.97I 50.76%NM 47.47%EV -1.13%E -0.575%K -1.17%G +0.000% | 3.80I 26.32%NM 24.61%EV -14.59%E -3.84%K -5.21%G +0.000% | 3.35I 29.85%NM 27.92%EV -8.42%E -2.51%K -3.58%G +0.000% | 6.9% | 2026-05-09 15:40 |
| ATG (SE) | 1.97I 50.76%NM 47.47%EV -1.13%E -0.575%K -1.17%G +0.000% | 3.80I 26.32%NM 24.61%EV -14.59%E -3.84%K -5.21%G +0.000% | 3.35I 29.85%NM 27.92%EV -8.42%E -2.51%K -3.58%G +0.000% | 6.9% | 2026-05-09 15:39 |
| Unibet | 1.97I 50.76%NM 47.47%EV -1.13%E -0.575%K -1.17%G +0.000% | 3.80I 26.32%NM 24.61%EV -14.59%E -3.84%K -5.21%G +0.000% | 3.35I 29.85%NM 27.92%EV -8.42%E -2.51%K -3.58%G +0.000% | 6.9% | 2026-05-09 15:40 |
| Grosvenor | 1.94I 51.55%NM 47.34%EV -2.64%E -1.36%K -2.81%G +0.000% | 3.70I 27.03%NM 24.82%EV -16.84%E -4.55%K -6.24%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 27.83%EV -9.79%E -2.97%K -4.25%G +0.000% | 8.9% | 2026-05-09 15:39 |
| Casumo | 1.94I 51.55%NM 47.34%EV -2.64%E -1.36%K -2.81%G +0.000% | 3.70I 27.03%NM 24.82%EV -16.84%E -4.55%K -6.24%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 27.83%EV -9.79%E -2.97%K -4.25%G +0.000% | 8.9% | 2026-05-09 15:39 |
| betPARX | 1.94I 51.55%NM 47.34%EV -2.64%E -1.36%K -2.81%G +0.000% | 3.70I 27.03%NM 24.82%EV -16.84%E -4.55%K -6.24%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 27.83%EV -9.79%E -2.97%K -4.25%G +0.000% | 8.9% | 2026-05-09 15:40 |
| TABtouch | 1.94I 51.55%NM 47.34%EV -2.64%E -1.36%K -2.81%G +0.000% | 3.70I 27.03%NM 24.82%EV -16.84%E -4.55%K -6.24%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 27.83%EV -9.79%E -2.97%K -4.25%G +0.000% | 8.9% | 2026-05-09 15:39 |
| LeoVegas (SE) | 1.93I 51.81%NM 47.27%EV -3.14%E -1.63%K -3.38%G +0.000% | 3.70I 27.03%NM 24.66%EV -16.84%E -4.55%K -6.24%G +0.000% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 28.07%EV -11.15%E -3.43%K -4.96%G +0.000% | 9.6% | 2026-05-09 15:40 |
| LeoVegas | 1.93I 51.81%NM 47.11%EV -3.14%E -1.63%K -3.38%G +0.000% | 3.65I 27.40%NM 24.91%EV -17.96%E -4.92%K -6.78%G +0.000% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 27.98%EV -11.15%E -3.43%K -4.96%G +0.000% | 10.0% | 2026-05-09 15:39 |
| Fanatics | 1.91I 52.36%NM 49.32%EV -4.14%E -2.17%K -4.55%G +0.000% | 4.10I 24.39%NM 22.98%EV -7.85%E -1.91%K -2.53%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 27.71%EV -7.05%E -2.07%K -2.94%G +0.000% | 6.2% | 2026-05-09 16:04 |
| LiveScore Bet | 1.91I 52.36%NM 47.17%EV -4.14%E -2.17%K -4.55%G +0.000% | 3.65I 27.40%NM 24.68%EV -17.96%E -4.92%K -6.78%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 28.15%EV -12.52%E -3.91%K -5.69%G +0.000% | 11.0% | 2026-05-09 15:40 |
| Virgin Bet | 1.91I 52.36%NM 47.17%EV -4.14%E -2.17%K -4.55%G +0.000% | 3.65I 27.40%NM 24.68%EV -17.96%E -4.92%K -6.78%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 28.15%EV -12.52%E -3.91%K -5.69%G +0.000% | 11.0% | 2026-05-09 15:39 |
| Coolbet | 1.90I 52.63%NM 50.12%EV -4.65%E -2.44%K -5.16%G +0.000% | 4.20I 23.81%NM 22.67%EV -5.60%E -1.33%K -1.75%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 27.21%EV -4.32%E -1.23%K -1.73%G +0.000% | 5.0% | 2026-05-09 16:14 |
| 1xBet | 1.90I 52.63%NM 50.09%EV -4.65%E -2.44%K -5.16%G +0.000% | 4.31I 23.20%NM 22.08%EV -3.13%E -0.726%K -0.946%G +0.000% | 3.42I 29.24%NM 27.83%EV -6.50%E -1.90%K -2.69%G +0.000% | 5.1% | 2026-05-09 16:24 |
| Pinnacle | 1.89I 52.91%NM 51.11%EV -5.15%E -2.72%K -5.78%G +0.000% | 4.44I 22.52%NM 21.76%EV -0.209%E -0.047%K -0.061%G +0.000% | 3.56I 28.09%NM 27.13%EV -2.68%E -0.752%K -1.05%G +0.000% | 3.5% | 2026-05-09 16:15 |
| Betr (AU) | 1.88I 53.19%NM 49.71%EV -5.65%E -3.00%K -6.42%G +0.000% | 4.10I 24.39%NM 22.80%EV -7.85%E -1.91%K -2.53%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 27.49%EV -7.05%E -2.07%K -2.94%G +0.000% | 7.0% | 2026-05-09 16:14 |
| DraftKings | 1.87I 53.48%NM 50.58%EV -6.15%E -3.29%K -7.07%G +0.000% | 4.30I 23.26%NM 22.00%EV -3.36%E -0.780%K -1.02%G +0.000% | 3.45I 28.99%NM 27.42%EV -5.68%E -1.65%K -2.32%G +0.000% | 5.7% | 2026-05-09 16:24 |
| theScore Bet | 1.87I 53.48%NM 49.76%EV -6.15%E -3.29%K -7.07%G +0.000% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 23.26%EV -10.10%E -2.52%K -3.37%G +0.000% | 3.45I 28.99%NM 26.97%EV -5.68%E -1.65%K -2.32%G +0.000% | 7.5% | 2026-05-09 16:10 |
| PointsBet (AU) | 1.87I 53.48%NM 49.57%EV -6.15%E -3.29%K -7.07%G +0.000% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 23.17%EV -10.10%E -2.52%K -3.37%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 27.26%EV -7.05%E -2.07%K -2.94%G +0.000% | 7.9% | 2026-05-09 16:14 |
| NordicBet | 1.85I 54.05%NM 50.05%EV -7.15%E -3.87%K -8.42%G +0.000% | 4.15I 24.10%NM 22.31%EV -6.73%E -1.62%K -2.14%G +0.000% | 3.35I 29.85%NM 27.64%EV -8.42%E -2.51%K -3.58%G +0.000% | 8.0% | 2026-05-09 16:24 |
| Betsson | 1.85I 54.05%NM 50.05%EV -7.15%E -3.87%K -8.42%G +0.000% | 4.15I 24.10%NM 22.31%EV -6.73%E -1.62%K -2.14%G +0.000% | 3.35I 29.85%NM 27.64%EV -8.42%E -2.51%K -3.58%G +0.000% | 8.0% | 2026-05-09 16:24 |
| Betway | 1.85I 54.05%NM 49.97%EV -7.15%E -3.87%K -8.42%G +0.000% | 4.20I 23.81%NM 22.01%EV -5.60%E -1.33%K -1.75%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 28.02%EV -9.79%E -2.97%K -4.25%G +0.000% | 8.2% | 2026-05-09 16:19 |
| BetMGM | 1.85I 54.05%NM 49.22%EV -7.15%E -3.87%K -8.42%G +0.000% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 22.76%EV -10.10%E -2.52%K -3.37%G +0.000% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 28.02%EV -11.15%E -3.43%K -4.96%G +0.000% | 9.8% | 2026-05-09 16:24 |
| Mr Green (SE) | 1.85I 54.05%NM 49.22%EV -7.15%E -3.87%K -8.42%G +0.000% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 22.76%EV -10.10%E -2.52%K -3.37%G +0.000% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 28.02%EV -11.15%E -3.43%K -4.96%G +0.000% | 9.8% | 2026-05-09 16:05 |
| Codere (IT) | 1.85I 54.05%NM 49.14%EV -7.15%E -3.87%K -8.42%G +0.000% | 3.90I 25.64%NM 23.31%EV -12.35%E -3.17%K -4.26%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 27.55%EV -9.79%E -2.97%K -4.25%G +0.000% | 10.0% | 2026-05-09 16:10 |
| William Hill | 1.85I 54.05%NM 49.00%EV -7.15%E -3.87%K -8.42%G +0.000% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 22.66%EV -10.10%E -2.52%K -3.37%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 28.33%EV -12.52%E -3.91%K -5.69%G +0.000% | 10.3% | 2026-05-09 16:04 |
| PMU (FR) | 1.85I 54.05%NM 47.43%EV -7.15%E -3.87%K -8.42%G +0.000% | 3.55I 28.17%NM 24.72%EV -20.21%E -5.69%K -7.93%G +0.000% | 3.15I 31.75%NM 27.85%EV -13.89%E -4.41%K -6.46%G +0.000% | 14.0% | 2026-05-09 15:40 |
| BetOnline.ag | 1.84I 54.35%NM 50.99%EV -7.66%E -4.16%K -9.11%G +0.000% | 4.30I 23.26%NM 21.82%EV -3.36%E -0.780%K -1.02%G +0.000% | 3.45I 28.99%NM 27.19%EV -5.68%E -1.65%K -2.32%G +0.000% | 6.6% | 2026-05-09 16:25 |
| LowVig.ag | 1.84I 54.35%NM 50.99%EV -7.66%E -4.16%K -9.11%G +0.000% | 4.30I 23.26%NM 21.82%EV -3.36%E -0.780%K -1.02%G +0.000% | 3.45I 28.99%NM 27.19%EV -5.68%E -1.65%K -2.32%G +0.000% | 6.6% | 2026-05-09 16:25 |
| FanDuel | 1.83I 54.64%NM 50.92%EV -8.16%E -4.46%K -9.83%G +0.000% | 4.30I 23.26%NM 21.67%EV -3.36%E -0.780%K -1.02%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 27.41%EV -7.05%E -2.07%K -2.94%G +0.000% | 7.3% | 2026-05-09 16:04 |
| SportsBet | 1.83I 54.64%NM 50.24%EV -8.16%E -4.46%K -9.83%G +0.000% | 4.20I 23.81%NM 21.89%EV -5.60%E -1.33%K -1.75%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 27.86%EV -9.79%E -2.97%K -4.25%G +0.000% | 8.8% | 2026-05-09 16:05 |
| betfred_uk | 1.83I 54.64%NM 50.11%EV -8.16%E -4.46%K -9.83%G +0.000% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 22.92%EV -10.10%E -2.52%K -3.37%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 26.97%EV -7.05%E -2.07%K -2.94%G +0.000% | 9.1% | 2026-05-09 16:14 |
| PlayUp | 1.83I 54.64%NM 49.49%EV -8.16%E -4.46%K -9.83%G +0.000% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 22.64%EV -10.10%E -2.52%K -3.37%G +0.000% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 27.87%EV -11.15%E -3.43%K -4.96%G +0.000% | 10.4% | 2026-05-09 16:19 |
| Neds | 1.83I 54.64%NM 48.70%EV -8.16%E -4.46%K -9.83%G +0.000% | 3.80I 26.32%NM 23.45%EV -14.59%E -3.84%K -5.21%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 27.85%EV -12.52%E -3.91%K -5.69%G +0.000% | 12.2% | 2026-05-09 16:24 |
| Ladbrokes (AU) | 1.83I 54.64%NM 48.70%EV -8.16%E -4.46%K -9.83%G +0.000% | 3.80I 26.32%NM 23.45%EV -14.59%E -3.84%K -5.21%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 27.85%EV -12.52%E -3.91%K -5.69%G +0.000% | 12.2% | 2026-05-09 16:24 |
| Coral | 1.83I 54.64%NM 48.70%EV -8.16%E -4.46%K -9.83%G +0.000% | 3.80I 26.32%NM 23.45%EV -14.59%E -3.84%K -5.21%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 27.85%EV -12.52%E -3.91%K -5.69%G +0.000% | 12.2% | 2026-05-09 16:24 |
| Ladbrokes (UK) | 1.83I 54.64%NM 48.70%EV -8.16%E -4.46%K -9.83%G +0.000% | 3.80I 26.32%NM 23.45%EV -14.59%E -3.84%K -5.21%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 27.85%EV -12.52%E -3.91%K -5.69%G +0.000% | 12.2% | 2026-05-09 16:24 |
| Marathon Bet | 1.82I 54.95%NM 51.26%EV -8.66%E -4.76%K -10.56%G +0.000% | 4.30I 23.26%NM 21.70%EV -3.36%E -0.780%K -1.02%G +0.000% | 3.45I 28.99%NM 27.04%EV -5.68%E -1.65%K -2.32%G +0.000% | 7.2% | 2026-05-09 16:24 |
| Winamax (DE) | 1.82I 54.95%NM 50.10%EV -8.66%E -4.76%K -10.56%G +0.000% | 3.95I 25.32%NM 23.08%EV -11.22%E -2.84%K -3.80%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 26.82%EV -7.05%E -2.07%K -2.94%G +0.000% | 9.7% | 2026-05-09 16:25 |
| Bovada | 1.81I 55.25%NM 50.99%EV -9.16%E -5.06%K -11.31%G +0.000% | 4.30I 23.26%NM 21.46%EV -3.36%E -0.780%K -1.02%G +0.000% | 3.35I 29.85%NM 27.55%EV -8.42%E -2.51%K -3.58%G +0.000% | 8.4% | 2026-05-09 16:24 |
| BetAnything | 1.81I 55.25%NM 50.99%EV -9.16%E -5.06%K -11.31%G +0.000% | 4.30I 23.26%NM 21.46%EV -3.36%E -0.780%K -1.02%G +0.000% | 3.35I 29.85%NM 27.55%EV -8.42%E -2.51%K -3.58%G +0.000% | 8.4% | 2026-05-09 16:25 |
| Tipico (DE) | 1.80I 55.56%NM 51.07%EV -9.66%E -5.37%K -12.08%G +0.000% | 4.20I 23.81%NM 21.89%EV -5.60%E -1.33%K -1.75%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 27.04%EV -7.05%E -2.07%K -2.94%G +0.000% | 8.8% | 2026-05-09 16:09 |
| Bet Victor | 1.80I 55.56%NM 50.80%EV -9.66%E -5.37%K -12.08%G +0.000% | 4.10I 24.39%NM 22.30%EV -7.85%E -1.91%K -2.53%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 26.90%EV -7.05%E -2.07%K -2.94%G +0.000% | 9.4% | 2026-05-09 16:24 |
| Paddy Power | 1.80I 55.56%NM 50.11%EV -9.66%E -5.37%K -12.08%G +0.000% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 22.55%EV -10.10%E -2.52%K -3.37%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 27.33%EV -9.79%E -2.97%K -4.25%G +0.000% | 10.9% | 2026-05-09 16:04 |
| BoyleSports | 1.80I 55.56%NM 49.90%EV -9.66%E -5.37%K -12.08%G +0.000% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 22.46%EV -10.10%E -2.52%K -3.37%G +0.000% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 27.64%EV -11.15%E -3.43%K -4.96%G +0.000% | 11.3% | 2026-05-09 16:25 |
| Betclic (FR) | 1.80I 55.56%NM 49.55%EV -9.66%E -5.37%K -12.08%G +0.000% | 3.85I 25.97%NM 23.17%EV -13.47%E -3.50%K -4.73%G +0.000% | 3.27I 30.58%NM 27.28%EV -10.61%E -3.24%K -4.67%G +0.000% | 12.1% | 2026-05-09 16:09 |
| Sky Bet | 1.80I 55.56%NM 49.41%EV -9.66%E -5.37%K -12.08%G +0.000% | 3.90I 25.64%NM 22.80%EV -12.35%E -3.17%K -4.26%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 27.79%EV -12.52%E -3.91%K -5.69%G +0.000% | 12.4% | 2026-05-09 16:04 |
| Winamax (FR) | 1.76I 56.82%NM 49.73%EV -11.67%E -6.63%K -15.36%G +0.000% | 3.75I 26.67%NM 23.34%EV -15.72%E -4.19%K -5.72%G +0.000% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 26.93%EV -11.15%E -3.43%K -4.96%G +0.000% | 14.3% | 2026-05-09 16:24 |
| Unibet (FR) | 1.74I 57.47%NM 49.89%EV -12.68%E -7.28%K -17.13%G +0.000% | 3.85I 25.97%NM 22.55%EV -13.47%E -3.50%K -4.73%G +0.000% | 3.15I 31.75%NM 27.56%EV -13.89%E -4.41%K -6.46%G +0.000% | 15.2% | 2026-05-09 16:24 |
| Betfair Sportsbook (UK) | 1.73I 57.80%NM 48.05%EV -13.18%E -7.62%K -18.05%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 23.09%EV -19.09%E -5.30%K -7.34%G +0.000% | 2.88I 34.72%NM 28.86%EV -21.27%E -7.38%K -11.31%G +0.000% | 20.3% | 2026-05-09 16:10 |
| NetBet (FR) | 1.72I 58.14%NM 50.47%EV -13.68%E -7.95%K -19.00%G +0.000% | 3.95I 25.32%NM 21.98%EV -11.22%E -2.84%K -3.80%G +0.000% | 3.15I 31.75%NM 27.56%EV -13.89%E -4.41%K -6.46%G +0.000% | 15.2% | 2026-05-09 16:24 |
Marge = Marge · I = Probabilité implicite · NM = Probabilité sans marge · EV = Espérance mathématique · E = Avantage · K = Critère de Kelly · G = Croissance du capital de jeu
Mise à jour indique le dernier changement de prix de chaque opérateur. Une heure ancienne signifie donc seulement que la cote n’a pas bougé, et non qu’elle est périmée. Les opérateurs absents du flux depuis environ 15 minutes sont normalement écartés ; les derniers prix enregistrés ne sont conservés que si le flux de tout le marché devient silencieux.
Plateformes d’échange (6)
| Opérateur | Local | Visiteur | Match nul | Marge ▲ | Mise à jour |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Betfair Exchange (UK) | 1.92I 52.08%NM 51.69% | 4.70I 21.28%NM 21.12% | 3.65I 27.40%NM 27.19% | 0.8% | 2026-05-09 16:25 |
| Betfair Exchange (AU) | 1.92I 52.08%NM 51.69% | 4.70I 21.28%NM 21.12% | 3.65I 27.40%NM 27.19% | 0.8% | 2026-05-09 16:24 |
| Betfair Exchange (EU) | 1.92I 52.08%NM 51.69% | 4.70I 21.28%NM 21.12% | 3.65I 27.40%NM 27.19% | 0.8% | 2026-05-09 16:25 |
| Matchbook | 1.92I 52.08%NM 51.69% | 4.70I 21.28%NM 21.12% | 3.65I 27.40%NM 27.19% | 0.8% | 2026-05-09 16:24 |
| Smarkets | 1.92I 52.08%NM 51.26% | 4.60I 21.74%NM 21.40% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 27.34% | 1.6% | 2026-05-09 16:25 |
| Kalshi | 1.92I 52.08%NM 51.03% | 4.55I 21.98%NM 21.53% | 3.57I 28.01%NM 27.44% | 2.1% | 2026-05-09 16:04 |