مدرسة الاحتمالات

Real Valladolid CF v Zaragoza

البداية: 2026-05-09 16:30 UTC

النتيجة النهائية: Real Valladolid CF 2–0 Zaragoza

أسعار الإغلاق — الاحتمالات والقيمة المتوقعة المحسوبة من آخر الأسعار المسجلة قبل البداية وفق النموذج المحدد. بدأت المباراة، لذا فهذه ليست أرقامًا مباشرة. قيّم موثوقية التنبؤات الاحتمالية لكل نموذج بمقارنتها بنتائج جميع المباريات المحسومة →

نتيجة المباراة

53 شركة مراهنات (18 في التحليل )

الاحتمال المقدّر لكل نتيجة وفق النموذج: IQM

Real Valladolid CF (المضيف)

التنبؤ 50.19%1.99السعر العادل
EV -1.13%
الأفضلية -0.575%
Kelly -1.17%
النمو +0.000%

بافتراض سعر أقصى قدره 1.97

توزيع تنبؤات شركات المراهنات
47.11%50.17%50.18%51.26%MINالمتوسطالوسيطMAX
توزيع الأسعار
1.721.861.851.9758.14%53.80%54.05%50.76%MINالمتوسطالوسيطMAX

Zaragoza (الضيف)

التنبؤ 22.48%4.45السعر العادل
EV -0.209%
الأفضلية -0.047%
Kelly -0.061%
النمو +0.000%

بافتراض سعر أقصى قدره 4.44

توزيع تنبؤات شركات المراهنات
21.46%22.48%22.46%24.91%MINالمتوسطالوسيطMAX
توزيع الأسعار
3.553.974.004.4428.17%25.21%25.00%22.52%MINالمتوسطالوسيطMAX

تعادل

التنبؤ 27.34%3.66السعر العادل
EV -2.68%
الأفضلية -0.752%
Kelly -1.05%
النمو +0.000%

بافتراض سعر أقصى قدره 3.56

توزيع تنبؤات شركات المراهنات
26.82%27.35%27.36%28.86%MINالمتوسطالوسيطMAX
توزيع الأسعار
2.883.313.303.5634.72%30.21%30.30%28.09%MINالمتوسطالوسيطMAX

أسعار شركات المراهنات (53 شركة مراهنات)

لسنا تابعين لأي شركة مراهنات، ولا نحقق أي عائد من الرهانات أو المعاملات التي تُجرى لديها.

شركة المراهناتالمضيف ▼الضيفتعادلالهامشآخر تحديث
Unibet (NL)1.97I 50.76%NM 47.47%EV -1.13%E -0.575%K -1.17%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 24.61%EV -14.59%E -3.84%K -5.21%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 27.92%EV -8.42%E -2.51%K -3.58%G +0.000%6.9%2026-05-09 15:39
Unibet (SE)1.97I 50.76%NM 47.47%EV -1.13%E -0.575%K -1.17%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 24.61%EV -14.59%E -3.84%K -5.21%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 27.92%EV -8.42%E -2.51%K -3.58%G +0.000%6.9%2026-05-09 15:39
Svenska Spel1.97I 50.76%NM 47.47%EV -1.13%E -0.575%K -1.17%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 24.61%EV -14.59%E -3.84%K -5.21%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 27.92%EV -8.42%E -2.51%K -3.58%G +0.000%6.9%2026-05-09 15:40
ATG (SE)1.97I 50.76%NM 47.47%EV -1.13%E -0.575%K -1.17%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 24.61%EV -14.59%E -3.84%K -5.21%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 27.92%EV -8.42%E -2.51%K -3.58%G +0.000%6.9%2026-05-09 15:39
Unibet1.97I 50.76%NM 47.47%EV -1.13%E -0.575%K -1.17%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 24.61%EV -14.59%E -3.84%K -5.21%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 27.92%EV -8.42%E -2.51%K -3.58%G +0.000%6.9%2026-05-09 15:40
Grosvenor1.94I 51.55%NM 47.34%EV -2.64%E -1.36%K -2.81%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 24.82%EV -16.84%E -4.55%K -6.24%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.83%EV -9.79%E -2.97%K -4.25%G +0.000%8.9%2026-05-09 15:39
Casumo1.94I 51.55%NM 47.34%EV -2.64%E -1.36%K -2.81%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 24.82%EV -16.84%E -4.55%K -6.24%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.83%EV -9.79%E -2.97%K -4.25%G +0.000%8.9%2026-05-09 15:39
betPARX1.94I 51.55%NM 47.34%EV -2.64%E -1.36%K -2.81%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 24.82%EV -16.84%E -4.55%K -6.24%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.83%EV -9.79%E -2.97%K -4.25%G +0.000%8.9%2026-05-09 15:40
TABtouch1.94I 51.55%NM 47.34%EV -2.64%E -1.36%K -2.81%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 24.82%EV -16.84%E -4.55%K -6.24%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.83%EV -9.79%E -2.97%K -4.25%G +0.000%8.9%2026-05-09 15:39
LeoVegas (SE)1.93I 51.81%NM 47.27%EV -3.14%E -1.63%K -3.38%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 24.66%EV -16.84%E -4.55%K -6.24%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 28.07%EV -11.15%E -3.43%K -4.96%G +0.000%9.6%2026-05-09 15:40
LeoVegas1.93I 51.81%NM 47.11%EV -3.14%E -1.63%K -3.38%G +0.000%3.65I 27.40%NM 24.91%EV -17.96%E -4.92%K -6.78%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 27.98%EV -11.15%E -3.43%K -4.96%G +0.000%10.0%2026-05-09 15:39
Fanatics1.91I 52.36%NM 49.32%EV -4.14%E -2.17%K -4.55%G +0.000%4.10I 24.39%NM 22.98%EV -7.85%E -1.91%K -2.53%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.71%EV -7.05%E -2.07%K -2.94%G +0.000%6.2%2026-05-09 16:04
LiveScore Bet1.91I 52.36%NM 47.17%EV -4.14%E -2.17%K -4.55%G +0.000%3.65I 27.40%NM 24.68%EV -17.96%E -4.92%K -6.78%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 28.15%EV -12.52%E -3.91%K -5.69%G +0.000%11.0%2026-05-09 15:40
Virgin Bet1.91I 52.36%NM 47.17%EV -4.14%E -2.17%K -4.55%G +0.000%3.65I 27.40%NM 24.68%EV -17.96%E -4.92%K -6.78%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 28.15%EV -12.52%E -3.91%K -5.69%G +0.000%11.0%2026-05-09 15:39
Coolbet1.90I 52.63%NM 50.12%EV -4.65%E -2.44%K -5.16%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 22.67%EV -5.60%E -1.33%K -1.75%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 27.21%EV -4.32%E -1.23%K -1.73%G +0.000%5.0%2026-05-09 16:14
1xBet1.90I 52.63%NM 50.09%EV -4.65%E -2.44%K -5.16%G +0.000%4.31I 23.20%NM 22.08%EV -3.13%E -0.726%K -0.946%G +0.000%3.42I 29.24%NM 27.83%EV -6.50%E -1.90%K -2.69%G +0.000%5.1%2026-05-09 16:24
Pinnacle1.89I 52.91%NM 51.11%EV -5.15%E -2.72%K -5.78%G +0.000%4.44I 22.52%NM 21.76%EV -0.209%E -0.047%K -0.061%G +0.000%3.56I 28.09%NM 27.13%EV -2.68%E -0.752%K -1.05%G +0.000%3.5%2026-05-09 16:15
Betr (AU)1.88I 53.19%NM 49.71%EV -5.65%E -3.00%K -6.42%G +0.000%4.10I 24.39%NM 22.80%EV -7.85%E -1.91%K -2.53%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.49%EV -7.05%E -2.07%K -2.94%G +0.000%7.0%2026-05-09 16:14
DraftKings1.87I 53.48%NM 50.58%EV -6.15%E -3.29%K -7.07%G +0.000%4.30I 23.26%NM 22.00%EV -3.36%E -0.780%K -1.02%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 27.42%EV -5.68%E -1.65%K -2.32%G +0.000%5.7%2026-05-09 16:24
theScore Bet1.87I 53.48%NM 49.76%EV -6.15%E -3.29%K -7.07%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.26%EV -10.10%E -2.52%K -3.37%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 26.97%EV -5.68%E -1.65%K -2.32%G +0.000%7.5%2026-05-09 16:10
PointsBet (AU)1.87I 53.48%NM 49.57%EV -6.15%E -3.29%K -7.07%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.17%EV -10.10%E -2.52%K -3.37%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.26%EV -7.05%E -2.07%K -2.94%G +0.000%7.9%2026-05-09 16:14
NordicBet1.85I 54.05%NM 50.05%EV -7.15%E -3.87%K -8.42%G +0.000%4.15I 24.10%NM 22.31%EV -6.73%E -1.62%K -2.14%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 27.64%EV -8.42%E -2.51%K -3.58%G +0.000%8.0%2026-05-09 16:24
Betsson1.85I 54.05%NM 50.05%EV -7.15%E -3.87%K -8.42%G +0.000%4.15I 24.10%NM 22.31%EV -6.73%E -1.62%K -2.14%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 27.64%EV -8.42%E -2.51%K -3.58%G +0.000%8.0%2026-05-09 16:24
Betway1.85I 54.05%NM 49.97%EV -7.15%E -3.87%K -8.42%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 22.01%EV -5.60%E -1.33%K -1.75%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 28.02%EV -9.79%E -2.97%K -4.25%G +0.000%8.2%2026-05-09 16:19
BetMGM1.85I 54.05%NM 49.22%EV -7.15%E -3.87%K -8.42%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 22.76%EV -10.10%E -2.52%K -3.37%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 28.02%EV -11.15%E -3.43%K -4.96%G +0.000%9.8%2026-05-09 16:24
Mr Green (SE)1.85I 54.05%NM 49.22%EV -7.15%E -3.87%K -8.42%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 22.76%EV -10.10%E -2.52%K -3.37%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 28.02%EV -11.15%E -3.43%K -4.96%G +0.000%9.8%2026-05-09 16:05
Codere (IT)1.85I 54.05%NM 49.14%EV -7.15%E -3.87%K -8.42%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 23.31%EV -12.35%E -3.17%K -4.26%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.55%EV -9.79%E -2.97%K -4.25%G +0.000%10.0%2026-05-09 16:10
William Hill1.85I 54.05%NM 49.00%EV -7.15%E -3.87%K -8.42%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 22.66%EV -10.10%E -2.52%K -3.37%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 28.33%EV -12.52%E -3.91%K -5.69%G +0.000%10.3%2026-05-09 16:04
PMU (FR)1.85I 54.05%NM 47.43%EV -7.15%E -3.87%K -8.42%G +0.000%3.55I 28.17%NM 24.72%EV -20.21%E -5.69%K -7.93%G +0.000%3.15I 31.75%NM 27.85%EV -13.89%E -4.41%K -6.46%G +0.000%14.0%2026-05-09 15:40
BetOnline.ag1.84I 54.35%NM 50.99%EV -7.66%E -4.16%K -9.11%G +0.000%4.30I 23.26%NM 21.82%EV -3.36%E -0.780%K -1.02%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 27.19%EV -5.68%E -1.65%K -2.32%G +0.000%6.6%2026-05-09 16:25
LowVig.ag1.84I 54.35%NM 50.99%EV -7.66%E -4.16%K -9.11%G +0.000%4.30I 23.26%NM 21.82%EV -3.36%E -0.780%K -1.02%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 27.19%EV -5.68%E -1.65%K -2.32%G +0.000%6.6%2026-05-09 16:25
FanDuel1.83I 54.64%NM 50.92%EV -8.16%E -4.46%K -9.83%G +0.000%4.30I 23.26%NM 21.67%EV -3.36%E -0.780%K -1.02%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.41%EV -7.05%E -2.07%K -2.94%G +0.000%7.3%2026-05-09 16:04
SportsBet1.83I 54.64%NM 50.24%EV -8.16%E -4.46%K -9.83%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 21.89%EV -5.60%E -1.33%K -1.75%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.86%EV -9.79%E -2.97%K -4.25%G +0.000%8.8%2026-05-09 16:05
betfred_uk1.83I 54.64%NM 50.11%EV -8.16%E -4.46%K -9.83%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 22.92%EV -10.10%E -2.52%K -3.37%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.97%EV -7.05%E -2.07%K -2.94%G +0.000%9.1%2026-05-09 16:14
PlayUp1.83I 54.64%NM 49.49%EV -8.16%E -4.46%K -9.83%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 22.64%EV -10.10%E -2.52%K -3.37%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 27.87%EV -11.15%E -3.43%K -4.96%G +0.000%10.4%2026-05-09 16:19
Neds1.83I 54.64%NM 48.70%EV -8.16%E -4.46%K -9.83%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 23.45%EV -14.59%E -3.84%K -5.21%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 27.85%EV -12.52%E -3.91%K -5.69%G +0.000%12.2%2026-05-09 16:24
Ladbrokes (AU)1.83I 54.64%NM 48.70%EV -8.16%E -4.46%K -9.83%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 23.45%EV -14.59%E -3.84%K -5.21%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 27.85%EV -12.52%E -3.91%K -5.69%G +0.000%12.2%2026-05-09 16:24
Coral1.83I 54.64%NM 48.70%EV -8.16%E -4.46%K -9.83%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 23.45%EV -14.59%E -3.84%K -5.21%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 27.85%EV -12.52%E -3.91%K -5.69%G +0.000%12.2%2026-05-09 16:24
Ladbrokes (UK)1.83I 54.64%NM 48.70%EV -8.16%E -4.46%K -9.83%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 23.45%EV -14.59%E -3.84%K -5.21%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 27.85%EV -12.52%E -3.91%K -5.69%G +0.000%12.2%2026-05-09 16:24
Marathon Bet1.82I 54.95%NM 51.26%EV -8.66%E -4.76%K -10.56%G +0.000%4.30I 23.26%NM 21.70%EV -3.36%E -0.780%K -1.02%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 27.04%EV -5.68%E -1.65%K -2.32%G +0.000%7.2%2026-05-09 16:24
Winamax (DE)1.82I 54.95%NM 50.10%EV -8.66%E -4.76%K -10.56%G +0.000%3.95I 25.32%NM 23.08%EV -11.22%E -2.84%K -3.80%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.82%EV -7.05%E -2.07%K -2.94%G +0.000%9.7%2026-05-09 16:25
Bovada1.81I 55.25%NM 50.99%EV -9.16%E -5.06%K -11.31%G +0.000%4.30I 23.26%NM 21.46%EV -3.36%E -0.780%K -1.02%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 27.55%EV -8.42%E -2.51%K -3.58%G +0.000%8.4%2026-05-09 16:24
BetAnything1.81I 55.25%NM 50.99%EV -9.16%E -5.06%K -11.31%G +0.000%4.30I 23.26%NM 21.46%EV -3.36%E -0.780%K -1.02%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 27.55%EV -8.42%E -2.51%K -3.58%G +0.000%8.4%2026-05-09 16:25
Tipico (DE)1.80I 55.56%NM 51.07%EV -9.66%E -5.37%K -12.08%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 21.89%EV -5.60%E -1.33%K -1.75%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.04%EV -7.05%E -2.07%K -2.94%G +0.000%8.8%2026-05-09 16:09
Bet Victor1.80I 55.56%NM 50.80%EV -9.66%E -5.37%K -12.08%G +0.000%4.10I 24.39%NM 22.30%EV -7.85%E -1.91%K -2.53%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.90%EV -7.05%E -2.07%K -2.94%G +0.000%9.4%2026-05-09 16:24
Paddy Power1.80I 55.56%NM 50.11%EV -9.66%E -5.37%K -12.08%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 22.55%EV -10.10%E -2.52%K -3.37%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.33%EV -9.79%E -2.97%K -4.25%G +0.000%10.9%2026-05-09 16:04
BoyleSports1.80I 55.56%NM 49.90%EV -9.66%E -5.37%K -12.08%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 22.46%EV -10.10%E -2.52%K -3.37%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 27.64%EV -11.15%E -3.43%K -4.96%G +0.000%11.3%2026-05-09 16:25
Betclic (FR)1.80I 55.56%NM 49.55%EV -9.66%E -5.37%K -12.08%G +0.000%3.85I 25.97%NM 23.17%EV -13.47%E -3.50%K -4.73%G +0.000%3.27I 30.58%NM 27.28%EV -10.61%E -3.24%K -4.67%G +0.000%12.1%2026-05-09 16:09
Sky Bet1.80I 55.56%NM 49.41%EV -9.66%E -5.37%K -12.08%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 22.80%EV -12.35%E -3.17%K -4.26%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 27.79%EV -12.52%E -3.91%K -5.69%G +0.000%12.4%2026-05-09 16:04
Winamax (FR)1.76I 56.82%NM 49.73%EV -11.67%E -6.63%K -15.36%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 23.34%EV -15.72%E -4.19%K -5.72%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 26.93%EV -11.15%E -3.43%K -4.96%G +0.000%14.3%2026-05-09 16:24
Unibet (FR)1.74I 57.47%NM 49.89%EV -12.68%E -7.28%K -17.13%G +0.000%3.85I 25.97%NM 22.55%EV -13.47%E -3.50%K -4.73%G +0.000%3.15I 31.75%NM 27.56%EV -13.89%E -4.41%K -6.46%G +0.000%15.2%2026-05-09 16:24
Betfair Sportsbook (UK)1.73I 57.80%NM 48.05%EV -13.18%E -7.62%K -18.05%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 23.09%EV -19.09%E -5.30%K -7.34%G +0.000%2.88I 34.72%NM 28.86%EV -21.27%E -7.38%K -11.31%G +0.000%20.3%2026-05-09 16:10
NetBet (FR)1.72I 58.14%NM 50.47%EV -13.68%E -7.95%K -19.00%G +0.000%3.95I 25.32%NM 21.98%EV -11.22%E -2.84%K -3.80%G +0.000%3.15I 31.75%NM 27.56%EV -13.89%E -4.41%K -6.46%G +0.000%15.2%2026-05-09 16:24
الهامش = الهامش · I = الاحتمال الضمني · NM = الاحتمال بلا هامش · EV = القيمة المتوقعة · E = الأفضلية · K = معيار Kelly · G = نمو رأس مال المراهنات

آخر تحديث هو وقت آخر تغيير أجرته كل شركة على سعرها؛ فالوقت الأقدم يعني أن السعر لم يتحرك فحسب، لا أنه متقادم. تُستبعد عادة الشركات التي لم تصل عنها بيانات خلال نحو 15 دقيقة؛ ولا تُعرض آخر الأسعار المسجلة بدلًا من ذلك إلا إذا انقطع تدفق بيانات السوق كله.

بورصات المراهنات (6)

شركة المراهناتالمضيفالضيفتعادلالهامش ▲آخر تحديث
Betfair Exchange (UK)1.92I 52.08%NM 51.69%4.70I 21.28%NM 21.12%3.65I 27.40%NM 27.19%0.8%2026-05-09 16:25
Betfair Exchange (AU)1.92I 52.08%NM 51.69%4.70I 21.28%NM 21.12%3.65I 27.40%NM 27.19%0.8%2026-05-09 16:24
Betfair Exchange (EU)1.92I 52.08%NM 51.69%4.70I 21.28%NM 21.12%3.65I 27.40%NM 27.19%0.8%2026-05-09 16:25
Matchbook1.92I 52.08%NM 51.69%4.70I 21.28%NM 21.12%3.65I 27.40%NM 27.19%0.8%2026-05-09 16:24
Smarkets1.92I 52.08%NM 51.26%4.60I 21.74%NM 21.40%3.60I 27.78%NM 27.34%1.6%2026-05-09 16:25
Kalshi1.92I 52.08%NM 51.03%4.55I 21.98%NM 21.53%3.57I 28.01%NM 27.44%2.1%2026-05-09 16:04