A Escola das Odds

Real Valladolid CF v Zaragoza

Início: 2026-05-09 16:30 UTC

Final: Real Valladolid CF 2–0 Zaragoza

Odds de fecho — as probabilidades calculadas e o valor esperado com base nas últimas cotações registadas antes do início, segundo o modelo selecionado. O jogo já começou, pelo que estes valores não são atuais. Avaliar a fiabilidade das previsões probabilísticas de cada modelo face aos resultados de todos os jogos concluídos →

Frente a frente

53 casas de apostas (18 na análise )

Probabilidade estimada de cada resultado, segundo o modelo: IQM

Real Valladolid CF (Local)

Previsão 50.19%1.99odd justa
EV -1.13%
Vantagem -0.575%
Kelly -1.17%
Crescimento +0.000%

pressupondo odds máximas de 1.97

Distribuição das previsões das casas de apostas
47.11%50.17%50.18%51.26%MINMÉDIAMEDIANAMAX
Distribuição das odds
1.721.861.851.9758.14%53.80%54.05%50.76%MINMÉDIAMEDIANAMAX

Zaragoza (Visitante)

Previsão 22.48%4.45odd justa
EV -0.209%
Vantagem -0.047%
Kelly -0.061%
Crescimento +0.000%

pressupondo odds máximas de 4.44

Distribuição das previsões das casas de apostas
21.46%22.48%22.46%24.91%MINMÉDIAMEDIANAMAX
Distribuição das odds
3.553.974.004.4428.17%25.21%25.00%22.52%MINMÉDIAMEDIANAMAX

Empate

Previsão 27.34%3.66odd justa
EV -2.68%
Vantagem -0.752%
Kelly -1.05%
Crescimento +0.000%

pressupondo odds máximas de 3.56

Distribuição das previsões das casas de apostas
26.82%27.35%27.36%28.86%MINMÉDIAMEDIANAMAX
Distribuição das odds
2.883.313.303.5634.72%30.21%30.30%28.09%MINMÉDIAMEDIANAMAX

Odds das casas de apostas (53 casas de apostas)

Não temos qualquer vínculo com casas de apostas e não recebemos nada pelas ações realizadas junto delas.

Casa de apostasLocal ▼VisitanteEmpateMargemAtualização
Unibet (NL)1.97I 50.76%NM 47.47%EV -1.13%E -0.575%K -1.17%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 24.61%EV -14.59%E -3.84%K -5.21%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 27.92%EV -8.42%E -2.51%K -3.58%G +0.000%6.9%2026-05-09 15:39
Unibet (SE)1.97I 50.76%NM 47.47%EV -1.13%E -0.575%K -1.17%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 24.61%EV -14.59%E -3.84%K -5.21%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 27.92%EV -8.42%E -2.51%K -3.58%G +0.000%6.9%2026-05-09 15:39
Svenska Spel1.97I 50.76%NM 47.47%EV -1.13%E -0.575%K -1.17%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 24.61%EV -14.59%E -3.84%K -5.21%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 27.92%EV -8.42%E -2.51%K -3.58%G +0.000%6.9%2026-05-09 15:40
ATG (SE)1.97I 50.76%NM 47.47%EV -1.13%E -0.575%K -1.17%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 24.61%EV -14.59%E -3.84%K -5.21%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 27.92%EV -8.42%E -2.51%K -3.58%G +0.000%6.9%2026-05-09 15:39
Unibet1.97I 50.76%NM 47.47%EV -1.13%E -0.575%K -1.17%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 24.61%EV -14.59%E -3.84%K -5.21%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 27.92%EV -8.42%E -2.51%K -3.58%G +0.000%6.9%2026-05-09 15:40
Grosvenor1.94I 51.55%NM 47.34%EV -2.64%E -1.36%K -2.81%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 24.82%EV -16.84%E -4.55%K -6.24%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.83%EV -9.79%E -2.97%K -4.25%G +0.000%8.9%2026-05-09 15:39
Casumo1.94I 51.55%NM 47.34%EV -2.64%E -1.36%K -2.81%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 24.82%EV -16.84%E -4.55%K -6.24%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.83%EV -9.79%E -2.97%K -4.25%G +0.000%8.9%2026-05-09 15:39
betPARX1.94I 51.55%NM 47.34%EV -2.64%E -1.36%K -2.81%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 24.82%EV -16.84%E -4.55%K -6.24%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.83%EV -9.79%E -2.97%K -4.25%G +0.000%8.9%2026-05-09 15:40
TABtouch1.94I 51.55%NM 47.34%EV -2.64%E -1.36%K -2.81%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 24.82%EV -16.84%E -4.55%K -6.24%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.83%EV -9.79%E -2.97%K -4.25%G +0.000%8.9%2026-05-09 15:39
LeoVegas (SE)1.93I 51.81%NM 47.27%EV -3.14%E -1.63%K -3.38%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 24.66%EV -16.84%E -4.55%K -6.24%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 28.07%EV -11.15%E -3.43%K -4.96%G +0.000%9.6%2026-05-09 15:40
LeoVegas1.93I 51.81%NM 47.11%EV -3.14%E -1.63%K -3.38%G +0.000%3.65I 27.40%NM 24.91%EV -17.96%E -4.92%K -6.78%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 27.98%EV -11.15%E -3.43%K -4.96%G +0.000%10.0%2026-05-09 15:39
Fanatics1.91I 52.36%NM 49.32%EV -4.14%E -2.17%K -4.55%G +0.000%4.10I 24.39%NM 22.98%EV -7.85%E -1.91%K -2.53%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.71%EV -7.05%E -2.07%K -2.94%G +0.000%6.2%2026-05-09 16:04
LiveScore Bet1.91I 52.36%NM 47.17%EV -4.14%E -2.17%K -4.55%G +0.000%3.65I 27.40%NM 24.68%EV -17.96%E -4.92%K -6.78%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 28.15%EV -12.52%E -3.91%K -5.69%G +0.000%11.0%2026-05-09 15:40
Virgin Bet1.91I 52.36%NM 47.17%EV -4.14%E -2.17%K -4.55%G +0.000%3.65I 27.40%NM 24.68%EV -17.96%E -4.92%K -6.78%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 28.15%EV -12.52%E -3.91%K -5.69%G +0.000%11.0%2026-05-09 15:39
Coolbet1.90I 52.63%NM 50.12%EV -4.65%E -2.44%K -5.16%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 22.67%EV -5.60%E -1.33%K -1.75%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 27.21%EV -4.32%E -1.23%K -1.73%G +0.000%5.0%2026-05-09 16:14
1xBet1.90I 52.63%NM 50.09%EV -4.65%E -2.44%K -5.16%G +0.000%4.31I 23.20%NM 22.08%EV -3.13%E -0.726%K -0.946%G +0.000%3.42I 29.24%NM 27.83%EV -6.50%E -1.90%K -2.69%G +0.000%5.1%2026-05-09 16:24
Pinnacle1.89I 52.91%NM 51.11%EV -5.15%E -2.72%K -5.78%G +0.000%4.44I 22.52%NM 21.76%EV -0.209%E -0.047%K -0.061%G +0.000%3.56I 28.09%NM 27.13%EV -2.68%E -0.752%K -1.05%G +0.000%3.5%2026-05-09 16:15
Betr (AU)1.88I 53.19%NM 49.71%EV -5.65%E -3.00%K -6.42%G +0.000%4.10I 24.39%NM 22.80%EV -7.85%E -1.91%K -2.53%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.49%EV -7.05%E -2.07%K -2.94%G +0.000%7.0%2026-05-09 16:14
DraftKings1.87I 53.48%NM 50.58%EV -6.15%E -3.29%K -7.07%G +0.000%4.30I 23.26%NM 22.00%EV -3.36%E -0.780%K -1.02%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 27.42%EV -5.68%E -1.65%K -2.32%G +0.000%5.7%2026-05-09 16:24
theScore Bet1.87I 53.48%NM 49.76%EV -6.15%E -3.29%K -7.07%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.26%EV -10.10%E -2.52%K -3.37%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 26.97%EV -5.68%E -1.65%K -2.32%G +0.000%7.5%2026-05-09 16:10
PointsBet (AU)1.87I 53.48%NM 49.57%EV -6.15%E -3.29%K -7.07%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.17%EV -10.10%E -2.52%K -3.37%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.26%EV -7.05%E -2.07%K -2.94%G +0.000%7.9%2026-05-09 16:14
NordicBet1.85I 54.05%NM 50.05%EV -7.15%E -3.87%K -8.42%G +0.000%4.15I 24.10%NM 22.31%EV -6.73%E -1.62%K -2.14%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 27.64%EV -8.42%E -2.51%K -3.58%G +0.000%8.0%2026-05-09 16:24
Betsson1.85I 54.05%NM 50.05%EV -7.15%E -3.87%K -8.42%G +0.000%4.15I 24.10%NM 22.31%EV -6.73%E -1.62%K -2.14%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 27.64%EV -8.42%E -2.51%K -3.58%G +0.000%8.0%2026-05-09 16:24
Betway1.85I 54.05%NM 49.97%EV -7.15%E -3.87%K -8.42%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 22.01%EV -5.60%E -1.33%K -1.75%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 28.02%EV -9.79%E -2.97%K -4.25%G +0.000%8.2%2026-05-09 16:19
BetMGM1.85I 54.05%NM 49.22%EV -7.15%E -3.87%K -8.42%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 22.76%EV -10.10%E -2.52%K -3.37%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 28.02%EV -11.15%E -3.43%K -4.96%G +0.000%9.8%2026-05-09 16:24
Mr Green (SE)1.85I 54.05%NM 49.22%EV -7.15%E -3.87%K -8.42%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 22.76%EV -10.10%E -2.52%K -3.37%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 28.02%EV -11.15%E -3.43%K -4.96%G +0.000%9.8%2026-05-09 16:05
Codere (IT)1.85I 54.05%NM 49.14%EV -7.15%E -3.87%K -8.42%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 23.31%EV -12.35%E -3.17%K -4.26%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.55%EV -9.79%E -2.97%K -4.25%G +0.000%10.0%2026-05-09 16:10
William Hill1.85I 54.05%NM 49.00%EV -7.15%E -3.87%K -8.42%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 22.66%EV -10.10%E -2.52%K -3.37%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 28.33%EV -12.52%E -3.91%K -5.69%G +0.000%10.3%2026-05-09 16:04
PMU (FR)1.85I 54.05%NM 47.43%EV -7.15%E -3.87%K -8.42%G +0.000%3.55I 28.17%NM 24.72%EV -20.21%E -5.69%K -7.93%G +0.000%3.15I 31.75%NM 27.85%EV -13.89%E -4.41%K -6.46%G +0.000%14.0%2026-05-09 15:40
BetOnline.ag1.84I 54.35%NM 50.99%EV -7.66%E -4.16%K -9.11%G +0.000%4.30I 23.26%NM 21.82%EV -3.36%E -0.780%K -1.02%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 27.19%EV -5.68%E -1.65%K -2.32%G +0.000%6.6%2026-05-09 16:25
LowVig.ag1.84I 54.35%NM 50.99%EV -7.66%E -4.16%K -9.11%G +0.000%4.30I 23.26%NM 21.82%EV -3.36%E -0.780%K -1.02%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 27.19%EV -5.68%E -1.65%K -2.32%G +0.000%6.6%2026-05-09 16:25
FanDuel1.83I 54.64%NM 50.92%EV -8.16%E -4.46%K -9.83%G +0.000%4.30I 23.26%NM 21.67%EV -3.36%E -0.780%K -1.02%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.41%EV -7.05%E -2.07%K -2.94%G +0.000%7.3%2026-05-09 16:04
SportsBet1.83I 54.64%NM 50.24%EV -8.16%E -4.46%K -9.83%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 21.89%EV -5.60%E -1.33%K -1.75%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.86%EV -9.79%E -2.97%K -4.25%G +0.000%8.8%2026-05-09 16:05
betfred_uk1.83I 54.64%NM 50.11%EV -8.16%E -4.46%K -9.83%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 22.92%EV -10.10%E -2.52%K -3.37%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.97%EV -7.05%E -2.07%K -2.94%G +0.000%9.1%2026-05-09 16:14
PlayUp1.83I 54.64%NM 49.49%EV -8.16%E -4.46%K -9.83%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 22.64%EV -10.10%E -2.52%K -3.37%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 27.87%EV -11.15%E -3.43%K -4.96%G +0.000%10.4%2026-05-09 16:19
Neds1.83I 54.64%NM 48.70%EV -8.16%E -4.46%K -9.83%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 23.45%EV -14.59%E -3.84%K -5.21%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 27.85%EV -12.52%E -3.91%K -5.69%G +0.000%12.2%2026-05-09 16:24
Ladbrokes (AU)1.83I 54.64%NM 48.70%EV -8.16%E -4.46%K -9.83%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 23.45%EV -14.59%E -3.84%K -5.21%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 27.85%EV -12.52%E -3.91%K -5.69%G +0.000%12.2%2026-05-09 16:24
Coral1.83I 54.64%NM 48.70%EV -8.16%E -4.46%K -9.83%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 23.45%EV -14.59%E -3.84%K -5.21%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 27.85%EV -12.52%E -3.91%K -5.69%G +0.000%12.2%2026-05-09 16:24
Ladbrokes (UK)1.83I 54.64%NM 48.70%EV -8.16%E -4.46%K -9.83%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 23.45%EV -14.59%E -3.84%K -5.21%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 27.85%EV -12.52%E -3.91%K -5.69%G +0.000%12.2%2026-05-09 16:24
Marathon Bet1.82I 54.95%NM 51.26%EV -8.66%E -4.76%K -10.56%G +0.000%4.30I 23.26%NM 21.70%EV -3.36%E -0.780%K -1.02%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 27.04%EV -5.68%E -1.65%K -2.32%G +0.000%7.2%2026-05-09 16:24
Winamax (DE)1.82I 54.95%NM 50.10%EV -8.66%E -4.76%K -10.56%G +0.000%3.95I 25.32%NM 23.08%EV -11.22%E -2.84%K -3.80%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.82%EV -7.05%E -2.07%K -2.94%G +0.000%9.7%2026-05-09 16:25
Bovada1.81I 55.25%NM 50.99%EV -9.16%E -5.06%K -11.31%G +0.000%4.30I 23.26%NM 21.46%EV -3.36%E -0.780%K -1.02%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 27.55%EV -8.42%E -2.51%K -3.58%G +0.000%8.4%2026-05-09 16:24
BetAnything1.81I 55.25%NM 50.99%EV -9.16%E -5.06%K -11.31%G +0.000%4.30I 23.26%NM 21.46%EV -3.36%E -0.780%K -1.02%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 27.55%EV -8.42%E -2.51%K -3.58%G +0.000%8.4%2026-05-09 16:25
Tipico (DE)1.80I 55.56%NM 51.07%EV -9.66%E -5.37%K -12.08%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 21.89%EV -5.60%E -1.33%K -1.75%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.04%EV -7.05%E -2.07%K -2.94%G +0.000%8.8%2026-05-09 16:09
Bet Victor1.80I 55.56%NM 50.80%EV -9.66%E -5.37%K -12.08%G +0.000%4.10I 24.39%NM 22.30%EV -7.85%E -1.91%K -2.53%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.90%EV -7.05%E -2.07%K -2.94%G +0.000%9.4%2026-05-09 16:24
Paddy Power1.80I 55.56%NM 50.11%EV -9.66%E -5.37%K -12.08%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 22.55%EV -10.10%E -2.52%K -3.37%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.33%EV -9.79%E -2.97%K -4.25%G +0.000%10.9%2026-05-09 16:04
BoyleSports1.80I 55.56%NM 49.90%EV -9.66%E -5.37%K -12.08%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 22.46%EV -10.10%E -2.52%K -3.37%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 27.64%EV -11.15%E -3.43%K -4.96%G +0.000%11.3%2026-05-09 16:25
Betclic (FR)1.80I 55.56%NM 49.55%EV -9.66%E -5.37%K -12.08%G +0.000%3.85I 25.97%NM 23.17%EV -13.47%E -3.50%K -4.73%G +0.000%3.27I 30.58%NM 27.28%EV -10.61%E -3.24%K -4.67%G +0.000%12.1%2026-05-09 16:09
Sky Bet1.80I 55.56%NM 49.41%EV -9.66%E -5.37%K -12.08%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 22.80%EV -12.35%E -3.17%K -4.26%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 27.79%EV -12.52%E -3.91%K -5.69%G +0.000%12.4%2026-05-09 16:04
Winamax (FR)1.76I 56.82%NM 49.73%EV -11.67%E -6.63%K -15.36%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 23.34%EV -15.72%E -4.19%K -5.72%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 26.93%EV -11.15%E -3.43%K -4.96%G +0.000%14.3%2026-05-09 16:24
Unibet (FR)1.74I 57.47%NM 49.89%EV -12.68%E -7.28%K -17.13%G +0.000%3.85I 25.97%NM 22.55%EV -13.47%E -3.50%K -4.73%G +0.000%3.15I 31.75%NM 27.56%EV -13.89%E -4.41%K -6.46%G +0.000%15.2%2026-05-09 16:24
Betfair Sportsbook (UK)1.73I 57.80%NM 48.05%EV -13.18%E -7.62%K -18.05%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 23.09%EV -19.09%E -5.30%K -7.34%G +0.000%2.88I 34.72%NM 28.86%EV -21.27%E -7.38%K -11.31%G +0.000%20.3%2026-05-09 16:10
NetBet (FR)1.72I 58.14%NM 50.47%EV -13.68%E -7.95%K -19.00%G +0.000%3.95I 25.32%NM 21.98%EV -11.22%E -2.84%K -3.80%G +0.000%3.15I 31.75%NM 27.56%EV -13.89%E -4.41%K -6.46%G +0.000%15.2%2026-05-09 16:24
Margem = Margem · I = Probabilidade implícita · NM = Probabilidade sem margem · EV = Valor esperado · E = Vantagem · K = Critério de Kelly · G = Crescimento do capital de apostas

Atualização indica quando cada casa alterou a cotação pela última vez; uma hora mais antiga significa apenas que as odds não mudaram, não que estejam desatualizadas. As casas sem dados nos últimos ~15 minutos são normalmente excluídas; apenas quando a fonte de todo um mercado fica sem atualizações se mostram as últimas cotações registadas.

Bolsas de apostas (6)

Casa de apostasLocalVisitanteEmpateMargem ▲Atualização
Betfair Exchange (UK)1.92I 52.08%NM 51.69%4.70I 21.28%NM 21.12%3.65I 27.40%NM 27.19%0.8%2026-05-09 16:25
Betfair Exchange (AU)1.92I 52.08%NM 51.69%4.70I 21.28%NM 21.12%3.65I 27.40%NM 27.19%0.8%2026-05-09 16:24
Betfair Exchange (EU)1.92I 52.08%NM 51.69%4.70I 21.28%NM 21.12%3.65I 27.40%NM 27.19%0.8%2026-05-09 16:25
Matchbook1.92I 52.08%NM 51.69%4.70I 21.28%NM 21.12%3.65I 27.40%NM 27.19%0.8%2026-05-09 16:24
Smarkets1.92I 52.08%NM 51.26%4.60I 21.74%NM 21.40%3.60I 27.78%NM 27.34%1.6%2026-05-09 16:25
Kalshi1.92I 52.08%NM 51.03%4.55I 21.98%NM 21.53%3.57I 28.01%NM 27.44%2.1%2026-05-09 16:04