The School of Odds
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Real Valladolid CF v Real Sociedad B

Kickoff: 2026-04-25 14:15 UTC

Closing line — the calculated probabilities and expected value from the last prices recorded before kickoff, under your selected model. The game has started, so these are not live figures. Assess the reliability of each model's probability predictions against all settled-game outcomes →

Head to Head

52 sportsbooks (18 in analysis )

Estimated chance of each outcome, according to the model: Interquartile mean (Vetted List)

Real Valladolid CF (Local)

Prediction 60.05%1.67fair odd
EV -3.92%
Edge -2.45%
Kelly -6.54%
Growth +0.000%

assuming max odds 1.60

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
57.99%60.07%60.13%61.45%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
1.441.531.531.6069.44%65.47%65.36%62.50%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

Real Sociedad B (Visit)

Prediction 16.75%5.97fair odd
EV -0.190%
Edge -0.032%
Kelly -0.038%
Growth +0.000%

assuming max odds 5.96

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
15.83%16.71%16.78%18.02%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
4.805.425.505.9620.83%18.46%18.18%16.78%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

Draw

Prediction 23.20%4.31fair odd
EV +0.242%
Edge +0.056%
Kelly +0.073%
Growth +0.000%

assuming max odds 4.32

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
22.19%23.23%23.08%25.31%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
3.303.913.904.3230.30%25.56%25.64%23.15%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

At the last prices before kickoff, Interquartile mean (Vetted List) estimated these probabilities for Head to Head: Real Valladolid CF (Local): 60.05%; Real Sociedad B (Visit): 16.75%; Draw: 23.20%. For Draw, that estimate was equivalent to fair decimal odds of 4.31. 1 bookmaker offered closing odds above that level; the best were 4.32, corresponding to a positive expected value of +0.242%.

Sportsbook Odds (52 sportsbooks)

We're not affiliated with any bookmaker, we earn nothing from any action done with them.

BookmakerLocalVisitDraw ▼MarginUpdated
1xBet🎯1.56I 64.10%NM 61.45%EV -6.32%E -4.05%K -11.29%G +0.000%5.86I 17.06%NM 16.36%EV -1.87%E -0.318%K -0.384%G +0.000%4.32I 23.15%NM 22.19%EV +0.242%E +0.056%K +0.073%G +0.000%4.3%2026-04-23 22:39
Marathon Bet🎯1.52I 65.79%NM 61.40%EV -8.72%E -5.74%K -16.78%G +0.000%5.70I 17.54%NM 16.37%EV -4.54%E -0.797%K -0.967%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 22.22%EV -2.54%E -0.605%K -0.795%G +0.000%7.1%2026-04-23 22:34
Pinnacle🎯1.55I 64.52%NM 61.11%EV -6.92%E -4.47%K -12.59%G +0.000%5.96I 16.78%NM 15.89%EV -0.190%E -0.032%K -0.038%G +0.000%4.12I 24.27%NM 22.99%EV -4.40%E -1.07%K -1.41%G +0.000%5.6%2026-04-23 22:45
Fanatics🎯1.56I 64.10%NM 60.54%EV -6.32%E -4.05%K -11.29%G +0.000%5.75I 17.39%NM 16.42%EV -3.71%E -0.645%K -0.780%G +0.000%4.10I 24.39%NM 23.03%EV -4.86%E -1.19%K -1.57%G +0.000%5.9%2026-04-23 09:39
DraftKings🎯1.56I 64.10%NM 60.09%EV -6.32%E -4.05%K -11.29%G +0.000%5.50I 18.18%NM 17.04%EV -7.89%E -1.44%K -1.75%G +0.000%4.10I 24.39%NM 22.86%EV -4.86%E -1.19%K -1.57%G +0.000%6.7%2026-04-23 11:00
Betsson🎯1.55I 64.52%NM 60.08%EV -6.92%E -4.47%K -12.59%G +0.000%5.50I 18.18%NM 16.93%EV -7.89%E -1.44%K -1.75%G +0.000%4.05I 24.69%NM 22.99%EV -6.02%E -1.49%K -1.97%G +0.000%7.4%2026-04-23 21:19
NordicBet🎯1.55I 64.52%NM 60.08%EV -6.92%E -4.47%K -12.59%G +0.000%5.50I 18.18%NM 16.93%EV -7.89%E -1.44%K -1.75%G +0.000%4.05I 24.69%NM 22.99%EV -6.02%E -1.49%K -1.97%G +0.000%7.4%2026-04-23 21:19
Coolbet🎯1.60I 62.50%NM 59.59%EV -3.92%E -2.45%K -6.54%G +0.000%5.75I 17.39%NM 16.58%EV -3.71%E -0.645%K -0.780%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.83%EV -7.18%E -1.80%K -2.39%G +0.000%4.9%2026-04-23 20:59
Svenska Spel🎯1.57I 63.69%NM 59.78%EV -5.72%E -3.64%K -10.04%G +0.000%5.60I 17.86%NM 16.76%EV -6.22%E -1.11%K -1.35%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.46%EV -7.18%E -1.80%K -2.39%G +0.000%6.6%2026-04-23 22:29
ATG (SE)🎯1.57I 63.69%NM 59.78%EV -5.72%E -3.64%K -10.04%G +0.000%5.60I 17.86%NM 16.76%EV -6.22%E -1.11%K -1.35%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.46%EV -7.18%E -1.80%K -2.39%G +0.000%6.6%2026-04-23 22:30
Unibet🎯1.56I 64.10%NM 59.75%EV -6.32%E -4.05%K -11.29%G +0.000%5.50I 18.18%NM 16.95%EV -7.89%E -1.44%K -1.75%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.30%EV -7.18%E -1.80%K -2.39%G +0.000%7.3%2026-04-23 22:30
Unibet (SE)🎯1.56I 64.10%NM 59.75%EV -6.32%E -4.05%K -11.29%G +0.000%5.50I 18.18%NM 16.95%EV -7.89%E -1.44%K -1.75%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.30%EV -7.18%E -1.80%K -2.39%G +0.000%7.3%2026-04-23 22:30
Mr Green (SE)🎯1.53I 65.36%NM 60.22%EV -8.12%E -5.31%K -15.33%G +0.000%5.50I 18.18%NM 16.75%EV -7.89%E -1.44%K -1.75%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.03%EV -7.18%E -1.80%K -2.39%G +0.000%8.5%2026-04-19 13:20
LowVig.ag🎯1.53I 65.36%NM 60.22%EV -8.12%E -5.31%K -15.33%G +0.000%5.50I 18.18%NM 16.75%EV -7.89%E -1.44%K -1.75%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.03%EV -7.18%E -1.80%K -2.39%G +0.000%8.5%2026-04-23 11:24
BetOnline.ag🎯1.53I 65.36%NM 60.22%EV -8.12%E -5.31%K -15.33%G +0.000%5.50I 18.18%NM 16.75%EV -7.89%E -1.44%K -1.75%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.03%EV -7.18%E -1.80%K -2.39%G +0.000%8.5%2026-04-23 11:24
Bovada🎯1.52I 65.79%NM 60.55%EV -8.72%E -5.74%K -16.78%G +0.000%5.60I 17.86%NM 16.44%EV -6.22%E -1.11%K -1.35%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.01%EV -7.18%E -1.80%K -2.39%G +0.000%8.6%2026-04-23 22:32
BetAnything🎯1.52I 65.79%NM 60.55%EV -8.72%E -5.74%K -16.78%G +0.000%5.60I 17.86%NM 16.44%EV -6.22%E -1.11%K -1.35%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.01%EV -7.18%E -1.80%K -2.39%G +0.000%8.6%2026-04-23 22:34
Tipico (DE)🎯1.50I 66.67%NM 61.21%EV -9.93%E -6.62%K -19.85%G +0.000%5.80I 17.24%NM 15.83%EV -2.87%E -0.495%K -0.598%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 22.96%EV -7.18%E -1.80%K -2.39%G +0.000%8.9%2026-04-23 12:14
FanDuel🎯1.51I 66.23%NM 60.53%EV -9.33%E -6.18%K -18.29%G +0.000%5.50I 18.18%NM 16.62%EV -7.89%E -1.44%K -1.75%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 22.85%EV -7.18%E -1.80%K -2.39%G +0.000%9.4%2026-04-23 20:58
SportsBet🎯1.50I 66.67%NM 60.69%EV -9.93%E -6.62%K -19.85%G +0.000%5.50I 18.18%NM 16.55%EV -7.89%E -1.44%K -1.75%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 22.76%EV -7.18%E -1.80%K -2.39%G +0.000%9.8%2026-04-23 20:59
Winamax (DE)🎯1.50I 66.67%NM 59.70%EV -9.93%E -6.62%K -19.85%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 17.91%EV -16.27%E -3.25%K -4.07%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 22.39%EV -7.18%E -1.80%K -2.39%G +0.000%11.7%2026-04-23 21:20
BoyleSports🎯1.50I 66.67%NM 59.70%EV -9.93%E -6.62%K -19.85%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 17.91%EV -16.27%E -3.25%K -4.07%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 22.39%EV -7.18%E -1.80%K -2.39%G +0.000%11.7%2026-04-19 23:10
Betr (AU)🎯1.58I 63.29%NM 59.09%EV -5.12%E -3.24%K -8.83%G +0.000%5.50I 18.18%NM 16.97%EV -7.89%E -1.44%K -1.75%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 23.94%EV -9.50%E -2.44%K -3.28%G +0.000%7.1%2026-04-23 20:59
theScore Bet🎯1.57I 63.69%NM 59.24%EV -5.72%E -3.64%K -10.04%G +0.000%5.50I 18.18%NM 16.91%EV -7.89%E -1.44%K -1.75%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 23.85%EV -9.50%E -2.44%K -3.28%G +0.000%7.5%2026-04-23 20:59
PointsBet (AU)🎯1.56I 64.10%NM 59.40%EV -6.32%E -4.05%K -11.29%G +0.000%5.50I 18.18%NM 16.85%EV -7.89%E -1.44%K -1.75%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 23.76%EV -9.50%E -2.44%K -3.28%G +0.000%7.9%2026-04-23 20:59
TABtouch🎯1.54I 64.94%NM 59.52%EV -7.52%E -4.89%K -13.93%G +0.000%5.40I 18.52%NM 16.97%EV -9.57%E -1.77%K -2.17%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 23.50%EV -9.50%E -2.44%K -3.28%G +0.000%9.1%2026-04-23 22:29
Casumo🎯1.54I 64.94%NM 59.52%EV -7.52%E -4.89%K -13.93%G +0.000%5.40I 18.52%NM 16.97%EV -9.57%E -1.77%K -2.17%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 23.50%EV -9.50%E -2.44%K -3.28%G +0.000%9.1%2026-04-23 22:29
Grosvenor🎯1.54I 64.94%NM 59.52%EV -7.52%E -4.89%K -13.93%G +0.000%5.40I 18.52%NM 16.97%EV -9.57%E -1.77%K -2.17%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 23.50%EV -9.50%E -2.44%K -3.28%G +0.000%9.1%2026-04-23 22:30
betPARX🎯1.54I 64.94%NM 59.52%EV -7.52%E -4.89%K -13.93%G +0.000%5.40I 18.52%NM 16.97%EV -9.57%E -1.77%K -2.17%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 23.50%EV -9.50%E -2.44%K -3.28%G +0.000%9.1%2026-04-23 22:29
BetMGM🎯1.53I 65.36%NM 59.86%EV -8.12%E -5.31%K -15.33%G +0.000%5.50I 18.18%NM 16.65%EV -7.89%E -1.44%K -1.75%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 23.48%EV -9.50%E -2.44%K -3.28%G +0.000%9.2%2026-04-20 10:25
LeoVegas (SE)🎯1.53I 65.36%NM 59.68%EV -8.12%E -5.31%K -15.33%G +0.000%5.40I 18.52%NM 16.91%EV -9.57%E -1.77%K -2.17%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 23.41%EV -9.50%E -2.44%K -3.28%G +0.000%9.5%2026-04-23 22:29
Codere (IT)🎯1.52I 65.79%NM 59.84%EV -8.72%E -5.74%K -16.78%G +0.000%5.40I 18.52%NM 16.84%EV -9.57%E -1.77%K -2.17%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 23.32%EV -9.50%E -2.44%K -3.28%G +0.000%9.9%2026-04-23 21:25
William Hill🎯1.50I 66.67%NM 60.34%EV -9.93%E -6.62%K -19.85%G +0.000%5.50I 18.18%NM 16.46%EV -7.89%E -1.44%K -1.75%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 23.21%EV -9.50%E -2.44%K -3.28%G +0.000%10.5%2026-04-19 13:20
Betclic (FR)🎯1.49I 67.11%NM 59.96%EV -10.53%E -7.06%K -21.48%G +0.000%5.25I 19.05%NM 17.02%EV -12.08%E -2.30%K -2.84%G +0.000%3.88I 25.77%NM 23.03%EV -9.97%E -2.57%K -3.46%G +0.000%11.9%2026-04-23 21:25
LeoVegas🎯1.53I 65.36%NM 59.50%EV -8.12%E -5.31%K -15.33%G +0.000%5.40I 18.52%NM 16.86%EV -9.57%E -1.77%K -2.17%G +0.000%3.85I 25.97%NM 23.64%EV -10.66%E -2.77%K -3.74%G +0.000%9.9%2026-04-23 22:29
PlayUp🎯1.52I 65.79%NM 59.37%EV -8.72%E -5.74%K -16.78%G +0.000%5.25I 19.05%NM 17.19%EV -12.08%E -2.30%K -2.84%G +0.000%3.85I 25.97%NM 23.44%EV -10.66%E -2.77%K -3.74%G +0.000%10.8%2026-04-21 14:25
Virgin Bet🎯1.50I 66.67%NM 59.79%EV -9.93%E -6.62%K -19.85%G +0.000%5.30I 18.87%NM 16.92%EV -11.24%E -2.12%K -2.61%G +0.000%3.85I 25.97%NM 23.29%EV -10.66%E -2.77%K -3.74%G +0.000%11.5%2026-04-23 22:30
LiveScore Bet🎯1.50I 66.67%NM 59.79%EV -9.93%E -6.62%K -19.85%G +0.000%5.30I 18.87%NM 16.92%EV -11.24%E -2.12%K -2.61%G +0.000%3.85I 25.97%NM 23.29%EV -10.66%E -2.77%K -3.74%G +0.000%11.5%2026-04-23 22:30
Unibet (FR)🎯1.47I 68.03%NM 60.27%EV -11.73%E -7.98%K -24.95%G +0.000%5.30I 18.87%NM 16.72%EV -11.24%E -2.12%K -2.61%G +0.000%3.85I 25.97%NM 23.01%EV -10.66%E -2.77%K -3.74%G +0.000%12.9%2026-04-23 21:20
Betway🎯1.57I 63.69%NM 58.87%EV -5.72%E -3.64%K -10.04%G +0.000%5.50I 18.18%NM 16.81%EV -7.89%E -1.44%K -1.75%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 24.32%EV -11.82%E -3.11%K -4.22%G +0.000%8.2%2026-04-23 11:00
Bet Victor🎯1.53I 65.36%NM 59.50%EV -8.12%E -5.31%K -15.33%G +0.000%5.50I 18.18%NM 16.55%EV -7.89%E -1.44%K -1.75%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 23.95%EV -11.82%E -3.11%K -4.22%G +0.000%9.9%2026-04-22 09:30
Paddy Power🎯1.50I 66.67%NM 59.01%EV -9.93%E -6.62%K -19.85%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 17.70%EV -16.27%E -3.25%K -4.07%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 23.29%EV -11.82%E -3.11%K -4.22%G +0.000%13.0%2026-04-23 20:58
Winamax (FR)🎯1.46I 68.49%NM 59.23%EV -12.33%E -8.44%K -26.80%G +0.000%4.80I 20.83%NM 18.02%EV -19.62%E -4.09%K -5.16%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 22.76%EV -11.82%E -3.11%K -4.22%G +0.000%15.6%2026-04-23 21:19
betfred_uk🎯1.57I 63.69%NM 58.68%EV -5.72%E -3.64%K -10.04%G +0.000%5.50I 18.18%NM 16.75%EV -7.89%E -1.44%K -1.75%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 24.57%EV -12.98%E -3.46%K -4.72%G +0.000%8.5%2026-04-23 20:59
Neds🎯1.53I 65.36%NM 58.84%EV -8.12%E -5.31%K -15.33%G +0.000%5.25I 19.05%NM 17.15%EV -12.08%E -2.30%K -2.84%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 24.01%EV -12.98%E -3.46%K -4.72%G +0.000%11.1%2026-04-20 10:25
Ladbrokes (AU)🎯1.53I 65.36%NM 58.84%EV -8.12%E -5.31%K -15.33%G +0.000%5.25I 19.05%NM 17.15%EV -12.08%E -2.30%K -2.84%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 24.01%EV -12.98%E -3.46%K -4.72%G +0.000%11.1%2026-04-20 10:24
Ladbrokes (UK)🎯1.53I 65.36%NM 58.84%EV -8.12%E -5.31%K -15.33%G +0.000%5.25I 19.05%NM 17.15%EV -12.08%E -2.30%K -2.84%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 24.01%EV -12.98%E -3.46%K -4.72%G +0.000%11.1%2026-04-20 10:25
Coral🎯1.53I 65.36%NM 58.84%EV -8.12%E -5.31%K -15.33%G +0.000%5.25I 19.05%NM 17.15%EV -12.08%E -2.30%K -2.84%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 24.01%EV -12.98%E -3.46%K -4.72%G +0.000%11.1%2026-04-20 10:25
Sky Bet🎯1.50I 66.67%NM 58.82%EV -9.93%E -6.62%K -19.85%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 17.65%EV -16.27%E -3.25%K -4.07%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 23.53%EV -12.98%E -3.46%K -4.72%G +0.000%13.3%2026-04-23 20:58
PMU (FR)🎯1.47I 68.03%NM 59.71%EV -11.73%E -7.98%K -24.95%G +0.000%5.20I 19.23%NM 16.88%EV -12.92%E -2.48%K -3.08%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 23.41%EV -12.98%E -3.46%K -4.72%G +0.000%13.9%2026-04-23 22:29
NetBet (FR)🎯1.45I 68.97%NM 60.04%EV -12.93%E -8.92%K -28.73%G +0.000%5.20I 19.23%NM 16.74%EV -12.92%E -2.48%K -3.08%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 23.22%EV -12.98%E -3.46%K -4.72%G +0.000%14.9%2026-04-23 08:39
Betfair Sportsbook (UK)🎯1.44I 69.44%NM 57.99%EV -13.53%E -9.40%K -30.75%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 16.70%EV -16.27%E -3.25%K -4.07%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 25.31%EV -23.43%E -7.10%K -10.19%G +0.000%19.7%2026-04-23 20:59
Margin = Margin (Overround) · I = Implied Probability · NM = No-Margin Probability · EV = Expected Value · E = Edge · K = Kelly Criterion · G = Bankroll Growth

Updated is when each book last changed its price, so an older time means the odds simply haven't moved, not that the price is stale. Books not seen in the last ~15 minutes are normally dropped; only if a whole market's feed goes quiet are the latest recorded prices shown instead.

Exchanges (6)

BookmakerLocalVisitDrawMargin ▲Updated
Matchbook◎1.60I 62.50%NM 60.97%6.40I 15.63%NM 15.24%4.10I 24.39%NM 23.79%2.5%2026-04-23 21:45
Betfair Exchange (EU)◎1.59I 62.89%NM 60.82%6.20I 16.13%NM 15.60%4.10I 24.39%NM 23.59%3.4%2026-04-23 21:25
Betfair Exchange (UK)◎1.59I 62.89%NM 60.82%6.20I 16.13%NM 15.60%4.10I 24.39%NM 23.59%3.4%2026-04-23 21:25
Betfair Exchange (AU)◎1.59I 62.89%NM 60.82%6.20I 16.13%NM 15.60%4.10I 24.39%NM 23.59%3.4%2026-04-23 21:20
Smarkets◎1.58I 63.29%NM 60.61%6.20I 16.13%NM 15.45%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.94%4.4%2026-04-23 22:15
Kalshi◎1.56I 64.10%NM 60.43%5.56I 17.99%NM 16.96%4.17I 23.98%NM 22.61%6.1%2026-04-24 00:30