L’École des cotes

Real Valladolid CF v Real Sociedad B

Coup d’envoi : 2026-04-25 14:15 UTC

Cotes de clôture — probabilités calculées et espérance mathématique obtenues, selon le modèle sélectionné, à partir des derniers prix enregistrés avant le coup d’envoi. Le match ayant commencé, il ne s’agit pas de valeurs en direct. Évaluer la fiabilité des prévisions probabilistes de chaque modèle sur l’ensemble des matchs réglés →

Résultat du match

52 opérateurs (18 dans l’analyse )

Probabilité estimée de chaque issue selon le modèle : IQM

Real Valladolid CF (Local)

Prévision 60.05%1.67cote équitable
EV -3.92%
Avantage -2.45%
Kelly -6.54%
Croissance +0.000%

avec la cote maximale 1.60

Distribution des prévisions des opérateurs
57.99%60.07%60.13%61.45%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM
Distribution des cotes
1.441.531.531.6069.44%65.47%65.36%62.50%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM

Real Sociedad B (Visiteur)

Prévision 16.75%5.97cote équitable
EV -0.190%
Avantage -0.032%
Kelly -0.038%
Croissance +0.000%

avec la cote maximale 5.96

Distribution des prévisions des opérateurs
15.83%16.71%16.78%18.02%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM
Distribution des cotes
4.805.425.505.9620.83%18.46%18.18%16.78%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM

Match nul

Prévision 23.20%4.31cote équitable
EV +0.242%
Avantage +0.056%
Kelly +0.073%
Croissance +0.000%

avec la cote maximale 4.32

Distribution des prévisions des opérateurs
22.19%23.23%23.08%25.31%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM
Distribution des cotes
3.303.913.904.3230.30%25.56%25.64%23.15%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM

Cotes des opérateurs (52 opérateurs)

Nous ne sommes affiliés à aucun opérateur de paris et ne tirons aucun bénéfice des opérations réalisées auprès d’eux.

OpérateurLocalVisiteurMatch nul ▼MargeMise à jour
1xBet1.56I 64.10%NM 61.45%EV -6.32%E -4.05%K -11.29%G +0.000%5.86I 17.06%NM 16.36%EV -1.87%E -0.318%K -0.384%G +0.000%4.32I 23.15%NM 22.19%EV +0.242%E +0.056%K +0.073%G +0.000%4.3%2026-04-23 22:39
Marathon Bet1.52I 65.79%NM 61.40%EV -8.72%E -5.74%K -16.78%G +0.000%5.70I 17.54%NM 16.37%EV -4.54%E -0.797%K -0.967%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 22.22%EV -2.54%E -0.605%K -0.795%G +0.000%7.1%2026-04-23 22:34
Pinnacle1.55I 64.52%NM 61.11%EV -6.92%E -4.47%K -12.59%G +0.000%5.96I 16.78%NM 15.89%EV -0.190%E -0.032%K -0.038%G +0.000%4.12I 24.27%NM 22.99%EV -4.40%E -1.07%K -1.41%G +0.000%5.6%2026-04-23 22:45
Fanatics1.56I 64.10%NM 60.54%EV -6.32%E -4.05%K -11.29%G +0.000%5.75I 17.39%NM 16.42%EV -3.71%E -0.645%K -0.780%G +0.000%4.10I 24.39%NM 23.03%EV -4.86%E -1.19%K -1.57%G +0.000%5.9%2026-04-23 09:39
DraftKings1.56I 64.10%NM 60.09%EV -6.32%E -4.05%K -11.29%G +0.000%5.50I 18.18%NM 17.04%EV -7.89%E -1.44%K -1.75%G +0.000%4.10I 24.39%NM 22.86%EV -4.86%E -1.19%K -1.57%G +0.000%6.7%2026-04-23 11:00
Betsson1.55I 64.52%NM 60.08%EV -6.92%E -4.47%K -12.59%G +0.000%5.50I 18.18%NM 16.93%EV -7.89%E -1.44%K -1.75%G +0.000%4.05I 24.69%NM 22.99%EV -6.02%E -1.49%K -1.97%G +0.000%7.4%2026-04-23 21:19
NordicBet1.55I 64.52%NM 60.08%EV -6.92%E -4.47%K -12.59%G +0.000%5.50I 18.18%NM 16.93%EV -7.89%E -1.44%K -1.75%G +0.000%4.05I 24.69%NM 22.99%EV -6.02%E -1.49%K -1.97%G +0.000%7.4%2026-04-23 21:19
Coolbet1.60I 62.50%NM 59.59%EV -3.92%E -2.45%K -6.54%G +0.000%5.75I 17.39%NM 16.58%EV -3.71%E -0.645%K -0.780%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.83%EV -7.18%E -1.80%K -2.39%G +0.000%4.9%2026-04-23 20:59
Svenska Spel1.57I 63.69%NM 59.78%EV -5.72%E -3.64%K -10.04%G +0.000%5.60I 17.86%NM 16.76%EV -6.22%E -1.11%K -1.35%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.46%EV -7.18%E -1.80%K -2.39%G +0.000%6.6%2026-04-23 22:29
ATG (SE)1.57I 63.69%NM 59.78%EV -5.72%E -3.64%K -10.04%G +0.000%5.60I 17.86%NM 16.76%EV -6.22%E -1.11%K -1.35%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.46%EV -7.18%E -1.80%K -2.39%G +0.000%6.6%2026-04-23 22:30
Unibet1.56I 64.10%NM 59.75%EV -6.32%E -4.05%K -11.29%G +0.000%5.50I 18.18%NM 16.95%EV -7.89%E -1.44%K -1.75%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.30%EV -7.18%E -1.80%K -2.39%G +0.000%7.3%2026-04-23 22:30
Unibet (SE)1.56I 64.10%NM 59.75%EV -6.32%E -4.05%K -11.29%G +0.000%5.50I 18.18%NM 16.95%EV -7.89%E -1.44%K -1.75%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.30%EV -7.18%E -1.80%K -2.39%G +0.000%7.3%2026-04-23 22:30
Mr Green (SE)1.53I 65.36%NM 60.22%EV -8.12%E -5.31%K -15.33%G +0.000%5.50I 18.18%NM 16.75%EV -7.89%E -1.44%K -1.75%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.03%EV -7.18%E -1.80%K -2.39%G +0.000%8.5%2026-04-19 13:20
LowVig.ag1.53I 65.36%NM 60.22%EV -8.12%E -5.31%K -15.33%G +0.000%5.50I 18.18%NM 16.75%EV -7.89%E -1.44%K -1.75%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.03%EV -7.18%E -1.80%K -2.39%G +0.000%8.5%2026-04-23 11:24
BetOnline.ag1.53I 65.36%NM 60.22%EV -8.12%E -5.31%K -15.33%G +0.000%5.50I 18.18%NM 16.75%EV -7.89%E -1.44%K -1.75%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.03%EV -7.18%E -1.80%K -2.39%G +0.000%8.5%2026-04-23 11:24
Bovada1.52I 65.79%NM 60.55%EV -8.72%E -5.74%K -16.78%G +0.000%5.60I 17.86%NM 16.44%EV -6.22%E -1.11%K -1.35%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.01%EV -7.18%E -1.80%K -2.39%G +0.000%8.6%2026-04-23 22:32
BetAnything1.52I 65.79%NM 60.55%EV -8.72%E -5.74%K -16.78%G +0.000%5.60I 17.86%NM 16.44%EV -6.22%E -1.11%K -1.35%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.01%EV -7.18%E -1.80%K -2.39%G +0.000%8.6%2026-04-23 22:34
Tipico (DE)1.50I 66.67%NM 61.21%EV -9.93%E -6.62%K -19.85%G +0.000%5.80I 17.24%NM 15.83%EV -2.87%E -0.495%K -0.598%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 22.96%EV -7.18%E -1.80%K -2.39%G +0.000%8.9%2026-04-23 12:14
FanDuel1.51I 66.23%NM 60.53%EV -9.33%E -6.18%K -18.29%G +0.000%5.50I 18.18%NM 16.62%EV -7.89%E -1.44%K -1.75%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 22.85%EV -7.18%E -1.80%K -2.39%G +0.000%9.4%2026-04-23 20:58
SportsBet1.50I 66.67%NM 60.69%EV -9.93%E -6.62%K -19.85%G +0.000%5.50I 18.18%NM 16.55%EV -7.89%E -1.44%K -1.75%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 22.76%EV -7.18%E -1.80%K -2.39%G +0.000%9.8%2026-04-23 20:59
Winamax (DE)1.50I 66.67%NM 59.70%EV -9.93%E -6.62%K -19.85%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 17.91%EV -16.27%E -3.25%K -4.07%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 22.39%EV -7.18%E -1.80%K -2.39%G +0.000%11.7%2026-04-23 21:20
BoyleSports1.50I 66.67%NM 59.70%EV -9.93%E -6.62%K -19.85%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 17.91%EV -16.27%E -3.25%K -4.07%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 22.39%EV -7.18%E -1.80%K -2.39%G +0.000%11.7%2026-04-19 23:10
Betr (AU)1.58I 63.29%NM 59.09%EV -5.12%E -3.24%K -8.83%G +0.000%5.50I 18.18%NM 16.97%EV -7.89%E -1.44%K -1.75%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 23.94%EV -9.50%E -2.44%K -3.28%G +0.000%7.1%2026-04-23 20:59
theScore Bet1.57I 63.69%NM 59.24%EV -5.72%E -3.64%K -10.04%G +0.000%5.50I 18.18%NM 16.91%EV -7.89%E -1.44%K -1.75%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 23.85%EV -9.50%E -2.44%K -3.28%G +0.000%7.5%2026-04-23 20:59
PointsBet (AU)1.56I 64.10%NM 59.40%EV -6.32%E -4.05%K -11.29%G +0.000%5.50I 18.18%NM 16.85%EV -7.89%E -1.44%K -1.75%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 23.76%EV -9.50%E -2.44%K -3.28%G +0.000%7.9%2026-04-23 20:59
TABtouch1.54I 64.94%NM 59.52%EV -7.52%E -4.89%K -13.93%G +0.000%5.40I 18.52%NM 16.97%EV -9.57%E -1.77%K -2.17%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 23.50%EV -9.50%E -2.44%K -3.28%G +0.000%9.1%2026-04-23 22:29
Casumo1.54I 64.94%NM 59.52%EV -7.52%E -4.89%K -13.93%G +0.000%5.40I 18.52%NM 16.97%EV -9.57%E -1.77%K -2.17%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 23.50%EV -9.50%E -2.44%K -3.28%G +0.000%9.1%2026-04-23 22:29
Grosvenor1.54I 64.94%NM 59.52%EV -7.52%E -4.89%K -13.93%G +0.000%5.40I 18.52%NM 16.97%EV -9.57%E -1.77%K -2.17%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 23.50%EV -9.50%E -2.44%K -3.28%G +0.000%9.1%2026-04-23 22:30
betPARX1.54I 64.94%NM 59.52%EV -7.52%E -4.89%K -13.93%G +0.000%5.40I 18.52%NM 16.97%EV -9.57%E -1.77%K -2.17%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 23.50%EV -9.50%E -2.44%K -3.28%G +0.000%9.1%2026-04-23 22:29
BetMGM1.53I 65.36%NM 59.86%EV -8.12%E -5.31%K -15.33%G +0.000%5.50I 18.18%NM 16.65%EV -7.89%E -1.44%K -1.75%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 23.48%EV -9.50%E -2.44%K -3.28%G +0.000%9.2%2026-04-20 10:25
LeoVegas (SE)1.53I 65.36%NM 59.68%EV -8.12%E -5.31%K -15.33%G +0.000%5.40I 18.52%NM 16.91%EV -9.57%E -1.77%K -2.17%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 23.41%EV -9.50%E -2.44%K -3.28%G +0.000%9.5%2026-04-23 22:29
Codere (IT)1.52I 65.79%NM 59.84%EV -8.72%E -5.74%K -16.78%G +0.000%5.40I 18.52%NM 16.84%EV -9.57%E -1.77%K -2.17%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 23.32%EV -9.50%E -2.44%K -3.28%G +0.000%9.9%2026-04-23 21:25
William Hill1.50I 66.67%NM 60.34%EV -9.93%E -6.62%K -19.85%G +0.000%5.50I 18.18%NM 16.46%EV -7.89%E -1.44%K -1.75%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 23.21%EV -9.50%E -2.44%K -3.28%G +0.000%10.5%2026-04-19 13:20
Betclic (FR)1.49I 67.11%NM 59.96%EV -10.53%E -7.06%K -21.48%G +0.000%5.25I 19.05%NM 17.02%EV -12.08%E -2.30%K -2.84%G +0.000%3.88I 25.77%NM 23.03%EV -9.97%E -2.57%K -3.46%G +0.000%11.9%2026-04-23 21:25
LeoVegas1.53I 65.36%NM 59.50%EV -8.12%E -5.31%K -15.33%G +0.000%5.40I 18.52%NM 16.86%EV -9.57%E -1.77%K -2.17%G +0.000%3.85I 25.97%NM 23.64%EV -10.66%E -2.77%K -3.74%G +0.000%9.9%2026-04-23 22:29
PlayUp1.52I 65.79%NM 59.37%EV -8.72%E -5.74%K -16.78%G +0.000%5.25I 19.05%NM 17.19%EV -12.08%E -2.30%K -2.84%G +0.000%3.85I 25.97%NM 23.44%EV -10.66%E -2.77%K -3.74%G +0.000%10.8%2026-04-21 14:25
Virgin Bet1.50I 66.67%NM 59.79%EV -9.93%E -6.62%K -19.85%G +0.000%5.30I 18.87%NM 16.92%EV -11.24%E -2.12%K -2.61%G +0.000%3.85I 25.97%NM 23.29%EV -10.66%E -2.77%K -3.74%G +0.000%11.5%2026-04-23 22:30
LiveScore Bet1.50I 66.67%NM 59.79%EV -9.93%E -6.62%K -19.85%G +0.000%5.30I 18.87%NM 16.92%EV -11.24%E -2.12%K -2.61%G +0.000%3.85I 25.97%NM 23.29%EV -10.66%E -2.77%K -3.74%G +0.000%11.5%2026-04-23 22:30
Unibet (FR)1.47I 68.03%NM 60.27%EV -11.73%E -7.98%K -24.95%G +0.000%5.30I 18.87%NM 16.72%EV -11.24%E -2.12%K -2.61%G +0.000%3.85I 25.97%NM 23.01%EV -10.66%E -2.77%K -3.74%G +0.000%12.9%2026-04-23 21:20
Betway1.57I 63.69%NM 58.87%EV -5.72%E -3.64%K -10.04%G +0.000%5.50I 18.18%NM 16.81%EV -7.89%E -1.44%K -1.75%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 24.32%EV -11.82%E -3.11%K -4.22%G +0.000%8.2%2026-04-23 11:00
Bet Victor1.53I 65.36%NM 59.50%EV -8.12%E -5.31%K -15.33%G +0.000%5.50I 18.18%NM 16.55%EV -7.89%E -1.44%K -1.75%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 23.95%EV -11.82%E -3.11%K -4.22%G +0.000%9.9%2026-04-22 09:30
Paddy Power1.50I 66.67%NM 59.01%EV -9.93%E -6.62%K -19.85%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 17.70%EV -16.27%E -3.25%K -4.07%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 23.29%EV -11.82%E -3.11%K -4.22%G +0.000%13.0%2026-04-23 20:58
Winamax (FR)1.46I 68.49%NM 59.23%EV -12.33%E -8.44%K -26.80%G +0.000%4.80I 20.83%NM 18.02%EV -19.62%E -4.09%K -5.16%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 22.76%EV -11.82%E -3.11%K -4.22%G +0.000%15.6%2026-04-23 21:19
betfred_uk1.57I 63.69%NM 58.68%EV -5.72%E -3.64%K -10.04%G +0.000%5.50I 18.18%NM 16.75%EV -7.89%E -1.44%K -1.75%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 24.57%EV -12.98%E -3.46%K -4.72%G +0.000%8.5%2026-04-23 20:59
Neds1.53I 65.36%NM 58.84%EV -8.12%E -5.31%K -15.33%G +0.000%5.25I 19.05%NM 17.15%EV -12.08%E -2.30%K -2.84%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 24.01%EV -12.98%E -3.46%K -4.72%G +0.000%11.1%2026-04-20 10:25
Ladbrokes (AU)1.53I 65.36%NM 58.84%EV -8.12%E -5.31%K -15.33%G +0.000%5.25I 19.05%NM 17.15%EV -12.08%E -2.30%K -2.84%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 24.01%EV -12.98%E -3.46%K -4.72%G +0.000%11.1%2026-04-20 10:24
Ladbrokes (UK)1.53I 65.36%NM 58.84%EV -8.12%E -5.31%K -15.33%G +0.000%5.25I 19.05%NM 17.15%EV -12.08%E -2.30%K -2.84%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 24.01%EV -12.98%E -3.46%K -4.72%G +0.000%11.1%2026-04-20 10:25
Coral1.53I 65.36%NM 58.84%EV -8.12%E -5.31%K -15.33%G +0.000%5.25I 19.05%NM 17.15%EV -12.08%E -2.30%K -2.84%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 24.01%EV -12.98%E -3.46%K -4.72%G +0.000%11.1%2026-04-20 10:25
Sky Bet1.50I 66.67%NM 58.82%EV -9.93%E -6.62%K -19.85%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 17.65%EV -16.27%E -3.25%K -4.07%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 23.53%EV -12.98%E -3.46%K -4.72%G +0.000%13.3%2026-04-23 20:58
PMU (FR)1.47I 68.03%NM 59.71%EV -11.73%E -7.98%K -24.95%G +0.000%5.20I 19.23%NM 16.88%EV -12.92%E -2.48%K -3.08%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 23.41%EV -12.98%E -3.46%K -4.72%G +0.000%13.9%2026-04-23 22:29
NetBet (FR)1.45I 68.97%NM 60.04%EV -12.93%E -8.92%K -28.73%G +0.000%5.20I 19.23%NM 16.74%EV -12.92%E -2.48%K -3.08%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 23.22%EV -12.98%E -3.46%K -4.72%G +0.000%14.9%2026-04-23 08:39
Betfair Sportsbook (UK)1.44I 69.44%NM 57.99%EV -13.53%E -9.40%K -30.75%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 16.70%EV -16.27%E -3.25%K -4.07%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 25.31%EV -23.43%E -7.10%K -10.19%G +0.000%19.7%2026-04-23 20:59
Marge = Marge · I = Probabilité implicite · NM = Probabilité sans marge · EV = Espérance mathématique · E = Avantage · K = Critère de Kelly · G = Croissance du capital de jeu

Mise à jour indique le dernier changement de prix de chaque opérateur. Une heure ancienne signifie donc seulement que la cote n’a pas bougé, et non qu’elle est périmée. Les opérateurs absents du flux depuis environ 15 minutes sont normalement écartés ; les derniers prix enregistrés ne sont conservés que si le flux de tout le marché devient silencieux.

Plateformes d’échange (6)

OpérateurLocalVisiteurMatch nulMarge ▲Mise à jour
Matchbook1.60I 62.50%NM 60.97%6.40I 15.63%NM 15.24%4.10I 24.39%NM 23.79%2.5%2026-04-23 21:45
Betfair Exchange (EU)1.59I 62.89%NM 60.82%6.20I 16.13%NM 15.60%4.10I 24.39%NM 23.59%3.4%2026-04-23 21:25
Betfair Exchange (UK)1.59I 62.89%NM 60.82%6.20I 16.13%NM 15.60%4.10I 24.39%NM 23.59%3.4%2026-04-23 21:25
Betfair Exchange (AU)1.59I 62.89%NM 60.82%6.20I 16.13%NM 15.60%4.10I 24.39%NM 23.59%3.4%2026-04-23 21:20
Smarkets1.58I 63.29%NM 60.61%6.20I 16.13%NM 15.45%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.94%4.4%2026-04-23 22:15
Kalshi1.56I 64.10%NM 60.43%5.56I 17.99%NM 16.96%4.17I 23.98%NM 22.61%6.1%2026-04-24 00:30