A Escola das Odds

Real Valladolid CF v Real Sociedad B

Início: 2026-04-25 14:15 UTC

Odds de fecho — as probabilidades calculadas e o valor esperado com base nas últimas cotações registadas antes do início, segundo o modelo selecionado. O jogo já começou, pelo que estes valores não são atuais. Avaliar a fiabilidade das previsões probabilísticas de cada modelo face aos resultados de todos os jogos concluídos →

Frente a frente

52 casas de apostas (18 na análise )

Probabilidade estimada de cada resultado, segundo o modelo: IQM

Real Valladolid CF (Local)

Previsão 60.05%1.67odd justa
EV -3.92%
Vantagem -2.45%
Kelly -6.54%
Crescimento +0.000%

pressupondo odds máximas de 1.60

Distribuição das previsões das casas de apostas
57.99%60.07%60.13%61.45%MINMÉDIAMEDIANAMAX
Distribuição das odds
1.441.531.531.6069.44%65.47%65.36%62.50%MINMÉDIAMEDIANAMAX

Real Sociedad B (Visitante)

Previsão 16.75%5.97odd justa
EV -0.190%
Vantagem -0.032%
Kelly -0.038%
Crescimento +0.000%

pressupondo odds máximas de 5.96

Distribuição das previsões das casas de apostas
15.83%16.71%16.78%18.02%MINMÉDIAMEDIANAMAX
Distribuição das odds
4.805.425.505.9620.83%18.46%18.18%16.78%MINMÉDIAMEDIANAMAX

Empate

Previsão 23.20%4.31odd justa
EV +0.242%
Vantagem +0.056%
Kelly +0.073%
Crescimento +0.000%

pressupondo odds máximas de 4.32

Distribuição das previsões das casas de apostas
22.19%23.23%23.08%25.31%MINMÉDIAMEDIANAMAX
Distribuição das odds
3.303.913.904.3230.30%25.56%25.64%23.15%MINMÉDIAMEDIANAMAX

Odds das casas de apostas (52 casas de apostas)

Não temos qualquer vínculo com casas de apostas e não recebemos nada pelas ações realizadas junto delas.

Casa de apostasLocalVisitanteEmpate ▼MargemAtualização
1xBet1.56I 64.10%NM 61.45%EV -6.32%E -4.05%K -11.29%G +0.000%5.86I 17.06%NM 16.36%EV -1.87%E -0.318%K -0.384%G +0.000%4.32I 23.15%NM 22.19%EV +0.242%E +0.056%K +0.073%G +0.000%4.3%2026-04-23 22:39
Marathon Bet1.52I 65.79%NM 61.40%EV -8.72%E -5.74%K -16.78%G +0.000%5.70I 17.54%NM 16.37%EV -4.54%E -0.797%K -0.967%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 22.22%EV -2.54%E -0.605%K -0.795%G +0.000%7.1%2026-04-23 22:34
Pinnacle1.55I 64.52%NM 61.11%EV -6.92%E -4.47%K -12.59%G +0.000%5.96I 16.78%NM 15.89%EV -0.190%E -0.032%K -0.038%G +0.000%4.12I 24.27%NM 22.99%EV -4.40%E -1.07%K -1.41%G +0.000%5.6%2026-04-23 22:45
Fanatics1.56I 64.10%NM 60.54%EV -6.32%E -4.05%K -11.29%G +0.000%5.75I 17.39%NM 16.42%EV -3.71%E -0.645%K -0.780%G +0.000%4.10I 24.39%NM 23.03%EV -4.86%E -1.19%K -1.57%G +0.000%5.9%2026-04-23 09:39
DraftKings1.56I 64.10%NM 60.09%EV -6.32%E -4.05%K -11.29%G +0.000%5.50I 18.18%NM 17.04%EV -7.89%E -1.44%K -1.75%G +0.000%4.10I 24.39%NM 22.86%EV -4.86%E -1.19%K -1.57%G +0.000%6.7%2026-04-23 11:00
Betsson1.55I 64.52%NM 60.08%EV -6.92%E -4.47%K -12.59%G +0.000%5.50I 18.18%NM 16.93%EV -7.89%E -1.44%K -1.75%G +0.000%4.05I 24.69%NM 22.99%EV -6.02%E -1.49%K -1.97%G +0.000%7.4%2026-04-23 21:19
NordicBet1.55I 64.52%NM 60.08%EV -6.92%E -4.47%K -12.59%G +0.000%5.50I 18.18%NM 16.93%EV -7.89%E -1.44%K -1.75%G +0.000%4.05I 24.69%NM 22.99%EV -6.02%E -1.49%K -1.97%G +0.000%7.4%2026-04-23 21:19
Coolbet1.60I 62.50%NM 59.59%EV -3.92%E -2.45%K -6.54%G +0.000%5.75I 17.39%NM 16.58%EV -3.71%E -0.645%K -0.780%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.83%EV -7.18%E -1.80%K -2.39%G +0.000%4.9%2026-04-23 20:59
Svenska Spel1.57I 63.69%NM 59.78%EV -5.72%E -3.64%K -10.04%G +0.000%5.60I 17.86%NM 16.76%EV -6.22%E -1.11%K -1.35%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.46%EV -7.18%E -1.80%K -2.39%G +0.000%6.6%2026-04-23 22:29
ATG (SE)1.57I 63.69%NM 59.78%EV -5.72%E -3.64%K -10.04%G +0.000%5.60I 17.86%NM 16.76%EV -6.22%E -1.11%K -1.35%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.46%EV -7.18%E -1.80%K -2.39%G +0.000%6.6%2026-04-23 22:30
Unibet1.56I 64.10%NM 59.75%EV -6.32%E -4.05%K -11.29%G +0.000%5.50I 18.18%NM 16.95%EV -7.89%E -1.44%K -1.75%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.30%EV -7.18%E -1.80%K -2.39%G +0.000%7.3%2026-04-23 22:30
Unibet (SE)1.56I 64.10%NM 59.75%EV -6.32%E -4.05%K -11.29%G +0.000%5.50I 18.18%NM 16.95%EV -7.89%E -1.44%K -1.75%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.30%EV -7.18%E -1.80%K -2.39%G +0.000%7.3%2026-04-23 22:30
Mr Green (SE)1.53I 65.36%NM 60.22%EV -8.12%E -5.31%K -15.33%G +0.000%5.50I 18.18%NM 16.75%EV -7.89%E -1.44%K -1.75%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.03%EV -7.18%E -1.80%K -2.39%G +0.000%8.5%2026-04-19 13:20
LowVig.ag1.53I 65.36%NM 60.22%EV -8.12%E -5.31%K -15.33%G +0.000%5.50I 18.18%NM 16.75%EV -7.89%E -1.44%K -1.75%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.03%EV -7.18%E -1.80%K -2.39%G +0.000%8.5%2026-04-23 11:24
BetOnline.ag1.53I 65.36%NM 60.22%EV -8.12%E -5.31%K -15.33%G +0.000%5.50I 18.18%NM 16.75%EV -7.89%E -1.44%K -1.75%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.03%EV -7.18%E -1.80%K -2.39%G +0.000%8.5%2026-04-23 11:24
Bovada1.52I 65.79%NM 60.55%EV -8.72%E -5.74%K -16.78%G +0.000%5.60I 17.86%NM 16.44%EV -6.22%E -1.11%K -1.35%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.01%EV -7.18%E -1.80%K -2.39%G +0.000%8.6%2026-04-23 22:32
BetAnything1.52I 65.79%NM 60.55%EV -8.72%E -5.74%K -16.78%G +0.000%5.60I 17.86%NM 16.44%EV -6.22%E -1.11%K -1.35%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.01%EV -7.18%E -1.80%K -2.39%G +0.000%8.6%2026-04-23 22:34
Tipico (DE)1.50I 66.67%NM 61.21%EV -9.93%E -6.62%K -19.85%G +0.000%5.80I 17.24%NM 15.83%EV -2.87%E -0.495%K -0.598%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 22.96%EV -7.18%E -1.80%K -2.39%G +0.000%8.9%2026-04-23 12:14
FanDuel1.51I 66.23%NM 60.53%EV -9.33%E -6.18%K -18.29%G +0.000%5.50I 18.18%NM 16.62%EV -7.89%E -1.44%K -1.75%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 22.85%EV -7.18%E -1.80%K -2.39%G +0.000%9.4%2026-04-23 20:58
SportsBet1.50I 66.67%NM 60.69%EV -9.93%E -6.62%K -19.85%G +0.000%5.50I 18.18%NM 16.55%EV -7.89%E -1.44%K -1.75%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 22.76%EV -7.18%E -1.80%K -2.39%G +0.000%9.8%2026-04-23 20:59
Winamax (DE)1.50I 66.67%NM 59.70%EV -9.93%E -6.62%K -19.85%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 17.91%EV -16.27%E -3.25%K -4.07%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 22.39%EV -7.18%E -1.80%K -2.39%G +0.000%11.7%2026-04-23 21:20
BoyleSports1.50I 66.67%NM 59.70%EV -9.93%E -6.62%K -19.85%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 17.91%EV -16.27%E -3.25%K -4.07%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 22.39%EV -7.18%E -1.80%K -2.39%G +0.000%11.7%2026-04-19 23:10
Betr (AU)1.58I 63.29%NM 59.09%EV -5.12%E -3.24%K -8.83%G +0.000%5.50I 18.18%NM 16.97%EV -7.89%E -1.44%K -1.75%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 23.94%EV -9.50%E -2.44%K -3.28%G +0.000%7.1%2026-04-23 20:59
theScore Bet1.57I 63.69%NM 59.24%EV -5.72%E -3.64%K -10.04%G +0.000%5.50I 18.18%NM 16.91%EV -7.89%E -1.44%K -1.75%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 23.85%EV -9.50%E -2.44%K -3.28%G +0.000%7.5%2026-04-23 20:59
PointsBet (AU)1.56I 64.10%NM 59.40%EV -6.32%E -4.05%K -11.29%G +0.000%5.50I 18.18%NM 16.85%EV -7.89%E -1.44%K -1.75%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 23.76%EV -9.50%E -2.44%K -3.28%G +0.000%7.9%2026-04-23 20:59
TABtouch1.54I 64.94%NM 59.52%EV -7.52%E -4.89%K -13.93%G +0.000%5.40I 18.52%NM 16.97%EV -9.57%E -1.77%K -2.17%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 23.50%EV -9.50%E -2.44%K -3.28%G +0.000%9.1%2026-04-23 22:29
Casumo1.54I 64.94%NM 59.52%EV -7.52%E -4.89%K -13.93%G +0.000%5.40I 18.52%NM 16.97%EV -9.57%E -1.77%K -2.17%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 23.50%EV -9.50%E -2.44%K -3.28%G +0.000%9.1%2026-04-23 22:29
Grosvenor1.54I 64.94%NM 59.52%EV -7.52%E -4.89%K -13.93%G +0.000%5.40I 18.52%NM 16.97%EV -9.57%E -1.77%K -2.17%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 23.50%EV -9.50%E -2.44%K -3.28%G +0.000%9.1%2026-04-23 22:30
betPARX1.54I 64.94%NM 59.52%EV -7.52%E -4.89%K -13.93%G +0.000%5.40I 18.52%NM 16.97%EV -9.57%E -1.77%K -2.17%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 23.50%EV -9.50%E -2.44%K -3.28%G +0.000%9.1%2026-04-23 22:29
BetMGM1.53I 65.36%NM 59.86%EV -8.12%E -5.31%K -15.33%G +0.000%5.50I 18.18%NM 16.65%EV -7.89%E -1.44%K -1.75%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 23.48%EV -9.50%E -2.44%K -3.28%G +0.000%9.2%2026-04-20 10:25
LeoVegas (SE)1.53I 65.36%NM 59.68%EV -8.12%E -5.31%K -15.33%G +0.000%5.40I 18.52%NM 16.91%EV -9.57%E -1.77%K -2.17%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 23.41%EV -9.50%E -2.44%K -3.28%G +0.000%9.5%2026-04-23 22:29
Codere (IT)1.52I 65.79%NM 59.84%EV -8.72%E -5.74%K -16.78%G +0.000%5.40I 18.52%NM 16.84%EV -9.57%E -1.77%K -2.17%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 23.32%EV -9.50%E -2.44%K -3.28%G +0.000%9.9%2026-04-23 21:25
William Hill1.50I 66.67%NM 60.34%EV -9.93%E -6.62%K -19.85%G +0.000%5.50I 18.18%NM 16.46%EV -7.89%E -1.44%K -1.75%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 23.21%EV -9.50%E -2.44%K -3.28%G +0.000%10.5%2026-04-19 13:20
Betclic (FR)1.49I 67.11%NM 59.96%EV -10.53%E -7.06%K -21.48%G +0.000%5.25I 19.05%NM 17.02%EV -12.08%E -2.30%K -2.84%G +0.000%3.88I 25.77%NM 23.03%EV -9.97%E -2.57%K -3.46%G +0.000%11.9%2026-04-23 21:25
LeoVegas1.53I 65.36%NM 59.50%EV -8.12%E -5.31%K -15.33%G +0.000%5.40I 18.52%NM 16.86%EV -9.57%E -1.77%K -2.17%G +0.000%3.85I 25.97%NM 23.64%EV -10.66%E -2.77%K -3.74%G +0.000%9.9%2026-04-23 22:29
PlayUp1.52I 65.79%NM 59.37%EV -8.72%E -5.74%K -16.78%G +0.000%5.25I 19.05%NM 17.19%EV -12.08%E -2.30%K -2.84%G +0.000%3.85I 25.97%NM 23.44%EV -10.66%E -2.77%K -3.74%G +0.000%10.8%2026-04-21 14:25
Virgin Bet1.50I 66.67%NM 59.79%EV -9.93%E -6.62%K -19.85%G +0.000%5.30I 18.87%NM 16.92%EV -11.24%E -2.12%K -2.61%G +0.000%3.85I 25.97%NM 23.29%EV -10.66%E -2.77%K -3.74%G +0.000%11.5%2026-04-23 22:30
LiveScore Bet1.50I 66.67%NM 59.79%EV -9.93%E -6.62%K -19.85%G +0.000%5.30I 18.87%NM 16.92%EV -11.24%E -2.12%K -2.61%G +0.000%3.85I 25.97%NM 23.29%EV -10.66%E -2.77%K -3.74%G +0.000%11.5%2026-04-23 22:30
Unibet (FR)1.47I 68.03%NM 60.27%EV -11.73%E -7.98%K -24.95%G +0.000%5.30I 18.87%NM 16.72%EV -11.24%E -2.12%K -2.61%G +0.000%3.85I 25.97%NM 23.01%EV -10.66%E -2.77%K -3.74%G +0.000%12.9%2026-04-23 21:20
Betway1.57I 63.69%NM 58.87%EV -5.72%E -3.64%K -10.04%G +0.000%5.50I 18.18%NM 16.81%EV -7.89%E -1.44%K -1.75%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 24.32%EV -11.82%E -3.11%K -4.22%G +0.000%8.2%2026-04-23 11:00
Bet Victor1.53I 65.36%NM 59.50%EV -8.12%E -5.31%K -15.33%G +0.000%5.50I 18.18%NM 16.55%EV -7.89%E -1.44%K -1.75%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 23.95%EV -11.82%E -3.11%K -4.22%G +0.000%9.9%2026-04-22 09:30
Paddy Power1.50I 66.67%NM 59.01%EV -9.93%E -6.62%K -19.85%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 17.70%EV -16.27%E -3.25%K -4.07%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 23.29%EV -11.82%E -3.11%K -4.22%G +0.000%13.0%2026-04-23 20:58
Winamax (FR)1.46I 68.49%NM 59.23%EV -12.33%E -8.44%K -26.80%G +0.000%4.80I 20.83%NM 18.02%EV -19.62%E -4.09%K -5.16%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 22.76%EV -11.82%E -3.11%K -4.22%G +0.000%15.6%2026-04-23 21:19
betfred_uk1.57I 63.69%NM 58.68%EV -5.72%E -3.64%K -10.04%G +0.000%5.50I 18.18%NM 16.75%EV -7.89%E -1.44%K -1.75%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 24.57%EV -12.98%E -3.46%K -4.72%G +0.000%8.5%2026-04-23 20:59
Neds1.53I 65.36%NM 58.84%EV -8.12%E -5.31%K -15.33%G +0.000%5.25I 19.05%NM 17.15%EV -12.08%E -2.30%K -2.84%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 24.01%EV -12.98%E -3.46%K -4.72%G +0.000%11.1%2026-04-20 10:25
Ladbrokes (AU)1.53I 65.36%NM 58.84%EV -8.12%E -5.31%K -15.33%G +0.000%5.25I 19.05%NM 17.15%EV -12.08%E -2.30%K -2.84%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 24.01%EV -12.98%E -3.46%K -4.72%G +0.000%11.1%2026-04-20 10:24
Ladbrokes (UK)1.53I 65.36%NM 58.84%EV -8.12%E -5.31%K -15.33%G +0.000%5.25I 19.05%NM 17.15%EV -12.08%E -2.30%K -2.84%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 24.01%EV -12.98%E -3.46%K -4.72%G +0.000%11.1%2026-04-20 10:25
Coral1.53I 65.36%NM 58.84%EV -8.12%E -5.31%K -15.33%G +0.000%5.25I 19.05%NM 17.15%EV -12.08%E -2.30%K -2.84%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 24.01%EV -12.98%E -3.46%K -4.72%G +0.000%11.1%2026-04-20 10:25
Sky Bet1.50I 66.67%NM 58.82%EV -9.93%E -6.62%K -19.85%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 17.65%EV -16.27%E -3.25%K -4.07%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 23.53%EV -12.98%E -3.46%K -4.72%G +0.000%13.3%2026-04-23 20:58
PMU (FR)1.47I 68.03%NM 59.71%EV -11.73%E -7.98%K -24.95%G +0.000%5.20I 19.23%NM 16.88%EV -12.92%E -2.48%K -3.08%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 23.41%EV -12.98%E -3.46%K -4.72%G +0.000%13.9%2026-04-23 22:29
NetBet (FR)1.45I 68.97%NM 60.04%EV -12.93%E -8.92%K -28.73%G +0.000%5.20I 19.23%NM 16.74%EV -12.92%E -2.48%K -3.08%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 23.22%EV -12.98%E -3.46%K -4.72%G +0.000%14.9%2026-04-23 08:39
Betfair Sportsbook (UK)1.44I 69.44%NM 57.99%EV -13.53%E -9.40%K -30.75%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 16.70%EV -16.27%E -3.25%K -4.07%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 25.31%EV -23.43%E -7.10%K -10.19%G +0.000%19.7%2026-04-23 20:59
Margem = Margem · I = Probabilidade implícita · NM = Probabilidade sem margem · EV = Valor esperado · E = Vantagem · K = Critério de Kelly · G = Crescimento do capital de apostas

Atualização indica quando cada casa alterou a cotação pela última vez; uma hora mais antiga significa apenas que as odds não mudaram, não que estejam desatualizadas. As casas sem dados nos últimos ~15 minutos são normalmente excluídas; apenas quando a fonte de todo um mercado fica sem atualizações se mostram as últimas cotações registadas.

Bolsas de apostas (6)

Casa de apostasLocalVisitanteEmpateMargem ▲Atualização
Matchbook1.60I 62.50%NM 60.97%6.40I 15.63%NM 15.24%4.10I 24.39%NM 23.79%2.5%2026-04-23 21:45
Betfair Exchange (EU)1.59I 62.89%NM 60.82%6.20I 16.13%NM 15.60%4.10I 24.39%NM 23.59%3.4%2026-04-23 21:25
Betfair Exchange (UK)1.59I 62.89%NM 60.82%6.20I 16.13%NM 15.60%4.10I 24.39%NM 23.59%3.4%2026-04-23 21:25
Betfair Exchange (AU)1.59I 62.89%NM 60.82%6.20I 16.13%NM 15.60%4.10I 24.39%NM 23.59%3.4%2026-04-23 21:20
Smarkets1.58I 63.29%NM 60.61%6.20I 16.13%NM 15.45%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.94%4.4%2026-04-23 22:15
Kalshi1.56I 64.10%NM 60.43%5.56I 17.99%NM 16.96%4.17I 23.98%NM 22.61%6.1%2026-04-24 00:30