مدرسة الاحتمالات

Real Valladolid CF v Real Sociedad B

البداية: 2026-04-25 14:15 UTC

أسعار الإغلاق — الاحتمالات والقيمة المتوقعة المحسوبة من آخر الأسعار المسجلة قبل البداية وفق النموذج المحدد. بدأت المباراة، لذا فهذه ليست أرقامًا مباشرة. قيّم موثوقية التنبؤات الاحتمالية لكل نموذج بمقارنتها بنتائج جميع المباريات المحسومة →

نتيجة المباراة

52 شركة مراهنات (18 في التحليل )

الاحتمال المقدّر لكل نتيجة وفق النموذج: IQM

Real Valladolid CF (المضيف)

التنبؤ 60.05%1.67السعر العادل
EV -3.92%
الأفضلية -2.45%
Kelly -6.54%
النمو +0.000%

بافتراض سعر أقصى قدره 1.60

توزيع تنبؤات شركات المراهنات
57.99%60.07%60.13%61.45%MINالمتوسطالوسيطMAX
توزيع الأسعار
1.441.531.531.6069.44%65.47%65.36%62.50%MINالمتوسطالوسيطMAX

Real Sociedad B (الضيف)

التنبؤ 16.75%5.97السعر العادل
EV -0.190%
الأفضلية -0.032%
Kelly -0.038%
النمو +0.000%

بافتراض سعر أقصى قدره 5.96

توزيع تنبؤات شركات المراهنات
15.83%16.71%16.78%18.02%MINالمتوسطالوسيطMAX
توزيع الأسعار
4.805.425.505.9620.83%18.46%18.18%16.78%MINالمتوسطالوسيطMAX

تعادل

التنبؤ 23.20%4.31السعر العادل
EV +0.242%
الأفضلية +0.056%
Kelly +0.073%
النمو +0.000%

بافتراض سعر أقصى قدره 4.32

توزيع تنبؤات شركات المراهنات
22.19%23.23%23.08%25.31%MINالمتوسطالوسيطMAX
توزيع الأسعار
3.303.913.904.3230.30%25.56%25.64%23.15%MINالمتوسطالوسيطMAX

أسعار شركات المراهنات (52 شركة مراهنات)

لسنا تابعين لأي شركة مراهنات، ولا نحقق أي عائد من الرهانات أو المعاملات التي تُجرى لديها.

شركة المراهناتالمضيفالضيفتعادل ▼الهامشآخر تحديث
1xBet1.56I 64.10%NM 61.45%EV -6.32%E -4.05%K -11.29%G +0.000%5.86I 17.06%NM 16.36%EV -1.87%E -0.318%K -0.384%G +0.000%4.32I 23.15%NM 22.19%EV +0.242%E +0.056%K +0.073%G +0.000%4.3%2026-04-23 22:39
Marathon Bet1.52I 65.79%NM 61.40%EV -8.72%E -5.74%K -16.78%G +0.000%5.70I 17.54%NM 16.37%EV -4.54%E -0.797%K -0.967%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 22.22%EV -2.54%E -0.605%K -0.795%G +0.000%7.1%2026-04-23 22:34
Pinnacle1.55I 64.52%NM 61.11%EV -6.92%E -4.47%K -12.59%G +0.000%5.96I 16.78%NM 15.89%EV -0.190%E -0.032%K -0.038%G +0.000%4.12I 24.27%NM 22.99%EV -4.40%E -1.07%K -1.41%G +0.000%5.6%2026-04-23 22:45
Fanatics1.56I 64.10%NM 60.54%EV -6.32%E -4.05%K -11.29%G +0.000%5.75I 17.39%NM 16.42%EV -3.71%E -0.645%K -0.780%G +0.000%4.10I 24.39%NM 23.03%EV -4.86%E -1.19%K -1.57%G +0.000%5.9%2026-04-23 09:39
DraftKings1.56I 64.10%NM 60.09%EV -6.32%E -4.05%K -11.29%G +0.000%5.50I 18.18%NM 17.04%EV -7.89%E -1.44%K -1.75%G +0.000%4.10I 24.39%NM 22.86%EV -4.86%E -1.19%K -1.57%G +0.000%6.7%2026-04-23 11:00
Betsson1.55I 64.52%NM 60.08%EV -6.92%E -4.47%K -12.59%G +0.000%5.50I 18.18%NM 16.93%EV -7.89%E -1.44%K -1.75%G +0.000%4.05I 24.69%NM 22.99%EV -6.02%E -1.49%K -1.97%G +0.000%7.4%2026-04-23 21:19
NordicBet1.55I 64.52%NM 60.08%EV -6.92%E -4.47%K -12.59%G +0.000%5.50I 18.18%NM 16.93%EV -7.89%E -1.44%K -1.75%G +0.000%4.05I 24.69%NM 22.99%EV -6.02%E -1.49%K -1.97%G +0.000%7.4%2026-04-23 21:19
Coolbet1.60I 62.50%NM 59.59%EV -3.92%E -2.45%K -6.54%G +0.000%5.75I 17.39%NM 16.58%EV -3.71%E -0.645%K -0.780%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.83%EV -7.18%E -1.80%K -2.39%G +0.000%4.9%2026-04-23 20:59
Svenska Spel1.57I 63.69%NM 59.78%EV -5.72%E -3.64%K -10.04%G +0.000%5.60I 17.86%NM 16.76%EV -6.22%E -1.11%K -1.35%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.46%EV -7.18%E -1.80%K -2.39%G +0.000%6.6%2026-04-23 22:29
ATG (SE)1.57I 63.69%NM 59.78%EV -5.72%E -3.64%K -10.04%G +0.000%5.60I 17.86%NM 16.76%EV -6.22%E -1.11%K -1.35%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.46%EV -7.18%E -1.80%K -2.39%G +0.000%6.6%2026-04-23 22:30
Unibet1.56I 64.10%NM 59.75%EV -6.32%E -4.05%K -11.29%G +0.000%5.50I 18.18%NM 16.95%EV -7.89%E -1.44%K -1.75%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.30%EV -7.18%E -1.80%K -2.39%G +0.000%7.3%2026-04-23 22:30
Unibet (SE)1.56I 64.10%NM 59.75%EV -6.32%E -4.05%K -11.29%G +0.000%5.50I 18.18%NM 16.95%EV -7.89%E -1.44%K -1.75%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.30%EV -7.18%E -1.80%K -2.39%G +0.000%7.3%2026-04-23 22:30
Mr Green (SE)1.53I 65.36%NM 60.22%EV -8.12%E -5.31%K -15.33%G +0.000%5.50I 18.18%NM 16.75%EV -7.89%E -1.44%K -1.75%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.03%EV -7.18%E -1.80%K -2.39%G +0.000%8.5%2026-04-19 13:20
LowVig.ag1.53I 65.36%NM 60.22%EV -8.12%E -5.31%K -15.33%G +0.000%5.50I 18.18%NM 16.75%EV -7.89%E -1.44%K -1.75%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.03%EV -7.18%E -1.80%K -2.39%G +0.000%8.5%2026-04-23 11:24
BetOnline.ag1.53I 65.36%NM 60.22%EV -8.12%E -5.31%K -15.33%G +0.000%5.50I 18.18%NM 16.75%EV -7.89%E -1.44%K -1.75%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.03%EV -7.18%E -1.80%K -2.39%G +0.000%8.5%2026-04-23 11:24
Bovada1.52I 65.79%NM 60.55%EV -8.72%E -5.74%K -16.78%G +0.000%5.60I 17.86%NM 16.44%EV -6.22%E -1.11%K -1.35%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.01%EV -7.18%E -1.80%K -2.39%G +0.000%8.6%2026-04-23 22:32
BetAnything1.52I 65.79%NM 60.55%EV -8.72%E -5.74%K -16.78%G +0.000%5.60I 17.86%NM 16.44%EV -6.22%E -1.11%K -1.35%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.01%EV -7.18%E -1.80%K -2.39%G +0.000%8.6%2026-04-23 22:34
Tipico (DE)1.50I 66.67%NM 61.21%EV -9.93%E -6.62%K -19.85%G +0.000%5.80I 17.24%NM 15.83%EV -2.87%E -0.495%K -0.598%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 22.96%EV -7.18%E -1.80%K -2.39%G +0.000%8.9%2026-04-23 12:14
FanDuel1.51I 66.23%NM 60.53%EV -9.33%E -6.18%K -18.29%G +0.000%5.50I 18.18%NM 16.62%EV -7.89%E -1.44%K -1.75%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 22.85%EV -7.18%E -1.80%K -2.39%G +0.000%9.4%2026-04-23 20:58
SportsBet1.50I 66.67%NM 60.69%EV -9.93%E -6.62%K -19.85%G +0.000%5.50I 18.18%NM 16.55%EV -7.89%E -1.44%K -1.75%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 22.76%EV -7.18%E -1.80%K -2.39%G +0.000%9.8%2026-04-23 20:59
Winamax (DE)1.50I 66.67%NM 59.70%EV -9.93%E -6.62%K -19.85%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 17.91%EV -16.27%E -3.25%K -4.07%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 22.39%EV -7.18%E -1.80%K -2.39%G +0.000%11.7%2026-04-23 21:20
BoyleSports1.50I 66.67%NM 59.70%EV -9.93%E -6.62%K -19.85%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 17.91%EV -16.27%E -3.25%K -4.07%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 22.39%EV -7.18%E -1.80%K -2.39%G +0.000%11.7%2026-04-19 23:10
Betr (AU)1.58I 63.29%NM 59.09%EV -5.12%E -3.24%K -8.83%G +0.000%5.50I 18.18%NM 16.97%EV -7.89%E -1.44%K -1.75%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 23.94%EV -9.50%E -2.44%K -3.28%G +0.000%7.1%2026-04-23 20:59
theScore Bet1.57I 63.69%NM 59.24%EV -5.72%E -3.64%K -10.04%G +0.000%5.50I 18.18%NM 16.91%EV -7.89%E -1.44%K -1.75%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 23.85%EV -9.50%E -2.44%K -3.28%G +0.000%7.5%2026-04-23 20:59
PointsBet (AU)1.56I 64.10%NM 59.40%EV -6.32%E -4.05%K -11.29%G +0.000%5.50I 18.18%NM 16.85%EV -7.89%E -1.44%K -1.75%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 23.76%EV -9.50%E -2.44%K -3.28%G +0.000%7.9%2026-04-23 20:59
TABtouch1.54I 64.94%NM 59.52%EV -7.52%E -4.89%K -13.93%G +0.000%5.40I 18.52%NM 16.97%EV -9.57%E -1.77%K -2.17%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 23.50%EV -9.50%E -2.44%K -3.28%G +0.000%9.1%2026-04-23 22:29
Casumo1.54I 64.94%NM 59.52%EV -7.52%E -4.89%K -13.93%G +0.000%5.40I 18.52%NM 16.97%EV -9.57%E -1.77%K -2.17%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 23.50%EV -9.50%E -2.44%K -3.28%G +0.000%9.1%2026-04-23 22:29
Grosvenor1.54I 64.94%NM 59.52%EV -7.52%E -4.89%K -13.93%G +0.000%5.40I 18.52%NM 16.97%EV -9.57%E -1.77%K -2.17%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 23.50%EV -9.50%E -2.44%K -3.28%G +0.000%9.1%2026-04-23 22:30
betPARX1.54I 64.94%NM 59.52%EV -7.52%E -4.89%K -13.93%G +0.000%5.40I 18.52%NM 16.97%EV -9.57%E -1.77%K -2.17%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 23.50%EV -9.50%E -2.44%K -3.28%G +0.000%9.1%2026-04-23 22:29
BetMGM1.53I 65.36%NM 59.86%EV -8.12%E -5.31%K -15.33%G +0.000%5.50I 18.18%NM 16.65%EV -7.89%E -1.44%K -1.75%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 23.48%EV -9.50%E -2.44%K -3.28%G +0.000%9.2%2026-04-20 10:25
LeoVegas (SE)1.53I 65.36%NM 59.68%EV -8.12%E -5.31%K -15.33%G +0.000%5.40I 18.52%NM 16.91%EV -9.57%E -1.77%K -2.17%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 23.41%EV -9.50%E -2.44%K -3.28%G +0.000%9.5%2026-04-23 22:29
Codere (IT)1.52I 65.79%NM 59.84%EV -8.72%E -5.74%K -16.78%G +0.000%5.40I 18.52%NM 16.84%EV -9.57%E -1.77%K -2.17%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 23.32%EV -9.50%E -2.44%K -3.28%G +0.000%9.9%2026-04-23 21:25
William Hill1.50I 66.67%NM 60.34%EV -9.93%E -6.62%K -19.85%G +0.000%5.50I 18.18%NM 16.46%EV -7.89%E -1.44%K -1.75%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 23.21%EV -9.50%E -2.44%K -3.28%G +0.000%10.5%2026-04-19 13:20
Betclic (FR)1.49I 67.11%NM 59.96%EV -10.53%E -7.06%K -21.48%G +0.000%5.25I 19.05%NM 17.02%EV -12.08%E -2.30%K -2.84%G +0.000%3.88I 25.77%NM 23.03%EV -9.97%E -2.57%K -3.46%G +0.000%11.9%2026-04-23 21:25
LeoVegas1.53I 65.36%NM 59.50%EV -8.12%E -5.31%K -15.33%G +0.000%5.40I 18.52%NM 16.86%EV -9.57%E -1.77%K -2.17%G +0.000%3.85I 25.97%NM 23.64%EV -10.66%E -2.77%K -3.74%G +0.000%9.9%2026-04-23 22:29
PlayUp1.52I 65.79%NM 59.37%EV -8.72%E -5.74%K -16.78%G +0.000%5.25I 19.05%NM 17.19%EV -12.08%E -2.30%K -2.84%G +0.000%3.85I 25.97%NM 23.44%EV -10.66%E -2.77%K -3.74%G +0.000%10.8%2026-04-21 14:25
Virgin Bet1.50I 66.67%NM 59.79%EV -9.93%E -6.62%K -19.85%G +0.000%5.30I 18.87%NM 16.92%EV -11.24%E -2.12%K -2.61%G +0.000%3.85I 25.97%NM 23.29%EV -10.66%E -2.77%K -3.74%G +0.000%11.5%2026-04-23 22:30
LiveScore Bet1.50I 66.67%NM 59.79%EV -9.93%E -6.62%K -19.85%G +0.000%5.30I 18.87%NM 16.92%EV -11.24%E -2.12%K -2.61%G +0.000%3.85I 25.97%NM 23.29%EV -10.66%E -2.77%K -3.74%G +0.000%11.5%2026-04-23 22:30
Unibet (FR)1.47I 68.03%NM 60.27%EV -11.73%E -7.98%K -24.95%G +0.000%5.30I 18.87%NM 16.72%EV -11.24%E -2.12%K -2.61%G +0.000%3.85I 25.97%NM 23.01%EV -10.66%E -2.77%K -3.74%G +0.000%12.9%2026-04-23 21:20
Betway1.57I 63.69%NM 58.87%EV -5.72%E -3.64%K -10.04%G +0.000%5.50I 18.18%NM 16.81%EV -7.89%E -1.44%K -1.75%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 24.32%EV -11.82%E -3.11%K -4.22%G +0.000%8.2%2026-04-23 11:00
Bet Victor1.53I 65.36%NM 59.50%EV -8.12%E -5.31%K -15.33%G +0.000%5.50I 18.18%NM 16.55%EV -7.89%E -1.44%K -1.75%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 23.95%EV -11.82%E -3.11%K -4.22%G +0.000%9.9%2026-04-22 09:30
Paddy Power1.50I 66.67%NM 59.01%EV -9.93%E -6.62%K -19.85%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 17.70%EV -16.27%E -3.25%K -4.07%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 23.29%EV -11.82%E -3.11%K -4.22%G +0.000%13.0%2026-04-23 20:58
Winamax (FR)1.46I 68.49%NM 59.23%EV -12.33%E -8.44%K -26.80%G +0.000%4.80I 20.83%NM 18.02%EV -19.62%E -4.09%K -5.16%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 22.76%EV -11.82%E -3.11%K -4.22%G +0.000%15.6%2026-04-23 21:19
betfred_uk1.57I 63.69%NM 58.68%EV -5.72%E -3.64%K -10.04%G +0.000%5.50I 18.18%NM 16.75%EV -7.89%E -1.44%K -1.75%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 24.57%EV -12.98%E -3.46%K -4.72%G +0.000%8.5%2026-04-23 20:59
Neds1.53I 65.36%NM 58.84%EV -8.12%E -5.31%K -15.33%G +0.000%5.25I 19.05%NM 17.15%EV -12.08%E -2.30%K -2.84%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 24.01%EV -12.98%E -3.46%K -4.72%G +0.000%11.1%2026-04-20 10:25
Ladbrokes (AU)1.53I 65.36%NM 58.84%EV -8.12%E -5.31%K -15.33%G +0.000%5.25I 19.05%NM 17.15%EV -12.08%E -2.30%K -2.84%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 24.01%EV -12.98%E -3.46%K -4.72%G +0.000%11.1%2026-04-20 10:24
Ladbrokes (UK)1.53I 65.36%NM 58.84%EV -8.12%E -5.31%K -15.33%G +0.000%5.25I 19.05%NM 17.15%EV -12.08%E -2.30%K -2.84%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 24.01%EV -12.98%E -3.46%K -4.72%G +0.000%11.1%2026-04-20 10:25
Coral1.53I 65.36%NM 58.84%EV -8.12%E -5.31%K -15.33%G +0.000%5.25I 19.05%NM 17.15%EV -12.08%E -2.30%K -2.84%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 24.01%EV -12.98%E -3.46%K -4.72%G +0.000%11.1%2026-04-20 10:25
Sky Bet1.50I 66.67%NM 58.82%EV -9.93%E -6.62%K -19.85%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 17.65%EV -16.27%E -3.25%K -4.07%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 23.53%EV -12.98%E -3.46%K -4.72%G +0.000%13.3%2026-04-23 20:58
PMU (FR)1.47I 68.03%NM 59.71%EV -11.73%E -7.98%K -24.95%G +0.000%5.20I 19.23%NM 16.88%EV -12.92%E -2.48%K -3.08%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 23.41%EV -12.98%E -3.46%K -4.72%G +0.000%13.9%2026-04-23 22:29
NetBet (FR)1.45I 68.97%NM 60.04%EV -12.93%E -8.92%K -28.73%G +0.000%5.20I 19.23%NM 16.74%EV -12.92%E -2.48%K -3.08%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 23.22%EV -12.98%E -3.46%K -4.72%G +0.000%14.9%2026-04-23 08:39
Betfair Sportsbook (UK)1.44I 69.44%NM 57.99%EV -13.53%E -9.40%K -30.75%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 16.70%EV -16.27%E -3.25%K -4.07%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 25.31%EV -23.43%E -7.10%K -10.19%G +0.000%19.7%2026-04-23 20:59
الهامش = الهامش · I = الاحتمال الضمني · NM = الاحتمال بلا هامش · EV = القيمة المتوقعة · E = الأفضلية · K = معيار Kelly · G = نمو رأس مال المراهنات

آخر تحديث هو وقت آخر تغيير أجرته كل شركة على سعرها؛ فالوقت الأقدم يعني أن السعر لم يتحرك فحسب، لا أنه متقادم. تُستبعد عادة الشركات التي لم تصل عنها بيانات خلال نحو 15 دقيقة؛ ولا تُعرض آخر الأسعار المسجلة بدلًا من ذلك إلا إذا انقطع تدفق بيانات السوق كله.

بورصات المراهنات (6)

شركة المراهناتالمضيفالضيفتعادلالهامش ▲آخر تحديث
Matchbook1.60I 62.50%NM 60.97%6.40I 15.63%NM 15.24%4.10I 24.39%NM 23.79%2.5%2026-04-23 21:45
Betfair Exchange (EU)1.59I 62.89%NM 60.82%6.20I 16.13%NM 15.60%4.10I 24.39%NM 23.59%3.4%2026-04-23 21:25
Betfair Exchange (UK)1.59I 62.89%NM 60.82%6.20I 16.13%NM 15.60%4.10I 24.39%NM 23.59%3.4%2026-04-23 21:25
Betfair Exchange (AU)1.59I 62.89%NM 60.82%6.20I 16.13%NM 15.60%4.10I 24.39%NM 23.59%3.4%2026-04-23 21:20
Smarkets1.58I 63.29%NM 60.61%6.20I 16.13%NM 15.45%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.94%4.4%2026-04-23 22:15
Kalshi1.56I 64.10%NM 60.43%5.56I 17.99%NM 16.96%4.17I 23.98%NM 22.61%6.1%2026-04-24 00:30