La escuela de los momiosIdioma:Español
Real Valladolid CF v Real Sociedad B
Momios de cierre — las predicciones y el valor esperado calculados con los últimos momios registrados antes del inicio, según el modelo seleccionado. El partido ya comenzó; estas cifras no son datos en vivo. Evalúe la fiabilidad de las predicciones probabilísticas de cada modelo frente a los resultados de todos los partidos resueltos →
Resultado del partido
Real Valladolid CF (Local)
Predicción 60.05%1.67momio equitativo
EV -3.92%
Ventaja -2.45%
Kelly -6.54%
Crecimiento +0.000%
suponiendo unos momios máximos de 1.60
Distribución de las predicciones de los corredores
57.99%60.07%60.13%61.45%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX
Distribución de los momios
1.441.531.531.6069.44%65.47%65.36%62.50%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX
Real Sociedad B (Visitante)
Predicción 16.75%5.97momio equitativo
EV -0.190%
Ventaja -0.032%
Kelly -0.038%
Crecimiento +0.000%
suponiendo unos momios máximos de 5.96
Distribución de las predicciones de los corredores
15.83%16.71%16.78%18.02%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX
Distribución de los momios
4.805.425.505.9620.83%18.46%18.18%16.78%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX
Empate
Predicción 23.20%4.31momio equitativo
EV +0.242%
Ventaja +0.056%
Kelly +0.073%
Crecimiento +0.000%
suponiendo unos momios máximos de 4.32
Distribución de las predicciones de los corredores
22.19%23.23%23.08%25.31%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX
Distribución de los momios
3.303.913.904.3230.30%25.56%25.64%23.15%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX
Momios de las casas de apuestas (52 corredores)
No estamos afiliados a ninguna casa de apuestas ni obtenemos beneficio alguno de las operaciones realizadas con ellas.
| Corredor | Local | Visitante | Empate ▼ | Margen | Actualizado |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1xBet | 1.56I 64.10%NM 61.45%EV -6.32%E -4.05%K -11.29%G +0.000% | 5.86I 17.06%NM 16.36%EV -1.87%E -0.318%K -0.384%G +0.000% | 4.32I 23.15%NM 22.19%EV +0.242%E +0.056%K +0.073%G +0.000% | 4.3% | 2026-04-23 22:39 |
| Marathon Bet | 1.52I 65.79%NM 61.40%EV -8.72%E -5.74%K -16.78%G +0.000% | 5.70I 17.54%NM 16.37%EV -4.54%E -0.797%K -0.967%G +0.000% | 4.20I 23.81%NM 22.22%EV -2.54%E -0.605%K -0.795%G +0.000% | 7.1% | 2026-04-23 22:34 |
| Pinnacle | 1.55I 64.52%NM 61.11%EV -6.92%E -4.47%K -12.59%G +0.000% | 5.96I 16.78%NM 15.89%EV -0.190%E -0.032%K -0.038%G +0.000% | 4.12I 24.27%NM 22.99%EV -4.40%E -1.07%K -1.41%G +0.000% | 5.6% | 2026-04-23 22:45 |
| Fanatics | 1.56I 64.10%NM 60.54%EV -6.32%E -4.05%K -11.29%G +0.000% | 5.75I 17.39%NM 16.42%EV -3.71%E -0.645%K -0.780%G +0.000% | 4.10I 24.39%NM 23.03%EV -4.86%E -1.19%K -1.57%G +0.000% | 5.9% | 2026-04-23 09:39 |
| DraftKings | 1.56I 64.10%NM 60.09%EV -6.32%E -4.05%K -11.29%G +0.000% | 5.50I 18.18%NM 17.04%EV -7.89%E -1.44%K -1.75%G +0.000% | 4.10I 24.39%NM 22.86%EV -4.86%E -1.19%K -1.57%G +0.000% | 6.7% | 2026-04-23 11:00 |
| Betsson | 1.55I 64.52%NM 60.08%EV -6.92%E -4.47%K -12.59%G +0.000% | 5.50I 18.18%NM 16.93%EV -7.89%E -1.44%K -1.75%G +0.000% | 4.05I 24.69%NM 22.99%EV -6.02%E -1.49%K -1.97%G +0.000% | 7.4% | 2026-04-23 21:19 |
| NordicBet | 1.55I 64.52%NM 60.08%EV -6.92%E -4.47%K -12.59%G +0.000% | 5.50I 18.18%NM 16.93%EV -7.89%E -1.44%K -1.75%G +0.000% | 4.05I 24.69%NM 22.99%EV -6.02%E -1.49%K -1.97%G +0.000% | 7.4% | 2026-04-23 21:19 |
| Coolbet | 1.60I 62.50%NM 59.59%EV -3.92%E -2.45%K -6.54%G +0.000% | 5.75I 17.39%NM 16.58%EV -3.71%E -0.645%K -0.780%G +0.000% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 23.83%EV -7.18%E -1.80%K -2.39%G +0.000% | 4.9% | 2026-04-23 20:59 |
| Svenska Spel | 1.57I 63.69%NM 59.78%EV -5.72%E -3.64%K -10.04%G +0.000% | 5.60I 17.86%NM 16.76%EV -6.22%E -1.11%K -1.35%G +0.000% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 23.46%EV -7.18%E -1.80%K -2.39%G +0.000% | 6.6% | 2026-04-23 22:29 |
| ATG (SE) | 1.57I 63.69%NM 59.78%EV -5.72%E -3.64%K -10.04%G +0.000% | 5.60I 17.86%NM 16.76%EV -6.22%E -1.11%K -1.35%G +0.000% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 23.46%EV -7.18%E -1.80%K -2.39%G +0.000% | 6.6% | 2026-04-23 22:30 |
| Unibet | 1.56I 64.10%NM 59.75%EV -6.32%E -4.05%K -11.29%G +0.000% | 5.50I 18.18%NM 16.95%EV -7.89%E -1.44%K -1.75%G +0.000% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 23.30%EV -7.18%E -1.80%K -2.39%G +0.000% | 7.3% | 2026-04-23 22:30 |
| Unibet (SE) | 1.56I 64.10%NM 59.75%EV -6.32%E -4.05%K -11.29%G +0.000% | 5.50I 18.18%NM 16.95%EV -7.89%E -1.44%K -1.75%G +0.000% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 23.30%EV -7.18%E -1.80%K -2.39%G +0.000% | 7.3% | 2026-04-23 22:30 |
| Mr Green (SE) | 1.53I 65.36%NM 60.22%EV -8.12%E -5.31%K -15.33%G +0.000% | 5.50I 18.18%NM 16.75%EV -7.89%E -1.44%K -1.75%G +0.000% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 23.03%EV -7.18%E -1.80%K -2.39%G +0.000% | 8.5% | 2026-04-19 13:20 |
| LowVig.ag | 1.53I 65.36%NM 60.22%EV -8.12%E -5.31%K -15.33%G +0.000% | 5.50I 18.18%NM 16.75%EV -7.89%E -1.44%K -1.75%G +0.000% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 23.03%EV -7.18%E -1.80%K -2.39%G +0.000% | 8.5% | 2026-04-23 11:24 |
| BetOnline.ag | 1.53I 65.36%NM 60.22%EV -8.12%E -5.31%K -15.33%G +0.000% | 5.50I 18.18%NM 16.75%EV -7.89%E -1.44%K -1.75%G +0.000% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 23.03%EV -7.18%E -1.80%K -2.39%G +0.000% | 8.5% | 2026-04-23 11:24 |
| Bovada | 1.52I 65.79%NM 60.55%EV -8.72%E -5.74%K -16.78%G +0.000% | 5.60I 17.86%NM 16.44%EV -6.22%E -1.11%K -1.35%G +0.000% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 23.01%EV -7.18%E -1.80%K -2.39%G +0.000% | 8.6% | 2026-04-23 22:32 |
| BetAnything | 1.52I 65.79%NM 60.55%EV -8.72%E -5.74%K -16.78%G +0.000% | 5.60I 17.86%NM 16.44%EV -6.22%E -1.11%K -1.35%G +0.000% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 23.01%EV -7.18%E -1.80%K -2.39%G +0.000% | 8.6% | 2026-04-23 22:34 |
| Tipico (DE) | 1.50I 66.67%NM 61.21%EV -9.93%E -6.62%K -19.85%G +0.000% | 5.80I 17.24%NM 15.83%EV -2.87%E -0.495%K -0.598%G +0.000% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 22.96%EV -7.18%E -1.80%K -2.39%G +0.000% | 8.9% | 2026-04-23 12:14 |
| FanDuel | 1.51I 66.23%NM 60.53%EV -9.33%E -6.18%K -18.29%G +0.000% | 5.50I 18.18%NM 16.62%EV -7.89%E -1.44%K -1.75%G +0.000% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 22.85%EV -7.18%E -1.80%K -2.39%G +0.000% | 9.4% | 2026-04-23 20:58 |
| SportsBet | 1.50I 66.67%NM 60.69%EV -9.93%E -6.62%K -19.85%G +0.000% | 5.50I 18.18%NM 16.55%EV -7.89%E -1.44%K -1.75%G +0.000% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 22.76%EV -7.18%E -1.80%K -2.39%G +0.000% | 9.8% | 2026-04-23 20:59 |
| Winamax (DE) | 1.50I 66.67%NM 59.70%EV -9.93%E -6.62%K -19.85%G +0.000% | 5.00I 20.00%NM 17.91%EV -16.27%E -3.25%K -4.07%G +0.000% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 22.39%EV -7.18%E -1.80%K -2.39%G +0.000% | 11.7% | 2026-04-23 21:20 |
| BoyleSports | 1.50I 66.67%NM 59.70%EV -9.93%E -6.62%K -19.85%G +0.000% | 5.00I 20.00%NM 17.91%EV -16.27%E -3.25%K -4.07%G +0.000% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 22.39%EV -7.18%E -1.80%K -2.39%G +0.000% | 11.7% | 2026-04-19 23:10 |
| Betr (AU) | 1.58I 63.29%NM 59.09%EV -5.12%E -3.24%K -8.83%G +0.000% | 5.50I 18.18%NM 16.97%EV -7.89%E -1.44%K -1.75%G +0.000% | 3.90I 25.64%NM 23.94%EV -9.50%E -2.44%K -3.28%G +0.000% | 7.1% | 2026-04-23 20:59 |
| theScore Bet | 1.57I 63.69%NM 59.24%EV -5.72%E -3.64%K -10.04%G +0.000% | 5.50I 18.18%NM 16.91%EV -7.89%E -1.44%K -1.75%G +0.000% | 3.90I 25.64%NM 23.85%EV -9.50%E -2.44%K -3.28%G +0.000% | 7.5% | 2026-04-23 20:59 |
| PointsBet (AU) | 1.56I 64.10%NM 59.40%EV -6.32%E -4.05%K -11.29%G +0.000% | 5.50I 18.18%NM 16.85%EV -7.89%E -1.44%K -1.75%G +0.000% | 3.90I 25.64%NM 23.76%EV -9.50%E -2.44%K -3.28%G +0.000% | 7.9% | 2026-04-23 20:59 |
| TABtouch | 1.54I 64.94%NM 59.52%EV -7.52%E -4.89%K -13.93%G +0.000% | 5.40I 18.52%NM 16.97%EV -9.57%E -1.77%K -2.17%G +0.000% | 3.90I 25.64%NM 23.50%EV -9.50%E -2.44%K -3.28%G +0.000% | 9.1% | 2026-04-23 22:29 |
| Casumo | 1.54I 64.94%NM 59.52%EV -7.52%E -4.89%K -13.93%G +0.000% | 5.40I 18.52%NM 16.97%EV -9.57%E -1.77%K -2.17%G +0.000% | 3.90I 25.64%NM 23.50%EV -9.50%E -2.44%K -3.28%G +0.000% | 9.1% | 2026-04-23 22:29 |
| Grosvenor | 1.54I 64.94%NM 59.52%EV -7.52%E -4.89%K -13.93%G +0.000% | 5.40I 18.52%NM 16.97%EV -9.57%E -1.77%K -2.17%G +0.000% | 3.90I 25.64%NM 23.50%EV -9.50%E -2.44%K -3.28%G +0.000% | 9.1% | 2026-04-23 22:30 |
| betPARX | 1.54I 64.94%NM 59.52%EV -7.52%E -4.89%K -13.93%G +0.000% | 5.40I 18.52%NM 16.97%EV -9.57%E -1.77%K -2.17%G +0.000% | 3.90I 25.64%NM 23.50%EV -9.50%E -2.44%K -3.28%G +0.000% | 9.1% | 2026-04-23 22:29 |
| BetMGM | 1.53I 65.36%NM 59.86%EV -8.12%E -5.31%K -15.33%G +0.000% | 5.50I 18.18%NM 16.65%EV -7.89%E -1.44%K -1.75%G +0.000% | 3.90I 25.64%NM 23.48%EV -9.50%E -2.44%K -3.28%G +0.000% | 9.2% | 2026-04-20 10:25 |
| LeoVegas (SE) | 1.53I 65.36%NM 59.68%EV -8.12%E -5.31%K -15.33%G +0.000% | 5.40I 18.52%NM 16.91%EV -9.57%E -1.77%K -2.17%G +0.000% | 3.90I 25.64%NM 23.41%EV -9.50%E -2.44%K -3.28%G +0.000% | 9.5% | 2026-04-23 22:29 |
| Codere (IT) | 1.52I 65.79%NM 59.84%EV -8.72%E -5.74%K -16.78%G +0.000% | 5.40I 18.52%NM 16.84%EV -9.57%E -1.77%K -2.17%G +0.000% | 3.90I 25.64%NM 23.32%EV -9.50%E -2.44%K -3.28%G +0.000% | 9.9% | 2026-04-23 21:25 |
| William Hill | 1.50I 66.67%NM 60.34%EV -9.93%E -6.62%K -19.85%G +0.000% | 5.50I 18.18%NM 16.46%EV -7.89%E -1.44%K -1.75%G +0.000% | 3.90I 25.64%NM 23.21%EV -9.50%E -2.44%K -3.28%G +0.000% | 10.5% | 2026-04-19 13:20 |
| Betclic (FR) | 1.49I 67.11%NM 59.96%EV -10.53%E -7.06%K -21.48%G +0.000% | 5.25I 19.05%NM 17.02%EV -12.08%E -2.30%K -2.84%G +0.000% | 3.88I 25.77%NM 23.03%EV -9.97%E -2.57%K -3.46%G +0.000% | 11.9% | 2026-04-23 21:25 |
| LeoVegas | 1.53I 65.36%NM 59.50%EV -8.12%E -5.31%K -15.33%G +0.000% | 5.40I 18.52%NM 16.86%EV -9.57%E -1.77%K -2.17%G +0.000% | 3.85I 25.97%NM 23.64%EV -10.66%E -2.77%K -3.74%G +0.000% | 9.9% | 2026-04-23 22:29 |
| PlayUp | 1.52I 65.79%NM 59.37%EV -8.72%E -5.74%K -16.78%G +0.000% | 5.25I 19.05%NM 17.19%EV -12.08%E -2.30%K -2.84%G +0.000% | 3.85I 25.97%NM 23.44%EV -10.66%E -2.77%K -3.74%G +0.000% | 10.8% | 2026-04-21 14:25 |
| Virgin Bet | 1.50I 66.67%NM 59.79%EV -9.93%E -6.62%K -19.85%G +0.000% | 5.30I 18.87%NM 16.92%EV -11.24%E -2.12%K -2.61%G +0.000% | 3.85I 25.97%NM 23.29%EV -10.66%E -2.77%K -3.74%G +0.000% | 11.5% | 2026-04-23 22:30 |
| LiveScore Bet | 1.50I 66.67%NM 59.79%EV -9.93%E -6.62%K -19.85%G +0.000% | 5.30I 18.87%NM 16.92%EV -11.24%E -2.12%K -2.61%G +0.000% | 3.85I 25.97%NM 23.29%EV -10.66%E -2.77%K -3.74%G +0.000% | 11.5% | 2026-04-23 22:30 |
| Unibet (FR) | 1.47I 68.03%NM 60.27%EV -11.73%E -7.98%K -24.95%G +0.000% | 5.30I 18.87%NM 16.72%EV -11.24%E -2.12%K -2.61%G +0.000% | 3.85I 25.97%NM 23.01%EV -10.66%E -2.77%K -3.74%G +0.000% | 12.9% | 2026-04-23 21:20 |
| Betway | 1.57I 63.69%NM 58.87%EV -5.72%E -3.64%K -10.04%G +0.000% | 5.50I 18.18%NM 16.81%EV -7.89%E -1.44%K -1.75%G +0.000% | 3.80I 26.32%NM 24.32%EV -11.82%E -3.11%K -4.22%G +0.000% | 8.2% | 2026-04-23 11:00 |
| Bet Victor | 1.53I 65.36%NM 59.50%EV -8.12%E -5.31%K -15.33%G +0.000% | 5.50I 18.18%NM 16.55%EV -7.89%E -1.44%K -1.75%G +0.000% | 3.80I 26.32%NM 23.95%EV -11.82%E -3.11%K -4.22%G +0.000% | 9.9% | 2026-04-22 09:30 |
| Paddy Power | 1.50I 66.67%NM 59.01%EV -9.93%E -6.62%K -19.85%G +0.000% | 5.00I 20.00%NM 17.70%EV -16.27%E -3.25%K -4.07%G +0.000% | 3.80I 26.32%NM 23.29%EV -11.82%E -3.11%K -4.22%G +0.000% | 13.0% | 2026-04-23 20:58 |
| Winamax (FR) | 1.46I 68.49%NM 59.23%EV -12.33%E -8.44%K -26.80%G +0.000% | 4.80I 20.83%NM 18.02%EV -19.62%E -4.09%K -5.16%G +0.000% | 3.80I 26.32%NM 22.76%EV -11.82%E -3.11%K -4.22%G +0.000% | 15.6% | 2026-04-23 21:19 |
| betfred_uk | 1.57I 63.69%NM 58.68%EV -5.72%E -3.64%K -10.04%G +0.000% | 5.50I 18.18%NM 16.75%EV -7.89%E -1.44%K -1.75%G +0.000% | 3.75I 26.67%NM 24.57%EV -12.98%E -3.46%K -4.72%G +0.000% | 8.5% | 2026-04-23 20:59 |
| Neds | 1.53I 65.36%NM 58.84%EV -8.12%E -5.31%K -15.33%G +0.000% | 5.25I 19.05%NM 17.15%EV -12.08%E -2.30%K -2.84%G +0.000% | 3.75I 26.67%NM 24.01%EV -12.98%E -3.46%K -4.72%G +0.000% | 11.1% | 2026-04-20 10:25 |
| Ladbrokes (AU) | 1.53I 65.36%NM 58.84%EV -8.12%E -5.31%K -15.33%G +0.000% | 5.25I 19.05%NM 17.15%EV -12.08%E -2.30%K -2.84%G +0.000% | 3.75I 26.67%NM 24.01%EV -12.98%E -3.46%K -4.72%G +0.000% | 11.1% | 2026-04-20 10:24 |
| Ladbrokes (UK) | 1.53I 65.36%NM 58.84%EV -8.12%E -5.31%K -15.33%G +0.000% | 5.25I 19.05%NM 17.15%EV -12.08%E -2.30%K -2.84%G +0.000% | 3.75I 26.67%NM 24.01%EV -12.98%E -3.46%K -4.72%G +0.000% | 11.1% | 2026-04-20 10:25 |
| Coral | 1.53I 65.36%NM 58.84%EV -8.12%E -5.31%K -15.33%G +0.000% | 5.25I 19.05%NM 17.15%EV -12.08%E -2.30%K -2.84%G +0.000% | 3.75I 26.67%NM 24.01%EV -12.98%E -3.46%K -4.72%G +0.000% | 11.1% | 2026-04-20 10:25 |
| Sky Bet | 1.50I 66.67%NM 58.82%EV -9.93%E -6.62%K -19.85%G +0.000% | 5.00I 20.00%NM 17.65%EV -16.27%E -3.25%K -4.07%G +0.000% | 3.75I 26.67%NM 23.53%EV -12.98%E -3.46%K -4.72%G +0.000% | 13.3% | 2026-04-23 20:58 |
| PMU (FR) | 1.47I 68.03%NM 59.71%EV -11.73%E -7.98%K -24.95%G +0.000% | 5.20I 19.23%NM 16.88%EV -12.92%E -2.48%K -3.08%G +0.000% | 3.75I 26.67%NM 23.41%EV -12.98%E -3.46%K -4.72%G +0.000% | 13.9% | 2026-04-23 22:29 |
| NetBet (FR) | 1.45I 68.97%NM 60.04%EV -12.93%E -8.92%K -28.73%G +0.000% | 5.20I 19.23%NM 16.74%EV -12.92%E -2.48%K -3.08%G +0.000% | 3.75I 26.67%NM 23.22%EV -12.98%E -3.46%K -4.72%G +0.000% | 14.9% | 2026-04-23 08:39 |
| Betfair Sportsbook (UK) | 1.44I 69.44%NM 57.99%EV -13.53%E -9.40%K -30.75%G +0.000% | 5.00I 20.00%NM 16.70%EV -16.27%E -3.25%K -4.07%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 25.31%EV -23.43%E -7.10%K -10.19%G +0.000% | 19.7% | 2026-04-23 20:59 |
Margen = Margen del corredor · I = Probabilidad implícita · NM = Probabilidad sin margen · EV = Valor esperado · E = Ventaja · K = Criterio de Kelly · G = Crecimiento del capital de apuestas
Actualizado indica cuándo actualizó cada corredor sus momios por última vez. Una hora anterior significa que los momios no han cambiado, no necesariamente que estén desactualizados. Por lo general se descartan los corredores de los que no se han recibido datos durante unos 15 minutos; solo cuando toda la fuente de un mercado deja de informar se conservan los últimos momios registrados.
Bolsas de apuestas (6)
| Corredor | Local | Visitante | Empate | Margen ▲ | Actualizado |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Matchbook | 1.60I 62.50%NM 60.97% | 6.40I 15.63%NM 15.24% | 4.10I 24.39%NM 23.79% | 2.5% | 2026-04-23 21:45 |
| Betfair Exchange (EU) | 1.59I 62.89%NM 60.82% | 6.20I 16.13%NM 15.60% | 4.10I 24.39%NM 23.59% | 3.4% | 2026-04-23 21:25 |
| Betfair Exchange (UK) | 1.59I 62.89%NM 60.82% | 6.20I 16.13%NM 15.60% | 4.10I 24.39%NM 23.59% | 3.4% | 2026-04-23 21:25 |
| Betfair Exchange (AU) | 1.59I 62.89%NM 60.82% | 6.20I 16.13%NM 15.60% | 4.10I 24.39%NM 23.59% | 3.4% | 2026-04-23 21:20 |
| Smarkets | 1.58I 63.29%NM 60.61% | 6.20I 16.13%NM 15.45% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 23.94% | 4.4% | 2026-04-23 22:15 |
| Kalshi | 1.56I 64.10%NM 60.43% | 5.56I 17.99%NM 16.96% | 4.17I 23.98%NM 22.61% | 6.1% | 2026-04-24 00:30 |