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Málaga v Real Valladolid CF
Коэффициенты закрытия — вероятности и ожидаемая ценность, рассчитанные выбранной моделью по последним коэффициентам, зарегистрированным до начала матча. Матч уже начался, поэтому это не текущие показатели. Оценить надёжность вероятностных прогнозов каждой модели по результатам всех завершённых матчей →
Победитель встречи
Málaga (Хозяева)
Прогноз 43.45%2.30справедливый коэффициент
EV -3.55%
Преимущество -1.60%
Kelly -2.91%
Рост +0.000%
при максимальном коэффициенте 2.22
Распределение прогнозов букмекерских контор
41.29%43.38%43.44%46.65%МИН.СРЕДНЕЕМЕДИАНАМАКС.
Распределение коэффициентов
1.942.072.052.2251.55%48.31%48.78%45.05%МИН.СРЕДНЕЕМЕДИАНАМАКС.
Real Valladolid CF (Гости)
Прогноз 27.24%3.67справедливый коэффициент
EV +2.15%
Преимущество +0.574%
Kelly +0.782%
Рост +0.017%
при максимальном коэффициенте 3.75
Распределение прогнозов букмекерских контор
24.92%27.33%27.21%28.76%МИН.СРЕДНЕЕМЕДИАНАМАКС.
Распределение коэффициентов
2.883.423.403.7534.72%29.24%29.41%26.67%МИН.СРЕДНЕЕМЕДИАНАМАКС.
Ничья
Прогноз 29.31%3.41справедливый коэффициент
EV -1.21%
Преимущество -0.359%
Kelly -0.511%
Рост +0.000%
при максимальном коэффициенте 3.37
Распределение прогнозов букмекерских контор
28.01%29.29%29.35%30.68%МИН.СРЕДНЕЕМЕДИАНАМАКС.
Распределение коэффициентов
2.753.143.153.3736.36%31.84%31.75%29.67%МИН.СРЕДНЕЕМЕДИАНАМАКС.
По последним коэффициентам перед началом модель Межквартильное среднее (Отобранный список) оценивала рынок «Победитель встречи» так: Málaga (Хозяева): 43.45%; Real Valladolid CF (Гости): 27.24%; Ничья: 29.31%. Для исхода «Real Valladolid CF (Гости)» эта оценка соответствовала справедливому десятичному коэффициенту 3.67. 5 букмекеров предлагали итоговые коэффициенты выше этого уровня; лучший составлял 3.75, что соответствовало положительному математическому ожиданию +2.15%.
Коэффициенты букмекерских контор (51 букмекерская контора)
Мы не связаны ни с одной букмекерской конторой и ничего не зарабатываем на действиях, совершаемых у них.
| Букмекерская контора | Хозяева | Гости ▼ | Ничья | Маржа | Обновлено |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Unibet🎯 | 2.02I 49.50%NM 46.49%EV -12.24%E -6.06%K -12.00%G +0.000% | 3.75I 26.67%NM 25.05%EV +2.15%E +0.574%K +0.782%G +0.017% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 28.46%EV -3.26%E -0.989%K -1.42%G +0.000% | 6.5% | 2026-03-07 19:40 |
| Unibet (SE)🎯 | 2.02I 49.50%NM 46.49%EV -12.24%E -6.06%K -12.00%G +0.000% | 3.75I 26.67%NM 25.05%EV +2.15%E +0.574%K +0.782%G +0.017% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 28.46%EV -3.26%E -0.989%K -1.42%G +0.000% | 6.5% | 2026-03-07 19:40 |
| Unibet (NL)🎯 | 2.02I 49.50%NM 46.49%EV -12.24%E -6.06%K -12.00%G +0.000% | 3.75I 26.67%NM 25.05%EV +2.15%E +0.574%K +0.782%G +0.017% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 28.46%EV -3.26%E -0.989%K -1.42%G +0.000% | 6.5% | 2026-03-07 19:40 |
| Svenska Spel🎯 | 2.02I 49.50%NM 46.49%EV -12.24%E -6.06%K -12.00%G +0.000% | 3.75I 26.67%NM 25.05%EV +2.15%E +0.574%K +0.782%G +0.017% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 28.46%EV -3.26%E -0.989%K -1.42%G +0.000% | 6.5% | 2026-03-07 19:39 |
| ATG (SE)🎯 | 2.02I 49.50%NM 46.49%EV -12.24%E -6.06%K -12.00%G +0.000% | 3.75I 26.67%NM 25.05%EV +2.15%E +0.574%K +0.782%G +0.017% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 28.46%EV -3.26%E -0.989%K -1.42%G +0.000% | 6.5% | 2026-03-07 19:40 |
| Pinnacle🎯 | 2.22I 45.05%NM 43.52%EV -3.55%E -1.60%K -2.91%G +0.000% | 3.65I 27.40%NM 26.47%EV -0.572%E -0.157%K -0.216%G +0.000% | 3.22I 31.06%NM 30.01%EV -5.61%E -1.74%K -2.53%G +0.000% | 3.5% | 2026-03-07 19:25 |
| Grosvenor🎯 | 1.97I 50.76%NM 46.60%EV -14.41%E -7.32%K -14.86%G +0.000% | 3.65I 27.40%NM 25.15%EV -0.572%E -0.157%K -0.216%G +0.000% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 28.25%EV -4.73%E -1.46%K -2.10%G +0.000% | 8.9% | 2026-03-07 19:40 |
| TABtouch🎯 | 1.97I 50.76%NM 46.60%EV -14.41%E -7.32%K -14.86%G +0.000% | 3.65I 27.40%NM 25.15%EV -0.572%E -0.157%K -0.216%G +0.000% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 28.25%EV -4.73%E -1.46%K -2.10%G +0.000% | 8.9% | 2026-03-07 19:39 |
| Casumo🎯 | 1.97I 50.76%NM 46.60%EV -14.41%E -7.32%K -14.86%G +0.000% | 3.65I 27.40%NM 25.15%EV -0.572%E -0.157%K -0.216%G +0.000% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 28.25%EV -4.73%E -1.46%K -2.10%G +0.000% | 8.9% | 2026-03-07 19:39 |
| betPARX🎯 | 1.97I 50.76%NM 46.60%EV -14.41%E -7.32%K -14.86%G +0.000% | 3.65I 27.40%NM 25.15%EV -0.572%E -0.157%K -0.216%G +0.000% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 28.25%EV -4.73%E -1.46%K -2.10%G +0.000% | 8.9% | 2026-03-07 19:39 |
| LeoVegas (SE)🎯 | 1.96I 51.02%NM 46.52%EV -14.85%E -7.57%K -15.47%G +0.000% | 3.65I 27.40%NM 24.98%EV -0.572%E -0.157%K -0.216%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 28.50%EV -6.19%E -1.94%K -2.82%G +0.000% | 9.7% | 2026-03-07 19:40 |
| LeoVegas🎯 | 1.95I 51.28%NM 46.65%EV -15.28%E -7.84%K -16.09%G +0.000% | 3.65I 27.40%NM 24.92%EV -0.572%E -0.157%K -0.216%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 28.43%EV -6.19%E -1.94%K -2.82%G +0.000% | 9.9% | 2026-03-07 19:40 |
| LiveScore Bet🎯 | 1.94I 51.55%NM 46.41%EV -15.72%E -8.10%K -16.72%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 25.01%EV -1.93%E -0.537%K -0.744%G +0.000% | 3.15I 31.75%NM 28.58%EV -7.66%E -2.43%K -3.56%G +0.000% | 11.1% | 2026-03-07 19:40 |
| Virgin Bet🎯 | 1.94I 51.55%NM 46.41%EV -15.72%E -8.10%K -16.72%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 25.01%EV -1.93%E -0.537%K -0.744%G +0.000% | 3.15I 31.75%NM 28.58%EV -7.66%E -2.43%K -3.56%G +0.000% | 11.1% | 2026-03-07 19:40 |
| LowVig.ag🎯 | 2.22I 45.05%NM 42.79%EV -3.55%E -1.60%K -2.91%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 27.14%EV -4.66%E -1.33%K -1.86%G +0.000% | 3.16I 31.65%NM 30.06%EV -7.37%E -2.33%K -3.41%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-03-07 19:20 |
| BetOnline.ag🎯 | 2.22I 45.05%NM 42.79%EV -3.55%E -1.60%K -2.91%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 27.14%EV -4.66%E -1.33%K -1.86%G +0.000% | 3.16I 31.65%NM 30.06%EV -7.37%E -2.33%K -3.41%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-03-07 19:24 |
| Fanatics🎯 | 2.15I 46.51%NM 43.74%EV -6.59%E -3.07%K -5.73%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 26.87%EV -4.66%E -1.33%K -1.86%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 29.39%EV -6.19%E -1.94%K -2.82%G +0.000% | 6.3% | 2026-03-07 19:05 |
| FanDuel🎯 | 2.15I 46.51%NM 43.33%EV -6.59%E -3.07%K -5.73%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 26.62%EV -4.66%E -1.33%K -1.86%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 30.05%EV -9.13%E -2.94%K -4.35%G +0.000% | 7.3% | 2026-03-07 19:54 |
| Tipico (DE)🎯 | 2.10I 47.62%NM 43.91%EV -8.76%E -4.17%K -7.97%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 26.35%EV -4.66%E -1.33%K -1.86%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 29.75%EV -9.13%E -2.94%K -4.35%G +0.000% | 8.4% | 2026-03-07 19:09 |
| SportsBet🎯 | 2.10I 47.62%NM 43.48%EV -8.76%E -4.17%K -7.97%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 26.09%EV -4.66%E -1.33%K -1.86%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 30.43%EV -12.06%E -4.02%K -6.03%G +0.000% | 9.5% | 2026-03-07 19:50 |
| Marathon Bet🎯 | 2.15I 46.51%NM 43.35%EV -6.59%E -3.07%K -5.73%G +0.000% | 3.48I 28.74%NM 26.78%EV -5.20%E -1.50%K -2.10%G +0.000% | 3.12I 32.05%NM 29.87%EV -8.54%E -2.74%K -4.03%G +0.000% | 7.3% | 2026-03-07 19:49 |
| 1xBet🎯 | 2.14I 46.73%NM 44.38%EV -7.03%E -3.28%K -6.16%G +0.000% | 3.46I 28.90%NM 27.45%EV -5.75%E -1.66%K -2.34%G +0.000% | 3.37I 29.67%NM 28.18%EV -1.21%E -0.359%K -0.511%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-03-07 19:54 |
| DraftKings🎯 | 2.20I 45.45%NM 43.01%EV -4.42%E -2.01%K -3.68%G +0.000% | 3.45I 28.99%NM 27.43%EV -6.02%E -1.75%K -2.46%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 29.57%EV -6.19%E -1.94%K -2.82%G +0.000% | 5.7% | 2026-03-07 19:10 |
| BetAnything🎯 | 2.13I 46.95%NM 43.18%EV -7.46%E -3.50%K -6.60%G +0.000% | 3.45I 28.99%NM 26.66%EV -6.02%E -1.75%K -2.46%G +0.000% | 3.05I 32.79%NM 30.16%EV -10.59%E -3.47%K -5.17%G +0.000% | 8.7% | 2026-03-07 19:24 |
| Mr Green (SE)🎯 | 2.15I 46.51%NM 42.99%EV -6.59%E -3.07%K -5.73%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 27.19%EV -7.38%E -2.17%K -3.08%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 29.82%EV -9.13%E -2.94%K -4.35%G +0.000% | 8.2% | 2026-03-07 19:54 |
| Betsson🎯 | 2.10I 47.62%NM 43.98%EV -8.76%E -4.17%K -7.97%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 27.16%EV -7.38%E -2.17%K -3.08%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 28.86%EV -6.19%E -1.94%K -2.82%G +0.000% | 8.3% | 2026-03-07 19:14 |
| NordicBet🎯 | 2.10I 47.62%NM 43.98%EV -8.76%E -4.17%K -7.97%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 27.16%EV -7.38%E -2.17%K -3.08%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 28.86%EV -6.19%E -1.94%K -2.82%G +0.000% | 8.3% | 2026-03-07 19:14 |
| Paddy Power🎯 | 2.10I 47.62%NM 43.15%EV -8.76%E -4.17%K -7.97%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 26.65%EV -7.38%E -2.17%K -3.08%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 30.20%EV -12.06%E -4.02%K -6.03%G +0.000% | 10.4% | 2026-03-07 19:50 |
| Codere (IT)🎯 | 2.08I 48.08%NM 43.84%EV -9.63%E -4.63%K -8.92%G +0.000% | 3.35I 29.85%NM 27.22%EV -8.74%E -2.61%K -3.72%G +0.000% | 3.15I 31.75%NM 28.95%EV -7.66%E -2.43%K -3.56%G +0.000% | 9.7% | 2026-03-07 19:15 |
| Betr (AU)🎯 | 2.15I 46.51%NM 43.42%EV -6.59%E -3.07%K -5.73%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 28.29%EV -10.11%E -3.06%K -4.39%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 28.29%EV -3.26%E -0.989%K -1.42%G +0.000% | 7.1% | 2026-03-07 19:15 |
| Betway🎯 | 2.20I 45.45%NM 42.08%EV -4.42%E -2.01%K -3.68%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 28.05%EV -10.11%E -3.06%K -4.39%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 29.86%EV -9.13%E -2.94%K -4.35%G +0.000% | 8.0% | 2026-03-07 19:15 |
| Winamax (DE)🎯 | 2.05I 48.78%NM 44.41%EV -10.94%E -5.34%K -10.42%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 27.59%EV -10.11%E -3.06%K -4.39%G +0.000% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 28.01%EV -4.73%E -1.46%K -2.10%G +0.000% | 9.9% | 2026-03-07 19:14 |
| BetMGM🎯 | 2.10I 47.62%NM 43.22%EV -8.76%E -4.17%K -7.97%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 27.50%EV -10.11%E -3.06%K -4.39%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 29.28%EV -9.13%E -2.94%K -4.35%G +0.000% | 10.2% | 2026-03-07 19:24 |
| William Hill🎯 | 2.10I 47.62%NM 42.80%EV -8.76%E -4.17%K -7.97%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 27.24%EV -10.11%E -3.06%K -4.39%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 29.96%EV -12.06%E -4.02%K -6.03%G +0.000% | 11.3% | 2026-03-07 19:55 |
| Betclic (FR)🎯 | 2.02I 49.50%NM 44.17%EV -12.24%E -6.06%K -12.00%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 27.04%EV -10.11%E -3.06%K -4.39%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 28.78%EV -9.13%E -2.94%K -4.35%G +0.000% | 12.1% | 2026-03-07 19:39 |
| Sky Bet🎯 | 2.10I 47.62%NM 42.36%EV -8.76%E -4.17%K -7.97%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 26.96%EV -10.11%E -3.06%K -4.39%G +0.000% | 2.90I 34.48%NM 30.68%EV -14.99%E -5.17%K -7.89%G +0.000% | 12.4% | 2026-03-07 19:50 |
| BoyleSports🎯 | 2.05I 48.78%NM 43.39%EV -10.94%E -5.34%K -10.42%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 26.96%EV -10.11%E -3.06%K -4.39%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 29.65%EV -12.06%E -4.02%K -6.03%G +0.000% | 12.4% | 2026-03-07 19:30 |
| Parions Sport (FR)🎯 | 2.00I 50.00%NM 44.42%EV -13.11%E -6.55%K -13.11%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 26.92%EV -10.11%E -3.06%K -4.39%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 28.66%EV -9.13%E -2.94%K -4.35%G +0.000% | 12.6% | 2026-03-07 19:15 |
| PointsBet (AU)🎯 | 2.20I 45.45%NM 42.48%EV -4.42%E -2.01%K -3.68%G +0.000% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 28.76%EV -11.47%E -3.53%K -5.10%G +0.000% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 28.76%EV -4.73%E -1.46%K -2.10%G +0.000% | 7.0% | 2026-03-07 19:30 |
| theScore Bet🎯 | 2.15I 46.51%NM 43.05%EV -6.59%E -3.07%K -5.73%G +0.000% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 28.48%EV -11.47%E -3.53%K -5.10%G +0.000% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 28.48%EV -4.73%E -1.46%K -2.10%G +0.000% | 8.1% | 2026-03-07 19:30 |
| Bet Victor🎯 | 2.10I 47.62%NM 43.43%EV -8.76%E -4.17%K -7.97%G +0.000% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 28.06%EV -11.47%E -3.53%K -5.10%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 28.50%EV -6.19%E -1.94%K -2.82%G +0.000% | 9.6% | 2026-03-07 19:14 |
| PlayUp🎯 | 2.15I 46.51%NM 42.05%EV -6.59%E -3.07%K -5.73%G +0.000% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 27.82%EV -11.47%E -3.53%K -5.10%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 30.13%EV -12.06%E -4.02%K -6.03%G +0.000% | 10.6% | 2026-03-07 19:04 |
| Unibet (FR)🎯 | 1.97I 50.76%NM 44.53%EV -14.41%E -7.32%K -14.86%G +0.000% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 26.99%EV -11.47%E -3.53%K -5.10%G +0.000% | 3.08I 32.47%NM 28.48%EV -9.71%E -3.15%K -4.67%G +0.000% | 14.0% | 2026-03-07 19:54 |
| Ladbrokes (AU)🎯 | 2.05I 48.78%NM 43.44%EV -10.94%E -5.34%K -10.42%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 27.83%EV -12.83%E -4.01%K -5.83%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 28.73%EV -9.13%E -2.94%K -4.35%G +0.000% | 12.3% | 2026-03-07 19:05 |
| Coral🎯 | 2.05I 48.78%NM 43.44%EV -10.94%E -5.34%K -10.42%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 27.83%EV -12.83%E -4.01%K -5.83%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 28.73%EV -9.13%E -2.94%K -4.35%G +0.000% | 12.3% | 2026-03-07 19:04 |
| Neds🎯 | 2.05I 48.78%NM 43.44%EV -10.94%E -5.34%K -10.42%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 27.83%EV -12.83%E -4.01%K -5.83%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 28.73%EV -9.13%E -2.94%K -4.35%G +0.000% | 12.3% | 2026-03-07 19:05 |
| Ladbrokes (UK)🎯 | 2.05I 48.78%NM 43.44%EV -10.94%E -5.34%K -10.42%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 27.83%EV -12.83%E -4.01%K -5.83%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 28.73%EV -9.13%E -2.94%K -4.35%G +0.000% | 12.3% | 2026-03-07 19:05 |
| NetBet (FR)🎯 | 2.00I 50.00%NM 43.64%EV -13.11%E -6.55%K -13.11%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 27.27%EV -12.83%E -4.01%K -5.83%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 29.09%EV -12.06%E -4.02%K -6.03%G +0.000% | 14.6% | 2026-03-07 19:45 |
| Winamax (FR)🎯 | 2.00I 50.00%NM 43.86%EV -13.11%E -6.55%K -13.11%G +0.000% | 3.15I 31.75%NM 27.85%EV -14.19%E -4.51%K -6.60%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 28.30%EV -9.13%E -2.94%K -4.35%G +0.000% | 14.0% | 2026-03-07 19:14 |
| PMU (FR)🎯 | 1.95I 51.28%NM 42.95%EV -15.28%E -7.84%K -16.09%G +0.000% | 3.15I 31.75%NM 26.59%EV -14.19%E -4.51%K -6.60%G +0.000% | 2.75I 36.36%NM 30.46%EV -19.39%E -7.05%K -11.08%G +0.000% | 19.4% | 2026-03-07 19:54 |
| Betfair Sportsbook (UK)🎯 | 2.00I 50.00%NM 41.29%EV -13.11%E -6.55%K -13.11%G +0.000% | 2.88I 34.72%NM 28.68%EV -21.55%E -7.48%K -11.46%G +0.000% | 2.75I 36.36%NM 30.03%EV -19.39%E -7.05%K -11.08%G +0.000% | 21.1% | 2026-03-07 19:09 |
Маржа = Маржа · I = Подразумеваемая вероятность · NM = Вероятность без маржи · EV = Ожидаемая ценность · E = Преимущество · K = Критерий Келли · G = Рост капитала
Обновлено — время последнего изменения коэффициента каждой букмекерской конторой. Более раннее время означает лишь, что коэффициент не менялся, а не что он устарел. Конторы, от которых около 15 минут не поступали данные, обычно исключаются; последние зарегистрированные коэффициенты показываются только тогда, когда перестаёт обновляться весь поток данных по рынку.
Биржи ставок (6)
| Букмекерская контора | Хозяева | Гости | Ничья | Маржа ▲ | Обновлено |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Betfair Exchange (EU)◎ | 2.30I 43.48%NM 43.28% | 3.75I 26.67%NM 26.55% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 30.17% | 0.4% | 2026-03-07 19:55 |
| Betfair Exchange (UK)◎ | 2.30I 43.48%NM 43.28% | 3.75I 26.67%NM 26.55% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 30.17% | 0.4% | 2026-03-07 19:55 |
| Betfair Exchange (AU)◎ | 2.30I 43.48%NM 43.28% | 3.75I 26.67%NM 26.55% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 30.17% | 0.4% | 2026-03-07 19:54 |
| Matchbook◎ | 2.30I 43.48%NM 43.28% | 3.75I 26.67%NM 26.55% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 30.17% | 0.4% | 2026-03-07 19:50 |
| Smarkets◎ | 2.28I 43.86%NM 43.54% | 3.70I 27.03%NM 26.83% | 3.35I 29.85%NM 29.63% | 0.7% | 2026-03-07 19:55 |
| Kalshi◎ | 2.17I 46.08%NM 44.68% | 3.70I 27.03%NM 26.20% | 3.33I 30.03%NM 29.12% | 3.1% | 2026-03-07 19:20 |