Die Schule der Quoten

Málaga v Real Valladolid CF

Spielbeginn: 2026-03-07 20:00 UTC

Schlussquote — die anhand der letzten vor Spielbeginn erfassten Preise berechneten Wahrscheinlichkeiten und Erwartungswerte nach Ihrem ausgewählten Modell. Das Spiel hat begonnen; dies sind daher keine aktuellen Werte. Zuverlässigkeit der Wahrscheinlichkeitsprognosen jedes Modells anhand aller abgeschlossenen Spiele beurteilen →

Direkter Vergleich

51 Wettanbieter (18 in der Analyse )

Geschätzte Wahrscheinlichkeit jedes Ergebnisses nach dem Modell: IQM

Málaga (Heim)

Prognose 43.45%2.30faire Quote
EV -3.55%
Vorteil -1.60%
Kelly -2.91%
Wachstum +0.000%

bei einer Höchstquote von 2.22

Verteilung der Wettanbieterprognosen
41.29%43.38%43.44%46.65%MINMITTELMEDIANMAX
Quotenverteilung
1.942.072.052.2251.55%48.31%48.78%45.05%MINMITTELMEDIANMAX

Real Valladolid CF (Auswärts)

Prognose 27.24%3.67faire Quote
EV +2.15%
Vorteil +0.574%
Kelly +0.782%
Wachstum +0.017%

bei einer Höchstquote von 3.75

Verteilung der Wettanbieterprognosen
24.92%27.33%27.21%28.76%MINMITTELMEDIANMAX
Quotenverteilung
2.883.423.403.7534.72%29.24%29.41%26.67%MINMITTELMEDIANMAX

Unentschieden

Prognose 29.31%3.41faire Quote
EV -1.21%
Vorteil -0.359%
Kelly -0.511%
Wachstum +0.000%

bei einer Höchstquote von 3.37

Verteilung der Wettanbieterprognosen
28.01%29.29%29.35%30.68%MINMITTELMEDIANMAX
Quotenverteilung
2.753.143.153.3736.36%31.84%31.75%29.67%MINMITTELMEDIANMAX

Wettanbieterquoten (51 Wettanbieter)

Wir sind mit keinem Wettanbieter verbunden und erhalten keinerlei Ertrag aus Handlungen, die bei diesen Anbietern vorgenommen werden.

WettanbieterHeimAuswärts ▼UnentschiedenMargeAktualisiert
Unibet2.02I 49.50%NM 46.49%EV -12.24%E -6.06%K -12.00%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 25.05%EV +2.15%E +0.574%K +0.782%G +0.017%3.30I 30.30%NM 28.46%EV -3.26%E -0.989%K -1.42%G +0.000%6.5%2026-03-07 19:40
Unibet (SE)2.02I 49.50%NM 46.49%EV -12.24%E -6.06%K -12.00%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 25.05%EV +2.15%E +0.574%K +0.782%G +0.017%3.30I 30.30%NM 28.46%EV -3.26%E -0.989%K -1.42%G +0.000%6.5%2026-03-07 19:40
Unibet (NL)2.02I 49.50%NM 46.49%EV -12.24%E -6.06%K -12.00%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 25.05%EV +2.15%E +0.574%K +0.782%G +0.017%3.30I 30.30%NM 28.46%EV -3.26%E -0.989%K -1.42%G +0.000%6.5%2026-03-07 19:40
Svenska Spel2.02I 49.50%NM 46.49%EV -12.24%E -6.06%K -12.00%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 25.05%EV +2.15%E +0.574%K +0.782%G +0.017%3.30I 30.30%NM 28.46%EV -3.26%E -0.989%K -1.42%G +0.000%6.5%2026-03-07 19:39
ATG (SE)2.02I 49.50%NM 46.49%EV -12.24%E -6.06%K -12.00%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 25.05%EV +2.15%E +0.574%K +0.782%G +0.017%3.30I 30.30%NM 28.46%EV -3.26%E -0.989%K -1.42%G +0.000%6.5%2026-03-07 19:40
Pinnacle2.22I 45.05%NM 43.52%EV -3.55%E -1.60%K -2.91%G +0.000%3.65I 27.40%NM 26.47%EV -0.572%E -0.157%K -0.216%G +0.000%3.22I 31.06%NM 30.01%EV -5.61%E -1.74%K -2.53%G +0.000%3.5%2026-03-07 19:25
Grosvenor1.97I 50.76%NM 46.60%EV -14.41%E -7.32%K -14.86%G +0.000%3.65I 27.40%NM 25.15%EV -0.572%E -0.157%K -0.216%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 28.25%EV -4.73%E -1.46%K -2.10%G +0.000%8.9%2026-03-07 19:40
TABtouch1.97I 50.76%NM 46.60%EV -14.41%E -7.32%K -14.86%G +0.000%3.65I 27.40%NM 25.15%EV -0.572%E -0.157%K -0.216%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 28.25%EV -4.73%E -1.46%K -2.10%G +0.000%8.9%2026-03-07 19:39
Casumo1.97I 50.76%NM 46.60%EV -14.41%E -7.32%K -14.86%G +0.000%3.65I 27.40%NM 25.15%EV -0.572%E -0.157%K -0.216%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 28.25%EV -4.73%E -1.46%K -2.10%G +0.000%8.9%2026-03-07 19:39
betPARX1.97I 50.76%NM 46.60%EV -14.41%E -7.32%K -14.86%G +0.000%3.65I 27.40%NM 25.15%EV -0.572%E -0.157%K -0.216%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 28.25%EV -4.73%E -1.46%K -2.10%G +0.000%8.9%2026-03-07 19:39
LeoVegas (SE)1.96I 51.02%NM 46.52%EV -14.85%E -7.57%K -15.47%G +0.000%3.65I 27.40%NM 24.98%EV -0.572%E -0.157%K -0.216%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 28.50%EV -6.19%E -1.94%K -2.82%G +0.000%9.7%2026-03-07 19:40
LeoVegas1.95I 51.28%NM 46.65%EV -15.28%E -7.84%K -16.09%G +0.000%3.65I 27.40%NM 24.92%EV -0.572%E -0.157%K -0.216%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 28.43%EV -6.19%E -1.94%K -2.82%G +0.000%9.9%2026-03-07 19:40
LiveScore Bet1.94I 51.55%NM 46.41%EV -15.72%E -8.10%K -16.72%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.01%EV -1.93%E -0.537%K -0.744%G +0.000%3.15I 31.75%NM 28.58%EV -7.66%E -2.43%K -3.56%G +0.000%11.1%2026-03-07 19:40
Virgin Bet1.94I 51.55%NM 46.41%EV -15.72%E -8.10%K -16.72%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.01%EV -1.93%E -0.537%K -0.744%G +0.000%3.15I 31.75%NM 28.58%EV -7.66%E -2.43%K -3.56%G +0.000%11.1%2026-03-07 19:40
LowVig.ag2.22I 45.05%NM 42.79%EV -3.55%E -1.60%K -2.91%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 27.14%EV -4.66%E -1.33%K -1.86%G +0.000%3.16I 31.65%NM 30.06%EV -7.37%E -2.33%K -3.41%G +0.000%5.3%2026-03-07 19:20
BetOnline.ag2.22I 45.05%NM 42.79%EV -3.55%E -1.60%K -2.91%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 27.14%EV -4.66%E -1.33%K -1.86%G +0.000%3.16I 31.65%NM 30.06%EV -7.37%E -2.33%K -3.41%G +0.000%5.3%2026-03-07 19:24
Fanatics2.15I 46.51%NM 43.74%EV -6.59%E -3.07%K -5.73%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.87%EV -4.66%E -1.33%K -1.86%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 29.39%EV -6.19%E -1.94%K -2.82%G +0.000%6.3%2026-03-07 19:05
FanDuel2.15I 46.51%NM 43.33%EV -6.59%E -3.07%K -5.73%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.62%EV -4.66%E -1.33%K -1.86%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 30.05%EV -9.13%E -2.94%K -4.35%G +0.000%7.3%2026-03-07 19:54
Tipico (DE)2.10I 47.62%NM 43.91%EV -8.76%E -4.17%K -7.97%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.35%EV -4.66%E -1.33%K -1.86%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 29.75%EV -9.13%E -2.94%K -4.35%G +0.000%8.4%2026-03-07 19:09
SportsBet2.10I 47.62%NM 43.48%EV -8.76%E -4.17%K -7.97%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.09%EV -4.66%E -1.33%K -1.86%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 30.43%EV -12.06%E -4.02%K -6.03%G +0.000%9.5%2026-03-07 19:50
Marathon Bet2.15I 46.51%NM 43.35%EV -6.59%E -3.07%K -5.73%G +0.000%3.48I 28.74%NM 26.78%EV -5.20%E -1.50%K -2.10%G +0.000%3.12I 32.05%NM 29.87%EV -8.54%E -2.74%K -4.03%G +0.000%7.3%2026-03-07 19:49
1xBet2.14I 46.73%NM 44.38%EV -7.03%E -3.28%K -6.16%G +0.000%3.46I 28.90%NM 27.45%EV -5.75%E -1.66%K -2.34%G +0.000%3.37I 29.67%NM 28.18%EV -1.21%E -0.359%K -0.511%G +0.000%5.3%2026-03-07 19:54
DraftKings2.20I 45.45%NM 43.01%EV -4.42%E -2.01%K -3.68%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 27.43%EV -6.02%E -1.75%K -2.46%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 29.57%EV -6.19%E -1.94%K -2.82%G +0.000%5.7%2026-03-07 19:10
BetAnything2.13I 46.95%NM 43.18%EV -7.46%E -3.50%K -6.60%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 26.66%EV -6.02%E -1.75%K -2.46%G +0.000%3.05I 32.79%NM 30.16%EV -10.59%E -3.47%K -5.17%G +0.000%8.7%2026-03-07 19:24
Mr Green (SE)2.15I 46.51%NM 42.99%EV -6.59%E -3.07%K -5.73%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.19%EV -7.38%E -2.17%K -3.08%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 29.82%EV -9.13%E -2.94%K -4.35%G +0.000%8.2%2026-03-07 19:54
Betsson2.10I 47.62%NM 43.98%EV -8.76%E -4.17%K -7.97%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.16%EV -7.38%E -2.17%K -3.08%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 28.86%EV -6.19%E -1.94%K -2.82%G +0.000%8.3%2026-03-07 19:14
NordicBet2.10I 47.62%NM 43.98%EV -8.76%E -4.17%K -7.97%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.16%EV -7.38%E -2.17%K -3.08%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 28.86%EV -6.19%E -1.94%K -2.82%G +0.000%8.3%2026-03-07 19:14
Paddy Power2.10I 47.62%NM 43.15%EV -8.76%E -4.17%K -7.97%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.65%EV -7.38%E -2.17%K -3.08%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 30.20%EV -12.06%E -4.02%K -6.03%G +0.000%10.4%2026-03-07 19:50
Codere (IT)2.08I 48.08%NM 43.84%EV -9.63%E -4.63%K -8.92%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 27.22%EV -8.74%E -2.61%K -3.72%G +0.000%3.15I 31.75%NM 28.95%EV -7.66%E -2.43%K -3.56%G +0.000%9.7%2026-03-07 19:15
Betr (AU)2.15I 46.51%NM 43.42%EV -6.59%E -3.07%K -5.73%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 28.29%EV -10.11%E -3.06%K -4.39%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 28.29%EV -3.26%E -0.989%K -1.42%G +0.000%7.1%2026-03-07 19:15
Betway2.20I 45.45%NM 42.08%EV -4.42%E -2.01%K -3.68%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 28.05%EV -10.11%E -3.06%K -4.39%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 29.86%EV -9.13%E -2.94%K -4.35%G +0.000%8.0%2026-03-07 19:15
Winamax (DE)2.05I 48.78%NM 44.41%EV -10.94%E -5.34%K -10.42%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.59%EV -10.11%E -3.06%K -4.39%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 28.01%EV -4.73%E -1.46%K -2.10%G +0.000%9.9%2026-03-07 19:14
BetMGM2.10I 47.62%NM 43.22%EV -8.76%E -4.17%K -7.97%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.50%EV -10.11%E -3.06%K -4.39%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 29.28%EV -9.13%E -2.94%K -4.35%G +0.000%10.2%2026-03-07 19:24
William Hill2.10I 47.62%NM 42.80%EV -8.76%E -4.17%K -7.97%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.24%EV -10.11%E -3.06%K -4.39%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 29.96%EV -12.06%E -4.02%K -6.03%G +0.000%11.3%2026-03-07 19:55
Betclic (FR)2.02I 49.50%NM 44.17%EV -12.24%E -6.06%K -12.00%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.04%EV -10.11%E -3.06%K -4.39%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 28.78%EV -9.13%E -2.94%K -4.35%G +0.000%12.1%2026-03-07 19:39
Sky Bet2.10I 47.62%NM 42.36%EV -8.76%E -4.17%K -7.97%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 26.96%EV -10.11%E -3.06%K -4.39%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 30.68%EV -14.99%E -5.17%K -7.89%G +0.000%12.4%2026-03-07 19:50
BoyleSports2.05I 48.78%NM 43.39%EV -10.94%E -5.34%K -10.42%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 26.96%EV -10.11%E -3.06%K -4.39%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 29.65%EV -12.06%E -4.02%K -6.03%G +0.000%12.4%2026-03-07 19:30
Parions Sport (FR)2.00I 50.00%NM 44.42%EV -13.11%E -6.55%K -13.11%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 26.92%EV -10.11%E -3.06%K -4.39%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 28.66%EV -9.13%E -2.94%K -4.35%G +0.000%12.6%2026-03-07 19:15
PointsBet (AU)2.20I 45.45%NM 42.48%EV -4.42%E -2.01%K -3.68%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 28.76%EV -11.47%E -3.53%K -5.10%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 28.76%EV -4.73%E -1.46%K -2.10%G +0.000%7.0%2026-03-07 19:30
theScore Bet2.15I 46.51%NM 43.05%EV -6.59%E -3.07%K -5.73%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 28.48%EV -11.47%E -3.53%K -5.10%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 28.48%EV -4.73%E -1.46%K -2.10%G +0.000%8.1%2026-03-07 19:30
Bet Victor2.10I 47.62%NM 43.43%EV -8.76%E -4.17%K -7.97%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 28.06%EV -11.47%E -3.53%K -5.10%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 28.50%EV -6.19%E -1.94%K -2.82%G +0.000%9.6%2026-03-07 19:14
PlayUp2.15I 46.51%NM 42.05%EV -6.59%E -3.07%K -5.73%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 27.82%EV -11.47%E -3.53%K -5.10%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 30.13%EV -12.06%E -4.02%K -6.03%G +0.000%10.6%2026-03-07 19:04
Unibet (FR)1.97I 50.76%NM 44.53%EV -14.41%E -7.32%K -14.86%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 26.99%EV -11.47%E -3.53%K -5.10%G +0.000%3.08I 32.47%NM 28.48%EV -9.71%E -3.15%K -4.67%G +0.000%14.0%2026-03-07 19:54
Ladbrokes (AU)2.05I 48.78%NM 43.44%EV -10.94%E -5.34%K -10.42%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 27.83%EV -12.83%E -4.01%K -5.83%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 28.73%EV -9.13%E -2.94%K -4.35%G +0.000%12.3%2026-03-07 19:05
Coral2.05I 48.78%NM 43.44%EV -10.94%E -5.34%K -10.42%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 27.83%EV -12.83%E -4.01%K -5.83%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 28.73%EV -9.13%E -2.94%K -4.35%G +0.000%12.3%2026-03-07 19:04
Neds2.05I 48.78%NM 43.44%EV -10.94%E -5.34%K -10.42%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 27.83%EV -12.83%E -4.01%K -5.83%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 28.73%EV -9.13%E -2.94%K -4.35%G +0.000%12.3%2026-03-07 19:05
Ladbrokes (UK)2.05I 48.78%NM 43.44%EV -10.94%E -5.34%K -10.42%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 27.83%EV -12.83%E -4.01%K -5.83%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 28.73%EV -9.13%E -2.94%K -4.35%G +0.000%12.3%2026-03-07 19:05
NetBet (FR)2.00I 50.00%NM 43.64%EV -13.11%E -6.55%K -13.11%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 27.27%EV -12.83%E -4.01%K -5.83%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 29.09%EV -12.06%E -4.02%K -6.03%G +0.000%14.6%2026-03-07 19:45
Winamax (FR)2.00I 50.00%NM 43.86%EV -13.11%E -6.55%K -13.11%G +0.000%3.15I 31.75%NM 27.85%EV -14.19%E -4.51%K -6.60%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 28.30%EV -9.13%E -2.94%K -4.35%G +0.000%14.0%2026-03-07 19:14
PMU (FR)1.95I 51.28%NM 42.95%EV -15.28%E -7.84%K -16.09%G +0.000%3.15I 31.75%NM 26.59%EV -14.19%E -4.51%K -6.60%G +0.000%2.75I 36.36%NM 30.46%EV -19.39%E -7.05%K -11.08%G +0.000%19.4%2026-03-07 19:54
Betfair Sportsbook (UK)2.00I 50.00%NM 41.29%EV -13.11%E -6.55%K -13.11%G +0.000%2.88I 34.72%NM 28.68%EV -21.55%E -7.48%K -11.46%G +0.000%2.75I 36.36%NM 30.03%EV -19.39%E -7.05%K -11.08%G +0.000%21.1%2026-03-07 19:09
Marge = Marge (Wahrscheinlichkeitsüberschuss) · I = Implizite Wahrscheinlichkeit · NM = Margenbereinigte Wahrscheinlichkeit · EV = Erwartungswert · E = Vorteil · K = Kelly-Kriterium · G = Wachstum des Wettkapitals

Aktualisiert gibt an, wann der jeweilige Wettanbieter seinen Preis zuletzt geändert hat. Eine ältere Zeit bedeutet also, dass sich die Quote lediglich nicht bewegt hat, nicht dass sie veraltet ist. Anbieter, die seit etwa 15 Minuten nicht mehr erfasst wurden, werden normalerweise ausgeschlossen; nur wenn die Datenquelle eines ganzen Marktes verstummt, erscheinen stattdessen die zuletzt erfassten Preise.

Wettbörsen (6)

WettanbieterHeimAuswärtsUnentschiedenMarge ▲Aktualisiert
Betfair Exchange (EU)2.30I 43.48%NM 43.28%3.75I 26.67%NM 26.55%3.30I 30.30%NM 30.17%0.4%2026-03-07 19:55
Betfair Exchange (UK)2.30I 43.48%NM 43.28%3.75I 26.67%NM 26.55%3.30I 30.30%NM 30.17%0.4%2026-03-07 19:55
Betfair Exchange (AU)2.30I 43.48%NM 43.28%3.75I 26.67%NM 26.55%3.30I 30.30%NM 30.17%0.4%2026-03-07 19:54
Matchbook2.30I 43.48%NM 43.28%3.75I 26.67%NM 26.55%3.30I 30.30%NM 30.17%0.4%2026-03-07 19:50
Smarkets2.28I 43.86%NM 43.54%3.70I 27.03%NM 26.83%3.35I 29.85%NM 29.63%0.7%2026-03-07 19:55
Kalshi2.17I 46.08%NM 44.68%3.70I 27.03%NM 26.20%3.33I 30.03%NM 29.12%3.1%2026-03-07 19:20