Szkoła Kursów

Málaga v Real Valladolid CF

Początek: 2026-03-07 20:00 UTC

Linia zamknięcia — prawdopodobieństwa i wartość oczekiwana obliczone przez wybrany model na podstawie ostatnich kursów zarejestrowanych przed rozpoczęciem. Spotkanie już trwa, więc nie są to dane bieżące. Oceń wiarygodność prognoz prawdopodobieństwa każdego modelu na tle wyników wszystkich rozstrzygniętych spotkań →

Zwycięzca spotkania

51 bukmacherów (18 w analizie )

Szacowane prawdopodobieństwo każdego wyniku według modelu: IQM

Málaga (Gospodarze)

Prognoza 43.45%2.30kurs godziwy
EV -3.55%
Przewaga -1.60%
Kelly -2.91%
Wzrost +0.000%

przy maksymalnym kursie 2.22

Rozkład oszacowań prawdopodobieństwa bukmacherów
41.29%43.38%43.44%46.65%MIN.ŚREDNIAMEDIANAMAKS.
Rozkład kursów
1.942.072.052.2251.55%48.31%48.78%45.05%MIN.ŚREDNIAMEDIANAMAKS.

Real Valladolid CF (Goście)

Prognoza 27.24%3.67kurs godziwy
EV +2.15%
Przewaga +0.574%
Kelly +0.782%
Wzrost +0.017%

przy maksymalnym kursie 3.75

Rozkład oszacowań prawdopodobieństwa bukmacherów
24.92%27.33%27.21%28.76%MIN.ŚREDNIAMEDIANAMAKS.
Rozkład kursów
2.883.423.403.7534.72%29.24%29.41%26.67%MIN.ŚREDNIAMEDIANAMAKS.

Remis

Prognoza 29.31%3.41kurs godziwy
EV -1.21%
Przewaga -0.359%
Kelly -0.511%
Wzrost +0.000%

przy maksymalnym kursie 3.37

Rozkład oszacowań prawdopodobieństwa bukmacherów
28.01%29.29%29.35%30.68%MIN.ŚREDNIAMEDIANAMAKS.
Rozkład kursów
2.753.143.153.3736.36%31.84%31.75%29.67%MIN.ŚREDNIAMEDIANAMAKS.

Kursy bukmacherskie (51 bukmacherów)

Nie jesteśmy powiązani z żadnym bukmacherem i nie czerpiemy korzyści z zawieranych u niego zakładów.

BukmacherGospodarzeGoście ▼RemisMarżaAktualizacja
Unibet2.02I 49.50%NM 46.49%EV -12.24%E -6.06%K -12.00%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 25.05%EV +2.15%E +0.574%K +0.782%G +0.017%3.30I 30.30%NM 28.46%EV -3.26%E -0.989%K -1.42%G +0.000%6.5%2026-03-07 19:40
Unibet (SE)2.02I 49.50%NM 46.49%EV -12.24%E -6.06%K -12.00%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 25.05%EV +2.15%E +0.574%K +0.782%G +0.017%3.30I 30.30%NM 28.46%EV -3.26%E -0.989%K -1.42%G +0.000%6.5%2026-03-07 19:40
Unibet (NL)2.02I 49.50%NM 46.49%EV -12.24%E -6.06%K -12.00%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 25.05%EV +2.15%E +0.574%K +0.782%G +0.017%3.30I 30.30%NM 28.46%EV -3.26%E -0.989%K -1.42%G +0.000%6.5%2026-03-07 19:40
Svenska Spel2.02I 49.50%NM 46.49%EV -12.24%E -6.06%K -12.00%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 25.05%EV +2.15%E +0.574%K +0.782%G +0.017%3.30I 30.30%NM 28.46%EV -3.26%E -0.989%K -1.42%G +0.000%6.5%2026-03-07 19:39
ATG (SE)2.02I 49.50%NM 46.49%EV -12.24%E -6.06%K -12.00%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 25.05%EV +2.15%E +0.574%K +0.782%G +0.017%3.30I 30.30%NM 28.46%EV -3.26%E -0.989%K -1.42%G +0.000%6.5%2026-03-07 19:40
Pinnacle2.22I 45.05%NM 43.52%EV -3.55%E -1.60%K -2.91%G +0.000%3.65I 27.40%NM 26.47%EV -0.572%E -0.157%K -0.216%G +0.000%3.22I 31.06%NM 30.01%EV -5.61%E -1.74%K -2.53%G +0.000%3.5%2026-03-07 19:25
Grosvenor1.97I 50.76%NM 46.60%EV -14.41%E -7.32%K -14.86%G +0.000%3.65I 27.40%NM 25.15%EV -0.572%E -0.157%K -0.216%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 28.25%EV -4.73%E -1.46%K -2.10%G +0.000%8.9%2026-03-07 19:40
TABtouch1.97I 50.76%NM 46.60%EV -14.41%E -7.32%K -14.86%G +0.000%3.65I 27.40%NM 25.15%EV -0.572%E -0.157%K -0.216%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 28.25%EV -4.73%E -1.46%K -2.10%G +0.000%8.9%2026-03-07 19:39
Casumo1.97I 50.76%NM 46.60%EV -14.41%E -7.32%K -14.86%G +0.000%3.65I 27.40%NM 25.15%EV -0.572%E -0.157%K -0.216%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 28.25%EV -4.73%E -1.46%K -2.10%G +0.000%8.9%2026-03-07 19:39
betPARX1.97I 50.76%NM 46.60%EV -14.41%E -7.32%K -14.86%G +0.000%3.65I 27.40%NM 25.15%EV -0.572%E -0.157%K -0.216%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 28.25%EV -4.73%E -1.46%K -2.10%G +0.000%8.9%2026-03-07 19:39
LeoVegas (SE)1.96I 51.02%NM 46.52%EV -14.85%E -7.57%K -15.47%G +0.000%3.65I 27.40%NM 24.98%EV -0.572%E -0.157%K -0.216%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 28.50%EV -6.19%E -1.94%K -2.82%G +0.000%9.7%2026-03-07 19:40
LeoVegas1.95I 51.28%NM 46.65%EV -15.28%E -7.84%K -16.09%G +0.000%3.65I 27.40%NM 24.92%EV -0.572%E -0.157%K -0.216%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 28.43%EV -6.19%E -1.94%K -2.82%G +0.000%9.9%2026-03-07 19:40
LiveScore Bet1.94I 51.55%NM 46.41%EV -15.72%E -8.10%K -16.72%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.01%EV -1.93%E -0.537%K -0.744%G +0.000%3.15I 31.75%NM 28.58%EV -7.66%E -2.43%K -3.56%G +0.000%11.1%2026-03-07 19:40
Virgin Bet1.94I 51.55%NM 46.41%EV -15.72%E -8.10%K -16.72%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.01%EV -1.93%E -0.537%K -0.744%G +0.000%3.15I 31.75%NM 28.58%EV -7.66%E -2.43%K -3.56%G +0.000%11.1%2026-03-07 19:40
LowVig.ag2.22I 45.05%NM 42.79%EV -3.55%E -1.60%K -2.91%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 27.14%EV -4.66%E -1.33%K -1.86%G +0.000%3.16I 31.65%NM 30.06%EV -7.37%E -2.33%K -3.41%G +0.000%5.3%2026-03-07 19:20
BetOnline.ag2.22I 45.05%NM 42.79%EV -3.55%E -1.60%K -2.91%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 27.14%EV -4.66%E -1.33%K -1.86%G +0.000%3.16I 31.65%NM 30.06%EV -7.37%E -2.33%K -3.41%G +0.000%5.3%2026-03-07 19:24
Fanatics2.15I 46.51%NM 43.74%EV -6.59%E -3.07%K -5.73%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.87%EV -4.66%E -1.33%K -1.86%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 29.39%EV -6.19%E -1.94%K -2.82%G +0.000%6.3%2026-03-07 19:05
FanDuel2.15I 46.51%NM 43.33%EV -6.59%E -3.07%K -5.73%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.62%EV -4.66%E -1.33%K -1.86%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 30.05%EV -9.13%E -2.94%K -4.35%G +0.000%7.3%2026-03-07 19:54
Tipico (DE)2.10I 47.62%NM 43.91%EV -8.76%E -4.17%K -7.97%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.35%EV -4.66%E -1.33%K -1.86%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 29.75%EV -9.13%E -2.94%K -4.35%G +0.000%8.4%2026-03-07 19:09
SportsBet2.10I 47.62%NM 43.48%EV -8.76%E -4.17%K -7.97%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.09%EV -4.66%E -1.33%K -1.86%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 30.43%EV -12.06%E -4.02%K -6.03%G +0.000%9.5%2026-03-07 19:50
Marathon Bet2.15I 46.51%NM 43.35%EV -6.59%E -3.07%K -5.73%G +0.000%3.48I 28.74%NM 26.78%EV -5.20%E -1.50%K -2.10%G +0.000%3.12I 32.05%NM 29.87%EV -8.54%E -2.74%K -4.03%G +0.000%7.3%2026-03-07 19:49
1xBet2.14I 46.73%NM 44.38%EV -7.03%E -3.28%K -6.16%G +0.000%3.46I 28.90%NM 27.45%EV -5.75%E -1.66%K -2.34%G +0.000%3.37I 29.67%NM 28.18%EV -1.21%E -0.359%K -0.511%G +0.000%5.3%2026-03-07 19:54
DraftKings2.20I 45.45%NM 43.01%EV -4.42%E -2.01%K -3.68%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 27.43%EV -6.02%E -1.75%K -2.46%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 29.57%EV -6.19%E -1.94%K -2.82%G +0.000%5.7%2026-03-07 19:10
BetAnything2.13I 46.95%NM 43.18%EV -7.46%E -3.50%K -6.60%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 26.66%EV -6.02%E -1.75%K -2.46%G +0.000%3.05I 32.79%NM 30.16%EV -10.59%E -3.47%K -5.17%G +0.000%8.7%2026-03-07 19:24
Mr Green (SE)2.15I 46.51%NM 42.99%EV -6.59%E -3.07%K -5.73%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.19%EV -7.38%E -2.17%K -3.08%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 29.82%EV -9.13%E -2.94%K -4.35%G +0.000%8.2%2026-03-07 19:54
Betsson2.10I 47.62%NM 43.98%EV -8.76%E -4.17%K -7.97%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.16%EV -7.38%E -2.17%K -3.08%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 28.86%EV -6.19%E -1.94%K -2.82%G +0.000%8.3%2026-03-07 19:14
NordicBet2.10I 47.62%NM 43.98%EV -8.76%E -4.17%K -7.97%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.16%EV -7.38%E -2.17%K -3.08%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 28.86%EV -6.19%E -1.94%K -2.82%G +0.000%8.3%2026-03-07 19:14
Paddy Power2.10I 47.62%NM 43.15%EV -8.76%E -4.17%K -7.97%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.65%EV -7.38%E -2.17%K -3.08%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 30.20%EV -12.06%E -4.02%K -6.03%G +0.000%10.4%2026-03-07 19:50
Codere (IT)2.08I 48.08%NM 43.84%EV -9.63%E -4.63%K -8.92%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 27.22%EV -8.74%E -2.61%K -3.72%G +0.000%3.15I 31.75%NM 28.95%EV -7.66%E -2.43%K -3.56%G +0.000%9.7%2026-03-07 19:15
Betr (AU)2.15I 46.51%NM 43.42%EV -6.59%E -3.07%K -5.73%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 28.29%EV -10.11%E -3.06%K -4.39%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 28.29%EV -3.26%E -0.989%K -1.42%G +0.000%7.1%2026-03-07 19:15
Betway2.20I 45.45%NM 42.08%EV -4.42%E -2.01%K -3.68%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 28.05%EV -10.11%E -3.06%K -4.39%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 29.86%EV -9.13%E -2.94%K -4.35%G +0.000%8.0%2026-03-07 19:15
Winamax (DE)2.05I 48.78%NM 44.41%EV -10.94%E -5.34%K -10.42%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.59%EV -10.11%E -3.06%K -4.39%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 28.01%EV -4.73%E -1.46%K -2.10%G +0.000%9.9%2026-03-07 19:14
BetMGM2.10I 47.62%NM 43.22%EV -8.76%E -4.17%K -7.97%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.50%EV -10.11%E -3.06%K -4.39%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 29.28%EV -9.13%E -2.94%K -4.35%G +0.000%10.2%2026-03-07 19:24
William Hill2.10I 47.62%NM 42.80%EV -8.76%E -4.17%K -7.97%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.24%EV -10.11%E -3.06%K -4.39%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 29.96%EV -12.06%E -4.02%K -6.03%G +0.000%11.3%2026-03-07 19:55
Betclic (FR)2.02I 49.50%NM 44.17%EV -12.24%E -6.06%K -12.00%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.04%EV -10.11%E -3.06%K -4.39%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 28.78%EV -9.13%E -2.94%K -4.35%G +0.000%12.1%2026-03-07 19:39
Sky Bet2.10I 47.62%NM 42.36%EV -8.76%E -4.17%K -7.97%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 26.96%EV -10.11%E -3.06%K -4.39%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 30.68%EV -14.99%E -5.17%K -7.89%G +0.000%12.4%2026-03-07 19:50
BoyleSports2.05I 48.78%NM 43.39%EV -10.94%E -5.34%K -10.42%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 26.96%EV -10.11%E -3.06%K -4.39%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 29.65%EV -12.06%E -4.02%K -6.03%G +0.000%12.4%2026-03-07 19:30
Parions Sport (FR)2.00I 50.00%NM 44.42%EV -13.11%E -6.55%K -13.11%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 26.92%EV -10.11%E -3.06%K -4.39%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 28.66%EV -9.13%E -2.94%K -4.35%G +0.000%12.6%2026-03-07 19:15
PointsBet (AU)2.20I 45.45%NM 42.48%EV -4.42%E -2.01%K -3.68%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 28.76%EV -11.47%E -3.53%K -5.10%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 28.76%EV -4.73%E -1.46%K -2.10%G +0.000%7.0%2026-03-07 19:30
theScore Bet2.15I 46.51%NM 43.05%EV -6.59%E -3.07%K -5.73%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 28.48%EV -11.47%E -3.53%K -5.10%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 28.48%EV -4.73%E -1.46%K -2.10%G +0.000%8.1%2026-03-07 19:30
Bet Victor2.10I 47.62%NM 43.43%EV -8.76%E -4.17%K -7.97%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 28.06%EV -11.47%E -3.53%K -5.10%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 28.50%EV -6.19%E -1.94%K -2.82%G +0.000%9.6%2026-03-07 19:14
PlayUp2.15I 46.51%NM 42.05%EV -6.59%E -3.07%K -5.73%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 27.82%EV -11.47%E -3.53%K -5.10%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 30.13%EV -12.06%E -4.02%K -6.03%G +0.000%10.6%2026-03-07 19:04
Unibet (FR)1.97I 50.76%NM 44.53%EV -14.41%E -7.32%K -14.86%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 26.99%EV -11.47%E -3.53%K -5.10%G +0.000%3.08I 32.47%NM 28.48%EV -9.71%E -3.15%K -4.67%G +0.000%14.0%2026-03-07 19:54
Ladbrokes (AU)2.05I 48.78%NM 43.44%EV -10.94%E -5.34%K -10.42%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 27.83%EV -12.83%E -4.01%K -5.83%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 28.73%EV -9.13%E -2.94%K -4.35%G +0.000%12.3%2026-03-07 19:05
Coral2.05I 48.78%NM 43.44%EV -10.94%E -5.34%K -10.42%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 27.83%EV -12.83%E -4.01%K -5.83%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 28.73%EV -9.13%E -2.94%K -4.35%G +0.000%12.3%2026-03-07 19:04
Neds2.05I 48.78%NM 43.44%EV -10.94%E -5.34%K -10.42%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 27.83%EV -12.83%E -4.01%K -5.83%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 28.73%EV -9.13%E -2.94%K -4.35%G +0.000%12.3%2026-03-07 19:05
Ladbrokes (UK)2.05I 48.78%NM 43.44%EV -10.94%E -5.34%K -10.42%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 27.83%EV -12.83%E -4.01%K -5.83%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 28.73%EV -9.13%E -2.94%K -4.35%G +0.000%12.3%2026-03-07 19:05
NetBet (FR)2.00I 50.00%NM 43.64%EV -13.11%E -6.55%K -13.11%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 27.27%EV -12.83%E -4.01%K -5.83%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 29.09%EV -12.06%E -4.02%K -6.03%G +0.000%14.6%2026-03-07 19:45
Winamax (FR)2.00I 50.00%NM 43.86%EV -13.11%E -6.55%K -13.11%G +0.000%3.15I 31.75%NM 27.85%EV -14.19%E -4.51%K -6.60%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 28.30%EV -9.13%E -2.94%K -4.35%G +0.000%14.0%2026-03-07 19:14
PMU (FR)1.95I 51.28%NM 42.95%EV -15.28%E -7.84%K -16.09%G +0.000%3.15I 31.75%NM 26.59%EV -14.19%E -4.51%K -6.60%G +0.000%2.75I 36.36%NM 30.46%EV -19.39%E -7.05%K -11.08%G +0.000%19.4%2026-03-07 19:54
Betfair Sportsbook (UK)2.00I 50.00%NM 41.29%EV -13.11%E -6.55%K -13.11%G +0.000%2.88I 34.72%NM 28.68%EV -21.55%E -7.48%K -11.46%G +0.000%2.75I 36.36%NM 30.03%EV -19.39%E -7.05%K -11.08%G +0.000%21.1%2026-03-07 19:09
Marża = Marża (suma nadmiarowa) · I = Prawdopodobieństwo implikowane · NM = Prawdopodobieństwo bez marży · EV = Wartość oczekiwana · E = Przewaga · K = Kryterium Kelly’ego · G = Wzrost kapitału

Aktualizacja oznacza chwilę ostatniej zmiany kursu przez danego bukmachera. Starszy czas wskazuje więc, że kurs się nie zmienił, a nie że jest nieaktualny. Bukmacherzy niewidoczni przez około 15 minut są zwykle usuwani; jedynie gdy zamilknie źródło danych całego rynku, wyświetlane są ostatnie zarejestrowane kursy.

Giełdy zakładów (6)

BukmacherGospodarzeGościeRemisMarża ▲Aktualizacja
Betfair Exchange (EU)2.30I 43.48%NM 43.28%3.75I 26.67%NM 26.55%3.30I 30.30%NM 30.17%0.4%2026-03-07 19:55
Betfair Exchange (UK)2.30I 43.48%NM 43.28%3.75I 26.67%NM 26.55%3.30I 30.30%NM 30.17%0.4%2026-03-07 19:55
Betfair Exchange (AU)2.30I 43.48%NM 43.28%3.75I 26.67%NM 26.55%3.30I 30.30%NM 30.17%0.4%2026-03-07 19:54
Matchbook2.30I 43.48%NM 43.28%3.75I 26.67%NM 26.55%3.30I 30.30%NM 30.17%0.4%2026-03-07 19:50
Smarkets2.28I 43.86%NM 43.54%3.70I 27.03%NM 26.83%3.35I 29.85%NM 29.63%0.7%2026-03-07 19:55
Kalshi2.17I 46.08%NM 44.68%3.70I 27.03%NM 26.20%3.33I 30.03%NM 29.12%3.1%2026-03-07 19:20