L’École des cotesFrançais
Málaga v Real Valladolid CF
Cotes de clôture — probabilités calculées et espérance mathématique obtenues, selon le modèle sélectionné, à partir des derniers prix enregistrés avant le coup d’envoi. Le match ayant commencé, il ne s’agit pas de valeurs en direct. Évaluer la fiabilité des prévisions probabilistes de chaque modèle sur l’ensemble des matchs réglés →
Résultat du match
Málaga (Local)
Prévision 43.45%2.30cote équitable
EV -3.55%
Avantage -1.60%
Kelly -2.91%
Croissance +0.000%
avec la cote maximale 2.22
Distribution des prévisions des opérateurs
41.29%43.38%43.44%46.65%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM
Distribution des cotes
1.942.072.052.2251.55%48.31%48.78%45.05%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM
Real Valladolid CF (Visiteur)
Prévision 27.24%3.67cote équitable
EV +2.15%
Avantage +0.574%
Kelly +0.782%
Croissance +0.017%
avec la cote maximale 3.75
Distribution des prévisions des opérateurs
24.92%27.33%27.21%28.76%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM
Distribution des cotes
2.883.423.403.7534.72%29.24%29.41%26.67%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM
Match nul
Prévision 29.31%3.41cote équitable
EV -1.21%
Avantage -0.359%
Kelly -0.511%
Croissance +0.000%
avec la cote maximale 3.37
Distribution des prévisions des opérateurs
28.01%29.29%29.35%30.68%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM
Distribution des cotes
2.753.143.153.3736.36%31.84%31.75%29.67%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM
Cotes des opérateurs (51 opérateurs)
Nous ne sommes affiliés à aucun opérateur de paris et ne tirons aucun bénéfice des opérations réalisées auprès d’eux.
| Opérateur | Local | Visiteur ▼ | Match nul | Marge | Mise à jour |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Unibet | 2.02I 49.50%NM 46.49%EV -12.24%E -6.06%K -12.00%G +0.000% | 3.75I 26.67%NM 25.05%EV +2.15%E +0.574%K +0.782%G +0.017% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 28.46%EV -3.26%E -0.989%K -1.42%G +0.000% | 6.5% | 2026-03-07 19:40 |
| Unibet (SE) | 2.02I 49.50%NM 46.49%EV -12.24%E -6.06%K -12.00%G +0.000% | 3.75I 26.67%NM 25.05%EV +2.15%E +0.574%K +0.782%G +0.017% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 28.46%EV -3.26%E -0.989%K -1.42%G +0.000% | 6.5% | 2026-03-07 19:40 |
| Unibet (NL) | 2.02I 49.50%NM 46.49%EV -12.24%E -6.06%K -12.00%G +0.000% | 3.75I 26.67%NM 25.05%EV +2.15%E +0.574%K +0.782%G +0.017% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 28.46%EV -3.26%E -0.989%K -1.42%G +0.000% | 6.5% | 2026-03-07 19:40 |
| Svenska Spel | 2.02I 49.50%NM 46.49%EV -12.24%E -6.06%K -12.00%G +0.000% | 3.75I 26.67%NM 25.05%EV +2.15%E +0.574%K +0.782%G +0.017% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 28.46%EV -3.26%E -0.989%K -1.42%G +0.000% | 6.5% | 2026-03-07 19:39 |
| ATG (SE) | 2.02I 49.50%NM 46.49%EV -12.24%E -6.06%K -12.00%G +0.000% | 3.75I 26.67%NM 25.05%EV +2.15%E +0.574%K +0.782%G +0.017% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 28.46%EV -3.26%E -0.989%K -1.42%G +0.000% | 6.5% | 2026-03-07 19:40 |
| Pinnacle | 2.22I 45.05%NM 43.52%EV -3.55%E -1.60%K -2.91%G +0.000% | 3.65I 27.40%NM 26.47%EV -0.572%E -0.157%K -0.216%G +0.000% | 3.22I 31.06%NM 30.01%EV -5.61%E -1.74%K -2.53%G +0.000% | 3.5% | 2026-03-07 19:25 |
| Grosvenor | 1.97I 50.76%NM 46.60%EV -14.41%E -7.32%K -14.86%G +0.000% | 3.65I 27.40%NM 25.15%EV -0.572%E -0.157%K -0.216%G +0.000% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 28.25%EV -4.73%E -1.46%K -2.10%G +0.000% | 8.9% | 2026-03-07 19:40 |
| TABtouch | 1.97I 50.76%NM 46.60%EV -14.41%E -7.32%K -14.86%G +0.000% | 3.65I 27.40%NM 25.15%EV -0.572%E -0.157%K -0.216%G +0.000% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 28.25%EV -4.73%E -1.46%K -2.10%G +0.000% | 8.9% | 2026-03-07 19:39 |
| Casumo | 1.97I 50.76%NM 46.60%EV -14.41%E -7.32%K -14.86%G +0.000% | 3.65I 27.40%NM 25.15%EV -0.572%E -0.157%K -0.216%G +0.000% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 28.25%EV -4.73%E -1.46%K -2.10%G +0.000% | 8.9% | 2026-03-07 19:39 |
| betPARX | 1.97I 50.76%NM 46.60%EV -14.41%E -7.32%K -14.86%G +0.000% | 3.65I 27.40%NM 25.15%EV -0.572%E -0.157%K -0.216%G +0.000% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 28.25%EV -4.73%E -1.46%K -2.10%G +0.000% | 8.9% | 2026-03-07 19:39 |
| LeoVegas (SE) | 1.96I 51.02%NM 46.52%EV -14.85%E -7.57%K -15.47%G +0.000% | 3.65I 27.40%NM 24.98%EV -0.572%E -0.157%K -0.216%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 28.50%EV -6.19%E -1.94%K -2.82%G +0.000% | 9.7% | 2026-03-07 19:40 |
| LeoVegas | 1.95I 51.28%NM 46.65%EV -15.28%E -7.84%K -16.09%G +0.000% | 3.65I 27.40%NM 24.92%EV -0.572%E -0.157%K -0.216%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 28.43%EV -6.19%E -1.94%K -2.82%G +0.000% | 9.9% | 2026-03-07 19:40 |
| LiveScore Bet | 1.94I 51.55%NM 46.41%EV -15.72%E -8.10%K -16.72%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 25.01%EV -1.93%E -0.537%K -0.744%G +0.000% | 3.15I 31.75%NM 28.58%EV -7.66%E -2.43%K -3.56%G +0.000% | 11.1% | 2026-03-07 19:40 |
| Virgin Bet | 1.94I 51.55%NM 46.41%EV -15.72%E -8.10%K -16.72%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 25.01%EV -1.93%E -0.537%K -0.744%G +0.000% | 3.15I 31.75%NM 28.58%EV -7.66%E -2.43%K -3.56%G +0.000% | 11.1% | 2026-03-07 19:40 |
| LowVig.ag | 2.22I 45.05%NM 42.79%EV -3.55%E -1.60%K -2.91%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 27.14%EV -4.66%E -1.33%K -1.86%G +0.000% | 3.16I 31.65%NM 30.06%EV -7.37%E -2.33%K -3.41%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-03-07 19:20 |
| BetOnline.ag | 2.22I 45.05%NM 42.79%EV -3.55%E -1.60%K -2.91%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 27.14%EV -4.66%E -1.33%K -1.86%G +0.000% | 3.16I 31.65%NM 30.06%EV -7.37%E -2.33%K -3.41%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-03-07 19:24 |
| Fanatics | 2.15I 46.51%NM 43.74%EV -6.59%E -3.07%K -5.73%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 26.87%EV -4.66%E -1.33%K -1.86%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 29.39%EV -6.19%E -1.94%K -2.82%G +0.000% | 6.3% | 2026-03-07 19:05 |
| FanDuel | 2.15I 46.51%NM 43.33%EV -6.59%E -3.07%K -5.73%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 26.62%EV -4.66%E -1.33%K -1.86%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 30.05%EV -9.13%E -2.94%K -4.35%G +0.000% | 7.3% | 2026-03-07 19:54 |
| Tipico (DE) | 2.10I 47.62%NM 43.91%EV -8.76%E -4.17%K -7.97%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 26.35%EV -4.66%E -1.33%K -1.86%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 29.75%EV -9.13%E -2.94%K -4.35%G +0.000% | 8.4% | 2026-03-07 19:09 |
| SportsBet | 2.10I 47.62%NM 43.48%EV -8.76%E -4.17%K -7.97%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 26.09%EV -4.66%E -1.33%K -1.86%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 30.43%EV -12.06%E -4.02%K -6.03%G +0.000% | 9.5% | 2026-03-07 19:50 |
| Marathon Bet | 2.15I 46.51%NM 43.35%EV -6.59%E -3.07%K -5.73%G +0.000% | 3.48I 28.74%NM 26.78%EV -5.20%E -1.50%K -2.10%G +0.000% | 3.12I 32.05%NM 29.87%EV -8.54%E -2.74%K -4.03%G +0.000% | 7.3% | 2026-03-07 19:49 |
| 1xBet | 2.14I 46.73%NM 44.38%EV -7.03%E -3.28%K -6.16%G +0.000% | 3.46I 28.90%NM 27.45%EV -5.75%E -1.66%K -2.34%G +0.000% | 3.37I 29.67%NM 28.18%EV -1.21%E -0.359%K -0.511%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-03-07 19:54 |
| DraftKings | 2.20I 45.45%NM 43.01%EV -4.42%E -2.01%K -3.68%G +0.000% | 3.45I 28.99%NM 27.43%EV -6.02%E -1.75%K -2.46%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 29.57%EV -6.19%E -1.94%K -2.82%G +0.000% | 5.7% | 2026-03-07 19:10 |
| BetAnything | 2.13I 46.95%NM 43.18%EV -7.46%E -3.50%K -6.60%G +0.000% | 3.45I 28.99%NM 26.66%EV -6.02%E -1.75%K -2.46%G +0.000% | 3.05I 32.79%NM 30.16%EV -10.59%E -3.47%K -5.17%G +0.000% | 8.7% | 2026-03-07 19:24 |
| Mr Green (SE) | 2.15I 46.51%NM 42.99%EV -6.59%E -3.07%K -5.73%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 27.19%EV -7.38%E -2.17%K -3.08%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 29.82%EV -9.13%E -2.94%K -4.35%G +0.000% | 8.2% | 2026-03-07 19:54 |
| Betsson | 2.10I 47.62%NM 43.98%EV -8.76%E -4.17%K -7.97%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 27.16%EV -7.38%E -2.17%K -3.08%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 28.86%EV -6.19%E -1.94%K -2.82%G +0.000% | 8.3% | 2026-03-07 19:14 |
| NordicBet | 2.10I 47.62%NM 43.98%EV -8.76%E -4.17%K -7.97%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 27.16%EV -7.38%E -2.17%K -3.08%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 28.86%EV -6.19%E -1.94%K -2.82%G +0.000% | 8.3% | 2026-03-07 19:14 |
| Paddy Power | 2.10I 47.62%NM 43.15%EV -8.76%E -4.17%K -7.97%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 26.65%EV -7.38%E -2.17%K -3.08%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 30.20%EV -12.06%E -4.02%K -6.03%G +0.000% | 10.4% | 2026-03-07 19:50 |
| Codere (IT) | 2.08I 48.08%NM 43.84%EV -9.63%E -4.63%K -8.92%G +0.000% | 3.35I 29.85%NM 27.22%EV -8.74%E -2.61%K -3.72%G +0.000% | 3.15I 31.75%NM 28.95%EV -7.66%E -2.43%K -3.56%G +0.000% | 9.7% | 2026-03-07 19:15 |
| Betr (AU) | 2.15I 46.51%NM 43.42%EV -6.59%E -3.07%K -5.73%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 28.29%EV -10.11%E -3.06%K -4.39%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 28.29%EV -3.26%E -0.989%K -1.42%G +0.000% | 7.1% | 2026-03-07 19:15 |
| Betway | 2.20I 45.45%NM 42.08%EV -4.42%E -2.01%K -3.68%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 28.05%EV -10.11%E -3.06%K -4.39%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 29.86%EV -9.13%E -2.94%K -4.35%G +0.000% | 8.0% | 2026-03-07 19:15 |
| Winamax (DE) | 2.05I 48.78%NM 44.41%EV -10.94%E -5.34%K -10.42%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 27.59%EV -10.11%E -3.06%K -4.39%G +0.000% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 28.01%EV -4.73%E -1.46%K -2.10%G +0.000% | 9.9% | 2026-03-07 19:14 |
| BetMGM | 2.10I 47.62%NM 43.22%EV -8.76%E -4.17%K -7.97%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 27.50%EV -10.11%E -3.06%K -4.39%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 29.28%EV -9.13%E -2.94%K -4.35%G +0.000% | 10.2% | 2026-03-07 19:24 |
| William Hill | 2.10I 47.62%NM 42.80%EV -8.76%E -4.17%K -7.97%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 27.24%EV -10.11%E -3.06%K -4.39%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 29.96%EV -12.06%E -4.02%K -6.03%G +0.000% | 11.3% | 2026-03-07 19:55 |
| Betclic (FR) | 2.02I 49.50%NM 44.17%EV -12.24%E -6.06%K -12.00%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 27.04%EV -10.11%E -3.06%K -4.39%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 28.78%EV -9.13%E -2.94%K -4.35%G +0.000% | 12.1% | 2026-03-07 19:39 |
| Sky Bet | 2.10I 47.62%NM 42.36%EV -8.76%E -4.17%K -7.97%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 26.96%EV -10.11%E -3.06%K -4.39%G +0.000% | 2.90I 34.48%NM 30.68%EV -14.99%E -5.17%K -7.89%G +0.000% | 12.4% | 2026-03-07 19:50 |
| BoyleSports | 2.05I 48.78%NM 43.39%EV -10.94%E -5.34%K -10.42%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 26.96%EV -10.11%E -3.06%K -4.39%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 29.65%EV -12.06%E -4.02%K -6.03%G +0.000% | 12.4% | 2026-03-07 19:30 |
| Parions Sport (FR) | 2.00I 50.00%NM 44.42%EV -13.11%E -6.55%K -13.11%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 26.92%EV -10.11%E -3.06%K -4.39%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 28.66%EV -9.13%E -2.94%K -4.35%G +0.000% | 12.6% | 2026-03-07 19:15 |
| PointsBet (AU) | 2.20I 45.45%NM 42.48%EV -4.42%E -2.01%K -3.68%G +0.000% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 28.76%EV -11.47%E -3.53%K -5.10%G +0.000% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 28.76%EV -4.73%E -1.46%K -2.10%G +0.000% | 7.0% | 2026-03-07 19:30 |
| theScore Bet | 2.15I 46.51%NM 43.05%EV -6.59%E -3.07%K -5.73%G +0.000% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 28.48%EV -11.47%E -3.53%K -5.10%G +0.000% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 28.48%EV -4.73%E -1.46%K -2.10%G +0.000% | 8.1% | 2026-03-07 19:30 |
| Bet Victor | 2.10I 47.62%NM 43.43%EV -8.76%E -4.17%K -7.97%G +0.000% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 28.06%EV -11.47%E -3.53%K -5.10%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 28.50%EV -6.19%E -1.94%K -2.82%G +0.000% | 9.6% | 2026-03-07 19:14 |
| PlayUp | 2.15I 46.51%NM 42.05%EV -6.59%E -3.07%K -5.73%G +0.000% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 27.82%EV -11.47%E -3.53%K -5.10%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 30.13%EV -12.06%E -4.02%K -6.03%G +0.000% | 10.6% | 2026-03-07 19:04 |
| Unibet (FR) | 1.97I 50.76%NM 44.53%EV -14.41%E -7.32%K -14.86%G +0.000% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 26.99%EV -11.47%E -3.53%K -5.10%G +0.000% | 3.08I 32.47%NM 28.48%EV -9.71%E -3.15%K -4.67%G +0.000% | 14.0% | 2026-03-07 19:54 |
| Ladbrokes (AU) | 2.05I 48.78%NM 43.44%EV -10.94%E -5.34%K -10.42%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 27.83%EV -12.83%E -4.01%K -5.83%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 28.73%EV -9.13%E -2.94%K -4.35%G +0.000% | 12.3% | 2026-03-07 19:05 |
| Coral | 2.05I 48.78%NM 43.44%EV -10.94%E -5.34%K -10.42%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 27.83%EV -12.83%E -4.01%K -5.83%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 28.73%EV -9.13%E -2.94%K -4.35%G +0.000% | 12.3% | 2026-03-07 19:04 |
| Neds | 2.05I 48.78%NM 43.44%EV -10.94%E -5.34%K -10.42%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 27.83%EV -12.83%E -4.01%K -5.83%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 28.73%EV -9.13%E -2.94%K -4.35%G +0.000% | 12.3% | 2026-03-07 19:05 |
| Ladbrokes (UK) | 2.05I 48.78%NM 43.44%EV -10.94%E -5.34%K -10.42%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 27.83%EV -12.83%E -4.01%K -5.83%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 28.73%EV -9.13%E -2.94%K -4.35%G +0.000% | 12.3% | 2026-03-07 19:05 |
| NetBet (FR) | 2.00I 50.00%NM 43.64%EV -13.11%E -6.55%K -13.11%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 27.27%EV -12.83%E -4.01%K -5.83%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 29.09%EV -12.06%E -4.02%K -6.03%G +0.000% | 14.6% | 2026-03-07 19:45 |
| Winamax (FR) | 2.00I 50.00%NM 43.86%EV -13.11%E -6.55%K -13.11%G +0.000% | 3.15I 31.75%NM 27.85%EV -14.19%E -4.51%K -6.60%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 28.30%EV -9.13%E -2.94%K -4.35%G +0.000% | 14.0% | 2026-03-07 19:14 |
| PMU (FR) | 1.95I 51.28%NM 42.95%EV -15.28%E -7.84%K -16.09%G +0.000% | 3.15I 31.75%NM 26.59%EV -14.19%E -4.51%K -6.60%G +0.000% | 2.75I 36.36%NM 30.46%EV -19.39%E -7.05%K -11.08%G +0.000% | 19.4% | 2026-03-07 19:54 |
| Betfair Sportsbook (UK) | 2.00I 50.00%NM 41.29%EV -13.11%E -6.55%K -13.11%G +0.000% | 2.88I 34.72%NM 28.68%EV -21.55%E -7.48%K -11.46%G +0.000% | 2.75I 36.36%NM 30.03%EV -19.39%E -7.05%K -11.08%G +0.000% | 21.1% | 2026-03-07 19:09 |
Marge = Marge · I = Probabilité implicite · NM = Probabilité sans marge · EV = Espérance mathématique · E = Avantage · K = Critère de Kelly · G = Croissance du capital de jeu
Mise à jour indique le dernier changement de prix de chaque opérateur. Une heure ancienne signifie donc seulement que la cote n’a pas bougé, et non qu’elle est périmée. Les opérateurs absents du flux depuis environ 15 minutes sont normalement écartés ; les derniers prix enregistrés ne sont conservés que si le flux de tout le marché devient silencieux.
Plateformes d’échange (6)
| Opérateur | Local | Visiteur | Match nul | Marge ▲ | Mise à jour |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Betfair Exchange (EU) | 2.30I 43.48%NM 43.28% | 3.75I 26.67%NM 26.55% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 30.17% | 0.4% | 2026-03-07 19:55 |
| Betfair Exchange (UK) | 2.30I 43.48%NM 43.28% | 3.75I 26.67%NM 26.55% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 30.17% | 0.4% | 2026-03-07 19:55 |
| Betfair Exchange (AU) | 2.30I 43.48%NM 43.28% | 3.75I 26.67%NM 26.55% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 30.17% | 0.4% | 2026-03-07 19:54 |
| Matchbook | 2.30I 43.48%NM 43.28% | 3.75I 26.67%NM 26.55% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 30.17% | 0.4% | 2026-03-07 19:50 |
| Smarkets | 2.28I 43.86%NM 43.54% | 3.70I 27.03%NM 26.83% | 3.35I 29.85%NM 29.63% | 0.7% | 2026-03-07 19:55 |
| Kalshi | 2.17I 46.08%NM 44.68% | 3.70I 27.03%NM 26.20% | 3.33I 30.03%NM 29.12% | 3.1% | 2026-03-07 19:20 |