A Escola das Odds

Málaga v Real Valladolid CF

Início: 2026-03-07 20:00 UTC

Odds de fecho — as probabilidades calculadas e o valor esperado com base nas últimas cotações registadas antes do início, segundo o modelo selecionado. O jogo já começou, pelo que estes valores não são atuais. Avaliar a fiabilidade das previsões probabilísticas de cada modelo face aos resultados de todos os jogos concluídos →

Frente a frente

51 casas de apostas (18 na análise )

Probabilidade estimada de cada resultado, segundo o modelo: IQM

Málaga (Local)

Previsão 43.45%2.30odd justa
EV -3.55%
Vantagem -1.60%
Kelly -2.91%
Crescimento +0.000%

pressupondo odds máximas de 2.22

Distribuição das previsões das casas de apostas
41.29%43.38%43.44%46.65%MINMÉDIAMEDIANAMAX
Distribuição das odds
1.942.072.052.2251.55%48.31%48.78%45.05%MINMÉDIAMEDIANAMAX

Real Valladolid CF (Visitante)

Previsão 27.24%3.67odd justa
EV +2.15%
Vantagem +0.574%
Kelly +0.782%
Crescimento +0.017%

pressupondo odds máximas de 3.75

Distribuição das previsões das casas de apostas
24.92%27.33%27.21%28.76%MINMÉDIAMEDIANAMAX
Distribuição das odds
2.883.423.403.7534.72%29.24%29.41%26.67%MINMÉDIAMEDIANAMAX

Empate

Previsão 29.31%3.41odd justa
EV -1.21%
Vantagem -0.359%
Kelly -0.511%
Crescimento +0.000%

pressupondo odds máximas de 3.37

Distribuição das previsões das casas de apostas
28.01%29.29%29.35%30.68%MINMÉDIAMEDIANAMAX
Distribuição das odds
2.753.143.153.3736.36%31.84%31.75%29.67%MINMÉDIAMEDIANAMAX

Odds das casas de apostas (51 casas de apostas)

Não temos qualquer vínculo com casas de apostas e não recebemos nada pelas ações realizadas junto delas.

Casa de apostasLocalVisitante ▼EmpateMargemAtualização
Unibet2.02I 49.50%NM 46.49%EV -12.24%E -6.06%K -12.00%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 25.05%EV +2.15%E +0.574%K +0.782%G +0.017%3.30I 30.30%NM 28.46%EV -3.26%E -0.989%K -1.42%G +0.000%6.5%2026-03-07 19:40
Unibet (SE)2.02I 49.50%NM 46.49%EV -12.24%E -6.06%K -12.00%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 25.05%EV +2.15%E +0.574%K +0.782%G +0.017%3.30I 30.30%NM 28.46%EV -3.26%E -0.989%K -1.42%G +0.000%6.5%2026-03-07 19:40
Unibet (NL)2.02I 49.50%NM 46.49%EV -12.24%E -6.06%K -12.00%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 25.05%EV +2.15%E +0.574%K +0.782%G +0.017%3.30I 30.30%NM 28.46%EV -3.26%E -0.989%K -1.42%G +0.000%6.5%2026-03-07 19:40
Svenska Spel2.02I 49.50%NM 46.49%EV -12.24%E -6.06%K -12.00%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 25.05%EV +2.15%E +0.574%K +0.782%G +0.017%3.30I 30.30%NM 28.46%EV -3.26%E -0.989%K -1.42%G +0.000%6.5%2026-03-07 19:39
ATG (SE)2.02I 49.50%NM 46.49%EV -12.24%E -6.06%K -12.00%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 25.05%EV +2.15%E +0.574%K +0.782%G +0.017%3.30I 30.30%NM 28.46%EV -3.26%E -0.989%K -1.42%G +0.000%6.5%2026-03-07 19:40
Pinnacle2.22I 45.05%NM 43.52%EV -3.55%E -1.60%K -2.91%G +0.000%3.65I 27.40%NM 26.47%EV -0.572%E -0.157%K -0.216%G +0.000%3.22I 31.06%NM 30.01%EV -5.61%E -1.74%K -2.53%G +0.000%3.5%2026-03-07 19:25
Grosvenor1.97I 50.76%NM 46.60%EV -14.41%E -7.32%K -14.86%G +0.000%3.65I 27.40%NM 25.15%EV -0.572%E -0.157%K -0.216%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 28.25%EV -4.73%E -1.46%K -2.10%G +0.000%8.9%2026-03-07 19:40
TABtouch1.97I 50.76%NM 46.60%EV -14.41%E -7.32%K -14.86%G +0.000%3.65I 27.40%NM 25.15%EV -0.572%E -0.157%K -0.216%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 28.25%EV -4.73%E -1.46%K -2.10%G +0.000%8.9%2026-03-07 19:39
Casumo1.97I 50.76%NM 46.60%EV -14.41%E -7.32%K -14.86%G +0.000%3.65I 27.40%NM 25.15%EV -0.572%E -0.157%K -0.216%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 28.25%EV -4.73%E -1.46%K -2.10%G +0.000%8.9%2026-03-07 19:39
betPARX1.97I 50.76%NM 46.60%EV -14.41%E -7.32%K -14.86%G +0.000%3.65I 27.40%NM 25.15%EV -0.572%E -0.157%K -0.216%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 28.25%EV -4.73%E -1.46%K -2.10%G +0.000%8.9%2026-03-07 19:39
LeoVegas (SE)1.96I 51.02%NM 46.52%EV -14.85%E -7.57%K -15.47%G +0.000%3.65I 27.40%NM 24.98%EV -0.572%E -0.157%K -0.216%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 28.50%EV -6.19%E -1.94%K -2.82%G +0.000%9.7%2026-03-07 19:40
LeoVegas1.95I 51.28%NM 46.65%EV -15.28%E -7.84%K -16.09%G +0.000%3.65I 27.40%NM 24.92%EV -0.572%E -0.157%K -0.216%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 28.43%EV -6.19%E -1.94%K -2.82%G +0.000%9.9%2026-03-07 19:40
LiveScore Bet1.94I 51.55%NM 46.41%EV -15.72%E -8.10%K -16.72%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.01%EV -1.93%E -0.537%K -0.744%G +0.000%3.15I 31.75%NM 28.58%EV -7.66%E -2.43%K -3.56%G +0.000%11.1%2026-03-07 19:40
Virgin Bet1.94I 51.55%NM 46.41%EV -15.72%E -8.10%K -16.72%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.01%EV -1.93%E -0.537%K -0.744%G +0.000%3.15I 31.75%NM 28.58%EV -7.66%E -2.43%K -3.56%G +0.000%11.1%2026-03-07 19:40
LowVig.ag2.22I 45.05%NM 42.79%EV -3.55%E -1.60%K -2.91%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 27.14%EV -4.66%E -1.33%K -1.86%G +0.000%3.16I 31.65%NM 30.06%EV -7.37%E -2.33%K -3.41%G +0.000%5.3%2026-03-07 19:20
BetOnline.ag2.22I 45.05%NM 42.79%EV -3.55%E -1.60%K -2.91%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 27.14%EV -4.66%E -1.33%K -1.86%G +0.000%3.16I 31.65%NM 30.06%EV -7.37%E -2.33%K -3.41%G +0.000%5.3%2026-03-07 19:24
Fanatics2.15I 46.51%NM 43.74%EV -6.59%E -3.07%K -5.73%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.87%EV -4.66%E -1.33%K -1.86%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 29.39%EV -6.19%E -1.94%K -2.82%G +0.000%6.3%2026-03-07 19:05
FanDuel2.15I 46.51%NM 43.33%EV -6.59%E -3.07%K -5.73%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.62%EV -4.66%E -1.33%K -1.86%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 30.05%EV -9.13%E -2.94%K -4.35%G +0.000%7.3%2026-03-07 19:54
Tipico (DE)2.10I 47.62%NM 43.91%EV -8.76%E -4.17%K -7.97%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.35%EV -4.66%E -1.33%K -1.86%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 29.75%EV -9.13%E -2.94%K -4.35%G +0.000%8.4%2026-03-07 19:09
SportsBet2.10I 47.62%NM 43.48%EV -8.76%E -4.17%K -7.97%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.09%EV -4.66%E -1.33%K -1.86%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 30.43%EV -12.06%E -4.02%K -6.03%G +0.000%9.5%2026-03-07 19:50
Marathon Bet2.15I 46.51%NM 43.35%EV -6.59%E -3.07%K -5.73%G +0.000%3.48I 28.74%NM 26.78%EV -5.20%E -1.50%K -2.10%G +0.000%3.12I 32.05%NM 29.87%EV -8.54%E -2.74%K -4.03%G +0.000%7.3%2026-03-07 19:49
1xBet2.14I 46.73%NM 44.38%EV -7.03%E -3.28%K -6.16%G +0.000%3.46I 28.90%NM 27.45%EV -5.75%E -1.66%K -2.34%G +0.000%3.37I 29.67%NM 28.18%EV -1.21%E -0.359%K -0.511%G +0.000%5.3%2026-03-07 19:54
DraftKings2.20I 45.45%NM 43.01%EV -4.42%E -2.01%K -3.68%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 27.43%EV -6.02%E -1.75%K -2.46%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 29.57%EV -6.19%E -1.94%K -2.82%G +0.000%5.7%2026-03-07 19:10
BetAnything2.13I 46.95%NM 43.18%EV -7.46%E -3.50%K -6.60%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 26.66%EV -6.02%E -1.75%K -2.46%G +0.000%3.05I 32.79%NM 30.16%EV -10.59%E -3.47%K -5.17%G +0.000%8.7%2026-03-07 19:24
Mr Green (SE)2.15I 46.51%NM 42.99%EV -6.59%E -3.07%K -5.73%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.19%EV -7.38%E -2.17%K -3.08%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 29.82%EV -9.13%E -2.94%K -4.35%G +0.000%8.2%2026-03-07 19:54
Betsson2.10I 47.62%NM 43.98%EV -8.76%E -4.17%K -7.97%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.16%EV -7.38%E -2.17%K -3.08%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 28.86%EV -6.19%E -1.94%K -2.82%G +0.000%8.3%2026-03-07 19:14
NordicBet2.10I 47.62%NM 43.98%EV -8.76%E -4.17%K -7.97%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.16%EV -7.38%E -2.17%K -3.08%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 28.86%EV -6.19%E -1.94%K -2.82%G +0.000%8.3%2026-03-07 19:14
Paddy Power2.10I 47.62%NM 43.15%EV -8.76%E -4.17%K -7.97%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.65%EV -7.38%E -2.17%K -3.08%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 30.20%EV -12.06%E -4.02%K -6.03%G +0.000%10.4%2026-03-07 19:50
Codere (IT)2.08I 48.08%NM 43.84%EV -9.63%E -4.63%K -8.92%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 27.22%EV -8.74%E -2.61%K -3.72%G +0.000%3.15I 31.75%NM 28.95%EV -7.66%E -2.43%K -3.56%G +0.000%9.7%2026-03-07 19:15
Betr (AU)2.15I 46.51%NM 43.42%EV -6.59%E -3.07%K -5.73%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 28.29%EV -10.11%E -3.06%K -4.39%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 28.29%EV -3.26%E -0.989%K -1.42%G +0.000%7.1%2026-03-07 19:15
Betway2.20I 45.45%NM 42.08%EV -4.42%E -2.01%K -3.68%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 28.05%EV -10.11%E -3.06%K -4.39%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 29.86%EV -9.13%E -2.94%K -4.35%G +0.000%8.0%2026-03-07 19:15
Winamax (DE)2.05I 48.78%NM 44.41%EV -10.94%E -5.34%K -10.42%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.59%EV -10.11%E -3.06%K -4.39%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 28.01%EV -4.73%E -1.46%K -2.10%G +0.000%9.9%2026-03-07 19:14
BetMGM2.10I 47.62%NM 43.22%EV -8.76%E -4.17%K -7.97%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.50%EV -10.11%E -3.06%K -4.39%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 29.28%EV -9.13%E -2.94%K -4.35%G +0.000%10.2%2026-03-07 19:24
William Hill2.10I 47.62%NM 42.80%EV -8.76%E -4.17%K -7.97%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.24%EV -10.11%E -3.06%K -4.39%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 29.96%EV -12.06%E -4.02%K -6.03%G +0.000%11.3%2026-03-07 19:55
Betclic (FR)2.02I 49.50%NM 44.17%EV -12.24%E -6.06%K -12.00%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.04%EV -10.11%E -3.06%K -4.39%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 28.78%EV -9.13%E -2.94%K -4.35%G +0.000%12.1%2026-03-07 19:39
Sky Bet2.10I 47.62%NM 42.36%EV -8.76%E -4.17%K -7.97%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 26.96%EV -10.11%E -3.06%K -4.39%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 30.68%EV -14.99%E -5.17%K -7.89%G +0.000%12.4%2026-03-07 19:50
BoyleSports2.05I 48.78%NM 43.39%EV -10.94%E -5.34%K -10.42%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 26.96%EV -10.11%E -3.06%K -4.39%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 29.65%EV -12.06%E -4.02%K -6.03%G +0.000%12.4%2026-03-07 19:30
Parions Sport (FR)2.00I 50.00%NM 44.42%EV -13.11%E -6.55%K -13.11%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 26.92%EV -10.11%E -3.06%K -4.39%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 28.66%EV -9.13%E -2.94%K -4.35%G +0.000%12.6%2026-03-07 19:15
PointsBet (AU)2.20I 45.45%NM 42.48%EV -4.42%E -2.01%K -3.68%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 28.76%EV -11.47%E -3.53%K -5.10%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 28.76%EV -4.73%E -1.46%K -2.10%G +0.000%7.0%2026-03-07 19:30
theScore Bet2.15I 46.51%NM 43.05%EV -6.59%E -3.07%K -5.73%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 28.48%EV -11.47%E -3.53%K -5.10%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 28.48%EV -4.73%E -1.46%K -2.10%G +0.000%8.1%2026-03-07 19:30
Bet Victor2.10I 47.62%NM 43.43%EV -8.76%E -4.17%K -7.97%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 28.06%EV -11.47%E -3.53%K -5.10%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 28.50%EV -6.19%E -1.94%K -2.82%G +0.000%9.6%2026-03-07 19:14
PlayUp2.15I 46.51%NM 42.05%EV -6.59%E -3.07%K -5.73%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 27.82%EV -11.47%E -3.53%K -5.10%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 30.13%EV -12.06%E -4.02%K -6.03%G +0.000%10.6%2026-03-07 19:04
Unibet (FR)1.97I 50.76%NM 44.53%EV -14.41%E -7.32%K -14.86%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 26.99%EV -11.47%E -3.53%K -5.10%G +0.000%3.08I 32.47%NM 28.48%EV -9.71%E -3.15%K -4.67%G +0.000%14.0%2026-03-07 19:54
Ladbrokes (AU)2.05I 48.78%NM 43.44%EV -10.94%E -5.34%K -10.42%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 27.83%EV -12.83%E -4.01%K -5.83%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 28.73%EV -9.13%E -2.94%K -4.35%G +0.000%12.3%2026-03-07 19:05
Coral2.05I 48.78%NM 43.44%EV -10.94%E -5.34%K -10.42%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 27.83%EV -12.83%E -4.01%K -5.83%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 28.73%EV -9.13%E -2.94%K -4.35%G +0.000%12.3%2026-03-07 19:04
Neds2.05I 48.78%NM 43.44%EV -10.94%E -5.34%K -10.42%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 27.83%EV -12.83%E -4.01%K -5.83%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 28.73%EV -9.13%E -2.94%K -4.35%G +0.000%12.3%2026-03-07 19:05
Ladbrokes (UK)2.05I 48.78%NM 43.44%EV -10.94%E -5.34%K -10.42%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 27.83%EV -12.83%E -4.01%K -5.83%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 28.73%EV -9.13%E -2.94%K -4.35%G +0.000%12.3%2026-03-07 19:05
NetBet (FR)2.00I 50.00%NM 43.64%EV -13.11%E -6.55%K -13.11%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 27.27%EV -12.83%E -4.01%K -5.83%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 29.09%EV -12.06%E -4.02%K -6.03%G +0.000%14.6%2026-03-07 19:45
Winamax (FR)2.00I 50.00%NM 43.86%EV -13.11%E -6.55%K -13.11%G +0.000%3.15I 31.75%NM 27.85%EV -14.19%E -4.51%K -6.60%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 28.30%EV -9.13%E -2.94%K -4.35%G +0.000%14.0%2026-03-07 19:14
PMU (FR)1.95I 51.28%NM 42.95%EV -15.28%E -7.84%K -16.09%G +0.000%3.15I 31.75%NM 26.59%EV -14.19%E -4.51%K -6.60%G +0.000%2.75I 36.36%NM 30.46%EV -19.39%E -7.05%K -11.08%G +0.000%19.4%2026-03-07 19:54
Betfair Sportsbook (UK)2.00I 50.00%NM 41.29%EV -13.11%E -6.55%K -13.11%G +0.000%2.88I 34.72%NM 28.68%EV -21.55%E -7.48%K -11.46%G +0.000%2.75I 36.36%NM 30.03%EV -19.39%E -7.05%K -11.08%G +0.000%21.1%2026-03-07 19:09
Margem = Margem · I = Probabilidade implícita · NM = Probabilidade sem margem · EV = Valor esperado · E = Vantagem · K = Critério de Kelly · G = Crescimento do capital de apostas

Atualização indica quando cada casa alterou a cotação pela última vez; uma hora mais antiga significa apenas que as odds não mudaram, não que estejam desatualizadas. As casas sem dados nos últimos ~15 minutos são normalmente excluídas; apenas quando a fonte de todo um mercado fica sem atualizações se mostram as últimas cotações registadas.

Bolsas de apostas (6)

Casa de apostasLocalVisitanteEmpateMargem ▲Atualização
Betfair Exchange (EU)2.30I 43.48%NM 43.28%3.75I 26.67%NM 26.55%3.30I 30.30%NM 30.17%0.4%2026-03-07 19:55
Betfair Exchange (UK)2.30I 43.48%NM 43.28%3.75I 26.67%NM 26.55%3.30I 30.30%NM 30.17%0.4%2026-03-07 19:55
Betfair Exchange (AU)2.30I 43.48%NM 43.28%3.75I 26.67%NM 26.55%3.30I 30.30%NM 30.17%0.4%2026-03-07 19:54
Matchbook2.30I 43.48%NM 43.28%3.75I 26.67%NM 26.55%3.30I 30.30%NM 30.17%0.4%2026-03-07 19:50
Smarkets2.28I 43.86%NM 43.54%3.70I 27.03%NM 26.83%3.35I 29.85%NM 29.63%0.7%2026-03-07 19:55
Kalshi2.17I 46.08%NM 44.68%3.70I 27.03%NM 26.20%3.33I 30.03%NM 29.12%3.1%2026-03-07 19:20